Ab Ki Baar, Kitne Paar? Surjit Bhalla's Election 2024 Forecast I Barkha Dutt LIVE in Maharashtra
ฝัง
- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 1 พ.ค. 2024
- #bjp #congress #elections2024
As India gears up for the third phase of voting on May 7, there are heated political discussions on the voter turnout in the first and second phase, while the political repartee between BJP and Congress has become more and more aggressive, whether about Muslim Quota or Inheritance Tax.
Join this conversation between economist Surjit Bhalla and Barkha Dutt about voting patterns and the elections!
Become A Mojo Story Member Now👇
/ @mojostory
Welcome to Mojo Story, where storytelling meets truth-telling in its purest form. Led by renowned journalist Barkha Dutt, we're dedicated to bringing you narratives that transcend time and format.
From succinct 60-word snippets to immersive videos spanning up to 60 minutes, we explore the spectrum of human experiences and current events through a lens that prioritizes authenticity and integrity. In a world divided by polarization, we stand firm as a beacon of non-partisanship, refusing to be swayed by agendas or affiliations.
Here, you'll find content that goes beyond the noise, beyond the rhetoric, and beyond the confines of bias. We're neither 'Chamcha' nor 'Morcha'-we're advocates for the truth, champions of #PeopleFirst storytelling.
Join us on this journey as we navigate the complexities of our world with curiosity, compassion, and an unwavering commitment to the facts. Subscribe now and become part of a community that values truth above all else. Welcome to a space where every story matters, and where the voices of the unheard are amplified.
Subscribe to us for more updates:
Follow us on Twitter:
/ themojostory
Like us on Facebook:
/ themojostory
Instagram:
/ mojostory.in
Disclaimer: The views of guests who appear on Mojo Story, as well as the views of interviewees or speeches by public figures or those in the news, are their personal opinions. At no point do they reflect the views of the organization.
It's like Thomas Shelby dialogue only person can defeat him is Thomas Shelby himself ❤Only Modi can defeat Modi💯
Agree they will retain their seats and also win more in bengal also debut in kerala and tamilnadu
Watch Punjab result.
They won’t win a single seat in kerala
@@muhzinanot sure about winning but they are in fighting in 3 seats in Kerala
Atleast BJP is giving some number...Can any congressi tell how many seats they are expecting for congress
Less than 40.
0-9
Pappu shall reach his target of 39 paar.
😂
Rahul Gandhi has announced to his party members that he will throw a party if they cross 30 😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂
Even before 2-3 dates of polling days left, people have started predicting BJP numbers
Those who are thinking this analysis is false are far away from ground reality
Barkha is disappointed that BJP is winning a majority
उस पार्टी के जिताओ जिसकी जीत पर हिंदुस्तान खुसी मनाये नाकि की पाकिस्तान।।
Where does the name of Pakistan figure out in this discussion..??
@@ivangomes2411 when congress win the election, Pakistan celebrates..
@@ivangomes2411 freedom of expression
@@ivangomes2411 why do you guys behave as if Pakistan doesn't exist?
@@mountolympus1098 I don't behave as if Pakistan does not exist. What is the relevance of Pakistan in a discussion about Indian elections..?? Secondly, why are some people so obsessed with Pakistan..?
Hallo ! BJP had 37% votes share plus 6% alliance partners = 43% ..In 2024 BJP goes up to 41 and alliance partners 8 = 49% ! Koi hai takkar mai ??? NONE.
I think Narendra Modi will become the longest serving PM of India for atleast 20 years if he wins the third term there will be no challeger for him nor in it's party nor in the opposition 💯
We should transform from leader centric to institution centric country. Party or leader may change but the policies and institutions should continue.
I think he should hand over choose succesor before 2029
@@vinodkbg it's impossible to build institution without having a leader with brutal majority it's a shame that's in 21st century we are surrounded by the politician that only give seats to his daughter or son look at Congress manifesto garibi hato se amiri ghatao pe aagye
There is no if he will win
@@vinodkbg great men change histories ...we need more great men in every generation
31:57 Just because a party gets 350+ seats doesn't necessarily mean it's a wave election. It might be just that the party has actually a large general acceptance.
😂😂
The wave changed and swept in 2014 and each time thereafter the wave size is larger- that is all! Accepted.
Ok Mr.holding the same ear from the opposite side 😅
Congress party is totaly desperate.... Most of the leaders are leaving from the pary due to high dsperation, because the party has no any quality leadership and the PAPPU Autism leader is every day making irrelevant statements of lies which hit back him from the public.
UP,Bihar,Jharkhand,Chhattisgarh, MP,Rajasthan,Gujarat, Uttarakhand, Himachal Pradesh and Haryana,Assam,Orissa West Bengal all these places BJP has edge.
Maharshtra,karnataka Telengana ,goa is tough fight between both
Tamilnadu,kerala,Andhra pradesh India is winning
I think in Karnataka also BJP has the edge though they may loose a few seats.. Say their tally could be 18-20
Situation in telangana changed now, ppl r preferring bjp and brs more than congress, bcoz congress failed to implement their poll promises
Karachi or Rawalpindi is sure shot secure seat for Rahul Gandy. Where he and his party can give first and last right of resources to darra hua community !
Islamic congress held Kacharachi seat in 1946 election !
She's got that Burnol look again 😂
Burqa with burnal on her entire body 😂
She has changed a lot. Please stop throwing dirt on everyone.
😂
@@sandeshpandit5540not quite. Her loyalty to the "family" shows when Pollster talks about 50yrs of wasted time and PVNarasimha Rao!
@@snathan3198don’t take few things here and there. She is talking to RW people like Abhijit, Shehzad, writer of Savarkar and her shows are much interesting now.
Bharka now in competition with Ani smitha prakash
Bharka should learn to be neutral not anti Modi. Listen to the pulse of the people. Modi is the father of Modern Bharat.
Tu bhi mojo ho tayyar
Ab ki baar 400 par
😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂
Seeing Barkha's face made me laugh a lot
Abki baar 40 paar for rahul baba
As an Indian iam ashamed antimodi and Sonia Gandhi family acolutye luteyns media analysts like Ms.barkha, Mr sagarika rajdeep,SG are openly campaiging for India alliance which will be a disaster to this great country. As a father of an international journalist my question to barkha and her co traveler in the lutyens media y ur campaign against Modi.
My question to Sonia Gandhi family funded barkha if her icon Rahul Gandhi can create employment y is party is announcing doles. Today Indians are prepared to believe Modi to give them a better life than barkha icon Rahul Gandhi.Shame on barkha in the guise of journalism is openly campaiging for India alliance to defeat Modi which is a mirage.
Yogendra Yadav also
Mainstream media doing charanvandana also
In my Telangana, BJP is expected to win 8-10 seats
8 will be max for bjp in Telgangana
Ok, 8 seats means big win for BJP
@@Fambam-cu1wk indeed
బీజేపీ కి 10 సీట్స్ పక్క
But wave is different this time bjp loosing some seats in gujarath,UP
Wow…I would never invest based on how this guy predicts!!
Simple high school student will tell you you don’t do regression analysis based on average over a period!!
He is an India rep in WB. God help us.
What’s the point of doing these predictions before the elections are all done. A sure way to depress voter turnout.
He said he was born in 1948 n grew up in independent era so it means he grew up in Dev Anand Era 👍 😊......
When rajeev won 400 plus seats vote % was lower than the vote % in the first two rounds election 2024 !! Ghamandia voters are not coming out because they have no PM face , funds , adverts . credibility , Hindu voters are pissed off with them on Prabhu Ramji mandir issue and no anger against the Hindutva Maharaja.
Sadguru operated in apollo
@@mohdshajar7874 so??? what if he is operated??
Jairam Ramesh got it wrong as usual. Rahul is not contesting Amethi, Priyanka not contesting at all. 100% wrong is what is expected of Jairam
Abki baar tadi paar😂😂
Mr. Bhalla you dont know iota about Bihar. Last time NDA had 39 out of 40 seats. and You say they will gain there. Please dont shoot from the hip which is your old tendency
Mr Bhalla, how was the interview with Karan Thapar😂😂😂
Please please please Dr Bhalla, please predict at least once that BJP may not win the election. For Barkha’s sake please say Congress may return to power. Please please please
😂😂
You mean "will return..."!😮😢 theory of impossibility cracked with statistical mis-analyses with a standard deviation of a perfect 100!
Ab ki baar 400 par
He looks like Late I K Gujral sir
Loved this interview purely from the point of view of clarity in thought and use of data to justify the arguments. Will wait for Barkha to interview Mr Bhalla post 4th June
Madam you are wrong. It is not people it is you who frces people to say in your way by your itellectual capacity.
Sir you are very right.congress supported lt liberal jounalists miss that or donot give importance.
How can you argue against his analysis of the data? Unless there arises some dramatic factor data driven indication will prevail.
Modi is a disaster for his own party, which doesn't exist anymore. He has distorted the whole narrative , that even RSSS is not in support of him. Bhalla can lick whatever he has !
Bhagna mt ....milte h 4 june k baad
@@pankajmishra2410 Maa ko le ke aana Dung eater.
nice interview
Kaafi paar kar Chuke congress ki Line of control!
Barkha is wonderful her interviews are interesting to hear. Not just this one you do interview with intellectual bot left, right and centre❤
BJP or Congress aside, what wins is logic and data 🎉
Excellent fact based argument and questioning 👍🏽
I absolutely agree with Dr Bhalla
Elections are not decided by Statistics alone. There is something called sentiments also which statistics fails to take into account. Anyway good publicity for the book. Maybe a million copies get sold.
Burkha hopefully purchased a copy!
Ab ki bar bjp down bar🇮🇳🇮🇳🇮🇳🇮🇳✋️✋️✋️✋️✋️
This old man must be a modi supporter, this time definitely BJP will be ejected from the centre.
Very balanced and nuiansed views👍
hahahaha look at Barkha's face. She is so depressed 🤣
What is the worst case for bjp?
Less than 50% seats with govt by NDA
@@samindherreddy is there any chance of that happening?
Let Gandhi family donate their entire wealth to poor of India
Yet another Election doing the rounds; Contesting Parties are promising a robust, rosy tomorrow. Sure, this reassurance gets the assurance every five years. My plea, Spread Education like wild fire. Let everyone vote, well educated to know what/ whom they are voting for...
Surjit Bhalla is a known Modi Bhakt. What is the purpose of this programme, Barkha? What are his credentials to forecast Lok Sabha seats and what are his research methods? I dont see you asking this
His book might satisfy your curiosity.
Watch the video. It is the rationale that matters not the individual. It is you that seems to have a bias not him.
if you listen to video you would know.he explained clearly.its not one line statment.
Let me tell you the audience here about the ground reality. I'm from small village in Odisha. We have hardly 70-75 family in our village. Out of 75 family 25 families got Pradhan mantri awas yojna. They have now pakka house first time post independence. This is how bjp penetrated in every household.
This is how things were 2 weeks ago. BJP is losing ground in Maharashtra now. Already suffered loss of at least 3-4 seats in Rajasthan. Some pockets of UP have huge anti incumbency. Tamil Nadu there is not going to be any historic gain. Even satta bazar has lowered their prediction to 300 from 330.
3 june tk bjp roz haregi..4june ko sbh chup jaayenge
@@aayushgarg5912 300 seats does not mean ki bjp haaregi
exactly 300 seats after 10 years rule is big loos for bjp.
The panelist seem in his dream
Why so much speculation.go ask kharge rahul priyanka.then answer may come.also this speculative predictive analysis and narration of will have no imact on election and people.
You are trying very hard to change public opinion towards bjp but sadly your efforts are going to drains . Mr Bhalla told you very clearly worldwide based on data suggest low voter turnout means it's in favour of party in power . For challengers to win there should be increase in vote percentage but you don't get it 😂😂
Disappointment on barkha face is clearly visible
His arrogance will be his downfall!
Barkha seething 30.0 onwards... Balm ya Burnol laga lo
Old man.... please suggest for the advantage of the youth in future.....BJP will ruin the country.
These are most dishonest people in media, if they strongly believe Modi is immortal, Rahul will keep losing and Congress if finished, why they are obsessed with congress and keep debating.
They ask questions to congress whom we have voted out and never ask questions to a party whom we have voted in.
It’s the funniest thing, I feel😂
I am stupid as it gets, yet i know bell curve.
Barka dutt is also part of lutons lobby
Soros funds beneficiary.
If this man's prediction goes wrong, never bother this pathetic selfish so called BJP's souldier.....
GST why, all goods even medicine price very high.
It’s not high compared to developed and other countries
World oil prices! Affects everything you touch.
So you want 200 different tax regimes across 29 states instead of GST? You seriously are a model progressive person. Chew-tiya kahin ka.
Poor fellow doesnot know elections are not fought on statistical data
This guy is dreaming
Barkha is getting annoyed ! Burnol?
If you stay neutral you will get more audience.
35 just pass
Barkaji, sad to see that you are leaning towards bjp. Balla is hardly sincere.
Let me rephrase your statement. An intellectual whose study doesn't confirm my own biases is not a sincere intellectual.
Lol
.well said@@vandanayesade361
10:28 AAP stormed into power in punjab with 6% lower voting
yes..right..less votes mean change...U GOT IT...
@@sadeeshckwhat rubbish? Turnout increasing means change while decreasing means status quo. Just look at Gujarat where turnout decreased but BJP still won its best victory in history.
500
Modi hatao Democracy bachao 💯🔥
We don't want hitlar, dictator in India, so Modi hatao Desh bachao 💯🔥
Barkha has no morality because she campaigned with Congress in 2009 for what ever reason for plum portfolio for DMK MP in the cabinet and hence barkha is a disgrace to journalism.
BD and likes are desperate to find some😊
Bhalla is a Bhajpayee!
ही विल बाईट डस्ट
Fake
Vote for change vote for Congress
Choka Bar
Feku ji win
Buy burnol😂😂😂
Rahul ji is not feku..
Jali na? Jali na? 😂😂😂😂😂
ECI +EVM = BJP 450 PAAR
Rote raho evm pr😂
Chutiyapa + ghulamgiri = AnupMaharsya
barkha is unhappy with this data
barkha is desperate to hear some negative news for BJP .. so biased
Abki baar bjp 400 paar
Congress 40 paar
Is it just me or does it look like “F democracy” on the top of the video lolllllll
barkha has covered a lot of election ..but very little logic in her brain
चरखा पैसे पुरे वसुलना नो उधार !! मालुम है पीछला अनुभव
APP KEE BAAR 190 KE PAAAR BYE BYE MODI JUNE 4❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤
If this man's prediction goes wrong, never bother this pathetic selfish so called BJP's souldier.....
Only BJP will win. Not some silly dozen party alliance that can’t even figure out a PM candidate or cohesive narrative.