to nobody and it's just both of you on the boat and he doesn't even have a camera setup but is just calmly lecturing towards the general right as if someone is there
This is the guy who I want sitting next to me on a bus or airplane. Would probably be one of the more fascinating conversations that I have had in all my travels.
He's on a sound stage, with a green screen and a fan. As they were going "under" the waterfall, his effects guy forgot to use a spray bottle to wet Peter and the camera. The lighting and wind is pretty good though. They could also benefit from using a foley artist to add some background noise. Also, where is his lavalier microphone? They're probably using a shotgun mic, off-camera. So the audio is too good to be 100% convincing - they have the wind machine on Peter and not on the mic. It's the details that give it away.
@@rogerodle8750 "One Ring to rule them all, One Ring to find them, One Ring to bring them all and in the darkness bind them." I guess you are trying to turn Peter into Sauron.
Yeah, his effects guy is pretty good. It's getting hard to tell when Peter is actually outside and when he's shooting on-set. It's smart of Peter to disguise his true day-to-day location.
An interesting speech as always. Also, I will be interested to see how the New Zealand Tourist Board responds to what has to be seen as a great series of ads for them.
I'll bet the New Zealanders are just hoping they don't get millions of wanna be migrants from all the Countries Zeihan just mentioned. The place certainly doesn't look like it's running out of Food and Water in a hurry...
You are spot on regarding the Mid-east natives doing NO work. I was there with an American oil company some time back in Kuwait, and never saw one of the locals lift a finger to do a thing.
I have tried to tell people this, but they somehow think the Saudis are oil production gods, because of Saudi Aramco, all this talk about the refinery they are gonna build in Yuan. I literally laughed out loud, they are gonna have to pay western companies, and they don’t take Yuan.
This means that the indigenous population has zero skills and experience. When the fossil fuel gravy train comes to a stop then there is nothing to fall back on. Saudi Arabia is installing solar farms and may invest massively into the future but its main markets have very unstable countries in the way and at least one bad actor (Russia) who would want Saudi Arabia to fail as a green super energy supplier.
I have friends who do consulting work in the Mid-East (engineering works) and they say the same thing. They have to import all their expertise because they have very little of their own, and a lot of their population is lazy and incompetent. They do hire some locals but often basically as bribes i.e. my friend had to hire a few "cousins" of the local business they were doing the work for, but all they did was sit around all day doing nothing (if they even bothered to show up) and showed no interest in doing any work or learning anything
I lived in the Gulf for a decade, and each place has a different demographic. Even within the UAE, the different Emirates have different socioeconomic structures. Abu Dhabi, has the majority of its income from oil, while Dubai is from Business, tourism and the FTZones, as well as real estate, the two are rivals, but Abu Dhabi is far wealthier. Dubai has become the place for wealthy investors to base themselves to avoid taxes, and the majority of it's labor is from India and the Philippines, while it's management comes from the US, UK, EU, Australia, South Africa etc. Even amongst management classes, what country you're from determines your market value and pay. It's like an unwritten apartheid based on nationality. Qatar (pronounce "Khat'ahr'" not 'Gutter', by the Gulf Arabs) makes it's money from Natural Gas, and is basically a decade behind the UAE in development. It's tried to attract investors like Dubai, but not done very well. Bahrain is rather poor compared to it's cousins, and has nowhere near the expat population running the country, unlike the KSA, UAE etc. Aside from being an Islamic Banking Hub, it's basically a holiday destination for Saudis where they can drink alcohol. You'll find Bahrainies driving taxis and working as waiters in restaurants, which you will never find in the UAE or Qatar, where their citizens are all management level. You will find that happening in parts of the KSA, because each province is slightly different, and there are some very poor Saudis and a large wealth disparity. Most UAE locals look down on the Saudis as being rather uncultured. The UAE is far more "European" in the way they perceive themselves, while surprisingly the KSA and Kuwait are more perceived as "Americanized". This sounds odd, but it goes back to the UAE being once a UK Protectorate, and their business structures being more aligned to the EU style. Managing Directors instead of Company Presidents etc. The Saudis like to drive American Cars, while the UAE locals like European Cars. Indians, Pakistanis and Filipinos form the bulk of the labor force in the Gulf. Outside the Gulf, we have the Levant Arabs, the Lebanese, Syrians, Jordanians (even the Egyptians) etc, and they were once seen as the more cultured and well off Arabs, but now the Gulf Arabs see them as poverty ridden places with little political stability, and no longer look up to them. The Levant Arabs in the Gulf, are considered only one step above the Indians.
@@tlevans62 the racism/pecking order happens everywhere. The Spanish-speaking America (and Brazil) is definitely that way. Chileans and Argentinians don't mix. Mexico thinks they're top dog. Paraguay and Bolivia are viewed as the bottom. Etc. Another easy example is the caste system in India. And in China, the Han vs all other ethnic groups.
Thinking your culture/state is better than everyone else is clearly human nature, seeing as it's been happening since there were humans. The best we can do is to at least reduce that tendency to minor rudeness instead of, say, war and slavery.
Fun fact for the Zeihan viewers. Egypt's president actually stayed ten days in Serbia to negotiate a lucrative food agreement. It's absolutely wild to me how Egypt alone used to feed itself, the entire Roman Empire, and its neighbors. Absolutely wild and had plenty leftover. Much love to Egypt though from the states.
1. The population has grown by orders of magnitude since roman times 2. Egypt has switched their food production to profitable cash crops. Try as you may. You won't feed your humongous population with citrus and cotton.
Don’t forget that bread in Egypt has been subsidized by the government since the 1970s , which is coincidental with the population going parabolic ever since…🤔
just hearing how the world works from a slightly different but huge perspective daily is so mind-opening. I'm having so much fun learning and growing through these videos.
@shaunk78 why are you choosing to hear what he has to say if you already understand everything and have other sources? That seems like a waste of your time. But you do you :)
@@rhinoskin7550 slowly letting go. I’m OCD so habits are hard to break, but this guy has it all wrong on China and demographics. China bends to whatever makes them powerful, so they will fix this with immigration if they have to.
Thank You!!!!!! I have been trying to explain economic slaveocracy of Dubai after having worked there, and people just can’t grasp it! Thank you for mentioning this!!!
People who work in the Middle East are aware and maybe should highlight it more to the relevant authorities (In the West maybe), ordinary people who don't work there have no reason to be aware there is a problem as it doesn't affect them, they may have sympathy for them but that won't change a jot!?!
Or people worldwide know how disgusting hypocrisy the west are. Maybe the west should stop lecturing the world when they do x10 time worse things. Written from my Iphone bought in Denmark made by a western firm based in Asia made by a 10 year old with 70 cent salary per day. :)
Yeah, a good reminder for all the Dubai insta-fun. The city might be spectacular, but it does have a dark side most people like to ignore or are ignorant of. Thanks for ringing this bell, Peter.
Agreed. I’m a local guy, born and raised in Abu Dhabi, and I avoid Dubai like the plague. I only visit the city once a year, for work-related matters, and I drive back home within hours.
Dubai is overrated. Not much culture or anything really unique there, mostly just endless shopping malls and boutiques that can be found pretty much in any major city.
Yeah, always been amazed that rather than developing native skills and building a thriving domestic workforce, the oil-rich nations in the Middle East are content to hire everyone from abroad. Very strange, especially when you consider the cultural demographics going on. Thanks Peter.
@@DD-y1v-g2f It is extremely different than the USA. I don't know if you're a younger person who isn't in school, don't live here, have a warped version of the US in your head, or are just biased against it.
Have to remember that slavery has always been a part of the culture there. If you were wealthy, slaves did everything for you. These days their slaves/ low wage workers, come from poor places like India.
Their population are very limited to begin with, outside labor is inevitable, and when you can hire other to work, its only natural the native work as management level. The only problem is what they do to those worker are very uncool.
@@zee9709 There is also the religious element that in Islam, Muhammad is the moral exemplar for all Muhammadans for all time. He was a desert brigand and caravan raider. As such, skilled labor is viewed as 'beneath them' by the indigenous population. Likewise, the Quran is the only book needed for anything. If it is in concurrence with the Quran, it is redundant and to be destroyed. If it is contrary to the Quran, it is blasphemous and should be destroyed. And if it bears no relation to the Quran, it is irrelevant and *drumroll* should be destroyed. This does not bode well for any kind of technical development.
Great views of Bowen Falls, Stirling Falls, Harrisons Cove, and over the left shoulder at Lake Te Anau, the Dome Islands, with the Murchisons Mts behind, where the Takahe was first found. Great to have your appreciation Peter, I started work there in 1963..........
As a fan of your channel from Libya I find the inaptitude of our leaders and their utter ignorance of the dangerous situation we're in to be terrifyingly terrible. The situation is still salvageable but all I can do is pray that God helps us.
Even air traffic controllers in a lot of Gulf countries are imported labor. They are decently well paid unlike their manual labor counterparts, and largely from the UK, but they are brought in to do the work. Many of the pilots for the various national airlines are foreigners as well (many westerners). Same with healthcare workers like nurses. Qatar has something like 1.2 million people in it but only about 200K are actually Qatari, all the rest are the imported workers and laborers that make the country run.
Keep living in the past, a lot of mid-level good paying jobs are being nationalized, so the day when air controllers and pilots are all natives is coming. The area that these countries will struggle the most is executive level and manual labor and some rare skills.
Wow for whatever reason it looks like you’re on a green screen the way you’re lit somehow! Cool! Thanks for keeping us updated even while you were on vacation. Beautiful spot!
@@davidmihal6279 no, videos on Israel are just hater troll magnets. Economics Explained (I think, it was the middle of the night for me) just released an Israel video. Just a maggot party in the comments.
Thank you Peter. You are able to describe in few words, the world we live in. It took me a few seconds to figure out "Gutter" meant Qatar. Thanks again!
Hey Peter! While you’re here it would be great to hear a case study on New Zealand. I’d be interested to hear your take on the common theory of NZ being the place-to-be after a major global collapse.
We’ve seen what happens when Nee Zealand is under external pressure with COVID. If you are not a native Kiwi how do you think they are going to treat you in a crisis ? Not well is the answer. So, it will be a good place to be if you know how to live in a post industrial world and you are a native. Otherwise? Nope.
@@stephenlight647 The place to be means, in this case, that this is where you were went shit hits the fan I would think. Not the place to flee too. Nowhere will people likely be welcome when they move en' masse. We already know how welcoming the preppers in the US will be to the refugees from the cities...
Totally cool backdrop. Egypt for the reasons you stated PLUS the border crisis with Gaza and the disruption of income from the Suez canal makes that place a powder keg. Stand by.
@samuellanghus1455 The lighting and shadows are pretty good, but there is a chromatic mismatch between Peter and his backgrounds sometimes. This isn't a 100% giveaway though, since pre- and post-processing software will do this too. The dead giveaway is the environmentals. There should be water condensation on Peter and the camera as they pass by the waterfall. That segment was not real, 100%.
@@SuperCulverin I didn’t even think of that! Good point! But is there no cinematography-inspired solution? I’m surprised that the film industry never came up with a technique or two to avoid condensation before green screens were big. Dang. My immersion though!
I live here and the reality is that all these places can be visited quite easily because there is so much diversity in such a small area. You can have blistering hot weather in central otago and drive 4 hours to Milford sound were it has a huge rainfall apart from that we have a fairly mild climate... 😊 Great place to visit.
Saudi Arabia is growing alfalfa in drought stricken Arizona using unregulated amounts of ground water Arizona no longer has. New rules regarding Colorado River usage mean either SA loses its alfalfa farms, or Arizona house builders lose the ability to build houses. My money is on the house builders to win this fight.
This information came to me from an Pakistani working in the UAE recruiting nationals for construction work. Country bumpkins from the rural areas were lured with (for them high salaries) only to arrive with nothing and be treated like cattle for 6 months. Some companies would even cut "living costs" from their salary ( housing, food, and tap water) basically pocketing back a huge portion of their wages and delivering next to nothing. Some of them would straight up die of dehydration or heat stroke and nobody would bat an eye. In the UAE the laws often don't matter as they are only selectively enforced and usually bypassed by the blessing of the local leadership. But this information may also be quite old from 2004 to 2009. Things hopefully have changed by now and the oligarchs hopefully made some reforms
I was on the Dubai monorail in 2021 and came across a small compound alongside a major road that would look impoverished even by Indian standards. I don't think things have improved by much, but certainly the UAE is a touch ahead of the Qataris when it comes to the treatment of migrants.
While you’re in New Zealand you should do a video on their future, they are a massive trading partner with China whilst being closely aligned to the west. Would love to hear what you think the future hold for NZ.
Look at Zeihan's "Dairy West" presentation... he pulls no punches about NZ being an existential threat to the profit margins of every other Dairy producer worldwide. So it's a little like what happened when China, in a fit of pique, blocked Australian coal. The Aussies just shrugged and sold their coal elsewhere, whereupon the Chinese lost face (were obliged to climb down and permit imports again). In short, NZ sells what the rest of the world wants to buy, and transport costs might be marginally increased but the loss of China markets would not cripple their economy, long term.
I don't think anyone who's been on the bad side of Middle East activity is going to shed a tear to see them collapse into famine and chaos; the more I hear Zeihan's presentations, the more I see awful countries run by tyrannical despots seeing the chickens come home to roost, and they're bringing the whirlwind with them.
While you may lie it if a brutal dictatorship collapses remember the millions of oppressed people who will suffer even worse when it happens. Also remember that millions will flee as refugees to the place they think is safest. Syrians fled to Europe in the millions, as did Libyans and Sudanese amount others. El Salvadorans fleeing to the US. Even Australia had refugees from as far away as Iraq trying to enter.
@@maxpower3990 Those migrations are largely the fault of globalist powers who see the declining birthrates of the developing world as a problem they think they can solve by importing foreigners; a fool's gambit that they've yet to realize has been blowing up in their faces for now close to a decade. They'd be much better served by promoting natalist policy, but most of them are fairly anti-life, if you look at the end results. Without the WEF types, they'd barely get outside their borders. Also, not for nothing, but most of the Middle East as we know it is a fiction borne of the necessities of the early to mid 20th century; a fiction that took inter-sectarian relationships as a last consideration. Chaos is the inevitable result of a people being up-jumped well beyond their ability and beyond their cultural constraints. Without Western influence, they'd fall back to the Bedouin tribes they were a century ago.
Worked a year in Kuwait. I would not say that it was truly slave labor as the Indians and many others could leave easily on scheduled leave or leave at will in a much more difficult fashion - losing much time & money. May not be slave labor, but it is 100% inhumane and the Middle East is easily, IMO, the worst place on the planet. Most people are good, but some cultures are REALLY bad.
I spent ten years in Saudi Arabia. If for some reason the Filipinos had to leave the country, Saudi Arabia would have to totally shut down. They do everything done in the country, but medical care and prayers.
Another awesome insight on Demographics! Can you do one for Singapore? I'm from Singapore and our TFR has fallen to an all time low. Wanted your input if there's anything the gov could do to "reverse" the declining birth rate? Thanks in advance!
Supporting families who have children is the best way to reverse declining birth rates, it's not rocket science, and immigration from India and Pakistan instead of to Europe!?!
Zeihan's not been very kind to highly globalised places such as Singapore because they cannot exist on their own, and as such are highly reliant on the Americans keeping the lanes open for all. Otherwise, you'll have the Indians blocking the strait from one end, and the Chinese from the other. As for potential solutions to the TFR issue, my only guess is that Zeihan would suggest a set-up similar to the US-Mexico one, wherein Singapore encourages more Malays to migrate and makes it easier for them to obtain PR and citizenship, and then watch the TFR go brrrrrrrr...
@@RK-bx1by : The Americans only need to keep the strait (presumably of Malacca) open for themselves (and their allies). In practice that means they won't permit combat operations by any rival power. Since Singapore is already a working port for the US Navy, and they have begun reactivating the US First fleet, any attempt by China or India to 'close' the strait would run into not only the USN but also the potent local forces of Malaysia, Singapore, Indonesia, and Australia. Can't see it happening, especially given the realistic combat range of both the Chinese and Indian fleets.
Peter describes the world from a perspective of "human physics". He doesn't overcomplicate like a diamond cutter but he does operate on thought frequencies vacated by the corporate media. He's like a mechanic with so many specialty tools he can teardown to the truth and tell us what that mysterious "noise" is. There are political vectors in his summaries and I sometimes worry who his masters are. He describes human events by describing force vectors of history and Maslow's psychology of economy but he always avoids issues of societal power distribution and equity. I don't know if this is for avoiding "societal noise" or hiding a more sinister agenda. I mention this because the forces of the future he divines are the most consequential. What I appreciate the most is how stupid "our" top politicians are as they are incapable of "Zeihanistic thought". Peter provides measuring capabilities of social integrity our politicians are ignorant of and so we clearly see D.C is a puppet stage and not a center of human cognitive skill capable of running a nation. But then he provides a comparison of "our" fools vs. "their" fools which suggests the next chess moves of the world's actors. Thank you Peter.
imagine you're on a boat tour in new zealand and there is a guy on the bow talking about the demographic situation in the middle east
to nobody and it's just both of you on the boat and he doesn't even have a camera setup but is just calmly lecturing towards the general right as if someone is there
demographic situation in the middle east/Armageddon
what away to start a day
Just another crazy American ;-)
This is the guy who I want sitting next to me on a bus or airplane. Would probably be one of the more fascinating conversations that I have had in all my travels.
He's on a sound stage, with a green screen and a fan.
As they were going "under" the waterfall, his effects guy forgot to use a spray bottle to wet Peter and the camera.
The lighting and wind is pretty good though. They could also benefit from using a foley artist to add some background noise.
Also, where is his lavalier microphone? They're probably using a shotgun mic, off-camera. So the audio is too good to be 100% convincing - they have the wind machine on Peter and not on the mic.
It's the details that give it away.
Peter is becoming a serious competitor to Lord of the Rings franchise as the primary promotor for New Zealand's tourism industry.
One Zeihan to rule them all...
Every little bit counts. 100% Pure NZ (don't test that by drinking the water).
Stephen Colbert did pretty well too.
@@rogerodle8750 "One Ring to rule them all, One Ring to find them, One Ring to bring them all and in the darkness bind them." I guess you are trying to turn Peter into Sauron.
Israel is the biggest demographic problem in the muddle east
This is a nature show masquerading as a geopolitical channel. Keep it going Peter. You are the modern David Attenborough.
For cleaner transitions, should just crop the, "And we're back" portions.
MORE like MALTHUS
Yeah, his effects guy is pretty good. It's getting hard to tell when Peter is actually outside and when he's shooting on-set.
It's smart of Peter to disguise his true day-to-day location.
David Attenborough is a modern David Attleborough too
Shame Attenborough is one of those who thinks there's too many people on the planet. He needs to hear some PZ.
An interesting speech as always. Also, I will be interested to see how the New Zealand Tourist Board responds to what has to be seen as a great series of ads for them.
@Chris Kavanagh agreed, so many beautiful types of landscapes in such a small country.
They get 5,000,000 visitors a year already I doubt these videos will change that much
I'll bet the New Zealanders are just hoping they don't get millions of wanna be migrants from all the Countries Zeihan just mentioned. The place certainly doesn't look like it's running out of Food and Water in a hurry...
I think he was at home in his studio with computer screens of various places in New Zealand .
Everybody wants to visit New Zealand. All you need is a powerful passport and money
You are spot on regarding the Mid-east natives doing NO work. I was there with an American oil company some time back in Kuwait, and never saw one of the locals lift a finger to do a thing.
Ah, Heaven! :)
I have tried to tell people this, but they somehow think the Saudis are oil production gods, because of Saudi Aramco, all this talk about the refinery they are gonna build in Yuan. I literally laughed out loud, they are gonna have to pay western companies, and they don’t take Yuan.
Somehow, it all seems decadent and ripe for exploitation and violence
This means that the indigenous population has zero skills and experience. When the fossil fuel gravy train comes to a stop then there is nothing to fall back on. Saudi Arabia is installing solar farms and may invest massively into the future but its main markets have very unstable countries in the way and at least one bad actor (Russia) who would want Saudi Arabia to fail as a green super energy supplier.
I have friends who do consulting work in the Mid-East (engineering works) and they say the same thing. They have to import all their expertise because they have very little of their own, and a lot of their population is lazy and incompetent. They do hire some locals but often basically as bribes i.e. my friend had to hire a few "cousins" of the local business they were doing the work for, but all they did was sit around all day doing nothing (if they even bothered to show up) and showed no interest in doing any work or learning anything
Fun fact: the waterfall at 1:25 is the one that Wolverine jumps of as he's escaping the dam in X-Men Origins.
Thank you for reminding me that movie exists.
I lived in the Gulf for a decade, and each place has a different demographic. Even within the UAE, the different Emirates have different socioeconomic structures. Abu Dhabi, has the majority of its income from oil, while Dubai is from Business, tourism and the FTZones, as well as real estate, the two are rivals, but Abu Dhabi is far wealthier. Dubai has become the place for wealthy investors to base themselves to avoid taxes, and the majority of it's labor is from India and the Philippines, while it's management comes from the US, UK, EU, Australia, South Africa etc. Even amongst management classes, what country you're from determines your market value and pay. It's like an unwritten apartheid based on nationality. Qatar (pronounce "Khat'ahr'" not 'Gutter', by the Gulf Arabs) makes it's money from Natural Gas, and is basically a decade behind the UAE in development. It's tried to attract investors like Dubai, but not done very well. Bahrain is rather poor compared to it's cousins, and has nowhere near the expat population running the country, unlike the KSA, UAE etc. Aside from being an Islamic Banking Hub, it's basically a holiday destination for Saudis where they can drink alcohol. You'll find Bahrainies driving taxis and working as waiters in restaurants, which you will never find in the UAE or Qatar, where their citizens are all management level. You will find that happening in parts of the KSA, because each province is slightly different, and there are some very poor Saudis and a large wealth disparity. Most UAE locals look down on the Saudis as being rather uncultured. The UAE is far more "European" in the way they perceive themselves, while surprisingly the KSA and Kuwait are more perceived as "Americanized". This sounds odd, but it goes back to the UAE being once a UK Protectorate, and their business structures being more aligned to the EU style. Managing Directors instead of Company Presidents etc. The Saudis like to drive American Cars, while the UAE locals like European Cars. Indians, Pakistanis and Filipinos form the bulk of the labor force in the Gulf. Outside the Gulf, we have the Levant Arabs, the Lebanese, Syrians, Jordanians (even the Egyptians) etc, and they were once seen as the more cultured and well off Arabs, but now the Gulf Arabs see them as poverty ridden places with little political stability, and no longer look up to them. The Levant Arabs in the Gulf, are considered only one step above the Indians.
Great analysis. Although in my experience Arabs from all countries tend to look down on eachother for one reason or another 😂
@@wariyoshidirector you're not wrong, same with Asians in SE Asia.
@@tlevans62 the racism/pecking order happens everywhere. The Spanish-speaking America (and Brazil) is definitely that way. Chileans and Argentinians don't mix. Mexico thinks they're top dog. Paraguay and Bolivia are viewed as the bottom. Etc. Another easy example is the caste system in India. And in China, the Han vs all other ethnic groups.
Thinking your culture/state is better than everyone else is clearly human nature, seeing as it's been happening since there were humans. The best we can do is to at least reduce that tendency to minor rudeness instead of, say, war and slavery.
I am curious about Oman. Any insights?
Would love to see Zeihan discuss demographics from the space station.
I'd be very worried if Zeihan leaves the planet.
Fun fact for the Zeihan viewers. Egypt's president actually stayed ten days in Serbia to negotiate a lucrative food agreement. It's absolutely wild to me how Egypt alone used to feed itself, the entire Roman Empire, and its neighbors. Absolutely wild and had plenty leftover. Much love to Egypt though from the states.
1. The population has grown by orders of magnitude since roman times
2. Egypt has switched their food production to profitable cash crops. Try as you may. You won't feed your humongous population with citrus and cotton.
@@cynicalanon8784 USA is switching to biofuels crops, as Americans export less food will change things worldwide.
@@cynicalanon8784 I never really insinuated they could do it now but you do you m8.
Don’t forget that bread in Egypt has been subsidized by the government since the 1970s , which is coincidental with the population going parabolic ever since…🤔
@@cynicalanon8784 that's kinda true everywhere around the world though. Look at global population charts etc
As a former resident of that region, you are spot on 100% accurate!
just hearing how the world works from a slightly different but huge perspective daily is so mind-opening. I'm having so much fun learning and growing through these videos.
This is so interesting. Can't thank you enough for breaking all of this down into layman's terms. Have a good day Peter!
Breaking things down is immoral!!! Not cool bro!! Not cool!!!
I can’t even tolerate the noise from the wind. I’m not talking about his mouth this time.
@@Kenny-yl9pc do explain.
@shaunk78 why are you choosing to hear what he has to say if you already understand everything and have other sources? That seems like a waste of your time. But you do you :)
@@rhinoskin7550 slowly letting go. I’m OCD so habits are hard to break, but this guy has it all wrong on China and demographics. China bends to whatever makes them powerful, so they will fix this with immigration if they have to.
Thank You!!!!!! I have been trying to explain economic slaveocracy of Dubai after having worked there, and people just can’t grasp it! Thank you for mentioning this!!!
People who work in the Middle East are aware and maybe should highlight it more to the relevant authorities (In the West maybe), ordinary people who don't work there have no reason to be aware there is a problem as it doesn't affect them, they may have sympathy for them but that won't change a jot!?!
Or people worldwide know how disgusting hypocrisy the west are. Maybe the west should stop lecturing the world when they do x10 time worse things. Written from my Iphone bought in Denmark made by a western firm based in Asia made by a 10 year old with 70 cent salary per day. :)
Yeah, a good reminder for all the Dubai insta-fun. The city might be spectacular, but it does have a dark side most people like to ignore or are ignorant of. Thanks for ringing this bell, Peter.
All of Dubai and Emirates is going belong to either Iran or Turkey pretty soon. Read his books to find out why.
Agreed. I’m a local guy, born and raised in Abu Dhabi, and I avoid Dubai like the plague. I only visit the city once a year, for work-related matters, and I drive back home within hours.
Dubai is overrated. Not much culture or anything really unique there, mostly just endless shopping malls and boutiques that can be found pretty much in any major city.
Thank you Peter for making very complicated issues seem clear and understandable in Laymans terms. I look forward to every video. Safe travels sir.
Yeah, always been amazed that rather than developing native skills and building a thriving domestic workforce, the oil-rich nations in the Middle East are content to hire everyone from abroad. Very strange, especially when you consider the cultural demographics going on. Thanks Peter.
@@DD-y1v-g2f It is extremely different than the USA. I don't know if you're a younger person who isn't in school, don't live here, have a warped version of the US in your head, or are just biased against it.
Have to remember that slavery has always been a part of the culture there. If you were wealthy, slaves did everything for you. These days their slaves/ low wage workers, come from poor places like India.
Slavery has always been pervasive in Arab cultures.
Their population are very limited to begin with, outside labor is inevitable, and when you can hire other to work, its only natural the native work as management level. The only problem is what they do to those worker are very uncool.
@@zee9709 There is also the religious element that in Islam, Muhammad is the moral exemplar for all Muhammadans for all time. He was a desert brigand and caravan raider. As such, skilled labor is viewed as 'beneath them' by the indigenous population. Likewise, the Quran is the only book needed for anything. If it is in concurrence with the Quran, it is redundant and to be destroyed. If it is contrary to the Quran, it is blasphemous and should be destroyed. And if it bears no relation to the Quran, it is irrelevant and *drumroll* should be destroyed. This does not bode well for any kind of technical development.
He is the most interesting man on the planet and best teacher as well.
Big sociopath vibes with this guy
He doesn't always drink beer, but when he does--
Am loving this Zeihan, Zealand collab
Wow, the last bit. I had not heard that particular term before, but it is very apprepaeu. Thanks for the insight, hi from Texas
*apropos (sigh)
@@DieFlabbergast did misspell it? Probably did
Not even the guy correcting you is correct. Well, maybe in American spelling. But the French spell it "à propos".
INCREDIBLE background and picture quality! Fantastic content, as always!
Thanks for this information Peter. Very informative and important for us to understand. I hope you're having a blast in New Zealand
Always appreciate your analysis - I think the background scenery in this video is probably the best I’ve ever seen
This is the coolest travelblog ever
Peter Zeihan- geopolitical travel influencer
Raising the bar, once again. Best backdrop work ever-
I swear, Peter's green screen is really paying off! Gorgeous global backgrounds, almost like you're really there! Love the vids! 😏
Yeah, it does look good. But he's relying too much on software processing. He needs to add some practical effects to really sell it.
I love middle earth documentaries.
very interesting from an avid follower, from Northland NZ
Great location, brilliant for these videos.
Thanks Peter. And that’s a beautiful place.
Great views of Bowen Falls, Stirling Falls, Harrisons Cove, and over the left shoulder at Lake Te Anau, the Dome Islands, with the Murchisons Mts behind, where the Takahe was first found. Great to have your appreciation Peter, I started work there in 1963..........
Yep.
He's using some choice B-Roll for the green-screen effects.
Forget the video..... those backgrounds are just incredible.
As a fan of your channel from Libya I find the inaptitude of our leaders and their utter ignorance of the dangerous situation we're in to be terrifyingly terrible.
The situation is still salvageable but all I can do is pray that God helps us.
So you will solve nothing. GOD WILL NOT INTERFERE
@@elbaldondecobian7672 Thanks for your helpful input but I already am planning to do SOMETHING about it.
The backdrop in this video is the best so far.
Even air traffic controllers in a lot of Gulf countries are imported labor. They are decently well paid unlike their manual labor counterparts, and largely from the UK, but they are brought in to do the work. Many of the pilots for the various national airlines are foreigners as well (many westerners). Same with healthcare workers like nurses. Qatar has something like 1.2 million people in it but only about 200K are actually Qatari, all the rest are the imported workers and laborers that make the country run.
Keep living in the past, a lot of mid-level good paying jobs are being nationalized, so the day when air controllers and pilots are all natives is coming. The area that these countries will struggle the most is executive level and manual labor and some rare skills.
Didn't hear a word you said because of the background. Beautiful!
The nonchalant cut to the waterfall made me burst out laughing. What's next? Polar lights? Eclipse? Meteor shower?
One of the f the best travel vloggers on TH-cam
Peter was actually the boat guide and talked about geopolitics instead of the scenery for 2 hours straight
Thanks for the extra cool scenery!!
Your vids are a highlight of my day due to your analysis, delivery, and, of course, the scenery. You should have your own show on PBS! 🍻
Wow for whatever reason it looks like you’re on a green screen the way you’re lit somehow! Cool! Thanks for keeping us updated even while you were on vacation. Beautiful spot!
When I saw the video title, I was hoping you'd talk about Israel's demographics too. Future video, maybe?
Israel's probably unique enough to get it's own video. You've got the secular jews, religious jews, arabs, western immigrants, Ethiopians, etc
@@davidmihal6279 no, videos on Israel are just hater troll magnets. Economics Explained (I think, it was the middle of the night for me) just released an Israel video. Just a maggot party in the comments.
@@davidmihal6279 And the Christians.
Oh my … how beautiful this place is! 😮
Thank you Peter. You are able to describe in few words, the world we live in. It took me a few seconds to figure out "Gutter" meant Qatar. Thanks again!
Wonder if it was a play on words!?!
The only scenic Geopolitics channel!
OMG the beauty of the World we live in...
Always the optimist 😊
Hey Peter! While you’re here it would be great to hear a case study on New Zealand.
I’d be interested to hear your take on the common theory of NZ being the place-to-be after a major global collapse.
👏🏻
After a major eartquake?! Or cyclone?!
We’ve seen what happens when Nee Zealand is under external pressure with COVID. If you are not a native Kiwi how do you think they are going to treat you in a crisis ? Not well is the answer. So, it will be a good place to be if you know how to live in a post industrial world and you are a native. Otherwise? Nope.
@@stephenlight647 The place to be means, in this case, that this is where you were went shit hits the fan I would think.
Not the place to flee too.
Nowhere will people likely be welcome when they move en' masse. We already know how welcoming the preppers in the US will be to the refugees from the cities...
@@emceeboogieboots1608 yep, I agree.
Totally cool backdrop. Egypt for the reasons you stated PLUS the border crisis with Gaza and the disruption of income from the Suez canal makes that place a powder keg. Stand by.
We went from "cant hear you cause of the 2000 airplanes taking off simultaneously behind you" to "as tranquil as this waterfall"
This one is green-screened. Not all of them are, but this one is.
It's smart of Peter to hide his day-to-day location.
@@SuperCulverin How could you tell?
@samuellanghus1455
The lighting and shadows are pretty good, but there is a chromatic mismatch between Peter and his backgrounds sometimes. This isn't a 100% giveaway though, since pre- and post-processing software will do this too.
The dead giveaway is the environmentals. There should be water condensation on Peter and the camera as they pass by the waterfall.
That segment was not real, 100%.
@@SuperCulverin I didn’t even think of that! Good point!
But is there no cinematography-inspired solution? I’m surprised that the film industry never came up with a technique or two to avoid condensation before green screens were big.
Dang. My immersion though!
@J J : Yeah. Nonsense of purest kek.
Great video. Looking at awesome scenery and listening to awesome information. Thank you Peter
I would love it if you could gather a list or map of all the places you visited in NZ, the views are simply petrifying
I live here and the reality is that all these places can be visited quite easily because there is so much diversity in such a small area. You can have blistering hot weather in central otago and drive 4 hours to Milford sound were it has a huge rainfall apart from that we have a fairly mild climate... 😊 Great place to visit.
Your prediction is spot on
Please make these into a play list
Here you go: th-cam.com/play/PL6zWQZTGKO4a_V4tD9wdGib4Be_rwWcbJ.html
@@ZeihanonGeopolitics Great work!
Oh man the dynamic background in this one is nice
Who needs a green screen when you have New Zealand standing behind you. 😁
Thank you for the insightful analysis and the absolutely amazing scenery!
This is so surreal. Boat slowly trolling by amazing scenes while talking of deserts, oil and strife. Amazing times we are in people!
He's talking about future famine and hunger from the place which worries about that least. I think it's deliberate.
Wow. Epic spot
That backdrop is insane! A view that beautiful, honestly you should have narrated from behind the camera. But uh yeah, go on. I'm listening.
Zeihan putting the geo in the geopolitical videos
Peter lives it up!
"May all your desires be immediately fulfilled"
Old Persian curse😌
Truly!
Peter: WATCH YOUR BACK!! You are speaking too much reality for many...
Awesome backdrop
Really amazing
WOW 😳
Anything on Myanmar and the ongoing civil war and how it could affect Indo- China trade and relationship?
How bout South Sudan?
Awesome video production. Lighting, camera, sound, background, editing - pretty spectacular work by some bodies? What marvelous Eye candy!
Air traffic controller here, working in Dubai. Thanks for the shoutout.
Great mountain gemographics he chose for background. Classic Peter.
New Zealand is beautiful. I love my country
I must admit I didn’t listen anything to what Peter said but I was admiring the view. Unbelievable beautiful place!
I'm not sure I'm patient enough for 1 or 2 decades. Change needs to Happen and soon.
Thanks for sharing...Ever think about a segment (or two) on communications and their effect globally?..
Everyone takes a shot when Peter says "an order of magnitude" 😉
Amazing background, Peter.
Saudi Arabia is growing alfalfa in drought stricken Arizona using unregulated amounts of ground water Arizona no longer has. New rules regarding Colorado River usage mean either SA loses its alfalfa farms, or Arizona house builders lose the ability to build houses. My money is on the house builders to win this fight.
Brainy bunny, wheres ur channel¿ Callin¿
Stunning. Nice work
Zeihan is secretly a travel influencer. he's using geopolics as a cover to advertise different travel destinations.
excellent video quality.
This information came to me from an Pakistani working in the UAE recruiting nationals for construction work. Country bumpkins from the rural areas were lured with (for them high salaries) only to arrive with nothing and be treated like cattle for 6 months. Some companies would even cut "living costs" from their salary ( housing, food, and tap water) basically pocketing back a huge portion of their wages and delivering next to nothing. Some of them would straight up die of dehydration or heat stroke and nobody would bat an eye. In the UAE the laws often don't matter as they are only selectively enforced and usually bypassed by the blessing of the local leadership. But this information may also be quite old from 2004 to 2009. Things hopefully have changed by now and the oligarchs hopefully made some reforms
I was on the Dubai monorail in 2021 and came across a small compound alongside a major road that would look impoverished even by Indian standards. I don't think things have improved by much, but certainly the UAE is a touch ahead of the Qataris when it comes to the treatment of migrants.
Well at last!🎉 thank you
While you’re in New Zealand you should do a video on their future, they are a massive trading partner with China whilst being closely aligned to the west.
Would love to hear what you think the future hold for NZ.
Look at Zeihan's "Dairy West" presentation... he pulls no punches about NZ being an existential threat to the profit margins of every other Dairy producer worldwide.
So it's a little like what happened when China, in a fit of pique, blocked Australian coal. The Aussies just shrugged and sold their coal elsewhere, whereupon the Chinese lost face (were obliged to climb down and permit imports again).
In short, NZ sells what the rest of the world wants to buy, and transport costs might be marginally increased but the loss of China markets would not cripple their economy, long term.
In his book, NZ appears to be one of the few “geographies of success”, so congrats
Peter Zeihan is the man.
I feel like Peter has been everywhere cool.
Was there audio for this? I was too distracted by the scenery of Milford Sound. 😍
I don't think anyone who's been on the bad side of Middle East activity is going to shed a tear to see them collapse into famine and chaos; the more I hear Zeihan's presentations, the more I see awful countries run by tyrannical despots seeing the chickens come home to roost, and they're bringing the whirlwind with them.
Israelis laughing in Hebrew.
While you may lie it if a brutal dictatorship collapses remember the millions of oppressed people who will suffer even worse when it happens.
Also remember that millions will flee as refugees to the place they think is safest. Syrians fled to Europe in the millions, as did Libyans and Sudanese amount others. El Salvadorans fleeing to the US. Even Australia had refugees from as far away as Iraq trying to enter.
@@maxpower3990 Those migrations are largely the fault of globalist powers who see the declining birthrates of the developing world as a problem they think they can solve by importing foreigners; a fool's gambit that they've yet to realize has been blowing up in their faces for now close to a decade. They'd be much better served by promoting natalist policy, but most of them are fairly anti-life, if you look at the end results.
Without the WEF types, they'd barely get outside their borders.
Also, not for nothing, but most of the Middle East as we know it is a fiction borne of the necessities of the early to mid 20th century; a fiction that took inter-sectarian relationships as a last consideration. Chaos is the inevitable result of a people being up-jumped well beyond their ability and beyond their cultural constraints. Without Western influence, they'd fall back to the Bedouin tribes they were a century ago.
@@maxpower3990most of those countries will close their borders to stop them from coming in
Regardless of your view, a hungry neighbor is dangerous to everyone, especially to those he sees eating while his family starves.
Best backdrop yet! Love seeing your travels
I like how he pronounced Qatar as "Gutter", several times.
Milford Sound must be incredible, because I live in redwood country and that's still impressing me. Come to Trinidad CA, Peter. You'll love it.
Love this. Travel the world and show us beautiful places while speaking at a high level on IPE. Part nature doc part lecture. 😂🎉❤
Not sure if you've upped the production quality on your videos but it looks great
Worked a year in Kuwait. I would not say that it was truly slave labor as the Indians and many others could leave easily on scheduled leave or leave at will in a much more difficult fashion - losing much time & money. May not be slave labor, but it is 100% inhumane and the Middle East is easily, IMO, the worst place on the planet. Most people are good, but some cultures are REALLY bad.
Slavery is allowed in izlam
Coming from an American, very rich. Everything bad in the Middle East is 10 times worse in the west
@@kw6570 hahaha, I thought drugs were illegal in the Middle East (ME). I ain't saying the US is great, but it is WAY better than the ME.
I have to visit New Zealand now!
I spent ten years in Saudi Arabia. If for some reason the Filipinos had to leave the country, Saudi Arabia would have to totally shut down. They do everything done in the country, but medical care and prayers.
This guy is making me visit New Zealand
Another awesome insight on Demographics! Can you do one for Singapore? I'm from Singapore and our TFR has fallen to an all time low. Wanted your input if there's anything the gov could do to "reverse" the declining birth rate? Thanks in advance!
lol
Supporting families who have children is the best way to reverse declining birth rates, it's not rocket science, and immigration from India and Pakistan instead of to Europe!?!
Suspect Zeihan's prescription would be 'grant citizenship to your guest workers'.
Zeihan's not been very kind to highly globalised places such as Singapore because they cannot exist on their own, and as such are highly reliant on the Americans keeping the lanes open for all. Otherwise, you'll have the Indians blocking the strait from one end, and the Chinese from the other.
As for potential solutions to the TFR issue, my only guess is that Zeihan would suggest a set-up similar to the US-Mexico one, wherein Singapore encourages more Malays to migrate and makes it easier for them to obtain PR and citizenship, and then watch the TFR go brrrrrrrr...
@@RK-bx1by : The Americans only need to keep the strait (presumably of Malacca) open for themselves (and their allies). In practice that means they won't permit combat operations by any rival power.
Since Singapore is already a working port for the US Navy, and they have begun reactivating the US First fleet, any attempt by China or India to 'close' the strait would run into not only the USN but also the potent local forces of Malaysia, Singapore, Indonesia, and Australia. Can't see it happening, especially given the realistic combat range of both the Chinese and Indian fleets.
The video started in a pretty incredible location
Yes, one might say it is unbelievable.
Peter describes the world from a perspective of "human physics". He doesn't overcomplicate like a diamond cutter but he does operate on thought frequencies vacated by the corporate media. He's like a mechanic with so many specialty tools he can teardown to the truth and tell us what that mysterious "noise" is. There are political vectors in his summaries and I sometimes worry who his masters are. He describes human events by describing force vectors of history and Maslow's psychology of economy but he always avoids issues of societal power distribution and equity. I don't know if this is for avoiding "societal noise" or hiding a more sinister agenda. I mention this because the forces of the future he divines are the most consequential. What I appreciate the most is how stupid "our" top politicians are as they are incapable of "Zeihanistic thought". Peter provides measuring capabilities of social integrity our politicians are ignorant of and so we clearly see D.C is a puppet stage and not a center of human cognitive skill capable of running a nation. But then he provides a comparison of "our" fools vs. "their" fools which suggests the next chess moves of the world's actors. Thank you Peter.
Equity is the shrill cry of the poor and stupid to be handed that which they did not earn and do not deserve.
Don't miss Golden Bay..... The Northwest corner.... Lived there for 25 years.... A special quiet beauty..... H
as an ameican, i feel a bajillion to the freedomth power more worldly because of Peter Zeihan
Awesome views!😮