@@ArcHelios117 Same in ALL wars. Big weapons manufacturers make the big bucks, all the way down to clothing companies churning out the uniforms to wear into battle. Sad but true.
@@bazsnell3178 Obviously. Wars is only hell for the brainwashed pleb killing each other. The top of the pyramid is fine. Always have been, always will be.
Never doubt Sam's ability to find a way to make a plane video out of any topic EDIT: Man I did not expect so many likes and comments, thanks a lot. On another note, I'm not criticizing the plane content, I love. And I know the way is a very serious topic it was just an innocent joke.
A couple of days ago I took the finnair flight from seoul to Helsinki, even though it was much longer than the original path, I got too see the vast north Pole and the northern lights, which I think turned out to be worth it.
@25bever Beg to differ. The dark shadowy figures with $€ in the west that 'control' the aviation industry are either Irish or of Irish decent (1st/2nd generation). And I mean money, not loans or state backed investment cash like China or the middle east. There's a reason we're a tax haven too. Benefits our own. I live among the ultra wealthy here. The wealth is staggering. Very low key folks. So many Americans moving 'home' too the last 20 years. Not unusual to see retired military guys here at the moment actually. That's new. We've also seen an influx of wealthy British/Irish. Fund managers are busy!
@@25bever nah, it’s mostly because we founded the first Aviation Leasing company, which collapsed to form the modern companies but our tax status isn’t insignificant I will admit
Yeahh., after the earlier days when RUSSIA threatened to UNDERWATER NUKE Ireland 🇮🇪 (Country of Peace and Kindness), to add insult to Injury Ireland has hundreds of Planes on lease to RUSSIA 🇷🇺 and they are refusing to return them to Ireland 🇮🇪…… Makes me very angry as an Irishman…… When will the Russian Mothers Rise UP 😢😢😢
@atix50 Nope it's the tax. Look at Apple, Amazon and Google's tax structure. The head office that owns the product rights are in Ireland. They then lease those rights to subsidiaries in say, the UK. All the profits are generated in the UK but after paying the Irish head office there are no profits in the UK, only in Ireland where the company tax is bugger all. Everyone loses except the company. They pay nothing to the civil infrastructure and stable society that allows them to operate. It's a shitty situation.
Let's not forget the impact this will have on safety. The reason air travel is so safe is because the industry is relatively open about mistakes made either by pilots, manufacturers, or maintenance crew. Every crash is a learning opportunity, and so it's pretty rare that two airplanes are brought down by the same flaw. The 737 MAX was a very rare exception, and it paid the price. Not so in the Soviet Union though. Accidents were swept under the rug where possible and the findings from any investigations were never made public. If you go to the Wikipedia article about incidents involving AeroFlot aircraft, the list is so long it has to be broken down into collapsible sections by decade. Russia is rapidly sliding back to those days, so I won't be surprised if Russian planes start falling out of the sky again.
@@bornasiroki3976 we dont know how much the fees were since they were not published.But it will certainly affects tickets for those who travel to asia from europe
12 billion USD worth of aircraft have effectively been nationalized, meaning colossal losses for the lessors. A lot of people are underestimating the impact this will have on insurance premiums, leasing rates and ultimately ticket prices.
@@agramarten But probably just for those countries with autocrathic regime or bad international reputation such as Argentina. Edit: Talking just by the leasing and insurance point of view.
Not sure what the Bermudan leasing companies can do, but I'm pretty sure that Ireland will manage to get the EU to separately sanction the airlines in question until the aircraft have been returned and any value loss in long-grounded planes that have been cannibalised for parts has been compensated. There's no reason we should make it easy for these airlines to get away with theft, even once the war is over.
Now the world knows about Russia what Ukraine has always known - it’s a gas station masquerading as a country that steals other countries’ territory, resources and planes
It is really impressive how you know about the leasing structure and companies, Cape Town convention, repossessions etc. This is an esoteric subject which very few people outside the industry know, yet it forms the backbone of international air travel. Good work.
@@MimOzanTamamogullar It’s 2022 and Sam is now 25 years old. And Sam has been posting videos since 2015. He can’t have been THAT much of an insider considering he’s been full-time TH-cam for quite a few of those 7 years.
@@qzbnyv He could have people he knows in the industry who tells him about this stuff. This would mean that while Sam himself technically wouldn't be an insider, his videos would still be produced as if he was.
@@MimOzanTamamogullar It’s esoteric knowledge but hardly a secret or something that an intelligent person can’t understand from outside. He makes aviation videos so he and the team do a bunch of research and prep so they can get the technical details right. That simply requires good journalistic skills, not necessarily insider experience. He may also work with a technical advisor who does work in the industry.
I knew there would be a problem in Russia with the airspace restrictions, but I never really considered how it would also affect the rest of the world. I realized the closure of Russian airspace would cause routes to change, but seeing how Anchorage is such an important point in aviation is very interesting.
These stolen aircraft are essentially paper weights now. They might fly them domestically, but they will never see NA & EU airspace again. Even if the war ends and access to airspace is reinstated. The maintenance cycles of these particular planes have been interrupted, It will be a mystery where any replaced part has been sourced from. Parts smuggled across borders, recycled from different planes and "homemade" parts are the dramatic consequences. All aircraft parts have to be traceable, which will no longer be possible. They are tainted and no longer usable since the moment they were stolen.
I've always loved Wendover Productions. This one is off the charts. Thank you. I had a coworker with Ukrainian roots. He told me about a flight he experienced, not sure if Soviet Union or Russian eras. Most seat belts didn't work. Livestock on the plane. Plenty of vodka. Before reaching the destination, the pilot landed in "the middle of the night," some where. The plane had its own stairs built in, just like the one DB Cooper used. My friend described watching the pilot go down the stairs and pound on a door. No one answered. After a bit, he gave up, climbed back up, and took off.
Another thing to consider is that when this is all over, the leasing companies are not going to lease any planes to Russian companies. So the nationalization of the planes is really just shooting themselves in the foot for later.
Those leasing companies won’t lease plane to russia even when it ended. If these measure are relaxed, it will take years or several months. Russian aviation without planes is more devastating than not having leasing company leasing them. They can always try renegotiate if the measure ever got relaxed
I would love a deep dive video about the ramifications of the recent news that Maersk and other shipping companies are leaving Russia. What does this mean for the state of logistics in Russia? Will this affect more than just their ports, and extend to breakdowns in shipping within Russia due to the effects it might have on containerization? Will Russia just "nationalize" (steal) containers, port equipment, and computer systems? Does Maersk pulling out indicate that it's not profitable to set up shop there for anyone else? Can another company (or russia, or china) easily step in and continue operations at their port, or will it cause years of disruption to set up an expert system? Are ports owned by the state, leased, or owned by corporations. In general, I'm curious to know more about how standardized the workflow and equipment is, in the processes that are required in the computer accounting as well as the physical unloading/loading of shipments that arrive at the port. And how many different players (whether it's different companies, or state companies) that work together to get this accomplished. I could see Wendover producing an amazing video explaining these issues.
What sanctions, seizure of assets and tyrannical dictate mean at a functional level is that more countries now have more reason than ever to de-dollarize. And increasingly, countries are doing just that ... and as much as they can. Who, after all, wants to trade with an unreliable trading party apt to abuse the financial transaction system (SWIFT) and/or freeze assets at the drop of the hat. What would you think if your bank did that? And by the way, the non-stop invading of countries and instituting a questionable planetary world heath tyranny is not really an awe inspiring foreign policy either. And although countries don't vocalize this sort of thing out loud, don't think for a minute that by now some of the various intelligence agencies around the world have not figured out a thing or two over the past two years, For airlines in particular, adding huge numbers of flight hours to flights has to mean big raises in air fares to cover huge increase in fuel costs (adding to inflation). As to Russia, sanctions are just more of a reason to make their own stuff, and maybe more reason to lease less from undependable foreign suppliers. Basically, this thing with the Ukraine, sanctions and bullying the world in process is going to do much more damage to the United States and its 'allies' than to Russia or China. Power and industrial clout continues to shift to the East. The United States continues to unravel.
@@davemason9555 dave, youre reading this from a russian point of view. no other nation is going to just up and invade their neighbor for no reason any time soon. so, why would anyone want to trade with russia when they dont honor treaties or international law.
I grew up in Anchorage in the 70s and 80s. About half of the time my neighbors were Japanese or Korean pilots. Right now international travel from there requires flying to Seattle first. Even though I don't live there anymore, it would be nice to see international passenger service come back.
Won't happen. Planes now have more range and can go around to the south and actually do so. An Anchorage stopover will significantly increase ticket price and I know how it was then. Aside from plane range, the Anchorage stopover was needed because of the national security law then which didn't allow Koreans to travel to communist countries except for government approved cases after anticommunist education at a facility. Two Korean airliners were shot down over the Soviet Union. This law was changed in 1991 as the soviet union didn't exist anymore and those charged before were acquitted.
As someone who lives in anchorage today, it would indeed be nice, although now that NPA announced that their first route is LAX to mexico, it is sadly unlikely.
@@jcee2259If the West figured out how to fly around the much larger USSR with less advanced planes, they'll do the same with the smaller Russia with more advanced, modern day planes.
The biggest difference with closure of Russian airspace and the cold war is that now only Russian airspace is closed, which makes a route over Kazakhstan and China possible for flights between eg. Frankfurt-Tokyo and thus not all flights will be operated over the North pole or Alaska
What’s insane is all these planes leased by Russia are all up for repossession and one was even repossessed in Mexico. I’d have loved to see that live-streamed.
@@Vassilinia Why? It's incredibly easy. You think a country that has no qualms about invading a neighbour and slaughtering thousands of civilians would have a moral objection to stealing essential property?
I literally woke up today thinking on and on about how flight paths work around no fly zones or areas of war or issues in the Middle East. Being a big fan of wendover productions. I asked myself if there was any chance he would eventually one day cover the topic. He does such a great job and sites the best facts. Truly allows a ready to understand things the way he breaks them down
More interesting than Northern Pacific, to me, is Alaska Airlines new potential. They already operate out of Anchorage. They already have a large fleet. There have been rumors that they’re looking into buying 787‘s. They’re already primed to have a great connecting network to the lower 48 as well. If Alaska plays their cards right, this might be a huge win for them as well, or instead of northern Pacific.
In 1983 I left London for Tokyo we flew over Alaska. I saw little lakes, little seaplanes. little houses. I saw one road: horizon to horizon. Anchorage was a little airport. Humans had not ruined the vastness of the country. I was a lucky boy. And Japan airlines was wonderful. Not like BA.
A fleet to little tiny planes, not capable of competing in international routes, with big planes, capable of hauling people, and cargo!!!!! Does AA even fly east of the rockies? Don't think they are even in Chicago.
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Finnair's advantage has been it's ability to fly one return route between Europe and Asian cities in 24 hours, which has made it's routes and fleet usage really economical. Same time Helsinki Airport is still pretty small and transit times are short.
Finlands location has been great for Finnair. Before Soviet Union airspace was closed, Finnair was the first airline flying non-stop from Europe to Japan. Nowadays the same location helps to cut traveltime to Asia about 2 hours compared to flights from mainland Europe. Finnair has 17 destinations in Asia + four seasonal ones, one of the most by European carrier. This flight ban makes a huge cut into Finnairs operations. Good thing Finland owns majority of Finnair, so it will not go bankrupt.
Finnair is definitely taking a major hit here. They must also anticipated this situation to drag on for some time because they just canceled the HEL-CTS (Helsinki - Sapporo, Japan) itinerary I had booked for September, 2022. That’s 6 months from now!
America was warned many many times that allowing all of our technological innovations to be manufactured in a communist dictatorship was a bad idea, but big business wanted to do it to save a buck and politicians of both parties caved to their demands. Now China wants to manufacture their own commercial airliner. Export of aircraft technology, and especially engines to China is specifically prohibited by ITAR laws. Oh, so we’re just going to sell them the engines. We won’t give them the technical data. I’m sure they won’t be able to take one apart and reverse engineer it, at least not for the first week or so. By next year they’ll probably have an exact copy installed in a military airplane.
@@Sekir80 I think we'd have bigger problems than GPU prices if we were to get to that point pal... Unless you're 15, then I understand why you would say something such as that.
@@singleproppilot that's capitalism buddy. You seem to love it but don't like the consequences that it brings. Corporations need to increase their profits year on year. If theyadr those products anywhere else it would cost you alot more to buy it. There is a huge consequence to all that cheap crap in Walmart.
You don't take into account, that fuel prices become higher and higher, so it's not so easy to fly longer than now, every additional flight hour costs higher price. Some of air company can't allow this price. Flying longer means additional maintenance service.
Oil prices only increased for Western buyers while within Russia crude prices collapsed. So its possible Russian airlines are getting oil products like jet fuel at a much cheaper price.
We now have Zoom instead. Freight will go through rail and its derivative, quasivacuum tubes. We needn't business trips anymore and countries don't welcome tourists as they have increased restrictions on travellers. An example is Korea'x ETA which performs very tough background checks on those who want to enter the country.
@@AhmedW-sy9ti russian airlines rely on overseas maintenance and tools. most of them will be grounded permanently. the weak ruble will make purchasing overseas parts too costly adding to the ticket price
A little off topic, but I wanna applaud y’all for using a GLOBE to illustrate this video. Map projections just aren’t up to scratch on these flights that go near the poles.
Good video. One minor comment- the c919’s engine is the LEAP engine. While Chinese engineers are working on a domestic cj1000 engine, it planned for entry in 2025 and is quite likely to be delayed. Therefore, since the engine (along with numerous other parts) is western, this cannot be sold to Russian airlines.
At first I wondered if COMAC would work with Aviadvigatel to offer a PD-14 engine version of the C919 for the Russian (and other sanctioned) markets, but I think there's a few reasons this won't be on the cards. Firstly, the Russian govt won't want to create competition for the MC-21, which is competing in the same class as the C919, and which has, thanks to sanctions, had the A32x/B737 eliminated from the game. Secondly, the C919 uses a ton of *other* western components as well as the engines (including avionics, HVAC, landing gear, hydraulics, electrical systems and more), so swapping for Russian engines really wouldn't make much difference. The MS-21 also has a lot of foreign systems, but Russia has long legacy of domestic civil aviation that China doesn't, and would find substituting these foreign systems for domestic analogues much easier, as many of them already exist from the IL-96, TU-204/Tu-214 and IL-114. Indeed, if push came to shove, and we enter a prolonged period of Russian isolation, they could even scrap the MS-21 altogether and instead update the older, but already existing and entirely domestic TU-204/TU-214, using the PD-14 engines, new interior, aerodynamic tweaks and the like. I suspect Sino-Russian co-operation would move more to the CR-929 which is much less mature, so can relatively easily be "sanctions-proofed" from the outset, and both countries would benefit from co-operating. Though Russia does have the IL-96, it is difficult to update, as ultimately a quad-jet is still a quad-jet, and as a Soviet design evolution of the IL-86 it was designed for robustness rather than economy - it's very over-engineered and inherited a lot of the IL-86s innovative but decidedly left-field design choices, and even before the war it was clear that Russia couldn't realistically finance (let alone project manage - something post-Soviet Russia has struggled with) a completely new wide body design.
@@lmlmd2714 Very good points, although I think cooperation between China and Russia on a new aircraft is unlikely, as the Chinese will want to sell any new airliner to the west. Obviously including Russian parts on the aircraft would preclude that.
@@jackroutledge352 The CR-929 is semi-Russian owned and is an ongoing project. Could China manufacture a de-Russianised jet? Possible but they wouldn't do it unless there is a big demand from the countries that sanction Russia. That won't happen. Though licensed manufacturing of Russian parts in China is possible. I guess that would enable marketing of the jet in the West. The C-919 is another topic. It is 100% Chinese owned but has a LOT of Western parts. It was a project planned for profits in a completely different age. Since Trump, the Chinese companies' and government's view on foreign tech have changed a lot. Before that buying as much Western tech as possible was considered the best business plan for many reasons. Indigenization projects were overwhelmingly central government driven. Now Western tech (particularly American) is viewed toxic and is avoided if possible. Even private corporations with no gov support are investing in domestic tech and choosing domestic products even if that costs them. They don't want to become the second Huawei. The C-919 will likely have a 100% Chinese variant in future.
Also, with the way this invasion is going, I'm not sure there is a lot of publicly available and reliable information about air force capabilities out there.
Even if when sanctions are lifted Russian aircrafts will be difficult to certified for international flights as lack of maintenance will be difficult to remove.
These stolen aircraft are essentially paper weights now. They might fly them domestically, but they will never see NA & EU airspace again. Even if the war ends and access to airspace is reinstated. The maintenance cycles of these particular planes have been interrupted, It will be a mystery where any replaced part has been sourced from. Parts smuggled across borders, recycled from different planes and "homemade" parts are the dramatic consequences. All aircraft parts have to be traceable, which will no longer be possible. They are tainted and no longer usable since the moment they were stolen.
@@PerErikKarlsson Worse, leasing companies will be more hesitant for any negotiations with Russian carriers. Sure, Putin is more to blame than carriers, but can you blame those companies not wanting to take any chances anymore?
You conveniently forgot to mention how this is a bonus for airlines of other countries that are still allowed to overfly Russia, their flight times and fuel costs will be significantly lower than the competition. They will be able to offer cheaper prices and shorter flying times to their destinations. Which would you choose, longer flying times and a more expensive ticket or shorter flying times and a less expensive ticket?. We always forget that sanctions cut both ways and there is always blowback.
11:11 Suppose a Russian airline decides to "keep" a leased airplane, but the same airline uses a fully owned airplane to operate an international route. On operating the international route, the fully owned airplane lands in a non-Russian country. At that point can the fully owned airplane be seized? If an airline steals a leased plane and keeps it inside Russia as protection from seizure, can the airline's fully owned planes that do fly outside of Russia be seized as a countermesure?
Russian passport is not good for travel so Russian planes if any would go to China and satellite states such as former soviet or cuba or venezuela. For the latter, Russia might convert Tu160 or Tu95 to freight/passenger.
@@softmechanics3130 The Tu-160 and Tu-95 would make poor passenger airlines. Their engines and designs are old and inefficient. The Tu-160 is a supersonic bomber designed to be a supersonic bomber, and is thus too small to carry a profitable amount of passengers. Also, it's engines are terrible inefficient.
“Hey, Sam from Wendover, Russia just declared war on Ukraine.” “I’m gonna make a video on it.” “And you’re not gonna make it about the aviation industry, right?” “…” “You’re not gonna make it about the aviation industry, right?”
You don't mention another important part of aviation: software. If Lufthansa Technik is not servicing Russia anymore, I bet Lufthansa Systems, the biggest aviatiom software provider will do the same, and that means at best retraining your whole staff, and reengineering your IT infrastructure to a competitor's product, and at worst, having to build your own alternative software, which will take years, and millions of Euros.
Everyone knew perfectly well what would happen with foreign exchange reserves, aircraft and a bunch of other things. Although I do not share Putin's policy, he is definitely not an idiot, this was done on purpose, the Russians now have a strong opinion that the West cannot be trusted in anything at all and everything must be done within the country.
I was so ignorant about how strategic Anchorage is so any audience member working at Anchorage airport? Did the recent geopolitical events significantly increase the traffic in that area?
I was surprised he talked so much about the new opportunities in Anchorage, but didn't mention China. Last I checked FR24, it was business as usual for them. Chinese airlines have a huge potential to dominate the Asia-Europe market as long as they can fly the shortest possible route across Russia, while almost everyone else is at a disadvantage.
As a resident of anchorage, I can confirm air traffic has increased immensely since the start of Covid, and will continue to do so. Because of the location, it will be a crucial component. Remember, Alaska is the northernmost, easternmost, and westernmost state.
@@elimckenzie7095 I went to my Korea assignment from leave back in the early seventies on a commercial flight. We were in Anchorage in the early AM just as the sun came up and lit up the mountains. One of the most beautiful things I've ever seen. Have had a soft spot for Anchorage ever since. They were busy then and I hope they get busier. I was also impressed with how well the ground crews worked in the November weather. Remember it clearly after almost 50 years.
@@justsomeguy5103 I hope Sam expands on this in a follow-up video. The impact on China's airline and aviation industry could be huge. They're going to get a huge number of connecting flights and probably sell a lot more planes. Add in sales to Russia of planes and parts.
Thank you for answering the questions I was personally asking about the sanctions and Russian airspace. I hope I connect through Anchorage at some point in my lifetime now
I don't think you do lol !!! Connecting through a US airport means you need to take your lugage and register it again on the connecting flight (and go through security again). Except if you are from the US in the first place, but even in that case, that only work for one way !
Helsinki is such a nice airport and as a Finn it would be sad to see fewer people there. But I'm happy and interested to see Anchorage gain popularity and recognition, it truly is well positioned in a changing world.
Helsinki is nice except for the dungeon they had all of their flights to Russia departing from before the war (the gates are down stairs in a dim room that just has large metal benches with no back support). It was clear what the Finns thought of the Russians..
It's unlikely that Anchorage will get big customer usage. There is already a big demand for direct flights to Dubai, Qatar, Abu Dhabi, Bahrain and Kuwait. This means airlines can simply increase capacity at these routes, by flying bigger aircraft. We could even see the return of the A380 as these connecting routes require more capacity. The customer gets shafted with an extra 2 hours flight time, but the airlines don't have to worry about additional costs or fuel burn. Dubai etc will love this, and will likely expand their airports to facilitate the extra flights, while increasing fees as a way to generate revenue.
The Sun: I have become a supernova and am about to destroy everything in the solar system including planet Earth Wendover Productions: What is happening with Airlines' business model and logistics
I binge watched your videos on Half as Interesting for the longest time and just now found this channel! I seriously adore the content you make, keep up the good work!
Pacific US routes seem to only increase slightly. ORD Chicago via Anchorage, Tokyo, to Hong Kong increased only 5% from a direct route over Russia. The costs to European airlines are clearly the most affected but the war and the threat of larger aggression are in their back yard.
Anchorage is freight only. A passenger plane travel through Anchorage would be very expensive and this was the way I travelled in the past. Planes go southwards instead. Freight planes have shorter range and this is why they go through Anchorage which is similar to a marshalling station (without gauge change).
This is one of the most intelligently, well-thought-out, and watchable videos I have seen recently regarding the consequences of sanctions and our new reality. So informative and necessary, takes me back in some cases - I've flown that Anchorage route, and the Finnair route to the Far East. The more things change, the more they may go back to being the older version of itself.... 💯👏👏👏🙂
@nehem Nevertheless the Anchorage stopover worked successfully for many years. You must also realise that, after two air disasters, confidence in Malaysian Airlines has taken somewhat of a beating. There may be other airlines that will fly into Russian airports, Etihad, Emirates, for instance, but then again, the West can make it very (ahem!) difficult to continue to do so on any worthwhile basis, altering flight patterns/air space (nothing like Alliances!) and so forth. It's been done before.
@@surquhart64 You can't just go around sanctioning the whole world. And the west knows it. For instance, America isn't happy with India now toeing its line on Russia, and yet they haven't sanctioned India yet. Why not? Cos they want to keep this isolated to Russia, the fallout of which they think they can absorb. If you start sanctioning every country that doesn't bow to your demands, you're quickly going to find yourself with a copious quantities of egg on your face. Your alliance is literally a minority of the world population, and worlds' nations. The west is not the world, nor is it infallible. Pride, as they say, comes before a fall.
Can you imagine the happiness of Anchorage airport owner? It was useless for decades, but now it'll became a new transport hub, such as Dubai or Stambul
@@Евгенийхх-м7ъ Western+ korean+ japanese airlines will get crushed! They will soon run out of business. ALL Gulf carriers pay discounted fuel , fly over Russia when needed. Nobody will pay 500Euro extra in Europe for flights to Asia. The biggest looser will be Lufthansa. Very soon nobody will order cargo routes with them, because that´s loosing time and money.
Same. The situation has changed so fast that many videos talking about Russia at the start of the conflict are outdated and many predictions were proven false not long into the war. It's great to see how the presidctions have changed based off New info
I've been purposefully avoiding the subject of what's going on because Putin is a big baby who will destroy everything in a tantrum if he doesn't get his precious Ukraine...how much have things changed???
@@imEden0 they've been fucked from the start, wdym😂their military is a damn nightmare in terms of actual strength. It's nothing. Just like it always has been. And that's the problem. Cuz Putin has a shit military, but he's got nukes. It's just a waiting game now to see if he's ballsy enough to use them. The entire world sees his military for what it is now. If only we had let the Russians fall during WW2. They helped Hitler, so we should have made them suffer the consequences. Cold War could have been avoided, as well as all of the headaches that have come from the soviets
Sam, of those ‘Internationally Leased’ aircraft that the Russians have, what % of them were inside Russian-allied territory at the time that all of the flights stopped? Were there many already in international airports that could be seized? Or were they mostly in Russia?
This is sad. I live in Europe but my friends and family are in Russia. I was planning to visit them this summer, it used to be a 3.5 hour direct flight. Now I would have to go through Istanbul or Dubai if it would be possible at all.
Which side of reality are your friends & family on in all this, the reality Putin force feeds them and tells every Russian citizen what to think, or the one every other country with free press see's that Putin is clearly the problem?
@@kbengson9163 You know the West is too kind to Russians. We try to say "hey it's just evil Putin's propaganda fooling good and honest Russian people's mind". Reality sadly is much worse and messier. Imperialist's mindset is very strong in Russia. And yes propaganda played a role in this. Including years of Soviet propaganda. But it's not just it. And I'm not just talking about village people - that bit is obvious propaganda-zombie. I'm talking about talented engineers and academics who can watch videos such as these and read books written in English. Not all of them of course, chances are less than half, but the fact is - even some of very smart people in Russia openly support Putin, even those who realize that much of what is being said on Russian state TV is lies. I can tell you one episode which happened to me many years ago in Virginia. I was in my 20s and just visited US for the first time. Met some college girls from Russia. Once me and one of them went to a local gift convenience store. I noticed she's sneaking some items in her jacked (attempt to shoplift) Me: "WTF are you doing?!" She: "What? It's not Russia - so stealing isn't bad from them! They are Americans - the enemy, don't you understand?" Somehow I was able to convince her not to steal, but this episode stayed in my memory for a very long time. So this situation like a last straw prompted me - Russian dissident - to stop speaking to much of my so called "friends" in Russia. Maybe I shouldn't have. Maybe I really need to talk to them. But I'm no Daryl Davis. I don't have patience for those people. I wish I had truly, but right now I can not calmly talk to a person who just okayed attacking sovereign independent country for their own imperialistic reasons. It's very sad and very dangerous for the world, and from my perspective many of people I grew up with are directly or indirectly responsible for this war. And I'm responsible for not talking to them enough. Not realizing just how important it was.
The theft of private entities planes is not going to be quickly forgotten nor forgiven. Anyone who supplies parts for use on these planes will be sanctioned. Leaving Russia only the option to cannibalise the fleet.
Whether your political or not, The fact that Putin just stole BILLIONS of dollars of OUR COUNTRYS MONEY is enough of a fact to despise the clown. Russia became a decent 21st century country, but its primitive soviet dumbfuckery brought it back down to caveman level
@@honkhonk8009 You have to consider, that you stole much more billions from them first. They haven’t even started with the counter sanctions. Some further things I already heard that software piracy will be basically legalized for the time of sanctions - so it will additionally hurt the license culture world wide. There will be a lot of different disruptions in this new cold war.
Its not just airlines. The entire reason the western fossil fuel giants bailed out of the country wasn't because PR, its because Putin started using the N-word, nationalize. Western capitalist entities will ignore any number of human abuses, but as soon as you nationalize petroleum, you should probably grow eyes on the back of your head.
@@honkhonk8009 And the Democracies totally never stole billions in assets from Russia in the first place. If the Democracies would stop waging proxy wars and instead fix its own problems, then there wouldn't be fears of a WW3.
"You market should be free..... for us to take over!" Theres not a single country with "free market" in this world, North Korea, Cuba and Venezuela arent even at war. And hell, Iran has ALWAYS been the country TO BE ATTACKED, never really attacks anyone but it also got sanctioned.
According to the US - the country that couped the first and last president of Iran, the country that attacked Iran after they revolted against the US backed monarchy in 1980, and the country that Iraq attacked during a time when Saddam and the US were BFFs. Im really sad Iran "attacked" the famous "liberal" and "free" countries of Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Syria, Israel, Lebanon and Yemen - none of which are US backed dictatorships. XD
2:11 To be fair, the Warsaw pact countries were available for travel too, my mother visited all of them. But she was not permitted to go to London because she wasn't a member of the Communist Party.
Marek had some interesting info though, I wish he didn't delete his comment. He was saying that someone he knew in Poland could travel to London even though they were not a party member. So restrictions were lesser in other WP countries (at least Poland) than in USSR.
I remember it well. In the 1970's, Sergio Valente jeans could fetch $100 on the Soviet black market. Toilet paper was a luxury. Olympic athletes, artists, musicians, scientists, authors and scholars were escorted by guards to prevent them from defecting. The inevitable collapse was written and talked about in the west from the 60's up until the actual fall in the 80's. To think that Putin admires a system of control (whatever flavor you wish to call it today)... is astoundingly stupid. There is nothing to be gained by stifling the minds of your population except obedience and stagnation. Good luck to those who may have to deal with this abomination and soul crusher of the human spirit.
In WWI, the US passed The Sedition Act of 1918 curtailed the free speech rights of U.S. citizens during time of war. To citizen the government or the war would result in being jailed and possibly expulsion from the country. In a few years the US would enter it's golden age of the roaring 20's as all the European investment in American Industry would pay off. So it's not exactly clear cut that stifling the minds of your population is "stupid". If the USSR was capitalist, they'd still lose to the West since the Soviet-bloc economies were just too small to compete. It's just a matter of geography and numbers. Trying to fund a military to fight the West with a tiny economy was always going to bust them in the end. It's what busted the Japanese Empire's economy in WWII. Japanese military spending went over 100% of their GDP which created a black hole in their economy.
@@Edax_Royeaux The sedition act was created during wartime circumstances and repealed two years later. That is a testament to democracy. An Iron-willed dictator wouldn’t have allowed it to be repealed. You claim that the Soviet Union could have never thrived as a capitalists society? However, it always WAS capitalist. It was called “the black market“. Without the black market, nothing would’ve happened. It was the only way the Soviets managed every day life. Marxism in the truest sense never really took root in the Soviet Union. (it’s a shame they murdered Trotsky otherwise you would have found out whether Marxism really worked or not.) But that’s besides the point. The Soviet Union was an authoritarian regime that’s served nothing but misery and the demand of conformity and obedience of its people. What is the purpose? None. To stifle the human imagination is counter to its very core. (As we see over and over again within useless authoritarian regimes) The hard fact is: capitalism will always be with us. Since the times of Mesopotamia (and earlier) human beings have always placed value on every day life and created currency to go with it. Everything we enjoy in our modern life of the last hundred years was because of democracy and capitalism. Let us not be fooled it was anything else. Is it a perfect system of economics? No. It isn’t. But historically, it has done far better than the feudal systems of past. Even modern Japan has benefited from it post WWII. I doubt you will find many contemporary Japanese longing for the days of an emperor to rule their every thought. And so we come full circle to a few of the holdouts. North Korea? Not exactly attracting tourism. Venezuela? Not a good idea to visit. China? Without capitalism, in the last 20 years they would be nothing. It’s going to be interesting to see how they continue going. The irony that Putin is one of the wealthiest people on the planet along with a few of his friends, but denies his own people the right to speak their minds. Let us hope his time ends soon and the people of Russia can enjoy the fruits of democracy they should have since the fall of the Berlin Wall. ✌️
@@Tyrell_Corp2019 By definition, the black market cannot be capitalism. The whole point of capitalism is for private owners to be openly integrated in the political system. Illegal income, illegal products, does not represent private ownership because ownership isn't being backup by a canon of laws.
@@Edax_Royeaux It's not 1918 anymore and in the 1970's the american people revolted against their government and put a stop to the Vietnam war. Your agenda to make the US look bad isn't going to work in 2022.
I remember having had a layover in Moscow back in 2014 and the people there at the airport were super rude and incompetent. Airport staff refused to speak anything but Russian, and even for people who like me continued on to other countries, there was a passport checkpoint. Took one hour to get through that check because it was staffed with only one person who kept gossiping with her colleague standing next to her and not working. It was such a blessing to then get on a JAL flight and meet with nice flight staff.
After the shooting down of MH17/MAS17 flight over Ukraine most airlines already avoided flying routes which would take them too close to Ukraine and COVID-19 severely curtailed the need to fly Europe-Japan, Europe-Chine or Europe-South East Asia so the negative impact on the rest of the world air traffic may be bearable. For the Russian industry it may be totally devastating. For already some time Russia could not offer to world aviation anything but the airspace and fuel, so their bargaining position is weak: the airspace is gone and the fuel gap will be filled by the providers which are becoming profitable again because of the rising fuel prices.
1:00 - The Tupolev Tu-154 is equivalent to the Boeing 727, not the Boeing 707. The 727 had 3 rear-mounted engines, while the 707 had 4 wing-mounted engines.
@N Fels well said. Russian technology is easily 3-40 years behind American/Western technology. They just buy bots to spread their lies and propaganda around the internet to make people think Russia is actually modern.
Regarding Hello Fresh: "Exactly the right quantities" is bs. We used to cook for 3 people and half of the ingredients are meant for 4 people, so you get 2x100ml of cream, but the recipe says 150ml or shit like that. Also they often pack stuff you didn't order or just fail to include stuff you ordered. Also most meals take twice as long as the recipe says, even when you're a good cook. It usually took us 3 an hour a meal. Maybe 40 minutes for a "15 minute express meal".
Lol the ad influence is real. My favorite moment in the past few years was when Drew Gooden tried magic spoon and said it all tasted like garbage. That's all I can think of any time I see a youtuber sponsored by them
i worked at ups and the "hello fresh" products get shipped through ups alot. ive seen multiple boxes in one truck break open because of bad packaging and we had to figure what went where, but most of the time we just Throw whatever in whatever box then tape it back up cause we're on a time crunch and cant fix shitty logistical flaws from other companies LOOOL..
@@ssnful123 the issue is that then you're left with 50ml of a short shelf-life product, which was kinda the whole point of "delivering only what you need".
I've been using Hello Fresh in germany for over two years now. I love it! Of course there have been issues here and there but overall I think more than 95% of all the boxes I received were like ordered.
To be fair, GDS software was never fully functional for transfers to or from some Russian airlines. I often flew LAN to UUD bidirectionally, and while on paper bags were checked to destination, we had to claim and recheck at DMD every time including as recently as '18
That is very unlikely a problem with GDS, but more of an issue with the USA. The only time I have ever had to claim and recheck bags was arriving or departing USA with a connecting flight within USA territory. Any other country in the world - never had an issue. Connecting through Istanbul for example, you could leave your bags in transit even up to 24 hours between flights, yet during that time you could personally leave the airport and go into the city for the day. Back to the USA, AFAIK, it is the only country in the world where transit passengers require a visa for the USA, even if they never technically enter the country. Quite ridiculous.
Here is the main problem with Northern Pacific’s plan: The US doesn’t have sterile international transit like most countries. Tokyo to Anchorage to London requires the passenger to get off the plane, get bags, clear US customs, check bags and check in again, go through security, and then get on a plane and have a US visa or ESTA. If you go through other airports, mainly Middle Eastern ones you don’t have to do this much work or clear customs.
From the video it looks like it’s just To/From the US without any 3rd connections, largely eliminating that problem. If flying from Tokyo to NY example, I’d think the customs would be faster in anchorage and then it’s a domestic flight after that
I'm currently almost graduating to work as an aircraft mechanic but watching wendover gets me really interested in the logistics of the aviation industry lmao. Know any jobs in the aviation industry that does logistics?
This is another top quality Wendover vid, and does a good job of informing people about the situation in Ukraine in a low-stress way while also not necessarily being just about it. It feels like the video equivalent of a parent sneaking in veggies to their kid's meal, except instead of a meal it's information about aviation and instead of veggies that are good for you it's a stressful situation that feels like living through the start of WW1 except now it might be the start of WW3.
It's a measure of how amazing these planes are that you can reroute a Finnair flight around an entire continent and add only 3 more hours to the flight.
Most comprehensive article so far on sanctions impact. Should be on all national news networks. Lease info and Lufthansa spare parts info was insightful and significantly damaging. Good job reporting.
It might be difficult for Irkut to develop its MC-21 (equivalent of C-919, A-320 and B-737), but it also uses parts from other companies, so they will have to replace these foreign parts by domestically made-ones.
MS-21 has most of its critical components being domestic and electronic planning to be domestic even before the war. MS-21 is almost at the end of the development cycle as well. So I don’t see where the difficulty is when it is mostly done and parts that is critical are already domestic. And awaiting certification.
@@789know Well most are. Not all. And planes are complex machines that Can be hindered by only a few components. I am not saying they can't do it, but it will cost them in r&d
Freight only. Passenger planes are going to the south. An Anchorage stop would significantly increase travel costs and planes now have enough range so that they can just go around to the south instead.
Not at all related to video but please make a video about the Klag Bay Airport, it’s in Alaska but only has scheduled flights to India and Bangladesh, and I can’t find anything more on it
The fact that both the Lada factory and Russia's only tank and military truck factory have both closed down due to lack of foreign-made parts suggests to me that their domestic industries are just running on fumes at best. Anything made in Russia that's not assembled from foreign parts outright is still machined using foreign tools. Now that Boeing and Airbus have both cut them off from parts, they won't be able to keep the planes they've seized running for long, and their own industries will simply not be able to make or supply their own planes either
Boeing and Airbus are products of years of consolidation and aviation experience. Aviation is the one instance where experience and human capital really matters. Russia gonna hilariously find it difficult tryna take advantage of this shit
@@carkawalakhatulistiwa No, I mean that China has voluntarily decided not to ship the plane parts that are able to make to Russia. Essentially a silent sanction, as it were
The pain will flow in the opposite direction, too, though not equally. Aircraft-grade titanium primarily is made in Russia, and this is very important in fuselages and wings for the most modern aircraft, and critical for all passenger jet engines. Russia will suffer greatly in the short term, but all airlines will eventually find themselves in short supply of titanium-based parts very soon, unless other countries are able to develop the sophisticated manufacturing methods that Russia has effectively monopolized for decades.
@@RandyFortier No, not the hot sections. But the Fan sections on the newest engines are no longer titanium. Russia is the 3rd largest producer, so it can be found elsewhere.
@@z987k No, Russia is the 3rd largest producer of titanium. They are the 1st largest producer of specifically-aircraft-grade titanium. Those are not the same. P.S. I'm a materials scientist who worked in the aviation industry.
I think this was one of the best summaries of the Russian Aviation situation I have seen yet on TH-cam. Ergo, I am now subscribed and following Wendover daily. Good work!
This will also negatively impact aircraft leasing companies in Ireland too, since about $10 billion in planes are now effectively Russian hostages for however long this lasts.
Comac has issues with foreign parts. APU is Pratt & Whitney made in Poland, just to name one major components. The Comac has been in development since the early 2000s. The wings crack and a zillion other issues have thankfully kept this death trap grounded.
Thankfully. No one wants to fly that chinese deathtrap. China is slowly becoming a normal 21st century country, but its Maoist roots are keeping it down. if Xi Jinping didnt demolish the countries progress, maybe it would be up to singapore level by now.
thank you for mentioning frankfurt to tokyo flight. i am japanese living in germany and struggling now what the safest, cheapest and fastest way to get to japan. i know the anchorage route because i flew that route back than. but i was a baby so cant remember. 18h sounds though but with modern planes with enternainment devices on each seat and be able to drink alcohol at my age, 18h sounds fair to me.
The currently largely dormant direct flights between East Coast US/Canada and East Asia is going to be severely affected too. For example, Cathay Pacific used to operate 3 daily JFK-HKG, all flying over Russia, especially Asia-bound. The airline has reduced the schedule to 1 per week due to COVID. And on Mar 19, CX845 JFK-HKG was rerouted to have a refueling stop at LAX, becoming JFK-LAX-HKG. Singapore Airlines' SQ23 JFK-SIN literally became an eastbound flight, flying directly east from JFK to over France, and then turn southeast to Egypt, Saudi Arabia and then over India to reach Singapore. These routes are now bumping up against the range limit of even the A350 and 787. Also, besides Northern Pacific, ME3 carriers are going to be the winner here. Not just because they are the only ones flying to Russia, but also non-stop flights between S.E. Asia and Europe now mostly are again routed over Middle East. That reduces the flight time advantage the East Asian and European carriers have over ME3 on S.E.Asia-Europe routes.
Strange tho, as Cathay Pacific's HKG-EU flights still overfly Russian airspace since Russia has not closed airspace to HK/China airlines, but I guess the Russians or the Americans have tightened compliance over third-party flights, so maybe CX845 or SQ23 avoided overflying Russia since they had originated from JFK
@@BogdanKokkonen Actually airlines like CX and KE no longer fly over Russia. For example, if you go to flightradar24 and look at the flight path of Mar 24's CX251 HKG > LHR, it flew over China > Kazakhstan > Caspian Sea > Azerbaijan > Georgia > Turkey > Romania into EU airspace. That's the same flight path European airlines are taking in general. I think the issue is that there is a difficulty paying Russia the overflight fees since the banks are generally not willing to process such transactions. Now you only see Chinese airlines, Air India, PIA, EK, TK, QR and EY over Russian airspace (besides Russian airlines).
I've been asking for an airline like Northern Pacific for so long! I don't live in Alaska, but I've always wanted to visit and found it ridiculous that I can't make a stop at Anchorage whenever I fly somewhere in Asia from the continent despite the fact that my flight goes right over it! This would also make Alaska attractive to US remote workers who want to live somewhere with easy and inexpensive access to Asian destinations, and find that access to be very important.
I am an America expat living in Thailand and man i am cheering for that startup. I won't fly chinese carriers because i don't want to be in Shanghai when the dragon and the eagle finally tango. If they connect to Seoul or Narita i hope they can be cheaper than the arm and leg the post covid transpacific flights have been. Plus, the wife wants to visit Alaska the most so its a win win win!
So they seized all those leased planes but at the same time demoted them to domestic flights to avoid the owners to repo. How long can they keep chopping planes for spare parts when a lot of those control surfaces systems begin to run out of hours? Being such large country will sure put some serious flight hours. Also I think the chinese planes don't use chinese engines and that's going to be hard to source out when GE, RR, and whoever makes the engine refuses to sell.
Its funny that you think Russia is the only one impacted by the sanctions, the majority of airline manufacturers including parts, get their aluminum and especially titanium from Russia. How long until the raw metal supply chain runs dry ?
@Ben Dover Or they could just not murder people for lulz. Then, they wouldn't need to be self-sufficient. In fact they didn't even get punished for trying to murder Navalny!
I recently took that Detroit to Seoul flight, and I just want to say that 14 hours is the best case, my flight took a little over 16 hours because there were also strong headwinds. So add this with the time change, and My flight left at 1:00pm on a Monday and did not land in Seoul until 7:00pm Tuesday, I basically lost an entire day.
2 months later the sanctions have triggered the the ruble to maximum of 8 years. Russia's trade surplus fueled to all-time highs in the first months of the year. Inflation soars in Europe and there is talk of shortage in the consumption of fuels for next winter How does that affect the European aviation industry?
Good. Russian aviation is a rolling disaster. I lived in Seattle and whenever an Aeroflot plane landed at SeaTac they would roll out the emergency equipment as a matter of policy. Military aggression against your neighbors has its consequences.
It was the moment you highlighted the increased travel time between London and Murmansk that my jaw dropped open. War is brutal. My summer holiday to Murmansk is cancelled.
I love that you mentioned LH716. I was literally on it yesterday. Not to mention how much longer flights from Tokyo to Germany/Europe take now. Great video as always!
Don’t forget that it was Soviet Russia that shot down Korean Air flight 007 (which drifted into Soviet airspace during the days of Anchorage refuelling) that led to Reagan making GPS publicly available. Can’t believe that we are talking about flying that very route in 2022.
@@mctavishsoap3815 In either case, flying in close proximity to conflict and restricted areas invites more risk. We can't expect military to reliably identify planes that are friendly, hostile, or neutral.
I'm more concerned about the future of trans-Eurasian and Asia-North America routes, which are en route on airspace of Siberia and Far East Russia respectively. Looks like we're going back to Cold War-era again, trans-Eurasian routes will have a refill stop at the UAE and Asia-North America routes will go back to the "transit at Narita Airport and a refill stop at Anchorage" mode...
china and russia were not friends in the middle and late cold war but now they very much are. what if the russians "selectively" opened their airways to friendly nations like china. for example, allowing air china access to russia airspace, flying from Frankford to beijing then connecting from there to Tokyo(and the reverse route too) would be faster and cheaper than any offer by european or japanese airlines that cant overfly russia. this would effectively give air china a monopoly on many europe to asia, and even asia to north america flights. and china would then pay russia the same way europeans and others use to, for the right to overfly russia.
when in a war, you can count on Wendover to make a video about the Logistics and Aviation about it.
the privilege of getting excited about new content because of a war is insane....
@@neby_nebs
*laughs in weapon industrial cartel*
This comment is going to blow up
@@ArcHelios117 Same in ALL wars. Big weapons manufacturers make the big bucks, all the way down to clothing companies churning out the uniforms to wear into battle. Sad but true.
@@bazsnell3178
Obviously. Wars is only hell for the brainwashed pleb killing each other. The top of the pyramid is fine. Always have been, always will be.
Never doubt Sam's ability to find a way to make a plane video out of any topic
EDIT: Man I did not expect so many likes and comments, thanks a lot. On another note, I'm not criticizing the plane content, I love. And I know the way is a very serious topic it was just an innocent joke.
Wat
@@hansolowe19 the channel likes to post alot of plane vids
At least we're set for another year of self deprecating HAI plane jokes now.
@@anniekoenasdi2403 planes are cool.
Trains, too ☝️
Smart dude!
A couple of days ago I took the finnair flight from seoul to Helsinki, even though it was much longer than the original path, I got too see the vast north Pole and the northern lights, which I think turned out to be worth it.
Awesome
To be honest, if I were wealthy enough to afford to fly, I’d be okay with paying a bit more to maintain the sanctions on Russia.
@@josephbegniol2051 how in the actually hell did you determine that from such a normal comment
@@thatfellarosto it’s a Russian bot
wait so did you fly below or above the northern lights?
As an Irish person, I never knew we were so dominant in the Aviation leasing industry, the more you learn
You're really not though. Ireland is dominant in the Tax Avoidance industry. Just so happens airlines (like most big companies) like avoiding taxes.
@25bever Beg to differ. The dark shadowy figures with $€ in the west that 'control' the aviation industry are either Irish or of Irish decent (1st/2nd generation). And I mean money, not loans or state backed investment cash like China or the middle east. There's a reason we're a tax haven too. Benefits our own. I live among the ultra wealthy here. The wealth is staggering. Very low key folks. So many Americans moving 'home' too the last 20 years. Not unusual to see retired military guys here at the moment actually. That's new. We've also seen an influx of wealthy British/Irish. Fund managers are busy!
@@25bever nah, it’s mostly because we founded the first Aviation Leasing company, which collapsed to form the modern companies but our tax status isn’t insignificant I will admit
Yeahh., after the earlier days when RUSSIA threatened to UNDERWATER NUKE Ireland 🇮🇪 (Country of Peace and Kindness), to add insult to Injury Ireland has hundreds of Planes on lease to RUSSIA 🇷🇺 and they are refusing to return them to Ireland 🇮🇪…… Makes me very angry as an Irishman……
When will the Russian Mothers Rise UP 😢😢😢
@atix50 Nope it's the tax. Look at Apple, Amazon and Google's tax structure. The head office that owns the product rights are in Ireland. They then lease those rights to subsidiaries in say, the UK. All the profits are generated in the UK but after paying the Irish head office there are no profits in the UK, only in Ireland where the company tax is bugger all. Everyone loses except the company. They pay nothing to the civil infrastructure and stable society that allows them to operate. It's a shitty situation.
Let's not forget the impact this will have on safety. The reason air travel is so safe is because the industry is relatively open about mistakes made either by pilots, manufacturers, or maintenance crew. Every crash is a learning opportunity, and so it's pretty rare that two airplanes are brought down by the same flaw. The 737 MAX was a very rare exception, and it paid the price. Not so in the Soviet Union though. Accidents were swept under the rug where possible and the findings from any investigations were never made public. If you go to the Wikipedia article about incidents involving AeroFlot aircraft, the list is so long it has to be broken down into collapsible sections by decade. Russia is rapidly sliding back to those days, so I won't be surprised if Russian planes start falling out of the sky again.
Any mentions of how much airlines used to pay for flying over Russian airspace? Removing those fees will affect ticket prices in a positive way, no?
Last I heard Russia isn’t getting maintenance parts anymore so they’ll either not service their planes or do it incorrectly
@@bornasiroki3976 we dont know how much the fees were since they were not published.But it will certainly affects tickets for those who travel to asia from europe
@@jobic4207 .....hopefully - for their passengers - they have a good supply of baling wire a duct tape........
And here I thought you were going to mention long flights over arctic airspace will rely on incredibly sparse emergency landing sites
12 billion USD worth of aircraft have effectively been nationalized, meaning colossal losses for the lessors.
A lot of people are underestimating the impact this will have on insurance premiums, leasing rates and ultimately ticket prices.
Which adds up due to sanctions as airlines now have to take far longer route. Among other things less ecological.
@@agramarten But probably just for those countries with autocrathic regime or bad international reputation such as Argentina.
Edit: Talking just by the leasing and insurance point of view.
Not sure what the Bermudan leasing companies can do, but I'm pretty sure that Ireland will manage to get the EU to separately sanction the airlines in question until the aircraft have been returned and any value loss in long-grounded planes that have been cannibalised for parts has been compensated. There's no reason we should make it easy for these airlines to get away with theft, even once the war is over.
Many russian private owned airlines want to return the leased aircraft, but its going to be quite problematic right now
Now the world knows about Russia what Ukraine has always known - it’s a gas station masquerading as a country that steals other countries’ territory, resources and planes
It is really impressive how you know about the leasing structure and companies, Cape Town convention, repossessions etc. This is an esoteric subject which very few people outside the industry know, yet it forms the backbone of international air travel. Good work.
I'm pretty sure he is inside the industry, this channel is one of the leading TH-cam channels when it comes to the topic of aviation.
Welcome to Wendover it's good to have you
@@MimOzanTamamogullar It’s 2022 and Sam is now 25 years old. And Sam has been posting videos since 2015. He can’t have been THAT much of an insider considering he’s been full-time TH-cam for quite a few of those 7 years.
@@qzbnyv He could have people he knows in the industry who tells him about this stuff. This would mean that while Sam himself technically wouldn't be an insider, his videos would still be produced as if he was.
@@MimOzanTamamogullar It’s esoteric knowledge but hardly a secret or something that an intelligent person can’t understand from outside. He makes aviation videos so he and the team do a bunch of research and prep so they can get the technical details right. That simply requires good journalistic skills, not necessarily insider experience. He may also work with a technical advisor who does work in the industry.
Russia : Has trouble managing aviation
Wendover: Aviation is simple. What's trouble is managing dinner
REALITY 2024 WSJ: Boeing 787 Dreamliner aircraft lack parts manufactured in Russia
I knew there would be a problem in Russia with the airspace restrictions, but I never really considered how it would also affect the rest of the world. I realized the closure of Russian airspace would cause routes to change, but seeing how Anchorage is such an important point in aviation is very interesting.
During the Cold War Anchorage was big!
Strangely enough Alaska was Russia’s only colony
Getting Alaska was a HUGE win for the USA.
and now when a plane has crashed, it will find the passangers frozen, which is good for investigation
Interestingly, with global warming melting the north pole, it will probably also be the busiest port in the world in the future.
If aliens invaded Earth, Wendover would come out with a video about how it affected airline logistics.
More like about alien logistics.
"Can airlines survive the Xeno invasion?"
"How aliens supply their invasion"
The successful logistics of alien invasion on humanity
don't forget the video about how poorly planned the alien logistics is which will lead to their inevitable failure to conquer earth
These stolen aircraft are essentially paper weights now. They might fly them domestically, but they will never see NA & EU airspace again. Even if the war ends and access to airspace is reinstated. The maintenance cycles of these particular planes have been interrupted, It will be a mystery where any replaced part has been sourced from. Parts smuggled across borders, recycled from different planes and "homemade" parts are the dramatic consequences. All aircraft parts have to be traceable, which will no longer be possible. They are tainted and no longer usable since the moment they were stolen.
You mean you wouldn't want to fly an airline whose maintenance is suspect?? Where's your sense of adventure?!?
They can make service of their planes in Armenia, Kazakhstan, or even China. Just as any other sanctioned countries do today. It will cost more though
@@bennails3447 If those planes land there, they'll be repossessed.
@@_loss_ By Xi Jinping? I'm not that optimistic as you :)
They might be reused into military transport planes over NATO airspace
I've always loved Wendover Productions. This one is off the charts. Thank you.
I had a coworker with Ukrainian roots. He told me about a flight he experienced, not sure if Soviet Union or Russian eras. Most seat belts didn't work. Livestock on the plane. Plenty of vodka. Before reaching the destination, the pilot landed in "the middle of the night," some where. The plane had its own stairs built in, just like the one DB Cooper used. My friend described watching the pilot go down the stairs and pound on a door. No one answered. After a bit, he gave up, climbed back up, and took off.
Vodka and livestock ey?Sounds like the Soviet era stuff
@@PirateCat822 Most likely!
Your clownWorld is LOST: WSJ: Boeing 787 Dreamliner aircraft lack parts manufactured in Russia
Russian Eras - you outdated clown who stuck in Cold Era Paranoia. So funny))
Another thing to consider is that when this is all over, the leasing companies are not going to lease any planes to Russian companies. So the nationalization of the planes is really just shooting themselves in the foot for later.
So they buy them instead.
"Shooting nation in the foot" is like most of crisis decisions this government made, shows you how they care about people.
@@Mali-kd1zz don't tell me you are one of those "USD will fail soooooon!" cracpot theorists
@@FlymanMS 70% of Russians approve of the invasion. Why is that you think?
Those leasing companies won’t lease plane to russia even when it ended. If these measure are relaxed, it will take years or several months.
Russian aviation without planes is more devastating than not having leasing company leasing them.
They can always try renegotiate if the measure ever got relaxed
I would love a deep dive video about the ramifications of the recent news that Maersk and other shipping companies are leaving Russia. What does this mean for the state of logistics in Russia? Will this affect more than just their ports, and extend to breakdowns in shipping within Russia due to the effects it might have on containerization? Will Russia just "nationalize" (steal) containers, port equipment, and computer systems? Does Maersk pulling out indicate that it's not profitable to set up shop there for anyone else? Can another company (or russia, or china) easily step in and continue operations at their port, or will it cause years of disruption to set up an expert system? Are ports owned by the state, leased, or owned by corporations. In general, I'm curious to know more about how standardized the workflow and equipment is, in the processes that are required in the computer accounting as well as the physical unloading/loading of shipments that arrive at the port. And how many different players (whether it's different companies, or state companies) that work together to get this accomplished. I could see Wendover producing an amazing video explaining these issues.
Are you Tiff Tiff?
Yes please
What sanctions, seizure of assets and tyrannical dictate mean at a functional level is that more countries now have more reason than ever to de-dollarize. And increasingly, countries are doing just that ... and as much as they can. Who, after all, wants to trade with an unreliable trading party apt to abuse the financial transaction system (SWIFT) and/or freeze assets at the drop of the hat. What would you think if your bank did that? And by the way, the non-stop invading of countries and instituting a questionable planetary world heath tyranny is not really an awe inspiring foreign policy either. And although countries don't vocalize this sort of thing out loud, don't think for a minute that by now some of the various intelligence agencies around the world have not figured out a thing or two over the past two years, For airlines in particular, adding huge numbers of flight hours to flights has to mean big raises in air fares to cover huge increase in fuel costs (adding to inflation). As to Russia, sanctions are just more of a reason to make their own stuff, and maybe more reason to lease less from undependable foreign suppliers. Basically, this thing with the Ukraine, sanctions and bullying the world in process is going to do much more damage to the United States and its 'allies' than to Russia or China. Power and industrial clout continues to shift to the East. The United States continues to unravel.
@@davemason9555 dave, youre reading this from a russian point of view. no other nation is going to just up and invade their neighbor for no reason any time soon. so, why would anyone want to trade with russia when they dont honor treaties or international law.
@@davemason9555 US dollar dominance has violated the fundamental law of physics and also human species: second law.
I grew up in Anchorage in the 70s and 80s. About half of the time my neighbors were Japanese or Korean pilots. Right now international travel from there requires flying to Seattle first. Even though I don't live there anymore, it would be nice to see international passenger service come back.
Won't happen. Planes now have more range and can go around to the south and actually do so. An Anchorage stopover will significantly increase ticket price and I know how it was then. Aside from plane range, the Anchorage stopover was needed because of the national security law then which didn't allow Koreans to travel to communist countries except for government approved cases after anticommunist education at a facility. Two Korean airliners were shot down over the Soviet Union. This law was changed in 1991 as the soviet union didn't exist anymore and those charged before were acquitted.
As someone who lives in anchorage today, it would indeed be nice, although now that NPA announced that their first route is LAX to mexico, it is sadly unlikely.
No, Asia and Russia are too big to fly around,
and going near either isn't any safer.
@@jcee2259If the West figured out how to fly around the much larger USSR with less advanced planes, they'll do the same with the smaller Russia with more advanced, modern day planes.
@@concept5631good luck competing with Chinese or middle Eastern airlines that fly straight through russia
Everything I never knew I wanted to know about Sanctions within the Russian Aviation Industry... truly fascinating, and informative!
Thank you for using a globe instead of a mercator projection when showing the routes.
Yes it's very good, necessary really, when talking about anything close to the poles.
Filthy mercator flat earthers
Did he mark Crimea as Russian at at 16:32?
@@nihilsson Well if they control it then it still can’t be flown over
@@circuit10 Nobody can fly over the rest of Ukraine
The biggest difference with closure of Russian airspace and the cold war is that now only Russian airspace is closed, which makes a route over Kazakhstan and China possible for flights between eg. Frankfurt-Tokyo and thus not all flights will be operated over the North pole or Alaska
Why does it make a big difference?
@@fabianr9394 China's air space is huge having to route around it would add massive amounts of time to flights
@@mythicalducky oh okay, thought it was meant in a positive way.
Also, the Caucasian Corridor avoids both Russia and Iran.
@@fabianr9394 Fuel use as well as time.
What’s insane is all these planes leased by Russia are all up for repossession and one was even repossessed in Mexico. I’d have loved to see that live-streamed.
@Beavis & Butthurt Why not?
I can't believe countries got away with basically stealing planes.
they are not planes they are expensive paperweights
Odds are they will be dismantled and sold as parts to China for domestic flights there.
@@Vassilinia Why? It's incredibly easy. You think a country that has no qualms about invading a neighbour and slaughtering thousands of civilians would have a moral objection to stealing essential property?
I literally woke up today thinking on and on about how flight paths work around no fly zones or areas of war or issues in the Middle East. Being a big fan of wendover productions. I asked myself if there was any chance he would eventually one day cover the topic. He does such a great job and sites the best facts. Truly allows a ready to understand things the way he breaks them down
More interesting than Northern Pacific, to me, is Alaska Airlines new potential. They already operate out of Anchorage. They already have a large fleet. There have been rumors that they’re looking into buying 787‘s. They’re already primed to have a great connecting network to the lower 48 as well. If Alaska plays their cards right, this might be a huge win for them as well, or instead of northern Pacific.
In 1983 I left London for Tokyo we flew over Alaska. I saw little lakes, little seaplanes. little houses. I saw one road: horizon to horizon. Anchorage was a little airport. Humans had not ruined the vastness of the country. I was a lucky boy.
And Japan airlines was wonderful. Not like BA.
Maybe, maybe not. If the sanctions get lifted, whatever boom that occurs in Alaska is going to disappear overnight.
A fleet to little tiny planes, not capable of competing in international routes, with big planes, capable of hauling people, and cargo!!!!!
Does AA even fly east of the rockies?
Don't think they are even in Chicago.
@@paulstewart6293 PFtt "Humans had not ruined the vastness of the country."... Bet your life is not without impact.
JESUS KNOCKS ON YOUR HEART AND LONGS FOR YOU TO ANSWER! HE DOESN'T WANT
TO SEE ANYONE PERISH INTO HELL. GOD LOVES YOU SO HE GIVES YOU FREE
WILL AND A CHOICE TO ACCEPT HIM OR REJECT HIM. TO LOVE HIM OR TO LOVE
SIN/THIS WORLD. CALL UPON JESUS & ASK HIM TO FORGIVE YOUR SINS!
SURRENDER YOUR WILL & YOUR LIFE TO HIM AND HE WILL GIVE YOU ETERNAL
LIFE IN HEAVEN! PICTURE YOUR BEST DAY ON EARTH TIMES A BILLION FOR
ETERNITY, THAT'S HEAVEN! NOW PICTURE YOUR WORST DAY ON EARTH TIMES A
BILLION FOR ETERNITY, THAT'S HELL! HE WILL GIVE YOU WHAT YOU WANT SO IF
YOU REJECT HIM YOU WILL BE SEPARATED FROM HIM & HIS BLESSINGS
(LOVE, PEACE, JOY, HOPE, REST, ETC). IN HELL YOU WILL BE ALONE WITHOUT
GOD OR PEOPLE, YOU WILL BE HOPELESS, YOU WILL BE IN DESPAIR & AGONY
FOREVER!
GOD'S STANDARD FOR HEAVEN IS PERFECTION AND ONLY JESUS
(THE SON OF GOD/GOD IN THE FLESH) LIVED THAT PERFECT LIFE! HE LAID
DOWN HIS LIFE & TOOK THE WRATH OF THE FATHER ON THE CROSS FOR YOUR
SINS! GOD IS JUST SO HE MUST PUNISH SIN & HE IS HOLY SO NO SIN CAN
ENTER HIS KINGDOM OF HEAVEN. IF YOU ARE IN CHRIST ON JUDGEMENT DAY GOD
WILL SEE YOU AS HIS PERFECT SON (SINLESS SINCE YOUR SINS ARE COVERED BY
JESUS' OFFERING). YOU CAN ALSO CHOOSE TO REJECT JESUS' GIFT/SACRIFICE
& PAY FOR YOUR OWN SIN WITH DEATH (HELL) BUT THAT SEEMS PRETTY
FOOLISH! GOD SEES & HEARS EVERYTHING YOU HAVE SAID & DONE. YOU
WONT WIN AN ARGUMENT WITH HIM & YOU CANT DEFEND ANY OF YOUR SINS TO
HIM. WE'RE ALL GUILTY WITHOUT ACCEPTING JESUS' SACRIFICE FOR OUR SINS!
MUHAMMAD DIDN'T DIE FOR YOUR SINS, BUDDHA DIDN'T DIE FOR
YOUR SINS, NO PASTOR/PRIEST/MARY OR SAINT DIED FOR YOUR SINS, NO IDOLS
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Jesus answered, “I am the way and the truth and the life. No one comes to the Father except through me."-John 14:6
"But whosoever shall deny me before men, him will I also deny before my Father which is in heaven."-Matthew 10:33
“For the wages of sin is death (hell), but the gift of God is eternal life in Christ Jesus our Lord”-Romans 6:23
Finnair's advantage has been it's ability to fly one return route between Europe and Asian cities in 24 hours, which has made it's routes and fleet usage really economical. Same time Helsinki Airport is still pretty small and transit times are short.
Finlands location has been great for Finnair. Before Soviet Union airspace was closed, Finnair was the first airline flying non-stop from Europe to Japan. Nowadays the same location helps to cut traveltime to Asia about 2 hours compared to flights from mainland Europe. Finnair has 17 destinations in Asia + four seasonal ones, one of the most by European carrier.
This flight ban makes a huge cut into Finnairs operations. Good thing Finland owns majority of Finnair, so it will not go bankrupt.
Finnair is definitely taking a major hit here. They must also anticipated this situation to drag on for some time because they just canceled the HEL-CTS (Helsinki - Sapporo, Japan) itinerary I had booked for September, 2022. That’s 6 months from now!
The Comac 919 uses the LEAP engine, made by Safran (French) and GE (American). So making it free of sanctioned parts is going to be a challenge.
And China will have its own additional sanction problems when it invades Taiwan.
@@wubbalubbadubdub7597 Please, god, no. It would mean an instant jump in GPU prices. Again. It was starting to reach normal. :D
America was warned many many times that allowing all of our technological innovations to be manufactured in a communist dictatorship was a bad idea, but big business wanted to do it to save a buck and politicians of both parties caved to their demands. Now China wants to manufacture their own commercial airliner. Export of aircraft technology, and especially engines to China is specifically prohibited by ITAR laws. Oh, so we’re just going to sell them the engines. We won’t give them the technical data. I’m sure they won’t be able to take one apart and reverse engineer it, at least not for the first week or so. By next year they’ll probably have an exact copy installed in a military airplane.
@@Sekir80 I think we'd have bigger problems than GPU prices if we were to get to that point pal... Unless you're 15, then I understand why you would say something such as that.
@@singleproppilot that's capitalism buddy. You seem to love it but don't like the consequences that it brings. Corporations need to increase their profits year on year. If theyadr those products anywhere else it would cost you alot more to buy it.
There is a huge consequence to all that cheap crap in Walmart.
As someone who was born in Odessa in 1975 I can confirm what he said. Odessa’s population of 1 million nearly doubled during summer months
Why?
@@concept5631Vacations. Watch the video.
@@concept5631it was one of the Soviet Union's most popular resorts
@@warmike Thanks for the info
You don't take into account, that fuel prices become higher and higher, so it's not so easy to fly longer than now, every additional flight hour costs higher price. Some of air company can't allow this price. Flying longer means additional maintenance service.
U are right..that's what's wrong with the Western analytics.they always think that they're not affected by the sanctions they impose.
@@samuelsuse8746 We are fully aware it will affect us you fool.
Oil prices only increased for Western buyers while within Russia crude prices collapsed. So its possible Russian airlines are getting oil products like jet fuel at a much cheaper price.
We now have Zoom instead. Freight will go through rail and its derivative, quasivacuum tubes. We needn't business trips anymore and countries don't welcome tourists as they have increased restrictions on travellers. An example is Korea'x ETA which performs very tough background checks on those who want to enter the country.
@@AhmedW-sy9ti russian airlines rely on overseas maintenance and tools. most of them will be grounded permanently. the weak ruble will make purchasing overseas parts too costly adding to the ticket price
A little off topic, but I wanna applaud y’all for using a GLOBE to illustrate this video. Map projections just aren’t up to scratch on these flights that go near the poles.
Good video. One minor comment- the c919’s engine is the LEAP engine. While Chinese engineers are working on a domestic cj1000 engine, it planned for entry in 2025 and is quite likely to be delayed.
Therefore, since the engine (along with numerous other parts) is western, this cannot be sold to Russian airlines.
At first I wondered if COMAC would work with Aviadvigatel to offer a PD-14 engine version of the C919 for the Russian (and other sanctioned) markets, but I think there's a few reasons this won't be on the cards.
Firstly, the Russian govt won't want to create competition for the MC-21, which is competing in the same class as the C919, and which has, thanks to sanctions, had the A32x/B737 eliminated from the game.
Secondly, the C919 uses a ton of *other* western components as well as the engines (including avionics, HVAC, landing gear, hydraulics, electrical systems and more), so swapping for Russian engines really wouldn't make much difference.
The MS-21 also has a lot of foreign systems, but Russia has long legacy of domestic civil aviation that China doesn't, and would find substituting these foreign systems for domestic analogues much easier, as many of them already exist from the IL-96, TU-204/Tu-214 and IL-114. Indeed, if push came to shove, and we enter a prolonged period of Russian isolation, they could even scrap the MS-21 altogether and instead update the older, but already existing and entirely domestic TU-204/TU-214, using the PD-14 engines, new interior, aerodynamic tweaks and the like.
I suspect Sino-Russian co-operation would move more to the CR-929 which is much less mature, so can relatively easily be "sanctions-proofed" from the outset, and both countries would benefit from co-operating. Though Russia does have the IL-96, it is difficult to update, as ultimately a quad-jet is still a quad-jet, and as a Soviet design evolution of the IL-86 it was designed for robustness rather than economy - it's very over-engineered and inherited a lot of the IL-86s innovative but decidedly left-field design choices, and even before the war it was clear that Russia couldn't realistically finance (let alone project manage - something post-Soviet Russia has struggled with) a completely new wide body design.
@@lmlmd2714 Very good points, although I think cooperation between China and Russia on a new aircraft is unlikely, as the Chinese will want to sell any new airliner to the west. Obviously including Russian parts on the aircraft would preclude that.
Russians know how to make engines too. What do think their migs use to fly? Brooms?
@@simplyincorrigible7708 you would need to totally redesign the plane for a new engine, which would take most of a decade.
@@jackroutledge352 The CR-929 is semi-Russian owned and is an ongoing project. Could China manufacture a de-Russianised jet? Possible but they wouldn't do it unless there is a big demand from the countries that sanction Russia. That won't happen.
Though licensed manufacturing of Russian parts in China is possible. I guess that would enable marketing of the jet in the West.
The C-919 is another topic. It is 100% Chinese owned but has a LOT of Western parts. It was a project planned for profits in a completely different age. Since Trump, the Chinese companies' and government's view on foreign tech have changed a lot. Before that buying as much Western tech as possible was considered the best business plan for many reasons. Indigenization projects were overwhelmingly central government driven. Now Western tech (particularly American) is viewed toxic and is avoided if possible. Even private corporations with no gov support are investing in domestic tech and choosing domestic products even if that costs them. They don't want to become the second Huawei. The C-919 will likely have a 100% Chinese variant in future.
Compliments for this video, as it is extremely well made, going into minute details without becoming boring .
Thank you!
As manager director ( Airbus) I can confirm that what he is saying about..... isn't 100 percent accurate, disagree 😮😮😮
@@carlosgamarrath244proof
@@carlosgamarrath244yeah your def capping
@@carlosgamarrath244let me guess…. You think Russia’s n3o-natzee colonialism is justified?
Interst in planes on a normal day=0 Insterst in planes when Wendover uploads = 90000
Yes
It's over 9000!!!!!!
Writers: So, we could talk about the capabilities of the Russian and Ukrainian air forces, or what goes into supplying them...
Sam: *airlines*
To be fair such a detailed vid on Russian Logistics and Strategies would unironically be more detailed and more in depth than the actual russian plans
The "writers" is Sam, and Sam knows nothing about military aviation.
Also, with the way this invasion is going, I'm not sure there is a lot of publicly available and reliable information about air force capabilities out there.
Even if when sanctions are lifted Russian aircrafts will be difficult to certified for international flights as lack of maintenance will be difficult to remove.
That, and you know. That they don't own them.
@@PerErikKarlsson I am pretty sure Putin has taken loan from China for Russian aircrafts.
These stolen aircraft are essentially paper weights now. They might fly them domestically, but they will never see NA & EU airspace again. Even if the war ends and access to airspace is reinstated. The maintenance cycles of these particular planes have been interrupted, It will be a mystery where any replaced part has been sourced from. Parts smuggled across borders, recycled from different planes and "homemade" parts are the dramatic consequences. All aircraft parts have to be traceable, which will no longer be possible. They are tainted and no longer usable since the moment they were stolen.
@@PerErikKarlsson Worse, leasing companies will be more hesitant for any negotiations with Russian carriers. Sure, Putin is more to blame than carriers, but can you blame those companies not wanting to take any chances anymore?
@@dbclass4075 i hope no one do any business with Russia until there is a change in government.
You conveniently forgot to mention how this is a bonus for airlines of other countries that are still allowed to overfly Russia, their flight times and fuel costs will be significantly lower than the competition.
They will be able to offer cheaper prices and shorter flying times to their destinations.
Which would you choose, longer flying times and a more expensive ticket or shorter flying times and a less expensive ticket?.
We always forget that sanctions cut both ways and there is always blowback.
The fact that we get free documentaries on TH-cam by Wendover Productions is truly a gift 👍
Can the west survive without russia? That should be the headline. This channel is nothing special. It is similar to cnn and msnbc.
11:11 Suppose a Russian airline decides to "keep" a leased airplane, but the same airline uses a fully owned airplane to operate an international route. On operating the international route, the fully owned airplane lands in a non-Russian country. At that point can the fully owned airplane be seized? If an airline steals a leased plane and keeps it inside Russia as protection from seizure, can the airline's fully owned planes that do fly outside of Russia be seized as a countermesure?
Russian passport is not good for travel so Russian planes if any would go to China and satellite states such as former soviet or cuba or venezuela. For the latter, Russia might convert Tu160 or Tu95 to freight/passenger.
Anyone can do whatever they want now, international agreement mean jack squat now.
When Russia does it its okay, if anyone else does it its a direct threat to Russia and act of war probably. The usual story.
@@softmechanics3130 The Tu-160 and Tu-95 would make poor passenger airlines. Their engines and designs are old and inefficient. The Tu-160 is a supersonic bomber designed to be a supersonic bomber, and is thus too small to carry a profitable amount of passengers. Also, it's engines are terrible inefficient.
@@dasbubba841 Russia hasn't anything else now but a lot of oil .Maybe China builds high speed rail network for Russia.
“Hey, Sam from Wendover, Russia just declared war on Ukraine.”
“I’m gonna make a video on it.”
“And you’re not gonna make it about the aviation industry, right?”
“…”
“You’re not gonna make it about the aviation industry, right?”
@@sotrue2976 🤡
@@sotrue2976 cope harder
@@sotrue2976 go on and put more cope cages and seethe bags on your tanks
*Disappointed Natalie Portman face*
Russian airlines: under sanctions.
Western airlines: have to do longer flights.
Meanwhile Arab airlines: business is boomin
2024 WSJ: Boeing 787 Dreamliner aircraft lack parts manufactured in Russia
You don't mention another important part of aviation: software. If Lufthansa Technik is not servicing Russia anymore, I bet Lufthansa Systems, the biggest aviatiom software provider will do the same, and that means at best retraining your whole staff, and reengineering your IT infrastructure to a competitor's product, and at worst, having to build your own alternative software, which will take years, and millions of Euros.
Don't you mean trillions of rubles?
@@billolsen4360 lol 😆 😂
They will use abacus and paper.
Everyone knew perfectly well what would happen with foreign exchange reserves, aircraft and a bunch of other things. Although I do not share Putin's policy, he is definitely not an idiot, this was done on purpose, the Russians now have a strong opinion that the West cannot be trusted in anything at all and everything must be done within the country.
@@Алексей-ч2ф9л Maybe China gives some old trains
I was so ignorant about how strategic Anchorage is so any audience member working at Anchorage airport?
Did the recent geopolitical events significantly increase the traffic in that area?
I was surprised he talked so much about the new opportunities in Anchorage, but didn't mention China. Last I checked FR24, it was business as usual for them. Chinese airlines have a huge potential to dominate the Asia-Europe market as long as they can fly the shortest possible route across Russia, while almost everyone else is at a disadvantage.
As a resident of anchorage, I can confirm air traffic has increased immensely since the start of Covid, and will continue to do so. Because of the location, it will be a crucial component. Remember, Alaska is the northernmost, easternmost, and westernmost state.
@@elimckenzie7095 I went to my Korea assignment from leave back in the early seventies on a commercial flight. We were in Anchorage in the early AM just as the sun came up and lit up the mountains. One of the most beautiful things I've ever seen. Have had a soft spot for Anchorage ever since. They were busy then and I hope they get busier. I was also impressed with how well the ground crews worked in the November weather. Remember it clearly after almost 50 years.
@@justsomeguy5103 exactly! Though about that aswell. Same for ANA and Thai Airlines.
@@justsomeguy5103 I hope Sam expands on this in a follow-up video. The impact on China's airline and aviation industry could be huge. They're going to get a huge number of connecting flights and probably sell a lot more planes. Add in sales to Russia of planes and parts.
Thank you for answering the questions I was personally asking about the sanctions and Russian airspace.
I hope I connect through Anchorage at some point in my lifetime now
Anchorage has a great wildlife taxidermy display.
I would gladly layover in Anchorage for a day or two, especially if the ticket price is a little bit cheaper.
I don't think you do lol !!! Connecting through a US airport means you need to take your lugage and register it again on the connecting flight (and go through security again). Except if you are from the US in the first place, but even in that case, that only work for one way !
It's stunning. You should! Spend some time there, too...
If you do it during the summer, then Anchorage is wonderful.
Helsinki is such a nice airport and as a Finn it would be sad to see fewer people there. But I'm happy and interested to see Anchorage gain popularity and recognition, it truly is well positioned in a changing world.
Helsinki is nice except for the dungeon they had all of their flights to Russia departing from before the war (the gates are down stairs in a dim room that just has large metal benches with no back support). It was clear what the Finns thought of the Russians..
@@alquinn8576 they left from the normal jetbridges...
I'm honestly impressed by the time and effort you put into these videos. Keep it up! 👍👍👍
🤚
It's unlikely that Anchorage will get big customer usage. There is already a big demand for direct flights to Dubai, Qatar, Abu Dhabi, Bahrain and Kuwait. This means airlines can simply increase capacity at these routes, by flying bigger aircraft. We could even see the return of the A380 as these connecting routes require more capacity. The customer gets shafted with an extra 2 hours flight time, but the airlines don't have to worry about additional costs or fuel burn.
Dubai etc will love this, and will likely expand their airports to facilitate the extra flights, while increasing fees as a way to generate revenue.
Anchorage will still get a bump.
The Sun: I have become a supernova and am about to destroy everything in the solar system including planet Earth
Wendover Productions: What is happening with Airlines' business model and logistics
I binge watched your videos on Half as Interesting for the longest time and just now found this channel! I seriously adore the content you make, keep up the good work!
Pacific US routes seem to only increase slightly. ORD Chicago via Anchorage, Tokyo, to Hong Kong increased only 5% from a direct route over Russia. The costs to European airlines are clearly the most affected but the war and the threat of larger aggression are in their back yard.
Anchorage is freight only. A passenger plane travel through Anchorage would be very expensive and this was the way I travelled in the past. Planes go southwards instead. Freight planes have shorter range and this is why they go through Anchorage which is similar to a marshalling station (without gauge change).
@@softmechanics3130 Plus, Anchorage is an ideal sorting hub for packages between North Asia and North America.
@@dbclass4075 Thus freight only
@@softmechanics3130 Mostly freight. Alaska Airlines do operate few passenger flights on that airport.
This is one of the most intelligently, well-thought-out, and watchable videos I have seen recently regarding the consequences of sanctions and our new reality. So informative and necessary, takes me back in some cases - I've flown that Anchorage route, and the Finnair route to the Far East. The more things change, the more they may go back to being the older version of itself.... 💯👏👏👏🙂
@nehem Nevertheless the Anchorage stopover worked successfully for many years. You must also realise that, after two air disasters, confidence in Malaysian Airlines has taken somewhat of a beating. There may be other airlines that will fly into Russian airports, Etihad, Emirates, for instance, but then again, the West can make it very (ahem!) difficult to continue to do so on any worthwhile basis, altering flight patterns/air space (nothing like Alliances!) and so forth. It's been done before.
@@surquhart64 You can't just go around sanctioning the whole world. And the west knows it. For instance, America isn't happy with India now toeing its line on Russia, and yet they haven't sanctioned India yet. Why not? Cos they want to keep this isolated to Russia, the fallout of which they think they can absorb. If you start sanctioning every country that doesn't bow to your demands, you're quickly going to find yourself with a copious quantities of egg on your face. Your alliance is literally a minority of the world population, and worlds' nations. The west is not the world, nor is it infallible. Pride, as they say, comes before a fall.
@nehem Cry more Russian bot
Can you imagine the happiness of Anchorage airport owner? It was useless for decades, but now it'll became a new transport hub, such as Dubai or Stambul
Can you imagine the happiness of Chinese airlines that do not need to fly into anchorage? Who do you think will have less expenses?
@@Евгенийхх-м7ъ we will see
@@Евгенийхх-м7ъ Western+ korean+ japanese airlines will get crushed! They will soon run out of business. ALL Gulf carriers pay discounted fuel , fly over Russia when needed. Nobody will pay 500Euro extra in Europe for flights to Asia. The biggest looser will be Lufthansa. Very soon nobody will order cargo routes with them, because that´s loosing time and money.
Would love to see a follow up on this
Same. The situation has changed so fast that many videos talking about Russia at the start of the conflict are outdated and many predictions were proven false not long into the war. It's great to see how the presidctions have changed based off New info
I've been purposefully avoiding the subject of what's going on because Putin is a big baby who will destroy everything in a tantrum if he doesn't get his precious Ukraine...how much have things changed???
@@jackryan4313 the war situation has greatly developed to russias disadvantage in comparison to the start
@@imEden0 they've been fucked from the start, wdym😂their military is a damn nightmare in terms of actual strength. It's nothing. Just like it always has been. And that's the problem. Cuz Putin has a shit military, but he's got nukes. It's just a waiting game now to see if he's ballsy enough to use them. The entire world sees his military for what it is now.
If only we had let the Russians fall during WW2. They helped Hitler, so we should have made them suffer the consequences. Cold War could have been avoided, as well as all of the headaches that have come from the soviets
@@jackryan4313 rather, their military has performed less than we thought it would be capable of
Sam, of those ‘Internationally Leased’ aircraft that the Russians have, what % of them were inside Russian-allied territory at the time that all of the flights stopped? Were there many already in international airports that could be seized? Or were they mostly in Russia?
A lot, airlines only buy about half-75% of their capacity, the rest are all leased
I know of one in Egypt where the crew had to beat a hasty retreat with the plane to keep it from being repossessed.
Most were already in russia. There were a few that im aware of that were seized in some places but very few were reposed in time.
They gave them like three days to get home. Stupid move. Should have repoed them immediately.
They can't leave Russia pretty much every now because they will not be serviced or fueled by anyone in the west.
This is sad. I live in Europe but my friends and family are in Russia. I was planning to visit them this summer, it used to be a 3.5 hour direct flight. Now I would have to go through Istanbul or Dubai if it would be possible at all.
Which side of reality are your friends & family on in all this, the reality Putin force feeds them and tells every Russian citizen what to think, or the one every other country with free press see's that Putin is clearly the problem?
@@kbengson9163 Some are on one side, others on the other. Most avoid speaking openly on the subject nowadays.
@@kbengson9163 You know the West is too kind to Russians.
We try to say "hey it's just evil Putin's propaganda fooling good and honest Russian people's mind".
Reality sadly is much worse and messier.
Imperialist's mindset is very strong in Russia. And yes propaganda played a role in this. Including years of Soviet propaganda. But it's not just it.
And I'm not just talking about village people - that bit is obvious propaganda-zombie.
I'm talking about talented engineers and academics who can watch videos such as these and read books written in English. Not all of them of course, chances are less than half, but the fact is - even some of very smart people in Russia openly support Putin, even those who realize that much of what is being said on Russian state TV is lies.
I can tell you one episode which happened to me many years ago in Virginia. I was in my 20s and just visited US for the first time. Met some college girls from Russia. Once me and one of them went to a local gift convenience store. I noticed she's sneaking some items in her jacked (attempt to shoplift)
Me: "WTF are you doing?!"
She: "What? It's not Russia - so stealing isn't bad from them! They are Americans - the enemy, don't you understand?"
Somehow I was able to convince her not to steal, but this episode stayed in my memory for a very long time.
So this situation like a last straw prompted me - Russian dissident - to stop speaking to much of my so called "friends" in Russia. Maybe I shouldn't have. Maybe I really need to talk to them.
But I'm no Daryl Davis. I don't have patience for those people.
I wish I had truly, but right now I can not calmly talk to a person who just okayed attacking sovereign independent country for their own imperialistic reasons.
It's very sad and very dangerous for the world, and from my perspective many of people I grew up with are directly or indirectly responsible for this war. And I'm responsible for not talking to them enough. Not realizing just how important it was.
We cancelled our regular summer trip to Moscow. It's not safe anymore for Russians living abroad and not fun to be in the Z madhouse.
You should move them to Europe
The theft of private entities planes is not going to be quickly forgotten nor forgiven. Anyone who supplies parts for use on these planes will be sanctioned. Leaving Russia only the option to cannibalise the fleet.
Sanctions are dumb, you can’t catch back doors.
Whether your political or not,
The fact that Putin just stole BILLIONS of dollars of OUR COUNTRYS MONEY
is enough of a fact to despise the clown.
Russia became a decent 21st century country, but its primitive soviet dumbfuckery brought it back down to caveman level
@@honkhonk8009 You have to consider, that you stole much more billions from them first.
They haven’t even started with the counter sanctions. Some further things I already heard that software piracy will be basically legalized for the time of sanctions - so it will additionally hurt the license culture world wide.
There will be a lot of different disruptions in this new cold war.
Its not just airlines. The entire reason the western fossil fuel giants bailed out of the country wasn't because PR, its because Putin started using the N-word, nationalize. Western capitalist entities will ignore any number of human abuses, but as soon as you nationalize petroleum, you should probably grow eyes on the back of your head.
@@honkhonk8009 And the Democracies totally never stole billions in assets from Russia in the first place. If the Democracies would stop waging proxy wars and instead fix its own problems, then there wouldn't be fears of a WW3.
This poor guy must be out of breath by the end.... Great Video!!!!!!
Theyre not sanctions theyre
“Special economic operations”
"You market should be free..... for us to take over!"
Theres not a single country with "free market" in this world, North Korea, Cuba and Venezuela arent even at war. And hell, Iran has ALWAYS been the country TO BE ATTACKED, never really attacks anyone but it also got sanctioned.
@@meganoobbg3387 Iran attacks Israel constantly.
According to the US - the country that couped the first and last president of Iran, the country that attacked Iran after they revolted against the US backed monarchy in 1980, and the country that Iraq attacked during a time when Saddam and the US were BFFs. Im really sad Iran "attacked" the famous "liberal" and "free" countries of Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Syria, Israel, Lebanon and Yemen - none of which are US backed dictatorships. XD
@N Fels You misspelt the US.
They are a declaration of war
2:11 To be fair, the Warsaw pact countries were available for travel too, my mother visited all of them.
But she was not permitted to go to London because she wasn't a member of the Communist Party.
I wonder how it worked the other way. Could people from NATO countries easily visit Warsaw Pact countries?
@@marekpodgorny9089 I think the commenter and their mom are/were in Russia/USSR, not in Poland.
@@Spacemongerr Yes, exactly. The video talks about USSR, I thought it was obvious.
@@vigilantcosmicpenguin8721 I can say about USSR - not easily, but it was certainly possible. There was a special tour operator called Intourist.
Marek had some interesting info though, I wish he didn't delete his comment.
He was saying that someone he knew in Poland could travel to London even though they were not a party member.
So restrictions were lesser in other WP countries (at least Poland) than in USSR.
I remember it well. In the 1970's, Sergio Valente jeans could fetch $100 on the Soviet black market. Toilet paper was a luxury. Olympic athletes, artists, musicians, scientists, authors and scholars were escorted by guards to prevent them from defecting. The inevitable collapse was written and talked about in the west from the 60's up until the actual fall in the 80's. To think that Putin admires a system of control (whatever flavor you wish to call it today)... is astoundingly stupid. There is nothing to be gained by stifling the minds of your population except obedience and stagnation. Good luck to those who may have to deal with this abomination and soul crusher of the human spirit.
Soviet Union never had a toilet paper mfg. plant until 1969!
In WWI, the US passed The Sedition Act of 1918 curtailed the free speech rights of U.S. citizens during time of war. To citizen the government or the war would result in being jailed and possibly expulsion from the country. In a few years the US would enter it's golden age of the roaring 20's as all the European investment in American Industry would pay off. So it's not exactly clear cut that stifling the minds of your population is "stupid". If the USSR was capitalist, they'd still lose to the West since the Soviet-bloc economies were just too small to compete. It's just a matter of geography and numbers. Trying to fund a military to fight the West with a tiny economy was always going to bust them in the end. It's what busted the Japanese Empire's economy in WWII. Japanese military spending went over 100% of their GDP which created a black hole in their economy.
@@Edax_Royeaux The sedition act was created during wartime circumstances and repealed two years later. That is a testament to democracy. An Iron-willed dictator wouldn’t have allowed it to be repealed.
You claim that the Soviet Union could have never thrived as a capitalists society? However, it always WAS capitalist. It was called “the black market“. Without the black market, nothing would’ve happened. It was the only way the Soviets managed every day life.
Marxism in the truest sense never really took root in the Soviet Union. (it’s a shame they murdered Trotsky otherwise you would have found out whether Marxism really worked or not.) But that’s besides the point. The Soviet Union was an authoritarian regime that’s served nothing but misery and the demand of conformity and obedience of its people. What is the purpose? None. To stifle the human imagination is counter to its very core. (As we see over and over again within useless authoritarian regimes)
The hard fact is: capitalism will always be with us. Since the times of Mesopotamia (and earlier) human beings have always placed value on every day life and created currency to go with it.
Everything we enjoy in our modern life of the last hundred years was because of democracy and capitalism. Let us not be fooled it was anything else. Is it a perfect system of economics? No. It isn’t. But historically, it has done far better than the feudal systems of past.
Even modern Japan has benefited from it post WWII. I doubt you will find many contemporary Japanese longing for the days of an emperor to rule their every thought.
And so we come full circle to a few of the holdouts. North Korea? Not exactly attracting tourism. Venezuela? Not a good idea to visit. China? Without capitalism, in the last 20 years they would be nothing. It’s going to be interesting to see how they continue going.
The irony that Putin is one of the wealthiest people on the planet along with a few of his friends, but denies his own people the right to speak their minds.
Let us hope his time ends soon and the people of Russia can enjoy the fruits of democracy they should have since the fall of the Berlin Wall. ✌️
@@Tyrell_Corp2019 By definition, the black market cannot be capitalism. The whole point of capitalism is for private owners to be openly integrated in the political system. Illegal income, illegal products, does not represent private ownership because ownership isn't being backup by a canon of laws.
@@Edax_Royeaux It's not 1918 anymore and in the 1970's the american people revolted against their government and put a stop to the Vietnam war.
Your agenda to make the US look bad isn't going to work in 2022.
I remember having had a layover in Moscow back in 2014 and the people there at the airport were super rude and incompetent. Airport staff refused to speak anything but Russian, and even for people who like me continued on to other countries, there was a passport checkpoint. Took one hour to get through that check because it was staffed with only one person who kept gossiping with her colleague standing next to her and not working. It was such a blessing to then get on a JAL flight and meet with nice flight staff.
After the shooting down of MH17/MAS17 flight over Ukraine most airlines already avoided flying routes which would take them too close to Ukraine and COVID-19 severely curtailed the need to fly Europe-Japan, Europe-Chine or Europe-South East Asia so the negative impact on the rest of the world air traffic may be bearable. For the Russian industry it may be totally devastating. For already some time Russia could not offer to world aviation anything but the airspace and fuel, so their bargaining position is weak: the airspace is gone and the fuel gap will be filled by the providers which are becoming profitable again because of the rising fuel prices.
1:00 - The Tupolev Tu-154 is equivalent to the Boeing 727, not the Boeing 707. The 727 had 3 rear-mounted engines, while the 707 had 4 wing-mounted engines.
Who cares really
@@lilshrimp5781 its definitely not you
He isn't talking about apperance but their role. The Boeing 727 is smaller and shorter range than Tu-154.
@@Art_bor i agree
@N Fels well said. Russian technology is easily 3-40 years behind American/Western technology. They just buy bots to spread their lies and propaganda around the internet to make people think Russia is actually modern.
Regarding Hello Fresh: "Exactly the right quantities" is bs. We used to cook for 3 people and half of the ingredients are meant for 4 people, so you get 2x100ml of cream, but the recipe says 150ml or shit like that. Also they often pack stuff you didn't order or just fail to include stuff you ordered. Also most meals take twice as long as the recipe says, even when you're a good cook. It usually took us 3 an hour a meal. Maybe 40 minutes for a "15 minute express meal".
I don’t see how 2x100ml for 150ml is an issue lmao. But the other stuff sounds bad
Lol the ad influence is real. My favorite moment in the past few years was when Drew Gooden tried magic spoon and said it all tasted like garbage. That's all I can think of any time I see a youtuber sponsored by them
i worked at ups and the "hello fresh" products get shipped through ups alot. ive seen multiple boxes in one truck break open because of bad packaging and we had to figure what went where, but most of the time we just Throw whatever in whatever box then tape it back up cause we're on a time crunch and cant fix shitty logistical flaws from other companies LOOOL..
@@ssnful123 the issue is that then you're left with 50ml of a short shelf-life product, which was kinda the whole point of "delivering only what you need".
I've been using Hello Fresh in germany for over two years now. I love it! Of course there have been issues here and there but overall I think more than 95% of all the boxes I received were like ordered.
To be fair, GDS software was never fully functional for transfers to or from some Russian airlines. I often flew LAN to UUD bidirectionally, and while on paper bags were checked to destination, we had to claim and recheck at DMD every time including as recently as '18
this is due to the customs as you were switching international flight to domestic
That is very unlikely a problem with GDS, but more of an issue with the USA. The only time I have ever had to claim and recheck bags was arriving or departing USA with a connecting flight within USA territory.
Any other country in the world - never had an issue. Connecting through Istanbul for example, you could leave your bags in transit even up to 24 hours between flights, yet during that time you could personally leave the airport and go into the city for the day.
Back to the USA, AFAIK, it is the only country in the world where transit passengers require a visa for the USA, even if they never technically enter the country.
Quite ridiculous.
Here is the main problem with Northern Pacific’s plan: The US doesn’t have sterile international transit like most countries. Tokyo to Anchorage to London requires the passenger to get off the plane, get bags, clear US customs, check bags and check in again, go through security, and then get on a plane and have a US visa or ESTA. If you go through other airports, mainly Middle Eastern ones you don’t have to do this much work or clear customs.
From the video it looks like it’s just To/From the US without any 3rd connections, largely eliminating that problem. If flying from Tokyo to NY example, I’d think the customs would be faster in anchorage and then it’s a domestic flight after that
Maybe airlines operating at Anchorage could push to finally implement it.
"World ending meteor hitting the Earth"
Wendover : But the effects on Aviation though.
The USSR was extremely innovative. Brilliant engineers and scientists.
I'm currently almost graduating to work as an aircraft mechanic but watching wendover gets me really interested in the logistics of the aviation industry lmao. Know any jobs in the aviation industry that does logistics?
I mean if you get a degree in mathematical computation or applied statistics you can work in any industry’s logistics branch
I love how even economics defeats flat earthers
This is another top quality Wendover vid, and does a good job of informing people about the situation in Ukraine in a low-stress way while also not necessarily being just about it. It feels like the video equivalent of a parent sneaking in veggies to their kid's meal, except instead of a meal it's information about aviation and instead of veggies that are good for you it's a stressful situation that feels like living through the start of WW1 except now it might be the start of WW3.
Everyone: Ww3, pandemic, volcanos, earthquaks, astroids, armageddon???
Wendover: "Planes."
It's a measure of how amazing these planes are that you can reroute a Finnair flight around an entire continent and add only 3 more hours to the flight.
Has nothing to do with the airplane. It's because the earth is a sphere.
This guy never get bored from making aviation videos
I think he gets bored from making anything else
Most comprehensive article so far on sanctions impact. Should be on all national news networks. Lease info and Lufthansa spare parts info was insightful and significantly damaging. Good job reporting.
Why no sanctions when the US destroyed Iraq? Lybia? Syria? Vietnam?
0:51 different aviation bureaus in soviet union competed against each other just the same.
Keeping relevant on world events and aviation-related content. I see you Wendover Productions, I see you,
are you new here?
It might be difficult for Irkut to develop its MC-21 (equivalent of C-919, A-320 and B-737), but it also uses parts from other companies, so they will have to replace these foreign parts by domestically made-ones.
MS-21 has most of its critical components being domestic and electronic planning to be domestic even before the war. MS-21 is almost at the end of the development cycle as well. So I don’t see where the difficulty is when it is mostly done and parts that is critical are already domestic. And awaiting certification.
@@789know Well most are. Not all. And planes are complex machines that Can be hindered by only a few components. I am not saying they can't do it, but it will cost them in r&d
This is pretty amazing. Sounds like the people of Anchorage are gonna see a lot more business soon, at Russia's expense.
* at passenger expense.
Freight only. Passenger planes are going to the south. An Anchorage stop would significantly increase travel costs and planes now have enough range so that they can just go around to the south instead.
Not at all related to video but please make a video about the Klag Bay Airport, it’s in Alaska but only has scheduled flights to India and Bangladesh, and I can’t find anything more on it
The fact that both the Lada factory and Russia's only tank and military truck factory have both closed down due to lack of foreign-made parts suggests to me that their domestic industries are just running on fumes at best. Anything made in Russia that's not assembled from foreign parts outright is still machined using foreign tools. Now that Boeing and Airbus have both cut them off from parts, they won't be able to keep the planes they've seized running for long, and their own industries will simply not be able to make or supply their own planes either
Boeing and Airbus are products of years of consolidation and aviation experience.
Aviation is the one instance where experience and human capital really matters.
Russia gonna hilariously find it difficult tryna take advantage of this shit
russia stil have china
@@carkawalakhatulistiwa China's already shut off the flow aeroplane parts, actually, so no, they don't
@@alexv3357 Don't underestimate China's copycat industry. they can make a clone version in 3 months
@@carkawalakhatulistiwa No, I mean that China has voluntarily decided not to ship the plane parts that are able to make to Russia. Essentially a silent sanction, as it were
The pain will flow in the opposite direction, too, though not equally. Aircraft-grade titanium primarily is made in Russia, and this is very important in fuselages and wings for the most modern aircraft, and critical for all passenger jet engines.
Russia will suffer greatly in the short term, but all airlines will eventually find themselves in short supply of titanium-based parts very soon, unless other countries are able to develop the sophisticated manufacturing methods that Russia has effectively monopolized for decades.
Good thing composites are quickly replacing Titanium.
@@z987k Really? Jet engine hot chamber parts made of composites?
Do you have a source on that? I'd like to follow up.
@@RandyFortier No, not the hot sections. But the Fan sections on the newest engines are no longer titanium.
Russia is the 3rd largest producer, so it can be found elsewhere.
@@z987k No, Russia is the 3rd largest producer of titanium. They are the 1st largest producer of specifically-aircraft-grade titanium. Those are not the same.
P.S. I'm a materials scientist who worked in the aviation industry.
@@RandyFortier Rolls Royce have ceased all imports from Russia, I'd guess Australia is the main supplier now for them.
Superlative video. Very informative and well done, as always!
I think this was one of the best summaries of the Russian Aviation situation I have seen yet on TH-cam. Ergo, I am now subscribed and following Wendover daily. Good work!
It did not age well though.
This will also negatively impact aircraft leasing companies in Ireland too, since about $10 billion in planes are now effectively Russian hostages for however long this lasts.
It is a write off for them but can they weather it?
The planes will be written off. For the companies, this is just a realized country risk.
Whenever a world event happens, I am eagerly waiting for wendover productions' video on the effects it will have on aviation.
Comac has issues with foreign parts. APU is Pratt & Whitney made in Poland, just to name one major components. The Comac has been in development since the early 2000s. The wings crack and a zillion other issues have thankfully kept this death trap grounded.
Thankfully. No one wants to fly that chinese deathtrap.
China is slowly becoming a normal 21st century country, but its Maoist roots are keeping it down.
if Xi Jinping didnt demolish the countries progress, maybe it would be up to singapore level by now.
thank you for mentioning frankfurt to tokyo flight. i am japanese living in germany and struggling now what the safest, cheapest and fastest way to get to japan. i know the anchorage route because i flew that route back than. but i was a baby so cant remember. 18h sounds though but with modern planes with enternainment devices on each seat and be able to drink alcohol at my age, 18h sounds fair to me.
An incredible video, a tremendous amount of research, and a rational discussion of a terrible thing.
The currently largely dormant direct flights between East Coast US/Canada and East Asia is going to be severely affected too. For example, Cathay Pacific used to operate 3 daily JFK-HKG, all flying over Russia, especially Asia-bound. The airline has reduced the schedule to 1 per week due to COVID. And on Mar 19, CX845 JFK-HKG was rerouted to have a refueling stop at LAX, becoming JFK-LAX-HKG. Singapore Airlines' SQ23 JFK-SIN literally became an eastbound flight, flying directly east from JFK to over France, and then turn southeast to Egypt, Saudi Arabia and then over India to reach Singapore. These routes are now bumping up against the range limit of even the A350 and 787. Also, besides Northern Pacific, ME3 carriers are going to be the winner here. Not just because they are the only ones flying to Russia, but also non-stop flights between S.E. Asia and Europe now mostly are again routed over Middle East. That reduces the flight time advantage the East Asian and European carriers have over ME3 on S.E.Asia-Europe routes.
You will own nothing and you will be happy, this is just the next global step
Strange tho, as Cathay Pacific's HKG-EU flights still overfly Russian airspace since Russia has not closed airspace to HK/China airlines, but I guess the Russians or the Americans have tightened compliance over third-party flights, so maybe CX845 or SQ23 avoided overflying Russia since they had originated from JFK
@@BogdanKokkonen Actually airlines like CX and KE no longer fly over Russia. For example, if you go to flightradar24 and look at the flight path of Mar 24's CX251 HKG > LHR, it flew over China > Kazakhstan > Caspian Sea > Azerbaijan > Georgia > Turkey > Romania into EU airspace. That's the same flight path European airlines are taking in general. I think the issue is that there is a difficulty paying Russia the overflight fees since the banks are generally not willing to process such transactions. Now you only see Chinese airlines, Air India, PIA, EK, TK, QR and EY over Russian airspace (besides Russian airlines).
I've been asking for an airline like Northern Pacific for so long! I don't live in Alaska, but I've always wanted to visit and found it ridiculous that I can't make a stop at Anchorage whenever I fly somewhere in Asia from the continent despite the fact that my flight goes right over it!
This would also make Alaska attractive to US remote workers who want to live somewhere with easy and inexpensive access to Asian destinations, and find that access to be very important.
Try American. They partner with Alaska Airlines...
I am an America expat living in Thailand and man i am cheering for that startup. I won't fly chinese carriers because i don't want to be in Shanghai when the dragon and the eagle finally tango. If they connect to Seoul or Narita i hope they can be cheaper than the arm and leg the post covid transpacific flights have been. Plus, the wife wants to visit Alaska the most so its a win win win!
@@hurgcat didn’t a Chinese airliner just dive bomb into a mountain?
crazy how no one's mentioning the crazy rhyme scheme from 0:06 - 0:17 that shit was 10 seconds of straight gas
So they seized all those leased planes but at the same time demoted them to domestic flights to avoid the owners to repo. How long can they keep chopping planes for spare parts when a lot of those control surfaces systems begin to run out of hours? Being such large country will sure put some serious flight hours. Also I think the chinese planes don't use chinese engines and that's going to be hard to source out when GE, RR, and whoever makes the engine refuses to sell.
Like Iran, they will continue ignoring hour limits, fixing parts if they are broken, maybe trying to manufacture replacements locally if possible...
@Beavis & Butthurt What about the electronics?
Its funny that you think Russia is the only one impacted by the sanctions, the majority of airline manufacturers including parts, get their aluminum and especially titanium from Russia. How long until the raw metal supply chain runs dry ?
@Ben Dover Or they could just not murder people for lulz. Then, they wouldn't need to be self-sufficient. In fact they didn't even get punished for trying to murder Navalny!
@@rrmackay in this situation everybody is going to feel it in one way or another.
Was just thinking earlier today “damn, I wish Wendover would release a new video soon!” Thank you! ^^
Every single airline: "and that's why we're increasing baggage fees again"
I recently took that Detroit to Seoul flight, and I just want to say that 14 hours is the best case, my flight took a little over 16 hours because there were also strong headwinds. So add this with the time change, and My flight left at 1:00pm on a Monday and did not land in Seoul until 7:00pm Tuesday, I basically lost an entire day.
Considering that it's 1/2 around the world its still extremely quick.
Ah yes but when you fly home it only takes 30 minutes
@@kaixiang5390😂😂
2 months later the sanctions have triggered the the ruble to maximum of 8 years. Russia's trade surplus fueled to all-time highs in the first months of the year.
Inflation soars in Europe and there is talk of shortage in the consumption of fuels for next winter
How does that affect the European aviation industry?
Cope
European aviation demands Russian titanium first of all
Good. Russian aviation is a rolling disaster. I lived in Seattle and whenever an Aeroflot plane landed at SeaTac they would roll out the emergency equipment as a matter of policy. Military aggression against your neighbors has its consequences.
@CAD Thunkin No kidding, the crew could spontaneously combust on just the fumes of their breath
It was the moment you highlighted the increased travel time between London and Murmansk that my jaw dropped open. War is brutal. My summer holiday to Murmansk is cancelled.
Poor baby. A ruined vacation! The hardship
Cheers
Better to stay at home.
@@parnamsaini4751 wooosh
this channel definitely will be played in classes in the future
I love that you mentioned LH716. I was literally on it yesterday. Not to mention how much longer flights from Tokyo to Germany/Europe take now.
Great video as always!
Don’t forget that it was Soviet Russia that shot down Korean Air flight 007 (which drifted into Soviet airspace during the days of Anchorage refuelling) that led to Reagan making GPS publicly available. Can’t believe that we are talking about flying that very route in 2022.
Don’t forget it was the US Navy that shot down the Iran Air over the Persian Gulf too? Thousands of planes flew over that route everyday
@@mctavishsoap3815 USA and Russian both criminal empires both need to be destroyed along with china
@@mctavishsoap3815 In either case, flying in close proximity to conflict and restricted areas invites more risk. We can't expect military to reliably identify planes that are friendly, hostile, or neutral.
Can't those Irish leasing companies go to international courts to request the money be taken from frozen Russian foreign reserves?
Do loosers come to mafia bosses asking their stolen goods when the bosses pillage the competitors?
Which international courts?
@@Ozymandias1 The international court of Wendover
Welcome to the new World. If one country can steal other country's money the later can seize aircrafts
The laughter-fueled tear that's running down my cheek right now..
I'm more concerned about the future of trans-Eurasian and Asia-North America routes, which are en route on airspace of Siberia and Far East Russia respectively.
Looks like we're going back to Cold War-era again, trans-Eurasian routes will have a refill stop at the UAE and Asia-North America routes will go back to the "transit at Narita Airport and a refill stop at Anchorage" mode...
At least Anchorage will have a use for the massive international airport they built and opened because of the Soviet airspace policy.
china and russia were not friends in the middle and late cold war but now they very much are.
what if the russians "selectively" opened their airways to friendly nations like china.
for example, allowing air china access to russia airspace, flying from Frankford to beijing then connecting from there to Tokyo(and the reverse route too) would be faster and cheaper than any offer by european or japanese airlines that cant overfly russia. this would effectively give air china a monopoly on many europe to asia, and even asia to north america flights. and china would then pay russia the same way europeans and others use to, for the right to overfly russia.
@@mxn1948 that's exactly what they are doing - chinese and middle eastern companies are allowed to enter russian airspace