Is Sword & Shield TOO HOT?? Could There Be A Bubble Ahead?

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 25 ธ.ค. 2024

ความคิดเห็น • 104

  • @PikaPikaPapa
    @PikaPikaPapa  8 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Hey you Pokémon Collecting maniacs!! If you're in the market for some awesome Pokémon merch check out the BRAND NEW WEBSITE PIKAPIKAPAPA.COM! This is just the beginning too as we have lots of new stuff coming soon. Thank you for the support and have an awesome one!

  • @restockshock2710
    @restockshock2710 8 หลายเดือนก่อน +14

    yea sun and moon has lower pop but the thing with swsh is it was strong enough to make alot of us hop back into pokemon seriously sun and moon doesn't have the same appeal or demand sword and shield does I firmly believe sword and shield is overall superior era and in my personal opinion the greatest Pokemon era because none of the vintage stuff made me excited enough to hop out of a different tcg I used to collect vs sword and shield. I personally have always been in the tcg atmosphere for over 20+ years always collecting buying trading however I've never seriously collected Pokemon till sword and shield era the main deciding factor was celebrations and evolving skies which made me do the big transition and sell off my entire yugioh collection and go all into pokemon and yes I sold all of my old vintage yugioh

    • @SaberkiddASMR
      @SaberkiddASMR 8 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Absolutely agree! SW&SH really is the best era.

    • @buffalobill9793
      @buffalobill9793 8 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      Just because you didn't start collecting until SW&SH doesn't mean it's the best gen ever. Are we just going to ignore how pathetic SW&SH was half way through. Base was average at best followed by a whole lot of Steam Siege and Crimson Invasion like sets. There was Rebel Trash, the even worse Darkness Ablaze, the pathetic Vivid Voltage, everybody's favourite punching bag Battle Styles and the terrible and over printed Shining Fates. Add in the boring and in my opinion the weak Celebrations, Astral Radiance and Silver Tempest from the second half and your left with what? One awesome set with extremely painful pull rates 3 pretty good sets in Chilling Reign, Fusion Strike and Lost Origin and an average at best Brilliant Stars. I assume your just ignoring those 7 or 8 extremely weak to poor sets when showering SW&SH as the greatest ever gen. Yes it may have the best Pokemon set ever produced in ES but you can't just ignore two thirds of the sets in the generation when speaking of the generation as a whole. I think as a whole Sun & Moon was a much stronger gen. With Team Up leading the way as a comparable set to ES in strength but it's the middle class where Sun & Moon stands out above SW&SH with a plethora of strong to semi strong sets. Cosmic Eclipse, Unbroken Bonds, Unified Minds, Celestial Storm, Lost Thunder, Ultra Prizm, Burning Shadows and Hidden Fates all pretty strong sets. Only Crimson Invasion, Guardians Rising and Base Set suck on the same level as two thirds of the SW&SH gen. But I guess you wouldn't know that would you because you missed it. Curious to know if you think SW&SH really is the best how heavily are you invested in any SW&SH set that doesn't start with an E an F an L or a C.

    • @SaberkiddASMR
      @SaberkiddASMR 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@buffalobill9793 that’s not a bad point. The first 5 sets of SW&SH were pretty weak but that’s only like, 30% of the era. Sun & moon art works were still lacking though

    • @jonathanmorgan9417
      @jonathanmorgan9417 8 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      I collected as a kid in the late 90’s early 2000’s. Hopped back in when 151 dropped. Looking back at older cards, I love the tag team art, not even the expensive cards. They’re just all so unique and cool. Some perspective from a new hobbyist.

    • @restockshock2710
      @restockshock2710 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@buffalobill9793 I think you misunderstood I've been collecting pokemon through the start of the tcg just mostly singles and never seriously I have base set zards for days lol and a bunch of e-readers,ex,lv,x, team rocket, gx,delta species, shinings etc, I didn't seriously collect the cards till sword and shield era because like I said it wasn't really anything impressive it didn't have the wow factor in pokemon till sword and shield era imo they did a great job with alt arts. the start of swsh era is without a doubt trash the era kicked back up with a bang with evo skies which was my deciding set as to seriously collect pokemon because pokemon imo never made a set as interesting as evo skies and yes I've pretty much opened every pokemon english tcg pack since base set but never collected seriously back then. I personally don't mind tough pull rates since it secures all my high end single cards values that's an issue i had with yugioh they would constantly reprint my high end cards that are worth $100+ and then a year later worth $20 or less pokemon didn't do that a big deciding factor for my transition was sealed long term pokemon value and no reprints on major high value cards. Sun and moon was a far weaker and boring gen compared to swsh I'm sure you're probably unaware but the pokemon tcg hobby was dying in sun and moon until hidden fates and cosmic eclipse dropped and even cosmic was a poor performer I scooped a bunch of $30 a pop cosmic eclipse etbs back in the day just to rip them . team up wasn't sought after over hidden fates the demand for hidden fates was far larger. Again I didn't miss out lol I've opened hidden fates upcs, probably like 60 hidden fates tins on black friday 2019 at target for $10 a piece per tin. I also have a good majority of the alt arts from sun and moon. I'm more so a collector over investor tbh and don't my positions in anything lol just know I've been in the hobby for a very long time and it has been very boring until swsh and hidden fates modern swsh made this hobby fun again tbh

  • @Top_Loaded_JRGS77
    @Top_Loaded_JRGS77 8 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

    I love how crazy these boxes are going even boxes that aren't sold out are doing good. Fusion went up fast now slowly and gradually moving. Chilling is starting to gain ground on Fusion which is nice to see. Keep on Moving S&S!!!!!!!!

    • @buffalobill9793
      @buffalobill9793 8 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      You might want to get out there and invest in some Rebel Clash, Darkness Ablaze , Vivid Voltage, Battle Styles, Shining Fates, Champions Path, and Astral Radiance then because all those sets could use a fire lit under their ass.

    • @PikaPikaPapa
      @PikaPikaPapa  8 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      You ain't lying!! I think we have a lot more growth ahead of us too!! Once LO and BS sells out things are going to get crazy!!

  • @ChiefNeil22
    @ChiefNeil22 8 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Your trend analysis is amazing. What’s your thoughts. If you had to buy an alt art right now. Who’s giving the biggest return- aerodactly, machamp or tyranitar alt art?

    • @PikaPikaPapa
      @PikaPikaPapa  8 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Oh man... bringing the hard question huh? For me it's Aerodactly all the way. Comes from the best set of the 3 and is still hovering right around it's 1 year low. When LO flips to sold out I think it's gonna pop off!!

  • @itscorybyt
    @itscorybyt 8 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    First time seeing your vids - Loved this analysis dude.
    We're all focussed on the gains at the moment but with the volume of PSA 10s I do worry about that nose dive when people start to undercut prices. Don't have the Umbreon Vmax or the Gengar and am on the verge of pulling the trigger, but just don't want to regret it lol. The life of an investor.

    • @PikaPikaPapa
      @PikaPikaPapa  8 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      LOL I love this... the life of a Pokemon investor... the struggle is real!! A few videos ago we did a deep dive into the top 20 chase cards of the SW&SH ear and we looked at PSA 10 pops and Gem rates and you're right. It will be interesting to see if the demand can keep up with the supply!! Appreciate the support and I'm pumped you found value in the content. THANK YOU!!

    • @stars3297
      @stars3297 8 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      For investments dont go for slabs or singles, go for sealed.

    • @itscorybyt
      @itscorybyt 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@PikaPikaPapa legend bro! Keep shining 🔥

    • @itscorybyt
      @itscorybyt 8 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      @@stars3297 💯 I just really want the Umbreon in the collection 😭

  • @TheLoneBeet
    @TheLoneBeet 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

    This video was great. It makes you question if the "big" card of the set often sees the most FOMO and spikes highest, but then seems to regress. The 2nd and 3rd, etc. top cards seem to hold a better return on the same time scale. Perhaps it's best to chase the "less popular" cards over the long term. I don't see myself picking up a Moonbreon anytime soon but the other alts could follow the same projection as the cards discussed in this video.

    • @TheSnackAttackingSnorlax
      @TheSnackAttackingSnorlax 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

      I’m curious about the actual numbers…. Percentages can be misleading…. For instance say your $300 gengar vmax alt goes up 33%… that’s $100, the 2nd chase card sells for $160 and it goes up 88%!!! Well that’s not even $80…. So yeah in terms of percents… but I don’t believe he mentioned actual dollar amounts did he??

    • @WestSTL
      @WestSTL 8 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      @@TheSnackAttackingSnorlax % is all that matters. Of course you'll have larger potential returns with a larger $ amount invested. Nothing is stopping you from buying 2 or 3 of the 2nd chase cards in order to have the same exposure as buying 1 top chase.

    • @kylecockerell7559
      @kylecockerell7559 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

      ​@@WestSTLFACTS!

    • @PikaPikaPapa
      @PikaPikaPapa  8 หลายเดือนก่อน

      So pumped you found value in the content!! My personal strategy right now is to look at the cards in the 3-10 range in regards to most valuable in a set and see if there are any that aren't getting the love I feel they deserve!! With all eyes on the chase cards it's a great time to snag what everyone else is missing!!

  • @rocketruepeljonny
    @rocketruepeljonny 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Your analyzes are super interesting, thank you for all your work!

    • @PikaPikaPapa
      @PikaPikaPapa  8 หลายเดือนก่อน

      ThanklYOU for the support!!

  • @averytaylor1994
    @averytaylor1994 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Subscribed, keep up the good content. Do you think Battle Styles is a good set to invest in? Cheapest ShSw but still has alts in it. Other sets are exploding right now. Just getting out of reach

    • @PikaPikaPapa
      @PikaPikaPapa  8 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Appreciate the support my friend!! Yeah, I've been a fan of Battle Styles for a long time for the same reason you called out.... Alt Arts and a great chase in the sleepy T-Tar. Once the other more hyped sets sell out or get out of reach I think it will be the next set to pop off. BBs are sooo cheap now it's insane!!

  • @b1gpapan3cr04
    @b1gpapan3cr04 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Papa poppin off! Love the content brother

    • @PikaPikaPapa
      @PikaPikaPapa  8 หลายเดือนก่อน

      LOL love this!! Appreciate the support my friend!!

  • @MrGuitarfreak132
    @MrGuitarfreak132 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

    So tough to know what to do right now with the alt arts. Several I still need for my collection. Not sure if this is the last chance I’ll have or if they are overheating and if I wait the buy will be better. So tough to know

    • @PikaPikaPapa
      @PikaPikaPapa  8 หลายเดือนก่อน

      I agree, for me I'm in a holding pattern for SW&SH. Doesn't mean it's the right move but I'm gonna hang on the sidelines for a few LOL

    • @MrGuitarfreak132
      @MrGuitarfreak132 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@PikaPikaPapa​​⁠​​⁠thanks for sharing what you’re doing. I think that’s wise. I picked a couple smaller ones up recently (celebi v and luminion v) but I think I may hold off for the dragonite v and Charizard v. Their prices have spiked so dramatically it’s probably wise like you say to hold off for now

  • @andyhale3467
    @andyhale3467 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Population reports on cards is a big topic of conversation lately. It’s been used to discredit the recent rise in the alt arts from SWSH as sets go out of stock. Everyone will have to make their own decision on if a card with a high pop report is reason alone to avoid purchasing. The way I think about it is these popular character alt arts are so good that it really would defy logic to think that say 10,000 people in the future would not want a copy of that card as part of a PC. Meaning, demand will stay strong

    • @PikaPikaPapa
      @PikaPikaPapa  8 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Awesome call on the pop reports!! You know we dial in on them a lot here and I think you’re spot on. It’s part of the equation but demand is gonna be the final deciding factor!!

  • @PNWbluegrasshole
    @PNWbluegrasshole 8 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Blazeikan isn't from Astral 😅

    • @OmegaHPK
      @OmegaHPK 8 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      Was gonna say. But I know he knows that. He must’ve slipped

    • @PikaPikaPapa
      @PikaPikaPapa  8 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Dang IT!!! Bahhhhhh!!! LOL Sometimes the mouth moves faster then the brain!! Thanks for the catch/call out

  • @Quadrilz23
    @Quadrilz23 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

    I’m curious how you think the SWSH specialty sets and singles will perform in the future, which is top dog and your own personal favorite.
    Thank you for all the wonderful content!

    • @PikaPikaPapa
      @PikaPikaPapa  8 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Thanks for the support my friend!! I'm a big fan of CZ from a sealed perspective, the singles have been graded into oblivion so I'm not sure about the upside there but the set is EPIC and still has a lot of love from the collecting/investing space so I think it's got some legs!!

  • @TheCollector501
    @TheCollector501 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Take a look at the eeveelution promos (Flareon v, vaporeon v etc) they’re going up too

    • @PikaPikaPapa
      @PikaPikaPapa  8 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Geezz it’s crazy all around!! I do love those promos and those boxes. Really awesome product!!

  • @40YOCollector
    @40YOCollector 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Prices are CRAZY right now!! It will be interesting to watch it all unfold!!

    • @PikaPikaPapa
      @PikaPikaPapa  8 หลายเดือนก่อน

      I agree it’s gonna be insane!!

  • @restockshock2710
    @restockshock2710 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

    i'm kinda sad the spike on alts happened so soon.... I wanted too scoop more doubles before spike guess you can't catch em all guess I'm off to try to trade for some doubles

    • @Kcpvvy15
      @Kcpvvy15 8 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      You’ll be fine g just wait out the pop and flop. A year ago Moonbreon went to 670 and then fell all the way to 495 before now exploding back to 700$. The dust will settle by summer especially since we in tax return season right now. Prices won’t continue to grow like this

    • @restockshock2710
      @restockshock2710 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@Kcpvvy15 lol hopefully not but the swsh market seems to be an animal of its own

    • @PikaPikaPapa
      @PikaPikaPapa  8 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      The can't catch'em all add had me in stitches!! It will be interesting to see how it all plays out, you might just get another shot further down the line!!

    • @restockshock2710
      @restockshock2710 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@PikaPikaPapa yea bro I'm almost done just missing a few cards for doubles but I did catch all the alts in swsh lol :D when you enjoy it you'll figure it out and I scooped a few at great deals too personally bought an aerodactyl v alt last week locally for $40.... like deals are everywhere you just gotta be patient

  • @j_harx4586
    @j_harx4586 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Good take. Great info

    • @PikaPikaPapa
      @PikaPikaPapa  8 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Thanks my friend!

  • @mikebutcher6345
    @mikebutcher6345 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Great video again mate :)

  • @Kcpvvy15
    @Kcpvvy15 8 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    At first I thought it was organic growth but seeing Lugia go from 127$ to 182$ in 17 hours was enough for me to recognize this is a load of poop. Definitely market manipulation and fomo going on and I expect a lot of them to crash by 20% or so over the next 3-5 months just like last year

    • @MMK86
      @MMK86 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

      buyouts and people rushing to buy last minute will def drive the prices up but if you bought 1 or 2 years ago you're jamming

    • @Kcpvvy15
      @Kcpvvy15 8 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      @@MMK86ironically just dumped a lot of my swsh alt arts two months ago hahahahaha definitely regret it but prices will come back down a bit so not worried in the long term run

    • @jacobgordon1534
      @jacobgordon1534 8 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      As swsh becomes sold out the alts will continue to rise. People are realizing get it now or miss the boat

    • @Kcpvvy15
      @Kcpvvy15 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@jacobgordon1534yeah just like when they said that last year before prices all dropped a solid 30% and more for some cards. Most of this is a pump and dump and fomo. Not organic market growth

    • @PikaPikaPapa
      @PikaPikaPapa  8 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      I'm on the singles sidelines here just eating popcorn and watching the fireworks!! It will be a ton of fun to see how it all plays out over the next year or so!!

  • @Eduardo_Omnislash
    @Eduardo_Omnislash 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

    I’m always torn between spending on sealed (to hold), versus spending on singles/graded chase cards I really like, even though I know sealed is the better investment. Basically it’s my investor side battling my collector side. Thanks for the data, PPP!

    • @PikaPikaPapa
      @PikaPikaPapa  8 หลายเดือนก่อน

      I wrestle with the same thing all the time!! I try and find a balance between what really excites me, single cards and what will make me the most money, sealed. It's always a challenge for me and an internal struggle LOL

  • @GerryBee-dy9jx
    @GerryBee-dy9jx 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Great data!

  • @Hauzzie97
    @Hauzzie97 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

    @PikaPikaPapa I love your statistics & problem solving for future products💯 what do you think of products with Evo Skies in it? E.g Mighty Mysterious tins (3packs- Evo-Fusion & Brilliant) Personally, would you hold another 3-5years or take advantage of the scarcity in the market atm to gain capital for the next Gen (Scarlet & Violet)?

    • @PikaPikaPapa
      @PikaPikaPapa  8 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      I'm a huge fan of every and anything ES... booster boxes are usually the leading indicator with other sealed a lagging follow. Finding products with ES and say some LO, BS, FS or CR in it as well gives you a who's who of the SW&SH era and a great chance at some big future gains!! I'm a buy and hold person and I'd wait till we get to this point in the S&V lifecycle before I thought about selling. Appreciate your support my friend and happy hunting!!

  • @AtownGoods
    @AtownGoods 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Love the data man! It'll be interesting to see by year end or going into 2025 how these alt hards hold up

    • @PikaPikaPapa
      @PikaPikaPapa  8 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Agreed!! Love watching it all!

  • @mikespandinator2054
    @mikespandinator2054 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Thank you for the content.

    • @PikaPikaPapa
      @PikaPikaPapa  8 หลายเดือนก่อน

      My pleasure!

  • @WhatiSay1
    @WhatiSay1 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

    P3, your vids have so much data that I think is critical to an investor like me. My poki dollars are limited, so I need this day to help me make decisions

    • @PikaPikaPapa
      @PikaPikaPapa  8 หลายเดือนก่อน

      I appreciate it my friend!

  • @2736492821
    @2736492821 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

    all the trends, but what are the conclusions??

    • @PikaPikaPapa
      @PikaPikaPapa  8 หลายเดือนก่อน

      I’ll do the data work, you use that big beautiful Pokémon brain to draw your conclusions!!

  • @missingnoglitch520
    @missingnoglitch520 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

    love the data

  • @Alflloyd64
    @Alflloyd64 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Pika talks really fast , which is good, u get 30 minutes of strategy in 15 minutes

    • @PikaPikaPapa
      @PikaPikaPapa  8 หลายเดือนก่อน

      LOL I love this, thank you!! 1.5 speed all the way :)

  • @refineme
    @refineme 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

    We are Pokemaniacs, we are crazy to the max.

    • @PikaPikaPapa
      @PikaPikaPapa  8 หลายเดือนก่อน

      LOL love it!!

  • @slayerzerg
    @slayerzerg 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

    english trainers generally don't perform well so those examples aren't exactly apples to apples. i agree most singles in general besides chases don't appreciate like the best booster boxes do, but looking at popular pokemon chase cards exclusively they stay relevant and price remains high. i plan to sell my extra rayquaza vmax psa 10 though it could look like the arceuspalkiadialga and cooldown for a while/who knows how long. time to profit!

    • @PikaPikaPapa
      @PikaPikaPapa  8 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Yessir!! Time to profit indeed, I love it!!!

  • @attract_mode_
    @attract_mode_ 8 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    It’s very similar to Japanese product last summer, anyone sensible would switch to Japanese while this happens and buy during a dip. Instead of fomo-ing over English S&S, those prices spikes are not normal and prone to dropping when attention moves elsewhere.

    • @PikaPikaPapa
      @PikaPikaPapa  8 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      I agree on the sitting this one out for a while mentality!! I'm chilling on the sidelines eating my popcorn and watching the fireworks LOL!!!

  • @KevinCostner471
    @KevinCostner471 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

    SS was a new golden era for Pokemon.

    • @PikaPikaPapa
      @PikaPikaPapa  8 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Love it!! I’m pumped to see how it all shakes out!! I know I feel really lucky to be here collecting/investing during this awesome time!!

  • @rell660
    @rell660 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

    It's going up then will correct. Not drop but correct after LO and BS sellout.

    • @PikaPikaPapa
      @PikaPikaPapa  8 หลายเดือนก่อน

      I love this take, totally agree. It will correct but not crash. How big of a correction and when, who knows but it’s gonna be crazy to watch it all unfold!!

  • @patescortez88
    @patescortez88 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Bubble or not this is awsome

    • @PikaPikaPapa
      @PikaPikaPapa  8 หลายเดือนก่อน

      You know what, I agree with this 1,000%!! Awesome call out!!

    • @patescortez88
      @patescortez88 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@PikaPikaPapa these are the times that define us collectors investors and trainers alike

  • @TheSnackAttackingSnorlax
    @TheSnackAttackingSnorlax 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

    To the moon! 🌕 br30n! We are witness the 2nd great wave of Pokémon !!! Move over base set!! The people have spoken and we want modern over vintage!!

    • @PikaPikaPapa
      @PikaPikaPapa  8 หลายเดือนก่อน

      LOL I love this, you might be spot on!! This very well might be the golden era 2.0!!

  • @Mistercolonel25
    @Mistercolonel25 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

    I don’t understand much what you’re saying, but it sounds smart, so I’m taking all your advice. PPP to the moon!

    • @PikaPikaPapa
      @PikaPikaPapa  8 หลายเดือนก่อน

      lol thanks brother!

  • @willisN
    @willisN 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

    151 is now as low as 125 AUD from Sydney sellers 😊 just wanted to let you know 👍

    • @PikaPikaPapa
      @PikaPikaPapa  8 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      It’s falling fast!! I see a lot on the $80 range here in the US already. I’m actually a little surprised by how far and how fast it’s dropping!! Always appreciate you taking the time to share what’s going on over there!! I truly appreciate it!!

  • @PikaPikaAsh
    @PikaPikaAsh 8 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    First!! Go PPP!

    • @PikaPikaPapa
      @PikaPikaPapa  8 หลายเดือนก่อน

      LOL thank you!!