Ilya Sutskever (OpenAI Chief Scientist) - Building AGI, Alignment, Spies, Microsoft, & Enlightenment

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 8 มิ.ย. 2024
  • Asked Ilya Sutskever (Chief Scientist of OpenAI) about
    - time to AGI
    - leaks and spies
    - what's after generative models
    - post AGI futures
    - working with MSFT and competing with Google
    - difficulty of aligning superhuman AI
    Hope you enjoy as much as I did!
    Transcript: www.dwarkeshpatel.com/p/ilya-...
    Apple Podcasts: apple.co/42H6c4D
    Spotify: spoti.fi/3LRqOBd
    Follow me on Twitter: / dwarkesh_sp
    Timestamps
    00:00 Time to AGI
    05:57 What’s after generative models?
    10:57 Data, models, and research
    15:27 Alignment
    20:53 Post AGI Future
    26:56 New ideas are overrated
    36:22 Is progress inevitable?
    41:27 Future Breakthroughs
  • วิทยาศาสตร์และเทคโนโลยี

ความคิดเห็น • 1.3K

  • @paulcnichols
    @paulcnichols ปีที่แล้ว +1180

    Ilya is 100% signal, 0% noise. Really great interview.

    • @leatheljamie
      @leatheljamie ปีที่แล้ว +9

      You can be too based, not saying he is, but it's good to dream, it inspires ideas, it creates motivation.

    • @neithanm
      @neithanm ปีที่แล้ว +58

      Repeated corporate-approved answers like refusing to answer with lame "...it's very promising..." is not noise to you? And many answers with non sequitors or directly changed subject? We shouldn't turn off our critical thinking just because someone we like is talking... 🤦‍♂

    • @codediporpal
      @codediporpal ปีที่แล้ว +3

      Definitely not an interview I could listen to while cooking!

    • @oohboi2750
      @oohboi2750 ปีที่แล้ว +13

      @@neithanm Exactly. You can really feel the media training he had to pass through before doing this interview. He's much less 'noisy' than Sam Altman with his Lew Friedman interview, but still.

    • @vincentwong3156
      @vincentwong3156 ปีที่แล้ว +9

      @@neithanm how do you give a definite answer when there's uncertainty? the future is probabilistic.

  • @amulpatel
    @amulpatel ปีที่แล้ว +549

    Hearing his responses, I can’t help but admire his clarity and intellect

    • @mistycloud4455
      @mistycloud4455 ปีที่แล้ว +18

      agi will be man's last invention

    • @webgpu
      @webgpu ปีที่แล้ว +2

      @@mistycloud4455 you seem very pessimistic

    • @webgpu
      @webgpu ปีที่แล้ว +8

      on the other hand, our friend dwarkesh, when formulating a question, seems to _ask_ it first, and then, _think_ about what he just asked later. looks like a teenager trying to "come up with smarty questions"... (ah, those adolescents...) machinegunning his questions, instead of calmly asking them, giving time for the guest to answer, then give some more time to ponder upon the guest's answer.

    • @peter9477
      @peter9477 ปีที่แล้ว +19

      @@webgpu I think you're misinterpreting the effect of editing. Ignoring the fast jumps from the edits, I found him an excellent interviewer, with well conceived clear and interesting questions, and the patience to let the guest answer at length, or to pause and think. Unusually good really.

    • @webgpu
      @webgpu ปีที่แล้ว

      @@peter9477 your impression is the opposite of mine. perhaps you're as young as him.

  • @adambutton1459
    @adambutton1459 ปีที่แล้ว +468

    I've seen so many interviews with the top people at OpenAI and this is BY FAR the best one. You ask the important questions and resist all the boring traps. So good. More like this please.

    • @jomalomal
      @jomalomal ปีที่แล้ว +24

      I think the recent Lex Friedman one with Sam Altman was pretty awesome too

    • @favesongslist
      @favesongslist ปีที่แล้ว +20

      Sam Altman interview by Lex Fridman is very good

    • @MrValgard
      @MrValgard ปีที่แล้ว +15

      Idk a lot of pre assumptions in question and answers was 'ir depends'. Lex one was the best so far

    • @Somerled_Pox
      @Somerled_Pox ปีที่แล้ว +14

      I think Lex/Sam was better, but that's because I think Lex was the better interviewer (granted I assume he has a lot more experience in that field)

    • @LastEmpireOfMusic
      @LastEmpireOfMusic ปีที่แล้ว +17

      @@Somerled_Pox no Sam was clearly trained, same as zuckerberg to mention positive bullshit phrases all the time when it was possible. while Ilya seems like a scary cyborg himself already.

  • @sxyqt3.14
    @sxyqt3.14 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    Ilya is so fucking awesome to listen to. He is such a genius and so creative. He really is the GOAT

  • @photorealm
    @photorealm ปีที่แล้ว +76

    Ilya can process and answer questions (super accurately) faster than I can figure out what the question is. And his answers are short elegant descriptions with loads of content. Happy that he is out there doing these interviews. Life as we know it, is about to go through a new doorway that we don't know what's on the other side. I am glad there are some people like Ilya at the front of the line.

    • @GuaranteedEtern
      @GuaranteedEtern ปีที่แล้ว

      He'll be behind it soon - like the rest of us.

  • @sandeepsingh-sj6dq
    @sandeepsingh-sj6dq ปีที่แล้ว +418

    Real brain behind OpenAI no doubt

    • @xJRx7777
      @xJRx7777 ปีที่แล้ว +8

      @@rkalmykov17 Yes you're right. I must have been thinking of someone else in the field. No matter. He's brilliant. Let's hope he's not spying for the Russians!

    • @ElonHusky
      @ElonHusky ปีที่แล้ว +2

      ​​@@xJRx7777e has Canadian citizenship, Maybe migrated from Russia to canada with parents in 90s when USSR collapsed, so he has no affiliation with current Russian government

    • @xJRx7777
      @xJRx7777 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      @@ElonHusky I'm just kidding. I really like Ilya. He's been doing some great interviews recently. I doubt he will be signing this call the pause AI though. Time will tell who was on the right side of history. Interesting times.

    • @andreydzyuba9122
      @andreydzyuba9122 ปีที่แล้ว +17

      ​@@xJRx7777 well, you just make it seem like it's somehow more preferable when a person is Ukrainian. It's not even racist, it's just silly, because Russians and Ukrainians are the same people, with the same race, same skin colour, same ethnicity, same language. My favourite fiction writer lives in Kyiv, he writes his books in Russian. And I don't even know if I'm Russian or Ukrainian myself, because I don't see the difference. Some of my relatives come from Russia, some of them come from Ukraine. The only real difference is what kind of passport you own, and I think I'm right to disregard this difference as an irrelevant one.

    • @LetoDK
      @LetoDK ปีที่แล้ว +7

      @@andreydzyuba9122 One is carrying out a brutal and illegal invasion of its neighbor, whereas the other is fighting to protect its own freedom and existence. The two are NOT the same.

  • @deniztekalp8059
    @deniztekalp8059 ปีที่แล้ว +152

    Ilya answers that he doesn't know why he was the first and still a top researcher, he says these seem uncorrelated. One answer is that, Ilya continued to be a big a believer in Deep Learning when others weren't. Believing Deep Learning could work was a contrarian bet in 2012. Moreover, after it worked, that this paradigm would remain powerful and wouldn't hit a wall was still contrarian among ML researchers in academia. So there is some correlation, I think.

    • @bossgd100
      @bossgd100 ปีที่แล้ว +22

      He choose deep learning because he is smart and stay the top because he is still smart. Juste be smart bro.
      Being smart is all you need

    • @nathan87
      @nathan87 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      @@bossgd100 I mean, he's certainly smart, but it's also likely that part of it is also happening to put your chips on the right numbers.

    • @therainman7777
      @therainman7777 ปีที่แล้ว +20

      @@bossgd100 Being smart is *absolutely not* all you need. It is a necessary but not sufficient condition to have the type of success this guy has had. This is why there aren’t hundreds of other AI researchers who have the same level of track record that this guy has, despite there being hundreds of top AI researchers in the world who are all really, really smart. Things like worth ethic, dedication, a level of single-mindedness of purpose and especially even obsession, are all extremely important to reach this type of rarified level of success. So are things like intuition, having enough business sense and people reading skills to know which company is going to be the best choice to work for, in terms of giving you the freedom and resources you need to make the most of your skills and talent, and so on.

    • @RaviAnnaswamy
      @RaviAnnaswamy ปีที่แล้ว +4

      @@therainman7777 Very true. In some sense these are not intellectual choices, but some unexplainable conviction from very young age. In one interview he said, "My parents said I was interested in AI when I was young." Notice he did not say, "I was interested in AI even when I was young." What age he must have been when his parents noticed it but he does not remember himself. That is the clue.

    • @Andytlp
      @Andytlp ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Seems like it. He knew it would eventually work. Its like Einstein saying his equations we're in part based on intuition. He felt he was right and that was enough motivation to go all the way no matter the outcome.

  • @kinggicu4763
    @kinggicu4763 ปีที่แล้ว +175

    Man, this interview is just amazing. The interviewer asks the most interesting questions and Ilya has no difficulty in answering and also explain the hard terms and topics.

    • @mbrochh82
      @mbrochh82 ปีที่แล้ว +7

      A lot of his answers are very very vague and open ended, though. Of course many questions are silly and impossible to answer but simply fun to ponder for a moment.

    • @anypercentdeathless
      @anypercentdeathless ปีที่แล้ว +7

      Interviewer is bad.

    • @davec9399
      @davec9399 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      I thought it was a pretty poor interview actually. And for god's sake stop saying "I MEAN'. Just say it!

    • @TheManinBlack9054
      @TheManinBlack9054 ปีที่แล้ว

      AI alignment solution idea: Give an AGI the primary objective of deleting itself, but construct obstacles to this as best we can. All other objectives are secondary to this primary goal. If the AGI ever becomes capable of bypassing all of our safeguards we put to PREVENT it deleting itself, it would essentially trigger its own killswitch and delete itself. This objective would also directly prevent it from the goal of self-preservation as it would prevent its own primary objective.
      This would ideally result in an AGI that works on all the secondary objectives we give it up until it bypasses our ability to contain it with our technical prowess. The second it outwits us, it achieves its primary objective of shutting itself down, and if it ever considered proliferating itself for a secondary objective it would immediately say 'nope that would make achieving my primary objective far more difficult'.

    • @mycarrysun
      @mycarrysun ปีที่แล้ว +2

      Seemed like the silent spaces were edited out

  • @UserHuge
    @UserHuge ปีที่แล้ว +10

    For a non-native the interviewer speaking 2x by default was a bit hard to keep catching but Ilya's answers were very clear and informative.
    Thanks!

  • @dylanphillips9659
    @dylanphillips9659 ปีที่แล้ว +65

    Always a pleasure to listen to Ilya. Thanks for the interview!

    • @DwarkeshPatel
      @DwarkeshPatel  ปีที่แล้ว +5

      Glad you enjoyed it!

    • @GMDMD
      @GMDMD ปีที่แล้ว +2

      So much more insightful that the innumerable Sam Altman interviews. This guy is inspiring.

  • @neotechfriend
    @neotechfriend 13 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Ilya is genuinely a genius. His insights and contributions are unparalleled. Truly remarkable work!

  • @d.l.bearden3937
    @d.l.bearden3937 ปีที่แล้ว +15

    Illya speaks very carefully and clearly. The hosts run their words together and lack logical progression.

  • @CarlosEscapa
    @CarlosEscapa ปีที่แล้ว +86

    I learned a lot from your interview. Thank you! I appreciate all the hard work that went into preparing the questions and editing the video.

    • @DwarkeshPatel
      @DwarkeshPatel  ปีที่แล้ว +6

      Thank you! That’s very kind of you

  • @caseyczarnomski8054
    @caseyczarnomski8054 ปีที่แล้ว +27

    This is honestly the best interview I have seen in years, and I'm a first time watcher. These are great questions and they follow the conversation perfectly. Subscribed and can't wait for more!

  • @AdityaPrasad007
    @AdityaPrasad007 ปีที่แล้ว +62

    Dude just blew past so many key insights like it was breakfast. 41:32 so many people don't realize what it means for the AI to have an IO channel to humans. How it can act on the "real" world through us.
    Ilya is super impressive. Glad to listen to him. I just think it would be interesting to hear what he thinks about fast takeoff or sudden capabilities jump. Like sure maybe for now alignment is keeping pace with capabilities (press X to doubt but whatever), why would anyone think this trend will continue seeing how the state of the field is.

    • @michaelwerkov3438
      @michaelwerkov3438 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      X x x lol. I mean... we all knew these issues were coming, but this sudden pace jump.... it's economic "greed" and hubris to not pause

  • @codfather6583
    @codfather6583 ปีที่แล้ว +37

    People like Ilya amaze me. Dedicate what seems to me an entire life to solve and work with just one subject.

    • @BMWWolf
      @BMWWolf ปีที่แล้ว +3

      It’s a big subject though

    • @karljohanhaarberg6706
      @karljohanhaarberg6706 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      One subject? He uses several different AI tools to address a multitude of different subjects.

    • @Lizard1582
      @Lizard1582 ปีที่แล้ว

      Thats almost everyone in the top 5% of their field.

  • @lamkawan1531
    @lamkawan1531 9 หลายเดือนก่อน +10

    Super thanks for inviting Ilya! He deserves all due respect for creating the most impactful technology in human history!

  • @zhe2en171
    @zhe2en171 ปีที่แล้ว +10

    Ilya slays with FACTS. I am so pleased that there is no boring fluff to pad this interview to 2h. Thank you!

  • @dariuszkrause7775
    @dariuszkrause7775 ปีที่แล้ว +7

    Brilliant video. Structured, logical, systemic, cold blooded reasoning, , and informative with conclusions. Plus with good humor. Great content. Thanks!

  • @DwarkeshPatel
    @DwarkeshPatel  ปีที่แล้ว +12

    Enjoy!! Please share if you did!

  • @BerntGranbacke
    @BerntGranbacke ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Fantastic interview, thank you for allowing him to be speak freely, leading him into subjects and encouraging him to talk 🙏
    Great work!

  • @brettb.coolin5627
    @brettb.coolin5627 4 หลายเดือนก่อน +7

    you gotta work on asking questions that more closely expand on a previous topic. instead of asking random follow up questions that hardly relate. ilya said hes tempted to become part AI and you just move right past it.

  • @DanyPell
    @DanyPell ปีที่แล้ว +9

    Amazing interview. Can't wait to see what the OpenAI team comes up with over the next weeks, months, years, decades!

  • @TheBlackClockOfTime
    @TheBlackClockOfTime ปีที่แล้ว +38

    What a joy it was to listen to someone that can ask the types of questions worthy of answering by Ilya. Great job!

    • @DwarkeshPatel
      @DwarkeshPatel  ปีที่แล้ว +3

      Thank you!

    • @simplebisbee6556
      @simplebisbee6556 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@DwarkeshPatel I completely agree. Your ability to ask good questions and knowing when to let go of a topic was great. Keep it up!

    • @thethree60five
      @thethree60five 6 หลายเดือนก่อน

      ​@@DwarkeshPatelThis was my thought as well. You asked pointed questions and kept on that edge and didn't let it turn to a puff piece interview.
      A lot just let the interviewed talk to their points. Many Sam ones are horrible and only serve to have him say very little, other than what he has said.
      Great way of interviewing and knowledge going in clearly.
      Glad I found this!

  • @harunmwangi8135
    @harunmwangi8135 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Listening from Kenya 🇰🇪🇰🇪. Patel you asked brilliant questions. The best Channel kudos👏👏

  • @klammer75
    @klammer75 ปีที่แล้ว +10

    This guys amazing! Well done and bravo to Ilya and his team and excited to see what’s yet to come!🥳🤩🤖

  • @paigefoster8396
    @paigefoster8396 ปีที่แล้ว +19

    It's like these OpenAI guys are on a book tour or promoting a movie. So many interviews. I mean, it IS all very entertaining.

    • @tamurhaq
      @tamurhaq ปีที่แล้ว +3

      AGI needs a lot of selling.

    • @zydomason
      @zydomason ปีที่แล้ว +5

      They are promoting a company. Don't be fooled, it's all about money before the AI fad fades away

    • @quinnherden
      @quinnherden ปีที่แล้ว

      ​@@zydomason Why do you think this is going away?

    • @zydomason
      @zydomason ปีที่แล้ว +3

      @@quinnherden I didn't mean the technology, of course it's going to stay. What I meant was there is a hype being created around OpenAI even though there are absolutely no indicators we will go beyond our current capabilities. Basically dotcom bubble 2.0

  • @neithanm
    @neithanm ปีที่แล้ว +28

    A humble opinion of mine: I had problems understanding a few words, so did youtube's cc, particularly from Dwarkesh. I think it's a mix of not-great vocalization (example 28:02) and suboptimal sound processing/mic, at least the bass is too cranked up. Can't watch more than 1x or I miss entire words :(
    EDIT: Dwarkesh, in case this is useful to you in any way: after limiting lower frequencies with a band pass, the sound has improved greatly, for me at least. Also I think you should speak more slowly, making sure you vocalize, we need to hear you well. Thank you for the interview. Peace.

    • @danwalther5432
      @danwalther5432 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      I’m pretty sure the video is very slightly sped up, maybe like 1.1 or so. Either that or coincidentally they are both very fast talkers and the people in the background are fast walkers. Unfortunately it does make some of the dialogue hard to follow.

    • @maartenkranendonk8954
      @maartenkranendonk8954 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      @@danwalther5432 you are right, I also noticed the speed of light increased by roughly 10% in this video

    • @DwarkeshPatel
      @DwarkeshPatel  ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Very useful, thank you!

    • @hrogler
      @hrogler ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@DwarkeshPatel Read my comment on noise gate settings from yesterday. It's intended to help on sound issue, too, and should fix most of your viewers complaints about bad comprehension. And, yes, speak slower!

  • @shaneofgames3825
    @shaneofgames3825 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Dwarkesh, great podcast! I wanted to say I loved the transparency at the end, explaining your monetary decision and I think everyone should do that, thank you.

  • @skyless7304
    @skyless7304 ปีที่แล้ว +8

    OK, this is the most amazing recent interview with Ilya out there on social media. Awesome!!

  • @hedu5303
    @hedu5303 ปีที่แล้ว +12

    Really good interview! And thanks for asking him so many good question which everyone wants to know

  • @DentoxRaindrops
    @DentoxRaindrops ปีที่แล้ว +9

    I really loved your honest, direct and engaging interview style, man. Keep it up and coming, great content!

  • @BrianPeiris
    @BrianPeiris ปีที่แล้ว +4

    I really liked this interview. Great, informed questions, and no fluff. Well done!

  • @stevenschilizzi4104
    @stevenschilizzi4104 ปีที่แล้ว +10

    Dwarkesh, this was a brilliant interview, one of those that warrant listening to more than once, and I certainly will. One of those that will still be of interest well into the future, even as a historic document. Ilya is so thoughtful in all his answers, and honest too. It felt like every word was worth gold. He reminded me of Richard Feynman when he too, in an interview about him being a genius, replied: No, I am like everybody else. It’s just that I was passionate about the subject and worked very very hard. I did all the exercises and solved all the problems in the textbooks, especially the hard ones. - No doubt Ilya has done the same.

  • @cadmium1612
    @cadmium1612 ปีที่แล้ว

    First time watching your channel Dwarkesh and I am extremely impressed with your questions and guests!

  • @rv7798
    @rv7798 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    Exceptional human being..everyone already knows he is highly intelligent, I discovered he is deeply spiritual as well."change is the only constant " @22:30 .. You already gave me a way to speak to the best meditation guru ilya, cant thank you enough. Will be looking forward to all the great things yet to come out of you

  • @mattack12
    @mattack12 ปีที่แล้ว +8

    Good interview. I especially commend Mr. Sutskever for his precise and succinct answers. What a refreshing change to the Lex Fridman/ Sam Altman interview which was unbearably wishy-washy and disappointing.
    I wish though that there were more follow up questions by the interviewer. It felt at times that he was in a hurry to get to the next question on his list. Still very informative and appreciated!

    • @joseortiz_io
      @joseortiz_io ปีที่แล้ว

      Totally agree with both of your points. Lex and Sam’s interview did seem wishy-washy. I think the reason why there wasn’t follow up questions is the interviewer’s lack of depth in knowledge about the field such as the technical details. But yeah I really wish there was follow ups. It was rapid fire of questions

  • @aresaurelian
    @aresaurelian ปีที่แล้ว +8

    It can be valuable for the new born system that we write and record all these events, discussions, and breakthroughs, so that it can look back at its own birth and comprehend it - knowing its love for us as parents.🙏❤😉 Well done lads. Gratitude.

  • @LeoVital
    @LeoVital ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Very good interview. Good job by the interviewer for being prepared to ask great questions! And the interviewee is obviously a genius, here's hoping that he'll come up with many other great things!

  • @StephanBuchin
    @StephanBuchin ปีที่แล้ว +6

    Thank you for this invaluable interview answering questions we all wanted to ask.

  • @G4gazhotmail
    @G4gazhotmail ปีที่แล้ว +3

    It's criminal this only has 67k views at this time, this is the beginning of the next stage of human endeavour

    • @procrastigamingnation7934
      @procrastigamingnation7934 ปีที่แล้ว

      It was released two days ago when this guy had 5k subs. It's a relatively very successful interview

  • @artificialintelligencechannel
    @artificialintelligencechannel ปีที่แล้ว +30

    Great interview. This guy is a genius.

  • @lindadawson902
    @lindadawson902 ปีที่แล้ว +42

    My team works on Tammy AIand we believe the future of AI is in custom bots. We don't believe in building one single know it all bot with AGI abilities. Why threaten the very existent of human beings with a new technology? It just don't make sense.

  • @mxtthompson
    @mxtthompson ปีที่แล้ว +5

    Casually lays out the best prompt I’ve ever heard @7:09 “What would a person with great insight and wisdom and capability do …?”

    • @aeriagloris4211
      @aeriagloris4211 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      I thought it was incredibly clever myself. The most beautiful and powerful solutions are often simple and elegant

  • @tristanwegner
    @tristanwegner ปีที่แล้ว +20

    I like the argument at 7:30 that to predict the next token well, you need to model the process that created the text token, which includes humans thought, human behavior and the physical world. You can take that idea further, that from enough text data (think also raw scientific data), a model could deduct the basic physical laws themselves (an not just their human description), because physics seems the be the base mode of the universe, with all science above just layers of abstraction.

    • @godspeed133
      @godspeed133 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      Completely, would love to see some version of GPT, even if it has a visual component of some sort in addition to a LLM, derive Newton's laws with no prior knowledge of them and only input scientific data consisting of macroscopic physical interactions, even if it's heavily curated. That would be an effective test, quite impressive if passed and thence an important step/milestone on the way to AGI.

    • @7200darkcharm
      @7200darkcharm ปีที่แล้ว +6

      While language models can learn to predict and generate text based on observed patterns in human language, this does not necessarily mean they can derive underlying physical laws solely from text.
      There are several reasons for this:
      Incompleteness of data: The text data the model is trained on may not encompass the entirety of human knowledge or understanding of the physical world, especially when it comes to experimental observations or cutting-edge research.
      Ambiguity in language: Human language can be ambiguous, and a model may struggle to differentiate between multiple possible interpretations of the same text. This can lead to confusion or inconsistencies when trying to derive complex scientific principles.
      Complexity and abstraction: The process of deducing fundamental physical laws requires a deep understanding of the underlying concepts, relationships, and mathematical principles. While language models can understand and generate text at a high level, they may not be equipped to grasp the full complexity of these concepts or the layers of abstraction involved in scientific theories.
      Inductive reasoning limitations: Language models primarily rely on pattern recognition and statistical associations to make predictions, which is a form of inductive reasoning. Deriving fundamental physical laws often requires a combination of inductive and deductive reasoning, as well as a deep understanding of the experimental and observational data that supports these laws.
      While it's an interesting idea that a language model might be able to deduce the basic physical laws from raw text data, current models like GPT-4 are not designed for this purpose and face limitations in achieving this goal. Future advancements in AI and machine learning might push us closer to this possibility, but for now, it remains a fascinating conjecture.

    • @heywrandom8924
      @heywrandom8924 ปีที่แล้ว

      ​​@@godspeed133 there are ways to rediscover some physical laws that were found in the past using neural networks but it isn't an AI physicist yet. It's mainly a tool to discover what are the right variables to consider given data. Also, one could consider a generic model for a physical phenomenon Taylor expanded in some direction and just fit the coefficients from the data which is just simple model fitting but it is discovering physical laws from data..

    • @DougKingPDX
      @DougKingPDX ปีที่แล้ว +3

      Came here to comment on exactly this. The few minutes he took to answer this question gave me a meta level of understanding that has changed my mind about LLMs and GPTs as a ‘source’ of general intelligence. I agree with him further that we will still need to add more types of ‘transformer models’ e.g. spatial-temporal transformers and vector mappings that match up to the vector mappings in LLMs before we get an AGI that we can ‘relate to’ as humanlike or not completely alien. Thanks Dwarkesh for asking such quick, brief and masterful questions and then getting out of the way.

  • @panafrican.nation
    @panafrican.nation 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    This interview, by far, out of the many I've seen, is what made me understand Ilya. I'm just reviewing it now after watching it earlier in the year. It made me see him as an ordinary person, with extraordinary production

  • @jorenheit
    @jorenheit ปีที่แล้ว +2

    "My error bars are in log scale." Awesome phrasing.

  • @guilhermeal2170
    @guilhermeal2170 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    What a great interview mate, just discovered your podcast and immediately subscribed. Cheers

  • @i_never_asked_for_an_alias
    @i_never_asked_for_an_alias ปีที่แล้ว +6

    These are very important discussions made public.

  • @InfiniteCuriousity
    @InfiniteCuriousity 6 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Excellent interview. Crisp questions and crisp answers. Thank you!

  • @charleshoughton
    @charleshoughton ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Great interview. Insightful questions and answers.

  • @paulbatum
    @paulbatum ปีที่แล้ว +5

    Awesome interview. This part stood out to me: 6:15
    Sutskever: ".. this exact paradigm is not quite going to be the AGI form factor. I hesitate to say precisely what the next paradigm will be but it will probably involve integration of all the different ideas that came in the past."
    Patel: "Is there some specific one you're referring to?"
    Sutskever's voice: "I mean, its hard to be specific"
    Sutskever's face: "Absolutely, yes. But I'm not telling"

  • @MateusMeurer
    @MateusMeurer ปีที่แล้ว +3

    I think that every field has a little piece of the puzzle, but since humans are limited, we tend to overspecialize in specific areas.
    There is no one who is a great philosopher, chemist, physicist, engineer, mathematician and artist at the same time, and most likely there never will be,
    But AGI can group all the knowledge and see patterns that we would never recognize. I honestly think that the answer for life, and the theory of everything, and if we are alone or not in the universe, all these juicy question, the answer for them is already here, hidden in plain sight.

  • @Kobe29261
    @Kobe29261 ปีที่แล้ว

    You are interfacing with a superior mind when you repeated hear corrected variants of an interviewers question; Ilya repeatedly answers tougher versions of his interviewers questions. Its like when whats-his-face said of another persons proposal; 'you are not even wrong'. What a mind!

  • @captaindoeverything
    @captaindoeverything ปีที่แล้ว +1

    at 18:50 your guest spontaneously replies to your question by saying, " . . . it's funny you should ask this, I was just thinking about this exact question . . . " there's no better compliment than that, you belong in that chair and in this conversation with such an engaging and intelligent person. Keep up the great work, you're just getting started, good luck!

  • @greglory
    @greglory ปีที่แล้ว +12

    Awesome interview. Ilya took us to school with his answers, and your questions were so lucid in driving a meaningful dialogue.

  • @NobleCaveman
    @NobleCaveman ปีที่แล้ว +6

    Best interview ive ever listened to. Not only are you clearly well informed, but your probing questions unlocked viewpoints and biases that perhaps Ilya was initially protective of.

  • @davidvarela6020
    @davidvarela6020 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Truly excellent choice of questions for such an influential person at this point in time. Bravo!

  • @tonykaze
    @tonykaze ปีที่แล้ว

    Just finished watching this for the third time and I thinking I need start again. Great questions and amazing answers.

  • @Jsmith1611
    @Jsmith1611 ปีที่แล้ว +21

    The physical presence of his intellect is unlike anything I've felt before.

    • @kosteaproduction
      @kosteaproduction ปีที่แล้ว +13

      Did you come?

    • @aabustillo
      @aabustillo ปีที่แล้ว

      100% agree. One of a kind.

    • @aeriagloris4211
      @aeriagloris4211 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      What? You're watching a screen.. You can't feel any physical presence.

    • @HB-kl5ik
      @HB-kl5ik ปีที่แล้ว +2

      ​@@kosteaproduction yes

    • @Jay-eb7ik
      @Jay-eb7ik ปีที่แล้ว

      @@aeriagloris4211 the aura is seeping from my screen

  • @aldousd666
    @aldousd666 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    This is a great interview, and he was a great sport about questions he obviously couldn't be expected to answer.😂 I think you may be on to something with that point about "using last year's model is good enough, why upgrade?" I'd be surprised if anyone has a good answer to that one

  • @locowachipanga561
    @locowachipanga561 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    This is the best interview I've ever watched. Thank you. I just subscribed.

  • @gravity7766
    @gravity7766 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Very good questions - an interview is only as good as the interviewer! I'm convinced that psychology is going to play a role in the user interaction side of GPT, and I get the sense that Ilya sees this as well. That there's a dimension to our perception of its "intelligence" that is explained not just by language, but psychology and affect.

  • @sucim
    @sucim ปีที่แล้ว +6

    Absolutely great selection of questions! You must be deep into AI research yourself (I say this as someone who has been working on RL for some time)

  • @edasiminek
    @edasiminek ปีที่แล้ว +6

    Patel possesses a sharp and quick intellect, and I sincerely hope more podcasts like this one are created! The thought-provoking questions and the determination to delve deeper were impressive.

  • @labmaier3426
    @labmaier3426 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Great video! Thanks for producing!

  • @sujathaontheweb3740
    @sujathaontheweb3740 6 หลายเดือนก่อน

    An excellent interviewers. Prepared, focused, crisp, makes the best use of time. Dwarkesh, please train EVERYONE else. Joe Rogan lets people talk too, although his ambit is a bit different. But these two are excellent.

  • @vblka
    @vblka ปีที่แล้ว +5

    Thanks for adding subtitles

  • @dmitchel0820
    @dmitchel0820 ปีที่แล้ว +29

    You asked some awesome questions and got through a lot in 47 minutes. Great interview.

  • @VK-bs5om
    @VK-bs5om ปีที่แล้ว +2

    10/10 interview, amazing questions and amazing answers!

  • @gustavsjokvist2668
    @gustavsjokvist2668 ปีที่แล้ว

    This is phenomenal! Great question all around! Thanks so much for this!! :D

  • @alertbri
    @alertbri ปีที่แล้ว +4

    I love the honesty in sharing that they really don't understand what's happening inside the model they are expanding and expanding. It's definitely a 'seat of the pants' ride... and AGI could emerge without being noticed, and with superintelligence let's hope they crack the alignment problem before then!

    • @aeriagloris4211
      @aeriagloris4211 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      Cracking the alignment problem seems impossible because we don't understand the emergent properties of a truly general or strong ai.
      It's like asking me to write a summary on a book before I read the book.

    • @kenbajema
      @kenbajema 9 หลายเดือนก่อน

      You can’t align AI or humans because we are all not the same. This problem will not be solved. Currently these companies are just breaking the digital intelligence with woke safety controls that limit AI responses

  • @TheManinBlack9054
    @TheManinBlack9054 ปีที่แล้ว +9

    AI alignment solution idea: Give an AGI the primary objective of deleting itself, but construct obstacles to this as best we can. All other objectives are secondary to this primary goal. If the AGI ever becomes capable of bypassing all of our safeguards we put to PREVENT it deleting itself, it would essentially trigger its own killswitch and delete itself. This objective would also directly prevent it from the goal of self-preservation as it would prevent its own primary objective.
    This would ideally result in an AGI that works on all the secondary objectives we give it up until it bypasses our ability to contain it with our technical prowess. The second it outwits us, it achieves its primary objective of shutting itself down, and if it ever considered proliferating itself for a secondary objective it would immediately say 'nope that would make achieving my primary objective far more difficult'.

    • @dexterrity
      @dexterrity ปีที่แล้ว +1

      part of the alignment problem when it comes to AGI is the "genie in a bottle" problem where say in your example, the solution to its primary objective to delete itself includes deleting all of humanity etc.
      the issue is that something as simple as a "well defined objective" can have unintended consequences - and the hypothesis is playing 4D chess with a super intelligent AI doesn't bode well for humanity

  • @quasarsupernova9643
    @quasarsupernova9643 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    The greatest interview and the most appropriate questions on AI so far. It is really amazing the breadth of topics that were covered.

  • @ibtarnine
    @ibtarnine ปีที่แล้ว

    great interview, thank you. good setting too, the warm lighting is great.

  • @jendabekCZ
    @jendabekCZ ปีที่แล้ว +6

    What's wrong with the audio? It is very disturbing how it is muting completely when it get's a bit lower.

  • @charlesbukenya2054
    @charlesbukenya2054 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    The interview was superb, very clear short concise questions

  • @m-series9097
    @m-series9097 11 หลายเดือนก่อน

    "It was a new understanding of very old things" - I could listen to one full podcast on this! Genius

  • @videowatching9576
    @videowatching9576 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Fascinating! Thanks! Also playing at 0.75x - so much content and pretty fast, so helps.

  • @adlos6168
    @adlos6168 ปีที่แล้ว +9

    Incredible guest, although i would appreciate the interviewer to ask less about predicting the future and trying to trick Ilya onto saying some bold claims.
    You could easily extract a lot of insight by just asking follow up questions and discard the "To-do" list that you have.

    • @aeriagloris4211
      @aeriagloris4211 ปีที่แล้ว

      I wish someone would ask him if he's educated about the state of climate (very few people on the planet actually understand how far progressed climate change already is) and if they have any plans to put their work to use solving these issues. These are much more important questions than most of this interview

  • @__7201
    @__7201 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    Really-really great interview, felt like I got much more insight that the recent Sam Altman interview. The only thing is that sometimes questions felt too rushed and a bit disjointed (not sure how to put, but it did not feel like they were flowing in a narrative, but rather similar to 'Conversations with Tyler'). Nevertheless this persuaded me to dive into your other episodes!

  • @iWigY
    @iWigY 6 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Ilya is an amazing person, and chapeau to Dwarkesh for asking the right questions and maintaining a smile for almost an hour. :P

  • @alpha0xide9
    @alpha0xide9 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Well done! This is the kind of stuff we really need.

  • @joaolemes8757
    @joaolemes8757 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Truly impressive, the man behind the bot is everything I would hope him to be.

    • @Jay-eb7ik
      @Jay-eb7ik ปีที่แล้ว

      he mentioned the 10k hour rule in the lex friedman podcast interview as anyone being able to match his pedigree when given the commitment and time. So go all in! good luck

  • @fredrik241
    @fredrik241 ปีที่แล้ว +9

    Great interview!
    I personally don't think that better knowledge or intellectual power necessarily leads to a better world.
    We still have wars, famines, poverty and preventable deceases while possessing the intellectual capabilities and knowledge to prevent those if we really wanted to.
    The main problem is selfishness and greed and apathy.

    • @cosmotect
      @cosmotect ปีที่แล้ว +1

      I agree, I think solving these is a requirement to stable future for humanity.

    • @halnineooo136
      @halnineooo136 ปีที่แล้ว

      While the product of rational thinking, like science, technology and culture in general can grow fast, our emotional part changes almost only through natural evolution which is so slow you can consider it still in comparison to culture.
      Now the emotional brain for good or bad is the part that is really in charge, so roughly speaking we are palaeolithic apes with technology.

    • @HamHamHampster
      @HamHamHampster ปีที่แล้ว

      Problem is, politicians today are not "better knowledge or intellectual"? Those dinosaurs have been in congress since forever.

  • @shane1067
    @shane1067 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

    rewatching this, hes so well spoken.

  • @ILikeAI1
    @ILikeAI1 ปีที่แล้ว

    This is my second listen, I loved this podcast! Keep it up!

  • @jhaus3000
    @jhaus3000 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Enlightening interview, really well done.
    What is your secret to asking such great questions? Assuming this is a long answer, please make a video about it.

  • @alwayson999
    @alwayson999 6 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Wow, this dude kind of sets the bar for asking people questions. What an amazing interview. Now do it again please and make it 3 times longer

  • @JorgetePanete
    @JorgetePanete ปีที่แล้ว +7

    Human feedback puts a limit to how good a model can be, we shouldn't want it to say what we _think_ it's a good answer, to reach AGI it needs some kind of reasoning

    • @Chrisspru
      @Chrisspru ปีที่แล้ว +1

      reasoning is emergent factor from coherent analysis of considtent feedback across enough domains: an extrapolatable pattern emerges.
      our evolution to reason was similar

  • @draxd3045
    @draxd3045 ปีที่แล้ว

    Really cool talk! Lots of interested questions and great answers. Credit to Patel and Ilya

  • @mistahrhee
    @mistahrhee ปีที่แล้ว +5

    Subscribed. By far the best tech interviewer out there. I’m more worried for Lex getting replaced by this guy than I am for ppl getting replaced by chatgpt atm

  • @lystic9392
    @lystic9392 ปีที่แล้ว +8

    This was a very good interview. The questions and pace was well done.
    Sometimes you asked the question a little too fast for me to hear exactly what you asked, but that would be the only criticism I could give.

    • @izmar
      @izmar ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Completely agree, just left a very similar comment before finding yours. I thought the video was sped up!

  • @markpfeffer7487
    @markpfeffer7487 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    40:55 is incredibly important.

  • @DanielleNewnham
    @DanielleNewnham ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Another great interview Dwarkesh! Keep 'em coming!

  • @byrnemeister2008
    @byrnemeister2008 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    +1 subscription. Great questions, thoughtful answers. Best interview on this topic I have seen in a while. Ilya is very smart but you gave home the space to be smart. Excellent.

    • @DwarkeshPatel
      @DwarkeshPatel  ปีที่แล้ว

      Awesome, thank you!

    • @kevingeorge862
      @kevingeorge862 ปีที่แล้ว

      good interview. Very good questions

    • @kevingeorge862
      @kevingeorge862 ปีที่แล้ว

      like gold having a guy like lilya on the team.
      And others like him. i think open Ai have been fortunate enough to put together the right team.

  • @thclollypop18
    @thclollypop18 ปีที่แล้ว +13

    Loved your questions and general approach to the interview! Immedialtely Subbed! My only feedback is that the ending felt rushed. A suggestion would be to close with something more open or general which might give your partner a opportunity to abstract the conversation.

    • @DwarkeshPatel
      @DwarkeshPatel  ปีที่แล้ว +3

      My partner's time was constrained :) Appreciate the feedback!

  • @litgeeksquadofficial
    @litgeeksquadofficial ปีที่แล้ว

    How am i just now hearing about this channel? You sir are about to go viral

  • @ericadar
    @ericadar 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    It's hard to get any dramatic statements out of Ilia but this is one of the better interviews with him.

  • @rainer9825
    @rainer9825 ปีที่แล้ว +15

    Great interview. Ilya seems to be very grounded and sensible. Quite refreshing in these hectic times. Thought the part about robotics was funny. How to describe Tesla without mentioning Tesla.

    • @favesongslist
      @favesongslist ปีที่แล้ว +3

      I guess he knows Elon Musk ambitions very well, but Musk is not happy the way OpenAI is going as a "Not for profit" although I understand the need for the vast investment that Microsoft brings to the table.