I am shocked by how many people oppose the idea that these were very highly trained commandos. I used to serve in Sayeret Shaldag (pretty high up there in specops rankings) and we lost 20 men within a few minutes. This is unprecedented quality from Hamas and we'd only be doing ourselves harm by failing to evaluate it correctly.
@@BassMatt1972i think you are missing something here, their population doubled in the last 10-15 years, so it doesn't seem they had it that bad. I think from now on they will be treated like animals, because they showed they are, sorry to inform you but only now you'll understand what occupation actually is and means.
US leaders talk about them as “animals”, ”barbarians”, et cetera. It’s perfect for the terrorist groups … to lower expectations and result in ill-preparedness on the defenders part. US Leadership are idiots, is what I’m saying.
@@BassMatt1972 Israel has attempted to negotiate numerous times and has been rebuffed at every attempt. As a matter of fact, it is part of the HAMAS charter to refuse to negotiate. Instead, they not only call for the demise of every Israeli, but every Jew worldwide. It's difficult to negotiate with a party when their first negotiating point is your elimination from existence. If Israel were to lay down there arms tomorrow, every Israeli citizen would be eliminated. If HAMAS were to lay down there arms tomorrow, there would be peace.
@@pepelemoko01that is exactly what makes me think this whole thing is just a big trap and israel is being stupid by invading - cause that might be just what hamas wants.
Hello Ryan, I'm an Arab and can confidently say that "Tafawed" means to negotiate as in to use the hostages either for ransom or for other leverages, hence why Hamas kept threatening if that Israel bombed Gaza they would kill hostages. The word negotiate in Arabic doesn't have many uses other than the fundamental one.
Shows how delusio al they are, noone will be negotiating after such massacre, if they struck only military then took hostages without harming them then they could have actually achieved something, bur as it is they gave Israel free pass to do whatever they want, some might complain but overall most people will just look the other way while IDF "solves" the situation...
@@Asghaad That’s with hindsight, they probably weren’t expecting to kill that many civilians given their preparation for Israeli retaliation (in Isreal) and the media has been less vocal about the ongoing situation of the hostages so it could also be a perception thing.
@@AsghaadShows how delusional YOU are. Hostage rescue is a key objective of all Israeli operations. Only fools think they never negotiated and always went in "Cowboy-Joe", even if the PR tries to cover it up to discourage hostage taking.
@@howardchambers9679 i dont think they expected this, they thought it would be like before with israelis fighting with one hand tied behind theyr back ... Instead they are getting scorched earth response with no regard to civilian casualties... Kinda hard to hide behind human shields when the oponent no longer cares about them ...
About the 20 armed residents mentioned, every Kibbutz near the borders has a group of armed residents to swiftly respond to events like this. In 2 kibbutzim they prevented casualties entirely.
this happened because israel didnt listen when the women watches told then something was happening and didnt take what spy agencies told them serious and yes there were trained by iran but how good is that who know peoplw said russia had a great army before but not now
Repeater and Simplex refer to the method of broadcasting a signal. Simplex is radio to radio direct, Repeater mode is a radio going into a device on one frequency, and after the signal is boosted, broadcasting out on another. Not such a simple thing to do, because the antennas and repeater devices , have to be pre- installed in a fairly close proximity, depending on frequency. Takes some engineering. Great work Ryan!
Was going to comment something similar. Simplex is radio to radio, often short range. Repeaters will receive a transmission from a radio, often convert it to a different frequency/encoding, transmit it over a longer distance to a second repeater that decodes and retransmits to the receiving radio. We use both in the fire service. Simplex for our fire ground operations all within a 500m of each other and repeater for talking to dispatch 90km away.
Simplex means they are using standard UHFrequency, they are probably using off the shelf items with ranges about 1-2km, repeaters will receive then transmit at a much higher power so far larger range. In Australia repeater use is regulated and reasonably common on large rural worksites.
Simplex has only one frequency therefor cannot receive and transmit at the same time. If repeater just boosts the signal power the transmitter will saturate the receiver. A simplex repeater records a short burst of incoming and then re-transmits on the same frequency. A true repeater is only possible on Duplex radios i.e. pair of frequencies one for Tx and one for Rx. The repeater receives on one frequency, boosts and retransmits on the other frequency. The end radios have to be matched i.e. they have the same Tx frequency and Rx frequency. With an unrepeated duplex system one radios Tx frequency is the other radios Rx frequency. The duplex repeater would be on a tower or on a vehicle that could remain on a high point throughout the operation. I suspect an FM/TV tower or a cellphone tower inside Palestine.
@@fuzzy9294 Full-duplex voice repeaters in the UHF band can fit in standard portable equipment box. (Look up GMRS repeater) Just add power and an antenna. "Listen and retransmit" is usually limited to data.
Your work was already top-notch, but since going full-time, it's been some seriously next-level stuff. Thanks again for what you do. Knowledge truly is power, and you're empowering so many people to view difficult topics with the knowledge and nuance befitting them.
I am already a Patreon member [edit: Substack] but you deserve a bonus, my friend. The work that you and the translators have done is profoundly illuminating, if not shocking. My sense is that operations orders this standardized, detailed, and lengthy can only be generated by Hamas themselves, not imposed from the outside. Clearly, Hamas have learned to create and use lengthy, detailed op orders from someone else, but they have become comfortable with them. This reliance upon detailed planning transformed into a standardized military written framework indicates professionalization developed over time. Some might say that this op order would be nothing special for a professional military but that is precisely my point. This was how Hamas chose to organize their attack.
HAMAS didn't make these orders. It was almost entirely most likely an Iranian Quds Force officer. This is literally their bread and butter. They train insurgents and then take on the roles of advisors in command and control and it often comes with drafting such documents and adding some structure and a semblance of discipline and professionalism. The fact that they were even able to smuggle all of this military gear into Gaza says that they had powerful help beyond what a band of insurgents could scrounge up.
You are gullible beyond belief. At no point was it proved that the documents were not in fact, disinformation originating in Israel's Mossad. This is the most likely scenario.
I disagree with your conclusion that this is (solely) the work of Hamas itself. As far as I'm aware, this is a _major_ leap in sophistication from Hamas - so where did they get that knowledge? At the very least, someone taught them, or, created it for them. Secondly, while they were suddenly sophisticated in their attack planning, they also failed to prevent/prohibit those documents here (marked 'top secret') from being taken along (which, as I understand it, is _not_ what you're supposed to do) and predictably found by the Israeli. That sounds to me like rather they were given plans made by outside operatives (most likely Iranian) and showed some incompetence in ultimately mishandling sensitive information. (Or alternatively, these documents were meant to be found for some reason.)
@@mnxs You are correct up to the point of saying that the plans were from Iran. More likely the documents are disinformation supplied the the Israeli Mossad.
I really admire the amount of research you put into everything you talk about. I wish more people would inform themselves just a fraction of what you do. I hope this reaches more people. Keep doing your thing, you're great at it!
This video is an eye opener to those of us who have never been in the military. I knew there had to be a detailed level of planning but never had seen anything. To see this level of detail in Hamas' hands is troubling and reinforces the idea that they are getting significant external support.
@@cisarovnajosefina4525 bibi is been selling weapon to India and getting involved in isi business. So my money is on them and nobody will say anything.
@@besam Egypt is also fighting Hamas. Palestine has few friends right now and the few they have can't do shit because the US will curb stomp them if they do. The UN members who matter are going to turn a blind eye to the war crimes Israel is about to commit. Americans were taken and killed by Hamas, so I really don't give a fuck what Israel does at this point. Time to swap the boxing gloves for steel gauntlets.
Thank you Ryan. I'm not a fan of the media's love of parading grieving relatives in front of a camera but your comments on the dead officer and his family was powerful and humane.
Incredible work and efforts, Ryan. Your open-source intelligence analysis is unparalleled. Appreciate your note at the end. Sending love to all impacted by violence, hate, and death. May peace prevail soon.
Meh, peace is a slow genocide. I say we move the isrealis to somewhere uninhabited... Alaska, America can give them Alaska, and give Palestine back to people with dark skin who obviously belong there. We only put jews in Isreal so we could cause this sort of chaos and keep the region in check
This is an amazing amount of detail. This was a very well planned attack and the militants were grossly underestimated. The fact that they had these levels of detail and planning means they were ready for an extremely difficult assault.
This wasn't a hamas plan, this is way to complicated for them, but we do know that Russia was involved in planning and Iran in supplying weapons and equipment.
The fact that Isrealis intelligence missed this... How come no one is asking that question? Asking about who was in charge of watching Gaza? They fell asleep at their post. They did t spot the iceberg. Don't tell me, no one tasked with watching Gaza..that is even worse.
@@JoaoSoares-rs6ec Much more likelys that Israel's government planed that or the USA to use Hamas as a tool (just like they use the Ukrainians) than Russia having anything to do with that. In contrary to Israel and even more the USA, neither Russia nor China are known for such things at all. Hell, when it comes to Hamas, Israel's government had its bloody claws in its whole creation and rise.
Ukrainian here (although a civilian). There's an interview with a Ukrainian SPG operator called 10 тупих запитань навіднику СаПоГа (10 stupid questions to an SPG operator). As far as I understand, it is basically useless against armor and is mostly utilized as a mortar against enemy infantry.
Recoiless Rifles have also made a pretty heavy comeback with Western forces too. The Carl Gustav being the thing. SAAB has been rolling out all sorts of modern munitions for the system. It's not theoretically an anti-tank weapon, but it has been used in that role in Ukraine, especially before the whole thing ground to trench warfare and it has been effective even against MBTs even without specialized ammunition, and it will absolutely wreck stuff like BTRs.
far cheaper to make CG rounds too than javelin. Yeah, not exactly apples to oranges, butt CG definitely give infantry a better reach and options. Small anti-personnel drones are gonna be way scary for infantry.
@@bocadelcieloplaya3852 Doesn't Charlie G have an area defense round that yeets like 1000 flechettes with a pretty decent spread? Might be quite effective against drones.
Yeah I remember seeing CG used by Ukrainian territorial defense around Kyiv early in the war there. Haven't heard as much about it recently, but I'm sure that they are still in use.
The SPG-9 fires the same projectiles(but not rounds) as the BMP-1. They're nothing like 80 years old and are still very dangerous to modern MBTs othrr than frontally.
You have peered through all the news flying around, found the data and analyzed it. World-class presentation that exceeds most I have seen on similar subjects and intent. Viewers around the world have data they can actually use; and believe.
Keep in mind that this guy has been predicting the demise of the Russians for a year and a half now. Since June he's been talking about Ukrainian 'shaping operations'. Meanwhile it appears that the Russians are slowly grinding the Ukraine into dust. Now he's got exclusive intel on Iran with operational plans no less. If a civilian had such a thing in their possession and were making videos about I'm fairly certain it would have attracted the attention of the those inquisitive fellows at the FBI.
12:52 HAM radio person here, "Repeater" is not a brand, it's a piece of equipment that allows for Duplex communication between Simplex radios. Basically, "Simplex" means only one person can talk at a time as there's only one frequency in use, think basic walkie talkies. Duplex uses two frequencies to allow multiple people to talk at the same time. There's an uplink channel and a downlink channel. You broadcast your message on the uplink, then the repeater, doing what it says on the tin, repeats your message with more power on the downlink frequency. It's a basic piece of radio equipment and HAM radio enthusiasts use them all the time. There is 100% a repeater in your town, no matter where you live.
Excellent work. Brilliant use of the LES at the end, it brought the horror of the whole thing sharply into focus, at least for me. Try to get some rest :)
As a comms- repeater and simplex refers to radio communication simplex means same frequency to talk and hear on (transmit and recieve) while repeater (repter likely a typo) means you talk on one frequency and listen on another. Example is 144.000 talk and 144.600 is listen. Repeaters are used to extend the range or to bypass line of sight obstructions for radio communications. So far it fails to mention if this was for observation, jamming, or in theater communication.
The fact that the Iranian government/military had such a big hand in planning all this makes the Israeli/Western intelligence failure all the more concerning. Apparently Egypt caught wind of this a few days before it happened and passed what they knew on to Israel, but alas. Heart goes out to all those trapped in this tragic conflict.
Hamas has been planning this for years based on the quality of the operation order. And to have this as a printed handout is next level. Thanks for getting it translated!
I think the most likely explanation for the “speed cameras” is that it’s a colloquial term for an outdoor surveillance camera in a box on a pole, just like “jeep” is a generic reference to offroad vehicles.
Jeep is generic name for that in most of europe, just like gillette is for safety razors, there's tonnes of such coloquialisms, i believe even more than in the us due to thevwhole another level of branding and protecting it.
I actually corrected this, speed ER are actually surveillance cameras. Not speed cameras. I actually forgot to change this in the TH-cam video but I corrected it in the Substack video. That’s the problem with having two different videos.
This guy's method of operation and analysis is why he's my go-to guy when I want to double/triple-check ''shocking'' news and its source. My skepticism triggers immediately when an article is deliberately trying to make me angry
I always finding myself going between you and S2 Underground when trying to find accurate and mostly unbiased information on conflicts around the world, thank you!
1. I used to live in the area. I've been to Mefalsim and I've traveled on highways 3 (far) and 232 (very close) 2. This is a 100% civilian target. The town had never had any clashes with Hamas except as conscripts. They voted for traditionally center left parties. Highway 50 is in Jerusalem. I don't know what they were talking about there.
Ryan, so have said on a number of occasions that you should give you enemy a dilemma and not a problem I think that Hamas' attrocity has created a dilemma for both Israel and the Arab world and was purposely made to prevent the Israel-Saudi recognition Any Israeli retaliation will create many deaths in Gaza and we are already seeing demonstrations supporting Palestinians and condemning Israel even before they take any real actions The Arab states are sitting in the sidelines in an embarrased silence wishing it would all just go away Only Iran is cheering it on The right wing Israeli government that has been in power for the last several years has to take the blame for allowing the attrocity to occur in the first place and then being unable to protect its citizens. If a government cannot protect its own citizens then it deserves to be replaced Finally the Arab states need to show some leadership and recognize Israel and help to produce a peaceful solution. Certainly their petro dollars would improve the lot of the Palestinians rather than them spending it on skyscrapers and foreign properties
@@leighz1962 "falsely imprisoned" Please explain? They exist within their own borders. A country they have tried to wipe out repeatedly owes them NOTHING. Are you saying there should be no consequences for declaring war on Israel and all Jews in 1948, 1968, or any of the others? Actions have consequences. North Koreans deserve more sympathy. American Indians deserver more sympathy. Stray dogs deserve more sympathy.
Thank you for the time and effort Ryan. These videos can't be easy to make. You are helping to keep us informed & aware. Keep up this necessary work, help keep us an informed and educated electorate!
Ryan, I was a Tanker for 10 years served in 3rd Bde 2ID 88-89 as the NCOIC of the Bde Tac. First this was a well out together explanation. You are spot on that the level of planning and execution of this was professional. The timing of execution coordinated. In order to do this it had to be walked though much like we would a terrain board. The planning and practice for this had to be done further away from local surveillance, but where?
back in the day osama had plenty of camps in afghanistan, saudis, possibly pakistan. so lot of places they could have.could even be same places ISIS used to train.
This took a lot out of you. You certainly put an excessive amount of time and hard mental labour into this report which was incredibly interesting; thank you. I've come across men like you before, you're a rare breed.
Hamas and Hezbollah have been at this sort of thing for decades. There's no reason to assume they are any less proficient than anyone else. Evil as Hamas are, they've got around 30k fighters and nothing to do all day but train.
Well that's not really what happened, because let's remember the Israelis agreed to a division of Palestine as proposed by the UN in 1948 and the Arabs didn't. But even if your description were accurate, that doesn't excuse beheading kids. @@CraigTheBrute-yf7no
@@stewartjohnson5053 thats exactly what happened. Actually it was far far more horrific than that, but I had to summarize. The fake Hasbara propaganda about the forty (40) beheaded babies has already been debunked, by none other than the Israeli defence ministry itself.
@stewartjohnson5053 that story is 1000000% false... stop repeating that disgusting made up propaganda, there is real tragedies taking place no need to push this nonsense
Hey Ryan, just to let you know... Recoilless rifles are a big thing in modern militaries. They provide reloadable platforms that have been constantly upgraded since their introduction. They now have anti-armor and multiple specialized anti-personnel rounds. They can provide both direct and indirect fire support. They have been used heavily in the Ukrainian war. They are no longer just a fire and boooom weapon, though sometimes they are still used as such.
The Carl Gustav is used in US military today. From what I am seeing on Wikipedia it is more of a special forces weapon which would explain why Ryan didn't run into it. Here's a relevant paragraph from wikipedia "The M3 Multi-Role Anti-Armor Anti-Personnel Weapon System is the U.S. military designation for the Carl-Gustaf M3 recoilless rifle. It is primarily used by United States Special Operations Command such as the Army Rangers, Army Special Forces, Marine Raiders, Navy SEALs, and JSOC operators. When used by the U.S. Army's 75th Ranger Regiment, the M3 is known as the Ranger Anti-tank Weapons System (RAWS).[citation needed]"
although in terms of terror this was a terrorist attack, the way this is moving is much more like the start of a grand conflict. this is grossly detailed. and the expectation of no return is telling.
While provoking a disproportionate(*) Israeli response seems to have been one goal of the attacks, I find it hard to believe Hamas didn't have a plan after the ground offensive starts. I hope the next days prove me wrong, but I see the possibility that a Gaza offensive won't be possible without setbacks for Israel. (*)Vlad Vexler addressed the adequateness of a response by strictly observing the difference between "combatants" (he means militants) and non-combatants; Hamas tries to kill civilians, the IDF does not try to kill civilians. The problem is that any response that does not actively try NOT to kill civilians will accept a high number of civilian casualties, and thus be disproportionate. Even in Gaza, the number of Hamas militants is only 2% out of 2 million people.
Thank you for this. Well presented, informative and I feel smarter about how stuff works. I’m here because @Mercado Media told his community about your channel. What I like about your channel is you are a realist without being heartless.
Really interesting learning about how operations are planned and how (much more) sophisticated hamas is compared to what we’re led to believe by mainstream media. The knowledge, experience, and effort required to make this video is commendable. Thank you, Ryan.
Technical advice: The audio quality suffers extremely from the strong different volumes during your video - it could either be a bad setup on a gate that causes this or something that can be solved using a simple audio compressor, which usually is implemented in your audio hardware anyways. With very little effort, you can improve the audio quality there A LOT. (Your expertise on what is happening in Israel right now is excellent though. The audio flaws just make it harder to follow for a non-native speaker)
Actually, to my ears at least, it sounds like it's got overly aggressive compression. Like, almost limited rather than compressed. As soon as Ryan speaks louder, there's a sudden drop in volume with a corresponding reduction of background hiss. It's very aggressive, high rate compression followed by a less aggressive roll off back to regular levels. I think he had a decent enough mic, just needs to adjust the compression, set a max level and boost the quieter parts rather than insta-crush the range every time he speaks loudly. (Tl:Dr - just run the audio through a default make-everything-level filter and sorry about the essay I've written)
The semplex in your translation may be simplex which is what we refer to when we talk about a single channel walkie-talkie to another single channel walkie-talkie. If you involve a repeater that is what we call duplex you transmit on one frequency and receive on a second frequency. I’m not sure if all the time but most of the time you need what’s called a PL tone to activate the receiver to be able to transmit on it if you have a walkie-talkie with duplex capability, you can talk directly walkie-talkie to walkie-talkie also but you need to switch to what is called a talk around frequency without a PL tone. This is how most civilian band and public safety frequencies work. It is possible that they are using a man in the loop on Symplex frequencies to be a manual spoken repeater.
I can confirm from my old Army exchange tour days, that 'TV mine' is the common Arab informal term for a Claymore-type mine, especially when in an inert state with its ground prongs extended. Great video, superbly well researched and produced. And yes, our total abhorrence for their actions and cause should not blind us from a detached, rational assessment of their skills and preparation - extremely well prepared, trained and planned.
Yup. Spot on. For the television mine. It's another name for a homemade claymore mine design. The idea it is designed in a concave design with the explosive charge points towards the enemy. According to my research.
Yes, it makes me quite worried about the ground offensive. They will likely have the same level of planning for the ambushes. IDF will have no choice to treat anyone in the battlespace as a combatant.
Wow... I am almost at a loss for words, Ryan. This was clearly planned for a decent amount of time. The ending is the best part, but only because you give a solemn reminder that there is a human cost AND consequence to all of this behind every body. That man's three children, what do you think they'll grow up fighting for???
From interviews with survivors it seems that Israeli armour on the Gaza border had little or no infantry support. This allowed Hamas fighters to throw explosives under the tanks disabling them. Some crew remained inside and survived although they were combat ineffective, others bailed out and were killed.
Very interesting. As you pointed out, planning for this operation obviously involved some highly skilled surveillance operatives. Years of preparation went in to this.
Thank you Ryan for taking the risk to jump over to the TH-cam ecosystem to inform everyone on current events (especially at what is a tumultuous time for the TH-cam ecosystem) I personally appreciate your candor and the respect you show for human life. Brining us facts, not opinions, and just laying it out on the table and not trying to promote narratives, or guide anyone's views. It's refreshing, and your content is very informative. Cheers. Have a nice day. From SW VA here, next time I make it out to VA Beach, I'll be happy to buy you a beer
LOVE your stuff Ryan.... could I make a production suggestion? It doesn't seem like you are using a "professional" microphone. This would do several things in your recording. 1) help to kill some of the echo in your rooms 2) maybe help with the high end of some of your volume. Although that will really need more software control . Often your first word(s) are much louder than the rest and at least on my computer is very strong. I hope you would look into it so you can keep producing fantastic videos
Recoilless rifles have never gone away, the the 84mm Carl Gustav is still in service with most western nations, including the USA, Canada and UK. The AT-4 you might be familiar with is actually a disposable smoothbore recoilless gun. Repeaters are radios set up at a point to repeat signals, thereby extending the range of radios. There's a lot of focus on comms, giving their commandos landline numbers to commanders as an additional avenue is clever, wherever they're attacking is sure to have a phone. I wonder if this individual had this document on them specifically for the phone number reference table.
Simplex is comms between radios, repeater is just that, recs a transmission and repeats that transmission, usually to a greater area as they usually have more power or height. i cant help but think that although well planned it wasnt practiced for ops security, which might explain why IDF may hav not been aware of operation. Terrorists didnt know until they were called to attack which might explain why they had operational orders with them in the battlespace. I dunno... Your amazing Ryan. Detailed and organized and presentation is Outstanding!
12:43 --- "repeater," and "Symplex" are English terms for kinds of radio technology. If those terms are transliterated, that means they're just using the English words in their language. Symplex means the same frequency is used for both transmit and receive. Therefore only one person can talk at a time thus "Symplex" also, you are range-limited to how far your radio can transmit Repeater means transmitter and receiver on different channels, meaning, as long as your radio can hit a repeater, a powerful repeater can broadcast to a much larger area
FYI, all Jewish border towns have a volunteer civilian rapid response team, usually armed with m16s and made up of army veterans. This is what they are referring to in the document, not private security.
Thanks for making this Ryan. These are clearly professionals and not ragtag teams. They've learned from their experiences and maybe from the experiences of other militaries in the region.
I daresay that I am not the only one who views this info to arrive at the same conclusion: a document of this level of quality and professionalism speaks to the obvious, that some State Actor stands behind the operations of Hamas. Now, the question that begs here is which State Actor or Actors are the facilitators behind the ability of Hamas to continue to operate. All those missiles are very expensive, there is the issue of uniforms, hand weapons, logistics (including tunnel building) vehicles, and so on. The extent of an operation pretty well indicates the financial capabilities involved. Clearly, we have a previous history of Iran involvement and a good guess would include this time as well. Now, one has to wonder if the Russians may have had a hand in this. This is not the stuff of simple paranoia, consider: The Russians are in trouble in their ill-fated invasion of Ukraine, they know that Western support (especially American support). They also know that American manufacturing provides the very deep pockets needed to provide Ukraine all of the military equipment and logistics needed for their continued resistance. The key issue here is although we have clearly increased the production goals of all of our military material, we have limits on how much and how soon. Israel will need significant amounts of replacement material, as we would expect. The question here has to be how much will this redirection affect Ukraine and our own continued long-term security?
I'm taking the supposed origin of this "document" with a huge grain of salt. Netanyahu & his far right coalition have been chomping at the bit to annex all remaining Palestinian territory as well as starting a war with Iran. This attack & supposed Iranian involvement conveniently gives them the green light to carry out both.
The tunnels are constantly being created by Gazans because that's how they bring in items that the Israelis restrict like non-essential foods, refrigerators, AC units, construction materials fuel and so on.
@@jacqdanieles I doubt it. Israel isn't in a position to war with Iran; even if they shared a mutual border the demographics of Israel wouldn't let them do anything more then go in and make a mess.
Well, Russia and Iran both have interest and power. Russia gives arms and are active in Syria and Lebanon and it is America ie the West against Russia, China, Iran and Arab block. That is why the West is speaking up.
@@zaco-km3su Russia has interest in the Middle East and are in control of Syria which is why we were too cowardly to speak up againt the war in Ukraine (shame on us). Russia, Iran and China are on 'one side'. I won't pretend to know anything deep about arms deals but Russia and Iran want and have power in the Middle East and the US has Israel as its stable alay.
My only questions is what was the average age of the militants. Using your veterans for a suicide run,(like you explained no med packs) seems counter intuitive.
@mohammedqasim7147 guerrilla not gorilla Honesty time- When Hamas attacks Israeli people their only option is asymmetric warfare. Given that their goal is the complete destruction of Israel from "the river to the sea", coexistence is not the plan. When you desend into barbarity you should not be surprised when you receive the same treatment.
@@mohammedqasim7147 Not specifically targeting children, as they indicated in the documents, would be a good start. They were literally trying to take out as many children as possible, and had selected many of their targets on that basis. That's sick. There is no comparison, here. Stop trying to defend this barbarity.
Hi Ryan, thanks for your work. If you haven't been existed, someone would have had to invent you. I really not only enjoy the technical aspects and thoughtfulness of your analysis but also the humanity and rational point of view you put in them. If I am allowed, from a layman stand of view... I have the impression that the attack developed in 2 stages: A planned one, and a chaotic/emergent second phase where opportunistic crowds of fanatics took chance to enter by the breached points and cause havoc... and this part probably... probably was not the best planned part in this Hamas operation...(if it were planned -or indented- at all) and rendered out of hand... (I saw some declarations of the Hamas big brass and they seemingly showed if not fear, clear worry about the consequences this "operation's" outcome will bring for the organization). Thanks for read this. (any kind of terrorism should be removed from the face or Earth for ever, my prays for all the victims!)
Last statement is very true, the IDF should suffer the consequences of the terror theyve sowed, and Hamas will watch their families die. Terrible conflict
You are not wrong one of Hamas leaders in a phone call with aljazeera described exactly that, he said militant of hamas went first and then when the gates open many civilians follow them and some of them also had weapons
Can you cover more on why you feel there is a high probability this op plan was produced by Iran? Could they have had Iranian training and produced themselves following the document standards they had been trained with?
You are mistaken about "negotiations" @11:00 : the whole purpose of the plan was to capture "assets" and secure them back into gaza, so they can negotiate over them for the release of Palestinians in Israeli prisons.
Good morning Mr.McBeth. woke up late this Sunday and found this. This is a solid breakdown as usual! I would love to see a collaboration with habitual linecrosser on what he knows.
I just shared links to the video with my coworkers, again (more coworkers) to help them weed their way through the emotional issues connected with viewing what is going on in the Middle East currently. Thank you again for your hard (and emotional) work in educating us.
I worked a lot for C4I projects as well. The company I worked for was a subcontractor for an Israeli company active in the field of SIGINT and C&C etc.
Your videos are incredible. My observations are that the Israelis had an over reliance on tech and were also a victim of hubris. As they continue to push forward with modernization and standardization of their military and tactics it makes them more predictable and susceptible to guerilla forces, albeit well organized and well funded forces.
I think the big conspiracy theory is that the Israeli let it happen to have an excuse to annex and eliminate Hamas and the Palestinians. I’m not sure which theory is true. All I know is never underestimate Israeli intelligence and planning.
They tech and systems that had were well set up to stop small raiding forces (10-20 attackers) but it was never made to stop an attack of this size. They also didn't do what almost all other contested borders do and that was lay a minefields. A few good minefields might have blunted/slowed the attacks by a considerable amount and as of now Israel has begun planting mines.
@@jerithil Unfortunately, due to the view that raids of this scale were beyond the capacity of Hamas, laying such a minefield would have only seemed a dangerous, expensive, and unnecessary measure.
I think it is useful to keep in mind Israel's limited national resources. I've heard lots of criticism of undermanning the border and overlying on technology, but the reality is that Israel has a very small amount of overall manpower, and every soldier paid to guard a border is one more man in the field that Israel cannot afford. By contrast, tech solutions seemed far more cost effective and realistic. Now, of course, these costs are no longer a factor.
True especially when we allow everyone from other countries to come here with little to no background checks and anyone is allowed to own property buy land etc buy businesses etc without needing to be a citizen. Whereas everywhere else in the world doesn't allow that every country in Asia, Africa etc has barriers entry that often prevents an easy attack. The west doesn't we let anyone in regardless
@@ID-8491 He means respect as in we should start to realise these are no longer the goat herders that don’t know how to use weapons properly, these are trained militants and as a result should be over estimated than under estimated
@@reece42069 this. When you dismiss some as (insert derogatory term here) you’re not taking them seriously as a threat. I saw a lot of that during my time in the military. People forget these are true believers and they are not messing around.
I am shocked by how many people oppose the idea that these were very highly trained commandos.
I used to serve in Sayeret Shaldag (pretty high up there in specops rankings) and we lost 20 men within a few minutes. This is unprecedented quality from Hamas and we'd only be doing ourselves harm by failing to evaluate it correctly.
@BassMatt1972 Do you mean Israel make peace?
@@BassMatt1972i think you are missing something here, their population doubled in the last 10-15 years, so it doesn't seem they had it that bad.
I think from now on they will be treated like animals, because they showed they are, sorry to inform you but only now you'll understand what occupation actually is and means.
US leaders talk about them as “animals”, ”barbarians”, et cetera.
It’s perfect for the terrorist groups … to lower expectations and result in ill-preparedness on the defenders part. US Leadership are idiots, is what I’m saying.
@@BassMatt1972 Israel has attempted to negotiate numerous times and has been rebuffed at every attempt. As a matter of fact, it is part of the HAMAS charter to refuse to negotiate. Instead, they not only call for the demise of every Israeli, but every Jew worldwide. It's difficult to negotiate with a party when their first negotiating point is your elimination from existence.
If Israel were to lay down there arms tomorrow, every Israeli citizen would be eliminated.
If HAMAS were to lay down there arms tomorrow, there would be peace.
@@BassMatt1972 movements without standing armies can still have highly trained commandos.
This is the kind of insight i never thought i would ever get and the fact that Hamas is this organized is mid blowing.
If Hamas took 2 years to plan this, what have they planned for the ground invasion of Gaza, on their home soil?
why would they plan to attack schools, on a Saturday? on a Jewish holiday ? when there's no school¿ weird
@@pepelemoko01that is exactly what makes me think this whole thing is just a big trap and israel is being stupid by invading - cause that might be just what hamas wants.
@@pepelemoko01 Ya true but i have a hard time believing that Israel or Mossad didnt know anything about this?
@@sangeetsubedi9509 9/11 was just as Blindsiding and the US spends a lot more on intelligence than Israel does.
Hello Ryan, I'm an Arab and can confidently say that "Tafawed" means to negotiate as in to use the hostages either for ransom or for other leverages, hence why Hamas kept threatening if that Israel bombed Gaza they would kill hostages.
The word negotiate in Arabic doesn't have many uses other than the fundamental one.
Shows how delusio al they are, noone will be negotiating after such massacre, if they struck only military then took hostages without harming them then they could have actually achieved something, bur as it is they gave Israel free pass to do whatever they want, some might complain but overall most people will just look the other way while IDF "solves" the situation...
@@Asghaad That’s with hindsight, they probably weren’t expecting to kill that many civilians given their preparation for Israeli retaliation (in Isreal) and the media has been less vocal about the ongoing situation of the hostages so it could also be a perception thing.
I have a sneaky feeling that the Israeli response is exactly what Hamas was hoping for.
@@AsghaadShows how delusional YOU are. Hostage rescue is a key objective of all Israeli operations. Only fools think they never negotiated and always went in "Cowboy-Joe", even if the PR tries to cover it up to discourage hostage taking.
@@howardchambers9679 i dont think they expected this, they thought it would be like before with israelis fighting with one hand tied behind theyr back ... Instead they are getting scorched earth response with no regard to civilian casualties...
Kinda hard to hide behind human shields when the oponent no longer cares about them ...
About the 20 armed residents mentioned, every Kibbutz near the borders has a group of armed residents to swiftly respond to events like this. In 2 kibbutzim they prevented casualties entirely.
this happened because israel didnt listen when the women watches told then something was happening and didnt take what spy agencies told them serious and yes there were trained by iran but how good is that who know peoplw said russia had a great army before but not now
@@Joe60459 they were definitely not well prepared, those who were prevented casualties almost entirely
Repeater and Simplex refer to the method of broadcasting a signal. Simplex is radio to radio direct, Repeater mode is a radio going into a device on one frequency, and after the signal is boosted, broadcasting out on another. Not such a simple thing to do, because the antennas and repeater devices , have to be pre- installed in a fairly close proximity, depending on frequency. Takes some engineering. Great work Ryan!
Was going to comment something similar. Simplex is radio to radio, often short range.
Repeaters will receive a transmission from a radio, often convert it to a different frequency/encoding, transmit it over a longer distance to a second repeater that decodes and retransmits to the receiving radio.
We use both in the fire service. Simplex for our fire ground operations all within a 500m of each other and repeater for talking to dispatch 90km away.
@@arcticfox1402 lol, Retired Firefighter, as well! Be safe!
Simplex means they are using standard UHFrequency, they are probably using off the shelf items with ranges about 1-2km, repeaters will receive then transmit at a much higher power so far larger range. In Australia repeater use is regulated and reasonably common on large rural worksites.
Simplex has only one frequency therefor cannot receive and transmit at the same time. If repeater just boosts the signal power the transmitter will saturate the receiver. A simplex repeater records a short burst of incoming and then re-transmits on the same frequency. A true repeater is only possible on Duplex radios i.e. pair of frequencies one for Tx and one for Rx. The repeater receives on one frequency, boosts and retransmits on the other frequency. The end radios have to be matched i.e. they have the same Tx frequency and Rx frequency. With an unrepeated duplex system one radios Tx frequency is the other radios Rx frequency. The duplex repeater would be on a tower or on a vehicle that could remain on a high point throughout the operation. I suspect an FM/TV tower or a cellphone tower inside Palestine.
@@fuzzy9294 Full-duplex voice repeaters in the UHF band can fit in standard portable equipment box. (Look up GMRS repeater) Just add power and an antenna. "Listen and retransmit" is usually limited to data.
Your work was already top-notch, but since going full-time, it's been some seriously next-level stuff. Thanks again for what you do. Knowledge truly is power, and you're empowering so many people to view difficult topics with the knowledge and nuance befitting them.
I am already a Patreon member [edit: Substack] but you deserve a bonus, my friend. The work that you and the translators have done is profoundly illuminating, if not shocking. My sense is that operations orders this standardized, detailed, and lengthy can only be generated by Hamas themselves, not imposed from the outside. Clearly, Hamas have learned to create and use lengthy, detailed op orders from someone else, but they have become comfortable with them. This reliance upon detailed planning transformed into a standardized military written framework indicates professionalization developed over time. Some might say that this op order would be nothing special for a professional military but that is precisely my point. This was how Hamas chose to organize their attack.
Ryan has a Patreon page?
HAMAS didn't make these orders. It was almost entirely most likely an Iranian Quds Force officer. This is literally their bread and butter. They train insurgents and then take on the roles of advisors in command and control and it often comes with drafting such documents and adding some structure and a semblance of discipline and professionalism. The fact that they were even able to smuggle all of this military gear into Gaza says that they had powerful help beyond what a band of insurgents could scrounge up.
You are gullible beyond belief. At no point was it proved that the documents were not in fact, disinformation originating in Israel's Mossad. This is the most likely scenario.
I disagree with your conclusion that this is (solely) the work of Hamas itself. As far as I'm aware, this is a _major_ leap in sophistication from Hamas - so where did they get that knowledge? At the very least, someone taught them, or, created it for them.
Secondly, while they were suddenly sophisticated in their attack planning, they also failed to prevent/prohibit those documents here (marked 'top secret') from being taken along (which, as I understand it, is _not_ what you're supposed to do) and predictably found by the Israeli. That sounds to me like rather they were given plans made by outside operatives (most likely Iranian) and showed some incompetence in ultimately mishandling sensitive information. (Or alternatively, these documents were meant to be found for some reason.)
@@mnxs You are correct up to the point of saying that the plans were from Iran. More likely the documents are disinformation supplied the the Israeli Mossad.
Man!!!! You are becoming the gold standard for reliable information. Your impartiality is highly appreciated. Carry on with the astounding work!
I really admire the amount of research you put into everything you talk about. I wish more people would inform themselves just a fraction of what you do. I hope this reaches more people. Keep doing your thing, you're great at it!
Man this guy don't deserve 5 dollars loom at his hair
@@criticooo You're right, what an intelligent argument, sure made me 'loom' stupid..
This video is an eye opener to those of us who have never been in the military. I knew there had to be a detailed level of planning but never had seen anything. To see this level of detail in Hamas' hands is troubling and reinforces the idea that they are getting significant external support.
Most likely from Egypt, Iran or ISI. My money is on isi they are well trained and they know they can’t be touch.
@@besamEgypt oposes hamas and consideres them a terror organisation
@@cisarovnajosefina4525 yeah my money is on isi. They are trained and seems like their operation.
@@cisarovnajosefina4525 bibi is been selling weapon to India and getting involved in isi business. So my money is on them and nobody will say anything.
@@besam Egypt is also fighting Hamas. Palestine has few friends right now and the few they have can't do shit because the US will curb stomp them if they do. The UN members who matter are going to turn a blind eye to the war crimes Israel is about to commit. Americans were taken and killed by Hamas, so I really don't give a fuck what Israel does at this point. Time to swap the boxing gloves for steel gauntlets.
I'm glad you got this on TH-cam
Thank you Ryan. I'm not a fan of the media's love of parading grieving relatives in front of a camera but your comments on the dead officer and his family was powerful and humane.
As long as the dead officer did not engage in or order the deads of civvies...
100% agree w/ you Paul!
Officer? Officer does not perform crimes against humanity!
He is high ranking cold blooded murderer - not officer!
and fully dependent on the IDF, and NOT OTHER SOURCE/EVIDENCE...
Please grow up.
This kind of intel has not shown up on CNN, that is for sure.
Incredible work and efforts, Ryan. Your open-source intelligence analysis is unparalleled. Appreciate your note at the end. Sending love to all impacted by violence, hate, and death. May peace prevail soon.
Meh, peace is a slow genocide. I say we move the isrealis to somewhere uninhabited... Alaska, America can give them Alaska, and give Palestine back to people with dark skin who obviously belong there. We only put jews in Isreal so we could cause this sort of chaos and keep the region in check
Yes, he said it well.
There are no winners in war, only survivors.
This is an amazing amount of detail. This was a very well planned attack and the militants were grossly underestimated. The fact that they had these levels of detail and planning means they were ready for an extremely difficult assault.
Terrorists, not militants
And they seem to have no exit strategy.
This wasn't a hamas plan, this is way to complicated for them, but we do know that Russia was involved in planning and Iran in supplying weapons and equipment.
The fact that Isrealis intelligence missed this...
How come no one is asking that question? Asking about who was in charge of watching Gaza?
They fell asleep at their post. They did t spot the iceberg.
Don't tell me, no one tasked with watching Gaza..that is even worse.
@@JoaoSoares-rs6ec Much more likelys that Israel's government planed that or the USA to use Hamas as a tool (just like they use the Ukrainians) than Russia having anything to do with that.
In contrary to Israel and even more the USA, neither Russia nor China are known for such things at all.
Hell, when it comes to Hamas, Israel's government had its bloody claws in its whole creation and rise.
Ukrainian here (although a civilian). There's an interview with a Ukrainian SPG operator called 10 тупих запитань навіднику СаПоГа (10 stupid questions to an SPG operator). As far as I understand, it is basically useless against armor and is mostly utilized as a mortar against enemy infantry.
slava ukraini
Героям слава
It will work great against lightly armoured vehicles, like APCs or armoured trucks, and certainly against older tanks but not so much the new ones
Recoiless Rifles have also made a pretty heavy comeback with Western forces too. The Carl Gustav being the thing. SAAB has been rolling out all sorts of modern munitions for the system. It's not theoretically an anti-tank weapon, but it has been used in that role in Ukraine, especially before the whole thing ground to trench warfare and it has been effective even against MBTs even without specialized ammunition, and it will absolutely wreck stuff like BTRs.
far cheaper to make CG rounds too than javelin. Yeah, not exactly apples to oranges, butt CG definitely give infantry a better reach and options. Small anti-personnel drones are gonna be way scary for infantry.
@@bocadelcieloplaya3852 Doesn't Charlie G have an area defense round that yeets like 1000 flechettes with a pretty decent spread? Might be quite effective against drones.
Yeah I remember seeing CG used by Ukrainian territorial defense around Kyiv early in the war there. Haven't heard as much about it recently, but I'm sure that they are still in use.
@@brycechristensen2296 they are very much in use. But they kinda ended up mostly in the hands of better higher end units now.
The SPG-9 fires the same projectiles(but not rounds) as the BMP-1. They're nothing like 80 years old and are still very dangerous to modern MBTs othrr than frontally.
You are a rare kind of professional. Peace to you
Thats good work there. Thank you for the insight. Much appreciated
Very informative video once again, thank you Ryan!
This is great work, Ryan! Thanks for working hard to give us the straight scoop.
Thank you for going over things like this a lot of people who talk about this conflict have no idea what they are talking about ❤
You have peered through all the news flying around, found the data and analyzed it. World-class presentation that exceeds most I have seen on similar subjects and intent. Viewers around the world have data they can actually use; and believe.
Keep in mind that this guy has been predicting the demise of the Russians for a year and a half now. Since June he's been talking about Ukrainian 'shaping operations'. Meanwhile it appears that the Russians are slowly grinding the Ukraine into dust. Now he's got exclusive intel on Iran with operational plans no less. If a civilian had such a thing in their possession and were making videos about I'm fairly certain it would have attracted the attention of the those inquisitive fellows at the FBI.
12:52
HAM radio person here, "Repeater" is not a brand, it's a piece of equipment that allows for Duplex communication between Simplex radios.
Basically, "Simplex" means only one person can talk at a time as there's only one frequency in use, think basic walkie talkies. Duplex uses two frequencies to allow multiple people to talk at the same time. There's an uplink channel and a downlink channel. You broadcast your message on the uplink, then the repeater, doing what it says on the tin, repeats your message with more power on the downlink frequency.
It's a basic piece of radio equipment and HAM radio enthusiasts use them all the time. There is 100% a repeater in your town, no matter where you live.
I love how you actually acknowledge that this isn't the full piece at the start of these types of videos. Honor and Trust.
Excellent work. Brilliant use of the LES at the end, it brought the horror of the whole thing sharply into focus, at least for me. Try to get some rest :)
As a comms- repeater and simplex refers to radio communication simplex means same frequency to talk and hear on (transmit and recieve) while repeater (repter likely a typo) means you talk on one frequency and listen on another. Example is 144.000 talk and 144.600 is listen. Repeaters are used to extend the range or to bypass line of sight obstructions for radio communications. So far it fails to mention if this was for observation, jamming, or in theater communication.
Incredible Research and Analysis as Always Ryan
Thank you to the entire team of translators! Amazing content Ryan.
The fact that the Iranian government/military had such a big hand in planning all this makes the Israeli/Western intelligence failure all the more concerning. Apparently Egypt caught wind of this a few days before it happened and passed what they knew on to Israel, but alas.
Heart goes out to all those trapped in this tragic conflict.
LIHOP
See Mark Dice for meaning.
The question then becomes what exactly did Egypt report?
@@Bokkie100k And why the possible lack of reaction by Israeli authorities?
I do not believe Israel having no idea about this coming.
Anyone can say they did something. Proving it is something else.
Egypt isn't a friend of Israel, so they are likely stirring the pot.
Hamas has been planning this for years based on the quality of the operation order. And to have this as a printed handout is next level. Thanks for getting it translated!
The leader of hamas himself stated they've been preparing for this for 2 years. I can't believe intelligence agencies missed it.
@@lando8913i don't think Israel can Just spy on Hamas leader in Qutar and Iraq
I agree with that last statement the most. No winners only one side loses less. Thank you for being a light in the darkness.
Very nice vid Ryan!
Great research Ryan
Thank you Ryan for the last part. It is so easy to view these videos as just “content” but you made it real for me. Amazing work. God bless.
I think the most likely explanation for the “speed cameras” is that it’s a colloquial term for an outdoor surveillance camera in a box on a pole, just like “jeep” is a generic reference to offroad vehicles.
Jeep is generic name for that in most of europe, just like gillette is for safety razors, there's tonnes of such coloquialisms, i believe even more than in the us due to thevwhole another level of branding and protecting it.
I actually corrected this, speed ER are actually surveillance cameras. Not speed cameras. I actually forgot to change this in the TH-cam video but I corrected it in the Substack video. That’s the problem with having two different videos.
You the man Ryan! THANK YOU!
This guy's method of operation and analysis is why he's my go-to guy when I want to double/triple-check ''shocking'' news and its source.
My skepticism triggers immediately when an article is deliberately trying to make me angry
I always finding myself going between you and S2 Underground when trying to find accurate and mostly unbiased information on conflicts around the world, thank you!
Slight audio issue I hear not that bad tho and still can listen
Wow, the information in this video was incredible. Thank you for sharing.
1. I used to live in the area. I've been to Mefalsim and I've traveled on highways 3 (far) and 232 (very close)
2. This is a 100% civilian target. The town had never had any clashes with Hamas except as conscripts. They voted for traditionally center left parties.
Highway 50 is in Jerusalem. I don't know what they were talking about there.
Started following you around a year ago. Your videos have been super helpful for me to keep up with everything going on in this world. Thanks
I watched the SubStack version but here to like & comment in the hope this vid remain monetised. Top work, Cheers Ryan
Ryan, so have said on a number of occasions that you should give you enemy a dilemma and not a problem
I think that Hamas' attrocity has created a dilemma for both Israel and the Arab world and was purposely made to prevent the Israel-Saudi recognition
Any Israeli retaliation will create many deaths in Gaza and we are already seeing demonstrations supporting Palestinians and condemning Israel even before they take any real actions
The Arab states are sitting in the sidelines in an embarrased silence wishing it would all just go away
Only Iran is cheering it on
The right wing Israeli government that has been in power for the last several years has to take the blame for allowing the attrocity to occur in the first place and then being unable to protect its citizens. If a government cannot protect its own citizens then it deserves to be replaced
Finally the Arab states need to show some leadership and recognize Israel and help to produce a peaceful solution.
Certainly their petro dollars would improve the lot of the Palestinians rather than them spending it on skyscrapers and foreign properties
Should one falsely imprisoned recognize the legitimacy of their arrest by radical religious extremists(zionazis)?
@@leighz1962 "falsely imprisoned"
Please explain? They exist within their own borders. A country they have tried to wipe out repeatedly owes them NOTHING.
Are you saying there should be no consequences for declaring war on Israel and all Jews in 1948, 1968, or any of the others? Actions have consequences. North Koreans deserve more sympathy. American Indians deserver more sympathy. Stray dogs deserve more sympathy.
right now there is no dilemma in israel. it's clear that hamas must cease to exist. it is now a problem
Great points. You only missed to mention one party, the palestinians.
@@mohamedawad9036 the Palestinian population isn't a party to this war,theyre just the ones who suffer on behalf of hamas
Thank you for the time and effort Ryan. These videos can't be easy to make. You are helping to keep us informed & aware. Keep up this necessary work, help keep us an informed and educated electorate!
Appreciate all you do 🫡
Ryan, I was a Tanker for 10 years served in 3rd Bde 2ID 88-89 as the NCOIC of the Bde Tac. First this was a well out together explanation. You are spot on that the level of planning and execution of this was professional. The timing of execution coordinated. In order to do this it had to be walked though much like we would a terrain board. The planning and practice for this had to be done further away from local surveillance, but where?
back in the day osama had plenty of camps in afghanistan, saudis, possibly pakistan. so lot of places they could have.could even be same places ISIS used to train.
The training was done in Sudan with the help of the ruSSain oops sorry the wagner group .
@@adriansheldon7778some say wagner is the better part, at least for attacks.
@effexon yeah that's right also their used for plausible denyabililty as always .
Pakistan
This took a lot out of you. You certainly put an excessive amount of time and hard mental labour into this report which was incredibly interesting; thank you. I've come across men like you before, you're a rare breed.
It is mind blowing how detailed these plans are. The fact that they are mirroring professional combat plans.
Hamas and Hezbollah have been at this sort of thing for decades. There's no reason to assume they are any less proficient than anyone else.
Evil as Hamas are, they've got around 30k fighters and nothing to do all day but train.
Well that's not really what happened, because let's remember the Israelis agreed to a division of Palestine as proposed by the UN in 1948 and the Arabs didn't.
But even if your description were accurate, that doesn't excuse beheading kids.
@@CraigTheBrute-yf7no
@@stewartjohnson5053 thats exactly what happened. Actually it was far far more horrific than that, but I had to summarize.
The fake Hasbara propaganda about the forty (40) beheaded babies has already been debunked, by none other than the Israeli defence ministry itself.
I mean, HAM-AS are thieves and have been invading homes, so... Probably HAM-AS@@CraigTheBrute-yf7no
@stewartjohnson5053 that story is 1000000% false... stop repeating that disgusting made up propaganda, there is real tragedies taking place no need to push this nonsense
Hey Ryan, just to let you know... Recoilless rifles are a big thing in modern militaries. They provide reloadable platforms that have been constantly upgraded since their introduction. They now have anti-armor and multiple specialized anti-personnel rounds. They can provide both direct and indirect fire support. They have been used heavily in the Ukrainian war. They are no longer just a fire and boooom weapon, though sometimes they are still used as such.
Yes, the Carl Gustaf is being used in Ukraine today.
And you should never underestimate Carl Gustav
The Carl Gustav is used in US military today.
From what I am seeing on Wikipedia it is more of a special forces weapon which would explain why Ryan didn't run into it.
Here's a relevant paragraph from wikipedia
"The M3 Multi-Role Anti-Armor Anti-Personnel Weapon System is the U.S. military designation for the Carl-Gustaf M3 recoilless rifle. It is primarily used by United States Special Operations Command such as the Army Rangers, Army Special Forces, Marine Raiders, Navy SEALs, and JSOC operators. When used by the U.S. Army's 75th Ranger Regiment, the M3 is known as the Ranger Anti-tank Weapons System (RAWS).[citation needed]"
Repeated use of a Carl in a day is strongly discouraged, unless you want long-term repercussions. Ask me how I know…..
@tomwilson1006 How do you know? 😝
although in terms of terror this was a terrorist attack, the way this is moving is much more like the start of a grand conflict. this is grossly detailed. and the expectation of no return is telling.
While provoking a disproportionate(*) Israeli response seems to have been one goal of the attacks, I find it hard to believe Hamas didn't have a plan after the ground offensive starts. I hope the next days prove me wrong, but I see the possibility that a Gaza offensive won't be possible without setbacks for Israel.
(*)Vlad Vexler addressed the adequateness of a response by strictly observing the difference between "combatants" (he means militants) and non-combatants; Hamas tries to kill civilians, the IDF does not try to kill civilians. The problem is that any response that does not actively try NOT to kill civilians will accept a high number of civilian casualties, and thus be disproportionate. Even in Gaza, the number of Hamas militants is only 2% out of 2 million people.
The IDF does not go out of its way to *not* kill civilians.
Thank you Ryan. I wish major news networks provided in-depth and factual data like you do.
Thank you for this. Well presented, informative and I feel smarter about how stuff works.
I’m here because @Mercado Media told his community about your channel.
What I like about your channel is you are a realist without being heartless.
Really interesting learning about how operations are planned and how (much more) sophisticated hamas is compared to what we’re led to believe by mainstream media. The knowledge, experience, and effort required to make this video is commendable. Thank you, Ryan.
Electronic Intifada shows lots more (under) ground footage and strategies, like how the t@nk exploding armor only works in the projectile is 60m out.
ok is that why they do the shoot and run tactic and are mostly hiding during this war
Thanks Ryan that was very helpful and informative. Keep up the great work 💪
Technical advice: The audio quality suffers extremely from the strong different volumes during your video - it could either be a bad setup on a gate that causes this or something that can be solved using a simple audio compressor, which usually is implemented in your audio hardware anyways. With very little effort, you can improve the audio quality there A LOT. (Your expertise on what is happening in Israel right now is excellent though. The audio flaws just make it harder to follow for a non-native speaker)
The audio was terrible.
He needs something but the info was interesting
agree, was hurting my hearing, the unbalanced volume, quiet bits interrupted by shouting.
Actually, to my ears at least, it sounds like it's got overly aggressive compression.
Like, almost limited rather than compressed.
As soon as Ryan speaks louder, there's a sudden drop in volume with a corresponding reduction of background hiss.
It's very aggressive, high rate compression followed by a less aggressive roll off back to regular levels.
I think he had a decent enough mic, just needs to adjust the compression, set a max level and boost the quieter parts rather than insta-crush the range every time he speaks loudly.
(Tl:Dr - just run the audio through a default make-everything-level filter and sorry about the essay I've written)
A simple decent microphone placed close to his face would help massively.
The semplex in your translation may be simplex which is what we refer to when we talk about a single channel walkie-talkie to another single channel walkie-talkie. If you involve a repeater that is what we call duplex you transmit on one frequency and receive on a second frequency. I’m not sure if all the time but most of the time you need what’s called a PL tone to activate the receiver to be able to transmit on it if you have a walkie-talkie with duplex capability, you can talk directly walkie-talkie to walkie-talkie also but you need to switch to what is called a talk around frequency without a PL tone. This is how most civilian band and public safety frequencies work. It is possible that they are using a man in the loop on Symplex frequencies to be a manual spoken repeater.
Maybe
Could also be a repeater or rebroadcast unit. Probably a good target for artillery
I can confirm from my old Army exchange tour days, that 'TV mine' is the common Arab informal term for a Claymore-type mine, especially when in an inert state with its ground prongs extended. Great video, superbly well researched and produced. And yes, our total abhorrence for their actions and cause should not blind us from a detached, rational assessment of their skills and preparation - extremely well prepared, trained and planned.
Yup. Spot on. For the television mine. It's another name for a homemade claymore mine design. The idea it is designed in a concave design with the explosive charge points towards the enemy.
According to my research.
I heard somewhere “there are no winners in war, only destruction” - my hearts go out to the families who have lost loved ones
The amount of detail and planning for this is extremely shocking.
Indicates to me that they had help from an experienced teacher other than Iran...
its basic, nothing special. There are a lot of mistakes, just like that med kit and logistic thing
Yes, it makes me quite worried about the ground offensive. They will likely have the same level of planning for the ambushes. IDF will have no choice to treat anyone in the battlespace as a combatant.
@@LongWalkerActualRussia has been confirmed to be behind the plan
@@edl5731has they should.
Wow... I am almost at a loss for words, Ryan. This was clearly planned for a decent amount of time. The ending is the best part, but only because you give a solemn reminder that there is a human cost AND consequence to all of this behind every body. That man's three children, what do you think they'll grow up fighting for???
That's assuming those kids are even alive right now 😢
@@Firstfox007I hope they aren't, future terrorists are frowned upon.
@@kimilsungthefirst6840 where do you live?
This terrorist probably killed kids and women. He will be celebrated as a martyr.
And you're worried about his family?
@@CryptocurrencyInsiderIf a man murders people do you believe his entire family should suffer for that?
I have a feeling that they call it a TV charge more so because you have to be in front of it for it to work
You make things clear. Thank You Sir.
Quality stuff... thanks Ryan!
From interviews with survivors it seems that Israeli armour on the Gaza border had little or no infantry support. This allowed Hamas fighters to throw explosives under the tanks disabling them. Some crew remained inside and survived although they were combat ineffective, others bailed out and were killed.
Very interesting. As you pointed out, planning for this operation obviously involved some highly skilled surveillance operatives. Years of preparation went in to this.
Hello from the Philippines. 😊
There are 100% fully armed settlers, maybe that’s something you should look into
not near gaza because they would get stolen
The audio seems tinny
Thank you Ryan for taking the risk to jump over to the TH-cam ecosystem to inform everyone on current events (especially at what is a tumultuous time for the TH-cam ecosystem) I personally appreciate your candor and the respect you show for human life. Brining us facts, not opinions, and just laying it out on the table and not trying to promote narratives, or guide anyone's views. It's refreshing, and your content is very informative.
Cheers. Have a nice day.
From SW VA here, next time I make it out to VA Beach, I'll be happy to buy you a beer
Very impressive research. You're hard work doesn't go unnoticed. Thanks Ryan!
Thank you Ryan, this really gives a good hint at what we should be expecting
LOVE your stuff Ryan.... could I make a production suggestion? It doesn't seem like you are using a "professional" microphone. This would do several things in your recording. 1) help to kill some of the echo in your rooms 2) maybe help with the high end of some of your volume. Although that will really need more software control . Often your first word(s) are much louder than the rest and at least on my computer is very strong. I hope you would look into it so you can keep producing fantastic videos
Agreed!
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I could only manage a couple of minutes ....
Recoilless rifles still a thing...
Carl is still in service in the first world. Pretty sure even in the US...
Recoilless rifles have never gone away, the the 84mm Carl Gustav is still in service with most western nations, including the USA, Canada and UK. The AT-4 you might be familiar with is actually a disposable smoothbore recoilless gun.
Repeaters are radios set up at a point to repeat signals, thereby extending the range of radios. There's a lot of focus on comms, giving their commandos landline numbers to commanders as an additional avenue is clever, wherever they're attacking is sure to have a phone. I wonder if this individual had this document on them specifically for the phone number reference table.
Simplex is comms between radios, repeater is just that, recs a transmission and repeats that transmission, usually to a greater area as they usually have more power or height.
i cant help but think that although well planned it wasnt practiced for ops security, which might explain why IDF may hav not been aware of operation. Terrorists didnt know until they were called to attack which might explain why they had operational orders with them in the battlespace. I dunno...
Your amazing Ryan. Detailed and organized and presentation is Outstanding!
12:43 --- "repeater," and "Symplex" are English terms for kinds of radio technology. If those terms are transliterated, that means they're just using the English words in their language.
Symplex means the same frequency is used for both transmit and receive. Therefore only one person can talk at a time thus "Symplex"
also, you are range-limited to how far your radio can transmit
Repeater means transmitter and receiver on different channels, meaning, as long as your radio can hit a repeater, a powerful repeater can broadcast to a much larger area
*simplex
Nir-aam is a kibots in the area.
It's apparently refers to a surveillance system on the fence
FYI, all Jewish border towns have a volunteer civilian rapid response team, usually armed with m16s and made up of army veterans. This is what they are referring to in the document, not private security.
Thanks!
Who else has this amount of detail on the internet? No one! Thanks man, you rock!
Very detail. 👍
Thanks for making this Ryan. These are clearly professionals and not ragtag teams. They've learned from their experiences and maybe from the experiences of other militaries in the region.
The Carl Gustav is a recoilless rifle weapon.
I daresay that I am not the only one who views this info to arrive at the same conclusion: a document of this level of quality and professionalism speaks to the obvious, that some State Actor stands behind the operations of Hamas. Now, the question that begs here is which State Actor or Actors are the facilitators behind the ability of Hamas to continue to operate. All those missiles are very expensive, there is the issue of uniforms, hand weapons, logistics (including tunnel building) vehicles, and so on. The extent of an operation pretty well indicates the financial capabilities involved. Clearly, we have a previous history of Iran involvement and a good guess would include this time as well. Now, one has to wonder if the Russians may have had a hand in this. This is not the stuff of simple paranoia, consider: The Russians are in trouble in their ill-fated invasion of Ukraine, they know that Western support (especially American support). They also know that American manufacturing provides the very deep pockets needed to provide Ukraine all of the military equipment and logistics needed for their continued resistance. The key issue here is although we have clearly increased the production goals of all of our military material, we have limits on how much and how soon. Israel will need significant amounts of replacement material, as we would expect. The question here has to be how much will this redirection affect Ukraine and our own continued long-term security?
I'm taking the supposed origin of this "document" with a huge grain of salt.
Netanyahu & his far right coalition have been chomping at the bit to annex all remaining Palestinian territory as well as starting a war with Iran. This attack & supposed Iranian involvement conveniently gives them the green light to carry out both.
The tunnels are constantly being created by Gazans because that's how they bring in items that the Israelis restrict like non-essential foods, refrigerators, AC units, construction materials fuel and so on.
@@jacqdanieles I doubt it. Israel isn't in a position to war with Iran; even if they shared a mutual border the demographics of Israel wouldn't let them do anything more then go in and make a mess.
Well, Russia and Iran both have interest and power. Russia gives arms and are active in Syria and Lebanon and it is America ie the West against Russia, China, Iran and Arab block. That is why the West is speaking up.
@@zaco-km3su Russia has interest in the Middle East and are in control of Syria which is why we were too cowardly to speak up againt the war in Ukraine (shame on us). Russia, Iran and China are on 'one side'. I won't pretend to know anything deep about arms deals but Russia and Iran want and have power in the Middle East and the US has Israel as its stable alay.
My only questions is what was the average age of the militants. Using your veterans for a suicide run,(like you explained no med packs) seems counter intuitive.
By it's very definition, there are very few old suicide troops.
Gaza average age is around 18, so there aren't that many above 20 available.
That's what you call gorillar warfare. What else are they supposed to do against one of the most inhumane, modern and advanced armies in the world
@mohammedqasim7147 guerrilla not gorilla
Honesty time- When Hamas attacks Israeli people their only option is asymmetric warfare. Given that their goal is the complete destruction of Israel from "the river to the sea", coexistence is not the plan. When you desend into barbarity you should not be surprised when you receive the same treatment.
@@mohammedqasim7147 Not specifically targeting children, as they indicated in the documents, would be a good start. They were literally trying to take out as many children as possible, and had selected many of their targets on that basis. That's sick. There is no comparison, here. Stop trying to defend this barbarity.
Hi Ryan, thanks for your work. If you haven't been existed, someone would have had to invent you.
I really not only enjoy the technical aspects and thoughtfulness of your analysis but also the humanity and rational point of view you put in them.
If I am allowed, from a layman stand of view... I have the impression that the attack developed in 2 stages: A planned one, and a chaotic/emergent second phase where opportunistic crowds of fanatics took chance to enter by the breached points and cause havoc... and this part probably... probably was not the best planned part in this Hamas operation...(if it were planned -or indented- at all) and rendered out of hand... (I saw some declarations of the Hamas big brass and they seemingly showed if not fear, clear worry about the consequences this "operation's" outcome will bring for the organization).
Thanks for read this.
(any kind of terrorism should be removed from the face or Earth for ever, my prays for all the victims!)
Last statement is very true, the IDF should suffer the consequences of the terror theyve sowed, and Hamas will watch their families die. Terrible conflict
You are not wrong one of Hamas leaders in a phone call with aljazeera described exactly that, he said militant of hamas went first and then when the gates open many civilians follow them and some of them also had weapons
Thanks
Thank you Ryan
Can you cover more on why you feel there is a high probability this op plan was produced by Iran? Could they have had Iranian training and produced themselves following the document standards they had been trained with?
You are mistaken about "negotiations" @11:00 : the whole purpose of the plan was to capture "assets" and secure them back into gaza, so they can negotiate over them for the release of Palestinians in Israeli prisons.
Good morning Mr.McBeth. woke up late this Sunday and found this. This is a solid breakdown as usual! I would love to see a collaboration with habitual linecrosser on what he knows.
Danke!
I just shared links to the video with my coworkers, again (more coworkers) to help them weed their way through the emotional issues connected with viewing what is going on in the Middle East currently. Thank you again for your hard (and emotional) work in educating us.
I worked a lot for C4I projects as well. The company I worked for was a subcontractor for an Israeli company active in the field of SIGINT and C&C etc.
Your videos are incredible. My observations are that the Israelis had an over reliance on tech and were also a victim of hubris. As they continue to push forward with modernization and standardization of their military and tactics it makes them more predictable and susceptible to guerilla forces, albeit well organized and well funded forces.
I think the big conspiracy theory is that the Israeli let it happen to have an excuse to annex and eliminate Hamas and the Palestinians. I’m not sure which theory is true. All I know is never underestimate Israeli intelligence and planning.
They tech and systems that had were well set up to stop small raiding forces (10-20 attackers) but it was never made to stop an attack of this size. They also didn't do what almost all other contested borders do and that was lay a minefields. A few good minefields might have blunted/slowed the attacks by a considerable amount and as of now Israel has begun planting mines.
@@jerithil Unfortunately, due to the view that raids of this scale were beyond the capacity of Hamas, laying such a minefield would have only seemed a dangerous, expensive, and unnecessary measure.
I think it is useful to keep in mind Israel's limited national resources. I've heard lots of criticism of undermanning the border and overlying on technology, but the reality is that Israel has a very small amount of overall manpower, and every soldier paid to guard a border is one more man in the field that Israel cannot afford. By contrast, tech solutions seemed far more cost effective and realistic. Now, of course, these costs are no longer a factor.
imagine if hamas used this level of planning to create infrastructure and industry in gaza instead of making war against their neighbor.
Yeah, why doesn’t the army open a McDonalds? There are infrastructure and Industry in Gaza, what do you think is getting bombed? Grass huts?
You really ‘scooped’ this material and super job. This should be on the national news! 👍🏼
Ryan this channel is a gem.
Too many of us in the west don’t have the respect we should for our enemy. I hope the people who this perspective see this.
Respect for people who slaughtered 1200 unarmed civilians on purpose? They act like rabid dogs and they will be treated like rabid dogs.
True especially when we allow everyone from other countries to come here with little to no background checks and anyone is allowed to own property buy land etc buy businesses etc without needing to be a citizen. Whereas everywhere else in the world doesn't allow that every country in Asia, Africa etc has barriers entry that often prevents an easy attack. The west doesn't we let anyone in regardless
@@TAKIZAWAYAMASHITA Strange Chinese owned companies buying land close to American airbases in USA is a prime example. What the hell??
@@ID-8491 He means respect as in we should start to realise these are no longer the goat herders that don’t know how to use weapons properly, these are trained militants and as a result should be over estimated than under estimated
@@reece42069 this. When you dismiss some as (insert derogatory term here) you’re not taking them seriously as a threat. I saw a lot of that during my time in the military. People forget these are true believers and they are not messing around.