I Used MMA Math to Predict UFC 307: Alex Pereira vs Khalil Rountree Jr

แชร์
ฝัง
  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 26 ม.ค. 2025
  • กีฬา

ความคิดเห็น • 32

  • @thecombatchronicler
    @thecombatchronicler  4 หลายเดือนก่อน +7

    Thank you to anyone watching this video! If you enjoyed this video, please consider subscribing for more combat sports content.

    • @birdperson2854
      @birdperson2854 4 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      I hope you are right😂

    • @Tazyizan
      @Tazyizan 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      The fact that you call hill a champion proofs you have no ideer what your talking about ! but yes pereira is winning

    • @birdperson2854
      @birdperson2854 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@Tazyizan ideer??😂 Bruh 💀

  • @Menstral
    @Menstral 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

    As a statistician I love it, you should retitle the video “intro to MMA math”: (subtitle)

  • @NathanGalios-z6m
    @NathanGalios-z6m 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Good effort brother

  • @TCC-h7t
    @TCC-h7t 4 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    I love this concept, awesome video!!!!

  • @Menstral
    @Menstral 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

    MMA judging scoring
    As a statistician I can say that the error rate on decisions is absolutely ridiculous. Something like your 'MMA winner prediction algorithm' would be good for evaluation purposes also.
    MMA should come up with a different scoring system. The % error rate attributable to bad judging and inappropriate decisions in MMA is absolutely insane, given the severity of the impact that is imposed on the fighters. Scoring should have been revised long ago, and to a great extent streamlined by algorithm. Decrease judge influence dramatically.
    However, an algorithm that disturbs the athletic commissions the least is probably best politically (3 judges, 10 point rounds).
    The algorithm (on significant strikes or knockdowns or takedowns or whatever) should be fed by multiple experts who code what happens in the fights (the median or mean value of 2-3 experts is what gets counted), instead of judging with overly broad and subjective parameters. Judging is often questionable and sometime atrocious when the fights are anywhere near close.
    The 10 point system can stay, but with 1 decimal point of precision, and generating most points by algorithm. Maintain the judges but the judges effect should be reduced to maybe 1/4, 1/3, 2/5... but certainly no more than 1/2.
    There should also be a lot more draws, at least 10% or 15% of total bouts should be draws from my watching experience. Most embarrassing robberies should probably become draws.
    A robust algorithm and a good process would ensure the correct decision was made at least 98% of the time, instead of 85-95% of the time.
    Jon Jones probably lost to Dominic Reyes, or at best a draw. DR won 3 rounds clearly by the stats, and that is the way fights should be scored. Khabib Nurmagomedov almost certainly lost to Gleison Tibau, or at best a draw.
    An algorithm could be applied to any past or current fight, the same way that photos are colorized in a standard way.
    Judges that disagree with the stats too often should be removed. Judges should have to qualify to be judges by agreeing with the algorithm, the majority opinion of the top 25 journalists/experts.
    Maybe even make 5% of the score would come from the average of the top 25 journalists or experts, or keep the number of athletic commission judges to 3, and weight the top 25 journalists/experts to function as the weight of 2 judges.

  • @damien2359
    @damien2359 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

    please do 308! awesome concept

    • @thecombatchronicler
      @thecombatchronicler  3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Thank you! 308 video coming this weekend 👊

  • @MatheusB.SdeFreitas-sn3pj
    @MatheusB.SdeFreitas-sn3pj 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

    You have to Count Pereira +10 of Left hook end +2 of his Shamanic Magic, But give Khalil +5 for being a Great fighter .

    • @thecombatchronicler
      @thecombatchronicler  3 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      True, should have definitely accounted for the Shamanic magic hahaha

    • @H0SEb
      @H0SEb 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Yes but also -5 for Khalil because he’s in a cult

    • @thecombatchronicler
      @thecombatchronicler  3 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      ​@@H0SEb Level 100 Choicecentre members get minus 5 points, level 200 get minus 10

  • @robsondeoliveiradeoliveira6811
    @robsondeoliveiradeoliveira6811 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Poatan, The best of The best.

    • @thecombatchronicler
      @thecombatchronicler  3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      He is definitely on on of the best runs the sport has ever seen

    • @double383
      @double383 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      zip it up when your done

  • @daniloalves1139
    @daniloalves1139 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    I put this match on paper and Smith won tbh

  • @williams4434
    @williams4434 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    If you want to predict UFC fights with numbers , Gematria is the tool to use, I've won my last 4 bets including Joshua v Dubois , Merab v O'Malley, Moicano v St Denis, learn to use Gematria & it opens many doors.

    • @thecombatchronicler
      @thecombatchronicler  3 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      Be careful with your money my friend. There are many people out there claiming their numerology formulas can predict sports. It's not true and is extremely predatory.

  • @jhuyouknowwho9020
    @jhuyouknowwho9020 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

    wtf is this lmao.
    Math does not = fights
    There are fight “odds”
    But
    Brother it’s quite simple
    Pe-RE-ira! By KO
    How does everyone get his name wrong first of all
    He said it himself
    It’s not Pe-Hei-ra
    And it certainly is not pe-ER-a
    Khalil is a decent fighter
    But he is perfect for pereira to KO
    He’s gonna stand and bang
    He doesn’t use straight punches so will be very hard for him to get inside to the likes of pereira
    Yes Khalil has decent Muay Thai
    Decent body kicks
    However he barely moves and tries to stand in the pocket
    But this is what we look at
    It’s orthodox vs south paw
    the leg kicks and body kicks are open for both
    However pereira with his size and length
    Leg kicks
    Straight Power punches
    Head movement
    And exp at the highest level of kickboxing
    The only way Khalil has a chance is a punchers chance as much as I like him

    • @bing1205
      @bing1205 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      this is the most by the numbes breakdown a 3 year old could see this lmao. I'd rather take the mMa math at this point lmao 🤣

    • @jhuyouknowwho9020
      @jhuyouknowwho9020 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@bing1205 put your money where your mouth is then
      Are you just a MMA fan ?
      Kickboxing and Muay Thai is a completely diff game
      And that’s all this fight would most likely be

    • @thecombatchronicler
      @thecombatchronicler  3 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      My Aussie accent would never allow me pronounce "ER" like that. Thanks for watching 👊

    • @nicklasbrady6419
      @nicklasbrady6419 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Math is in everything❤

  • @phill......718
    @phill......718 4 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Wrong mathematical concept😂

    • @thecombatchronicler
      @thecombatchronicler  4 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      I used a calculator 🥲

    • @phill......718
      @phill......718 4 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@thecombatchronicler I use A.I😁

  • @Admin-s4w
    @Admin-s4w 4 หลายเดือนก่อน