A Once In a Lifetime Financial Event is Here.
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A cart that cost $125 4 years ago costs $450 today. I'd say that food inflation indicator is joking 😅
"More money is lost waiting for a correction than made during a correction" - I followed some bearish views here thinking I can outsmart the market since late 2022 to beginning of 2023 but then I pulled the trigger on the buy button when it seems like the market is pushing higher. I am very impressed ever since. Goes to show you that no one can predict the stock market and YOU NEED TO DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH!! Even professional money managers got fired for making the wrong calls. People can call for a crash everyday (just like the boy who cried wolf) and one day you'll be right. If I hadn't pressed buy, I would've missed on over 40％ of gains just to collect 5% holding cash!
Food inflation seems the same to me. I visit the supermarket weekly and have a good memory of where prices were before Covid. They have gone up 2x to 4x. How is that food inflation chart calculated?
your local food prices are the same as in the aggregate
Compared to the 2022 inflation peak they have. I wouldn't really count on prices dropping to pre-covid levels from 5+ years ago though.
Inflation going down doesn't mean prices going down, it means prices are rising slower
Inflation is not when prices rise, but rather how quickly they rise. Once the product is more expensive, the price does not tend to fall.
Food prices are called sticky inflation. The last one to come down. Already housing and autos are dropping in price about 15% to 20%.. LEI has shown that the recession began in August, 2023.
Doesn't help the millions without pay raises. Prices have not retreated and remain going up at a slower rate, its still inflation. Paychecks TALK and FED is not listening to the 60 million people they HURT.
They have no other choice. Either it’s a slow death or a snap death. They’d rather the former, even though the risk is a bigger pitfall as debt and inflation continue to mount. But they are desperately trying to put off the crunch happening on their shoulders. They’re fighting a slow flood with a dish sponge.
Fed works for the rich people😂
lol citing Larry Summers as a credible source on the economy ain't great, but good analysis nonetheless!
No issues but you said pick up "cheap" stocks in April. Those that are cheap have continued to decline. Those that went from Stupid expensive to crazy expensive have simply gone back to Stupid expensive.
I agree the equal weight index will go back to more equilibrium but with high valuations and earnings coming it is more likely you get it coming down the other way if any cracks appear in AI story.
The one thing people fail to take into account in these optimistic pitches is that the people behind the moves are very reluctant to let it happen and so the actually timing of WHEN is difficult to pinpoint with so many variables. It’s a matter of when, not if, for sure… but therein also lies the difficulty in making a crystal ball prediction.
Not disagreeing with the general info but when comparing now with the 70s inflation issues isn’t it important to also note that the fed learned from that, implemented new policies and is specifically referencing that event when making decisions now? For instance that being a key reason they haven’t lowered interest rates because they don’t want a repeat of what happened back then. So while things look similar, I wonder (this is a question) how similar things will turn out in the end
not really similar, these is more closely related to post ww2 inflation than 70's inflation
The Fed only controls the very short end interest rates, the bond market controls the rest. Japan and others are dumping treasuries for dollars to hold up their own currently, and that is driving rates higher.
Face value on 20 years move the most when fed rates move… i don’t see your point but cool!
I might be being too conservative, but most of my money is just in a high yield savings at this point. Everything is too volatile right now.
Food inflation has not gone down since 2021. My grocery bills are the same since covid!!!
Recessions are an unavoidable part of the economic cycle; all you can do is prepare for them and plan accordingly. I graduated into a slump (2009). My first job after graduating from college was as an aerial acrobat on cruise ships. Today, I work as a VP for a global corporation, own three rental properties, invest in stocks and businesses, run my own company, and have increased my net worth by $500k in the last four years.
The frequent uploads with differing sets of data show how adaptable one must become to have a good grasp on the markets.
People must concentrate on broadening their sources of income independently of government assistance given the ongoing global economic crisis. Investigating choices like equities, gold, silver, and digital currencies is part of this. Even with the economic downturn, this is a good time to consider these investing options.
We need to be talking about #bitcoin
Dankeschön Kumpel 😃👊
I have a feeling this upcoming earnings season is going to seal the fact that the market is topping out now - sure, if the tech stocks start their buyback programmes again after the blackout window, then that will have an effect, but last earnings season was a mixed bag with a large amount of companies already providing weak forward guidance - and that was them sugar coating it - the reality is that the US consumer is rapidly falling off a cliff and the rest of the world is ahead of the US consumer - if it weren't for US government spending and the AI tech stocks doing business with other major tech companies, the economy and GDP would already be falling off a cliff
Assets hold onto value during periods of high inflation, but they become very volatile
Given the persisting global economic crisis, it's essential for individuals to focus on diversifying their income streams independent of governmental reliance. This involves exploring options such as stocks, gold, silver, and digital currencies. Despite the adversity in the economy, now is an opportune moment to contemplate these investment avenues
This week Powell testified in the House & Senate. He said things are getting slowly better. The June inflation was below forecast and Employment was higher. If you can't succeed in this economy...............
SHE'S GONNA BLOW!
If you look at the Shiller PE and the market capitalization to GDP, they are at very , very high levels. Think being in a plane at 39,000 ft., and the plane has never gone higher than 44,000 ft.. Is it a good bet to try to get the last few thousand ft., or do you buy 2 yr. US Treasuries and be happy with 4.5% (or thereabouts). I am reducing risk to a minimum even though I expect the markets to go up for a "suckers peak".
If goes 25 % up now a -25% won't be terrible
100$*25%=125$
125$*-25%=93.75$
Overall a 6.25% drop
I’m not expert but I don’t like investing and losing money. Unless your horizon time is 30 years then go ahead but why invest at 100$ if it will eventually be cheaper?
inflation low still leaves the prices inflated as they are. people having trouble to consume with this prices weigh on the economy
It's here again! XDDDD lmao
The yield curve is starting to uninvert. Once it passes the zero line and stays above for a few month or more, this could mean a strong recession may follow suit a year or two afterwards.
Where are these numbers coming from? Yes WTI was down from April to June after being up big since January and now in the last month it’s up again. So in the last 6 months WTI is up.
Nope, m2 has not increased like during the 70s.
Yep, the M2 metric is very telling
I don't know about government spending, but I do know about climate change and empty resources causing price spikes and will continue to do more so the coming decades.
Inflation is higher than ever/prices has soared 20-100% depending on sector since 2020 here in Europe, and they are not coming down.
The current market has baffled many experts. Something very strange must be goin on.
A video showing your workflow making these videos would be awesome 🎉
Problem is, a good majority of US middle class don’t save anymore, they spend every check or live a life that makes them use every dime…
you should talk about what stocks to invest a short in
I heard several individuals at Salt Shack saying that the market is ripe, so I'm thinking about investing some money in stocks. Is it a good time to buy stock? I have almost $545K in equity from the sale of my property, but I'm unsure what to do with it. Should I buy shares now or wait for a better opportunity?
If Kodak stock price is a beautiful mistake, how should we think about Kodak stock's return in value? Personal opinions, not investment advice😂
GROY TMC and AG 🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀
Opportunity of a lifetime yeah? Economic downturns happen roughly every 10 years… buy the dip. (At least the average retail investor should probably do it this way)
I really need to pull up a chart of the Transports. I don't think they are doing really well. for example UPS going down not up. And if you belive DOW theory transports going down shows a recession is very near.
Market only goes up
Amazon er going to be terrible… probably aapl too. Maybe not the actual er but guidance
Inflation will likely come in at 0% again this month lol
Food inflation at 2%....where? Absolute BS where I live....
Larry said inflation would only come down with unemployment at 10% he's a bozo
But but but, muh modern monetary theory?!?! Debt doesnt matter?!?!?!
When you talk about gas, food, housing, etc. that isnt inflation. Thats supply and demand. CPI can be influenced by inflation, but only the federal reserve responding to government spending causes inflation. Printing more money is the sole cause of inflation. inflation can influence CPI, but it isnt inflation in of itself. So everything else is just market supply and demand.
Omg the financial literacy of the chat….
Lowering inflation not = lower prices.
Prices are programmed to go forever up, inflation is the measure of the rate of the increase.
Example.
2021 rice price = $10
2021 rice price = $11. Inflation was 10%
2022 rice price = $13.2. Inflation was 20%.
2023 rice price = $13.5. Inflation dropped to 2%. But rice price still increased. Up only.
Peter Peter Peter - you ARE LONG!
I know nothing about trading /investment and l'm keen on getting started. What are some strategies to get started with?
Starting? Always dollar cost averaging to start, most people cannot time the market which is why most people don’t see 30% returns annually. Always best to just DCA until you have a better grasp on the market and feel like you might want to actually get into trades.
Read books. For basic advice rich dad poor dad. Dont try to trade unless youre very deep into analysis or you will lose money. Just ride the waves and dont panic
This is the content I didn't know I needed. Instant mood booster!
A slowdown??May be¡¡¡
AAPL = $227.82
Shipping rates already rise again!
Walmart by me switched to electronic price tags since prices increase so fast and often they had too much labor adjusting prices
That has nothing to do with inflation and everything to do with automation. Those tags have been replacing stickers since 2020.
blowoff top.
I'm new to trading, and I've lost a good sum trying out strategies I found in online tutorials. I would sincerely appreciate any recommendations you have.
Cola is $2.50 everywhere if not more candy bar is $2 bag of chips $2.50 what are you talking about inflation coming down gas has been elevated over $3 a gallon for over 3 years come on
Seems like people forgot that July tends to be one of the best months for equities....after this month, we may be running on fumes into October correction. Perfect time to buy for an end of year rally into 2025 Trump presidency.
Party
I've been following your videos for months now and have made outstanding progress with my investments. Truly, the S&P 500 is a self-correcting portfolio. By adhering to these principles, I've been able to grow my portfolio to $380k.
Inflation won't ever stop from now on ! Hyperinflation is guaranteed. Its here too!
third
First!!!!
Fürst 😁👍
What is the best way to make money from crypto investment as crypto is turning around massively.?❤
Your explanation is clear and practical. Nevertheless, the market can undergo manipulation in various ways. While I initially grasped trading crypto assets, my technical analysis skills were a limiting factor. This changed when I came across Layan Talia Chokr strategy. Day trading deserves increased attention, given its resilience to the market's unpredictable nature.
First
Also first!
third.
Not first...
Game of Trades....
Did you really call 2% inflation acceptable.
Do you honestly feel people losing their purchasing power by 2% a year is an acceptable thing?
Their devaluation of the currency by inflation of the currency supply is crippling everyday hard working people!
Inflation isn't just from increasing the US dollar supply, it is also relevant to how much money people in the US make versus how much it costs to make that money. Things like this are affected by the rest of the world and what their economy is doing. You don't want deflation either.
Yes. Because if it's zero, nobody does anything with their idle money. And if it's negative, well then you have a LOT of problems. This is like macroeconomics 101.
Given the persisting global economic crisis, it's essential for individuals to focus on diversifying their income streams independent of governmental reliance. This involves exploring options such as stocks, gold, silver, and digital currencies. Despite the adversity in the economy, now is an opportune moment to contemplate these investment avenues