It feels like the Fed is walking a tightrope. On one side, there’s the risk of deflation, and on the other, there’s this ever-growing mountain of debt. Either way, it could have massive economic consequences.
I think both are real concerns. Deflation could crush demand and push businesses to cut prices, wages, or even jobs just to stay afloat. It sounds like a vicious cycle that would make it even harder to pay off existing debt, which could lead to widespread defaults.
on the flip side, there’s the debt spiral. It feels like we’re piling on more debt to solve every problem, and eventually, servicing that debt could eat up a huge portion of the budget.
Right, and it's like the Fed has to keep interest rates low to make that debt manageable, but then that feeds into the inflation narrative and asset bubbles. If they raise rates to fight inflation, they risk triggering that deflationary spiral you’re talking about.
Yeah, and I think that’s where the real dilemma comes in. If they keep stimulating the economy with low rates and more liquidity, it helps in the short term, but long term, it could create a massive bubble. If that bubble bursts, the fallout could be far worse than if they had allowed some short-term pain to occur.
Invest judiciously, keep a stop loss figure. Shuffle between debt and equity wherever the ratio goes too off your target. As for the target, I recommend a Ratio like this Debt % should be equal to your age in years. If you are 20, debt is 20%, reset in equity. If the market falls or rises drastically, your debt % will change, which you should rebalance to 20% and bring back equity to 80%. Thus you would have bought low or booked profit depending on if it was a crash or a bull run.
Effective personal finance management is more important than the amount of money saved, regardless of whether income is earned through job or investment. Individuals can seek counsel from a certified financial advisor to optimize financial outcomes, who can provide specialized advice and methods to decrease expenses and maximize income.
I agree, that's the more reason I prefer my day to day investment decisions being guided by an advisor, seeing that their entire skillset is built around going long and short at the same time both employing risk for its asymmetrical upside and laying off risk as a hedge against the inevitable downward turns, coupled with the exclusive information/analysis they have, it's near impossible to not out-perform, been using my advisor for over 2years+ and I've netted over 2.8million.
Carol Vivian Constable is the licensed fiduciary I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment..
I just Googled her name and her website came up right away. It looks interesting so far. I'm going to book a call with her and let you know how it goes.Thanks
I will be forever grateful to you, you changed my whole life and I will continue to preach on your behalf for the whole world to hear that you saved me from huge financial debt with just a small Investment, thank you Alesia Haas you're such a life saver
As a beginner in this, it’s essential for you to have a mentor to keep you accountable. Alesia Haas is also my trade analyst, she has guided me to identify key market trends, pinpointed strategic entry points, and provided risk assessments, ensuring my trades decisions align with market dynamics for optimal returns.
The economic crisis and downturn are all the signs of 2008 market crash 2.0, so my question is do I still save in the US dollar or is it okay to move all emergency and savings to precious metals?
In light of the ongoing global economic crisis, it is crucial for everyone to prioritize investing in diverse sources of income that are not reliant on the government. This includes exploring opportunities in stocks, gold, silver, and digital currencies. Despite the challenging economic situation, it remains a favorable time to consider these investments. Nevertheless, seeking guidance from an investment planner might be necessary if you desire a more assertive return.
Investing in gold is a reliable choice, and I plan to keep buying more to make up for my losses. While silver is also a good investment, my collectibles are not as similar. It's important to have clear investment goals and educate yourself on the type of investment that interests you. I work with a financial consultant regulated by the SEC, and started small, but eventually accumulated over $800,000.
Can you provide instructions on how to contact your advisor? I'm experiencing erosion of my funds due to inflation and looking for a more profitable investment strategy to make better use of them.
‘’Marisa Michelle Litwinsky’’ is the licensed advisor I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.
Marisa has the appearance of being a great authority in her profession. I looked her up online and found her website, which I reviewed and went through to learn more about her credentials, academic background, and employment. She has a fiduciary duty to protect my best interests. I sent her an email outlining my objectives and also booked a session with her; thanks for sharing.
The Fed's interest rate cut leaves me pondering what stocks to buy now and when do I sell? I'm unsure how to properly allocate my money to achieve an optimal portfolio in this present economy, my goal is $3m for retirement.
Navigating market volatility can be challenging, it might be beneficial consulting with an advisor to provide personalized insights based on your specific situation and financial position
The issue is most people have the “I will do it myself mentality” but not skilled enough. Ideally, advisors are perfect reps for investing jobs and at first-hand experience, my portfolio has yielded over 330% since covid-outbreak to date, summing up nearly $1m.
The dual mandate was not part of the Fed's original purpose in 1913. Elastic money to prevent financial panics and bank runs was the original purpose. The big banks wanted to move away from hard money (gold backed). The government also wanted a way to moderate recessions and avoid depressions.
Rate cuts commence in June 2024, taking 6-8 months to complete. A potential crash, if any, might occur by March 2025. The soft landing narrative is gaining traction, making this big recession everyone is calling for less likely. With $1 million from a business sale, I'm seeking profitable investment opportunities for the next 3 years.
The financial market is a reliable choice. Diversify your portfolio with I-bonds, stocks (ETFs, REITs, dividend-paying stocks), and bitcoin. Given your budget, I recommend hiring a fiduciary to ensure you receive professional insights for a fee.
t's often true that people underestimate the importance of financial advisors until they feel the negative effects of emotional decision-making. I remember a few summers ago, after a tough divorce, when I needed a boost for my struggling business. I researched and found a licensed advisor who diligently helped grow my reserves despite inflation. Consequently, my reserves increased from $275k to around $750k.
I'm pleased I found this conversation. If you're comfortable with it, could you share how I can get in touch with the advisor you rely on for your investments?
I have a female advisor named Lucia Alicia Cruz. I recommend researching her. To be very honest, I'm glad I decided to let someone handle expanding my finances even though I almost didn't think I should.
The Feds has unleashed chaos! every day we encounter novel challenges that have become the new standard. Although we previously perceived it as a crisis, we now acknowledge it as the new normal and must adapt accordingly. Given the current economic difficulties that the country is experiencing in 2023, how can we enhance our earnings during this period of adjustment? I cannot let my $680,000 savings vanish after putting in so much effort to accumulate them.
Very true, a huge part of my portfolio growth has come during this bear market. I've been able to scale from $100K to $272K in a short period of time. I basically was just following the steps and guideline from my financial advisor. as long as you've professional help, you're good to go
I want to know the mental gymnastics of thinking there isn’t going to be enough money to buy long duration treasuries in a deflationary spiral but there will be enough money to buy risk assets like bitcoin 😅
A country is not a company or a person. Countries don't go out of business, die, or retire like a person or a company. However, the ratio of debt to GDP is important and the currency must be credible to service the debt with a stable store of value.
The tightening was too aggressive to begin with. The rate hikes have broken an already fragile economy that would have worked out the inflation in the free market. The Fed chose to spark inflation buy napalming the public with stimulus right when the global supply chain was broken and production of good and service basically did not exist during Covid. It was gasoline on the perfect firestorm. Then, instead of letting the inflation work itself out… we hiked rates thousands of times higher than they were in the most massive pounding the Fed has ever given an economy. They chose to break the inflation they created over the backs of the middle class. Now they’re providing a little relief and everyone is acting like it’s going to bring back Covid level inflation and end the world..... Anyone feeling the impact of these economic shifts should consider Crypto long-term trading strategies to protect their assets. My advice to anyone feeling the heat in this inflation, just trade long term more than ever, I have made over 520k from day trading with Francine Duguay's in few weeks, this is one of the best medium to backup your assets incase it goes bearish..
Francine goes deeper than just looking at surface-level trends. she explores technical, fundamental, and sentiment analysis, offering a comprehensive perspective on the market..
Sounds like a skeptical outlook on things then. With the rate cuts do you think it's best for us who are not conservative investors to focus on bonds or dividend stocks? I want to reallocate my 7-figure portfolio and I preferably want the assets with the best ROI.
Bonds are a safer bet. They offer good stable yields. But dividend stocks could make you a fortune if you know how to go about it. But it's always a good idea to work with a CFA. It streamline your strategy and help profit a lot.
I've been through the 'bonds are beating stocks' periods since the 90s with no bonds and with all aggressive stock mutual funds. At 66, my IRA and cash accounts are far more than I expected for my retirement. I can easily handle a worst-case 80% stock crash, Thanks to my CFA.
Mind if I look up your advisr please? I've worked in real estate for over 15 years and have neglected a major stock portfolio. This served me well when I was flipping and renting houses, however I need a different plan now.
Certainly, there are a handful of experts in the field. I've experimented with a few over the past years, but I've stuck with ‘’Aileen Gertrude Tippy” for about five years now, and her performance has been consistently impressive.She’s quite known in her field, look-her up.
As a calculation that is an interesting observation but when countries locked down business for years, did you note that Government doesn't need income tax revenue to operate.
The Fed's real mandate is to prevent financial panics, backstop the banking sysyem, keep unemployment below certain levels, and keep inflation below certain levels. They also must prevent deflation that will destabilize the banking system. They also must keep the bond market functioning. Since the U.S. Treasury is the reserve asset of most of the world's banking system the U.S. debt must exist and can't be paid back or there will be no reserve assets.
But you are 100% correct, the more I stufy the Eurodollar system the more blown away I am by how completely it runs everything. It's truly impressive. Our evil overlords are not stupid, or at least they didn't used to be. There is no way "through" the dollar, if you don't like it well go pound sand because it's still the best game in town.
From $10K to $35K that's the minimum range of profit return every week I think it's not a bad one for me, now I have enough to pay bills and take care of my family.
they literally did that just a few years ago and no one said shit. They did that in france and they turned paris into a burning bag of poo. Americand are so apathetic.
@@TH-camuseritis the only issue with this is that it may not be current income if they need money immediately. Canada raised the capital gains tax and so everyone with large gains ran to sell their investments and crystallize gains in 2024, this will be a huge revenue now. I guess it depends how desperate the situation is. When retirement age is raised, sometimes you get revolution or the fall of the government. Probably easier to just take a risk and tax the rich(er). They may go to a tax haven but you are betting the stickiness and inconvenience of moving your life abroad overweighs the tax grab. Boiling the frog alive so to speak. Neither in taxes or war is it ever clear exactly when you should emigrate. you have to draw a red line and go with it i guess.
@@easterntechartists Rich don't become rich by chance 🙂. Middle class generates most of the value and most easy to exploit for the government. They will try to increase taxes on the rich too - don't get me wrong. But they will quickly realize that is quite counterproductive. If Trump comes to power, almost certainly government will try to raise retirement age by 2 years. also will try to privatize social security - like Bush did almost 20 years back (which is much more reasonable idea IMO).
@@easterntechartists Government will have fancy consultants from Mckinsey tell them how much you can heat the frog before it complains 🙂. Both Harris and Trump are quite bad choices. Hope we get somewhat lucky and get the less worse choice 🙂.
1. Are US Treasury sales a part of US “GDP”? 1. Are US Treasury sales a part of US “GDI”? 3. If US Treasury sales are a part of GDP or GDI, what is the % of US GDP or GDI that US Treasuries represent in 2023? Thx
Labor supply is not the issue. The issue is the poor quality of the local labor. It's nearly impossibly to hire a young local person, who will work hard on a low paying job. If we didn't have the low payed hard working immigrants most businesses will not survive.
Why would or why should we be borrowing so much if we’re not in a recession and if we’re borrowing this much what are we trying to pay for and what is the return on that investment?
What I don’t understand about the strength of Bitcoin being a decentralised asset as its strength may well be its ultimate weakness too. If it’s maintained by a group of computers (protocols) around the world then isn’t it still centralised in that it’s a large group of computers which are maintained by a selected large group of people that has to keep the computers operating to update the ledgers. So if in time of wars or energy blackouts which are rampant, won’t those computers be down? What happened to the bitcoins then? If someone knows the answer to that please enlighten.
Bitcoin would be a hard money, hard money didn't work. No way to expand the money supply and no tools to fight recessions or depressions or bank runs or financial panics.
Always seem to avoid the real issue in these discussions - federal revenue which has barely moved since 2000. It's the real reason we are running huge deficits. After a myriad of tax cuts and stimulus programs private sector tax revenue dropped from 4 percent of GDP in 1950 to 1 percent today. Where did it all go? Stock buybacks, mergers and acquisitions, PE LBOs.
BTC will only increase if it can pass the test of being a true universal asset in a multi-polar world. If its seen as being influenced by western govts/institutions there will be no buy-in outside the west. Remains to be seen how the BTC community handles the coming geopolitical fractures.b
Isn't that hard. Savings rates and credit card balances say it all. It won't be no doc loans and junk CDOs this time around. It's the consumer. Deflation is around the corner
How to KEEP Confidence in the USD when BRICS countries are moving away from using USD for internal trades and Weaponizing USD in geo-politics. On the contrary Nations are seeing FED manipulating USD value by using interest rates and destabilizing it. The best alternative is to replace USD with GOLD, the safest Reserve for Central Banks all over the world.
Very little money is being sent out to Ukraine. Almost all is being spent in the US. The billions you hear about are weapons that would actually cost money to destroy.
Unemployment isn’t going up just because of 20 million illegal immigrants….they just amended the non-farms payroll by almost 1 million people!!!! This is directly proportional to a declining economy.
The guy was doing fine until he started talking about Bitcoin. Imagine still preaching the "decentralized" foolishness when Bitcoin was already hyperfinancialized into derivatives and so on. Bitcoin is now highly correlated with Nasdaq so it will no longer be related to store value as gold. It's so bad to see people cheering some asset because they own it.
Till the wars are going on, they may keep the market going. It will be very difficult - politically - to use huge amount of tax money for wars while people loose huge amounts in their retirement accounts at the same time 🙂.
At what you're saying is a Trump presidency (where all the things you say the Fed is trying to avoid WILL ABSOLUTELY happen), will be devastating for the US economy.
I think all you need is an expert assigned by a brokerage company that will trade for you and handle your capital professionally and give you weekly returns of investment without any extra fees attached
Yeah, I believe investing with a professional is the optimal approach, as it mitigates the risk of significant losses. Did you genuinely know her? I was under the impression that I was the sole beneficiary of her guidance through the challenges of trading.
Seeing a remark regarding my manager Evelyn Turner is quite energizing. It was just like this when I first met her a few weeks ago. Having started with just 4k about 2-3 weeks ago, I have already made it to 21 k. She is very remarkable!
Goodness gracious I'm so excited seeing Ms. Evelyn Turner been mentioned here also. Didn't know she has been good to other people too, this is wonderful because I also started with a TH-cam referral like this
Waht a load of crap. just an hour of justifying pimping bit coin, to real info on the econ at all Blockworks macro gets more pointless by the day. unsubscribed
It feels like the Fed is walking a tightrope. On one side, there’s the risk of deflation, and on the other, there’s this ever-growing mountain of debt. Either way, it could have massive economic consequences.
I think both are real concerns. Deflation could crush demand and push businesses to cut prices, wages, or even jobs just to stay afloat. It sounds like a vicious cycle that would make it even harder to pay off existing debt, which could lead to widespread defaults.
on the flip side, there’s the debt spiral. It feels like we’re piling on more debt to solve every problem, and eventually, servicing that debt could eat up a huge portion of the budget.
Right, and it's like the Fed has to keep interest rates low to make that debt manageable, but then that feeds into the inflation narrative and asset bubbles. If they raise rates to fight inflation, they risk triggering that deflationary spiral you’re talking about.
It’s a no-win situation, and timing seems to be everything. What’s crazy is that neither path is exactly safe.
Yeah, and I think that’s where the real dilemma comes in. If they keep stimulating the economy with low rates and more liquidity, it helps in the short term, but long term, it could create a massive bubble. If that bubble bursts, the fallout could be far worse than if they had allowed some short-term pain to occur.
Invest judiciously, keep a stop loss figure. Shuffle between debt and equity wherever the ratio goes too off your target. As for the target, I recommend a Ratio like this Debt % should be equal to your age in years. If you are 20, debt is 20%, reset in equity. If the market falls or rises drastically, your debt % will change, which you should rebalance to 20% and bring back equity to 80%. Thus you would have bought low or booked profit depending on if it was a crash or a bull run.
Effective personal finance management is more important than the amount of money saved, regardless of whether income is earned through job or investment. Individuals can seek counsel from a certified financial advisor to optimize financial outcomes, who can provide specialized advice and methods to decrease expenses and maximize income.
I agree, that's the more reason I prefer my day to day investment decisions being guided by an advisor, seeing that their entire skillset is built around going long and short at the same time both employing risk for its asymmetrical upside and laying off risk as a hedge against the inevitable downward turns, coupled with the exclusive information/analysis they have, it's near impossible to not out-perform, been using my advisor for over 2years+ and I've netted over 2.8million.
How can I reach this adviser of yours? because I'm seeking for a more effective investment approach on my savings
Carol Vivian Constable is the licensed fiduciary I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment..
I just Googled her name and her website came up right away. It looks interesting so far. I'm going to book a call with her and let you know how it goes.Thanks
Hit 250k today. Appreciate you for all the knowledge and nuggets you had thrown my way over the last months. Started with 24k in April 2024.
I would really love to know how much work you did put in to get to this stage
I will be forever grateful to you, you changed my whole life and I will continue to preach on your behalf for the whole world to hear that you saved me from huge financial debt with just a small Investment, thank you Alesia Haas you're such a life saver
As a beginner in this, it’s essential for you to have a mentor to keep you accountable.
Alesia Haas is also my trade analyst, she has guided me to identify key market trends, pinpointed strategic entry points, and provided risk assessments, ensuring my trades decisions align with market dynamics for optimal returns.
The economic crisis and downturn are all the signs of 2008 market crash 2.0, so my question is do I still save in the US dollar or is it okay to move all emergency and savings to precious metals?
In light of the ongoing global economic crisis, it is crucial for everyone to prioritize investing in diverse sources of income that are not reliant on the government. This includes exploring opportunities in stocks, gold, silver, and digital currencies. Despite the challenging economic situation, it remains a favorable time to consider these investments. Nevertheless, seeking guidance from an investment planner might be necessary if you desire a more assertive return.
Investing in gold is a reliable choice, and I plan to keep buying more to make up for my losses. While silver is also a good investment, my collectibles are not as similar. It's important to have clear investment goals and educate yourself on the type of investment that interests you. I work with a financial consultant regulated by the SEC, and started small, but eventually accumulated over $800,000.
Can you provide instructions on how to contact your advisor? I'm experiencing erosion of my funds due to inflation and looking for a more profitable investment strategy to make better use of them.
‘’Marisa Michelle Litwinsky’’ is the licensed advisor I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.
Marisa has the appearance of being a great authority in her profession. I looked her up online and found her website, which I reviewed and went through to learn more about her credentials, academic background, and employment. She has a fiduciary duty to protect my best interests. I sent her an email outlining my objectives and also booked a session with her; thanks for sharing.
The Fed's interest rate cut leaves me pondering what stocks to buy now and when do I sell? I'm unsure how to properly allocate my money to achieve an optimal portfolio in this present economy, my goal is $3m for retirement.
Navigating market volatility can be challenging, it might be beneficial consulting with an advisor to provide personalized insights based on your specific situation and financial position
The issue is most people have the “I will do it myself mentality” but not skilled enough. Ideally, advisors are perfect reps for investing jobs and at first-hand experience, my portfolio has yielded over 330% since covid-outbreak to date, summing up nearly $1m.
I’ve been considering getting one, but haven't been proactive about it. Can you recommend your advisor? I could really use some assistance.
Melissa Elise Robinson is the licensed advisor I use. Just research the name. You’ll find necessary details to work with to set up an appointment.
Thank you for the recommendation. I'll send her an email and I hope I'm able to connect with her.
The dual mandate was not part of the Fed's original purpose in 1913. Elastic money to prevent financial panics and bank runs was the original purpose. The big banks wanted to move away from hard money (gold backed). The government also wanted a way to moderate recessions and avoid depressions.
Rate cuts commence in June 2024, taking 6-8 months to complete. A potential crash, if any, might occur by March 2025. The soft landing narrative is gaining traction, making this big recession everyone is calling for less likely. With $1 million from a business sale, I'm seeking profitable investment opportunities for the next 3 years.
The financial market is a reliable choice. Diversify your portfolio with I-bonds, stocks (ETFs, REITs, dividend-paying stocks), and bitcoin. Given your budget, I recommend hiring a fiduciary to ensure you receive professional insights for a fee.
t's often true that people underestimate the importance of financial advisors until they feel the negative effects of emotional decision-making. I remember a few summers ago, after a tough divorce, when I needed a boost for my struggling business. I researched and found a licensed advisor who diligently helped grow my reserves despite inflation. Consequently, my reserves increased from $275k to around $750k.
I'm pleased I found this conversation. If you're comfortable with it, could you share how I can get in touch with the advisor you rely on for your investments?
I have a female advisor named Lucia Alicia Cruz. I recommend researching her. To be very honest, I'm glad I decided to let someone handle expanding my finances even though I almost didn't think I should.
She appears to be well-educated and well-read. I ran an online search on her name and came across her website; thank you for sharing.
The Feds has unleashed chaos! every day we encounter novel challenges that have become the new standard. Although we previously perceived it as a crisis, we now acknowledge it as the new normal and must adapt accordingly. Given the current economic difficulties that the country is experiencing in 2023, how can we enhance our earnings during this period of adjustment? I cannot let my $680,000 savings vanish after putting in so much effort to accumulate them.
I'll suggest you find a mentor or someone with experience guide you especially in this recession. for your and portfolio diversification.
Very true, a huge part of my portfolio growth has come during this bear market. I've been able to scale from $100K to $272K in a short period of time. I basically was just following the steps and guideline from my financial advisor. as long as you've professional help, you're good to go
@@williamDonaldson432 I'm intrigued by your experience. Could you possibly recommend a trustworthy advisor you've consulted with?
I'm intrigued by your experience. Could you possibly recommend a trustworthy advisor you've consulted with?
Annette Marie Holt is the licensed advisor I use. Just search the name. You’d find necessary details to work with to set up an appointment.
"Nothing stops this train" is the meme that keeps on giving.
I want to know the mental gymnastics of thinking there isn’t going to be enough money to buy long duration treasuries in a deflationary spiral but there will be enough money to buy risk assets like bitcoin 😅
Good point
I think the point is that printing enables both
@@andrewhill1251 👌🏻
A country is not a company or a person. Countries don't go out of business, die, or retire like a person or a company. However, the ratio of debt to GDP is important and the currency must be credible to service the debt with a stable store of value.
Uh. Soviet Union? Yugoslavia? Texas...
The tightening was too aggressive to begin with. The rate hikes have broken an already fragile economy that would have worked out the inflation in the free market. The Fed chose to spark inflation buy napalming the public with stimulus right when the global supply chain was broken and production of good and service basically did not exist during Covid. It was gasoline on the perfect firestorm. Then, instead of letting the inflation work itself out… we hiked rates thousands of times higher than they were in the most massive pounding the Fed has ever given an economy. They chose to break the inflation they created over the backs of the middle class. Now they’re providing a little relief and everyone is acting like it’s going to bring back Covid level inflation and end the world..... Anyone feeling the impact of these economic shifts should consider Crypto long-term trading strategies to protect their assets. My advice to anyone feeling the heat in this inflation, just trade long term more than ever, I have made over 520k from day trading with Francine Duguay's in few weeks, this is one of the best medium to backup your assets incase it goes bearish..
Francine duguay program is widely available online..
The market has gone berserk! whether you're a newbie or a veteran trader, everyone needs a sort of coach at some point to thrive forward.
I appreciate the professionalism and dedication of the team behind Francine's trade signal service.
Francine goes deeper than just looking at surface-level trends. she explores technical, fundamental, and sentiment analysis, offering a comprehensive perspective on the market..
The clarity and precision in Francine market predictions are astounding. I'm so grateful to have found her reviews here on TH-cam as well.
Sounds like a skeptical outlook on things then. With the rate cuts do you think it's best for us who are not conservative investors to focus on bonds or dividend stocks? I want to reallocate my 7-figure portfolio and I preferably want the assets with the best ROI.
Bonds are a safer bet. They offer good stable yields. But dividend stocks could make you a fortune if you know how to go about it. But it's always a good idea to work with a CFA. It streamline your strategy and help profit a lot.
I've been through the 'bonds are beating stocks' periods since the 90s with no bonds and with all aggressive stock mutual funds.
At 66, my IRA and cash accounts are far more than I expected for my retirement. I can easily handle a worst-case 80% stock crash, Thanks to my CFA.
Mind if I look up your advisr please? I've worked in real estate for over 15 years and have neglected a major stock portfolio. This served me well when I was flipping and renting houses, however I need a different plan now.
Certainly, there are a handful of experts in the field. I've experimented with a few over the past years, but I've stuck with ‘’Aileen Gertrude Tippy” for about five years now, and her performance has been consistently impressive.She’s quite known in her field, look-her up.
Thanks a lot for this suggestion. I needed this myself, I looked her up, and I have sent her an email. I hope she gets back to me soon.
It takes 3-4 private sector jobs to cover the expense of just one Government position. And those private jobs do not include part time retail jobs.
As a calculation that is an interesting observation but when countries locked down business for years, did you note that Government doesn't need income tax revenue to operate.
Only problem is inflation is not actually at 2-3%. More like 22-33%
I didn’t know Boris Becker became a pretty sharp macroeconomist 😮
He read a lot of books on Economics and Finance in Jail 🙂.
The Fed's real mandate is to prevent financial panics, backstop the banking sysyem, keep unemployment below certain levels, and keep inflation below certain levels. They also must prevent deflation that will destabilize the banking system. They also must keep the bond market functioning. Since the U.S. Treasury is the reserve asset of most of the world's banking system the U.S. debt must exist and can't be paid back or there will be no reserve assets.
Sadly you invented a whole bunch of those mandates, the fed loves doing that too, so everything just gets worse and worse.
But you are 100% correct, the more I stufy the Eurodollar system the more blown away I am by how completely it runs everything. It's truly impressive. Our evil overlords are not stupid, or at least they didn't used to be. There is no way "through" the dollar, if you don't like it well go pound sand because it's still the best game in town.
Great speaker! Thank you very much
From $10K to $35K that's the minimum range of profit return every week I think it's not a bad one for me, now I have enough to pay bills and take care of my family.
They ARE gonna raise taxes. Looking at Europe and Canada we can see there is lots of room to raise taxes in the USA and it will happen. No choice.
I think they will try to raise retirement age by two years. That will make a boat load of money for the government 🙂
they literally did that just a few years ago and no one said shit. They did that in france and they turned paris into a burning bag of poo. Americand are so apathetic.
@@TH-camuseritis the only issue with this is that it may not be current income if they need money immediately. Canada raised the capital gains tax and so everyone with large gains ran to sell their investments and crystallize gains in 2024, this will be a huge revenue now. I guess it depends how desperate the situation is. When retirement age is raised, sometimes you get revolution or the fall of the government. Probably easier to just take a risk and tax the rich(er). They may go to a tax haven but you are betting the stickiness and inconvenience of moving your life abroad overweighs the tax grab. Boiling the frog alive so to speak. Neither in taxes or war is it ever clear exactly when you should emigrate. you have to draw a red line and go with it i guess.
@@easterntechartists Rich don't become rich by chance 🙂. Middle class generates most of the value and most easy to exploit for the government. They will try to increase taxes on the rich too - don't get me wrong. But they will quickly realize that is quite counterproductive. If Trump comes to power, almost certainly government will try to raise retirement age by 2 years. also will try to privatize social security - like Bush did almost 20 years back (which is much more reasonable idea IMO).
@@easterntechartists Government will have fancy consultants from Mckinsey tell them how much you can heat the frog before it complains 🙂. Both Harris and Trump are quite bad choices. Hope we get somewhat lucky and get the less worse choice 🙂.
One issue is that financialization costs are being ADDED to the GDP, thats literally 29% of the GDP THIS YEAR, and 50% of all profits paid in 2023
J Arthur Burns Powell would like to invite you to a great 70s party.
You never miss 🔥
1. Are US Treasury sales a part of US “GDP”?
1. Are US Treasury sales a part of US “GDI”?
3. If US Treasury sales are a part of GDP or GDI, what is the % of US GDP or GDI that US Treasuries represent in 2023?
Thx
Superb 👏
Labor supply is not the issue. The issue is the poor quality of the local labor. It's nearly impossibly to hire a young local person, who will work hard on a low paying job. If we didn't have the low payed hard working immigrants most businesses will not survive.
Why would or why should we be borrowing so much if we’re not in a recession and if we’re borrowing this much what are we trying to pay for and what is the return on that investment?
What I don’t understand about the strength of Bitcoin being a decentralised asset as its strength may well be its ultimate weakness too. If it’s maintained by a group of computers (protocols) around the world then isn’t it still centralised in that it’s a large group of computers which are maintained by a selected large group of people that has to keep the computers operating to update the ledgers. So if in time of wars or energy blackouts which are rampant, won’t those computers be down? What happened to the bitcoins then? If someone knows the answer to that please enlighten.
Imagine thinking the fed has the little man’s best interest in mind lol
This just keeps going. Thats the answer, until we find something like the internet that changes production.
The kilowatt hour for solar is much cheaper and faster instal then Nuclear. Not my numbers.
Batteries are getting cheaper and better every year.
With the patagonia jacket he is still really from the Tradfi side ;) Great insights!
Bitcoin would be a hard money, hard money didn't work. No way to expand the money supply and no tools to fight recessions or depressions or bank runs or financial panics.
Always seem to avoid the real issue in these discussions - federal revenue which has barely moved since 2000. It's the real reason we are running huge deficits. After a myriad of tax cuts and stimulus programs private sector tax revenue dropped from 4 percent of GDP in 1950 to 1 percent today. Where did it all go? Stock buybacks, mergers and acquisitions, PE LBOs.
Speaker was unprepared and rambling
BTC will only increase if it can pass the test of being a true universal asset in a multi-polar world. If its seen as being influenced by western govts/institutions there will be no buy-in outside the west. Remains to be seen how the BTC community handles the coming geopolitical fractures.b
James "Mr. Cool" Lavish is the man. Favorite analyst
2% is based upon the erosion of the debt.
Isn't that hard. Savings rates and credit card balances say it all. It won't be no doc loans and junk CDOs this time around. It's the consumer. Deflation is around the corner
why DOES it matter
There is alot of money in the IRA to build chip plants in the US , which is productive and is a national security issue
How to KEEP Confidence in the USD when BRICS countries are moving away from using USD for internal trades and Weaponizing USD in geo-politics.
On the contrary Nations are seeing FED manipulating USD value by using interest rates and destabilizing it. The best alternative is to replace USD with GOLD, the safest Reserve for Central Banks all over the world.
Very little money is being sent out to Ukraine. Almost all is being spent in the US. The billions you hear about are weapons that would actually cost money to destroy.
The Fed doesn’t print money
Sponsored by Polkadot?! WTF man
Unemployment isn’t going up just because of 20 million illegal immigrants….they just amended the non-farms payroll by almost 1 million people!!!! This is directly proportional to a declining economy.
I disagree the feds job is to protect the banks
Only offering the fund to accredited investors is a slap in the face of the philosophy he's touting. Booo.
That's means cutting the price Of gold and bitcoin. FACT
The guy was doing fine until he started talking about Bitcoin. Imagine still preaching the "decentralized" foolishness when Bitcoin was already hyperfinancialized into derivatives and so on. Bitcoin is now highly correlated with Nasdaq so it will no longer be related to store value as gold. It's so bad to see people cheering some asset because they own it.
Catch James every MONDAY with Scott Melker TH-cam channel for Macro Monday 🤓🤑🤓🤑🤓🤑🤓🤑🤓🤑🤓🤑🤓🤑🤓🤑🤓🤑
Till the wars are going on, they may keep the market going. It will be very difficult - politically - to use huge amount of tax money for wars while people loose huge amounts in their retirement accounts at the same time 🙂.
But dollar got electrolytes.
As many immigrants LEAVE every year as come, so the number is pretty stable.
Stevie wonders can tell you they cut 50 instead of 25 because of politics.
at +$10T MCap only way Saylor not becoming the richest mofo on earth is if Elon is Satoshi
At what you're saying is a Trump presidency (where all the things you say the Fed is trying to avoid WILL ABSOLUTELY happen), will be devastating for the US economy.
Another idiot statement. unemployment rate is not as bad Bec labor supply is coming back to the mkt. Think thru this.
As soon as a “macro expert” compares govt spending to corporate b/s or individual household budgets, you can safely assume they’re confused.
Bad guest, too basic thinking!
You're doing shitcoins for sponsors. Come on man
keep dreaming
I've learned a lot about cryptocurrency advancements and want to get involved. I'm hoping to find a good mentor.
I think all you need is an expert assigned by a brokerage company that will trade for you and handle your capital professionally and give you weekly returns of investment without any extra fees attached
Evelyn Turner is the professional who guides me, and her optimal returns are impressive
Yeah, I believe investing with a professional is the optimal approach, as it mitigates the risk of significant losses. Did you genuinely know her? I was under the impression that I was the sole beneficiary of her guidance through the challenges of trading.
Seeing a remark regarding my manager Evelyn Turner is quite energizing. It was just like this when I first met her a few weeks ago. Having started with just 4k about 2-3 weeks ago, I have already made it to 21 k. She is very remarkable!
Goodness gracious I'm so excited seeing Ms. Evelyn Turner been mentioned here also. Didn't know she has been good to other people too, this is wonderful because I also started with a TH-cam referral like this
7:00 Isnt the sahm rule indicating a possible rececion, not a "technical" recession? I dont think the Fed look at it officially, do they?
Waht a load of crap. just an hour of justifying pimping bit coin, to real info on the econ at all Blockworks macro gets more pointless by the day. unsubscribed
26:55 EPIC CHART