Colorado State Releases Most Active Initial Forecast (2024 Hurricane Season Forecast
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 13 มิ.ย. 2024
- Colorado State University released its 2024 hurricane season forecast. It's the most active initial forecast (In April) since the university began making seasonal hurricane forecasts in 1995.
Colorado State is forecasting 23 named storms...11 hurricanes..and 5 major hurricanes.
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Chapters:
00:00: Intro
00:54: Colorado State University Forecast
02:05: Florida Hurricane Forecast
02:56: Percentages For Hurricane Impacts in Texas, Alabama, Maine, New York, North Carolina.
03:50 Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly In Pacific
04:45: La Nina Forecast from Climate Prediction Center
05:25: Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly For Atlantic
06:37: Analog Forecast For 2024 Hurricane Forecast
08:17: Model Forecast For 2024 Hurricane Season
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I appreciate the honest weather reports from you!! Tuning in from Fort Myers!! Been watching you since Ian timeframe
Read the Islam and Gain right guidance about Jesus Christ peace be upon him and His mother Mary peace be upon her and all the messenger's of Allah and accept Islam it is your benefit.
Texas. Thank you.
Are you thanking Texas or are you from Texas and thanking the channel?
Jonathan, thank you for the update. I am in Winter Haven, Fl.
watching from florida. thanks for the good info 👍
I’m in Arizona, so we keep an eye on the EastPac area. Yes, tropical storms do affect us.😊
Im gathering this comes from warmer waters that cycle through the Atlantic?
Any predictions from
U of Miami ?
This is the most comprehensive report I have seen yet. I am not
scared but I truly appreciate the information you provided! You just got a new subscriber🙂 Thank you for your extensive research and video. I live in Orlando 🏝️
Watching from Miami Florida
Tuning in from Trinidad&Tobago 🇹🇹
hurricane Ian was bad enough. I was so scared. The eye went right over my house. My poor guinea pig would not even come out of his house to eat he was so terrified lol. I literally felt the floor and roof move. I watched my neighbor's roof peel off of their house. Lots of damage in my park. Some are just now getting their homes fixed. I don't want to go through that again.
It will be interesting to see how this unfolds.
What about south Florida? How do you feel?
So why is CO state doing thia amd why does Nat Hurr centr use models on storms from Europe?
Co State has always made hurricane predictions. Professor Emeritus Bill Gray originated the seasonal forecasts at CSU and launched the report in 1984. As far as models, all models are used and the European models is one of the most valid.
From Jamaica
Yeah supposed to be pretty active, sea surface temperatures above average for this time of year apparently in Feburary the sea surface Temps were equivalent to July. And el Nina is shaping up but let's just hope that it isn't TOO active this season,
*It just takes one storm*
Agree 100% - Jonathan
Lol definitely not dude
@@mendoblendo321 do you keep check on the different conditions like the el Nino and Nina oscillation and sea surface temps?
I’ve screen recorded the last couple seasons ‘forecast’ since Hurricane Laura. The predictions have been astronomically incorrect. None worse than last year when 5+ Major Hurricanes were predicted and a dozen mid grade hurricanes. These forecasts may be put out there to caution people, but it seems so obvious. Prepare for the worse. But really? Should we every year? Only so much you can do. IMO these ScareCast don’t do much for credibility.
@@vSwampFoxFor your information, 2023 was predicted to be below average with 11 named storms only.... But look at the stats...
20 storms
7 hurricanes
3 majors
Which is unusual when we talk about El Nino seasons....
Watching from Haiti...yeah I know.
Saludos cordiales desde centroamérica Honduras 🇭🇳
Thank You for possible heads up. Helps those of us whom travel to help those that are affected by such storms by not just feeding and giving supplies but also helping to rebuild to some sense of normalcy for those whom cannot at that time.❤☺️🇺🇲
From Trinidad and Tobago.
Of the years mentioned in the analog two featured Northeast hits (Flyod in 99 and Irene in 11). I've seen lots people comparing this time this year to this time in 2020 (which had two Northeast hits). Add to that 41% of a NY hit. Definitely time to prepare.
I live in the Panhandle of Florida , about 40miles north of the Gulf of Mexico ❤
Trevano Blake am from Jamaica
I believe many will turn north and back into the Atlantic..i would watch GA, TX and P.Rico
My Prediction Is To Not Let Halifax Nova Scotia Get A Hurricane This Year
You did not mention Louisiana at all what is our percentage for hurricanes
Stock up them battery and flashligts before people storm
Here we go again....
Read the Islam and Gain right guidance about Jesus Christ peace be upon him and His mother Mary peace be upon her and all the messenger's of Allah and accept Islam it is your benefit.
Accu weather is saying that 4-6 storms will make landfall in the United States this year including Puerto rico.
They are. Certainly a possibility. - Jonathan
Did you know we only had 2 hurricanes in 2013 and no major hurricanes in 2013 as well! Very little activity! In 2013!
I just have one nitpick with this video. Yes, there might be a couple of storms that recurve this upcoming season, but it will be far less than what we saw last year.
La Ninas tend to have less recurves in the Atlantic.
There are cooler anomalies in the subtropics. That promotes high pressure above lowering pressures in the MDR. That favors westward tracks.
There are going to be storms that form out in the subtropics that go out, but that's not really a classic recurve. It's the pressure pattern, not how strong the storm gets. There have been plenty of strong storms that barreled west.
Waiting for you to talk about LOUISIANA
He never talk about Louisiana he always talks about Florida .
They do this every year and are always so wrong. A five year old could guess too. We can't stop hurricanes. I've been here in Florida for 66 years, I'm still alive. I've been in hurricanes down in the Caribbean. Yes, it sucks but we can't stop it. Just prepare really well. That's all you can do.
They aren't trying to be bullish but *AS OF RIGHT NOW* the conditions seem ripe for an active season.
Of course as we have seen many times before it hasn't always been accurate were not rooting for this but were just saying it's a possibility
Guess you didnt the video. I mentioned that it is said every year and they have been correct. I also mentioned that CSU actually predicted a slightly below average season last year and it was way above. Really glad you’re alive but that doesn’t mean hurricane season hasn’t been busy. - Jonathan
@@News6WKMGHow many actual Hurricanes hit the Inited States last year
@@Schef61That’s not relevant because that’s not what they predict.
Actually they are spot on CORRECT! You are dishonest.
Of all things, I'll be sailing the Caribbean in September. What, me worry? Alfred E Neuman.
September is the PEAK month of hurricane season so i'd maybe keep an eye but we can't gurantee it this far out
You might want to change that. Looks like war 😢
@@Nancyspix Well if we have war, I'll be sailing. Watch the movie Father Goose.
The Bermuda high will be stronger and further west this year.
Looks that way…but hoping it’s weak when we have storms. - Jonathan
What? In 2013 we had a super low A.C.E. 33(10^4 knots^2) extremely low ACE In the north Atlantic Ocean....tornados were also super low only 943 tornados! Check your data bro!
How did last year’s predictions pan out? That’s what is missing!
The initial forecast was for a slightly below average season from CSU. Ended up way above. - Jonathan
So if projections are mostly active then we get a castropfe
PAY ATTENTION people. It's not good the Atlantic ocean is so warm now.
So you're saying I should invest in property in Florida...
I’m in Houston tx and I know we haven’t had one in a while but I have a feeling we are getting a big one now.
I hope we don't get two consecutive full blown La Ninas like of 1998 and 1999.. Because if that happens in 2024 and 2025, we all are doomed.... Also, the Nino value of JFM is +1.5°C, indicating a some-what rapid decline of El Nino ... Eventhough I am excited for an active season, I don't want any type of landfall in US... I pray this season gets active but not destructive....
😂😂 can't wait
Last two yrs were quiet. Ian was the only one all yr in FL that yr. It has always come and go in cycles, more a few yrs then calm a few yrs, been that way for ever a d the technology has improves to read winds, rain etc thus the storms are NOT more intense, just the technology is much better and so they use that as the 😮 climate changw basis which is total BS.
Show us your climatology and meteorology degree. Forecasts are incredibly accurate. Last year was spot on correct. A lot didn't make landfall. BUT THEY DON'T PREDICT LANDFALL, just Atlantic basin formations.
You forget Nicole in 2022. There hasn’t realistically been a “quiet” year, in several years. People need to realize landfalls and overall storm activity are two incredibly different statistics
Texas is not even a hotspot this year so how will texas be affected
Rocky Mountain High Exclusive ....We accept Any Disaster due to Equity and inclusion....Hurricane Winds Matter
Not fl yay
All these nice forecasts, will they stake their lives and reputation on these funny forecasts?
It may seem ridiculous but as el Nina is returning and the ocean temperatures are way above average even at this time it could surely happen.
Definitely will. Doesn’t mean it’s going to be accurate but a lot of work and research goes into them. - Jonathan
The predictions are useful. Nobody has an egocentric stance. And accuracy continually improves.
😂😂😂 florida will probably disappear with these predictions
I invite you to accept the religion of your creater Allah and His messenger's like Adam, Noah,Abraham, Moses, Jesus Christ and last messenger Muhammad peace be on all them so that you will success.
Florida dancing with the devil i see
Hey Colorado, maybe you should stay in Colorado.
CO state has been doing this since 1984! Professor Emeritus Bill Gray originated the seasonal forecasts at CSU and launched the report in 1984. Who are you to deny our expertise and relevance? You have a character issue.
It's called weather u guys just roll chicken bones like dice and call it a forcast guessing at best sad
Wow - Hope I survive this season - I am living in absolute fear every year - this "climate change" is getting as bad as "the flu"
Jesus Christ peace be upon him preach only Islam which is the message of Allah because Allah send him to give the guidance of Islam to the mankind This life you didn't gain again so think again for the betterment of next life.
They say this every year.
And it’s been accurate. Haven’t has a below average season since 2013. And CSU actually predicted a below normal season last year and it happened to be above! - Jonathan
@@News6WKMGJohnathan is working with the NWO losers using weather modification to send hurricanes to Trump states. We rubuke you in the name of Jesus.
NOPE! Look at the actual predictions and their 90% accuracy.
THIS IS TWO....TWO...MONTHS EARLY. ALL RESOURCES HAVE BEEN SIGNIFICANTLY INCORRECT IN THEIR PRE-QUARTER PREDICTIONS...FOR YEARS. EACH HAS BEEN OFF BY A CONSIDERABLE AMOUNT and in the greater direction...that is significant over estimates.
The predictions last year was spot on! The predict Atlantic Basin activity. Not landfalls!
They say this every year
No they don't. Look at the actual predictions.
@@philmabarak5421 I've lived and on the oceanside and work on boats on the pacific and Bering Sea now but grew up in Florida and they all say this literally every year that this year will be worst than last and hurry and get supplies 😆 🤣. Buy stock in home depot now.
Weren't all the east coast cities supposed to be underwater by 1989?
Those predictions were never by legitimate climatologists. Out of 100 CC predictions past 40 years, 95 have come true and the remaining 5 are in progress.
No, no scientist ever predicted such a thing.
Colorado?? Is that bc it's where all the chemtrails r being sprayed to make the weather?
We are the experts! Doing this since 1984. And every year we are 95% correct!
@@philmabarak5421baloney😂
I invite you ask your Padri or rahib that who created Jesus Christ peace be upon him and Jesus Christ peace be upon him pray to Allah or himself if you're a truthful.
Jesus Christ peace be upon him was the mightiest messenger of Allah and He was Muslim Allah give him mericles and book Injeel and He teach only Islam.
If their forecast didn't predict an active season, they would lose their funding, "climate change" you know
Show us your climatology and meteorology degrees. CC via human caused increase in CO2 is a scientific fact. Go back and look at their history and their actual predictions that were spot on correct. Most people are egocentric when it comes to predictions and have no clue of the useful aspect for these for a large scale planning and preparations standpoint.
It's weather manipulation.
All of this content for what? Likes? Heard the same thing last year and didn’t get 1.
He says we go into this without fear and hype. That’s all it ever is. Weather forecasters are the most dramatic actors in the game. Like never Trumpers screaming the sky is falling.
Just like the so called scientists here in California always predicting THE BIG ONE.
Is that why you can't get insurance in FL anymore?
😂😂😂
@@philmabarak5421 It’s never as bad as they say it is. Stay in context you leftist. Insurance companies are pulling out everywhere due to costs of rebuilding, repairing or replacing everything is more expensive.
It’s not just the hurricane areas either not just home owners insurance. It’s business and auto insurance as well.
Stop spreading misinformation please!
Yeah we know all about Governor Polis' little habit lol