Tesla Is Now The Worst Performing Stock In The Market
ฝัง
- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 4 มิ.ย. 2024
- Tesla is the worst performing stock in the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq.
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I am not a professional investor and have never claimed to be. I'm an amateur investor sharing my experience of what I've learned, where I have had success, and where I've had failures. I share my thoughts on investing and performance with transparency. My approach and goal to investing is to buy high-quality long-term investments in world-class businesses that I call "compounders". I view my investments as businesses, not as stocks. Before creating content on TH-cam full time I worked as a senior-level programmer for 8 years. Over the years as a programmer, I compounded my knowledge of development. I take the same iterative learning approach to my study of investing. I study investing as a craft in the continual pursuit of being better. I will make mistakes in investment decisions from time to time. Results are not guaranteed. Please do not blindly follow me into any investments, and make sure your portfolio and investments are built around your specific income, risk tolerance, personality, timeline, and overall circumstances.
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Whats your average for Chipotle? Whats a a great entry point for Texas? Thanks Joseph.
@@InvestorYOU $1900 is the average. I think like $80 is my average on roadhouse.
Tesla stock decline represents Musk's honesty and reliability. Musk is the biggest scheister in the world. Tesla is nothing more than a car company, and not a very remarkable one.
I have changed jobs 3 times since 2018, on all those 3 times I always chose Funds for my 401k that had the least amount of Tesla. I have had fights with Tesla investors that keep worshipping Musk and everything he does.
Hi Joseph,
can Qualtrim also analyze my favorite stock “Allianz”, the largest insurance company in the world that is based in Germany, using Qualtrim?
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Allianz
I feel investors should be focusing on under-the-radar stocks, and considering the current rollercoaster nature of the stock market, Because 35% of my $270k portfolio comprises of plummeting stocks which were once revered and i don't know where to go here out of devastation.
Safest approach i feel to tackle it is to diversify investments. By spreading investments across different asset classes, like bonds, real estate, and international stocks, they can reduce the impact of a market meltdown
It's often true that people underestimate the importance of financial advisors until they feel the negative effects of emotional decision-making. I remember a few summers ago, after a tough divorce, when I needed a boost for my struggling business. I researched and found a licensed advisor who diligently helped grow my reserves despite inflation. Consequently, my reserves increased from $275k to around $750k.
this is definitely considerable! think you could suggest any professional/advisors i can get on the phone with? i'm in dire need of proper portfolio allocation
Well, there are a few out there who know what they are doing. I tried a few in the past years, but I’ve been with Melissa Terri Swayne for the last five years or so, and her returns have been pretty much amazing.
Appreciate this recommendation, hopefully I can get some insight to where the market is headed and strategies to beat the downtrend with when I hear back from Melissa.
I believe investors should focus on under-the-radar stocks, especially given the present rollercoaster nature of the stock market. 35% of my $270,000 portfolio consists of collapsing stocks that were previously respected, and I don't know where to go from here.
I think the safest way to handle it is to diversify your investments. They can lessen the effects of a market collapse by distributing their investments among a variety of asset classes, such as bonds, real estate, and foreign stocks. It's crucial to look for professional advice.
It's true that many people underestimate the importance of advisers until their own feelings burn them out. A few summers ago, following an ongoing divorce, I needed a significant push to keep my company afloat. I looked for licensed advisors and found someone with outstanding qualifications. She has contributed to my reserve increasing from $275k to $850k regardless of inflation.
How can I participate in this? I sincerely aspire to establish a secure financlal future and am eager to participate. Who is the driving force behind your success?
Amber Dawn Brummit is the licensed fiduciary I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment...
I just checked her out and I have sent her an email. I hope she gets back to me soon.
Been beating myself up a bit that I sold my 53 shares of NVDA at $303 each back in May 2023. Now thinking of liquidating a few other investments to rebuy but afraid to do so. I also currently have 500k in savings making me next to nothing.
Everyone needs a Margin of Safety in their portfolios and just remember, It's time in the market versus timing the market.
You should at least have that 500k in some high yield account around 5%. That's a free 25k/yr as long as rates stay high.
Please can you leave the info of your lnvestment advsor here? I’m in dire need for one
Thank you! I entered her full name into my browser, and her website came out on top. I filled her form and i hope she gets back to me soon.
I was advised to diversify my portfolio among several assets such as stocks and bonds since this can protect my portfolio for retirement. I'm seeking to invest $200K across markets but don't know where to start.
the strategies are quite rigorous for the regular-Joe. As a matter of fact, they are mostly successfully carried out by pros who have had a great deal of skillset/knowledge to pull such trades off.
I agree, having a brokerage advisor for investing is genius! Amidst the financial crisis in 2008, I was really having investing nightmare prior touching base with a advisor. In a nutshell, i've accrued over $2m with the help of my advisor from an initial $350k investment.
Please can you leave the info of your lnvestment advsor here? I’m in dire need for one
Yvette Ruta Musto' is the licensed coach I use. Just research the name. You'd find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.
Thank you for this Pointer. It was easy to find your handler, She seems very proficient and flexible. I booked a call session with her.
It's a bit misleading. You mentioned how Costco is up 200% in the last 5 years, but if we look at Tesla, they are up 700% in that time frame.
Even when looking at FCF, yes, it's one of the most important metrics to look at, but the companies tesla was being compared to in your examples are completely different. Sectors that don't have an insane amount of capex, and a lot more margins (visa). Building all these gigafactories etc. puts a big dent. That's why investors should know these things and then make a decision if it's worth buying into a company that is still growing and has a lot of expenses. My point is a company that continues to rapidly expand will have a lot less fcf than one that has stabilized. Just look at Intel. Look at their fcf and how its plummeted. Look at how much they are spending on all these new fabs. Its obvious their fcf will take a hit, but if you believe these expenses will benefit the company, then I believe this is the time to buy. This is where the big returns are made if you pick right. Now, to be clear I'm not saying this is the time to buy Tesla or Intel, just saying there are reasons fcf is lower, and there are huge potential growth for these expenses, and that Tesla has vastly outperformed Costco in the last 5 years.
Price and value are different. Tesla stock outpriced COST momentarily. Caution with highly capital intensive businesses that require consumers to take loans to buy their product.
Strongly agree with this comment
@@carlsophiabaker8856 What you just said is what makes businesses cyclical. Unfortunately, Tesla seems to be cyclical, at least to an extent. But their product roadmap is exceptional and IF they can execute on it (which is a big IF), the stock would being extremely undervalued at these prices. My general advice would be to invest within your circle of competence. Most people should not own TSLA stock.
Agree with you !
Great comment. Thanks for pointing out
Great video, I've been interested in investing ever since I came across articles of people making up to $150,000 and more in this period, thanks for the video but is it really possible for a retail investor to achieve this in months?
Starting early is simply the best way of getting ahead to build wealth , investing remains a priority. I learnt from my last year's experience , I am able to build a suitable life beause I invested early ahead this time.
that's quite impressive, you surely made a good bit of money. I myself invested in warren's BRK-A stock quite pricey but totally worth it.
my 401k growth has been stagnant since the 2019. I wouldn't mind consulting the advisor who guides you, I really want to grow my retirement fund since I could retire in 3 years.
STEPHANIE KOPP MEEKS! she is whom i work with look her up.
She appears to be well-educated and well-read. I ran a Goo-gle search on her name and came across her website; thank you for sharing..
Never marry a stock
Exactly. I think many TH-camrs learn it the hard way with Tesla and im kinda glad they do. Tho not as good for the fanbase who just buys stock with their eyes closed.
There's a lot of stocks that have gone down more than 35%. I should know I own them 😂
😅
Year To Date.
Lmao
@@epbrown01 Yes there are a lot down well over 35% YTD as well.
@@LuKiSCraft The video talks about the S&P 500, and the YTD numbers for that show TSLA at the bottom, below Boeing. Are you referring to another index or some random penny stocks?
Buffett:" If I can jump over a 2-foot stick, then I don't want to jump over a 5-foot stick."
Fair enough, but a 5-foot stick to person A might be a 2-foot stick to person B depending on where their circles of competence lie.
@@LuKiSCraft yes, he was speaking for himself and we all ought to do the same
This love-affair with Buffet wizdom is not good for small investors. Develop your own style while always keeping in mind that Buffet is a creation of the media & has little or only so much relevance to a small investor.
I like the Amazon caveat towards the end. Very fair analysis.
My thesis:
-next gen vehicle next year (with 10x runrate/tam)
-solving FSD within 5 years
-humanoid bots capable of most labour with in 10 years
-energy storage growing exponentially with good margins
This comment will age exceedingly poorly. All of these things were predicted 10 years ago as well
@@thomasmuller7637 you wanna bet?
fair points but knowing Elon, he'll probably be trash talking in twitter and hyping DOGE rather than these
@@thomasmuller7637 set a calendar in 5 years time we will see ;)
Hey Joseph, great content as always. On the point about Costco’s yield, isn’t the special dividend already accounted for within the free cash flow yield? I’m under the impression that the special dividends are not excluded when calculating FCF.
The problem and solution is Elon Musk .. he isn’t focused on Tesla anymore. If he had started the 25k EV production when he should , the inflation wouldn’t be a problem to Tesla
The 25k vehicle will push those margins even lower. The only bet you can put on tesla might me the robots. I realy believe that independent robots will be the next industrial revolution. But a lot of other companies are developing them
Much like myself, my portfolio is a grower not a shower
Thank you for your perspective on Tesla! Would you consider making a video on Palantir?
Yes pltr video please!!!
PLTR is the new Tesla. People won’t stop talking about it
Thanks for Your Insight Joseph, I see a some Comments that have different perspective than you, both of which makes sense to me. Still Great insight on both of the Perspective :)
I try to only hold compounders and innovators. I believe Tesla is an innovator. Been dca into tesla under 200. I believe it has a wide economic moat when it comes to electric infrastructure and their vehicles. Ford tried it, gm tried it and both did horribly when it came to profitability. I like their robotics and ai side as well. I feel like its largest opportunities have yet to play out. For now BYD and Tesla have a duopoly on Evs.
Great story to tell yourself. Have fun.
@@katielowen What story are you telling yourself?
I agree brother
@@musa7606 that buying Tesla at its current price is a terrible investment versus other stocks. 🤡
@@katielowen You need to explain why Tesla is a terrible investment because I keep making money on it
I’m considering buying here tbh.
Same
While it’s falling like a rock largely based on real world fundamentals becoming much weaker than investors expected… Okay if you want it at these prices that’s your call.
I just bought 10 numbers today. Basically buying on dip.
It's a strong bottom. Buy it, and if it dosent rise and breaks about 205 sell. Im doing that. Have a position from 134.....
Tesla is trash. If they don’t grow at a rapid pace it becomes clearer to people that their market cap is a fantasy rather than a reality.
I think Tesla wont be mainly a car company but slowly turn into a Energy Conglomerate
I sold all my TSLA stock last year at around $200 reinvested it into my other stocks. Very fortunate I did. I'm more than happy to stay on the sidelines and watch how the TSLA story unfolds. Still waiting to see FSD actually be Full self driving after so many years and still waiting to see Tesla's other products such as the powerwall become mainstream. But until then, I'm not investing yet
Tesla is my biggest loser. Was about to sell last year too but didnt. Now i regret it. Hopefully when interest rates go down their sales will go back up.
I was a Tesla shareholder for a few years even when it dropped down to $110.00 a share a year or so ago and never sold out, but something felt different about this drop and my gut told me to get out and I did at about $255.00 a share and took my profits. I'm not usually one of those fearful investors, but something feels different with Tesla and I'm glad I moved out.
By the time you get clarity on all of thise items, tsla will have already doubled, tripled and more and youll be buying in at much higher prices. The entire market is waiting for that same clarity so hopefully you know better than the market itself!
@@thehulk10 So here's the thing. In the past, sure I used to invest like that (buy into a company now whose stock price will triple because of xxx service/product they have that will explode later). But then I realised, to me, it didn't make sense. I'm making a guess that a company will 2x / 3x its stock price on some technology that hasn't been proven.
But I personally was never successful with this route, so I went another route and started investing in companies that were successful now, that were proven successful, that were monopolies and were consistently making money right now, and could withstand recessions or high inflation environments, and sure, the returns haven't been 2x or 3x, but the returns have been consistent.
When Tesla is more guaranteed to be like those companies, even at a higher price, I'll buy in, but right now, tesla is concerning
How will Visa and MC FCF do when Congress requires credit card companies allow transactions on more than one network, and that alternate network cannot be Visa or MC? How will Visa and MC do when banks are forced to allow transactions go on Discover and AmEx or other payment networks?
Any thoughts on GME?
I have tsla and now as a bag holder i keep on dca on tsla and at same time sell covered calls and sell puts weekly. Let it drop until valuation normalize.
I bought into TSLA years ago when the mainstream media and shorts insisted it was months away from bankruptcy. I've been slowly dollar cost averaging out of the position at anywhere from 800 to 2000% ROI gains to reduce my exposure and preserve my wealth by reducing single stock risk. I've already pulled out probably 10 times what I initially put into it.
I agree. Most of by best stocks are lesser known or "boring" companies that just grow over time.
I think your double counting the dividend when you tack it onto cash flow in the Tesla vs Costco example.
No he is not
@@raudelulloa2597 Why not? Dividends are paid from the free cash flow. You cannot add a dividend to your pro rata share of the free cash flow.
I like the financial and growth analysis.. thanks.
Hard to argue with this logic. I'll continue to hold my Tesla shares though :)
I could see it being way up ten years from now.
Fair analysis sir Joseph! Take away these tough macro conditions and you'll see that nothing has changed about the fundamentals to warrant this drop. If anything Tesla is just increasing its moat. I'll just keep holding my current shares and keep buying as it falls. 1K shares here I come!!!
wow, brave, I do hope you have a few shares of something else in case it doesn't work out.
I had 11000 shares. Was losing so much that i recently sold 90% of what I had. Don’t buy too much that u lose sleep over it
Tesla isn't priced based on its fundamentals.
AMZN and NFLX also seem set up for a pricing correction based on growth/profitability going forward (estimates) to price/cash flow (trailing).
Great
Buying and buying
Exactly, buying the latest tesla innovation shares
would be a great investment
I appreciate your analysis, as I'm new to investing. When you look at operating margin percentages and free cash flow percentages, does a company's growth also need to be taken into account? Likely 2024 will be a very slow growth year (and thats a main driver in the downturn of the stock price), but if Tesla gets back to 30% to 50% growth won't that help increase free cash flow?
They will never reach that growth again ever
Definitely! When evaluating a company's financials, it's important to consider both its growth potential and its profitability measures like operating margin and free cash flow. While 2024 might be a slower growth year for Tesla, if they can regain their 30% to 50% growth rate, it could certainly have a positive impact on their free cash flow. Increased growth can lead to higher revenue and potentially more cash generated by the company. So, growth is definitely a factor to consider when assessing a company's financial health📈💰.I’m an investor, if you want we can have a good chat
Do you have a social media link?
What do you think about buying amazon over apple
Amazon is a thousand Times better than Apple .
Buy Tesla
@@udontknowm3722Nah, you're exaggerating. It's only 100 times better.
I sold Apple. Not buying again until they get their head out of their asses.
Added to VICI today. They are expanding internationally and are acquiring more unique properties. Joseph, can we get an updated take on VICI!?
We should be careful on money useage,if you are not spending to earn back,then stop spending.
People dont understand that the prices of things are never going back down. This inflation is deeper than we think. Those buying groceries are well aware that the real inflation is much over 10%. The increments dont match our income, yet certain investors still earn over $365,000 in stocks and assets. Wish I could accomplish that.
Having an investment advisor is the best way to go about the stock market right now. I was going solo, but it wasn't working. I've been in touch with an advisor for a while now, and just last year, I made over 80% capital growth minus dividends.
I'm surprised that you just mentioned and recommend Mr Brian Nelson. I met him at a conference in 2018 and we have been working together ever since.
Sounds interesting. I was planning to invest some few £ in some coins, stack them up and leave them for a few years, but seeing this changed my mindset. Thank you very much
Any specific guide. I'm from Georgia how do I go about this? I think I'm interested how can I get in touch with Mr Brian Nelson
Thank you❤ very valuable info
Hi Joseph, I've Been following your channel for almost a year now. Have learned a lot from your analysis. Highly appreciate the fact that you made a video on Tesla for your community, even though you don't invest since you made it clear that its an unpredictable business and doesn't suit your style.
It wasn’t so long ago that Nvidia stock was in the toilet, now look what happened. I bought the dip on Nvidia and it’s time to do the same with Tesla
You could invert that logic and say it's not that long ago Tesla was the overpriced hyped up dork stock. And now it's Nvidia
You're going to get burned, as big investors dump their bags on you.
Big investors seem to be trimming their Tesla position significantly. If you want it at these prices you can have it.
@@singed8853
This is exactly what happened in 2022, stock went down to $100
From where the stock touched peak of $300, which translates into 200% returns in just 9-10 months, guess what those big investors who sold Tesla share at $110-$120, they finally bought the stock back over $220, but still they end up making over 36% within 2-3 months though they made mistake in selling Tesla share around $110
Yup no better time to jump back on the Tesla fan boi hype train. Nothing better than over paying for a cool car company stock.
Thx for content
Sold TSLA two weeks ago at 218.46. Bought it back today at 181.21. It might still go down further tomorrow, but I'm comfortable with the price I paid, and was not willing to risk having it go higher with me on the sidelines. I also think we have a crash (of some size) coming, but I expect a short hard rise first. Big money wants a chance to sell for a profit. I think that explains the sudden surge in volume today. I guarantee my opinion is worth exactly what you paid for it.
In the past month, my "unexciting" index funds provided me with over $6,000 in dividends, giving me the option to spend without selling shares. Currently, I've opted to reinvest the dividends to acquire additional index funds for future growth.
Seeking advice on dependable monthly investment options. My goal is to eventually enhance my work income with consistent monthly returns from investments, alongside my long-term investment strategy, for a supplementary monthly income.
I agree, that's the more reason I prefer my day to day investment decisions being guided by an advisor, seeing that their entire skill-set is built around going long and short at the same time both employing risk for its asymmetrical upside and laying off risk as a hedge against the inevitable downward turns, coupled with the exclusive information/analysis they have, it's near impossible to not out-perform, been using my advisor for over 2years+ and I've netted over 2.8million.
I appreciate the implementation of ideas and strategies that result to unmeasurable progress. Being heavily liquid, I'd rather not reinvent the wheel, thus the search for a reputable advisor, mind sharing info of this person guiding you please?
Finding financial advisors like Natalie Noel Burns who can assist you shape your portfolio would be a very creative option. There will be difficult times ahead, and prudent personal money management will be essential to navigating them.
Do you think we should invest in stocks nowadays at current prices ?
If so, can you give suggestions?
Thanks
Now if only Costco would drop 35% because I want more.😂
When COST is on sale, you buy‼️
The only other thing is other ev makers loose money like no tomorrow so in comparison to ford and Gm there 150% + more profitable
I'm very happy to have found your channel, calm and level headed. I appreciate your work, keep it up. I own Tesla and it's nice to hear your opinion.
You’re 4 years late
@@peteryouwakim1425 What do you mean? My average share price for Tesla is 40$, I bought back in 2019
Moody’s.. very good example.
Thank-you!
Sometimes we forget that most retail investors are not familiar with these beautiful, boring investments.
I think Free cash flow is calculated before dividends so I don't think you get that extra dollar from the dividend you mentioned here 13:36 from Costco
Good show Joseph keep up the good work.
Intuit is a cash harvesting machine. They charged me *over a hundred dollars* to prepare my relatively simple tax form. I don't own real estate. I don't own a business. I don't even have any Schedule K-1's, just Form 1099's. I feel ripped off that it cost more than like fifty dollars. But I pay it because doing it the old-fashioned way is too tedious and painful.
Taxact is cheaper. It is owned by Microsoft.
Good observations, some of the things you missed to point out Tesla Superchargers adoption by the industry, Tesla Insurance, Tesla maintenance, Humanoids and others.
I've been buying ADM lately, 26% below the 250 day ema. It's a dividend king, I think it will eventually bounce back after the recent troubles. It's around 4% of my portfolio now, slowly becoming my largest holding. I won't go over 5% though.
Thought provoking video. For historical perspective $10,000 invested in TSLA (July 2010) 14 years ago is now worth $1.137 million. Tesla is a 100 bagger. It might also be helpful to review the number of 35% drops in the last 14 years. This might be the price of admission for a 100x returns. @18:38 the last trick Elon played was a stock split (which worked). He might spin off profitable divisions of the company
The problem is when it’s valued as a high growth company and they said last earnings they will have low growth this year. So it makes it overvalued
Yeah, very overvalued bad stock.
I bought VICI today
It's now my biggest position. The price will depend on the moves by the fed this year. Remember to just buy more if they don't cut rates as soon as the market wants
@@BS-jg7dy Be very careful.
@@BS-jg7dyso it goes up when rates are cut?
@@BS-jg7dy i dont know if they cut rates this year, i just know at some point in the future rates will be cut and REITs will benefit massively.
Also bought more today, P/E ratio is so low right now!
Been accumulating shares since end of 2019. Currently at 1300 shares and still holding :)
Well said for a clear point of view
Compares Tesla to Costco on a 5 year term. Tesla up 785%, Costco up 208%...
Price wise, value wise not so much
That’s exactly the problem. How sustainable Is that 785%? Is Tesla really 8x larger than it was 5 years ago?
@@fot6771 I don't own any Tesla, partially because it did pull forward so much valuation but it is easy to criticise Tesla now and forget that 5 year run
Actually yeah. They have probably grown deliveries 10x in that span
Wow, congrats. $720k/year just on your subscription. Well done!
Worse than BA!? The stock you thought was indestructible? Amazing!!!
You're saying one of the most overvalued companies on the Nasdaq ever with one of the most out of whack PE ratios has performed badly lately! Shocker.
Most out of whack PE ratios??? It's 37.7, Microsoft's PE is higher, Netflix's is higher, COSTCO's is higher!
@lucasfunkt yes now! Well it's actually 39. That wasn't the case.
I wanted to sell out of Tesla a year ago. So sad I didn't. Now im down 50%. :(
Happens to everyone it will comeback
Hold on when people panic they sell, it will go up. This will show you how the rich get rich by holding on stocks when everyone else panics and sells
Long term portfolios should predominantly contain steady growers like Costco, and just a little bit of spice like Amazon and Tesla.
I’ve been watching the latest FSD V12.3. ITS AMAZING!
still not legally able to call it FSD
🤣🤣🤣
@@cosmic_kid2868 beta 😄🤌
🤣🤡🤣
Joseph what happenσ with vici stock?
It's been pretty bad in terms of performance. Basically flat for two years while paying a 7% dividend. So just above a high yield savings account. I really think interest rates will help it out if they do go down, but if VICI has to refinance all their loans at much higher costs, it will continue to have a difficult time.
Currently I just hold VICI and reinvest all the dividends into stuff I think is set up better.
That is another side of boring stock
In Tesla scenario, though the stock goes down by 30-40% in few months, not to forget the company has the potential, capable & deserve shooting above $300 also in couple of months, which translates into a profit of 100% on one's Invstmnt, so to make 80-100% within 1 year, it is not bad taking calculated risk by buying Tesla share at this great price, I'm undoubtedly in
Joseph, why dont you cover AXP?
Monopolistic business, cash flow machine, huge moat
Agreed 👍 any reit and bdc right now is in the hand of the fed. So I do like Joseph do. Use the dividend cash for something else better deal. And at the mean time sell covered call with your own stocks to collect weekly premium.
@@lakshnaramesh9733 Lmao what a word salad you just gave.
Joseph besides the cars how about exploring tesla on the energy business too.
A) Ev business
B) ENERGY ( POWERWALL BATTERY PACKS ETCETC)
I guess becomes challenging if tesla does not report no. On the energy business.
These 2 segments make up the the whole
Look at Tesla's Free Cash Flow compared to Legacy auto's and profit margin against Chinese EVs. They are doing all of this with next to no debt, sitting heavy on cash in this rate environment while cutting prices. Oh yea, did I mention that you can youtube FSD Beta V12(future SW margins) to see their progression thus far. Enjoy the discount while it lasts. See ya'll in a decade. Max DCA, buy more on red and pretend you're dead. 🤑🤑🤑
Its a good price around 90-100 USD
Still expensive
70
It'll never see 100 again
Good vid. Tesla autos are very popular in my area of the country. BUT I won't buy the stock. I think you're right about expectations and I don't see Tesla being able to attain them.
SOFI is now profitable: could you do a breakdown on this company?
Ya, I'd rather hear about SOFI than another breakdown of TXRH.
@@InfoRankeragreed
Why is Ron Barron holding TSLA until 2030 ?
If we buy Tesla under $100 and hold it until 2030.. You are going to be rich.
Tesla is in for a long run🚀
He's smart and wants his kids to be very very rich
I really don't understand how intuit commands a 66 PE
Costco raised their prices twenty percent.
Sofi breakdown?
Buy the dip
Lol product is awful. It's been overloaded from last 3 years. Maybe four and most of it's money isn't even from products itself😂
Most of their money was from an emissions credit lol
Probably not just a dip. The company doesn't even deserve its current valuation
No thanks.
@@Brianpeckin Best product on the market tbh. The company may very well be overvalued. I tend to look at GoPro. Fantastic camereas, worldwide and so on. Stock performance? Down down down, you would have lost everything.
So Tesla may be great but overprices? Quite possible yes.
@@chrisja1998 best product with be Nvidia even that's over inflated ATM. You can't sit here and tell me Tesla cars are better than anything Toyota does and for a long time Tesla was worth more than them. I feel around a hundred is a good spot for Tesla for now
The time to buy Tesla was when the price was 120s with a FWD PE ratio in the 20s. That ship set sail.
Your right, and we just may see it in the 120;s very shortly. Highly volatile.
the plunge protection team jumpin in here for the last 20 minutes of trading. look at the charts. down down down all day, then straight up in the last 20 minutes.
Warren Buffett knows more than stock bros. I’m shook
Magnificent 7 -> Magnificent 6
Give it a few years... could well be in a league of its own above the other six
If it hits my price target I'm putting 50k into it
Curious what is the price target? I like to sell otm options so would like to get 100 shares at a reasonable price. Just dipped my toes today for the first time.
Good
Keep up the great content! I've been watching you for a while, sir. Funny enough, my top 3 largest holdings by far are NFLX, AMZN, and NVDA. I've been investing for 18+ years, and I, too, am utterly obsessed with Free Cash Flow.!
RE TSLA: I don't understand why people say "Buy the Dip" when it still has a 500+ Billion USD Market Cap... A company of that size needs to have a stronger market position. EVs are just a race to the bottom on profitability, and there's been a massive shift from the more prominent players to go back to Hybrids... Toyota has played this brilliantly since they were initially shunned by investors because they never really dove into EVs like Tesla and GM did. Toyota knows a thing or two about selling and manufacturing high-demand cars. My whole reason for staying away from Tesla all these years is I think it's just been a constant game of "Show me the money," and Elon keeps trying to sell people on what is coming soon... and he keeps delaying and delaying and cutting prices I don't get it... But I'm not seeing all these humanoid robots, robotaxis, FSD, and the thousands of other nonsensical technological promises they will never deliver on. If Elon Musk were a pizza driver, I would not tip him. 🤣
Just my 2c... Keep up the great content, Joseph!
Couldn’t agree more
There's probably an inverse relationship between tesla's stock price and the number of people who realize there will never be a robotaxi network, hyperloop, or a colony on Mars.
As Ashwath said, Tesla is like my teenager investment. I also look at it the same way. I agree with his valuation of nearly 180 dollar.
Awww man I almost fell of my chair when you compared it to Boeing with "literal doors flying off" 😆
Huge blessing for long term investors
Dealers dont want to even take EV's on a trade in. They are too hard to sell.
Tesla bot, tesla semi, tesla energy, cybertruck, fsd, charging stations
, 600hp model 3, soon a $20k car.
Did somone say fisker?
Only us Norwegians when we see fish
The game plan didn’t work, trying to take most market share by lower the prices. The marginal gain doesn’t material over volume during a hot interest rate extended period simply. They should start selling the best made model at lower price point to offset the scale up capacity.
Jeremy mentioned
Does qualtrim include all world stock data or only US?
Tesla is simple - if you believe it's only a car company, it's too expensive. If you believe in any of the other things they are working on - AI, Robotics, Energy/Power, etc - then it's probably time to look for an entry point.
Tesla is a great Bet company, if one day tesla sell 10M cars/year and drop FSD price to 49.99$/month or yearly subscription of 300-400$ this will cause a massive boom into thier cash flown nothing is sure and you have to believe in technology, AI and FSD.
At this point it's almost impossible to "avoid" Tesla in the news. Even if an article is about an entirely different automaker the media will title it "The Tesla killer" - "The next Tesla" or similar. Whatever "Tesla" gets clicks that's for sure, doubly so if it comes with some negative connotation.
Once Tesla realise FSD , the free cash flow will increase 50X
I have 0 allocation to $TSLA but I do believe you “get extra points” for being interesting and complex. You had such outsized returns in Tesla during its run because people couldn’t understand so they bought the hype. I think if it was just another car company like Rivian, selling pretty much just a truck,it wouldn’t have had the hype run it did from 2016-2022.
I like boring companies personally so less hype the better imo.
It's time to start the music.... it's time to light the lights....
Another thing hurting Tesla is the reduced subsidies for evs. Without subsidies people prefer normal cars
I appreciate this analysis but Tesla isn’t any car company and betting against Elon has not been profitable.. just sayin’..
Now you know better why Apple ditched e-car project.
You compare it to Costco, Visa and Mastercard... + The present cash flow does not matter, it is the future cashflow + they can just stop spending if they want cash flow + operating margins don't need to go up much, revenue does also exist... + please, i beg you to do some research on tesla fsd and energy, these businesses have way higher potential than the cars.