@16:33 Wolves offense is not as bad as you think, I was surprised to see them in the top 8 for goals scored this season considering the four teams they have not faced in PL so far are Spurs, Man United, Ipswich and Leicester. @18:48 I agree Everton are not THAT strong of a defence, without playing Arsenal, Chelsea, Man City, N.Forest in PL so far, they are 12th best of 20 teams for goals against in the league (BHA has one more goal against but have played much tougher offenses and 90min more than EVE).
@@FPLFran Pretty much agree, xG for Wolves are not great but I have Cunha's pts and hopefully the official FPL page does not remove bonus pts or goals scored from weeks ago LOL. Wolves offense I feel is top 10 after everyone has played each other once. Let's see how they play v Ipswich and Leicester.
gw 24 is the earliest when I want Everton defence, their fixtures are terrible even in gw20-23 with BOU(a), AVL(h), TOT(h), BHA(a). Pickford seems a good option in gw24 but still not expecting too much.
R.Lewis has Everton(h) in 18 and Leicester(a) in 19, tbh I see their xGC to be similar to Chelsea's for FUL(h), IPS(a). I own Ait-Nouri so gw17 is no issue (if no YC lol). Colwill has 16pt in his last 9 matches played, and I am excluding LIV away since that's a tough one for defence. It's not worth the transfer imo. L.Dunk is more than okay with CRY(h) if you need Gabriel cover, for instance. Brentford could easily grab one goal on Chelsea if Southampton and Leicester did.
@@FPLFran my plan is to sell Lewis in gw20 or so if the defence is average looking. I am happy to play Munoz in 19-23 every gameweek, likely my Ait-Nouri replacement.
You want A.Becker in gw21 but I'm curious as to why not gw18? Flekken has BHA(a), ARS(h) and SOU(a) from 18-20 and SOU scored against Brentford in the reverse fixture. LEI(h) with LIV as the defence then WHU(a), MUN(h) imo A.Becker could net you 13pt easily in those fixtures, Flekken would be lucky to get another assist for 3pt in BHA(a) for example lol
because I'm going for Trent first? Just because Flekken has bad games doesn't mean he's guaranteed to blank - the value of him is from saves not from CSes or assists
I think double LIV defence works starting in gw18. Gabriel and Raya are less ideal from 19-25 for example. I assume you have a FT to use in gw18. Nobody is technically guaranteed to blank, but when you keep just 1 CS in 15 gameweeks, that's rough. Happy I sold him before AVL(a).
Locked myself out of enzo with having colwill jackson palmer. Currently looking for a cheap guy to get around GW18 to downgrade mbeumo move into trent and later on maybe even flekken -> alisson that i can rotate with semenyo i like amad allot especially after him starting in that right 10 spot yesterday just showing he can also be played there so possibly more minutes if someone else plays the RWB role.
Exactly the same as me mate, I locked myself out of Enzo with Sanchez Palmer Jackson. I also have Semenyo as my other budget, so this week I went Mbuemo>Amad (before his rise on Monday). And then my plan is to move Mykolenko>Trent closer to the deadline for a combined 2ft
With Colwill/ CHE rotation, the matches are DEC 22, DEC 26, DEC 30, JAN 4 so either of those two middle games are where rotation seems likely. The "midweek" match is DEC 26 similar to when they play European games. He could miss FUL(h) and start IPS(a) who should have won v Man Utd and kept LIV, the best team in England, scoreless for the first 55min.
@@FPLFran You did not mention Chelsea's fixture four days before DEC 30 in the video which is the only midweek match played. Rotation for DEC 26 or DEC 30 is expected, Ipswich are playing better than people give credit for. FUL(h) is a much less hostile environment than IPS(a). It could happen but neither of us know.
Hey Fran, great video as always! I'm really stuck on who to sell Wissa for out of isak and Jackson. The Jackson benching against SOU worries me but also I trust Chelsea a lot more than Newcastle!
Hi Fran. I’m in a predicament, I can only get to Trent if I sell Lewis for Trent and Johnson for Enzo this week. Johnson has Southampton away but is still a good fixture. Trouble is if Gabriel doesn’t play then I may have a defender who blanks. Should I hold tight until next week and make those transfers then?
@@FPLFran funny story Fran. So I kept Johnson as he had the good fixture but I had Hall on my first bench. Praying Johnson wouldn’t come on but ended up coming on and getting booked. So could of had 15 extra points but got 0 instead 🤣. Got to love FPL
You think going from Semenyo to Enzo and Jackson to Isak is a good transfer or should I wait 1 week longer and transfer out Johnson and going for another premium defender?
Hi Fran, others are welcome to chime in too, please lmk who from Colwill-Aina-Van Hecke I should bench. Also, currently starting Semenyo over Mbeumo is that the right choice?
Hall is better this gameweek and next but CHE from gw18-20 are a lot better than NEW for CS chances. Colwill has earned 16pt in the last 9 PL matches as a defender (excluding LIV away since thats very tough for defence). Hall is not too attacking but at home against LEI then away to IPS there should be chances down the left side for Hall to exploit.
Hopefully you took my advice. Hall had chances down the flank. 0.50 xA is a huge number for a defender. Leicester defensively are on par with 2022 Leeds lol.
@@Stickman87 which user are you talking to? NEW had better CS chances in 16 and 17 and CHE are better in 18-20. Then I said "Colwill has 16pt in his last 9 PL matches excluding LIV away. Hall is not too attacking but at home against LEI then away to IPS there should be chances down the left side for Hall to exploit." I clearly picked Lewis Hall by mentioning that he is better in 16,17, along with Colwill's less than 2.0pt per match outcome over nine matches. I included that CHE defensively are better for 18-20 which remains true, definitely Hall better entry point in gw16.
Chelsea are a completely different animal this season, even slight dark horses to win the league. I'm with Fran here, Palmer is the most logical choice.
probably not but Isak is a great pick in isolation. I would give Jackson BRE(h) and see if you could start two of them if you own Mbeumo and want to downgrade soon anyway. Jackson could have 11pt and Isak 13pt seeing which defences they are playing at home.
start Welbeck seeing he has 20min played due to injury but is now clear to play v C.Palace(h). Mbeumo is the pen taker though so it's a close call. BHA xG this weekend are more then BRE for what that's worth.
Mbuemo ❌️ Cunha ❌️ Amad ✅️ Isak ✅️ Trent will have to wait until GW 18 now but I'm not too pushed about that. See Isak is the biggest priority over the next 2 weeks. Great video as usual 👌
Thx alot for ur hard work Fran! Really lots of Videos, lots of work as usual
Thank you so much as always for the support mate, really really appreciate it. Hope you have a lovely GW!
@ nothin to thank me for. Just appreciating hard work! Same to u bro
@16:33 Wolves offense is not as bad as you think, I was surprised to see them in the top 8 for goals scored this season considering the four teams they have not faced in PL so far are Spurs, Man United, Ipswich and Leicester. @18:48 I agree Everton are not THAT strong of a defence, without playing Arsenal, Chelsea, Man City, N.Forest in PL so far, they are 12th best of 20 teams for goals against in the league (BHA has one more goal against but have played much tougher offenses and 90min more than EVE).
I tend to back xG more than goals scored - and I'll stand by that. Generally agree with other points!
@@FPLFran Pretty much agree, xG for Wolves are not great but I have Cunha's pts and hopefully the official FPL page does not remove bonus pts or goals scored from weeks ago LOL. Wolves offense I feel is top 10 after everyone has played each other once. Let's see how they play v Ipswich and Leicester.
Thanks!
thank you so much Brian! really appreciate the support. have a lovely weekeend!
Appreciate the new graphics!
gw 24 is the earliest when I want Everton defence, their fixtures are terrible even in gw20-23 with BOU(a), AVL(h), TOT(h), BHA(a). Pickford seems a good option in gw24 but still not expecting too much.
pretty much agree
R.Lewis has Everton(h) in 18 and Leicester(a) in 19, tbh I see their xGC to be similar to Chelsea's for FUL(h), IPS(a). I own Ait-Nouri so gw17 is no issue (if no YC lol). Colwill has 16pt in his last 9 matches played, and I am excluding LIV away since that's a tough one for defence. It's not worth the transfer imo. L.Dunk is more than okay with CRY(h) if you need Gabriel cover, for instance. Brentford could easily grab one goal on Chelsea if Southampton and Leicester did.
It's more that I'll play a ton of Colwill over the run and I am not sure if Rico's mins are guaranteed if 4 CBs are back
@@FPLFran my plan is to sell Lewis in gw20 or so if the defence is average looking. I am happy to play Munoz in 19-23 every gameweek, likely my Ait-Nouri replacement.
Looking forward to your full analysis of the mystery chip how it interacts with other chips and what strategies might be optimal
aye!
Dont forget Fulham have defensive iasues this week. I was on Palmer, but am now waivering due to this.
yeah and I think much of that was also expected pre the Arsenal game. Totally fair point though with Bassey suspended
You want A.Becker in gw21 but I'm curious as to why not gw18? Flekken has BHA(a), ARS(h) and SOU(a) from 18-20 and SOU scored against Brentford in the reverse fixture. LEI(h) with LIV as the defence then WHU(a), MUN(h) imo A.Becker could net you 13pt easily in those fixtures, Flekken would be lucky to get another assist for 3pt in BHA(a) for example lol
because I'm going for Trent first? Just because Flekken has bad games doesn't mean he's guaranteed to blank - the value of him is from saves not from CSes or assists
I think double LIV defence works starting in gw18. Gabriel and Raya are less ideal from 19-25 for example. I assume you have a FT to use in gw18. Nobody is technically guaranteed to blank, but when you keep just 1 CS in 15 gameweeks, that's rough. Happy I sold him before AVL(a).
Which one do I do? 1)Mbeumo to semenyo (6.1M or under) & Lewis to VVD Or 2)Mbeumo to enzo (5.5M or under) & Lewis to Trent/VVD
Enzo and Trent imo and if you were to get vvd I'd go for iwobi
do this on gw18 imo
Locked myself out of enzo with having colwill jackson palmer. Currently looking for a cheap guy to get around GW18 to downgrade mbeumo move into trent and later on maybe even flekken -> alisson that i can rotate with semenyo i like amad allot especially after him starting in that right 10 spot yesterday just showing he can also be played there so possibly more minutes if someone else plays the RWB role.
Exactly the same as me mate, I locked myself out of Enzo with Sanchez Palmer Jackson. I also have Semenyo as my other budget, so this week I went Mbuemo>Amad (before his rise on Monday). And then my plan is to move Mykolenko>Trent closer to the deadline for a combined 2ft
Iwobi/Eze look really nice as Mbuemo replacement from GW17-19 depending on when you need to move!
Enso isn’t going to ruin your rank. Rogers is good enough to cover him
I don't think Enzo will continue his point streak forever, you are fine.
Exactly, it's just for a moment @@Cedisdead
With Colwill/ CHE rotation, the matches are DEC 22, DEC 26, DEC 30, JAN 4 so either of those two middle games are where rotation seems likely. The "midweek" match is DEC 26 similar to when they play European games. He could miss FUL(h) and start IPS(a) who should have won v Man Utd and kept LIV, the best team in England, scoreless for the first 55min.
yeah that's not how it works imo. you're not going to bench your best defensive cb player for the tough game (fulham).
@@FPLFran You did not mention Chelsea's fixture four days before DEC 30 in the video which is the only midweek match played. Rotation for DEC 26 or DEC 30 is expected, Ipswich are playing better than people give credit for. FUL(h) is a much less hostile environment than IPS(a). It could happen but neither of us know.
Shd i do lewis and mbeumo to taa and enzo/iwobi or lewis to colwill and roll the other transfer?
I'd go trent if I could in 2fts
Hey Fran, great video as always! I'm really stuck on who to sell Wissa for out of isak and Jackson. The Jackson benching against SOU worries me but also I trust Chelsea a lot more than Newcastle!
if you haven't sold already I'd prob just sell 18 after the home game. Wood is fine?
Good team on paper but I do think alot of teams have good teams this week. All of my players have good fixtures at home bar flekken.
yeah that's true - but then again an Isak vs a Cunha isn't exactly close even though they're both good games
Thank you Fran! Would you rather bring in Colwil or Hall this week
colwill
I have the exact money to go Henderson to the Liverpool keeper. However my bench is really weak with Greaves Harwood and Dibling. What would you do?
I'd roll. Hendo is an easy own until closer to the double
Hey! Could you make a draft for a final GW19 WC for those with the chip still available? Would be interesting to hear your thoughts
will do :)
Hi Fran.
I’m in a predicament, I can only get to Trent if I sell Lewis for Trent and Johnson for Enzo this week. Johnson has Southampton away but is still a good fixture. Trouble is if Gabriel doesn’t play then I may have a defender who blanks.
Should I hold tight until next week and make those transfers then?
sorry I missed this - hope you rolled?
@@FPLFran funny story Fran. So I kept Johnson as he had the good fixture but I had Hall on my first bench. Praying Johnson wouldn’t come on but ended up coming on and getting booked. So could of had 15 extra points but got 0 instead 🤣. Got to love FPL
That team value is disgusting!! Nice work
Hi Fran. Start rogers or Bruno. Start ait nouri or colwill. Need help on these 2 decisions. Love cobtent
bruno + nouri
I have gvardiol aswell
Is a liverpool defender necessary this week ?
Or should I just roll till gw 18 ?
if you have more fts than me, you can go there. Waiting till 18 also more than acceptable
You think going from Semenyo to Enzo and Jackson to Isak is a good transfer or should I wait 1 week longer and transfer out Johnson and going for another premium defender?
Those are both sideways moves and def not worth two FT imo.
I wouldn't do that at all - great home fix for the outgoing two players. can do it next
That's your Capt for gw16?it's confirmed?
aye
Do I take a -4 to get Enzo in before a price rise? Colwill to Hall/Arnold, Mbeumo/Rogers to Enzo?
Dont
imo no
I've got Flekken and Muric, who would you say would do better GW16?
Muric for me
What are the best teams to target to replace Wolves past GW18?
crystal palace, still chelsea. (and ofc liverpool if you can afford)
Fran do you think Amad is a good pick if I can’t get Enzo? ( 3 Chelsea players already)
easily
You’re a legend
thank you !
Hi Fran, others are welcome to chime in too, please lmk who from Colwill-Aina-Van Hecke I should bench. Also, currently starting Semenyo over Mbeumo is that the right choice?
aina imo. right choice re: semenyo
@@FPLFran Ended up benching Van Hecke who's frustrated recently. Tired Villa for Aina, looks cagey so far we'll see
Would you rather bench pedro porro, or Gabriel/Timber
porro
Fran, would you play Ait-Nouri or Gomez this week?
ait
Who's "the cartel"
I couldn't tell you lol
Need to bring in a defender this week, torn between Hall and Colwill.
Hall is better this gameweek and next but CHE from gw18-20 are a lot better than NEW for CS chances. Colwill has earned 16pt in the last 9 PL matches as a defender (excluding LIV away since thats very tough for defence). Hall is not too attacking but at home against LEI then away to IPS there should be chances down the left side for Hall to exploit.
I'd still go colwill for the overall run, but if you can rotate more - hall.
Hopefully you took my advice. Hall had chances down the flank. 0.50 xA is a huge number for a defender. Leicester defensively are on par with 2022 Leeds lol.
@@MDot97 to be honest, I couldn’t figure out what your advice was, you seemed to recommend both.
@@Stickman87 which user are you talking to? NEW had better CS chances in 16 and 17 and CHE are better in 18-20. Then I said "Colwill has 16pt in his last 9 PL matches excluding LIV away. Hall is not too attacking but at home against LEI then away to IPS there should be chances down the left side for Hall to exploit." I clearly picked Lewis Hall by mentioning that he is better in 16,17, along with Colwill's less than 2.0pt per match outcome over nine matches. I included that CHE defensively are better for 18-20 which remains true, definitely Hall better entry point in gw16.
Brentford got the double over Chelsea last season Fran, Salah captain for me. Great video and good luck this week
Chelsea are a completely different animal this season, even slight dark horses to win the league. I'm with Fran here, Palmer is the most logical choice.
I saw that game but yeah I agree different teams. I don't pay much to historicals because of this
Lewis to Trent, Fernandes ti Enzo and Wood to Jackson for -4?
I don't mind that at all
I have Gabriel, Timber, Trent and ait nori. Who would you bench between these defenders. thanks keep up with your amazing content
Ait nouri I'd say.
Yes hi Fran 🎉
helloooo
@FPLFran let's go Live Fran🔥🔥
Is Van Djik to Trent an upgrade??
yees but total luxury.
Should I sell Jackson for isak
No
probably not but Isak is a great pick in isolation. I would give Jackson BRE(h) and see if you could start two of them if you own Mbeumo and want to downgrade soon anyway. Jackson could have 11pt and Isak 13pt seeing which defences they are playing at home.
think it's a better move this gw (17)
MBUEMO or wellbeck to start I actually can’t choose
start Welbeck seeing he has 20min played due to injury but is now clear to play v C.Palace(h). Mbeumo is the pen taker though so it's a close call. BHA xG this weekend are more then BRE for what that's worth.
mbeumo always perform vs chelsea.
mbeumo
Are you not concerned you don’t have Liverpool defense when everyone is going for TAA/VVD?
not really, can't have them all always
Porro to hall, and then solanke to Isak?
if both on this gw, yes
not worrried about trent minutes? or being rested in the easier games, especially when we have no idea about gabriel still
I'm not - think he'll get rested in a game like the carabao cup.
How come everyone is sleeping on the fact both Fulham CBS are out
their fullbacks are still decent defenders imo but yes that's a huge hit
@FPLFran yea everyone seems to b captain Palmer but I am not so sure considering fulhams lack of players
Like no. 200 ❤
thank you so much!
❤
A transfer strategy around Everton players lol..really? Who’s worth buying?
around 24 - they play LEI(H). So you probably want 1-2
First like, and first comment
Can I be the first to tell you nobody cares
@Coopek4 Mind your own business and go cry somewhere else!
@@Coopek4 Mind your own business and go cry somewhere else!
@@Coopek4 go cry somewhere else!
thank you bro!
I like the yoyo word
ayee
mbuemo brace against chelsea.
hope so!
Mbuemo ❌️
Cunha ❌️
Amad ✅️
Isak ✅️
Trent will have to wait until GW 18 now but I'm not too pushed about that. See Isak is the biggest priority over the next 2 weeks. Great video as usual 👌
Would you go Jackson to Isak and enzo to rogers for -4?
nopee
@ what about Jackson out isak in for free?