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Pauper Matchup Analysis - Pre-MH3 Roundup + MH3 Predictions
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 18 ส.ค. 2024
- Follow me on twitter here: / kirblinxy
You can see all the spreadsheets here: drive.google.c...
Let me know if there is anything I should cover next time?
Thanks for watching, it means a lot of people to watch my ramblings :)
00:00:00 Intro
00:01:25 Metashare Post Glitters Ban
00:03:53 Glitters Affect on the Meta
00:09:52 Affinity Matchups
00:14:35 Cawgates Matchups
00:16:25 Kuldotha Matchups
00:18:40 Meta Flowchart or Something IDK
00:21:05 Decks Ordered by Winrate
00:24:25 MH3 Card discussion
00:34:14 Outro
You make the best analysis video that I've seen.
Thanks! I still feel like they could be heavily improved, but at least I got more info across this time than the last video.
Loved it man
Thanks! These first couple of weeks of MH3 are going to be interesting for sure.
I HAVE BEEN LOOKING FOR THIS KIND OF ANALYSIS! THANK YOU VERY MUCH!! I have been trying to figure out which deck is good against which deck etc.. this is very very helpful!
No prob. Don't go in depth on every deck, but that is what the spreadsheet link in the description is for.
Just a perfect analysis. Thank you so much, keep creating content like this please.
Thanks for the kind words. I'll try and keep doing these every month or two.
Keep those awesome videos coming! Love the analysis, and even the outdated info can be useful for the future meta, it's all we got.
Yeah, that was my logic. Going to be interesting how MH3 shakes things out. This first week has already been pretty interesting.
another banger, mr Kirb. Great video
Thanks! While the views on these videos are poor, it's the comments like these that make it worth it.
Thank you 😭 ive been looking for this since MH3
It's only been 2 days since MH3! 😅
Fantastic! Insightful, easy, and enjoyable to follow.
Thanks for watching. Glad you enjoyed
Yo mate, amazing video. I can imagine it's a lot of work, but I really appreciate these in depth analysis of the format. Maybe you could do a video after the next paupergeddon and maybe compare mtgo and paper meta, because I feel like mono R is very much an online thing. Just like on arena, ppl just love to play mono R, because it's mostly cheap, quick and relatively easy, but it kind of distorts the meta away from the actual performance of the archetype. I mean when they banned Prism/Ornament from 5c Tron, the deck was actually not played that much, but they revealed that it had a 62% winrate for the few people who actually ran the deck.
5-0 decklists have little significance, because of course when 40% of ppl bring mono R, a few of them have to be lucky and make 5-0s and I think the last few paupergeddons have shown, that mono R simply has a too linear game plan to perform over many rounds in a big tournament.
Well, that's why I only look at the challenges because in leagues red is everywhere because of the quick and easy reason. I neglected to mention that was probably another reason red fell off is because they Sunday 32 backup challenge ended, so people were playing a lot of red in that challenge in particular because of the double queuing.
I would like to compare data of Paupergeddon but I can never usually get it at a reasonable timeframe and I'd have to hit up the Italians that I know to get me that data. Paper vs Online will always be different as it is much easier to sell/get cards online so it is easier to change decks. There are a lot of people who just play the same deck they always have in paper because it is just unfeasible to keep getting new cards for new decks.
great work! thx!
Thanks for watching!
It’s amazing to see Mono U Fae board 13 cards for the Affinity Matchup. 4 Blue Blasts, 6 Annul-like effects and 3 Relics. Woof.
I don't think they have that many in their sideboard on purpose. I think these are just the best overall SB cards, and most of them just happen to be good against affinity. Still funny though.
Very cool video, really informative 👌
So there was a lot of cards I missed, but let's see how the meta shape now !
There are even cards I didn't mention that could have some real niche applications. Set is pretty deep, but then again every Modern Horizons usually is.
I feel you. I updated four decks only to scrap them in a week.
This is why online is nice, it's so easy to change things up especially if metas change and your deck becomes poorly positioned. At least with MH3 everything is in flux and any deck could win at this stage.
Super stuff, thanks! And don't go writing scripts, you'll hate it and we'll miss the real you.
It could help alleviate a lot of the ums though. You have no idea how many I cut out in editing 😅
I procrastinate enough in trying to make the powerpoint slides adding an extra thing before recording would probably mean I'd never get these done.
I think one of the biggest gainers is Ponza with the Writhing Chrysalis. It can be up as early as turn 2, with 3 bodies and if needed a 4/5, Ramps as needed, HAS REACH. it's just silly the amount of text that card has.
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Faced in locals a guy that played one turn 2 and another one turn 3, sacked the mini eldrazis and got out the green initiative guy.
Turn 1: Forest > Elf
Turn 2: Forest, enchant it , tap for 2 , elf, tap for 2 => Eldrazi
Turn 3: Forest , Eldrazi, Initiative hunter
This leaves turn 3 with 1 elf, 2 5/6s reach, 1 hunter and initiative. I know it's the best opening ever, but still it's not that hard to pull off in that deck, even if that happened turn 4 or 5 it would still be an absolute beast.
I do like this. The 4 mana cost was always going to be rough, but the Elf/Sprawl package does seem to be the best way to get this out quickly. A 4 mana 4/5 that refunds 2 mana is pretty insane and all the limited players are already complaining that it is ruining the format for them so it has to be good somewhere and GR LD does seem the best place to start.
Should also be quite good for monster tron as a cheaper body that ramps
2 weeks later and look what happened, Chrysalis is now everywhere and Ponza is the new meta. Are you a prophet? Nice call!
Amazing content! Is it possible to keep doing this or changes made to decklists are not allowing it? Thanks 🙂
It's doable but sample sizes are smaller because I won't know what the decks are under the top 32 for the challenges I can't play in. I am trying to recruit some people to watch replays for me but it is a decent amount of work.
@@Kirblinxy wow, I believed you were using the API provided by census. This seems an insane work to do, would be great to have more support, so this is simpler for you and other content creators. This really helps average players grow 💪💪
Little late to the party. Hi5 nice job
Jeskai discord was not high on energy or fanged flame. Hmmm
Eh, they were just suggestions. There are already 3 league trophies for a Jeskai energy build with Jolted Awake and Galvanic Discharge, which is why I brought it up.
@@Kirblinxy sorry I meant like its funny the discord got it wrong, even if it ends up not better then the skred build, its cool to see