If you want to find out what being a card counter is really like, check out our 'Life of a Card Counter' series: th-cam.com/video/sv1aU_XNuac/w-d-xo.html
This was great, thanks, been searching for "blackjack card counting tips" for a while now, and I think this has helped. You ever tried - Tonvelyn Xiylijah Trick - (Have a quick look on google cant remember the place now )? It is a smashing one off product for learning how to make fast money using this lotto system without the normal expense. Ive heard some extraordinary things about it and my work colleague after many years got excellent results with it.
As a 100% recreational player, I really appreciate Colin’s last remarks. I want to walk through life playing blackjack every few months knowing that a perfect game means I will beat the casino over the long run. Take that!
this is exactly why i wanna learn counting, im 22 and know I will be playing till im much older, with counting i love the mental stimulation it makes blackjack a mechacnical game
I'm using your betting software. It shocks me how much EV I lose through betting camouflage. Although I definitely had the advantage before, I am now determined to play more aggressively, even if it results in a lot more heat.
yeah its kinda funny, I've been watching your videos and did exactly what I wasn't supposed to do. I seen in many of your videos. Don't go too soon when your not ready; and then combined with the fact I had a small bank roll and I was betting higher then i should had. Got absolutely owned yesterday :(. Going to take a break an regroup spend another month practicing at home. Appreciate the content.
Great information as always! I'm playing with a super small bankroll, but I'm also just a recreational counter at the moment. I try to keep all of your advice in the back of my head and just trust the math.
@@fodolocraigo8426 shoe is definitely better than a single or double deck 6/5. Look at it this way: a $5 betting unit blackjack pays $7.50 per betting unit, $2.50 extra, whereas 6/5 only pays $6, $1 extra. You have to get 2.5 blackjacks at a 6/5 table per every one blackjack at a 3/2 table. This doesn't even take into consideration blackjack "even money" insurance in 3+ true counts. You can get "even money" at a 3/2 table to get a net payoff of 1:1. But at a 6/5 table if you get insurance and they have blackjack you get a net of 1:1; push your bet, 2:1 on your insurance. But if they don't have it, you lose your insurance and win 6/5, at $5 betting units you lose ($2.50) and win $6 for a net gain of $4.50 on your $5 betting unit.
BattleRatsRapBattles Shoes, as with CSMs the deck penetration is usually too low to be of use for us. (Meaning the dealers will shuffle cards back after only a couple of dealt hands.)
That last tip really helped me, because I really don’t have any desire to take card counting professional. Do you have any more videos focused on us recreational card counters?
Great content once again, I’ve been practicing my counting pretty diligently for about 2 months now and my confidence in speed and accuracy have improved significantly. Do you have any advice on breaking down basic strategy in any other way besides memorizing the cards? I am having issues getting it to stick into my memory
@@mrno_name9518 If he has trouble memorizing something as simple as basic strategy, me thinks he's currently so broke as to not have a computer to respond to you ')
Please make a video on avoiding detection. It's seems pretty obvious to casino staff if we're consistently sitting out several hands throughout a shoe. ( especially at beginning of shoe) And also during team play it seems obvious when the "high roller" partner jumps in and out only playing a few hands. Or always bets big at the end of the shoe. I can't imagine the pit bosses don't notice that.
Good video ! Just a quick question: If you start with a $20,000 bankroll, playing with $50 chips, and let’s assume your bankroll goes down to $10,000. Should you jeep playing with $50 chips or switch to $25 chips to reduce your risk of ruin ?
Great question! Most card counters I know would switch to a smaller betting unit even BEFORE losing half their bankroll. If your bankroll is down 25%, you might consider reducing your bet spread to have even lower risk.
This was super helpful! I'm a profitable card counter, but definitely just recreational, because gambling is illegal in Utah and I have to travel out of state to play. My bank roll is only about $500 each time I go out to play, but if I lose it, it's easy enough to replace before my next trip a few months later. I've been worrying a lot lately about my bankroll size because I've seen videos saying that if your bankroll is $10,000, only I can't lose more than $500 at a time. Haha You touched on this a little, but given that larger bankrolls accommodate more profitable strategies, do you think it would be more profitable for me to save up and play half as many hands throughout the year, but with double the bankroll each time? Or to keep playing more hands with the smaller bankroll?
If you're doing it recreationally, my advice is to play perfect, bet small enough to have the "trip bankroll" be at least 100 units, and have fun! Treat card counting as a profitable hobby.
Great video, thanks colin! Would it be possible for you to do a video going a little more in depth on how to construct a solid bet spread? Is there a formula for it or do you absolutely have to buy software?
The way you could minimize risk is like what we do in poker. U move down if your roll gets beat up. So if you have 100k and are playing X level but drop 15K you could drop down to the next level where you would have 1% ruin again.
Absolutely! I recommend that people re-size their betting if they lose 20% or more of their bankroll. The only downside to this is that you have to win more bets to get back to even when you've downsized your betting.
Hey Colin I’m loving the videos and I’m working towards the 200 hours you recommend before even stepping foot inside a casino, I’m currently around 40 hours practice, I have been curious about one question, I’m sure you have answered it in one of your videos, but I’ll ask anyways. Let’s say I walk up to the table and the count is -8 but I only start counting then, the count jumps to -4 however I think the count is +4, is the only way to counter this by joining a table as soon as they start a new shoot? Would be awesome if you could give me some insight
ROR is time dependent as well. A 4 hour ROR is different than a 300hr ROR. And those 2D games have a higher variance which requires more capital, all else being equal.
Colin, I had to hear this again. On the Church team you kept the RoR to 0.1%? An *approximation* of the EV is $584/hr. - 6D, 75% pen. However, you had many players going out at once. So for the whole team it was $584/hr. X (number of players).
There is no difference between 1 person counting 2 shoes consecutively, or 2 persons counting 1 shoe each, except that it takes the hourly EV of the team and doubles it. But it remains the same, per person. This generates total EV faster than doing it alone.
Hey Colin I have basic strategy, counting, and deviations down pat I just think my betting could use work I just don’t know how to adjust my betting units per true count I normally double my bet on true 1 and triple true 2 and so on I’m sure this isn’t correct trying to find a set pattern to use for my 1-10 bet spread
i think a good way to visualize risk of ruin is like this: if you have 1% risk of ruin over the course of a year after .5 = 1 - (.99 ^ n) solving for n years your chances of going broke are a coin flip. its like thinking of the fact that, playing like you are all the time, you have to never go broke ever. so take how long you plan to be playing black jack and put those many years in and play around with risk of ruin until you find a number you feel comfy with and stick with that number. alternatively you could do a booster method, consider that its acceptable to potentially go broke starting out when it wouldnt take a long time to gain back, then switch to a smaller risk of ruin when you have more than you could make back in a reasonable amount of time without counting.
Recently while down in A.C I was on a 6 deck table with hand shuffle penetration about a deck and a half(dealer would let me get away with 1 deck most the time) tip! Anyway I was up 3k and unfortunately couldn't enjoy the beach cause the weather was horrible and was just killing time before a dinner comp could be used. Figured let me toss 200 bucks on the table and make a bit extra and if I loose it no big deal. 200 bucks lasts under 5 min since I was at a 25 buck min table. I buy in again another 200 and can go on and on. The pit boss laid the bait and since I'd been up for a bit over 24 hrs I fell into tilt and my winnings plus bankroll i had went back to the casino more idioticly then I've ever played before. Dealer just kept beating me by 1 point or pushing. So many 10s coming out,but playing 1 on 1 it can work both ways alot. Ultimately left with 100 bucks and am thinking I still got 5k more to put to work and really am at a crossroads in the best betting incrimints I should be using. Say I play 25 bucks a hand then push it when the count is positive but the same situation happens. Should I just play high limit or grind my money back slowly. Only thing is slowly against the casino bank means a less likely break even or make more money then I had to start out with considering the amount of time it will take to get where I need to. I play 1 on 1 cause I can count easier so,would it be better to be on a 8 deck hand shuffle shoe and what betting incrimints do you suggest to take on the casino to get my money lost back. Thanks this will be really important for my personal finances. I know you shouldn't gamble what you can't afford,but I'm kinda in a spot where I have to unfortunately. Keep making the videos that you are doing. Such a relief to listen to you rather then morgenstern.
Don't think about "Getting your money back." That's how a gambler thinks. And please don't gamble with money you can't afford to lose. That's really risky behavior that will likely result in losing more. Stay away from casinos, work on perfecting your game, and if you can get a perfect game with at least 500 betting units (500x$25=$12,500), then you can consider investing again in card counting. That might not be the advise you're looking for, but that's my suggestion. I really hope for the best for you!
Hi. There is a casino near me that has Organic Blackjack. It is electronic and automatic, no live dealer used, but 16 decks of real cards are used. European no-hole- card rule is used (or almost similar to that), and rules of dealer hitting on soft 17, splitting only once allowed, double down allowed on any first 2 cards, blackjack pays 3 to 2, no surrender, insurance pays 2 to 1. Penetration is about 90%. You think card counting on this game can be profitable in the long run?
I was wondering why most of your strategy info are more of your words and not showing it in the table game. Please show your strategy on the table itself.
I still don't understand what determines a '1% risk of ruin' or a '5%' What would you be playing like to achieve one or the other? What is the difference between them in terms of how you play?
There is no difference in how you play (unless you mean back counting or full shoes), only how much you bet. ROR is basically a measure of how protected you are with a given bankroll and bet spread. Let's say you have 20x your max bet ($100) in your pocket. If you had 40x that max bet, you would have less of a chance of losing the entire thing. And of course. Because you would have to only lose $2k in scenario 1, and $4k in scenario 2. It's easier to lose less than more, assuming the same top bet. Make sense?
The difference between the 1% RoR and 5% RoR, assuming the same bankroll, would be the bet spread. A 1-5 spread would have a much lower RoR than say a 1-20 spread.
I have the best game possible (I think) 5 dollar minimum, with surrender, and hand shuffle. The problem is there's a time limit and only one table. It would be pretty hard to just wong. If I did have to play through the negatives, would it be wise to up my base unit when the count is going up? Or should I even be playing this game? The time limit is 4 hours, but the game is ran twice a day.
You can beat it with a big enough bet spread. You need to use software like cvcx (or I do bankroll coaching through Blackjack Apprenticeship) to figure out your risk and EV for that game.
What's the max bet? That's totally beatable. If the max is $500, you could do a 1-10 spread with a $4000 bankroll easily and make probably $400 across all four hours.
Question for Colin: Suppose your bet spread is $10 to $100. Would you reduce your risk of ruin by betting 2 hands of $50 instead of 1 hand of $100 during a high count?
When standard deviation is in your favour, the more hands you play, the more likely you are to profit overall. Assuming the count is the same across two hands, it would be safer to play two hands instead of one.
Expected Value (EV): The statistical amount that any given time period is worth. Even though results rarely equal a player’s expected value in the short run, the Expected Value is the amount a hand is theoretically “worth.” Given enough time, actual results will inevitably catch up with Expected Value. It's from their website, to be more specific, from the Glossary of Blackjack Terms.
Blackjack Apprenticeship no I mean like on a hidden camera, like you did when you get catch in the casino. Also thanks for the answer dude ur awesome keep going I started counting cards and everything is going great
I'm not exactly sure what you mean, but card counting isn't a "quick money" thing. It's a system that works, but with tens, or even hundreds of hours of variance (swings).
Your channel is making casinos finally come clean that’s why the rules suck so bad exposing them if they’re going to deal a beatable game then deal it correctly and let smart people play. If you decide not to deal a beatable game then shut them all down.
Can I beat blackjack with the Red 7 count, a decent spread, and no changes to basic strategy except taking insurance when applicable? I just play recreationally and can't do division well in my head.
Thanks - I studied card counting several years ago and am getting back into it now. Also, in an early surrender game facing a dealer Ace, should you surrender your hand or take insurance in cases where the count merits taking insurance? I recently played 3 max bet hands against dealer ace and took insurance instead of surrendering. I lost all 3 hands and my insurance bets.
IDK when you put it in the example of "You have a ten sided dice... You roll it and if you hit the 1 side you don't want to hit you lose it all" really makes me think.... fuck, I certainly don't wanna take THAT much of a risk.... which I think is the opposite your conclusion at the time lol I play poker though so.... That's why I don't fly on airplanes... you have a like 1 in 2million chance of dying or some random high ass number.... And yeah............ I've seen quads over kings full run to a running straight flush so.... no flying for me.
If you have a low bankroll (anything under $5k) then yeah you need to wong. Or just play basic strategy, hope for a big streak, then leave after losing like two hands in a row after winning four of five. I used to do that when I was learning basic strategy haha. Good way to get comps too. I'd enter a table with $150, play my $15 minimum table for like 10 hands, see where I was at after those 10 hands, ask for a comp, get my food (I would get comped like $15 lol) then leave. Good times. You need iron discipline for that tho. But from what I have read, anyone who wants to play through the shoe needs to have at least $5k, and that's if the minimum bet is $10. $10k for $15, probably $30k for $25 minimum. That's assuming its a six deck shoe, dealer hits soft 17, any two cards double, double possible after split, no surrendering. It isn't a solid form of income like full time advantage playing is, but it's a good way to have some "safe" fun in a casino where you aren't just giving the house money which is what you do with every other game lol.
@@SirJoelsuf1 That depends on how long you plan on playing. For me a 2% ror for 4 hours takes about $1,800k on a $10 table, at a 10-1 spread (minimum you need on 6D). A 100 hours would need a lot more. A lot of those decisions depend on whether you can replenish your bankroll, win or lose. In total though, a $10 base bet with a 10-1 spread, playing full shoes is more like $11k for me, at 2% ror. When I started I had $200 and wouldn't play even 1 negative hand. I flat bet $10 on every positive hand I could. I slowly raised those bets to $40, again always wonging. At that level I was able to pull out $675 one night. When I got home I counted all my money. I had about $4k. $1,100k of that was in the prior 2 sessions. That was 2013. I quit my job and never looked back..
I'm not a very religious man, but hearing "The Church Group" in the context of gambling seems hypocritical to me. Doesn't the Bible condemn it? Don't get me wrong, I like to play blackjack, and win money just like the next person - just a thought. :)
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If you want to find out what being a card counter is really like, check out our 'Life of a Card Counter' series: th-cam.com/video/sv1aU_XNuac/w-d-xo.html
Doesn't 1% risk of ruin mean that you'll eventually go bankrupt regardless?
please make a video on tips to decrease the heat
This was great, thanks, been searching for "blackjack card counting tips" for a while now, and I think this has helped. You ever tried - Tonvelyn Xiylijah Trick - (Have a quick look on google cant remember the place now )? It is a smashing one off product for learning how to make fast money using this lotto system without the normal expense. Ive heard some extraordinary things about it and my work colleague after many years got excellent results with it.
@@bigbilly2052 it means there is a 1% chance of going bankrupt. What didn't you understand about that?
As a 100% recreational player, I really appreciate Colin’s last remarks. I want to walk through life playing blackjack every few months knowing that a perfect game means I will beat the casino over the long run. Take that!
this is exactly why i wanna learn counting, im 22 and know I will be playing till im much older, with counting i love the mental stimulation it makes blackjack a mechacnical game
You cant win by only playing every few months
I'm using your betting software. It shocks me how much EV I lose through betting camouflage. Although I definitely had the advantage before, I am now determined to play more aggressively, even if it results in a lot more heat.
yeah its kinda funny, I've been watching your videos and did exactly what I wasn't supposed to do. I seen in many of your videos. Don't go too soon when your not ready; and then combined with the fact I had a small bank roll and I was betting higher then i should had. Got absolutely owned yesterday :(. Going to take a break an regroup spend another month practicing at home.
Appreciate the content.
I like how videos recomended to me from this channel slowly shifting in the mood from 'perfect strategies' to 'dont worry to lose all your money'...
Great information as always! I'm playing with a super small bankroll, but I'm also just a recreational counter at the moment. I try to keep all of your advice in the back of my head and just trust the math.
Sounds like a decent plan!
How do you determine your risk. Although it's going to be a ling time before I can play Blackjack, I'd rather start learning now.
Your risk of ruin goes up GREATLY if you play 6:5 blackjack
Yeah, good luck having any chance of beating a 6:5 game.
@@Blackjackapprenticeship sir, would it be better double deck 6/5 vs 6-8 deck 3/2
@@fodolocraigo8426 shoe is definitely better than a single or double deck 6/5. Look at it this way: a $5 betting unit blackjack pays $7.50 per betting unit, $2.50 extra, whereas 6/5 only pays $6, $1 extra. You have to get 2.5 blackjacks at a 6/5 table per every one blackjack at a 3/2 table.
This doesn't even take into consideration blackjack "even money" insurance in 3+ true counts. You can get "even money" at a 3/2 table to get a net payoff of 1:1. But at a 6/5 table if you get insurance and they have blackjack you get a net of 1:1; push your bet, 2:1 on your insurance. But if they don't have it, you lose your insurance and win 6/5, at $5 betting units you lose ($2.50) and win $6 for a net gain of $4.50 on your $5 betting unit.
Can you count cards on a continuous shuffler? Or does it strictly apply to shoes?
BattleRatsRapBattles Shoes, as with CSMs the deck penetration is usually too low to be of use for us. (Meaning the dealers will shuffle cards back after only a couple of dealt hands.)
Thank you for the video!! Alot of great information!! Hope your night in amazing!!
Glad to hear it!
Great video! Thank Colin.
Many valuable lessons to learn.
Lin
Thanks!
Sound advice. Refreshing on TH-cam.
That last tip really helped me, because I really don’t have any desire to take card counting professional. Do you have any more videos focused on us recreational card counters?
Great content once again, I’ve been practicing my counting pretty diligently for about 2 months now and my confidence in speed and accuracy have improved significantly. Do you have any advice on breaking down basic strategy in any other way besides memorizing the cards? I am having issues getting it to stick into my memory
This might help: www.blackjackapprenticeship.com/how-to-memorize-basic-strategy/
How your career pan out?
@@mrno_name9518 If he has trouble memorizing something as simple as basic strategy, me thinks he's currently so broke as to not have a computer to respond to you ')
Please make a video on avoiding detection. It's seems pretty obvious to casino staff if we're consistently sitting out several hands throughout a shoe. ( especially at beginning of shoe) And also during team play it seems obvious when the "high roller" partner jumps in and out only playing a few hands. Or always bets big at the end of the shoe. I can't imagine the pit bosses don't notice that.
Richard, we get into this in our video course, but I don't know how much I want to talk about it on a public place like TH-cam.
Good video ! Just a quick question:
If you start with a $20,000 bankroll, playing with $50 chips, and let’s assume your bankroll goes down to $10,000. Should you jeep playing with $50 chips or switch to $25 chips to reduce your risk of ruin ?
Great question! Most card counters I know would switch to a smaller betting unit even BEFORE losing half their bankroll. If your bankroll is down 25%, you might consider reducing your bet spread to have even lower risk.
Blackjack Apprenticeship thank you colin !
This was super helpful! I'm a profitable card counter, but definitely just recreational, because gambling is illegal in Utah and I have to travel out of state to play. My bank roll is only about $500 each time I go out to play, but if I lose it, it's easy enough to replace before my next trip a few months later.
I've been worrying a lot lately about my bankroll size because I've seen videos saying that if your bankroll is $10,000, only I can't lose more than $500 at a time. Haha
You touched on this a little, but given that larger bankrolls accommodate more profitable strategies, do you think it would be more profitable for me to save up and play half as many hands throughout the year, but with double the bankroll each time? Or to keep playing more hands with the smaller bankroll?
If you're doing it recreationally, my advice is to play perfect, bet small enough to have the "trip bankroll" be at least 100 units, and have fun! Treat card counting as a profitable hobby.
You can thank the Mormons for keeping both casinos and the lottery out of Utah! At least you got the West coast nearby.
the anual wendover/mesquite trip is a must for us utah gamblers loll
Great video, thanks colin! Would it be possible for you to do a video going a little more in depth on how to construct a solid bet spread? Is there a formula for it or do you absolutely have to buy software?
I’ll try to do a video on this soon. But for now, you can check out this article:
www.blackjackapprenticeship.com/recommended-blackjack-bankroll/
Thank You for your video,s! My question is Card Counting helps me determine when to bet low and when to bet high?
Good video Collin thanks so much 😎
The way you could minimize risk is like what we do in poker. U move down if your roll gets beat up. So if you have 100k and are playing X level but drop 15K you could drop down to the next level where you would have 1% ruin again.
Absolutely! I recommend that people re-size their betting if they lose 20% or more of their bankroll. The only downside to this is that you have to win more bets to get back to even when you've downsized your betting.
Hey Colin I’m loving the videos and I’m working towards the 200 hours you recommend before even stepping foot inside a casino, I’m currently around 40 hours practice, I have been curious about one question, I’m sure you have answered it in one of your videos, but I’ll ask anyways. Let’s say I walk up to the table and the count is -8 but I only start counting then, the count jumps to -4 however I think the count is +4, is the only way to counter this by joining a table as soon as they start a new shoot? Would be awesome if you could give me some insight
You need to wait for a new shoe before counting a table. You don't want to start counting a table mid-shoe. Keep up the good training! It'll pay off.
ROR is time dependent as well. A 4 hour ROR is different than a 300hr ROR. And those 2D games have a higher variance which requires more capital, all else being equal.
Hey Colin, if you got a hard 14, against a 10 with a running count of +3(increased bet), would you surrender?? or should you hit? 🤔
Hit. Follow the charts.
@@Blackjackapprenticeship is there a chart for varying counts?
@Boss: yes
Omg I think I just might be a great candidate for this
Colin, I had to hear this again. On the Church team you kept the RoR to 0.1%? An *approximation* of the EV is $584/hr. - 6D, 75% pen. However, you had many players going out at once. So for the whole team it was $584/hr. X (number of players).
Per player per hour.
There is no difference between 1 person counting 2 shoes consecutively, or 2 persons counting 1 shoe each, except that it takes the hourly EV of the team and doubles it. But it remains the same, per person. This generates total EV faster than doing it alone.
@@Blackjackapprenticeship But doesn't the RoR stay the same? That is 0.1%?
Just learned what Wonging was.... I've been to multiple casinos where they won't allow you to enter mid-shoe.
Im 18 been on good streaks here n there but not card counting im trying to master card counting thanks for your videos
No prob! And just be aware... those streaks won't last. After enough time, the math always wins out over luck.
I don’t understand risk of ruin. Eventually might you lose your entire bankroll? When does that risk stop, when your bankroll doubles?
Hey Colin I have basic strategy, counting, and deviations down pat I just think my betting could use work I just don’t know how to adjust my betting units per true count I normally double my bet on true 1 and triple true 2 and so on I’m sure this isn’t correct trying to find a set pattern to use for my 1-10 bet spread
i think a good way to visualize risk of ruin is like this: if you have 1% risk of ruin over the course of a year after .5 = 1 - (.99 ^ n) solving for n years your chances of going broke are a coin flip. its like thinking of the fact that, playing like you are all the time, you have to never go broke ever. so take how long you plan to be playing black jack and put those many years in and play around with risk of ruin until you find a number you feel comfy with and stick with that number. alternatively you could do a booster method, consider that its acceptable to potentially go broke starting out when it wouldnt take a long time to gain back, then switch to a smaller risk of ruin when you have more than you could make back in a reasonable amount of time without counting.
What is a good bet spread on DD, S17, 50% pen, no surrender
Measuring the risk of downswings is better than measuring ROR.
With the Risk of Ruin percentage, over what timeframe is this number?
I have controversy. Do you hit 12 against 13. Do you take the hit?
Is Spanish 21 a better game vs 6 deck blackjack?
Recently while down in A.C I was on a 6 deck table with hand shuffle penetration about a deck and a half(dealer would let me get away with 1 deck most the time) tip! Anyway I was up 3k and unfortunately couldn't enjoy the beach cause the weather was horrible and was just killing time before a dinner comp could be used. Figured let me toss 200 bucks on the table and make a bit extra and if I loose it no big deal. 200 bucks lasts under 5 min since I was at a 25 buck min table. I buy in again another 200 and can go on and on. The pit boss laid the bait and since I'd been up for a bit over 24 hrs I fell into tilt and my winnings plus bankroll i had went back to the casino more idioticly then I've ever played before. Dealer just kept beating me by 1 point or pushing. So many 10s coming out,but playing 1 on 1 it can work both ways alot. Ultimately left with 100 bucks and am thinking I still got 5k more to put to work and really am at a crossroads in the best betting incrimints I should be using. Say I play 25 bucks a hand then push it when the count is positive but the same situation happens. Should I just play high limit or grind my money back slowly. Only thing is slowly against the casino bank means a less likely break even or make more money then I had to start out with considering the amount of time it will take to get where I need to. I play 1 on 1 cause I can count easier so,would it be better to be on a 8 deck hand shuffle shoe and what betting incrimints do you suggest to take on the casino to get my money lost back. Thanks this will be really important for my personal finances. I know you shouldn't gamble what you can't afford,but I'm kinda in a spot where I have to unfortunately. Keep making the videos that you are doing. Such a relief to listen to you rather then morgenstern.
Don't think about "Getting your money back." That's how a gambler thinks. And please don't gamble with money you can't afford to lose. That's really risky behavior that will likely result in losing more.
Stay away from casinos, work on perfecting your game, and if you can get a perfect game with at least 500 betting units (500x$25=$12,500), then you can consider investing again in card counting.
That might not be the advise you're looking for, but that's my suggestion. I really hope for the best for you!
Colin how can cards counter generate or rise the EV?
Hi. There is a casino near me that has Organic Blackjack. It is electronic and automatic, no live dealer used, but 16 decks of real cards are used. European no-hole- card rule is used (or almost similar to that), and rules of dealer hitting on soft 17, splitting only once allowed, double down allowed on any first 2 cards, blackjack pays 3 to 2, no surrender, insurance pays 2 to 1. Penetration is about 90%. You think card counting on this game can be profitable in the long run?
I don't recommend it.
I live next to Atlantic City, NJ and they only use 8 decks....It’s a pain.
4:43🙁 damn it
My man got it out the mud!!!
I was wondering why most of your strategy info are more of your words and not showing it in the table game. Please show your strategy on the table itself.
Yup. It’s happened to me several times lol
Haha. Well, better late than never!
Colin, 0.1% RoR with the Church Team? Wow.
I still don't understand what determines a '1% risk of ruin' or a '5%' What would you be playing like to achieve one or the other? What is the difference between them in terms of how you play?
There is no difference in how you play (unless you mean back counting or full shoes), only how much you bet. ROR is basically a measure of how protected you are with a given bankroll and bet spread. Let's say you have 20x your max bet ($100) in your pocket. If you had 40x that max bet, you would have less of a chance of losing the entire thing. And of course. Because you would have to only lose $2k in scenario 1, and $4k in scenario 2. It's easier to lose less than more, assuming the same top bet. Make sense?
The difference between the 1% RoR and 5% RoR, assuming the same bankroll, would be the bet spread. A 1-5 spread would have a much lower RoR than say a 1-20 spread.
How do you calculate risk of ruin?
Amazing Thumbnail!!!!
Hahaha. Thanks Joshua.
I just can’t understand how do you count cards when all casinos i have been to use a auto shuffle afer every hand???
Should a player surrender exactly how the basic strategy suggests? I mean in those 4 cases? which is 16 against 9 10 or ace, and 15 against 10?
Yes! And if you learn the playing deviations, there are a few more to add to that.
Surrender is way more valuable to a card counter than it is to a bs player.
Do you have an app, to practice on?
Has anyone here actually bought his membership ??? Interested
Why wouldn't you just continuoulsly resize your bets so that you're always at a ~10-15% risk of ruin
How do you feel about Kelly Criterion at full Kelly and recalculating after ever session?
Full Kelly is going to be really high risk. 1/2 Kelly is better and 1/3 Kelly is even better!
I have the best game possible (I think) 5 dollar minimum, with surrender, and hand shuffle. The problem is there's a time limit and only one table. It would be pretty hard to just wong. If I did have to play through the negatives, would it be wise to up my base unit when the count is going up? Or should I even be playing this game? The time limit is 4 hours, but the game is ran twice a day.
TIA!
You can beat it with a big enough bet spread. You need to use software like cvcx (or I do bankroll coaching through Blackjack Apprenticeship) to figure out your risk and EV for that game.
What's the max bet? That's totally beatable. If the max is $500, you could do a 1-10 spread with a $4000 bankroll easily and make probably $400 across all four hours.
me, a 26 year old femme painter with cute collectables, learning about blackjack, wish me luck! 🍀
Card counting could pay for a lot of collectibles one day!
does anyone know a free simulator that I can practice basic strategy on? that let's you know when right or wrong? thanks
Where can I find this software
Is there a way to know what the count is when you jump into a table that's already been having cards pulled?
No, that's why it's good to have spotters telling you when to join on a high count. I wish you good luck anyway.
It happened to me 💭
Running count is 10
Hard 16 against K
Should I surrender or hit
Shouldn’t you surrender on any running count? If you cannot surrender though, stand. Do not hit.
Stand at 0 true.
@@GaryLuKOTH Surrender is correct play if available.
Question for Colin: Suppose your bet spread is $10 to $100. Would you reduce your risk of ruin by betting 2 hands of $50 instead of 1 hand of $100 during a high count?
When standard deviation is in your favour, the more hands you play, the more likely you are to profit overall. Assuming the count is the same across two hands, it would be safer to play two hands instead of one.
whats ev?
Expected Value (EV): The statistical amount that any given time period is worth. Even though results rarely equal a player’s expected value in the short run, the Expected Value is the amount a hand is theoretically “worth.” Given enough time, actual results will inevitably catch up with Expected Value.
It's from their website, to be more specific, from the Glossary of Blackjack Terms.
I didn't know how it's work if I count card for two decks out of of six deck and I get + count so how can I know when to bet big ??
Betting software. Our Membership includes a bankroll management App or you can get CVCX by Qfit.
done.
I HAVE A STUPID QUESTION I ALWAYS THOUGHT THAT BASIC STRATEGY IS NOT SURRENDERING AT ANY CARDS?
Would be nice to see you in live
Come to a Bootcamp. ;-)
Blackjack Apprenticeship no I mean like on a hidden camera, like you did when you get catch in the casino. Also thanks for the answer dude ur awesome keep going I started counting cards and everything is going great
Where i can learn the blackjack deviations?
We provide ENHC Deviations in our Membership area.
Hey Colin.
What are the chances of losing 50% - 75% of your BR? I'm too lazy to look it up. Lol.
BUT , Imagine if they are 2 or 3 Players the table....a Positive counting could benefit too the Croupier........i dont Understand???
Most casino uses card shuffler in black jack period
How can I make the account go up and not have to wait as long
I'm not exactly sure what you mean, but card counting isn't a "quick money" thing. It's a system that works, but with tens, or even hundreds of hours of variance (swings).
@@Blackjackapprenticeship Yes, that's what I mean because the other day I was waiting for hours to go up and only went up once in a lapse of 6 hours 😧
I remember once, I played drunk with $200 and won a profit of $1000. I didn't even know I had all that money in my pocket later on LOL!
Your channel is making casinos finally come clean that’s why the rules suck so bad exposing them if they’re going to deal a beatable game then deal it correctly and let smart people play. If you decide not to deal a beatable game then shut them all down.
Can I beat blackjack with the Red 7 count, a decent spread, and no changes to basic strategy except taking insurance when applicable? I just play recreationally and can't do division well in my head.
It depends on the rules/deck penetration of the game and what you mean by a "decent spread," but yes, in theory that's doable.
Thanks - I studied card counting several years ago and am getting back into it now. Also, in an early surrender game facing a dealer Ace, should you surrender your hand or take insurance in cases where the count merits taking insurance? I recently played 3 max bet hands against dealer ace and took insurance instead of surrendering. I lost all 3 hands and my insurance bets.
If there any card counting method more accurate than Hi Lo ? Thank you
Try the ZEN count!
IDK when you put it in the example of "You have a ten sided dice... You roll it and if you hit the 1 side you don't want to hit you lose it all" really makes me think.... fuck, I certainly don't wanna take THAT much of a risk.... which I think is the opposite your conclusion at the time lol
I play poker though so.... That's why I don't fly on airplanes... you have a like 1 in 2million chance of dying or some random high ass number.... And yeah............ I've seen quads over kings full run to a running straight flush so.... no flying for me.
What is EV?
What do you mean “EV”?
EV is short for “Expected Value” Which is the foundational way of thinking like a card counter rather than a gambler. We have a video on it!
Blackjack Apprenticeship
Thx Colin.
I don't see how you can make this work unless you back count and enter a game mid shoe.
Back counting is the safest way to do it. You can also jump in and out of the same shoe at any time if the count tanks. Or sit out till shuffle
Nah, you can totally do it playing through the shoe. That’s what I do most places. You just need the skills and the bankroll. 😉
If you have a low bankroll (anything under $5k) then yeah you need to wong. Or just play basic strategy, hope for a big streak, then leave after losing like two hands in a row after winning four of five. I used to do that when I was learning basic strategy haha. Good way to get comps too. I'd enter a table with $150, play my $15 minimum table for like 10 hands, see where I was at after those 10 hands, ask for a comp, get my food (I would get comped like $15 lol) then leave. Good times. You need iron discipline for that tho.
But from what I have read, anyone who wants to play through the shoe needs to have at least $5k, and that's if the minimum bet is $10. $10k for $15, probably $30k for $25 minimum. That's assuming its a six deck shoe, dealer hits soft 17, any two cards double, double possible after split, no surrendering.
It isn't a solid form of income like full time advantage playing is, but it's a good way to have some "safe" fun in a casino where you aren't just giving the house money which is what you do with every other game lol.
@@SirJoelsuf1 That depends on how long you plan on playing. For me a 2% ror for 4 hours takes about $1,800k on a $10 table, at a 10-1 spread (minimum you need on 6D). A 100 hours would need a lot more. A lot of those decisions depend on whether you can replenish your bankroll, win or lose. In total though, a $10 base bet with a 10-1 spread, playing full shoes is more like $11k for me, at 2% ror. When I started I had $200 and wouldn't play even 1 negative hand. I flat bet $10 on every positive hand I could. I slowly raised those bets to $40, again always wonging. At that level I was able to pull out $675 one night. When I got home I counted all my money. I had about $4k. $1,100k of that was in the prior 2 sessions. That was 2013. I quit my job and never looked back..
I'm not a very religious man, but hearing "The Church Group" in the context of gambling seems hypocritical to me. Doesn't the Bible condemn it? Don't get me wrong, I like to play blackjack, and win money just like the next person - just a thought. :)
Bouta rob the diamond casino the right way
The shoe is reshuffled every hand in GTA5 so there's no point in counting
what is EV
Any one here form GTA online 😂
How did you and your wife manage to save $6,000? You would have been teenagers at that time!
Deal with gambler especially table game player for money putting together? Good luck...
4:42 me who learned about basic strategy just yesterday be like: ye… yeah sure, umm… ye my game is perfect 🫠