Geopolitics of the Arctic
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BAKU - The Arctic covers roughly 14 million square kilometers of water and solid ice. It’s almost the size of Antarctica. For most of its part, the region is inhospitable. In the summer, the weather can rise above the melting point, yet, in the winter, it can plunge down to minus 45 degrees Celsius.
This situation, however, is not to last. In the coming decades, climate change will make the Arctic passages and resources become more accessible. Given the abundance of resources and critical trade routes, it should come as no surprise that the Arctic will turn into a new geopolitical flashpoint.
Soundtrack:
Decisions Kevin MacLeod (incompetech.com)
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The burning of fossil fuels has exposed more fossil fuels to burn, the irony...
richoz27 however true that may be, we must also accept that we (as individuals)currently cannot get by without the oil based mobility. We must understand this on an individual basis and become energy independent. Instead of depending on our governments.
not irony, just positive feedback
IKR!! It wouldn't be so bad of all that oil was only used for petroleum products instead of wasting it by burning it up in
what are essentially ancient engines.
Gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel is only 3 of more than a dozen byproducts from oil production. Nothing is wasted.
What's really scary is that if they knew about this century ago and have been doing it on purpose to get to the oil ....
So, let's see. Nicaragua is building a new "panama canal" that will tear the entire country geographically in two, as well as costing a fortune. All in all being a very risky project. Meanwhile, a new "free" and shorter route is emerging just up north!
Oh Nicaragua, you are fucked. I smell economic and environmental catastrophe, with some human welfare causalties.
Amici Nybråten The canal can still be of use. Ships still go around the cape despite the Suez Canal being there.
eminemishh It's not whether it will be of use I'm worried about. It's just going to be a huge burden to everyone in Nicaragua.
It's still a sound plan. The Arctic passages will be navigable during the summers. However, the Suez and Panama canals will be working year-round.
CaspianReport Considering the scale of the project, I doubt that.
***** Remember the Panama Canal already exists.
When you realise that the powerfull elites want the artic to melt just to get a shorter route between superpowers...
hermanPla Well also to get at more of the oil that made it melt in the first place.
Except its a natural occurring cycle, the fact is that we are still in the "last ice age" and have been for quite some time, the earth has been much warmer many times in the past, with the peak of it ending approx 12,000 years ago and since then the earth has been slowly warming up. My point isn't that our activity has no effect, my point is that we don't know exactly how much its going to make a difference when no matter what we do the global temperature is going to rise, on top of this happening and is probably directly affected by it is that we are entering a solar prime, this means the sun is putting out more energy right now and its a normal cycle for the sun to go up and down in energy yield its producing. Climate change has happened many times in earths history without us even existing, some of them were mild, some were very extreme to the point the entire earth was covered in ice with only deep sea creatures and microbes being able to inhabit the planet, on the other side the earth has been incredibly hotter in the past as well. Pretty much no matter what we do we cannot control every single factor in climate change and we cannot even say what our introduction to these cycles has effected at all yet.
Hi D3ATHBYFIR3, I'm very interested in your assertion. My understanding is, and this is from the scientific papers I have read, that the real crisis here is that human beings are dramatically altering the RATE of climate change. That's the real crux of the issue. Yes, the climate changes over geologic timescales with or without our species' "help", but very slowly (from a human perspective), and certainly not at such a rapid rate that the oceans acidify within a couple of generations or sea levels rise so dramatically over a hundred years or massive droughts/temperature rises render previously lived-in parts of the planet pretty much uninhabitable or parts of the earth such as Florida revert to salt marsh within a human lifetime.
As you put it, the problem is not that the climate changes, it will always change, the problem is, are we changing it so rapidly that we risk rendering our species vulnerable to massive die-off or obliterating the ecological framework that supports us? The reason I say this is that there has been a concerted effort by corporate think tanks to sow doubt, not to explicitly disprove, merely to delay heavily needed legislation so they can maximise their profit margins using exactly the line you are now utilizing. I'm sure that's not your intent, but I am curious what you are suggesting here. That emissions do not have a dramatic effect on the climate? That seems like a scientifically dubious proposition to me given the overwhelming evidence to the contrary. If you have some reputable scientific peer-reviewed evidence that suggests otherwise I'd love to see it! Needless to say it would be a huge relief to me if there was convincing iron-clad proof that disproved the current consensus. :)
D3ATHBYFIR3 its more like earth is warming and we are not prepared
life on earth will always survive but will we ?
if climate change affected only animal life only PETA would be crying for it
Michael Scofield Global warming periods have been significantly better for humans than global cooling periods.
Politis = Foreign Chronicles (name changed today)
I would like to thank those who have been following Caspian Report for a while.
Thank you for your curiosity for his beautiful work. Thank you for your loyalty to his independant analysis. Thanks to you, he has been able to create a large, qualitative, and - most of all - an independant media.
And today, he decided to help my tiny channel.
He has nothing to earn from it. Only he wants to encourage what you are also fighting for: independant medias. I can just tell you that you are supporting the right man. An original, smart and wise person, with the hand on his heart.
My warmest thanks go to you. They go to you for supporting him. Patrice
I just discovered your channel yesterday and I really like it, your videos seem objective and well informed, something unimaginably valuable in our current times.
Thank you for producing this content.
Bro, when are you going to make a US geopolitics video?
I understand that you probably think it's obvious or something but I honestly want to know all the aspects because you make such clear and educated videos.
Shirvan! your videos are really an eye opener! A huge fan of your channel
Another great video. Thank you for all the work you do sir.
That straight is Canadian nobody better forget that. It clearly passes through Canada.
It's part of the Canadian waters, but you know how the world works. This reminds be of a famous quote by Shikhlinski - you must be strong to have rights.
The queen better sort out the Canadians and get the other 16 realms to help them out ...
So the water between Guam and Hawaii is US waters?
And once Russia and the US militarize the region it will become "international waters" with that rationale enforced by the point of a gun
@@yerri5567 yes due to the fact that the US navy is there and at each end is American territory
Grim stuff. Its like smoking so much your child dies and then taking the body to the slaughterhouse.
perfect description
Why is the southern hemisphere getting colder though? Antarctic ice cap
is actually expanding. If it's just the greenhouse gases in the
atmosphere surely the effect would be global? What if it's another
slight orbital fluctuation like little ice age? Climate is naturally
unstable, and retarded hippies still cry about killing the mother earth.
Bogdan Bogdanoff imagine what amounts of resources that are in Antarctica.....
and imagine how the sea levels will be if Antarctica starts disappearing....
it will be a economical and political and geographical disaster.
@@bogdanbogdanoff5164 "Antarctic ice cap
is actually expanding. If it's just the greenhouse gases in the
atmosphere surely the effect would be global?"
Warmer oceans means more water evaporates into clouds. More clouds means more snow coming down at the polar caps. That doesn't help the north pole because it floats entirely on water so the higher water temperature has greater effect. The south pole sits largely on a continental shelf -> is less effected by warmer water and comparatively more by the increased water cycle(aka snowfall) -> the Antarctic ice cap grows.
But you know we can actually measure temperature all over the globe so pointing at any (explainable) tertiary phenomenon doesn't help your "case" either way.
"retarded hippies still cry about killing the mother earth."
yes this needless anthropomorphisation of presumably our biosphere is dumb af, but no less retarded than your sophist excuses.
@@DeHerg Water vapor constitutes vast majority of "greenhouse gases". Human civilization at large still has little effect on climate compared to solar cycles. Soil and ocean pollution is easily more important than someone's car emission. Wanna lessen transportation-generated CO2? Request your country to tariff buying cheap shit from china and start manufacturing themselves - A Dozen or so biggest transport ships generate more pollution than most cars combined.
Awesome video, as always!
Enjoyed this report. Can't wait for the next one sounds interesting.
Why should Canada supply navigation and rescue services to vessels that don't ask permission to enter OUR waters?
John Ransom Because Canada is nice and the nature very similar to Scandinavia.
Nvm you were talking about Russia. Well I can tell they’re more powerful that’s why.
Do you want the world to say that x hundred of people died because Canada was a dick?
You answered your own question sir. They're Canadian or (you're) you will rescue them AND give them a cold Labatt.
Because every water that deliver acess to another country is internacional water, Just like denmark and germany Rivers
@@More_Row because.
Truly excellent, will use this in teaching my class. THANK YOU!!
Great report as aways, never thought about this impact, it's huge.
I have very much enjoyed your reports. Thanks for posting.
I'm impressed, awesome job mate cheers!
Excellent work as always
excellent review. Thanks!
good job love your stuff
Salam Alikom Wa Rahmatullahi Wa Barakatuh
from sweden
I love your videos. ❤ keep them coming.
CaspianReport where do you get these amazing 3d maps from?
Where he gets his "facts" for climate change: the fucking government!
LMAO
Causing Arc
ok :(
+Causing Arc
Are you being paid by the government?
How come every single conspiracy nut thinks anyone with an opposing view is a paid shill!? Oh, wait... that's in the definition of a conspiracy nut... never mind...
Hey, I love the reports that you do. How do you go on making them? What the approaches you take?
You are a good critic, Thank you my friend!
Dear Shirvan, your videos are a rare gem in a geopolitical topic. Very high quality and crystal clear. This video really made me question the role of the political establishment. The global warming is a threat for our species and what geopolitics does is to looking for opportunities how to exploit new territories as soon as they can.
It feel just as brutal as an alcoholic murdering a drunk person just to get the drink out of his stomach.
Thank you for your hard work and apologies (to all readers) if my comment is upsetting but that is how I felt during the news about these geopol decisions.
Great video!
very informitive report keep on going
damn boyyyy you make good videos keep it up proud of you
thank you for the information if find your channel very useful
awesome video thanks
Hey CaspianReport, I'm looking to start a youtube channel, and I was wondering what editing program you use for those maps. I love your videos and you are actually my inspiration to start making videos!
such a great video
Videos like these can't get enough credit for delivering an articulate, almost unbiased analysis of global affairs.
+CaspianReport Can you explain how democracy became prominent in Germany, partly thanks to the Marshall Plan, and Japan after WWII (they were referenced by Ashraf Ghani as anecdotes to counter the denials of a democratic Afghan state), and to what extent do geographic and ecological circumstances affect a nation (just so I can understand you more)?
Liked ad shared. Was already subscribed.
I like your recommendation: I'm now a subscriber to the Frenchman's channel.
Thank you Albukhshi :)
very interesting, thank you very much
Awesome info
Hi, CaspianReport. Another interesting video. What is the flooding animation from? Is it supposed to be accurate according to some model?
Shirvan, can you make an analysis about Kurdistan and the Kurdish situation in the middle east?
Geopolitics of Anatarctica. Thats one I am unable to find on youtube. I hope you make it soon.
Hi Shirvan! Thank you very much for the interesting video. I also read about this topic in the book you reviewed "Prisoners of Geography". Thank you for that review as well. Very cool book indeed.
I do have two questions. I hope you may answer it.
1. Does it mean that global worming is actually more beneficial then disadvantageous to the 5 nordic nations? And that they will never try to become green or want to restore the ice?
2. Wouldn't it be likely or in the US interest to "force" Denmark and "help" Greenland to become a independent country followed by increasing US domination over an independent Greenland and Canada? Or is the north pole not profitable enough for this scenario?
I'm glad you found the book useful :) As for your questions:
1. Certain countries do indeed prefer global warming. For instance, Russian officials have expressed ambitions to use the warming of the Arctic Ocean to stimulate the growth of Northern/Siberian cities. The idea is that the Northern Sea Route could spark new St.Petersburg-like cities in the Northern regions. There is indeed a lot of potential for the Russians in regards to global warming.
2. There would be no benefit in an independent Greenland. Besides, the US already dominates the Canadian and Danish foreign policies. The most active Arctic country besides Russia is Norway. Oslo is trying hard to get NATO involved in its Arctic security concerns. Ironically, the most passive Arctic state is the US. I'll go over these factors in the next report.
Thank you very much for your answers. I look forward to your next video.
As someone who lives by the Arctic, I'd like to add a few things:
According to studies Greenland and Iceland are the countries that would most benefit from a warming climate, with other Arctic countries but the U.S. benefiting as well:
web.a.ebscohost.com/ehost/pdfviewer/pdfviewer?vid=1&sid=6b910e63-2606-4a35-901c-a5846c09eb8f%40sessionmgr4009
My cousins in Greenland are working towards independence, and hope that access to mineral and hydrocarbon resources will help them achieve that goal.
Greenland as well as the Faroe Islands are autonomous countries within the Danish realm. One can think of their relationship to Denmark as being similar to the one between Puerto Rico and the U.S, but as a simplification.
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greenlandic_independence
There was no mention of my home country Iceland, even though it lies wholly or partly within the Arctic, depending on which definition is used.
Iceland has political aspirations in the Arctic, and hopes that good relations with an independent Greenland and Faroes will be mutually beneficial in that regard.
A map of the definitions of the Arctic: arcticportal.org/images/maps/small/1.9.jpg
Will you talk about the icebreaker gap and whether or not it is a serious issue?
Yeah, I will mention the Russian icebreaker fleet.
Where do you get those 3D shots of earth like the one of Argentina at 0:55 ?
What better way to cause global issues than to have a fleet of icebreakers travel through the arctic region constantly.
you noticed that too
Love caspian resport #frombangladesh
The most positive thing I heard in this video was you saying "he is a friend of mine from France"
you guys are epic carry on
Went looking for the other resource you mentioned towards the end of the video. No Luck. Help?
I was wondering where I could find the sources used for making this video. Thank you advance!
There are more sources in the written article. I will publish it within days on www.caspianreport.info
CaspianReport Thank you! Once again, a great video!
CaspianReport there is no such think as climate change.
You heard it here first folks, no such think.
Please talk about China investment in Bangladesh
Melting of Arctic ice will not increase sea levels, because it is already floating in water.
It is the melting of Antarctic ice that will increase sea levels, because it is anchored on land.
It's minor nitpick, because both poles are going to melt down. It's just the way it is told in video that it sounds inaccurate.
In the North Pole no but Antarctica is a frozen landmass.
Greenland is in the Arctic and will cause sea levels to rise.
Open mouth, insert foot. The part of icebergs and shelves ABOVE the water when they crash into the water and melt, yes that displacement Does increase sea levels.
What do you mean on both poles, the southern pole is increasing in ice and decreasing in temperature.
Right timing
"The Arctic is almost the size of Antarctic"
what a profound statement
We all know this knowledge is only intended for numerous of US viewers.
Please do possible ramifications of Trump's presidency on domestic and Foreign policy!
He denies climate change. The world is going to suffer because of US policies now.
ani625 but he's now changed his website from saying he'll leave the Paris deal.
Trump talks so much shit, no one but him knows what he's going to do.
There's no point guessing what he thinks until he actually becomes president.
He is not some reaction media. NO, I'll wait months for any response to the US election.
So nice of you to add a link to your friend's channel in the description so the mobile users could go there without searching for "Politise" or however you spell it... :/
how did you get ben browns footage in there?
This should be mandatory viewing...
Where did you get that map? The heightmap one.
Thanks. I would name a huge fortress on the Bering Strait side of Alaska, Sewards Revenge.
Please do a video on the US Election, or another prognosis video for 2017.
Also take your time and NEVER feel you have to give a report because it is topical.
Please add link for your friends channel, which you have mentioned at the end of this video.
Shervan. please post the name of the channel u said in last, of your friend
Another well informed video, thanks.
Next: Geopolitics of the Antarctic!
I like how they have these visuals showing how much the ice has receded... and it shows A LOT has gone away........ but then go on about how that is going to flood many areas. Yet the massive amount of ice which has melted has not flooded much at all.
True.
If that much ice melted for real Florida and Holland would be sea bottom.
Can someone link the youtube channel he mentioned at the end of the video?
t. Hauser it's in the description
Bro you gotta do an update video on the US
how can I access the channel's website? it isnt working.... need help! anyone?
name of the channel you mentioned?
Can you guys publish these in written form?
SubhanAllah! Another Fine Visual Short On Geo Politics. Focusing Mainly The Arctic Region And Surroundings, It Actually Encircles The Entire Globe, With A Very Compact And Concise Geographic, Geo Economic And Geo Political Set Of Essential Details, Within The Proper Contextual Relevance Of The Subject. Even Duly Reflicting On The Geolological Aspect Of The Arctic Ocean And The Arctic Circle In Its Proper And Prospective Geo Economic And Financially Viable Geo Strategic Perspective. Giving A New Ray Of Hope And Expectation To A World, Already Lacking In Parity And Consistency Of Planning And Development, Beside The Mismanaged Logistics And Distribution And Conflictng, Clashing And Fighting Over The Existing And Available Mineral And Natural Resources, In The Various Parts And Regions Of The World, Other Than The Frozen Sea And The Arctic Region. By All Respects, A Very Well Composed Brief Visual Report On The Global Geo Politics. With Thanks And Regards For Sharing It. May God Bless You. Jazza K Allah Khair. SNR. (FFP). ...
+CaspianReport how will the opening up of the arctic route effect the ports of HongKong, Singapore and India
Sushanth Somayaji not much
Could you do a report/projection on global warming and it geopolitical current and future effects?
Can you please add a link to polities chanel in the description
I can't wait for the Arctic to melt! 😍
One of the best TH-camrs! I suggest you make a Donald Trump Geopolitical analysis. Thanks for your efforts in all your videos.
Trump's geopolitical interest is where is my cash, and the nearest McDonald's.
@@Delgen1951 how to denuclearize the Korean peninsula, by achieving peace. Getting our troops out of the middle east, and not going to military war with anyone. And making sure China and Europe trade fairly, by using tariffs as threats and leverage. Oh, and as well as where the neatest golf course and women is.
Oh shit you shouted out politis?! Nice!
Can you make an update about it?
What are the 9 Arctic Disputes - can you tell me?
Nobody ever really talks about rising sea levels, considering 90% of the human population lives along the coast line. Should be interesting to see the catastrophe that comes of rising sea levels and increased storms.
You always says that "countries have no eternal allies but eternal interest" or something like that. I would really like to see a video focused on countries or groups of countries interests.
CaspianReport
Can you please make a video on CPEC and how will this benefiet or affect India?
The way the winds and currents flow in the Arctic means that the sea ice is pushed toward the Canadian coast. This makes Canadian waters much less navigable than Russian waters. Also most of the oil and gas resources are in the wide shallow continental shelf on the Russian side of the Arctic, as well as off he coast of Alaska. Most shelf off of the Canadian and Greenland waters are not geologically suited for oil and Gas, except for the Beaufort sea area near Alaska.
Why should Canada give away it's sovereign right to tax the traffic as everyone else do. Canada should better be increasing its population and building it's military strength for future standoff. I hope Defence minister Sajjan Singh will do something about it
Liberals are too worried about gender politics to deal with real issues. Trudeau has no backbone and everyone knows it, unless it's taking a bone from behind. And yes, let's leave it to a city bound sikh defense minister to get things right about the Canadian arctic. This country blows my mind.
Doubt that them increasing their military will be enough to ward of the United States, Russia and Europe.
Ghetto Law School I was talking theoretically.
Because there are plenty of other straits that are exactly the same: open to anyone without taxes. In plenty of other places passage through straits is only a symbolic sum.
I don't think Canada would win any kind of direct military engagement. Put a bunch of mines in the water and call it a day if the other countries won't recognize Canadian sovereignty.
The child who is not embraced by the village will burn it down just to feel it's warmth.
What you really really really need to do is cover the geopolitics of the ANTarctic. If you dare.
What do you think of Alexander Dugins 1997 book "Foundations of geopolitics", many of the policy's he recommended in that book seem to have been have followed to a certain extent by the Russian administrations which have ruled since the books release, this makes sense since he is supposed to have close ties to the Kremlin.
Here are some of the policy's he recommended:
1. Russian should create a Eurasian centric sphere of influence which should place most of the old communist nations under Russia's influence.
2. The rejection of Atlanticism and liberal values should be pushed for across the western world.
3. Ukraine should be annexed by Russia.
4. Sectarianism of all kinds, particularly racial unrest should be encouraged in the US.
5. The US should be manipulated into becoming an isolationist nation.
6. The UK must be isolated from Europe.
7. Armenia serves the purpose of being a strategic base for Moscow and Iran is a key Allie.
8. Georgia should be broken up.
9. a Russian Islamic alliance lies at the base of anti-Atlanticism.
10. China is a threat to Russian power and should be encouraged to spread its influence south towards Indo-China, Phillipines and Australia rather than north towards Eurasia.
These are just a couple of the more interesting things.
Can you link your friend's channel?
See: th-cam.com/channels/O-NZoGEzCE5klWUCZVDuWQ.html
Link.not working
Not working.. I'm really interested in following him
link not working
CaspianReport put the link down
Make a video about Brazil, please!
Make one on Argentina Geopolitics!!!
Can Russia charge ships for using their Arctic trade routes the way Panama does for Suez Cannel . I know officially it's international waters but if Russia is keeping the straight open via ice breakers and providing support they deserve to be paid right?
Is it possible to provide please the full name of your friend Patrice or the name of his TH-cam channel
I have an alternative to squabbles over oil in the Arctic: pioneer nuclear fusion & electricity exploitation technology and watch the other nations scramble to catch up when the hydrocarbons run out.
When will all the ice melt? Too many videos say it is bound to happen but never say when or even estimate. I think that it will melt, I just want to know when because so many videos that I've seen about this say the same thing and strike fear into people's minds and make it seem as though it is going to happen tomorrow or the next day when for all we know it could all be gone in two weeks or two centuries from now
If there are 90 billion barrels of oil in the Arctic, that means there is enough to power the whole world for approximately 3 years, based on the 90 million barrels of oil the world consumes each day. However, it could run out faster because I didn't factor rising demand into my calculations. I.e. if demand rises to more than 90 million a day, the supply will be exhausted sooner.
1:20 In future Scotland's main export shall be mountains to England
I am from Bangladesh n The sea level rising is already a threat.. Bangladesh has already lost some land into the see and drinking water getting undrinkable heavily by the see water.
Welcome to my land of the midnight sun
Canada's North West Passage is considered international waters yet Canada flanks it on all sides. The concern Canada has is that they will be on the hook one way or another when a foreign ship dumps or suffers a hazardous cargo accident in the passage. Even if the UN says Canada deserves financial compensation from the shipping company (Very unlikely), near by Canadian fisheries and environmentally protected zones are still threatened or destroyed as a result of such hazardous cargo discharges.
Canada has got to build up a navy, and establish ports around the north west passage
0:51 what is that map???
yeah but where can I get the map?
they were released at some point last year, high topography gain render maps. However, being intellectual property I think the high res versions have been taken off google.
I found one of the maps: zeihan.com/know-your-world/europe/
BosnianSpartan thanks man
TheKingOfTheWorld No problem.
Interesting. but maybe it won't be as drastic a change as predicted if northern sea route does open. Why? because, in my opinion, the population in southern hemisphere will grow bigger than those in the north. northern sea route is important because it's shorten the range between two powerful market : Europe, and China. and since the fact that main drive for market is population, which is in quite a decline in Europe, guess Europe won't be that attractive of a market. So, if the new powerful market will be those from south hemisphere like India, Brazil, Indonesia, or Africa nations, opening of northern sea route will be quite meaningless
Any arguments are welcome