"The C.I.A. is legally not allowed to monitor the United States or it's citizens". When has this ever slowed them down or stopped them in the past? And also who would know?
The CIA has no reason to waste resources on an effort it's not meant to even participate in. The US has agencies for domestic intelligence, we all know about them, and it would certainly be stupid for the CIA to try to take part in some conspiracy to replace the FBI or NSA, instead of just... cooperating with those agencies whenever something leads to a domestic problem.
i, for one, totally trust the nice CIA lady's claims about the causes of civil war. my favorite part was when she didn't include the CIA as #1 on her list 😎
This is my teacher, she taught the class based on this today. She is so amazing and intelligent, I really look up to her. Really neat to see that she basically gave her TED talk in class today, so cool!
America loves to start wars. It’s the way the politicians sell the weapons for wars and then they get paid by working for the corporations or do talks for them and get paid a ridiculous amount of money for those talks.
indeed. she made my country a prime example. they had so many of us killed, for NOTHING, and here she's bragging about it. "oh we observed" no, they created it
Colombia: The U.S. has provided assistance to Colombia in its efforts to combat drug trafficking and insurgent groups like the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC). While this involves internal conflicts, it might not be considered a direct involvement in a civil war. Northern Ireland: The U.S. played a role in diplomatic efforts to address the conflict between Protestant and Catholic communities in Northern Ireland, but it was not directly involved in the civil unrest there. El Salvador: The U.S. was involved in providing military and financial support to the Salvadoran government during the Salvadoran Civil War (1980-1992), which was marked by conflicts between the government and leftist guerrilla groups. Syria: The U.S. has been involved in the Syrian conflict, primarily in the context of the fight against ISIS and providing support to opposition groups. The conflict involves various internal and external actors, including the Syrian government and rebel groups. Myanmar: The U.S. has expressed concerns about human rights abuses and violence against ethnic minorities in Myanmar (formerly Burma), but direct involvement in a civil war is not a predominant feature of its role there. West Bank: The Israeli-Palestinian conflict involves the West Bank, but the U.S. has played a more diplomatic role in trying to facilitate peace talks between the parties rather than direct involvement in a civil war. In these cases, the U.S. has had varying degrees of influence or involvement in conflicts or unrest, but the level and nature of involvement can differ widely from one situation to another.
This woman is cherry picking data and is flat out incorrect in many of her statements and assumptions. Iraq was about Jihadism, Iran and the millennia old Sunni Shia division. The US did not cause these but it did end a brutal dictatorship and crush ISIS and AQI. Yugoslavia also had nothing to do with the US, it began when Tito died and due to Serbian dominance and refusal to give up power. These wars were only ended by American Intervention, that the Europeans could not deal with alone. This is why those wars continued so long, due to a lack of US leadership. So, the view you are expressing is inappropriate as well.
Problem is, some people are gonna hear this and think we need to fund a way to crush warmongers before they begin when in fact we should be looking at alleviating the conditions that cause resent.
you should be minding your own business. she talks about these wars as if they just happened and she observed them, but she actually plotted them. there's not a single person oin the world today that has ever been helped by americana7i meddling. just leave us all alone, and if you want civil war, do one on your self.
America is at that point because of the democrats corruption and it’s no conspiracy theory because other world leaders see it more than half of America see it
@@warthunder9155 The hatred has grown since my post a month ago. If they try and put Trump in jail, that will be the start of it all. We as a people can not allow one political party to jail it's opposition.
Hatred both sides have is actual hate. I am 33 if you would have told me 10 years ago we would be killing each other publicly for who you voted for I wouldnt have believed it. Take me for instance I try not to hate I have started to go back to Church and I am genuinely trying to change listenrn to me very clearly, I used to be this type of person and I can tell you for sure there is a growing amount who want to see the other side dead and are willing to pull that trigger. Nowadays I just don't talk or sociolize with the left in any capacity. I would like to consider myself in the middle, but at least most of the time I can at least talk to conservatives most of the time.
My favorite part was at minute 2:36 "The second factor was whether citizens in these anocracies had formed political parties around identity rather than ideology."
Yes. That's the point at which arguments from one group or another stop having any effect regardless of how rational or beneficial the discussion could otherwise be.
But who decides what gets amplified on social media? The tech companies? The government? There has never been a time when censorship protected the good guys.
She just ever-so-casually tosses that out there, doesn't she? It's not "censoring", it's "preventing amplification". "What we need is for the right people to control what ideas get spread!" OK, lady...
People keep talking about censorship but in my 50+ years of being alive, I’ve never experienced a society where more people’s (sometimes dangerous and hate-filled) opinions have been given a voice. If these voices are being censored, it’s not working.
There is a harmonic balance that needs to be struck within our society. Not everyone in the society has to agree with what that balance should be, but there should be a large enough portion of the intellectual elite that do. While being "intellectual" gets a bad rap in this society now, this wasn't always so. There are certain parts of society that are just better able to see the bigger picture than other people are. This isn't a knock on those who can't, as they have their own part to play within society. However, what they enter into the common discourse does indeed have less innate value on average. Extremism on both sides of the isle needs to be addressed, as it can often be very destabilizing. Intellectual discourse needs to be encouraged and promoted vs hate mongering. Posts and videos that are simply just spewing lies need to be tagged as such. There are many things that we can do without outright sensoring everyone, but those who want to destroy society instead of bringing it up need to be pointed out as such.
@@curiousthinker8040 Look at the experiences of Girordano Bruno and Galileo. Who was the "intellectual elite" at that time, who saw further and more clearly? Doesn't it trouble you in the least that many of the "intellectual elite" during the Renaissance -- the ones who were absolutely certain they knew what was true, best for society, God, and all humanity, and who were genuinely striving for good and had the very noblest of intentions -- persecuted Galileo and Bruno? I am amazed people forget these lessons. What fools.
She talked about changes in demography as the possible fuel for "civil war", omitting a very important factor which is globalization which all but decimated the middle class, leaving millions of people behind, bitter, despondent and disillusioned.
Many Americans who aren't minorities are just now realizing they are getting their money and livelihood stolen from them. Unfortunately they don't know who caused it and others don't care as long as they can use their guns.
But you got democrats and republicans fighting over change one wants to keep guns laws, one is against the idea of keeping gun laws and you know that could also lead to another civil war because of their rivalry
What about preventing lobbyists from corrupting politics? What about prohibiting politicians from funneling untold amounts of taxpayers' money and debt to the pharmaceutical and military lobbies? And the other one talks about regulating social media. How about freedom of the press first? Assange is just the tip of the iceberg.
I hate to say this but and take this however you want it won’t matter because it probably will not happen soon, these issues would be solved by anarchy. kind of. I mean maybe a better way of doing a country is a really dumber version of democracy with only a dozen or so rules at most, no killing of any sorts except selfie defense, a standard type of money, no illegal activity or profiting set by American standards, towns have there own mini presidential elections for each town like mayors run them and mayors get together to better the country, no major form of government only small regional run governments so 5 in the us Middle-north middle south east-south east north west north, west south, there would be no issue with the huge problem with political parties and nation wide drama, it would be down to the regional governments to set standards in that region based on standard American law, one could allow certain crimes while the other prohibits them, and a way to do this is to have smart people that are honest being elected by the people in a majority not based on money only on true honesty personality, this is a really rough look at it but it might work but again it might not there really isn’t a perfect system out there, and if this was a good idea obviously the top people from each smaller region nation would have to share budgeting from each other so no one can be more powerful than the other, I mean than business could boom to better than it was, you could have one kind of regional based sort of nation work mainly in one industry while another works in another industry that helps the other ones and so on and so fourth. Obviously anarchy would be way to rough for Americans not many would survive at all, but you get what I’m saying. America was already to corrupt from the beginning. That’s what causes nations to go to civil war 100% of the time if you midigate that then you obviously have found a way to world peace, but the best option in my opinion is splitting power even more so more than a select few have the same power and no one can have all of it. Kind works but it has its drawbacks
@Freakashoni correct but now you just replace that with all new problems and you will have your artistic definition of anarchy when people realize their is no hierarchy and with it no individual accountability.
One thing I've learned is that there are those that always profit from chaos. Even the US government isn't immune to using fear to help drive policy and motivate the behavior of its citizens. After all, to the political elite and 1 percenters, we're just expendable fodder. Who only exist to service their aspirations.
Your point is why I think the idea that "business will fix it" is absurd. Fear mongering press outlets who will say anything to generate clicks are... businesses! If the bottom line on the next quarterly report would look better with the country torn apart, we should expect benefiting businesses to work to tear it apart.
@sandponics Not responsible journalists, and there are many. Wanna-be authoritarians/fascists profit from the apathy and ignorance and vulnerabilities of the "masses" and through the 'playbook' of fear-based propaganda and outright lies, encourage the propagation of that propaganda through unrestricted social media.
You are so right, i said all along that the only reason the governments keep us people around is to steal our hard earned money, they call taxes, so they keep spending much more than they bring in, good job.
I'm skeptical that businesses can step up and steer countries away from civil war. In the US, they are creating instabilities: agribusiness, petroleum, health insurance, private prisons, pharma...
You are 100%correct - But she does not view today's hand-in-glove relationship/symbiosis of government and corporate stranglehold as something that is bad.
Corporations promoting divisive identity policies has made the situation worse. Disney's brand for example is completely tarnished with about half of the population.
You are right. The example she cites of Apartheid South Africa is very different in that it was a small economy relative to the rest of the world and the majority of other countries imposed crippling sanctions on them. In the case of the US, it's GDP 25% of the world GDP, so it's not only is it not possible for the outside world to bring such pressures to bear as was done to South Africa, but there's also no such political will. Furthermore Apartheid South Africa is different in the sense that power hadn't changed hands at all before and was held by a very tiny minority that was vastly outnumbered. They also had numerous examples of mishandled decolonization going very badly for white minorities in other African countries in the preceding decades. In the case of the US, it is the big corporations that are exacerbating the situation. Many of them actively shoving identity politics down our throats, Big Pharma price gouging on medicines, private prisons etc. And worst of all, the Military Industrial Complex robbing the country blind. Take for instance the military aid to Ukraine. Regardless of what you think about whether or not it should be sent, the fact is prior to Feb 2022, the US govt had ~$160 billion just lying around while there are hordes of homeless people all over America and literally human waste flowing through the streets of cities like Los Angeles. Combine that with a porous border with a failing Narco-state and its a powder keg that will explode sooner or later.
I think she does. I hear her saying that corporations can choose a better path. If they do, they could actually help to prevent civil war. Lots of winning going on. 🙏🏼 @@pieterlaubscher863
well, she definitely missed the mark when she affirmed that business investment in the working class is the solution. corporations co-opting our would-be democratic government ARE the reason why our government is paralyzed and not implementing the word of the people.
.. and why the working class got so hurt; outsourcinig but also automation, driving corporate profits (rather than reinvestment into workforce), .... and same corporations took covid supply chain issues to increase prices and do "shrinkflation" to increase profits by raising prices and shrinking product. They don't care about democracy, they care about short-term profits
She didn't "miss the mark". She is a liar. She is part of the Left side of the globalist plan. She IS the CIA's diseminator of misinformation. People on a TED talks level of engagement, choose their words carefully. She uses "democracy", when what we are trying to save is a Democratic Republic.
The country is paralyzed because all politicians are neck deep in "BAU". The i-phone immersed public is satisfied when the only thing Congress does is investigate. Nobody is demanding action.
One of the questions I have had for a while is how much control the donor class has over this movement. The 1% who want the administrative state disabled but do not want a civil war, which would be very bad for business. People tend not to buy things when they are too busy planning attacks on their own government and fellow citizens. The wealthy class got the SCOTUS they wanted, the tax cuts they demanded, and anti-union judges throughout the federal system. They just want to maintain control without the messy effects of mass violence and a ruined economy. They funded this movement. They set up the propaganda machine that radicalized tens of millions of voters. Do they have any power to reign things in or do these things just have a life of their own nobody can control? I'm guessing the latter.
In Europe something similar happens. -> Right-wing parties incite people. I think the backing force is climate change - in combination with wealth disparity. Adds up to dynamite. (People have no guns in Europe ;-) Both issues have a weird communication into public. Fears of lost ('Money & Home) increase. We have lost control. We are scared to death speaking that out aloud.
That first test will be if Trump gets elected, gets rid of the parliamentarians, and possibly limit the DOJ, FBI, and the more minor stuff like getting hate groups to enact violence against certain people.
The Donor Class dont care if the masses keep buying stuff ...because they dont make their fortunes investing in tangible products ... so they could care less about destroying our democracy and starving the country because they make their money on a global scale ..and if things go crazy here they'll just pack up and move to their mansions in Switzerland
You are assuming if South Africa kept Apartheid then it would be better today. You are rebutting her theory, which is used by CIA and validated for decades around world, without any evidence. Or you are saying Civil War in South Africa is still Better than Today's South Africa. You better think clearly what you meant before you Post your opinion. Or criticism of today's South Africa without solution is USELESS.
I get your point but in fact I don't think she was holding SA up as a perfectly just society. Indeed Northern Ireland is not fully functioning either as a true democracy at all currently. Rather the idea is that extended inter-community violence has been avoided by and large. Arguably that is a preferable outcome.
Exactly, the worldview she represented helped destroy the most advanced nation in Africa and has only impoverished the people since Black rule took over. Violence and corruption are now endemic in S. Africa and this nation is truly headed towards racial civil war.
South Africa, Iraq, Turkey, Syria, the US and Ireland (and others, including countries in Africa) are great examples of how power mongers will exploit differences between peoples to gain power, money and control. Those differences can be as simple as what side of the tracks a group lives, what colors they wear, what language they speak, or what color their skin is to the complexity of their religious and political beliefs. There are leaders and followers/minions who share a basic hatred of people. It’s basically a hatred of people; and their differences, whatever they are, is the excuse. It is the spirit of the antichrist.
S. Africa, like many other countries, has terrible problems. But it avoided Civil War at a time that it was widely expected-I vividly recall this period. Civil War is a whole different level of problems from those S. Africa has today.
@@TulsaSooner1979 Vote for those liberals then, and soon enough you will find yourself laid off because you are not competitive enough in the so-called free-market🤣Then you'll see what struggle this market is bringing to this nation's majority.
@@TulsaSooner1979 >things will get better IF they employ free-market laws. No. We have free trade agreements with dollar-a-day wage countries. The free market has settled on a business model where paying American workers as little as possible is the best way to adapt. A tl;dr article touching on this is called "Trading Places" by MIT News.
If working class people voted for their interests, they would not be supporting rightwing types against their own interests all the time. If they are hoping republicans make things better for them, they first need to get in the habit of reading, having intelligent discussions and listening, things unfortunately not done nearly enough by that demographic. Trump knows his base, that's why he said he looooves the poorly educated.
The working class vote for the right wing because they want to and actually can get them employed by industry reshoring, but the democrats only want your job taken by cheap immigrant labors. That's why the working class supports people like Trump.
Very noteworthy that she only included the gender designation “white Men” when identifying the instigators in the US Capitol on Jan 6. When describing other groups inciting civil wars, she identifies an ethnic group with no gender-based subdivision.
Perhaps she should watch the film of the "police"opening barriers,un locking doors and ushering innocent people in,driven by fbi plants...then murdering a Vetran and jailing people that just wanted answers to the odd things that happened...if she thinks the cia isnt operating inside the country she is nuts...
@@tumtumtumtumexactly. It’s a common ploy these days. You have a presenter playing the race card, then uses gender to exempt herself. I was appalled by the Jan 6 riots, but it was no more “male” than any other insurrection I’ve seen or read about. Indeed, there were a number of prominent female actors.
Yep. She basically advocates for one half of the country to keep pushing the same garbage that has brought us to the the brink of civil war; and for the OTHER half of the country to just accept it… in order to avoid civil war.
@@JorgeMartinez-ez1jl No, civil war is not inevitable, if we stop doing things that she is advocating like censorship and prosecuting political opponents.
@@warthunder9155 how come you don't see a solution around a civil war in one of the most advanced countries in the world? Honestly, it is really scary that you do not see any other solution, as there are so many.
She was correct in her short description of the change in South Africa - but did not add that the country has been in a incompetent, corrupt downward spiral ever since
They dont dare mention that. Because the implication is clear. As is the implication arising from the crime wave that hit certain cities like Detroit and Chicago as soon as the demographics changed. And this is an implication that is too hard to accept for the educated class, since all of post-ww2 society has been built on a premise that forbids such implications from ever being considered. Its much like the pedophilia scandals in the Catholic Church. During the 20th century more and more people knew but nobody dared to utter the truth. Only after the cultural sanctity of the Church had fallen below a certain point were people finally able to admit the truth openly and start working on the problem. The same thing goes for another sacred cow of modern society.
When a Constitutional Republic is transformed into a Multi-Cultural Democracy, there is nothing more inevitable then to break apart! Ancient Rome had many civil wars during their thousand year existence.
The US is bot destined to rule forever. It’s natural and it’s time for the world to have a multipolar power structure, the vast majority of the world citizens are tired of American and western dominance
@@Codeyx18- Our voting system is designed for two-party government. Until we change it to something like ranked voting, third-party candidates will only be spoilers, and they are almost always spoilers for the left in this country. Remember president Ralph Nader? No you don't, because he never had any chance of winning, but you did have a chance of keeping Al Gore from being elected instead of George Bush, which is precisely what happened. I understand. - I want to vote with my heart, but I have to vote with my head.
@@Northman1963 please blue hasn't done anything. they're good at making promises and breaking them. There's no difference in my eyes. We need change. Complete change.
🎯 Key Takeaways for quick navigation: 00:04 *⚔️ The threat of civil wars globally* - Over 250 civil wars have broken out since 1946, and the number continues to rise - The speaker has studied civil wars for over 30 years, interviewing former combatants and witnessing conflicts 01:00 *🔍 Predicting civil wars through the CIA task force* - The CIA's Political Instability Task Force aimed to predict ethnic conflicts and civil wars - Two key predictive factors: anocracies (partial democracies) and political parties formed around identities rather than ideologies 03:31 *🇺🇸 Warning signs of civil war risk in the United States* - The U.S. has been downgraded in its democracy rating three times since 2016 - In late 2020, the U.S. was officially classified as an anocracy, a key risk factor for civil war 05:30 *💥 Groups that tend to start civil wars* - Not the poorest or most oppressed, but groups that were once politically dominant and are in decline - Examples: Serbs in Yugoslavia, Sunnis in Iraq, and white men in the U.S. who see their status threatened 07:08 *🌍 Demographic changes and managing transitions* - The U.S. is transitioning from a white majority to a non-white majority population - Other countries will follow, making the U.S. a test case for managing this demographic shift peacefully 08:08 *🛡️ Addressing risk factors to prevent civil war* - Improve rule of law, voting access, reduce corruption, and enhance government services - Business community can demand real democracy and invest in neglected communities 10:42 *📢 Regulating social media algorithms* - Regulate algorithms that amplify divisive and extremist content, not censor free speech - Remove the "bullhorn" for hatemongers and enemies of democracy 11:48 *🕯️ Learning from civil war experiences* - Those who lived through civil wars say they didn't see it coming, life seemed normal - We have knowledge to prevent civil wars by fighting for strong democracies Made with HARPA AI
I 100% agree that social media algorithms should be regulated. I think they should be forced to open source those algorithms so that they can be scrutinized in a publicly verifiable way to make sure that they are not biased towards amplifying the most negative posts. Also kudos to her for saying that there should be no censorship. But I'm concerned with her talking about suppressing so called "conspiracy theories." Who decides if something is a conspiracy theory or not? Many of them have been proven to be true after much smearing. All voices should be allowed, but Big Tech shouldn't be allowed to bias certain kinds of posts over others.
Algorithms should be politicaly neutral and transparent. One man's "hate speech" could easily be another man's free speech, no one should have a right to decide what can be heard or said
Transparent social media algorithms would be valuable. I also agree they need to be agnostic; not promoting or demoting particular kinds of content for any political point of view. But if they start demoting content that is deemed misinformation (according to whom?), which of course they already do, we're in trouble. Of course, there is willful misinformation out there, but the only right way to deal with that is to provide more accurate and thorough information. We need to allow debate instead, because silencing certain points of view is a path to authoritarianism.
The whole "It happened before. It will happen again. It's just a question of when." line from the Bruce Willis '98 movie _Armageddon_ applies to this subject as well. Good luck everyone. If history rhymes then in a few years things are going to go crazy world-wide for a couple of decades. Enjoy the roaring 20's while they last.
People call me crazy for predicting civil war, but it's probably one of the most reliable things to predict. Believing there WON'T be conflict is the delusional position to hold.
@@BurtKuttstadt Maybe - that's that's the thing with history rhyming. I see the war on Terror as something more akin to the decades long military intervention in Central and South America the US started in 1904 with the Roosevelt Corollary and continued for decades to help US corporations. There's also that idea of an 80-year cycle so that the War on Terror was the WW1 event, the financial crash happened in 2008, and Putin invading Ukraine is the comparative WW2 event in which case the 2030's should be pretty sweet. But with COVID happening just about 100 years after the Spanish Flu pandemic it's easy to keep with the 100-year cycle comparison too. And our booming economy reads to me like what it was historically back during the 1920's. Guess we'll just have to wait and see what happens in a few years.
That's not how it works. History does not magically repeat itself like that. There are a lot of different things happening every century, and there is nothing today indicating anything close to civil war, with the US remaining relatively stable now and in the upcoming future. There is no benefit for the government to initiate or encourage any kind of real war within the country. Don't let the fearmongering media get to you.
I'm 9, upside down, inside out, and one minute ahead of time d 6 I M M I 6 + 1 minute 'outbreaks' Albuquerque Philadelphia 2035 'We run Montana' British Militia Milley designed conop8888 a British zombie deterrent program. Yes, we'll be in a civil war!
I agree we are in perilous times. If Americans were left to our own devices, we would work it out. But the media and the political class benefit from our division. It keeps them in power. This can't end well in the short term until those who profit from division are removed from power.
I believe that democracies "always" work better with a greater percentage of the populous/citizenry committed to and engaged in the shared effort to make it work ; we still have a lot of that going on but we should be promoting an effort to regard it as much more of a central theme and engage less in divisive diversions that have been and/or are a source of instability. 😁😁🤔
@@stevekluesner4430 I 💯% agree. Well said. I know I am asking the impossible, but I wish we could just let the past be the past, and focus the present and the future. What is sad to me is we are in a position now truly for America to be all it was created to be. But we are so hung up in our flaws of the past, that we fail to see the potential that still lies ahead.
but it's astounding how many in government so easily and cheaply break their vows to support the constitution without any meaningful action against them..@@stevekluesner4430
@@stevekluesner4430 Exactly the opposite, as people become more involved with politics they take up positions and take sides, then they start to see people on the other side as wrong and a threat, think how when you were a teenager and politically neutral and got along with all your friends, but as you got older and some went left, some went right and now they don’t like each other. As long as you have a powerful and overbearing govt that impacts your life then more is at stake, the more powerful the govt, the more invested you are to ensure that govt is doing what you want. Societies throughout history have eventually moved from limited govt to total govt and then collapse, Plato, Jefferson and other philosophers often talked about the inevitable outcome of democracy is tyranny.
Agreed. My only issue with conversations around this is that they make it seem like there isn't one group of people driving this. There is. Politics and media success comes from division. People are no longer elected because of their talent or merit. It's however they can paint the other side as a "monster." The current regime, which has existed for the past 50 years, intentionally uses division to maintain power. We will overcome without them or crumble with them.
That was quite a plot twist. Business can save us. I suppose they have the power. But it's not their mandate. When businesses are confronted with ethical choices and profit it'll be profit first. Businesses do not coalesce around social issues unless it's in their interest.
@@linguaphile42 You're right. But she glosses over important detail. How does that mechanism work because as obvious as it sounds, the history of the world is not one where businesses just do what it is good or even in their interests. Take climate change. I think I've made my point. The line "businessess don't coalesce around social issues" was the response I got from my political science house mate when I asked him how come businesses did nothing as Zimbabwe collapsed. The mechanism which played out in South Africa was due to political and social pressure which affected the profits of foreign banks. In other words, they were concerned about profits (in the US) but this was due to the threat of their US clients punishing them not because of the crime against humanity playing out in South Africa. Meanwhile, mining companies were perfectly happy to stay and even today they operate in problematic states extracting resources in cohoots with kleptocratic governments. During apartheid South Africa, several companies left selling their assets to those willing to take the risk while many remained. Businesses don't evaporate. Take IBM. They left, but instead operated through its subsidiary ICL. Many large multinationals remained such as cocacola, car manufacturers etc.
@@gazesalso645 I'm sure she's not saving that in every instance business leaders saved the day, but just pointing out that in the largest economy in the world, which has very little in common with Zimbabwe, business would have a marked interest in avoiding civil war, and could have a huge impact. Otherwise, we are SOL.
If what is moral and what is in the best material interest of a corporation are misaligned, and indeed as you seem to be suggesting, mutually at fundamentally odds then in means necessarily that what is moral cannot be derived by nature from which profit is, and could only be, understood to derive. I'm not a believer in God in the way you must be, but regardless of whatever religion you believe in, your teleology of a morality separate from nature is inconsistent with reason.
The most important questions to ask about Jan 6. Who was agent provocateur Ray Epps working for? Who was responsible for the National Guard to be absent from the Capitol. Who ordered the Capitol police to open the doors and escort the protesters inside and show them around like they were a bus load of aging tourists?
Ray Epps is a private citizen who does not work for any agency. He had a change of heart between calling for marching on the Capitol then seeing what actually was happening. Some people (not many, but some) snap out of the group think and start to realize they are doing something bad. It was Micheal Flynn's brother Charles working in the office that needed to activate the National Guard with the hours long delay to get them moving. The Capitol Police did not immediately start opening fire because it was all white people who were marching on the Capitol. If was all minorities the order to open fire would have come much, much earlier.
@@jd190d sure thing, lmao. People are now doing hard time for far lesser deeds than agent-provocateur Ray Epps. Watch the videos. The establishment has a long way to go to convince rational people that Ray Epps was not an agent provocateur. They finally went too far with this one.
@@ericanderson1846 No one needs to convince people what he is not. You need to have proof of what he is. Do you have definitive evidence of any ties to law enforcement? Just a hint; allegations, hearsay and conspiracy theories stated on some website are not objective proof.
@@jd190d there's more than enough evidence and testimony available now. Jan 6 was provoked and inflamed by the establishment, and framed and portrayed by the media as something it was not, for maximum psy-op effect. It will go down in history with the Tonkin missile event, Operation Mongoose, Iraq WMDs, Syria chem attacks, and Russiagate among a long list of amateurish psy-ops designed to distort public perception and achieve political goals. You don't need to be a "conspiracy theorist" in order to summon the genuine conspiracies documented in the historical record.
I left social media in 2015 because Facebook was so full of absolute crap being forwarded(shared) around that was irresponsible and irrational. People on social media don’t feel as if they need to be responsible. People on Twitter live getting flamed
I got on Twitter for about three weeks after Elon Musk bought it. It was the most toxic place I've ever seen in my life, and all indications from people I knew, was that Musk actually made it better. I just didn't need it.
In the U.S., Civil war is completely optional. We can avoid it by simply using Article V of the Constitution which invokes for a Convention of States to amend the constitution. COS from article V gives power to the people to have check and balances onto its government when the government has grown too powerful. The Convention of States (COS) is explicit in that 2/3 (two thirds) of the States must agree in having a convention, so 34 States. The COS movement started as a result of the Obama years and during the Obama years. Since then, 19 States have passed legislation through both of their chambers to agree to have a Convention of States as specified by Article V (Checks and Balances). Many other States have already passed it through one of their chambers. Their intention is to reduce the power of government, introduce a 2 term limit for Congress and to create fiscal responsibility. In other words, to cut off the money and power that the government currently has, forcing the government to no longer have access or benefit from both the media and the corporate powers. Look it up. Sign the form to request for a Convention of States. Educate yourself on Article V of the constitution.
Many, if not all, of those 34 states have been gerrymandered so ridiculously that the minority has been ruling the majority usually the rural minority population making statewide decisions over what the true majority population of the cities by cutting them up like pies. Also, look how the rules were changed about SCOTUS appointments on one where McConnell said it was too close to an election to appoint a justice, & then literally appointing & voting on the appointment after they lost their majority. Talk about TYRANNY!
A States convention will inevitably get to the debate surrounding the breadth of the 2nd Amendment as well as whether or not abortion is a constitutionally protected right. It would be a brawl.
Once you realize you have a problem responsible people find a solution. I live in the Houston TX area and when hurricanes or heavy flooding occurs people unite. Neighbors get the BBQ pits fired up then begin cooking for one another, in some cases their entire neighborhood! People simply pick up a hammer, saw, shovel, and walk into someone’s home, without being asked, and help rip out sheetrock, carpet, trash, and etc. I’ve often said a hurricane is good for society - it drives mankind to unite! No, I am not calling for hurricanes every year, but I would like for people to reflect on how much better they felt after ignoring all the rhetoric and simply getting busy helping one another! It’s a choice and a solution! Focus on one another then this irrational behavior will end.
We never learn. If you allow algorithms to broadcast one view, while denying equal broadcasting of that view's opposition, the view that is denied will surely believe that the system is unfair and seek to destroy it. That is happening today - and it is hastening what this woman fears.
And that’s exactly what she meant when she was talking about internet algorithms. If you engage with a certain type of content, the algorithm will keep showing you that content, and so it creates an “echo chamber” which only amplifies said belief. Now, we have to also question, just how much and what tech companies exactly are controlling the content we see? Another thing I’ve seen a lot in the news and social media as a whole is how much these echo chambers widen the gap between the two sides, eg; right wing vs left wing. Our society also mixes identity with ideology, which further perpetuates this cycle of hating one another. Off topic, but this year’s Olympics definitely stands in as a representation of what’s happening in the world right now, it’s quite eerie how well of a metaphor that opening ceremony was for the current state of America (like how everyone now mixes identity and ideology). I definitely feel as though a civil war is on the rise in coming years
@@Har-tj1mt If I recall correctly, she advocates for social media algorithms that throttle what she calls "incendiary material" and "conspiracy theories." Who gets to judge what these are? Currently the algorithms now amplify the power structure's view while squelching its challengers. So, someone with a home on the southern border might feel dismissed as he watches "undocumented immigrants" abusing his land as they constantly cross it illegally. And when he tries to speak out about it, he is squelched while advocates for "undocumented immigrants" are heard worldwide lionizing the wonders of (ILL - can't say it) immigration. This is the stuff of civil war.
Culturally, I will argue that the country has been at Civil War since the counter culture if the 1960s. Since then it has steadily increased and now it's at some strange kind of breaking point. No idea how it all turns out.
The 1960s was the decade that could have saved America, even if one truly believes the counterculture movement to be a damnation upon the country. Personally, I don't. There was an identity crisis there that could have been reshaped to establish diversity at an earlier cultural stage than the status quo. The fact is that it all went downhill from the day JFK was assassinated because that then made Vietnam unavoidable, and thus the collapse imminent.
@@ronaldreagan-ik6hzEven more staggering is Christian Reactionaries declaring war on women's rights (abortion bans) and even war on infertile couples (AL's IVF ruling).
@@filrabat1965 what is evern more STAGGERING is there have been 65.3 Million Abortions since 1973. just think about that! ........................................
@@alanskinner7031Most of them didn't have a brain able to process pain-signals or a nervous system able to transmit pain. Not possible for a fetus to be even arguably a person unless it has both. BTW, I'm an atheist, so don't pull any spiritual arguments on me.
What causes civil war is when a government violates the people's trust to a very high degree and for prolonged periods of time, like ours has for the last 14 years and like ours is doing with our department of justice and with our open border and in the process forces major burdens upon the people that the people find to be intolerable. What we have here is an autocracy, not a democracy or a republic, but a lawless, unconstitutional autocracy. That is what our government has evolved into and that is what causes civil wars. Than there are the people caught up in the cloud of misinformation or disinformation, which is used by our corrupt governments to divide the people, thereby creating an army for its defense and pitting them against the people rising up against the tyranny. Can't have a civil war if our corrupt government doesn't have an army to fight it.
The algorthm doesn’t make or provide the content. The algorithm pushes the content. So the only true neutrality is by providing content based on search relevance only, rather than a snowballing pushing of content based on history etc
You look a video you are interested in and the algorithm gives you an ocean of the same. This stops you from seeing different stories and opinions and together with your neighborhood drives you into a boubble
Free and fair elections. Get rid of the machines and mail in voting unless a ballot is requested. Same day voting needs to occur in each precinct and every voter must be able to prove they're a citizen.
Counting paper ballots by hand has been proven to be less accurate than electronic counts and takes days to count versus only hours for electronic votes.
@@pigbearcub The past 3 elections have proven that statement to be false. It has taken weeks/months for some states to release official numbers. Not to mention the human malfeasance that we are consistently seeing electioneering in the cases of voting machines. Nobody is buying that whole "electronic voting is safe and fast!" bs anymore. We've seen that it is neither fast nor safe.
I think what’s been shared by Barbara Walter here isn’t anything new, and if she brought anything to the table is her credibility & more weight to her points. What’s often missing is the acknowledgement of the gap between understanding the concepts and the actual actions that can produce the real outcome. Accountability of our lawmakers and actual measurable steps towards true democracy (and not plutocracy) are often left out. An idea without an action is still nothing but a noise. What can we ACTUALLY do about it? Civil Wars also happen because people are often left without or they think they are left without any other options.
The U.S. was not founded as a democracy. It was founded as a constitutional republic. The people who started the U.S. though (rightly so) that the issues of rural folks are just as important as the issues of urban folks. The same applies to other small groups.
If anything, the founders granted the rural regions and, especially the south, political power and influence way out of proportion of their percentage of the overall white male population. Institutions such as the Electoral College, US Senate, the counting of enslaved blacks as "3 fourths of a person" to boost the numbers of congressional House seats from southern states. Was all done to allow the slave states to dominate the national agenda through political alliance with western frontier states and mid-atlantic commercial-driven states with large Irish immigrant populations that could be mobilzed by early Democratic "Machines" in urban areas such as New York and Philadelphia. That is why of the 15 Presidents before Lincoln. Most were Southern slave owners or northerners who were friendly to Southern interests. Only the New England-based John Adams and his son, John Quincy Adams, presidencies could be called pro-Northern sectional interests and both were effectively neutralized by strong southern/northern allied interests in Congress. What the election of Lincoln represented was the rise of Northern sectional power not only in the White House but in the US Congress as well. The South could see that its control of the national agenda was gone so they picked up their ball and tried to leave. They effectively flipped over the chess board when they saw they couldn't win every game.
First off, I’d like to ironically thank the algorithm for sending me this. Secondly, I hope more sane and sober people are paying attention to things than it really appears as trials and elections quickly approach…
I would agree that America is closer to ACW2 than at any other point in the last 60 years. I would probably disagree with her over the reasons behind it, and those pushing for it. It would also be nice if these talking heads quit referring to “democracy” for the US. We are a republic with democratically elected representatives. Not that our representatives are actually interested in representing us, and our bureaucrats have never met a limit they aren’t comfortable ignoring and happy to abuse us.
@@PatrickThreewitA republic. Democracies have literally no safe guards. The entire point of the American system is that it's different types of governments mixed together all with different competing interests so that you don't end up jumping off a cliff all at once.
The US is a democracy… a representative democracy. There is a difference between representative democracy and direct democracy. A constitutional republic is not a direct democracy, but it is a representative democracy.
It's hard to take her seriously when she's contracted by the C.I.A. Yes, that fair minded neutral bunch out for the good of humanity who just happen to help create the conditions for civil war all over the globe over and over. She also said the Sunnis started the civil war in Iraq as if the US invasion hadn't happened. What a joke.
Dont trust someone who was on a CIA task force monitoring the world for civil wars probabilities because they usually start them😂 she is a civilian 😎Yeah right
@@codykuch5293Well, she basically scapegoated every example to blame other groups for what happened. That should have been obvious when she blamed the Sunnis in Iraq, instead of the US for literally invading the country and toppling the government.
At 4:34, it is absolutely false and this analyst knows it because of videos stating the opposite of what she is stating as "fact." If in fact there had been a "real" insurrection, America would have gone into a widespread Civil War not localized to Washington DC, but in fact nationwide and it wouldn't have been citizen against citizen, but would have been citizens against our Government. In essence, the real problem is not that we're liberal or conservative, nor black or white, the problem is that we as citizens need to recognize it's us (the American citizens) against them (the Government and Deep State). If America ever wakes up and unifies, the Global agenda of the Elites will disintegrate overnight and we will once again, be a truly FREE Country.
The solutions she presented make no sense. "Ensure everyone has equal access to the vote" Okay, but how does that stop the government from basically doing whatever they want? It sounds like reducing government power would be a better solution. "Manipulate the algorithm so that some people can speak button one can hear them" I can get behind that *on the condition that I get to decide* who is allowed to be heard. If that sounds like a bad deal then it's a bad deal when someone else decides, too. A better solution would be to stop playing identify politics.
"Manipulate the algorithm so that some people can speak button one can hear them" That's not what she said and probably not what's needed. The problem currently is that the algorithms tend to *amplify* divisive rhetoric because it drives so called engagement. The first step would be to just get rid of those algorithms.. *stop* manipulating who gets heard.
Agreed. Her solutions make no sense because it's the same solutions that the extremists leftist use. She didn't say anything that different than what we hear from the liberal media.
Maybe there should be consequences for lawmakers who repeatedly violate the constitution. Instead of us taxpayers having to pay for unconstitutional laws to be defended in court, make the lawmakers who passed them personally foot the bill.
I was almost 8 minutes into this wondering, "How have I heard this before? It just came out 4 days ago and I haven't watched it yet." I read her book years ago and this speech is nearly verbatim - great book if anyone is looking for more on this topic.
America can't win a Civil War between two sides who'll never concede. It'll be opportune for China to wait until an actual Civil War breaks out, before taking Taiwan and other nations in the South Pacific (where the resources would be the treasure)?.
The CIA is a government run agency and uses Data Analytics different, i.e. opposite, of managers. I work for a different agency than the CIA, and they use data analytics to drill down and manage specific departures from standards (or at least try to). The CIA is doing the opposite but will eventually serve the same end goal. They are building models to predict. In the future, the government will use these and millions of other models to implement a quantum powered AI police state. Such will go into effect during a national emergency crisis. The system will use algorithms that harness these models to identify, predict, and control behavior deemed to deviate from the established social and behavioral standards set by the administrators of the police state, irrespective of judicial or congressional control or popular opinion. It will require Jesus fanatics, as myself, to compromise their core beliefs. In my well-founded opinion, they will ask Christians and all people to sell their beliefs and immortal souls to comply to the new rules of law and order, which will rest in a single government digital currency controlled by the state and the AI system. The aim of the system will be to maintain social order and create world peace, but it will fail. Billions will die. You don't have to be a Bible thumper to see this coming. Accept Jesus as your redeemer before your window of opportunity closes.
If you don’t live in a liberal echo chamber, you know that that Trump supporters have been talking civil war for a while. It’s nothing new. When they try every which way possible to remove your president from power, then go so far as to indict him and keep him off the ballot, that is like kicking half of the country in the nuts and spitting on them, when they control the vast majority of US land and guns, what do you think the outcome will be?
One factor unconsidered is whether there's an issue that at least one side sees as existential and beyond compromise. Most civil wars have been about who would be king, or whatever title, because only one person can be the ruler in a monarchy or dictatorship, so that uncompromisable and existential: if your side loses, you might be killed. If I'm going to look at at a country in terms of how likely it is to break out in civil war, my first question will be what is the uncompromisable issue?
I'm 9, upside down, inside out, and one minute ahead of time d 6 I M M I 6 + 1 minute 'outbreaks' Albuquerque Philadelphia 2035 'We run Montana' 'British Militia' Milley designed conop8888 a British zombie deterrent program. Yes, we'll be in a civil war!
“So here I was sitting in a conference room in suburban Virginia four times a year planning US backed coups around the globe in a room full of CIA agents when I suddenly wondered why we won’t don’t talk about civil war here in the US”
I was wondering if I was the only one who recognised that (salient) point, smh. In my country there is a most apt saying - "Do so does not like so" i.e. those who do things to others don't like when it happens to them.
Have you analyzed the causes of the Civil War between the North and South to see if your studies hold true for those times? I'm just curious. I listened intently to what you said and hope your message gets through to everyone. I have been terribly afraid of just this happening here. It almost seems our government is pushing our people to fight one another. 😢
Our civil war was far different then most of the civil wars in world. If you look at the Spanish civil war. It matches pretty close to what is happening today. The American civil war was a failed rebellion where the south wanted to become it's own country separated from the north. Regular civil wars is two groups fighting for control of the whole country.
@@tobyyawn24yeah, US civil war was more like Brexit but Lincoln’s EU forced them to be part of the union? For us in 2020, I really think Mike pence helped us avoided another civil war. Thank God Pence didn’t go along with trump’s plan on Jan 6. Anyway, hope US will listen to this Ted talk and rise above our problems and continue to be a nation for the rest of the world to emulate and copy from… rather than self destruct and become laughing stocks of dictators like Putin and Xi. Com’on fellow Americans!
Governments can regulate or even neuter social media. It happens in many countries that lean into despotism. "Liberal" governments have to step up and REGULATE. In particular, the US should revoke Section 230 of the Communications Decency Act 1996 that says social media companies are not PUBLISHERS.
@@warthunder9155 I'm for that. Other than where the law limits free speech such as falsely screaming fire in a crowded theater, there shouldn't be censorship unless it meets the clear and present danger test. We would need to change our congress people to ones that would pass such a law though. ..... or we just need one social media company to stand up and do the right thing. Rumble ain't it. They swung too far to the other extreme and allow anything which advertisers run from.
@@AnimMouse regulating does not equal censorship. it would remove incentive from boosting certain types of content beyond their organic reach. Eg. facebook's current algorithm boosts content that promote hate, violence and conspiracy because people have such strong reactions to it (positive or negative). it would temper that so harmful material would stay contained to its natural spread and not move beyond a normal reach. that's not censorship. thats just un-mediated information spread.
@@peteferryman5931 that's not exactly correct. They can't be silenced, but the public can be trained to detect influence and deception. The issue is, businesses rely on the same tactics so there is an incentive to not. Read Bernays -- 'Crystalizing public opinion' is in the public domain, I believe 'Propaganda' turns 95 this year as well.
The impending US crisis won't look like the last U.S. Civil War. Thankfully, there isn't the simplistic north/south distinction for battle lines to be drawn upon. I anticipate multitudes of regional hotspots of somewhat organized violence which will be painfully, slowly, but inevitability extinguished over time.
Civil wars are self-extinguishing - when a winner emerges. It's time to pick a side, are you with or against corruption? Right now you can fight your battles in courtrooms, in newspapers & across dining room tables, if you leave it you'll be fighting in the street & on your lawn.
it'd be a slaughter. the slighted who fear losing power in the US are also the majority of preppers, gun owners, militia, cops, military/retired, etc. only things gettin extinguished, is democracy & then us.
I especially love that the establishment is well aware of the fact, they've completely screwed everything up. They sent a soothing mouthpiece to dissuade tensions and revolt. But that may be precisely what's needed to reset the tide. I long for peace like every man. However, peace at the expense of high costs and low pay is not something any of us wants.
You cannot suppress bad ideas . You have to leave them in the open air and defeat them with good ideas . Censorship is not the solution . IT IS THE PROBLEM !
At the 7:40 mark, I'm not sure what climate change has to do with people moving from the global south to the north. I think jobs and opportunities make people move in masses, not the weather.
The worst case scenarios for this are such that should they come about, they’ll bring “weather” that will cause people to run. It’s just a matter of how far, how fast and even if they can. But they are *worst case scenarios.*
Climate change can potentially make certain areas uninhabitable, thus making migration a necessity for survival. I suggest reading the article on the CFR website: Climate Change Is Fueling Migration. Do Climate Migrants Have Legal Protections?
@@OneTheBlue I am not a climate change denier but I think the "possibility" of climate change causing migration from one spot to another on earth is unlikely. People live in almost every corner of the earth hot and cold and have been for centuries.
@@robertholland3966 It has more to do with agriculture and access to water. It's not really about comfort levels. It's true that people can adapt to almost any climate, but when the change happens rapidly, there is no time for adaptation.
Well, at least we agree there is a divide and it’s a hard problem. Was shocked to get to the end and find out you think social media recommendation engines are the perpetuator of the massive ideological divide. What you’ve sincerely misread/miscalculated is the size of the population whose choices are inherently tied to traditional family values and how they were raised. Identity politics in the US isn’t tied to race and sexual orientation… but to those who would subscribe to a moral framework based on the 10 commandments and to those who believe they should be unaccountable to a shared morality.
@@deborahrivera6064 You’ve misread what I meant. “Moral Relativism” is held by a substantial percentage of our population, and those who hold that view are what I was referencing. By that view, individual actions are governed by a “it depends” or “based on how I feel” view rather than a long-held belief of right and wrong. I’m not saying that those who hold to a morality based on the Ten commandments are always moral. Far from it. What I am saying is that they don’t play naive to what’s right and wrong- or dismiss a challenge to their actions.
Social media algorithms don't care about the truthfulness of the writing. They get excited about writings that evoke the most emotions. The best of all, according to social media algorithms, are the writings that arouse joy in fans and anger in opponents. They are read and shared the most. Ads are shown in between. This is why, for example, the writings of Greta Thunberg and Donald Trump quickly raise up on social media. And when an article appears on social media, the click media will also add it to their lists. Soon it will be seen in the media of the entire country. Main media outlets also asks the opinion of other celebrities about the issue that has come up from social media. Actually, the woke group is a small but loud group. What ever they do, gets incredibly good exposure on social media thanks to these algorithms. If the algorithms were rewritten, things would perhaps settle into their proper proportions. You can't get fame and visibility by trolling anymore.
If anyone has some general concept of our political systems current turmoil like myself, it is not groundbreaking to realize we're heading for a civil war.
Yes, but it must not be violent! Use the tools provided by Dr. King and Gandhi to effect essential change by maintaining essential moral authority, peaceful non-compliance. Over time, I think the Union itself will be dissolved, not only due to economic problems but social and political philosophy.
@@alexp3752 if what the speaker proposes does come to pass it will absolutely be violent. and it will disproportionately impact poor black and brown people. It starts with attacking women, migrants, non-christian religions, people of color, disabled people, queer people - and then they will create structures that permanently oppresses anyone who is not a white christian man.
@@alexp3752I hope it gets done that way but how long will it take when politicians basically ignore or walk out the room when folks are speaking of issues;gerrymandering districts to benefit one side;banning books telling of Americans real history and culture and taking away some peoples right to vote or making it difficult to vote. Some people’s patience is wearing thin.
@@alexp3752 , no, political dissolution does not have to be violent. The Soviet Union, of all places, showed us that was true. But, when you talk about peaceful dissolution, you are asking the people who benefit from that not happening, and who control the military and federal police agencies, to go along with the will of the people. And, I don't think they care much about the will of the people.
I am lost here.... At around 11:15, she basically says we shouldn't limit free speech and then immediately says we should take away the bullhorn of those who amplify... So their free speech now isn't free anymore. So, who makes this determination about what should be censored, Ms. Walter?
There is a huge difference between "Free Speech" and hateful, paranoid demagoguery, whether from the right or left. Free speech is the right to express your opinions on policy questions, not to spread paranoid lies about the people you love to hate!
@@thomasellis8586 You stated: "Free speech is the right to express your opinions on policy questions, not to spread paranoid lies about the people you love to hate" Are you proposing anti-gossip & anti-maligning legislation? If that's the case, social media will be shut down, as will most, if not all, news outlets & political commentators will need to find other means of employment. That leaves a one-party rule w. resultant communism led by a dictator or despot, & kept in power by a formidable governmental Dept. of Propaganda. Yes, that has historically worked out for...no one.
Key Points by Sonnet AI: 0:12: Predicting the growing global threat of civil wars is feasible. 2:07: Highly predictive factors include anocracy and identity-based political parties. 3:35: US democracy downgraded thrice since 2016 due to concerns of instability. 5:50: Civil wars often initiated by previously dominant but declining groups. 6:40: US demographic change requires managed transition for a diverse democracy. 7:08: Climate change might accelerate shifts as global South citizens migrate north. 8:17: Transition management demands addressing anocracy, enhancing rule of law, and reducing corruption. 10:42: Regulation curbs influence of bullies, hatemongers, and conspiracy theorists. 12:39: Prioritizing strong democracy is crucial to prevent civil wars and ensure peace.
The US Imperialist bosses are obsessed with communism the are only interested in Democracy that produces the right outcomes for them. They in fact encourage and prolong civil wars to defend their Imperialist profit system. That is the whole purpose of the CIA to begin with.
No it's The United States of America. if you wanna live in a place called a republic may I suggest the People's Republic of China or Republic of China though I would suggest the later because they have an actual democracy unlike the former which does not.
@@TulsaSooner1979 Where does it say Republic in the Constitution? Oh it doesn't. That's just your opinion or Carrie Lakes opinion. If you really wanna classify it then you could say it's a Federal Democratic Republic. Calling it a republic lacks the fact that it's the United States "states" being the key word here.
We would go to civil war, not because of what people look like, but how people are telling us how we have to live... Most of us that would rise up embrace diversity, not stupidity and being told what we have to do, be, or act... Good luck in all your future endeavors...
Oh, how convenient that all the "solutions" proposed by this so-called "expert" JUST SO HAPPEN to also be measures that would make the United States a more just, more compassionate, and more liveable society for everyone.
Edible Plant List (Not including most crops): This list is very incomplete but these are the species I know about. I strongly encourage you to look into and learn about these plants. Also grow your own crops (those plants are not on this list since most of them are common knowledge) and herbs (mint, parsley, etc.). Check your climate zone, USDA hardiness zone, annual precipitation and temperature before planting anything or attempting to forage for wild edibles. Temperate Bee Balm Bugleweed Cattail Chives Clover (both white and red) Coneflower (echinaceae) Dandelion Daylily Evening-Primrose Greenbrier (young leaves and stems) Hibiscus Hosta Plantain (weed) Rose (fruit/hips) Sunflower Tulip Wild Grapes (careful not to confuse with moonseed) Wild Rice Wood Sorrel (in small amounts; large amounts can be toxic) Desert Agave (sap) Pinyon Pine (seeds and inner bark) Prickly Pear (pads after removing spines, fruit) Polar and Sub-Polar Arctic Raspberry Cloudberry Cranberry
1) "Most influential factors in" does not equal "Are sole & determinative factors of"; 2) Both of those were situations of outside colonial power reasserting control, which led to war.
@@GetsumJ Okay. 2006. How, exactly, did Yushchenko's pretty face get spoiled by dioxin? Heavy farming, was he? Немножко слышал уже. Цветная, ладно, но простая гражданская? И, на самом деле, "anocracy" была.
She said "they tend to be started by the group who stands to lose the most power", not every single civil war in the world is started by groups who stand to lose the most.
Everyone monitors us. Everything you do on your computer, everything you do on your phone, everywhere your car goes, everywhere your phone goes, everything you buy, how much money you withdraw...you name it.
Watching this groveling before the Unelected Business Tyrants to "please, save us" is an eye opening presentation of exactly what Karl Marx would call "the Dictatorship of the Bourgeoise".
Yeah, like one thing she mentions is business making education more accessible. What is the mechanism for that, and more essentially, why would they do it? (They still can't bring themselves to help better fund healthcare and minimum wage.) We need the government to step up to the plate.
The problem with censorship of social media is who will determine what is censored. This is the problem with no easy solution. There will always be biases as to what is permissible. So this is a BAD IDEA!
She is not talking about censorship. She is talking about making sure the algorithm doesn't promote or amplify a certain message. Like China controls Tik Tok and the algorithm their children use and the content they see is totally different than the one ours do. It's not by accident. It makes sense. She's talking about the democratization of algorithms. not the same thing as censorship. Burning books. that's censorship.
@@rulaj1 Twitter or X algorithm is now open sourced, and seeing how it works, it does not promote or amplify a certain message, what it does is simply show more posts that you like, like if you are like seeing cat pictures, more cat pictures will appear on your feed. What she is actually proposing is to stop you from seeing cat pictures on your feed.
"The C.I.A. is legally not allowed to monitor the United States or it's citizens". When has this ever slowed them down or stopped them in the past? And also who would know?
The CIA has no reason to waste resources on an effort it's not meant to even participate in. The US has agencies for domestic intelligence, we all know about them, and it would certainly be stupid for the CIA to try to take part in some conspiracy to replace the FBI or NSA, instead of just... cooperating with those agencies whenever something leads to a domestic problem.
Julian Assange proved wrong and the US has wanted to put him in jail for this for 10 years
If you think for one second that the C.I.A. does not monitor citizens within the U.S., then you are indeed lost.
@@fajita2 Why in this world would the CIA monitor US citizens?
The FBI fills that role.
“Those who make peaceful revolution impossible will make violent revolution inevitable."
John F. Kennedy
"The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of patriots and tyrants." Thomas Jefferson
...what a quote. One of my favorites
Could you explain the context of that quote in this discussion? Thanks.
Can you be more specific about your question?@@HazelHelper
@@HazelHelper Are you another CIA plant, dude?
i, for one, totally trust the nice CIA lady's claims about the causes of civil war. my favorite part was when she didn't include the CIA as #1 on her list 😎
Yeah I thought that was pretty cute....
because it's regressive nonsense @@jaremygolightly3279
REAL ❗
Yeah they (and their friends MI6 and Mossad) never have anything to do with civil wars in other countries. 🙄
Chinese propaganda
This is my teacher, she taught the class based on this today. She is so amazing and intelligent, I really look up to her. Really neat to see that she basically gave her TED talk in class today, so cool!
As a non American, hearing the list of civil war she listed out, and seeing how America had their hand in many of those “civil wars”.. just wow.
America loves to start wars. It’s the way the politicians sell the weapons for wars and then they get paid by working for the corporations or do talks for them and get paid a ridiculous amount of money for those talks.
If there is an American civil war... Who do you think will be behind it?
indeed. she made my country a prime example. they had so many of us killed, for NOTHING, and here she's bragging about it. "oh we observed" no, they created it
Colombia: The U.S. has provided assistance to Colombia in its efforts to combat drug trafficking and insurgent groups like the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC). While this involves internal conflicts, it might not be considered a direct involvement in a civil war.
Northern Ireland: The U.S. played a role in diplomatic efforts to address the conflict between Protestant and Catholic communities in Northern Ireland, but it was not directly involved in the civil unrest there.
El Salvador: The U.S. was involved in providing military and financial support to the Salvadoran government during the Salvadoran Civil War (1980-1992), which was marked by conflicts between the government and leftist guerrilla groups.
Syria: The U.S. has been involved in the Syrian conflict, primarily in the context of the fight against ISIS and providing support to opposition groups. The conflict involves various internal and external actors, including the Syrian government and rebel groups.
Myanmar: The U.S. has expressed concerns about human rights abuses and violence against ethnic minorities in Myanmar (formerly Burma), but direct involvement in a civil war is not a predominant feature of its role there.
West Bank: The Israeli-Palestinian conflict involves the West Bank, but the U.S. has played a more diplomatic role in trying to facilitate peace talks between the parties rather than direct involvement in a civil war.
In these cases, the U.S. has had varying degrees of influence or involvement in conflicts or unrest, but the level and nature of involvement can differ widely from one situation to another.
This woman is cherry picking data and is flat out incorrect in many of her statements and assumptions. Iraq was about Jihadism, Iran and the millennia old Sunni Shia division. The US did not cause these but it did end a brutal dictatorship and crush ISIS and AQI. Yugoslavia also had nothing to do with the US, it began when Tito died and due to Serbian dominance and refusal to give up power. These wars were only ended by American Intervention, that the Europeans could not deal with alone. This is why those wars continued so long, due to a lack of US leadership.
So, the view you are expressing is inappropriate as well.
Problem is, some people are gonna hear this and think we need to fund a way to crush warmongers before they begin when in fact we should be looking at alleviating the conditions that cause resent.
That’s not her agenda.
Of course it's not. That's just the message some listeners would take.
you should be minding your own business. she talks about these wars as if they just happened and she observed them, but she actually plotted them. there's not a single person oin the world today that has ever been helped by americana7i meddling. just leave us all alone, and if you want civil war, do one on your self.
America is at that point because of the democrats corruption and it’s no conspiracy theory because other world leaders see it more than half of America see it
@@mimosveta That is the most ridiculous takeaway from her speech
At this point I don't see how it is avoidable. The mutual distrust and disdain each side feels towards the other is getting worse and worse.
Both sides are coming to the logical end points of their ideologies.
@@warthunder9155 The hatred has grown since my post a month ago. If they try and put Trump in jail, that will be the start of it all. We as a people can not allow one political party to jail it's opposition.
I keep asking people who don't think a civil war is coming, "Okay. Give me your theoretical happy ending to all of this." None of them can.
Hatred both sides have is actual hate. I am 33 if you would have told me 10 years ago we would be killing each other publicly for who you voted for I wouldnt have believed it. Take me for instance I try not to hate I have started to go back to Church and I am genuinely trying to change listenrn to me very clearly, I used to be this type of person and I can tell you for sure there is a growing amount who want to see the other side dead and are willing to pull that trigger. Nowadays I just don't talk or sociolize with the left in any capacity. I would like to consider myself in the middle, but at least most of the time I can at least talk to conservatives most of the time.
@@charlescaldwell4595 it's inevitable. America, no matter how vast, is not big enough for most ideologies.
I think the odds just went up signifficantly...
Pls explain
@@lilocapitalT-ix4nz the trump shot i think
@@red_dead_dudedidn’t do anything it was a nothing burger
@@FYC2007 2 assasination attempts, a lost debate, falling out of politcal control ,civil war threats, seems like more than a big nothing burger
My favorite part was at minute 2:36 "The second factor was whether citizens in these anocracies had formed political parties around identity rather than ideology."
She 100% nailed that part...
Yes, that was the clincher...! 😢
Yes.
@guitarszen Can you be more specific?
Yes. That's the point at which arguments from one group or another stop having any effect regardless of how rational or beneficial the discussion could otherwise be.
But who decides what gets amplified on social media? The tech companies? The government? There has never been a time when censorship protected the good guys.
She just ever-so-casually tosses that out there, doesn't she? It's not "censoring", it's "preventing amplification". "What we need is for the right people to control what ideas get spread!" OK, lady...
OK, if you insist I will volunteer. I really don't trust anyone else to do it.
People keep talking about censorship but in my 50+ years of being alive, I’ve never experienced a society where more people’s (sometimes dangerous and hate-filled) opinions have been given a voice. If these voices are being censored, it’s not working.
There is a harmonic balance that needs to be struck within our society. Not everyone in the society has to agree with what that balance should be, but there should be a large enough portion of the intellectual elite that do. While being "intellectual" gets a bad rap in this society now, this wasn't always so. There are certain parts of society that are just better able to see the bigger picture than other people are. This isn't a knock on those who can't, as they have their own part to play within society. However, what they enter into the common discourse does indeed have less innate value on average.
Extremism on both sides of the isle needs to be addressed, as it can often be very destabilizing. Intellectual discourse needs to be encouraged and promoted vs hate mongering. Posts and videos that are simply just spewing lies need to be tagged as such. There are many things that we can do without outright sensoring everyone, but those who want to destroy society instead of bringing it up need to be pointed out as such.
@@curiousthinker8040 Look at the experiences of Girordano Bruno and Galileo. Who was the "intellectual elite" at that time, who saw further and more clearly? Doesn't it trouble you in the least that many of the "intellectual elite" during the Renaissance -- the ones who were absolutely certain they knew what was true, best for society, God, and all humanity, and who were genuinely striving for good and had the very noblest of intentions -- persecuted Galileo and Bruno? I am amazed people forget these lessons. What fools.
She talked about changes in demography as the possible fuel for "civil war", omitting a very important factor which is globalization which all but decimated the middle class, leaving millions of people behind, bitter, despondent and disillusioned.
But to include globalization as a negative, inciting factor would not have fit her narrative, or that of her audience.
She did include globalization, she spoke of the trade agreements and how it hurt the working class
Many Americans who aren't minorities are just now realizing they are getting their money and livelihood stolen from them. Unfortunately they don't know who caused it and others don't care as long as they can use their guns.
aka neoliberalism. Hegemonically done in concert with neoconservatism.
Proto fascists the lot of them.
But you got democrats and republicans fighting over change one wants to keep guns laws, one is against the idea of keeping gun laws and you know that could also lead to another civil war because of their rivalry
What about preventing lobbyists from corrupting politics? What about prohibiting politicians from funneling untold amounts of taxpayers' money and debt to the pharmaceutical and military lobbies?
And the other one talks about regulating social media. How about freedom of the press first? Assange is just the tip of the iceberg.
Great questions! Good points!
press have to much freedom to tell whatever narrative they want. polished and cherry picked "facts" all presented on one plate of bullshit and lies.
I hate to say this but and take this however you want it won’t matter because it probably will not happen soon, these issues would be solved by anarchy. kind of. I mean maybe a better way of doing a country is a really dumber version of democracy with only a dozen or so rules at most, no killing of any sorts except selfie defense, a standard type of money, no illegal activity or profiting set by American standards, towns have there own mini presidential elections for each town like mayors run them and mayors get together to better the country, no major form of government only small regional run governments so 5 in the us Middle-north middle south east-south east north west north, west south, there would be no issue with the huge problem with political parties and nation wide drama, it would be down to the regional governments to set standards in that region based on standard American law, one could allow certain crimes while the other prohibits them, and a way to do this is to have smart people that are honest being elected by the people in a majority not based on money only on true honesty personality, this is a really rough look at it but it might work but again it might not there really isn’t a perfect system out there, and if this was a good idea obviously the top people from each smaller region nation would have to share budgeting from each other so no one can be more powerful than the other, I mean than business could boom to better than it was, you could have one kind of regional based sort of nation work mainly in one industry while another works in another industry that helps the other ones and so on and so fourth. Obviously anarchy would be way to rough for Americans not many would survive at all, but you get what I’m saying. America was already to corrupt from the beginning. That’s what causes nations to go to civil war 100% of the time if you midigate that then you obviously have found a way to world peace, but the best option in my opinion is splitting power even more so more than a select few have the same power and no one can have all of it. Kind works but it has its drawbacks
What about-isms is just adding to the problem. It doesn't offer any solutions.
@Freakashoni correct but now you just replace that with all new problems and you will have your artistic definition of anarchy when people realize their is no hierarchy and with it no individual accountability.
She is spot on with the algorithms of social media companies being a large issue that 99% of the population does not understand.
I’m convinced that 99% of Silicon Valley doesn’t fully under how those algorithms work.
Haha I'd bet on that as well@@smugandsmarmy
@@smugandsmarmy “If we take away their bullhorn, their influence will decline.” Yes, she’s a Trump hater.
So she's saying limit speech, that sounds maybe not cool
@@jdub1139Tough luck 😂
One thing I've learned is that there are those that always profit from chaos. Even the US government isn't immune to using fear to help drive policy and motivate the behavior of its citizens. After all, to the political elite and 1 percenters, we're just expendable fodder. Who only exist to service their aspirations.
Your point is why I think the idea that "business will fix it" is absurd. Fear mongering press outlets who will say anything to generate clicks are... businesses! If the bottom line on the next quarterly report would look better with the country torn apart, we should expect benefiting businesses to work to tear it apart.
@sandponics Not responsible journalists, and there are many. Wanna-be authoritarians/fascists profit from the apathy and ignorance and vulnerabilities of the "masses" and through the 'playbook' of fear-based propaganda and outright lies, encourage the propagation of that propaganda through unrestricted social media.
You are so right, i said all along that the only reason the governments keep us people around is to steal our hard earned money, they call taxes, so they keep spending much more than they bring in, good job.
What do you think this video was intended to do? 🤷🏻♂️
they are called Jews
I'm skeptical that businesses can step up and steer countries away from civil war. In the US, they are creating instabilities: agribusiness, petroleum, health insurance, private prisons, pharma...
You are 100%correct - But she does not view today's hand-in-glove relationship/symbiosis of government and corporate stranglehold as something that is bad.
Corporations promoting divisive identity policies has made the situation worse. Disney's brand for example is completely tarnished with about half of the population.
You are right. The example she cites of Apartheid South Africa is very different in that it was a small economy relative to the rest of the world and the majority of other countries imposed crippling sanctions on them. In the case of the US, it's GDP 25% of the world GDP, so it's not only is it not possible for the outside world to bring such pressures to bear as was done to South Africa, but there's also no such political will. Furthermore Apartheid South Africa is different in the sense that power hadn't changed hands at all before and was held by a very tiny minority that was vastly outnumbered. They also had numerous examples of mishandled decolonization going very badly for white minorities in other African countries in the preceding decades.
In the case of the US, it is the big corporations that are exacerbating the situation. Many of them actively shoving identity politics down our throats, Big Pharma price gouging on medicines, private prisons etc. And worst of all, the Military Industrial Complex robbing the country blind. Take for instance the military aid to Ukraine. Regardless of what you think about whether or not it should be sent, the fact is prior to Feb 2022, the US govt had ~$160 billion just lying around while there are hordes of homeless people all over America and literally human waste flowing through the streets of cities like Los Angeles. Combine that with a porous border with a failing Narco-state and its a powder keg that will explode sooner or later.
Aggressive majorities advocating is what works. Protest in the face of persecution.
I think she does. I hear her saying that corporations can choose a better path. If they do, they could actually help to prevent civil war. Lots of winning going on. 🙏🏼 @@pieterlaubscher863
I wouldn’t trust anyone on a CIA Task Force. So, the CIA said, you’re a private citizen just go do what you want with this sensitive information?
"Sensitive information"?? If what you can find on Wikipedia is 'sensitive' then ok Lols
well, she definitely missed the mark when she affirmed that business investment in the working class is the solution. corporations co-opting our would-be democratic government ARE the reason why our government is paralyzed and not implementing the word of the people.
.. and why the working class got so hurt; outsourcinig but also automation, driving corporate profits (rather than reinvestment into workforce), .... and same corporations took covid supply chain issues to increase prices and do "shrinkflation" to increase profits by raising prices and shrinking product.
They don't care about democracy, they care about short-term profits
She didn't "miss the mark". She is a liar. She is part of the Left side of the globalist plan. She IS the CIA's diseminator of misinformation. People on a TED talks level of engagement, choose their words carefully. She uses "democracy", when what we are trying to save is a Democratic Republic.
@@cgamiga Yeah, but that's her point. Eventually the division in our country will start to hurt profits.
I took it as they effed it up they can fix it. They took our voting power after all. Get money out of politics fast! Defund the politicians!!!
The country is paralyzed because all politicians are neck deep in "BAU". The i-phone immersed public is satisfied when the only thing Congress does is investigate. Nobody is demanding action.
One of the questions I have had for a while is how much control the donor class has over this movement. The 1% who want the administrative state disabled but do not want a civil war, which would be very bad for business. People tend not to buy things when they are too busy planning attacks on their own government and fellow citizens. The wealthy class got the SCOTUS they wanted, the tax cuts they demanded, and anti-union judges throughout the federal system. They just want to maintain control without the messy effects of mass violence and a ruined economy. They funded this movement. They set up the propaganda machine that radicalized tens of millions of voters. Do they have any power to reign things in or do these things just have a life of their own nobody can control? I'm guessing the latter.
In Europe something similar happens. -> Right-wing parties incite people.
I think the backing force is climate change - in combination with wealth disparity. Adds up to dynamite. (People have no guns in Europe ;-)
Both issues have a weird communication into public. Fears of lost ('Money & Home) increase.
We have lost control. We are scared to death speaking that out aloud.
That first test will be if Trump gets elected, gets rid of the parliamentarians, and possibly limit the DOJ, FBI, and the more minor stuff like getting hate groups to enact violence against certain people.
"The law of unintended consequences"...
The Donor Class dont care if the masses keep buying stuff ...because they dont make their fortunes investing in tangible products ... so they could care less about destroying our democracy and starving the country because they make their money on a global scale ..and if things go crazy here they'll just pack up and move to their mansions in Switzerland
It all comes down to us letting traitors and fascists continue to breathe.
She probably should have looked at South Africa today before using it as an example of integration and success.
You are assuming if South Africa kept Apartheid then it would be better today.
You are rebutting her theory, which is used by CIA and validated for decades around world, without any evidence.
Or you are saying Civil War in South Africa is still Better than Today's South Africa.
You better think clearly what you meant before you Post your opinion.
Or criticism of today's South Africa without solution is USELESS.
I get your point but in fact I don't think she was holding SA up as a perfectly just society. Indeed Northern Ireland is not fully functioning either as a true democracy at all currently. Rather the idea is that extended inter-community violence has been avoided by and large.
Arguably that is a preferable outcome.
Exactly, the worldview she represented helped destroy the most advanced nation in Africa and has only impoverished the people since Black rule took over. Violence and corruption are now endemic in S. Africa and this nation is truly headed towards racial civil war.
South Africa, Iraq, Turkey, Syria, the US and Ireland (and others, including countries in Africa) are great examples of how power mongers will exploit differences between peoples to gain power, money and control. Those differences can be as simple as what side of the tracks a group lives, what colors they wear, what language they speak, or what color their skin is to the complexity of their religious and political beliefs. There are leaders and followers/minions who share a basic hatred of people.
It’s basically a hatred of people; and their differences, whatever they are, is the excuse. It is the spirit of the antichrist.
S. Africa, like many other countries, has terrible problems. But it avoided Civil War at a time that it was widely expected-I vividly recall this period. Civil War is a whole different level of problems from those S. Africa has today.
Shes never been down to the working class level where everyone Is struggling to get by. We vote hoping things will get better and they never do.
That's because you vote for leftists. Vote for free-market politicians and things will get better IF they employ free-market laws.
@@TulsaSooner1979 Vote for those liberals then, and soon enough you will find yourself laid off because you are not competitive enough in the so-called free-market🤣Then you'll see what struggle this market is bringing to this nation's majority.
@@TulsaSooner1979 >things will get better IF they employ free-market laws.
No. We have free trade agreements with dollar-a-day wage countries. The free market has settled on a business model where paying American workers as little as possible is the best way to adapt. A tl;dr article touching on this is called "Trading Places" by MIT News.
If working class people voted for their interests, they would not be supporting rightwing types against their own interests all the time. If they are hoping republicans make things better for them, they first need to get in the habit of reading, having intelligent discussions and listening, things unfortunately not done nearly enough by that demographic. Trump knows his base, that's why he said he looooves the poorly educated.
The working class vote for the right wing because they want to and actually can get them employed by industry reshoring, but the democrats only want your job taken by cheap immigrant labors. That's why the working class supports people like Trump.
Very noteworthy that she only included the gender designation “white Men” when identifying the instigators in the US Capitol on Jan 6. When describing other groups inciting civil wars, she identifies an ethnic group with no gender-based subdivision.
Here’s the key point at 5:40
5:40 is the key. Consider the antebellum south as well.
It's the current thing.
Perhaps she should watch the film of the "police"opening barriers,un locking doors and ushering innocent people in,driven by fbi plants...then murdering a Vetran and jailing people that just wanted answers to the odd things that happened...if she thinks the cia isnt operating inside the country she is nuts...
@@tumtumtumtumexactly. It’s a common ploy these days. You have a presenter playing the race card, then uses gender to exempt herself.
I was appalled by the Jan 6 riots, but it was no more “male” than any other insurrection I’ve seen or read about. Indeed, there were a number of prominent female actors.
Sounds like she’s advocating exactly for the reasons Americans would fight against.
Yep. She basically advocates for one half of the country to keep pushing the same garbage that has brought us to the the brink of civil war; and for the OTHER half of the country to just accept it… in order to avoid civil war.
Good point. Does that mean CW is inevitable? Scary.
@@JorgeMartinez-ez1jl No, civil war is not inevitable, if we stop doing things that she is advocating like censorship and prosecuting political opponents.
@@JorgeMartinez-ez1jlI don't see a way around.
@@warthunder9155 how come you don't see a solution around a civil war in one of the most advanced countries in the world? Honestly, it is really scary that you do not see any other solution, as there are so many.
When has the CIA ever followed rules and legal restrictions?
CIA * yes Barbra you can make a Ted talk if you really want 😂
Everyday. Conspiracy baby.
All the time.
Never, but that’s their job.
@@Melrose51653oh no they got a track list. No conspiracy
What about non-ethnic divisions. Leftists vs. Capitalism, Old Ruling Class vs. Petty Bourgeois?
She was correct in her short description of the change in South Africa - but did not add that the country has been in a incompetent, corrupt downward spiral ever since
That sounds strangely familiar.
indeed but she only talked about stopping civil war not maintaining or impruving countries economics or social welfare
They dont dare mention that. Because the implication is clear. As is the implication arising from the crime wave that hit certain cities like Detroit and Chicago as soon as the demographics changed. And this is an implication that is too hard to accept for the educated class, since all of post-ww2 society has been built on a premise that forbids such implications from ever being considered.
Its much like the pedophilia scandals in the Catholic Church. During the 20th century more and more people knew but nobody dared to utter the truth. Only after the cultural sanctity of the Church had fallen below a certain point were people finally able to admit the truth openly and start working on the problem. The same thing goes for another sacred cow of modern society.
because all they want is to be elected "and live a life of luxury" ; while avoiding the job he was elected to do.
It’s so weird that you think an apartheid regime with slave labor was less corrupt. It’s just bizarre.
The one thing world governments might agree on is that social media are dangerous.
They are dangerous because ideas are dangerous. Governments that think to control their populations are threatened by ideas.
Says the one who's posting via social media
@@HMMELD He stated a fact not an opinion
And... "The peasants are revolting".
Freedom of the press is guaranteed only to those who own one. - A.J. Liebling
When a Constitutional Republic is transformed into a Multi-Cultural Democracy, there is nothing more inevitable then to break apart! Ancient Rome had many civil wars during their thousand year existence.
I don't want to live in a multi cultural democracy. My community never agreed to this.
@@themeangene Exactly right!
@@themeangene You have Obama & Biden to thank.
@@themeangene I WANT PEACE
The US is bot destined to rule forever. It’s natural and it’s time for the world to have a multipolar power structure, the vast majority of the world citizens are tired of American and western dominance
"Don't CENSOR free speech, just SUPPRESS it !!!" This lady is a GENIUS !! Why haven't we thought of that ?!?
You summed up why I hate these people very well, anon.
“I’m not saying that we should censor free speech… but if we take away their bullhorn.” Honey, that’s censorship 101. 10:55.
Watching this on the week of the eagle pass standoff hits different.
That hasn't received the coverage it's deserved. Which is very concerning.
We’re literally living in a cold Civil War
Yup, Clown World is old news.
💯💯💯💯💯
Hear,Hear
Yeah, mostly on the internet. Which is how we should keep it.
America is deep in cold civil war.
Two side that have a very different view of the future.
One side led by a criminal dictator.
Scary stuff for sure, but completely possible. Just look at how divided we are and how toxic our politics has become.
And you have Trump and these republicans to thank for this because they have become a party of dictators.
Vote green. Cornell West
If you don't vote blue you're giving Trump another chance.
@@Codeyx18- Our voting system is designed for two-party government. Until we change it to something like ranked voting, third-party candidates will only be spoilers, and they are almost always spoilers for the left in this country.
Remember president Ralph Nader? No you don't, because he never had any chance of winning, but you did have a chance of keeping Al Gore from being elected instead of George Bush, which is precisely what happened.
I understand. - I want to vote with my heart, but I have to vote with my head.
@@Northman1963 please blue hasn't done anything. they're good at making promises and breaking them.
There's no difference in my eyes. We need change. Complete change.
🎯 Key Takeaways for quick navigation:
00:04 *⚔️ The threat of civil wars globally*
- Over 250 civil wars have broken out since 1946, and the number continues to rise
- The speaker has studied civil wars for over 30 years, interviewing former combatants and witnessing conflicts
01:00 *🔍 Predicting civil wars through the CIA task force*
- The CIA's Political Instability Task Force aimed to predict ethnic conflicts and civil wars
- Two key predictive factors: anocracies (partial democracies) and political parties formed around identities rather than ideologies
03:31 *🇺🇸 Warning signs of civil war risk in the United States*
- The U.S. has been downgraded in its democracy rating three times since 2016
- In late 2020, the U.S. was officially classified as an anocracy, a key risk factor for civil war
05:30 *💥 Groups that tend to start civil wars*
- Not the poorest or most oppressed, but groups that were once politically dominant and are in decline
- Examples: Serbs in Yugoslavia, Sunnis in Iraq, and white men in the U.S. who see their status threatened
07:08 *🌍 Demographic changes and managing transitions*
- The U.S. is transitioning from a white majority to a non-white majority population
- Other countries will follow, making the U.S. a test case for managing this demographic shift peacefully
08:08 *🛡️ Addressing risk factors to prevent civil war*
- Improve rule of law, voting access, reduce corruption, and enhance government services
- Business community can demand real democracy and invest in neglected communities
10:42 *📢 Regulating social media algorithms*
- Regulate algorithms that amplify divisive and extremist content, not censor free speech
- Remove the "bullhorn" for hatemongers and enemies of democracy
11:48 *🕯️ Learning from civil war experiences*
- Those who lived through civil wars say they didn't see it coming, life seemed normal
- We have knowledge to prevent civil wars by fighting for strong democracies
Made with HARPA AI
I 100% agree that social media algorithms should be regulated. I think they should be forced to open source those algorithms so that they can be scrutinized in a publicly verifiable way to make sure that they are not biased towards amplifying the most negative posts. Also kudos to her for saying that there should be no censorship. But I'm concerned with her talking about suppressing so called "conspiracy theories." Who decides if something is a conspiracy theory or not? Many of them have been proven to be true after much smearing. All voices should be allowed, but Big Tech shouldn't be allowed to bias certain kinds of posts over others.
This is no TED talk. It's called Propaganda!
Exactly.
Algorithms should be politicaly neutral and transparent.
One man's "hate speech" could easily be another man's free speech, no one should have a right to decide what can be heard or said
I agree she seems super biased. Whatever gets her video more views.
Transparent social media algorithms would be valuable. I also agree they need to be agnostic; not promoting or demoting particular kinds of content for any political point of view. But if they start demoting content that is deemed misinformation (according to whom?), which of course they already do, we're in trouble.
Of course, there is willful misinformation out there, but the only right way to deal with that is to provide more accurate and thorough information. We need to allow debate instead, because silencing certain points of view is a path to authoritarianism.
The whole "It happened before. It will happen again. It's just a question of when." line from the Bruce Willis '98 movie _Armageddon_ applies to this subject as well. Good luck everyone. If history rhymes then in a few years things are going to go crazy world-wide for a couple of decades. Enjoy the roaring 20's while they last.
People call me crazy for predicting civil war, but it's probably one of the most reliable things to predict. Believing there WON'T be conflict is the delusional position to hold.
I would say the 1990s were the Roaring 20s because the US has been at war for basically two decades starting in 2001.
@@BurtKuttstadt Maybe - that's that's the thing with history rhyming. I see the war on Terror as something more akin to the decades long military intervention in Central and South America the US started in 1904 with the Roosevelt Corollary and continued for decades to help US corporations.
There's also that idea of an 80-year cycle so that the War on Terror was the WW1 event, the financial crash happened in 2008, and Putin invading Ukraine is the comparative WW2 event in which case the 2030's should be pretty sweet.
But with COVID happening just about 100 years after the Spanish Flu pandemic it's easy to keep with the 100-year cycle comparison too. And our booming economy reads to me like what it was historically back during the 1920's. Guess we'll just have to wait and see what happens in a few years.
That's not how it works. History does not magically repeat itself like that. There are a lot of different things happening every century, and there is nothing today indicating anything close to civil war, with the US remaining relatively stable now and in the upcoming future. There is no benefit for the government to initiate or encourage any kind of real war within the country. Don't let the fearmongering media get to you.
I'm 9, upside down, inside out, and one minute ahead of time d 6 I M M I 6 + 1 minute 'outbreaks' Albuquerque Philadelphia 2035 'We run Montana' British Militia Milley designed conop8888 a British zombie deterrent program. Yes, we'll be in a civil war!
I agree we are in perilous times. If Americans were left to our own devices, we would work it out. But the media and the political class benefit from our division. It keeps them in power. This can't end well in the short term until those who profit from division are removed from power.
I believe that democracies "always" work better with a greater percentage of the populous/citizenry committed to and engaged in the shared effort to make it work ; we still have a lot of that going on but we should be promoting an effort to regard it as much more of a central theme and engage less in divisive diversions that have been and/or are a source of instability. 😁😁🤔
@@stevekluesner4430 I 💯% agree. Well said. I know I am asking the impossible, but I wish we could just let the past be the past, and focus the present and the future. What is sad to me is we are in a position now truly for America to be all it was created to be. But we are so hung up in our flaws of the past, that we fail to see the potential that still lies ahead.
but it's astounding how many in government so easily and cheaply break their vows to support the constitution without any meaningful action against them..@@stevekluesner4430
@@stevekluesner4430 Exactly the opposite, as people become more involved with politics they take up positions and take sides, then they start to see people on the other side as wrong and a threat, think how when you were a teenager and politically neutral and got along with all your friends, but as you got older and some went left, some went right and now they don’t like each other.
As long as you have a powerful and overbearing govt that impacts your life then more is at stake, the more powerful the govt, the more invested you are to ensure that govt is doing what you want. Societies throughout history have eventually moved from limited govt to total govt and then collapse, Plato, Jefferson and other philosophers often talked about the inevitable outcome of democracy is tyranny.
Agreed. My only issue with conversations around this is that they make it seem like there isn't one group of people driving this. There is. Politics and media success comes from division. People are no longer elected because of their talent or merit. It's however they can paint the other side as a "monster."
The current regime, which has existed for the past 50 years, intentionally uses division to maintain power. We will overcome without them or crumble with them.
Wow she is bold. Hats off to this woman.
Bold liar!
That was quite a plot twist. Business can save us. I suppose they have the power. But it's not their mandate. When businesses are confronted with ethical choices and profit it'll be profit first. Businesses do not coalesce around social issues unless it's in their interest.
That's what she's saying -- it's definitely in their interest to operate in a non-war situation.
@@linguaphile42 You're right. But she glosses over important detail. How does that mechanism work because as obvious as it sounds, the history of the world is not one where businesses just do what it is good or even in their interests. Take climate change. I think I've made my point.
The line "businessess don't coalesce around social issues" was the response I got from my political science house mate when I asked him how come businesses did nothing as Zimbabwe collapsed. The mechanism which played out in South Africa was due to political and social pressure which affected the profits of foreign banks. In other words, they were concerned about profits (in the US) but this was due to the threat of their US clients punishing them not because of the crime against humanity playing out in South Africa.
Meanwhile, mining companies were perfectly happy to stay and even today they operate in problematic states extracting resources in cohoots with kleptocratic governments. During apartheid South Africa, several companies left selling their assets to those willing to take the risk while many remained. Businesses don't evaporate. Take IBM. They left, but instead operated through its subsidiary ICL. Many large multinationals remained such as cocacola, car manufacturers etc.
@@gazesalso645 I'm sure she's not saving that in every instance business leaders saved the day, but just pointing out that in the largest economy in the world, which has very little in common with Zimbabwe, business would have a marked interest in avoiding civil war, and could have a huge impact. Otherwise, we are SOL.
@@linguaphile42 well, did she not mention South Africa and Zimbabwe? Yes she did. Of course it's not every instance, but maybe just name one...
If what is moral and what is in the best material interest of a corporation are misaligned, and indeed as you seem to be suggesting, mutually at fundamentally odds then in means necessarily that what is moral cannot be derived by nature from which profit is, and could only be, understood to derive. I'm not a believer in God in the way you must be, but regardless of whatever religion you believe in, your teleology of a morality separate from nature is inconsistent with reason.
I love how one of the take home messages is "business can save us". LOL. Riiiiight. I won´t hold my breathe.
Collusion between government and business is one of the current political friction points.
@@bryannorris8049Corruption by the CIA and FBI as-well. Not a single institution can be trusted.
Her solution is to literally oppress her opposition even more 😂😂.
Who do you think? Trump, I expect. LOLOLOLOL
The most important questions to ask about Jan 6. Who was agent provocateur Ray Epps working for? Who was responsible for the National Guard to be absent from the Capitol. Who ordered the Capitol police to open the doors and escort the protesters inside and show them around like they were a bus load of aging tourists?
Ray Epps is a private citizen who does not work for any agency. He had a change of heart between calling for marching on the Capitol then seeing what actually was happening. Some people (not many, but some) snap out of the group think and start to realize they are doing something bad. It was Micheal Flynn's brother Charles working in the office that needed to activate the National Guard with the hours long delay to get them moving. The Capitol Police did not immediately start opening fire because it was all white people who were marching on the Capitol. If was all minorities the order to open fire would have come much, much earlier.
@@jd190d sure thing, lmao. People are now doing hard time for far lesser deeds than agent-provocateur Ray Epps. Watch the videos. The establishment has a long way to go to convince rational people that Ray Epps was not an agent provocateur. They finally went too far with this one.
@@ericanderson1846 No one needs to convince people what he is not. You need to have proof of what he is. Do you have definitive evidence of any ties to law enforcement? Just a hint; allegations, hearsay and conspiracy theories stated on some website are not objective proof.
@@jd190d there's more than enough evidence and testimony available now. Jan 6 was provoked and inflamed by the establishment, and framed and portrayed by the media as something it was not, for maximum psy-op effect. It will go down in history with the Tonkin missile event, Operation Mongoose, Iraq WMDs, Syria chem attacks, and Russiagate among a long list of amateurish psy-ops designed to distort public perception and achieve political goals. You don't need to be a "conspiracy theorist" in order to summon the genuine conspiracies documented in the historical record.
Spoken like a true CIA bot.
Since the cia can’t do this domestically, they hired her to do it for them… which is still illegal.
No, its not, she said that she did this privately which means she was not endorsed by the CIA. She merely used data that she came up with.
I left social media in 2015 because Facebook was so full of absolute crap being forwarded(shared) around that was irresponsible and irrational. People on social media don’t feel as if they need to be responsible. People on Twitter live getting flamed
I got on Twitter for about three weeks after Elon Musk bought it. It was the most toxic place I've ever seen in my life, and all indications from people I knew, was that Musk actually made it better. I just didn't need it.
WTF are you talking about ????
Same. Just too toxic and censored for my taste. (Although I do use my wife's account to get on Marketplace, the only redeeming part of Facebook).
Same here. And, I feel less stress and anxiety too!
In the U.S., Civil war is completely optional. We can avoid it by simply using Article V of the Constitution which invokes for a Convention of States to amend the constitution. COS from article V gives power to the people to have check and balances onto its government when the government has grown too powerful. The Convention of States (COS) is explicit in that 2/3 (two thirds) of the States must agree in having a convention, so 34 States. The COS movement started as a result of the Obama years and during the Obama years. Since then, 19 States have passed legislation through both of their chambers to agree to have a Convention of States as specified by Article V (Checks and Balances). Many other States have already passed it through one of their chambers. Their intention is to reduce the power of government, introduce a 2 term limit for Congress and to create fiscal responsibility. In other words, to cut off the money and power that the government currently has, forcing the government to no longer have access or benefit from both the media and the corporate powers. Look it up. Sign the form to request for a Convention of States. Educate yourself on Article V of the constitution.
I wonder who the majority of those states are? Looks a little, red.
Many, if not all, of those 34 states have been gerrymandered so ridiculously that the minority has been ruling the majority usually the rural minority population making statewide decisions over what the true majority population of the cities by cutting them up like pies.
Also, look how the rules were changed about SCOTUS appointments on one where McConnell said it was too close to an election to appoint a justice, & then literally appointing & voting on the appointment after they lost their majority.
Talk about TYRANNY!
A States convention will inevitably get to the debate surrounding the breadth of the 2nd Amendment as well as whether or not abortion is a constitutionally protected right. It would be a brawl.
When you say government, I think you mean Federal government, since the states are government also.
@@wanderer3004 Sounds like the confederacy trying to overthrow the Federal government and throw out the US Constitution.
Once you realize you have a problem responsible people find a solution. I live in the Houston TX area and when hurricanes or heavy flooding occurs people unite. Neighbors get the BBQ pits fired up then begin cooking for one another, in some cases their entire neighborhood! People simply pick up a hammer, saw, shovel, and walk into someone’s home, without being asked, and help rip out sheetrock, carpet, trash, and etc. I’ve often said a hurricane is good for society - it drives mankind to unite! No, I am not calling for hurricanes every year, but I would like for people to reflect on how much better they felt after ignoring all the rhetoric and simply getting busy helping one another! It’s a choice and a solution! Focus on one another then this irrational behavior will end.
We never learn. If you allow algorithms to broadcast one view, while denying equal broadcasting of that view's opposition, the view that is denied will surely believe that the system is unfair and seek to destroy it. That is happening today - and it is hastening what this woman fears.
And that’s exactly what she meant when she was talking about internet algorithms. If you engage with a certain type of content, the algorithm will keep showing you that content, and so it creates an “echo chamber” which only amplifies said belief. Now, we have to also question, just how much and what tech companies exactly are controlling the content we see?
Another thing I’ve seen a lot in the news and social media as a whole is how much these echo chambers widen the gap between the two sides, eg; right wing vs left wing. Our society also mixes identity with ideology, which further perpetuates this cycle of hating one another. Off topic, but this year’s Olympics definitely stands in as a representation of what’s happening in the world right now, it’s quite eerie how well of a metaphor that opening ceremony was for the current state of America (like how everyone now mixes identity and ideology). I definitely feel as though a civil war is on the rise in coming years
@@Har-tj1mt If I recall correctly, she advocates for social media algorithms that throttle what she calls "incendiary material" and "conspiracy theories." Who gets to judge what these are? Currently the algorithms now amplify the power structure's view while squelching its challengers. So, someone with a home on the southern border might feel dismissed as he watches "undocumented immigrants" abusing his land as they constantly cross it illegally. And when he tries to speak out about it, he is squelched while advocates for "undocumented immigrants" are heard worldwide lionizing the wonders of (ILL - can't say it) immigration. This is the stuff of civil war.
Culturally, I will argue that the country has been at Civil War since the counter culture if the 1960s. Since then it has steadily increased and now it's at some strange kind of breaking point. No idea how it all turns out.
The right will win. We will end every left wing social malaise that has wrought the conflict.
The 1960s was the decade that could have saved America, even if one truly believes the counterculture movement to be a damnation upon the country. Personally, I don't. There was an identity crisis there that could have been reshaped to establish diversity at an earlier cultural stage than the status quo. The fact is that it all went downhill from the day JFK was assassinated because that then made Vietnam unavoidable, and thus the collapse imminent.
@@ritualentertainmentif everyone popped a few shrooms and took a toke maybe all of us so called adults wouldn't fight so much.
The naïveté about the business community in this country is staggering!
the failure of progressive ideas in every city in America is staggering.
I’ve only ever heard Freiza use that word lol
@@ronaldreagan-ik6hzEven more staggering is Christian Reactionaries declaring war on women's rights (abortion bans) and even war on infertile couples (AL's IVF ruling).
@@filrabat1965 what is evern more STAGGERING is there have been 65.3 Million Abortions since 1973. just think about that! ........................................
@@alanskinner7031Most of them didn't have a brain able to process pain-signals or a nervous system able to transmit pain. Not possible for a fetus to be even arguably a person unless it has both. BTW, I'm an atheist, so don't pull any spiritual arguments on me.
What causes civil war is when a government violates the people's trust to a very high degree and for prolonged periods of time, like ours has for the last 14 years and like ours is doing with our department of justice and with our open border and in the process forces major burdens upon the people that the people find to be intolerable. What we have here is an autocracy, not a democracy or a republic, but a lawless, unconstitutional autocracy. That is what our government has evolved into and that is what causes civil wars. Than there are the people caught up in the cloud of misinformation or disinformation, which is used by our corrupt governments to divide the people, thereby creating an army for its defense and pitting them against the people rising up against the tyranny. Can't have a civil war if our corrupt government doesn't have an army to fight it.
People are more concerned about individual rights not the whole of all people living together
The more you mix people and dilute the common bonds between people, the more what you just stated will be true
As the saying goes, "If we want things to stay the same there are going to have be changes around here".
“The algorithm should not propagate things that are Bad.”
So who exactly decides what’s “bad..?”
The algorthm doesn’t make or provide the content. The algorithm pushes the content. So the only true neutrality is by providing content based on search relevance only, rather than a snowballing pushing of content based on history etc
liberal social media is a cancer. amen for Twitters fight for free speech
She does, obviously.
God
You look a video you are interested in and the algorithm gives you an ocean of the same.
This stops you from seeing different stories and opinions and together with your neighborhood drives you into a boubble
Considering the new events going on, this episode needs updating.
No. It’s right on. You just have to know what is going on!
Free and fair elections. Get rid of the machines and mail in voting unless a ballot is requested. Same day voting needs to occur in each precinct and every voter must be able to prove they're a citizen.
I agree but there’s little hope. We’re the blind electing fools.
Counting paper ballots by hand has been proven to be less accurate than electronic counts and takes days to count versus only hours for electronic votes.
Put voting on blockchain. Biometric block-chain voting.
@@shonsxxx do you really want the government to be able to track you thru biometrics?
@@pigbearcub The past 3 elections have proven that statement to be false. It has taken weeks/months for some states to release official numbers. Not to mention the human malfeasance that we are consistently seeing electioneering in the cases of voting machines. Nobody is buying that whole "electronic voting is safe and fast!" bs anymore. We've seen that it is neither fast nor safe.
I think what’s been shared by Barbara Walter here isn’t anything new, and if she brought anything to the table is her credibility & more weight to her points. What’s often missing is the acknowledgement of the gap between understanding the concepts and the actual actions that can produce the real outcome. Accountability of our lawmakers and actual measurable steps towards true democracy (and not plutocracy) are often left out. An idea without an action is still nothing but a noise. What can we ACTUALLY do about it? Civil Wars also happen because people are often left without or they think they are left without any other options.
Only had to watch 2 mins of this to see that this woman is just another America hating globalist
So civil war it IS!
The U.S. was not founded as a democracy. It was founded as a constitutional republic. The people who started the U.S. though (rightly so) that the issues of rural folks are just as important as the issues of urban folks. The same applies to other small groups.
If anything, the founders granted the rural regions and, especially the south, political power and influence way out of proportion of their percentage of
the overall white male population. Institutions such as the Electoral College, US Senate, the counting of enslaved blacks as "3 fourths of a person"
to boost the numbers of congressional House seats from southern states. Was all done to allow the slave states to dominate the national agenda
through political alliance with western frontier states and mid-atlantic commercial-driven states with large Irish immigrant populations that could
be mobilzed by early Democratic "Machines" in urban areas such as New York and Philadelphia.
That is why of the 15 Presidents before Lincoln. Most were Southern slave owners or northerners who were friendly to Southern interests.
Only the New England-based John Adams and his son, John Quincy Adams, presidencies could be called pro-Northern sectional interests
and both were effectively neutralized by strong southern/northern allied interests in Congress.
What the election of Lincoln represented was the rise of Northern sectional power not only in the White House but in the US Congress as well.
The South could see that its control of the national agenda was gone so they picked up their ball and tried to leave. They effectively flipped over
the chess board when they saw they couldn't win every game.
First off, I’d like to ironically thank the algorithm for sending me this. Secondly, I hope more sane and sober people are paying attention to things than it really appears as trials and elections quickly approach…
I would agree that America is closer to ACW2 than at any other point in the last 60 years. I would probably disagree with her over the reasons behind it, and those pushing for it. It would also be nice if these talking heads quit referring to “democracy” for the US. We are a republic with democratically elected representatives. Not that our representatives are actually interested in representing us, and our bureaucrats have never met a limit they aren’t comfortable ignoring and happy to abuse us.
If given a choice, would you rather live in a democracy or a republic? No one I ask this seems to think.
@@PatrickThreewitA republic. Democracies have literally no safe guards. The entire point of the American system is that it's different types of governments mixed together all with different competing interests so that you don't end up jumping off a cliff all at once.
The US is a democracy… a representative democracy. There is a difference between representative democracy and direct democracy. A constitutional republic is not a direct democracy, but it is a representative democracy.
White boy has entered the chat
"We know that the people intent on violence have a playbook", comes from the lady whos organization have started coups around the world..🤞
It's hard to take her seriously when she's contracted by the C.I.A. Yes, that fair minded neutral bunch out for the good of humanity who just happen to help create the conditions for civil war all over the globe over and over. She also said the Sunnis started the civil war in Iraq as if the US invasion hadn't happened. What a joke.
Dont trust someone who was on a CIA task force monitoring the world for civil wars probabilities because they usually start them😂 she is a civilian 😎Yeah right
there’s a difference between trusting someone and considering what their argument is.
What exactly do you think she’s wrong on?
😂
@@codykuch5293Well, she basically scapegoated every example to blame other groups for what happened. That should have been obvious when she blamed the Sunnis in Iraq, instead of the US for literally invading the country and toppling the government.
CIA Communist International Association
FBI. Fascist Bought Insurrectionists
She was part of the"political instability task force"... that should tell you all 😂
At 4:34, it is absolutely false and this analyst knows it because of videos stating the opposite of what she is stating as "fact." If in fact there had been a "real" insurrection, America would have gone into a widespread Civil War not localized to Washington DC, but in fact nationwide and it wouldn't have been citizen against citizen, but would have been citizens against our Government. In essence, the real problem is not that we're liberal or conservative, nor black or white, the problem is that we as citizens need to recognize it's us (the American citizens) against them (the Government and Deep State). If America ever wakes up and unifies, the Global agenda of the Elites will disintegrate overnight and we will once again, be a truly FREE Country.
The solutions she presented make no sense.
"Ensure everyone has equal access to the vote"
Okay, but how does that stop the government from basically doing whatever they want? It sounds like reducing government power would be a better solution.
"Manipulate the algorithm so that some people can speak button one can hear them"
I can get behind that *on the condition that I get to decide* who is allowed to be heard. If that sounds like a bad deal then it's a bad deal when someone else decides, too.
A better solution would be to stop playing identify politics.
"Manipulate the algorithm so that some people can speak button one can hear them" That's not what she said and probably not what's needed. The problem currently is that the algorithms tend to *amplify* divisive rhetoric because it drives so called engagement. The first step would be to just get rid of those algorithms.. *stop* manipulating who gets heard.
Agreed. Her solutions make no sense because it's the same solutions that the extremists leftist use. She didn't say anything that different than what we hear from the liberal media.
Stopping "the government from basically doing whatever they want" is the purpose of the 2nd Amendment to the US Constitution.
@@dr.a.w- lol, no
Maybe there should be consequences for lawmakers who repeatedly violate the constitution. Instead of us taxpayers having to pay for unconstitutional laws to be defended in court, make the lawmakers who passed them personally foot the bill.
I was almost 8 minutes into this wondering, "How have I heard this before? It just came out 4 days ago and I haven't watched it yet." I read her book years ago and this speech is nearly verbatim - great book if anyone is looking for more on this topic.
America can't win a Civil War between two sides who'll never concede.
It'll be opportune for China to wait until an actual Civil War breaks out, before taking Taiwan and other nations in the South Pacific (where the resources would be the treasure)?.
This speech is still part of the usual mainstream propaganda. She's cherry picking data and blaming one side.
Thanks for noting her book. I'll go find it right now. This is SO important to understand and act on.
...found it on Audible - "How Civil Wars Start" by Barbara F. Walter. Thanks again!
I never desire to converse with a man who has written more than he has read. - Samuel Johnson
The irony of having a conversation about discussing the predictability of civil war with the CIA 😂 The cognitive dissonance is breathtaking
This is what I'm saying
Its like they don't understand that you don't give fire to children
I don't think you know what cognitive dissonance is.
all the conflicts and civil wars they started soooo they're experts
Ikr? Literal woke fed.
The CIA is a government run agency and uses Data Analytics different, i.e. opposite, of managers. I work for a different agency than the CIA, and they use data analytics to drill down and manage specific departures from standards (or at least try to). The CIA is doing the opposite but will eventually serve the same end goal. They are building models to predict. In the future, the government will use these and millions of other models to implement a quantum powered AI police state. Such will go into effect during a national emergency crisis. The system will use algorithms that harness these models to identify, predict, and control behavior deemed to deviate from the established social and behavioral standards set by the administrators of the police state, irrespective of judicial or congressional control or popular opinion. It will require Jesus fanatics, as myself, to compromise their core beliefs. In my well-founded opinion, they will ask Christians and all people to sell their beliefs and immortal souls to comply to the new rules of law and order, which will rest in a single government digital currency controlled by the state and the AI system. The aim of the system will be to maintain social order and create world peace, but it will fail. Billions will die. You don't have to be a Bible thumper to see this coming. Accept Jesus as your redeemer before your window of opportunity closes.
L-O-L listen to HER. One look at the TED logo and I knew what this would be. Good God...
This has been so obvious for so long. Thank you for saying it out loud
If you don’t live in a liberal echo chamber, you know that that Trump supporters have been talking civil war for a while. It’s nothing new. When they try every which way possible to remove your president from power, then go so far as to indict him and keep him off the ballot, that is like kicking half of the country in the nuts and spitting on them, when they control the vast majority of US land and guns, what do you think the outcome will be?
One factor unconsidered is whether there's an issue that at least one side sees as existential and beyond compromise. Most civil wars have been about who would be king, or whatever title, because only one person can be the ruler in a monarchy or dictatorship, so that uncompromisable and existential: if your side loses, you might be killed. If I'm going to look at at a country in terms of how likely it is to break out in civil war, my first question will be what is the uncompromisable issue?
King Donald
Good vs. evil. Both sides feel they are the good. Me included.
@@RichardSmith-bl5vj And the events of January 6th bears that out.
I'm 9, upside down, inside out, and one minute ahead of time d 6 I M M I 6 + 1 minute 'outbreaks' Albuquerque Philadelphia 2035 'We run Montana' 'British Militia' Milley designed conop8888 a British zombie deterrent program. Yes, we'll be in a civil war!
border, look at el paso or NYC now.,. The mass flow of migrants changes people politcally
“So here I was sitting in a conference room in suburban Virginia four times a year planning US backed coups around the globe in a room full of CIA agents when I suddenly wondered why we won’t don’t talk about civil war here in the US”
Lmao
I was wondering if I was the only one who recognised that (salient) point, smh. In my country there is a most apt saying - "Do so does not like so" i.e. those who do things to others don't like when it happens to them.
"I didn't see it coming" may be the most prophetic words of this awesome speech. .
Have you analyzed the causes of the Civil War between the North and South to see if your studies hold true for those times? I'm just curious. I listened intently to what you said and hope your message gets through to everyone. I have been terribly afraid of just this happening here. It almost seems our government is pushing our people to fight one another. 😢
Our civil war was far different then most of the civil wars in world. If you look at the Spanish civil war. It matches pretty close to what is happening today. The American civil war was a failed rebellion where the south wanted to become it's own country separated from the north. Regular civil wars is two groups fighting for control of the whole country.
@@tobyyawn24yeah, US civil war was more like Brexit but Lincoln’s EU forced them to be part of the union? For us in 2020, I really think Mike pence helped us avoided another civil war. Thank God Pence didn’t go along with trump’s plan on Jan 6. Anyway, hope US will listen to this Ted talk and rise above our problems and continue to be a nation for the rest of the world to emulate and copy from… rather than self destruct and become laughing stocks of dictators like Putin and Xi. Com’on fellow Americans!
That is exactly what is happening, the US government is there to divide and divide some more
@@tobyyawn24 Yes, but it was still very much a clash of two cultural identities, which lines up perfectly with what she's saying.
You mean the racists in our government, most of which are in and vote for the Republican party.
I think we'd have an easier time changing our government than we'd have in getting social media companies to do the right thing.
Governments can regulate or even neuter social media. It happens in many countries that lean into despotism. "Liberal" governments have to step up and REGULATE. In particular, the US should revoke Section 230 of the Communications Decency Act 1996 that says social media companies are not PUBLISHERS.
@@eattherich9215 Regulate aka censorship.
Force all social media cites to allow all constitutionally guaranteed speech.
@@warthunder9155 I'm for that. Other than where the law limits free speech such as falsely screaming fire in a crowded theater, there shouldn't be censorship unless it meets the clear and present danger test. We would need to change our congress people to ones that would pass such a law though. ..... or we just need one social media company to stand up and do the right thing. Rumble ain't it. They swung too far to the other extreme and allow anything which advertisers run from.
@@AnimMouse regulating does not equal censorship. it would remove incentive from boosting certain types of content beyond their organic reach. Eg. facebook's current algorithm boosts content that promote hate, violence and conspiracy because people have such strong reactions to it (positive or negative). it would temper that so harmful material would stay contained to its natural spread and not move beyond a normal reach. that's not censorship. thats just un-mediated information spread.
Knowledge is power. I hope the US can prevent political violence.
They are the ones that cause it
Who is 'they'? @@dreamworknow
the question is who's knowledge? leftist knowledge is pure garbage.
Unfortunately, it’s way too late buddy…. People are angry, getting desperate, filled with rage, losing all sense of rationality
Does lawfare count as violence? I kind of think so.
its amazing that someone can be so right and yet so wrong at the same time.
"We must silence the bullhorns of bullies and hatemongers" ~ Dr. Walter
But who determines who the bullies and hate mongers are???
@@peteferryman5931 that's not exactly correct. They can't be silenced, but the public can be trained to detect influence and deception. The issue is, businesses rely on the same tactics so there is an incentive to not. Read Bernays -- 'Crystalizing public opinion' is in the public domain, I believe 'Propaganda' turns 95 this year as well.
@@peteferryman5931Jews do. Duh
Start with BLM and Antifa.
The protesters in the streets after October 7th must be a surprise to Dr. Walter. Those hatemongers turned out to be DNC voters--whodda thunk it?
The impending US crisis won't look like the last U.S. Civil War. Thankfully, there isn't the simplistic north/south distinction for battle lines to be drawn upon. I anticipate multitudes of regional hotspots of somewhat organized violence which will be painfully, slowly, but inevitability extinguished over time.
Civil wars are self-extinguishing - when a winner emerges.
It's time to pick a side, are you with or against corruption? Right now you can fight your battles in courtrooms, in newspapers & across dining room tables, if you leave it you'll be fighting in the street & on your lawn.
One thing is for certain. The first side to exchange ballots for bullets will certainly fail.
an excellent description but I dont think it will be as slow as you think look at Portland its really run down hill.
Commie tube blocked my first post. Geographical boundaries have to be established before any civil war. Are the inner cities those boundaries?
it'd be a slaughter. the slighted who fear losing power in the US are also the majority of preppers, gun owners, militia, cops, military/retired, etc. only things gettin extinguished, is democracy & then us.
The antidote to war is not love, it’s money.
As long as folks have mortages and truck payments to make, and there is enough left over for Double Whoppers, there is no time for a civil war.
@@cllwyddvery well said
Seems like people forget about Edward Snowden And Julian assange
I especially love that the establishment is well aware of the fact, they've completely screwed everything up. They sent a soothing mouthpiece to dissuade tensions and revolt. But that may be precisely what's needed to reset the tide. I long for peace like every man. However, peace at the expense of high costs and low pay is not something any of us wants.
Well somebody wants it thus we have a wide open border to keep it that way!
You cannot suppress bad ideas . You have to leave them in the open air and defeat them with good ideas . Censorship is not the solution . IT IS THE PROBLEM !
At the 7:40 mark, I'm not sure what climate change has to do with people moving from the global south to the north. I think jobs and opportunities make people move in masses, not the weather.
The worst case scenarios for this are such that should they come about, they’ll bring “weather” that will cause people to run. It’s just a matter of how far, how fast and even if they can. But they are *worst case scenarios.*
Climate change can potentially make certain areas uninhabitable, thus making migration a necessity for survival.
I suggest reading the article on the CFR website: Climate Change Is Fueling Migration. Do Climate Migrants Have Legal Protections?
@@OneTheBlue I am not a climate change denier but I think the "possibility" of climate change causing migration from one spot to another on earth is unlikely. People live in almost every corner of the earth hot and cold and have been for centuries.
@@robertholland3966 It has more to do with agriculture and access to water. It's not really about comfort levels. It's true that people can adapt to almost any climate, but when the change happens rapidly, there is no time for adaptation.
She founded “The View” TV show, however, and it seemed OK with her that most on the panel were wildly left. So take a grain of salt on what she says.
4:00 We are NOT a democracy. Stop manipulating the language! We are a constitutional republic. The language MATTERS.
Six of one half dozen of the other.
Well, at least we agree there is a divide and it’s a hard problem. Was shocked to get to the end and find out you think social media recommendation engines are the perpetuator of the massive ideological divide. What you’ve sincerely misread/miscalculated is the size of the population whose choices are inherently tied to traditional family values and how they were raised. Identity politics in the US isn’t tied to race and sexual orientation… but to those who would subscribe to a moral framework based on the 10 commandments and to those who believe they should be unaccountable to a shared morality.
So the only "moral" people in the world are those who share a narrow interpretation of one religion? I think not.
@@deborahrivera6064 You’ve misread what I meant. “Moral Relativism” is held by a substantial percentage of our population, and those who hold that view are what I was referencing. By that view, individual actions are governed by a “it depends” or “based on how I feel” view rather than a long-held belief of right and wrong. I’m not saying that those who hold to a morality based on the Ten commandments are always moral. Far from it. What I am saying is that they don’t play naive to what’s right and wrong- or dismiss a challenge to their actions.
Social media algorithms don't care about the truthfulness of the writing. They get excited about writings that evoke the most emotions. The best of all, according to social media algorithms, are the writings that arouse joy in fans and anger in opponents. They are read and shared the most. Ads are shown in between. This is why, for example, the writings of Greta Thunberg and Donald Trump quickly raise up on social media. And when an article appears on social media, the click media will also add it to their lists. Soon it will be seen in the media of the entire country. Main media outlets also asks the opinion of other celebrities about the issue that has come up from social media.
Actually, the woke group is a small but loud group. What ever they do, gets incredibly good exposure on social media thanks to these algorithms.
If the algorithms were rewritten, things would perhaps settle into their proper proportions. You can't get fame and visibility by trolling anymore.
@@masalli “Woke people “ view through ideology, not identity.
@@marjorielloyd-waluye2502 Yes. And Trump cultists are same kind of ideological group. Just another side of political spectrum.
If anyone has some general concept of our political systems current turmoil like myself, it is not groundbreaking to realize we're heading for a civil war.
Yes, but it must not be violent! Use the tools provided by Dr. King and Gandhi to effect essential change by maintaining essential moral authority, peaceful non-compliance. Over time, I think the Union itself will be dissolved, not only due to economic problems but social and political philosophy.
@@alexp3752 if what the speaker proposes does come to pass it will absolutely be violent. and it will disproportionately impact poor black and brown people. It starts with attacking women, migrants, non-christian religions, people of color, disabled people, queer people - and then they will create structures that permanently oppresses anyone who is not a white christian man.
@@alexp3752I hope it gets done that way but how long will it take when politicians basically ignore or walk out the room when folks are speaking of issues;gerrymandering districts to benefit one side;banning books telling of Americans real history and culture and taking away some peoples right to vote or making it difficult to vote. Some people’s patience is wearing thin.
@@Nitebug61you never left the plantation. You're gonna die for the wrong side.
@@alexp3752 , no, political dissolution does not have to be violent. The Soviet Union, of all places, showed us that was true. But, when you talk about peaceful dissolution, you are asking the people who benefit from that not happening, and who control the military and federal police agencies, to go along with the will of the people. And, I don't think they care much about the will of the people.
This is the one who starts civil wars))) Now we finally see your face)))
I am lost here.... At around 11:15, she basically says we shouldn't limit free speech and then immediately says we should take away the bullhorn of those who amplify... So their free speech now isn't free anymore. So, who makes this determination about what should be censored, Ms. Walter?
Nice point.
There is a huge difference between "Free Speech" and hateful, paranoid demagoguery, whether from the right or left. Free speech is the right to express your opinions on policy questions, not to spread paranoid lies about the people you love to hate!
@@thomasellis8586 Who is the arbiter of “love and hate”?
@@thomasellis8586no there isn’t a difference. You’re conflating acceptable or polite speech with free speech.
@@thomasellis8586 You stated: "Free speech is the right to express your opinions on policy questions, not to spread paranoid lies about the people you love to hate"
Are you proposing anti-gossip & anti-maligning legislation? If that's the case, social media will be shut down, as will most, if not all, news outlets & political commentators will need to find other means of employment. That leaves a one-party rule w. resultant communism led by a dictator or despot, & kept in power by a formidable governmental Dept. of Propaganda. Yes, that has historically worked out for...no one.
Key Points by Sonnet AI:
0:12: Predicting the growing global threat of civil wars is feasible.
2:07: Highly predictive factors include anocracy and identity-based political parties.
3:35: US democracy downgraded thrice since 2016 due to concerns of instability.
5:50: Civil wars often initiated by previously dominant but declining groups.
6:40: US demographic change requires managed transition for a diverse democracy.
7:08: Climate change might accelerate shifts as global South citizens migrate north.
8:17: Transition management demands addressing anocracy, enhancing rule of law, and reducing corruption.
10:42: Regulation curbs influence of bullies, hatemongers, and conspiracy theorists.
12:39: Prioritizing strong democracy is crucial to prevent civil wars and ensure peace.
00:01 to end: CIA asset tries to justify deep state actions to take your freedom and profiteer off it.
Thanks buddy
@@CatapultLeadership 00:01 to end: CIA asset tries to justify deep state actions to take your freedom and profiteer off it.
The US Imperialist bosses are obsessed with communism the are only interested in Democracy that produces the right outcomes for them. They in fact encourage and prolong civil wars to defend their Imperialist profit system. That is the whole purpose of the CIA to begin with.
Thanks for the summary 🥲
It's not a Democracy, it's a Constitutional Republic. That's the playbook. Deviate from it at your own peril.
No it's The United States of America. if you wanna live in a place called a republic may I suggest the People's Republic of China or Republic of China though I would suggest the later because they have an actual democracy unlike the former which does not.
@@zakglove6536 The form of government of the United States is and always has been a Constitutional Republic. You clearly failed Civics 101.
@@zakglove6536 It's literally a Constitutional Republic. Quit denying facts . You are part of the problem. Be better.
@@zakglove6536 You are trying to be smart. Keep trying.
@@TulsaSooner1979 Where does it say Republic in the Constitution? Oh it doesn't.
That's just your opinion or Carrie Lakes opinion. If you really wanna classify it then you could say it's a Federal Democratic Republic. Calling it a republic lacks the fact that it's the United States "states" being the key word here.
We would go to civil war, not because of what people look like, but how people are telling us how we have to live... Most of us that would rise up embrace diversity, not stupidity and being told what we have to do, be, or act... Good luck in all your future endeavors...
The algorithms of social media must be neutral. Favoring one side, or view point will start a civil war, and such a war would be justified.
Woe to the fake news workers.
Oh, how convenient that all the "solutions" proposed by this so-called "expert" JUST SO HAPPEN to also be measures that would make the United States a more just, more compassionate, and more liveable society for everyone.
You don't like just, compassionate or livable?
@@alanhat5252I think IronMongoose was being a bit tongue in cheek
😂Comment had me in the first half, ngl
Here solutions, in my opinion, sound like mainstream media, leftist talking points.
@@hvacanimated I guess if you see it in the mainstream media, then it logically follows that they can't possibly be true then.
So much for the great replacement being just a theory.
Precisely!
Nice.
Edible Plant List (Not including most crops):
This list is very incomplete but these are the species I know about. I strongly encourage you to look into and learn about these plants. Also grow your own crops (those plants are not on this list since most of them are common knowledge) and herbs (mint, parsley, etc.). Check your climate zone, USDA hardiness zone, annual precipitation and temperature before planting anything or attempting to forage for wild edibles.
Temperate
Bee Balm
Bugleweed
Cattail
Chives
Clover (both white and red)
Coneflower (echinaceae)
Dandelion
Daylily
Evening-Primrose
Greenbrier (young leaves and stems)
Hibiscus
Hosta
Plantain (weed)
Rose (fruit/hips)
Sunflower
Tulip
Wild Grapes (careful not to confuse with moonseed)
Wild Rice
Wood Sorrel (in small amounts; large amounts can be toxic)
Desert
Agave (sap)
Pinyon Pine (seeds and inner bark)
Prickly Pear (pads after removing spines, fruit)
Polar and Sub-Polar
Arctic Raspberry
Cloudberry
Cranberry
Hyperbolic
@@grammaticalchainsaw7318 How? It's an edible plant list...
Anyone else feel like they are being gas lit watching this?
It's CIA and Democrat propaganda.
Nope.
Listen - don’t think. I believe your head is smoking!
Gaslighting can only be done by those you have a great deal of trust in (ie family). No one trusts the CIA.
"The best lack all conviction. The worst are filled with a passionate intensity." It went something like that.
I would challenge the theories laid out by Ms Walter. Not all Civil wars follow the criteria, specifically in placed like the Ukraine and Vietnam.
1) "Most influential factors in" does not equal "Are sole & determinative factors of"; 2) Both of those were situations of outside colonial power reasserting control, which led to war.
@@н.джед.т - like I said- you should study the Ukraine Civil war, go back to 2006
@@GetsumJ Okay. 2006. How, exactly, did Yushchenko's pretty face get spoiled by dioxin? Heavy farming, was he?
Немножко слышал уже. Цветная, ладно, но простая гражданская? И, на самом деле, "anocracy" была.
She said "they tend to be started by the group who stands to lose the most power", not every single civil war in the world is started by groups who stand to lose the most.
Multinational Corporations should pay taxes where profits are made. No more tax exemptions and evasions.
Who else thinks the CIA absolutely monitors the United States citizens illegally?
Duh
It is more theoretical than actually law that the CIA breaks.
I think Snowden showed us that.
Everyone monitors us. Everything you do on your computer, everything you do on your phone, everywhere your car goes, everywhere your phone goes, everything you buy, how much money you withdraw...you name it.
Of course they do! How do you think these agencies thwart terrier attacks?!?!
Watching this groveling before the Unelected Business Tyrants to "please, save us" is an eye opening presentation of exactly what Karl Marx would call "the Dictatorship of the Bourgeoise".
Yeah, like one thing she mentions is business making education more accessible. What is the mechanism for that, and more essentially, why would they do it? (They still can't bring themselves to help better fund healthcare and minimum wage.) We need the government to step up to the plate.
Then The USSR would become a dictatorship of the bureocrats and politicians....
Karl Marx sent Abe Lincoln a fan letter.
@@Ron-rs2zl Correct
@@jaykay415 Considering government is in cahoots with them....
So to prevent civil war we need to regulate social media? So who will do the regulating?
How about we regulate our crooked government oops😂
Not regulate content, regulate the algorithms being used. There is a difference between the two....
Exactly, the MSM and journalists are the biggest peddlers of lies and propaganda but she wants to regulate social media to censor us.
War does not determine who is RIGHT or who is WRONG just who is LEFT
The problem with censorship of social media is who will determine what is censored. This is the problem with no easy solution. There will always be biases as to what is permissible. So this is a BAD IDEA!
She is not talking about censorship. She is talking about making sure the algorithm doesn't promote or amplify a certain message. Like China controls Tik Tok and the algorithm their children use and the content they see is totally different than the one ours do. It's not by accident. It makes sense. She's talking about the democratization of algorithms. not the same thing as censorship. Burning books. that's censorship.
@@rulaj1 Twitter or X algorithm is now open sourced, and seeing how it works, it does not promote or amplify a certain message, what it does is simply show more posts that you like, like if you are like seeing cat pictures, more cat pictures will appear on your feed. What she is actually proposing is to stop you from seeing cat pictures on your feed.