WUDC 2019 Round 8
ฝัง
- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 12 ก.ย. 2024
- Motion: THBT the United States should disengage from Syria
OG: [did not consent, paraphrased material below]
OO: Pennsylvania A
CG: Alaska A
CO: Tokyo A
Result:
4 2
3 1
PM:
Model:
1. long-term pullout (5-7y pullout)
2. use pullout as leverage to negotiate with Assad (chemical weapons, elections) and the Saudis
I. Best for Syria
- rebels losing war/bad actors; Assad will win the war
- US involvement has been catastrophic
- best scenario is working out solution for peace and helping civilians
II. Future interventions
- American support for war waning
- builds capacity to work with allies to pullout of places like Yemen
DPM :
Refutation:
"lose leverage when you pull out"
- use the pullout to ask for concessions
"supporting insurgent groups"
- arming rebels in general not helpful - cut loses and get out
"use leverage to stop bad rebels"
- Funded for too long, hard to have leverage when theyre getting desperate
"foreign powers need to be stopped"
- by that logic war would never end because foreign powers are always involved
"harm relationship with allies"
- only if you pullout hastily; reasonable conversations + convincing them to pullout as well better
"humanitarian aid not possible"
- do it all the time
"power vacuum"
- asserted, not necessarily true
- many other actors will prevent ISIS comeback
"Saudi increase influence"
- too occupied in Yemen w/ Iran
"Russian hegemony"
- Assad already solidified hold on power -- not going to do much about it by staying
Will you be uploading round 9?
I'm currently editing to control for poor quality, so we'll see!