Democrats Continue to Dominate in 2024 Senate Elections
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 16 เม.ย. 2024
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Please liberate us from Ted Cruz!
Texas Ted will win!
Right? Who likes him?
Send him packing to Cancun, for good!
@@MWB18nah… you Cruz you lose 💅🏽
Cruz is a joke and a MAGA cult member 😂
I don't think Texas will flip blue but it just shows how uniquely unlikable Ted Cruz is
it might
It's amusing to be voting "Allred" to get a blue Senate seat.
To win in texas state wide you have to be pro gun unless democrats run a tester/manchin I just don’t see the seat flipping.
It's possible though, people there don't like cancruz, and Allred is polling close. We never know.
Also, everything going on with abortion, even deep red states are coming out in swarms with protest votes.
With Trump spending the RNC's money on his legal defense, I don't see the RNC riding to the rescue.
Not like they were raising all that much money in the first place.
Elon and other billionaires are going to help.
@@matthewmark7224are they? Because they haven't so far. So when do you think they plan on kicking in money? I'd say never 😂
@@matthewmark7224 Elon has no liquidity anymore; he'd have to sell off more shares of Tesla, SpaceX, Twitter etc. to raise money for this, further tanking the value of everything that he can cite for the source of his over-inflated wealth. He's not going to do that just to help Trump.
Trump is also requiring down-ballot Republicans to give him 5 per cent of their fundraising if they use his image in their campaigns.
At the same time, those candidates aren't getting any money from the RNC, because all of that is going to Trump's lawyers.
Oh my gosh did you see AZ Republican legislature praying and speaking in tongues on the floor, like on the actual floor before taking women’s rights away to a law back from the 1800’s??!! It was insane! 😳🤯. We have to win or we are going to be living in Christian Iran!
Should be turned into a commercial.
That's actually a really good idea. @@beebuzz959
You people need help all you worry about is killing babies how sad
AZ will def go to the republicans ive looked at the voting registrations now compared to 2020 republicans have gained a massive amount of registered voters compared to 2020 i think this will edge out any blue haired liberals in AZ and on top of that if you didnt know it in 2020 due to covid 80% of the votes were cast as mail in balets i think that furthur helped skue the voter resualts considering the democrats lack of gains in voter registration compared to republicans and the lack of it being voter year like it was in covid...........i predict that republicans will win handily
as a first time voter myself in AZ lets make this state red again .......and also baby kil- abortionis not the end all be all voter issue you think it is!
And then they called us "God haters" for pointing out their insanity.
Please! Do not listen to the polls or the financial disclosures. Anything can happen in 7 months. We must vote in November and help people register.
Winning the white house isn't enough. We need to win both chambers to get much done. *Absolutely vote*!!!
Yes and we have to account for Democrats habit of seizing defeat from the jaws of victory.
We need 100% turnout to account for things that the Republicans always spring on the Democratic party.
Like disenfranchising 90,000 voters right before the election in Florida.
And Democrats deciding they like one Democratic candidate so much that they refused to vote for any other democratic candidate, so they let the Republicans win.
Democrats are like a herd of cats, while Republicans are like a pack of dogs. But that's because they desire freedom.
You got it ! Get a plan to VOTE and VOTE BLUE ! PERIOD !
Friends don't let friends skip voting. 💕💕😁😁
i get the feeling the polls will be the most wrong it has ever been. people dont answer calls from unknown numbers anymore and most polls dont take that into account.
Democratic strength in the senate is remarkable
? They are hanging by a thread and Manchin and Sinema tanked what could have been transformational change
Dems retook Michigan legislature trifecta yesterday.
Will that really have major impacts on the presidential race considering both special elections there took place in democratic strongholds? I don't think so.
Hoping Trump keeps endorsing the most unelectable candidates in every competitive race.
Vote blue 💙
@@jebbiecart1306 A vast majority of which are in deep red states where Republicans will win no matter what.
@@adamwheelerproductions1607they have been nominating good candidates Hogan Hovde brown. rogers is solid. Shehy is ok. Lake and Moreno bad.
Money helps but isn't everything when Dems are facing a tsunami of lies
@@jebbiecart1306 Continue to think that, but you are in for a big disappointment come election day. When you take out the races where the GOP were expected to win regardless of the candidate, then you'll see that Trump's record on endorsements is pretty poor.
He is a bit tied up right now so can't even endorse himself. But count him out anyway, because Nodfather Snoreleone is a snooze operator.
I think the Senate will flip Republican, but I also think the House flips, 😂, the Republicans claim they have a majority in the House 🤔, but do they really. All of the major bills that pass in the House pass with DEMOCRAT votes, the Republicans have about 50 people in their majority that go against the rest of them so actually they don't have a real majority, they haven't passed real bills that can get put into law , so how can anyone say the Republicans have a majority? I think the Democrats are going to win the House and have about 230 House seats, and the Republicans will have about 52 seats in the Senate the the most.
Republicans have the rich to look out for they had everything house senate trump the grifter billionaire did nothing for working people one day you will figure out rich people don’t work for regular people like me and you
I don’t think they’ll get the senate, even Brown and Tester are favored to win, and Rosen and Gallego were never going to lose either. And I think the candidates in MD, NJ and CA are being overhyped; just ask Senators Don Bolduc and Tiffany Smiley.
i think democrats could win texas.
I’m not a MAGA voter in the slightest bit and I don’t see Texas going blue. The dems have not made anywhere near enough gains in the suburbs and urban population centers to counter the bright red rural votes.
That trifecta is all I care about
Yes we need the trifecta to overcome the rigged Supreme Court.
More money beens more ads, more ground game, and helping down ballot turnout. This is a good sign.
Even if Aldred is not likely to beat Cruz, it’s great to see the GOP being forced to spend a ton of cash on a state that in theory should be a shoe-in for them.
The tricky bit is the GOP may not have the money to spend since Trump is plundering it.
Vote in 2024 Let’s Goooo
I know with WV the best case scenario seems to be a 50/50 split. But I can live with that. (Of course ted cruz losing in Texas would be unbelievably sweet)
Not going to happen but we can dream can't we?
The absolute best case scenario would be 52/48 [FL and TX flipping] but yeah the most _realistic best case scenario_ would be 50/50. Just like 2021-2022 but without Sinema and Manchin throwing wrenches in the Dem agenda.
@@derekrequiem4359 honestly even of Manchin had decided to run again I wouldn’t want the democrats to give him any support. The past few years have made it clear that a majority with him was barely worth having.
🙏💙🙏 ready for the sweet and he owes big$ fine$ for FEC violations? 🤔
@@jaohonaxa
Not a fan of Manchin either, but let's be honest he's the best we're gonna get out of WV for at least a generation. If your only options are someone who voats with the left 50 percent of the time vs someone who voats with the left 0 percent of the time, you take what you can get. Another fact that commonly goes unnoticed is that he will voat for almost every judicial nominee the Ds place in front of him. And furthermore, Manchin is a voat for Schumer as majority leader instead of Moscow Mitch.
Texas and Florida are not solid red state in my opinion. Ted Cruz is very unpopular and is facing a strong opponent. Rick Scott is also unpopular and on top of that abortion is on the ballot in Florida. Why LTE doesn't actually investigate what this means for Florida in the general election is foolish in my opinion. So, I wouldn't be saying those two state senate seats are a going to be Republican yet.
Florida is still likely Republican regardless of abortion. At the end of the day, IF abortion is a major factor in Republicans having little gains in 2022 (which you agree is the case otherwise you wouldn't bring it up), then we should have seen it affect Florida in the same way it did other states. It didn't. Both the Governor and Senate races weren't even close despite Val Dummings being touted as a star Democrat recruit who could defeat Rubio. And remember Gerrymandering doesn't affect governor or Senate races, turnout does. Republicans surged in a Swing State that should have flipped according to the metric that "Abortion is killing the GOP." In fact, Republicans won Miami-Dada which shouldn't even be possible as it's a very Blue county. If abortion didn't matter in 2022, why should it matter in 2024? In a state where Trump continues to build a following? Florida is likely to be won by Trump and Scott by lean margins of around 5% at least even if the abortion initiative is on the ballot and gets passed. Abortion clearly doesn't matter to Cuban voters (who decide the elections in Florida) as much as it does to other Latino groups. Otherwise, DeSantis and Rubio should have lost. And Rubio has won every poll so far except one. It ain't flipping unless the GOP does something monstrously stupid to flip the state Blue. So it makes sense not to care.
As for Texas, the border issue is continuing to kill Democrats chances there. Cruz may be unpopular, but he is actively against an open border while Allred is pretty moderate on everything. However, in the end, Allred is likely to cave on one of the issues and turn off Texas voters again. And just like with Rubio, Cruz is winning the polls and so is Trump. Trump's coattails will be enough to pull Cruz over the finish line, especially if the Border issue continues to push South Texas to the right which will off-set urban areas getting bluer again. Texas is getting close, but Democrats really need to start listening to the state and not to the National party if they want to win it.
Monetary donations is a good indicator of where people’s hearts are.
With abortion and weed on the ballot, Rick Scott could be had. Last election he won by .3%.. Ted Cruz too.
Abortion is on the ballot. Trump is toast; and by November will be burnt toast.
He is a self-immolator.
Never under estimate Trump.
Especially in Florida. Yes, Florida did vote solidly red in 2022, but I think DeSantis pretty much 'pissed in the pool' so to speak with his focus on his presidential campaign and the Culture War and pissed off a good chunk of his constituents. Combine that with Abortion being on the ballot this November, and you could potentially see Florida flip the other way by a small margin.
Yes bc the country is over run with pos democrats
Isn’t abortion in 4th place with what Americans are voting for in November? Correction it’s actually lower according to most polls but I gave you the benefit of the doubt.
Trump never said you can murder your future child, That's the states decision
Keep this momentum going!
Blue wave 2024 😎🌊🌊🌊
Yea just like in Florida
Overly optimistic, but I think dems have a good chance
Welcome to reality MAGA. Come on out.... sun shines here and sky is blue 😆
Colin needs to remind everyone that Cruz went to Cancun in 2021 during snowmageddon and rolling blackouts. This election is the first one for Cruz since that 2021 incident.
Every state should be blue! Theyre the only ones who get things done without taking away human rights!
45 only took Florida by 3 points in 2020. It's by no means totally red.
Democrats are taking away the most basic human right. The right to Life.
@@johnbrowneyes7534 I agree with you, but I think he will take Florida again, but I don't think Biden is a favorable candidate there. Please prove me wrong, Florida.
@@MWB18 THEN we have to start considering something else entirely. Why would life only be a human right? Why are you asserting life has value, but only human life? Many things are alive that I have no moral conundrum with ending the life of. Bacteria, fungi, plants, people who have committed crimes against humanity, animals without the capacity for pain or trauma. And in the end, our right to life comes to an end. You don't seem to have thought this supposed "right to life" through.
@@johnbrowneyes75342020 was before gop surpass Dems in registration and currently has 780k over Dems and record double digit wins for Rubio and DeSantis. We were one of the few states that had a redwave during the midterms. Keep in mind Florida is way more red than Texas now😢
Imagine undermining all the institutions and then finding yourself without the benefits those institutions provided... and somehow being surprised by that result
Always happy when I get another video of yours in my feed
If our needs better help only from Democrats, our health care coverage is very important one, our economy is better than before, minimum wage increased, more job opportunities are available now, unemployment rates 3.9 percent now,go forward President Biden, our country is very strong now, God bless America 🇺🇸
Well here is the thing ted Cruz is worried in the gop is worried about Florida also there something going on that is making republicans nervous about these states i think democrats could flip it but is going to hard
I think Florida is more easily able to flip entirely than Texas with Abortion being on the ballot in November. In Texas, I wouldn't be surprised if Trump wins and Cruz loses because of how unpopular Ted Cruz is. Florida could go the same way though because Rick Scott is pretty unpopular as well.
We The People Are The True Patriots Brothers And Sisters 👯♀️ All Across Our Beloved Nation United States Of America 🇺🇸 And We Always Stand Strong In Faith And Truth And Wisdom As A Lion Fearless Amen 🙏
I like your analysis but you really need to do a maryland senate video
What percent of the correlation between money and winning is because the person who typically raises more money is the incumbent? It would be a better analysis if it just looked at pairs of candidates, neither of whom is an incumbent.
Blue all the way , vote blue 💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙
Vote Red, Save America!
@@MWB18 Demolishing the Constitution, as Sleepy Trump promises, is the opposite of "saving America".
This is not a game show.
@@MWB18 vote blue save America 💙💙💙
@@jnagarya519 How is he "Demolishing the Constitution?"
Vote Blue, Save Democracy!
How is Hawley doing vs kunce?
Texas might flip blue also, everyone hates Teddy Cancun Cruze.
Where does the majority of campaign ad spending go these days? Is it still television?
I still think that Missouri, Texas, & Florida are in realistically plausible reach for democrats for a whole host of reasons. I just wouldn't rule out the possibility just yet on the chessboard. Given the GOP's remarkable talent for tripping up on themselves time and again. They've made disastrous mistakes and miscalculations before. And they might do it once more. Hammer them strategically hard enough on reproductive health issues, common sense gun reform, humane immigration policies, climate change, toughness on Russia and China, Social Security, Who care more about your quality of life. The dam will break eventually. Somethings gotta give in due time one way or another. I'll also point out that Cruz, Hawley, & Scott are exceptionally unpopular in their respective homestates. Anything is possible with the heavy gravity down pull of politics.
Is there a combination of dollars spent by the incumbent vs the competitor? How does it contribute to the ultimate outcome.?
Can they actually buy up all the air time? I thought there were rules that require equal time.
Blue wall uniteeee. Let’s gooo
The Democrats will win in a massive landslide! The issues are abortion, guns, and Trump in court! The court case will stop the Christian turnout and women will vote in droves.
its looking like a very real possibility that the democrats only lose to the Senate due to Maryland - a very very blue state - voting for Gov. Hogan. Hogan is up about 6-7% on average in current polling, while Democrats are still up a couple points in Montana and Ohio - quite red states.
You should not be characterising Maryland as a safe D seat in the Senate right now, when its shaping up to vote red by the same margin as Texas in the Senate election, and is being heavily, heavily targeted by the GOP, and has no Democrat incumbent as the current Senator is retiring at this election
Democrats need to push Langfords border deal! Promise to bring it to the floor in their first session if they win the house and senate. That will bring the votes!
It’s possible that there could be a correlation issue with money in elections. Are candidates winning because of money? Or are candidates getting money because they’re popular and running a better campaign?
50 DEMS/50 REPS sounds right. Don't doubt TN or TX. 52 DEMS-48 REPS. Come on Taylor Swift! Please bring the young ones out!
This channel has become Red Eagle for #VoteBlue. Pure, unbridled COPE!
Problem with correlations is they do not establish cause and effect. Is it because of campaign funding the candidate won the popular vote or is it that the more popular candidate is able to raise more money. From a correlation you cannot determine which is the cause and which is the effect. If there is a correlation between coffee drinking and nervousness, it it that coffee drinking causes more nervousness or that more nervous people drink coffee. Without experimentation using a control group, experimental group and double blind, you cannot tell.
Larry Hogan is leading by 15 points in a brand new Maryland poll, yet your title is "Democrats Continue to Dominate in 2024 Senate Elections." Biased much?
Saying 82% of top spending candidates win is a skewed statistic because in a great deal of races these days are essentially safe, there's almost no chance that another party will win and so in those seats the winner will always be the top spender because the other parties spend nothing. A better metric would be looking at only competitive elections or even just plotting the win percentage vs the delta between the top and second place spending and then looking for a regression fit.
Yes, that's what I was thinking as well. It can sometimes also be difficult to determine if support brings money, or if money brings support.
I don’t think the Texas will flip blue JUST YET but the rumblings are there & it’s starting to show signs of it becoming a Purple state
Blue blue blue! Vote blue to save our country. 💙
Am from the Great State of Texas and A true Republican Ted Cruz is not going to win here
1:30 I wonder what the percentage would be if they only included races that are competitive. I mean a dem candidate probably outraced their rep counter because they are running in a solid dem district and snce its a solid dem district, whether the dem spends a lot of money or not, they'll win and vice versa.
Rick Scott is a lock? His name recognition is tied to his desire to cut Social Security and Abortion initiative should boost turnout.
I was thinking the same thing. I want to say, this is a tilt republican but a 1 in 100 chance that he loses. It’s a weird state currently due to abortion and social security on the line.
@@MyLifeAsBrandon Joe won't get it, but down ballot will be interesting. They report fast so I feel like Florida will be the first indication on election night.
Florida is a lost cause for the dems in any statewide race and I'm not a MAGA voter saying this.
May it be so. Some of us who left the GOP (I joined the Democratic party in 2016, but I left the GOP in 1994) believe that they have nothing to offer anymore. Speak to the people? Only if you limit the people to their base. Never again.
You've made one massive omission here: Larry Hogan in Maryland. He ahead by quite a margin in the polls there. If that flips red, the Dems are in trouble in the Senate.
All Joe Biden has to do to win is pull a Willy Wonka. Just snail out across the stage half lobbed over and shit, then do a somersault. Shit would be epic. Either that or learn how to do the moonwalk and make that his entrance. The MAGA Party would lose its mind. Lol.
Jesus Christ that would be hilarious, shit just have an obvious double do it then have him pop up from behind the podium lol
"84% of senate winners outspent their rival". Hmm. Isn't that just a symptom of the American political malaise by which money does not get spent on states where a party has little chance of winning and instead gets spent on swing states? While safe states have vast sums invested by primary candidates who continue to the election itself?
I dont think you have a crystal ball. People seem to be tired of republican circus show
It looks all nice, except if you trust polling, you also have to include Maryland, where Hogan is leading not by a little, but by double digits.
If they elect him as senator, there is precisely zero chance of dems holding the senate.
Might be the biggest own goal in the history of electoral politics.
True. He was a fair-ish governor, but would be bad in the Senate.
I live in MD and I think due to MAGA our ticket splitting days are over and since Trump will also be on the ballot I think the democrat could really win. I believe Dems outnumber republicans 2 to 1. Hopefully our very popular governor will rally behind the dem candidate. I’m sure he will. Maryland might surprise us! It could be Trone or Allsbrook.
@@jenna2431 Hopefully, the people of Maryland comes to their senses.
Legislature kept him in check as governor, there is none of that for the senate, where he will reliably vote against their interests.
Biden won Maryland by 33 pts in 2020.
As popular as Hoagie is, I don't see him outperforming Biden by that much. His best scenario is losing by 10-15 pts.
@@et34t34fdfthat’s true! He tried to roll back our rights when Roe was overturned but they stopped him! Not to the extent of red states but still. 😐. Making it impossible to get an abortion is still a round about way of banning it. He’s very crafty.
Update:a letter was sent by RNC to lower candidates asking them to provide at least 5% of their donations back to RNC and that it would look favorable to their campigns if they split at least 5% back to RNC saying 1. They the RNC needs money and 2. If they dont get their money then your campaign wont be looking good. So the local candidates now have to support RNC?? Used to be other way around!!
You have to not only look at the fundraising of the individual candidates, but the support they are also getting from outside fundraisers and PACs. In a lot of those campaigns you were talking about the Republican PACs and billionaires were supporting Republican candidates. Mitch McConnell was extremely good at raising this cash. His weakening politically because of age and health has loosened the grip on his caucus as well as the money men .
You are wrong about Rick Scott winning, do you understand the abortion initiative will be on the ballot in Florida in November.
I agree Charlie Crist is likely to win in Florida, but I think it's more of a toss-up now - Charlie Crist has multiple statements since winning reelection talking about cutting SS, that is not a winning position in Florida. Second, with both abortion access AND legalized marijuana on the ballot, you could see a real turn-out surge.
i really hope this money is from grassroots organizing, not from corrupt PACs....
When candidates who raised more money wins over 80% of the time, is it really people's vote that matter or it's money that matter?
Florida might swing this year bc abortion. Scott could lose as could Hawley.
Yeah, Texas is up in the air as well with Ted Cruz being a laughing stock.
Florida is a lost cause for the dems and Missouri has no chance of being competitive.
@@PackBrewBadgeWI4 maybe. Well see
Yes, yes, the team with the most money has the ability to sling the most negative, defamatory ads, adnesuem, which tends to either sway some voters to vote against their preferred team, or to depress turnout of one teams votes. I find it disgusting and wish these political candidates and PACs could be sued for defamation, more easily. It is one thing to critique policy, but another to slander candidates by painting them as sexist, bigots, wife beaters, etc, etc, etc.
You're not wrong, but the sad truth is, a LOT of those adds calling people sexist, bigots and all that are TRUE. Trump fits all of those descriptions to a tee (replace "wife beater" with "sexual-assaulter").
@@jaymelton2663 no, they are not all true, hell not even most of them. Usually they just take something someone said, out of context, and call them a racist. They never consider the intent or the actions of the individual.
One thing that has annoyed me over the years has been the sexual assault and adultery allegations leveled at candidates, the vast majority of those allegations were proven false, after the candidate either dropped out, or lost the race. Stuff like that really needs to lead to defamation lawsuits, or even a criminal lawsuit for false allegations.
One ad that rubbed me the wrong way was one in, 2017/2018 I believe, in Virigina, where they had the candidate driving a truck and pulling a dead black girl with it. That was disgusting, and the person who ran those ads should’ve lost, and while the supporters of both teams have lost their morals and ethics, one of them is farther gone that the other-win at any cost is their motto.
If Trump wins, all is not lost for the opposition in your country, I see Senators Collins, Murkowski and Larry Hogan if elected in Maryland blocking some of his more extreme policies.
What are your thoughts about the senate race in Maryland?
Still waiting for a video from you talking about the inaccurate polls having to do with millenials and genz not answering unknown numbers from polling companies.
If Democrats win the Senate this year, they truly are the more competent party
I am so glad The Democrats are winning The Elections.
I have no idea how you think Rick Scott is going to run away with this election with abortion on the ballot. He barely won in 2018 and I'd expect it to be a lot closer then the polls project with the abortion decision coming down only weeks ago.
Damn, I was excited when I saw Ted Cruz down, this is just the funds raised...
With Trump taking 5% of all Republican money, this may play a BIG role in how things go. This will amplify the democrats donation productivity. I’m hoping so!
What percentage of donors are from the 0.1% ?
*While I wish Texas would turn Purple/Blue…if it was to stay Red…I wish Texas’s voters at least had the wherewithal to vote out Ted Cruz. He is such a despicable person.*
There comes a point where money gives diminishing returns though, you end up like Hillary, who could do a Scrooge in 16, and it didn't matter.
Remember, money is not the end goal, its just a means to an end.
Tester has too much money for its own good, its freaking Montana, almost nobody lives there, i reckon Sheehy has plenty of money to run an effective campaign there.
Moreno might be in a bit of trouble though, as Ohio has a reasonably large population that you need a fair bit to invest.
Yeah, but that's because Hillary screwed up and completely ignored the Rust Belt. Hell, I've seen people joke that if she campaigned there at least once, she would've won.
Last month average republicans win Montana and Maryland, and given their winning West Virginia the reps will have 53 so yknow
I still think TX, TN, and FL are in play.
Tennessee? What on earth makes you say that?
@@PackBrewBadgeWI4 it’s early and most people haven’t yet given the race their attention, yet Johnson has reduced Blackburn’s lead to 16%. I think even in bright red TN, right to choose will be on the ballot and Dems there are calling out GOP bs in their state legislature more effectively.
@@PackBrewBadgeWI4 Johnson is gaining and it’s early. Reproductive rights is still on the minds of Tennesseans and the Dems are calling out Republicans on their BS more effectively.
Amen
Only in Bizarro world.
That was an interesting statistic correlating money to victory. I do think we should take it with a grain of salt seeing as incumbents typically have the advantage to begin with. I think it’d be interesting to see how those numbers change when only taking into account competitive races.
Cruz will lose. Scott too. Watch.
Nahh
Blue Megatsunami 2024!!!🌊 🇺🇸
More attention needs to be in-house by democrats. If we are losing after out funding, then we need to look at messaging concerns for these areas.
We need the house too. Democrats need strong control of the Senate and the house as well as the presidency.
Something they've lacked more than 5 months this century.
The latest gold-standard polls indicate you’ll lose the Senate race in Wisconsin. 😂😂😂
?? Talk about cope😂😂 none of the polls on 538 have Hovde winning Wisconsin so you go to realclearpoltics or some other place that doesn’t filter bad polls out and you call them “gold standard” 🤣🤣🤣🤣💀
@@CB38096 remember when Tim Michels was supposed to replace Tony Evers as governor according to the polls? Nobody expected Evers to beat Michels by a margin 3x larger than the margin in 2018 when he ousted Scott Walker.
@@CB38096 Last MQ Law poll from yesterday has Hovde tied
Make Ted Cruz, TEXAS TOAST 😂😅
When do we start seeing election nights again?!?
So, rich people win?
Maybe more people would vote Democrat if they closed the borders, stopped legalizing drugs, and taught stuff that matters in schools? China is teaching kids skills that can be used later in life, America is teaching kids "neopronouns". Donm't believe me? read the contents of "They She He Me: Free to Be", it was taught in a school near me to first graders, and literally says you can identify as things like a tree.
Vote blue America we need 67 Democratic senators to change the direction of the courts and the country
I think you are discounting for abortion is going to be in this election especially in Texas and in Florida. You sound pretty young so I would imagine that's why
It’s funny because it was a reason the red wave in 22 was only a droplet in a cycle that favored the gop by a ton
They know how to count the ballots
Winning Montana will be pretty tough with down ballot effect. Trump will likely win it over 16 points again at least.
funniest new event is Trump wanting a cut from the other GOP candidates for use of his name. 😂
I wouldn’t fully discount Allred and Debbie’s ability to potentially defy partisan gravity; Allred represented a LIKELY-REPUBLICAN district, and even before Florida’s abortion referendum there were always gonna be a lot of Trump-DMP split voters there.
Now, in the *governor races* on the other hand Republicans may fare much better except obviously in NC; they’ll have very strong candidates in NH and WA and Phil Scott was never gonna lose this in VT, though Montana’s might be surprisingly close since Gianforte isn’t the most popular. (How it is that they have a better chance of keeping NH’s and picking up WA’s than picking up NC’s I will never understand, and it’s so hilarious.)
VOTE BLUE FOR SANITY
Hope national Dems don't sleep on the Maryland race, they have a popular moderate Republican governor running, so its not guaranteed Blue
Moderate? Like one that isn’t MAGApublican? That could be helpful in getting republicans to drop the reactionaries showing that people are willing to vote for a moderate over a maniac
You're missing out on how hated Rick Scott is inside Florida. He could lose.
But blue is hated maybe more. Dems are despised inside of Florida and it’s only growing worse. We will see of course but it’s worrying
@@dennisbowen452 Dunno, I think some of those that voted for DeSantis in 2022 are kind of pissed off at him and Republicans in Florida too. They focused on the Culture War too much at the expense of other things (i.e. not trying to fix the property insurance problem), and DeSantis was also focused on his presidential campaign. Combine that with the Florida Supreme Court ruling that made DeSantis' 6 Week Abortion law go active and put Abortion on the ballot to vote on in November and you got a lot of stuff against the Republicans going on in the state.
Dems are toast in Florida and I'm not a MAGA voter by any means.