Brexit is a "slow puncture" on the UK economy | Economics | The New Statesman

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 26 ธ.ค. 2024

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  • @erikson024
    @erikson024 ปีที่แล้ว +1127

    As a Pole who arrived as a teenager in Britain in 2007 I can see it first hand. When I arrived the difference in living standards between Britain and Poland was stark. However, ever since the financial crisis of 2008 I've seen living standards in Britain stagnate or go down , while Poland has been consistently on the up since then. I graduated from a uni in the UK and work as an engineer in the North of England on 2X average UK earnings and can truly say speaking to my friends back home about job prospects I am being tempted more and more to go back to Poland and seek opportunities there. Having lived in the North of England for the past 6 years I truly believe large parts of the north are poorer than average Poland , which is insane given how different the histories of the 2 countries are.

    • @paddydunne774
      @paddydunne774 ปีที่แล้ว +157

      The mentality is hugely different to. I lived in the Uk all my working life. Over forty years. It’s been good for me, but it’s time to return to Ireland. I just don’t understand the thought processes the Brits are implementing now. The Uk is on a similar path as Argentina in the 20/30s. You any keep making errors and getting away with it. Poland as a nation, is really interesting story. I used to go there in 80’s and the changes are profound. It would be a great time to be mid career and making a change. Good luck with your endeavours. Never to old to grab an opportunity 👊☘️

    •  ปีที่แล้ว +68

      There's no future on that island.

    • @pole040
      @pole040 ปีที่แล้ว +93

      I just came back from Zakopane, drove across the whole Poland. That country is amazing man. Roads are good, people live in a nice houses, prices are affordable, people are happy. If I was from Poland never in my life I would live in the UK. You can live besides the border of Germany and be in central Europe. Everything is super reachable.

    • @paddydunne774
      @paddydunne774 ปีที่แล้ว +23

      @@pole040 it’s beautiful down there 👌I was in Krakow in mid December and shall be returning to Wielicza at the end of January.

    • @porridgeramen7220
      @porridgeramen7220 ปีที่แล้ว +22

      @@paddydunne774 Real talk, i'm a fellow irish, are loving standards really better in Ireland or on the up? Housing crisis on a level that would make the entire UK blush, and similarly gutted public services.

  • @marpintado
    @marpintado ปีที่แล้ว +559

    BREXIT IS A HUGE SUCCESS, it as worked exactly as intended. England can now maintain is fiscal paradises for the rich. That was the only intention behind leaving the rules of the common market. The day the EU proposed ending fiscal paradises the English politicians started talking about leaving the EU.

    • @klemlao5463
      @klemlao5463 ปีที่แล้ว +88

      Precisely. Also ripping up employment protections.

    • @SirAntoniousBlock
      @SirAntoniousBlock ปีที่แล้ว +68

      I agree, and without brexit Scottish independence and Irish reunification were fantasies now they're a reality.

    • @heem6619
      @heem6619 ปีที่แล้ว +12

      English politicians have been talking about leaving the EU since the Maastricht Treaty.

    • @majuli8420
      @majuli8420 ปีที่แล้ว +18

      Someone gets it. 👍

    • @SirAntoniousBlock
      @SirAntoniousBlock ปีที่แล้ว +56

      @@heem6619 England (as opposed to Britain) always misunderstood the European project, they just saw it as a means to reanimate the corpse of the empire and exploit poorer countries and not as a means of peace through raising all countries out of poverty with shared dependency.
      It's ironic that it was Thatcher that helped the EU become the economic juggernaut that is now able to roll over the UK.

  • @returingfavour
    @returingfavour ปีที่แล้ว +67

    Almost to the day 23 years ago I went to our bank Lloyds TSB to ask for company overdraft facility of 50k. Our business was employing 18 people and had a turnover of over 2m at the time. The bank turned us down.
    At the same time my employee got 300k mortgage from the same bank/branch. I clearly remember the moment of inspirational clarity while having my coffee at Cafe Nero next to Chelsea Town Hall on Kings Road.
    If the bank sees lower risk in lending 300 k to buy the house and yet turned down his employer for 50k OD facility you know that something unsustainable is built into the system. I was in the wrong country.
    I moved company (and all the jobs) to Singapore first and then expanded to six other countries. Once we made our HQ in Singapore we got grants and commercial support we could only dreamt of in the UK.

    • @Kknewkles
      @Kknewkles ปีที่แล้ว +1

      You mind me asking what business you're in? I'm curious :)
      Nice to see it went so well.

    • @returingfavour
      @returingfavour ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@Kknewkles it has evolved over the years but fundamentally it was always business intelligence service for oil and oil logistics.

    • @alistairthow1384
      @alistairthow1384 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      And if we could quantify you skills, knowledge and value to the british economy you offered then to what you have done since then the UK has lost a fortune I'm guessing.

    • @returingfavour
      @returingfavour ปีที่แล้ว +6

      @@alistairthow1384 Not necessarily Alistair, because of the focus on property ownership / financial speculation Uk has also attracted a lots of talent in financial services industries... You lose on one side you gain on another... However financial crisis of 2008 has made shortfalls of such strategy plain to see... Asset is valued more than income and taxed less.
      No improvement until this changes.

    • @paulgibbons2320
      @paulgibbons2320 ปีที่แล้ว

      They are only interested in artificially inflating our housing stock. Anything else is secondary. Poperty tycoons, gradually making the masses homeless.
      You used your head and got out.
      Hope you write to your MP an explain your situation.

  • @1adamuk
    @1adamuk ปีที่แล้ว +520

    As a British citizen one factor for me is this no longer feels like a nation or country, it feels like a business park and that's how it's run. I'm just a worker in a workplace not a citizen of anything. This country has been run like a business for decades and the consequences are becoming apparent. Can I quantify this? No, obviously not.

    • @tadas9216
      @tadas9216 ปีที่แล้ว +42

      I think you have a strong case given Thatcher and her legacy.

    • @HamnaTabuu
      @HamnaTabuu ปีที่แล้ว +27

      Certainly doesn't feel United either.

    • @MrBillythefisherman
      @MrBillythefisherman ปีที่แล้ว +1

      If it's like a business park it would be a business park where all the businesses are failing and barely making ends meet. It's not like a business park - we're running on the pure far right ideology of a Tory party that has been overrun by UKIP, chasing their votes as they blame everything on cyclists, a few desperate people in dinggies, a couple of old ladies in woolly hats holding placards and Prince Harry whilst Britain burns. A reckoning is coming.

    • @1adamuk
      @1adamuk ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@MrBillythefisherman This country hasn't been overrun by UKIP, it's run by the billionaire Rishi Sunak. It's the corporate right, not the nationalist right, that runs this country / business park.

    • @roasthunter
      @roasthunter ปีที่แล้ว +11

      I can relate to this big time as someone getting on a bit the face of the UK has changed massively.

  • @aperitivo.6471
    @aperitivo.6471 ปีที่แล้ว +352

    As an Asian doing a business in London, UK WAS the main gateway from EU to Asia before Brexit.
    It was a Hub in the EU for outbound to Asia.
    Even though UK government set moer trading deals with S.Korea, Japan, Australia etc, there are not much benefits. Almost Zero from the new separate deals.
    So what? yes, we are moving our business to another country located in actual EU. We are going to not only hire Europeans, sell & trade more EU goods, but also pay our TAX to EU. I am not the only one.
    The ecosystem of UK economy is not as simple as & the same as 50 years ago. I assume it's not slow puncture. I do hope the Brexiters regret for the rapid sink of the UK economy.

    • @ausbrum
      @ausbrum ปีที่แล้ว +14

      When the Australia/EU trade deal is signed, I imagine the EU will use its deal as its gateway to Asia, via Australia

    • @derekmab7734
      @derekmab7734 ปีที่แล้ว

      Xenophobia, nationalism and isolationism are more important for the Leave voters than economics. They can eat these ideologies when they go hungry and use them to pay their bills, they can also use them as radiators to keep them warm in the freezing winter. Now food banks spreading all over the country. Idiots and arrogant!

    • @BobBeatski71
      @BobBeatski71 ปีที่แล้ว

      Those who voted for Brexit will only regret their decision once the effect of Brexit begins to affect them. Until then, they think they've won some form of victory.

    • @neodym5809
      @neodym5809 ปีที่แล้ว +41

      @@ausbrum EU has trade deals with Japan, Vietnam, Singapore...

    • @arilebon
      @arilebon ปีที่แล้ว

      On a trade level, Brexiters seem to hark back to time when Britain ruled 3/4 of the world and can set trade rules to London's advantage; plus leveraged Naval strength to impose will on other countries. The world has moved on.

  • @velayuthman
    @velayuthman ปีที่แล้ว +459

    Sadly with each passing day we can see the impact this awful policy has had on the UK. Tied up in red tape and tariffs with lower GDP than before the pandemic whilst the others in the G7, including Italy, are above. The lower GDP means we do not have the headroom to pay our way in the world and must resort to borrowing.Whilst there are rich people in the UK; a great many of us are poor and now we are poorer still. What steps can we take to generate more income during quantitative adjustment? My primary concern is how to maximize my savings/retirement fund of about £170k which has been sitting duck since forever with zero to no gains.

    • @Curbalnk
      @Curbalnk ปีที่แล้ว

      Well, the top players and pros have exclusive information and data paths that are not disclosed to the public. Knowing the strategies to use during this time is one thing and having the right information to execute them successfully is another thing.

    • @andrewcheadle948
      @andrewcheadle948 ปีที่แล้ว

      Nothing to do with the net zero bollocks, high taxes, big state and a net migration of half a million a year.... No course not, its brexit! Ffs!

  • @paulfulton7968
    @paulfulton7968 ปีที่แล้ว +187

    Money going into tax havens and not being spent back in to the economy dose not help

    • @paulcowham2095
      @paulcowham2095 ปีที่แล้ว +19

      indeed, and the City of London Corporation never seems feature in any discussions.

    • @rorykeegan1895
      @rorykeegan1895 ปีที่แล้ว +5

      Bad spending decisions, a lack of investment and Brexit are far more impactful than tax avoidance. Typically British to ignore reality and blame fringe issues instead.

    • @HamnaTabuu
      @HamnaTabuu ปีที่แล้ว +6

      ​@gethinhooper3671£47 billion could build a nice railway, or it could be spaffed up the wall on a tax cut for the highest earners. Depends who controls there country. 🙄

    • @rfwillett2424
      @rfwillett2424 ปีที่แล้ว +6

      I wonder to what extent continued easy access to tax havens was a driver for Brexit amongst the wealthy.

    • @terencefield3204
      @terencefield3204 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      what a pitiful offering.

  • @dantownsend4246
    @dantownsend4246 ปีที่แล้ว +103

    Your children one day might want to work in an EU country for a better standard of living , but, they lost their FOM.

    • @stevec6427
      @stevec6427 ปีที่แล้ว +26

      I'm looking at leaving the UK now for the benefit of my children. They'll never be able to buy a house here, they'll have no job security, no right to protest, no right to strike. Rees-Mogg and his mates are actively trying to remove all workers rights as part of his deregulation. There will soon be a US style health insurance system which is fairly terrible. There's not really much left to hang around for now

    • @eddielasowsky7777
      @eddielasowsky7777 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@stevec6427 Please go, you are of no benefit to the UK

    • @HamnaTabuu
      @HamnaTabuu ปีที่แล้ว +1

      ​@@stevec6427don't blame you! ...meanwhile, do what you can to object to the current mess. Sadly, we have to wait a while before we can have it say in a GE.

    • @Scruffed
      @Scruffed ปีที่แล้ว +2

      @@HamnaTabuu Even if a GE were to happen tomorrow, as far as I can tell, there would be no difference between Labour and the Tories as far as Brexit and UK/EU trade is concerned. As we get closer to the next GE, I'd expect Labour to be more timid rather than more brave on that front.

    • @HamnaTabuu
      @HamnaTabuu ปีที่แล้ว +2

      @@Scruffed I'm not a Labour fan or voter, however I think they would do a less worse job than the current "Tories" /ERG. Turning around brexit will take quite a change in the electorate to make it to the party agenda. Demographics shows this is happening with time, and with the impact becoming more obvious, I can see the tide will eventually turn. Keep pushing for it, doesn't mean start here.

  • @Robertgriffinne
    @Robertgriffinne ปีที่แล้ว +675

    Thanks, I'm from the UK and all of what's been said is true. People are going through tough times and there is a difficult winter ahead. The biggest problem here is the gas and electric bill's have gone up 400% . Will be sharing this video with friends and families to help them realize and prepare. With inflation currently at about 10%, my primary concern is how to maximize my savings/retirement fund of about £300k which has been sitting duck since forever with zero to no gains.

    • @tradekings5433
      @tradekings5433 ปีที่แล้ว +5

      There are lot of ways to make a killing right now, but such high-volume near impeccable trades can only be carried out by real-time experts with ISDA Agreement. An ISDA agreement; lets investors sit at the “big boys table” and make high level tradess not available to amateurs. Trying to be a high stakes trader without an ISDA is like trying to win the Indy 500 riding a llama.

    • @gracesdonny1532
      @gracesdonny1532 ปีที่แล้ว +4

      @@tradekings5433 Cash can be king , but it depends on how much you have. I.E- if you have 300,000 cash when the house market crash occurs you will have a LOT more opportunities VS many others especially when people get foreclosed.

    • @jenniferkyle6036
      @jenniferkyle6036 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      @@gracesdonny1532 When the stock market rebounds, many investors may come to regret not investing in the red today. It's possible that this pricing will never be seen again. If you have a fantastic vision for it, there is always opportunity in the midst of chaos.

    • @jenniferkyle6036
      @jenniferkyle6036 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@FeliciaJudge How do get in touch with this financial consultant whom you mentioned?

    • @FeliciaJudge
      @FeliciaJudge ปีที่แล้ว +4

      @@jenniferkyle6036 You can look her name up on the internet. She's renowned and has quite a following. So it shouldn't be a hassle finding her official webpage.

  • @gedog77
    @gedog77 ปีที่แล้ว +252

    My wife is Lithuanian, we have been visiting her parents every year since 2015 and I notice the number of new cars, the quality of civic spaces, the digitisation of public services, the speed of healthcare access. They have all changed dramatically and for the better over this time and here very little has changed. The routine method for advertising wages in Lithuania is net monthly salary. That used to be 1/3 of UK, now it's about 80% to parity. Housing prices are rising steadily but there's less pressure than here. So yes, I can see what Duncan is saying. While the subprime credit crisis was not our doing, the rest has been our own political choice.

    • @gedog77
      @gedog77 ปีที่แล้ว +7

      @@Paul-zu2he debt/borrowing is definitely more present but wage growth and jobs suggest this is real underlying growth in the economy.

    • @ericconnor8419
      @ericconnor8419 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@Paul-zu2he You can't even define what woke means. You lot are part of the problem.

    • @samspencer7765
      @samspencer7765 ปีที่แล้ว +21

      @@Paul-zu2he I don't think "crazy wokery" is affecting the economic woes of the country, and people's living standards/purchasing power.

    • @oldskoolmusicnostalgia
      @oldskoolmusicnostalgia ปีที่แล้ว +7

      Tories and Brexiteers will say: it's not developing countries which are catching up to the UK, it's the UK which is catching up 😂

    • @giansideros
      @giansideros ปีที่แล้ว +23

      @@Paul-zu2he you think it's still worth even mentioning though, after all this decline and stagnation, you still want to go on about "woke" rubbish and distract yourself with histrionics than dare question conservative economics.

  • @Rachelschneider03
    @Rachelschneider03 ปีที่แล้ว +885

    Nice timing, great video. Only if a good amount of folks do what you guys teach, just imagine how many millionaires we already have or will have in the future. Not the sad statistics where at least 50% of people are living paycheck to paycheck, even for high income earners. Great contents as always!

    • @MariusNatt
      @MariusNatt ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@AshtonGrace >>Hold long term good growth companies DON'T LOOK AT IT DAILY…. Hold 5-10 years .. AMZN, GOOG, TESLA, META, MST …. Etc companies>> that are flush with money .. and don’t worry …. These companies are like mutual funds in of themselves … they are invsted in so many different things …JUST HOLD … also buy NOW they are on sale.

    • @ReidCoffman1
      @ReidCoffman1 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@MariusNatt We must look for safer investments with promising futures, if we are to be future-ready. If you have the mindset to invest five years in advance and simply keep DCA whenever you receive a check. Under the direction of my financial advisor, >>>"Autumn Lynzi Smith", my portfolio has grown by about £430,000....

    • @stevencooper7818
      @stevencooper7818 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@ReidCoffman1 >>these advisors are probably outperforming the market and getting good returns.>>> I'll give her a lookup, thanks for sharing this....😇

    • @coopsnz1
      @coopsnz1 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      There won't be more millionaire with more socalism policy the labor party will introduce

    • @Tosse901
      @Tosse901 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      @@coopsnz1 oh nooooo, not more millionaires buhuuu, what will we do? Man, I'd rather have less millionaires if therefore there are less really poor people!

  • @Jonpoo1
    @Jonpoo1 ปีที่แล้ว +193

    The economist had some good stats on this recently which were published quite widely online. They have had great coverage of the unique case of the British economy in the past few months generally.
    We really are in a bad position compared to our peers but a small class of very wealthy people and asset owners have done very well.

    • @vikingraider1961
      @vikingraider1961 ปีที่แล้ว

      Yup - JRM, the Barclay brothers (owners of the torygraph) and Viscount Rothermere (owner of the daily heil) all moved their investments to the EU as soon as it became apparent that we were leaving - an odd action, considering how they banged on about how the british economy would do so well outside of the EU... Of course what's actually happening is that they're "shorting" our economy - they expect it to tank and they can buy up whatever they want for peanuts.

    • @squareinsquare2078
      @squareinsquare2078 ปีที่แล้ว

      Brits should stop voting Tory. Why do the Brits want to be governed by posh nitwits that hate them?

    • @BigHenFor
      @BigHenFor ปีที่แล้ว +11

      The FT was much more vocal, and has a great video on Brexit here on their channel on TH-cam.

    • @buxton5165
      @buxton5165 ปีที่แล้ว +18

      There's a channel here on youtube, "garys economics" where he goes over how the wealthy are managing to make money at the cost of everyone else. It's worth watching his videos. He mainly complains about inequality, which is becoming a serious issue in britain.

    • @ricado372
      @ricado372 ปีที่แล้ว +7

      @buxton I second that. Gary's economics is a great channel and the great thing is if you go back to the covid days of the channel, you can see how all his predictions were spot on.

  • @pauli2169
    @pauli2169 ปีที่แล้ว +185

    He is absolutely right about the standard of living in the UK, it is already behind much of Europe and will definitely get worse in the foreseeable future. I see it when I go back home to the UK.

    • @Arltratlo
      @Arltratlo ปีที่แล้ว +7

      funny, for traveling to Spain, i just need my ID and the chances to be stopped are very slim
      but people from the UK need a passport and have to be controlled or they commit a crime!
      that must really suck!

    • @djtaylorutube
      @djtaylorutube ปีที่แล้ว

      @@Arltratlo That's only because the UK does not have a national identity card, the passport is the only accepted travel document. Same as if you go to say USA, you're not going to get there with a Spanish ID card.

    • @R_ilse
      @R_ilse ปีที่แล้ว +28

      Same, I live in the EU and when I go back to the U.K. to visit family, I notice how rundown everything looks. The government do not invest in most areas of the U.K. and it shows

    • @diegolove173
      @diegolove173 ปีที่แล้ว +22

      Went to France in December for a week and I my daughter 21 years old had a fever we call the doc within an hour we manage to have an appointment , I said to my wife while driving there's no potholes wtf is happening hahahahah we drove back to the UK and the Kent motorway was horrendous my wife said should we drive back to France hahahaha but yeah the UK is neglected

    • @philiphowell1505
      @philiphowell1505 ปีที่แล้ว +11

      @@R_ilse I live in the EU and never go back there, the family visits me lol, love from Gran Canaria.

  • @I_am_a_Cunning_Linguist
    @I_am_a_Cunning_Linguist ปีที่แล้ว +47

    As an Indian it was mindblowingly stupid to see UK trying a deal with India when they could have just stayed in EU and enjoyed free access to huge market and talent.

    • @cptadb93
      @cptadb93 ปีที่แล้ว +10

      Exactly, India already has the economic power to walk all over us in terms of making a deal, and that will only increase as time goes on.

    • @robtyman4281
      @robtyman4281 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      ​@@cptadb93 ...one senses a complete role reversal, compared to the relationship between the two countries that existed in the 19th and early 20th centuries.
      India is now in control and holds all the aces. While the UK is in the junior role. We exploited India back then......will they do the same to us (albeit in a modern way!) as this century progresses?
      It's going to be very interesting seeing how the relationship develops between the two countries over the next 30 years. And whether India will be in a position to fire thousands of British workers at short notice at a company or plant that's under Indian ownership; and hire Indians to replace them....paying for their travel, and lodging while they're in the UK.
      This is what Brexit is in reality. Anyone who thought it would return us to the 'centre of the world' again, with sunlit uplands around the corner, is frankly in cloud cuckooland.
      In reality we've opened ourselves up to India and China, to take full advantage of, and exploit. That's Brexit folks.
      Anything else was only ever a nostalgic dream rooted in a long gone past. And one that will never return.
      India are now the masters, and we - the servants.
      Again, this is Brexit. This what you voted for, by voting for Brexit. You made the choice.....now accept it and deal with it.

  • @distantraveller9876
    @distantraveller9876 ปีที่แล้ว +70

    Sadly, this country is going down the drain. If you can, leave now before things get worse and trust me they WILL get worse. My wife got a job offer in Amsterdam so we're moving in February which is a bit scary because none of us speak dutch or know much about Dutch culture, but we figured at this point it can't possibly be worse than staying in the UK.

    • @srinivaschillara4023
      @srinivaschillara4023 ปีที่แล้ว +4

      Aha don't worry, the Dutch are a slightly less humourous but a bit more honest version of you lot. I maybe be slightly wrong, but broadly right.

    • @jankoning6742
      @jankoning6742 ปีที่แล้ว +5

      don t worry you will have no problem with english in the netherlands

    • @vanderquast
      @vanderquast ปีที่แล้ว +11

      Wish you a very nice time in The Netherlands, don’t worry about our language, we Dutch understand English very well. Everywhere you can order your goods and services in English here. We accept that we are a small country that has to adapt to the world to survive economically 😊

    • @bmmaaate
      @bmmaaate ปีที่แล้ว +2

      The Dutch speak English very well and you will get on fine as long as you learn the simple pleasantry phrases. Gouden Morgen, Austublift, Dank u well.

    • @Ginoto
      @Ginoto ปีที่แล้ว

      You don’t have to speak Dutch to be succesful in The Netherlands, especially not in Amsterdam, english is nowadays the commun language there.

  • @sniferlip
    @sniferlip ปีที่แล้ว +208

    I thought it was common knowledge that GB is on the decline in all areas. Population, education, economy, everything. The banking center of Europe USED to be London. Since Brexit, it has been Brussels now. Banks (and money) have left England. Brits think they have a superior standard of living but in actuality there are millions of desperately poor people. It has been on the decline since the beginning of the 20th century

    • @BigHenFor
      @BigHenFor ปีที่แล้ว +36

      Please don't generalise. Britain whilst an EU member had both the richest and poorest regions in the EU at the same time. British people know about the poverty amongst them, but the middle class haven't had their share of income loss. Yet. They will, as it is the asset rich who are increasing both wealth and income inequality in their favour. Britain's economy is being cannibalised by its own wealthy people, aided, and abetted by the financial sector, who feel entitled to not to lose their wealth. Until the upper working class and the Middle Class work out that they and their descendants are being robbed, the deflation of the UK economy will continue.

    • @Arltratlo
      @Arltratlo ปีที่แล้ว

      and thanks to their political system,the UK will be faster a real 3rd world country, they must be careful, maybe India is sacking the British isles, because the EU will not touch it with a long stick!

    • @gio-oz8gf
      @gio-oz8gf ปีที่แล้ว +73

      @@zockblattshickleblender7758 It was never the EU's job to do anything for the ordinary British People. The EU provides a market that enables relatively frictionless trade between member states. The member states are responsible for taking advantage of the market and distributing the wealth that creates. Either you didn't listen to what was said or you didn't understand it.

    • @dirk2518
      @dirk2518 ปีที่แล้ว +46

      @@zockblattshickleblender7758most of legislation concerning quality of life is European. Food safety rules, environnemental protection, product quality.

    • @InnuendoXP
      @InnuendoXP ปีที่แล้ว

      @Zockblatt Shickleblender many of the workers rights that British people take for granted were brought in from the EU.
      And if the British people haven't benefitted from EU membership, that's a failure of British governance to distribute it's economic success across the broad strata of society.
      But so many English would let the toffs literally piss in their own front gardens and still never raise a vote against them, because the Sun told them it couldn't possibly be better under any other government even as it's actively making their lives worse.

  • @PETE4955
    @PETE4955 ปีที่แล้ว +9

    This is due to its historical means of finance: empire and colonialism. It's all gone, but the British parliament has a profound difficulty in acknowledging this fact.

    • @salkoharper2908
      @salkoharper2908 ปีที่แล้ว

      When the rich elite can't rob India and Africa anymore, they went back to robbing their own people in Britain.

  • @walkonhotcoals1277
    @walkonhotcoals1277 ปีที่แล้ว +97

    It’s the distribution of wealth. Always was and always will be. Wealth has been extracted from the British economy for decades now. Those actions are finally been felt.

    • @yellowgreen5229
      @yellowgreen5229 ปีที่แล้ว

      You mean our ancestors threw the wealth away!

    • @mahon257
      @mahon257 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      @garyseconomics might be of interest to you (I agree)

    • @iche9373
      @iche9373 ปีที่แล้ว

      Blame the conservative voters, they vote as if they were rich

    • @yellowgreen5229
      @yellowgreen5229 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@iche9373 ...and evil.

  • @mrstephenpariah
    @mrstephenpariah ปีที่แล้ว +104

    Decline by design.

    • @fmj9346
      @fmj9346 ปีที่แล้ว +7

      Absolutely

    • @derekmab7734
      @derekmab7734 ปีที่แล้ว

      Xenophobia, nationalism and isolationism are more important for the Leave voters than economics. They can eat these ideologies when they go hungry and use them to pay their bills, they can also use them as radiators to keep them warm in the freezing winter. Idiots.

    • @LonnieHalouska
      @LonnieHalouska ปีที่แล้ว +4

      An act of self harm.

    • @bigbensmith9504
      @bigbensmith9504 ปีที่แล้ว

      At last someone who knows

    • @CBEEBLE
      @CBEEBLE ปีที่แล้ว

      Disaster Capitalism

  • @iberiano-ls2rv
    @iberiano-ls2rv ปีที่แล้ว +93

    This video should be broadcaster in the whole UK.

    • @johnl.7754
      @johnl.7754 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Too bad it won’t be since the broadcasters would think that average people won’t be interested in listening (and they might be right not only in UK).

    • @sunrae3971
      @sunrae3971 ปีที่แล้ว

      Why? Not a brit but he sounds like Blair 20 years ago....services, services, holy grail, unicorns.

    • @iberiano-ls2rv
      @iberiano-ls2rv ปีที่แล้ว

      @@johnl.7754 very sad , as it seems that many people in the UK are blind and " zombified".

  • @stephenmuirhead5489
    @stephenmuirhead5489 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    I’m a Scot who got an MBA in the US and after 20 years of corporate life in the US, Europe and Canada I set up my own software testing and tech support business. After 5 years we reached $7million in revenue and I decided to open a sister operation in Europe and set it up in Glasgow. Within 6 months we were profitable and I applied for an overdraft facility at our UK bank. The response from ALL the banks I contacted “ Come back after you’ve been in business here for 3 years!” The “services” sector that the UK is so proud of is too risk adverse to compete effectively!😢

  • @ES-qm5hr
    @ES-qm5hr ปีที่แล้ว +62

    I left the UK after leaving university because I felt the opportunities in the UK were so sparse that I was basically wasting my time. I think that you do not need to be an economist looking at the data to see something is fundamentally wrong with UK society. There is a tangible feeling that the nation is rudderless, and that the elites of Britain are only interested in servicing a morally bankrupt clique of people who really don't care about the general wellbeing of society.
    The most worrying part of the interview was the moment where it was highlighted that we are in one of the worse economic situations the UK has ever faced, and there is neither alarm, nor solutions being posited. There should be alarm, and their should be accompanying solutions being thought up. It is not beyond the intellect and wit of the country to deal with the issues being faced, but it seems that no one with any power to do anything seems at all interested in addressing this crisis.
    After living abroad for many years, I now fear that I will never be able to return home because the level of disfunction is so high that it would be dooming me to poverty, and a drastic drop in my standard of living. I am hoping, quite selfishly, that soon real leaders appear who are able to implement practical, and pragmatic reforms to the country. I look around me where I live now, and see government which does this, so I know it is possible. My life experience has taught me that macro economic issues like this have to be addressed from the top down, and I hope soon political leaders in the UK realize this. As an average person, I feel helpless to do anything.

    • @bmmaaate
      @bmmaaate ปีที่แล้ว

      You are not an average person because you sound intelligent.

    • @Andrew-rc3vh
      @Andrew-rc3vh ปีที่แล้ว +3

      The person who is deciding the future of the BBC has 5 O levels and a qualification as a secretary. She became a baroness after working (sleeping?) with the right people in the US military.

    • @person.X.
      @person.X. ปีที่แล้ว +2

      Same. I emigrated over a decade ago and was intending to return but now not an attractive option. However at least I have accumulated non-Sterling assets so insulated somewhat from UK economy while my purchasing power has increased.

    • @ES-qm5hr
      @ES-qm5hr ปีที่แล้ว +2

      @@person.X. I am in a similar situation, but I think giving up your friends, family, and culture is a high price to pay for having a stable life. Though, I think it is a sensible decision, I would prefer to be able to maintain my important social connections, but not at the cost of bankrupting myself financially. I don't come from a background where I can rely on inherited wealth, or connections to fund living in the UK in the current economic climate.

    • @tomatom9666
      @tomatom9666 ปีที่แล้ว

      Reminds me of Portugal, I had to leave there in order to find good work and have anything really, even as a freelancer it was frustrating there because there is absolutely no infrastructure for entrepreneurship or innovation, and getting anything done, for example changing an adress in a beaurocracy can take months.

  • @ericconnor8419
    @ericconnor8419 ปีที่แล้ว +128

    I had a nice little business supplying Italian heritage vegetable seeds to Britain and British oak saplings to Holland but it was destroyed. I rarely go outside now. I could have coped with losing it to a war or bad weather, but to have my own people wreck it is devastating. The sad part I can't even leave now. I didn't want to before but now I wish I could.

    • @roasthunter
      @roasthunter ปีที่แล้ว +4

      It's a shame to hear how the EU won't let you trade with the UK anymore, the EU is a protection racket for members that the UK left and so they are on outside of it now.

    • @dominicestebanrice7460
      @dominicestebanrice7460 ปีที่แล้ว +85

      @@roasthunter Yeah, it's a shame that the golf club that I refused to abide by the rules and pay the membership fees won't let me use the course and clubhouse facilities anymore...the golf club committee is so unfair!

    • @roasthunter
      @roasthunter ปีที่แล้ว

      @@dominicestebanrice7460 you best join one of the other golf clubs then.

    • @ZubbaKon
      @ZubbaKon ปีที่แล้ว +52

      @@roasthunter The whole Brexit plan was to have further access to the common-market at discount conditions. Reasoning that the EU could not afford to lose free trade with the UK. And that backfired. Badly.
      It is not the EU's fault that the UK had such unreasonable expectations.

    • @edwardmclaughlin7935
      @edwardmclaughlin7935 ปีที่แล้ว

      Eric Connor
      I'm sorry to hear of your failed business. I think I might guess what you refer to as it being wrecked by 'my own people', but I can't be sure. What precisely caused its demise?

  • @Exposemedia4u
    @Exposemedia4u ปีที่แล้ว +18

    The NHS don’t work , public transport doesn’t work , the infrastructure is a total mess , crime is out of hand . I’ve been in the Uk for 25 yrs and I cannot see how Britain can be “turned around” it’s a very sad situation.

    • @maywalker997
      @maywalker997 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

      It can be turned around but it needs a party with brains, talent and the resolve to build more of an ecomony by spending taxes wisely on developing infrastructure. None of these will ever happen under a Tory watch though (and the Tories should never be forgiven for what they have done).

  • @gerrypowell2748
    @gerrypowell2748 ปีที่แล้ว +37

    Each time I go back to the UK.from France,I see a massive difference in its economy,I then think,I made the right move to leave😢

  • @johndoe1909
    @johndoe1909 ปีที่แล้ว +44

    I dont thinks its that slow after all. 4% yearly shrinking is quite impressive....

  • @Jeet-2023
    @Jeet-2023 ปีที่แล้ว +8

    A british-indian here. After living in Britain for 15 long years, working in high-tech making 6 times that of national average income, post brexit I decided to leave the UK and moved to Germany. I could see it coming & it's not about brexit.

    • @yingyang1008
      @yingyang1008 ปีที่แล้ว

      As someone of Indian heritage, maybe you can work towards convincing India to open its borders to millions of Pakistani and other Muslims, with Hindus becoming a minority in their own country
      This would be a good example for others to follow and help promote the benefits of mass immigration

    • @clarissagafoor5222
      @clarissagafoor5222 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@yingyang1008 He mav be Anglo-Indian - thus NOT of Indian heritage!

    • @yingyang1008
      @yingyang1008 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@clarissagafoor5222 He isn't though is he
      In any case, we should help idea diversify but opening up those borders

  • @gungadin900
    @gungadin900 ปีที่แล้ว +52

    Productivity in the UK has traditionally been low compared to France and Germany, We are falling further behind in that regard because low wages and zero hours contracts present little in the way of encouragement to be more productive.

    • @diskopartizan0850
      @diskopartizan0850 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      Fixed term contracts and employers not investing in employees too.

    • @baronvonlimbourgh1716
      @baronvonlimbourgh1716 ปีที่แล้ว +17

      It is a leftover from the empire days.
      Britain never had to invest in productivity. It got everything it needed from their colonies for free, by labourers who worked for free or ultra cheap. No need to invest in productivity because you will always have the competitive edge that way.
      And that exactly instilled a focus on productivity increase in the countries surrounding britain because that was the only way for them to increase competitiveness against the uk.
      Once the uk lost it's empire the decline started instantly. It was a long way in front so it wasn't obvious at the time i think, but by the 70s the lack of productivity growth had taken it's toll.
      The cycle of decline was broken by joining the eec, and that did hide the problem again.
      Now the uk left the eu and it is back to where it left off in the 70s because fundamentally not much has changed in the meantime.

    • @zuzanazuscinova5209
      @zuzanazuscinova5209 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@baronvonlimbourgh1716 Exactly this. Hard to see how things can turn around.

    • @baronvonlimbourgh1716
      @baronvonlimbourgh1716 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@zuzanazuscinova5209 it eventually has to turn around somewhere somehow. The question is how much hurt does it take to make the necesary changes..

    • @danieljones741
      @danieljones741 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@baronvonlimbourgh1716...ein Volk von herdamits, was how i first heard the empirists being called after i settled in Germany! That hit the same nail as you do, sadly nothing's changed.

  • @LordOfLight
    @LordOfLight ปีที่แล้ว +76

    And there are still uncounted numbers who affect to believe Brexit is a good thing.

    • @davidpearn5925
      @davidpearn5925 ปีที่แล้ว +6

      Optional voting is dangerous………..but appreciated by Vladimir Putin.

    • @jayneryan6395
      @jayneryan6395 ปีที่แล้ว +9

      52% I believe :)

    • @davidpearn5925
      @davidpearn5925 ปีที่แล้ว +12

      @@jayneryan6395 now down to 36%

    • @jerryorange6983
      @jerryorange6983 ปีที่แล้ว +7

      Yes those ones who are happy with saving 1 Boris bus by paying 3 buses for the privilege. (9bn EU membership, 40 bn lost in taxes because of Brexit in 2022)

    • @chriselliott726
      @chriselliott726 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      @@davidpearn5925 But far too late to matter.

  • @crookedpaths6612
    @crookedpaths6612 ปีที่แล้ว +10

    Things are going to explode in this country, I can feel it. Crime is on the up, prisons are in a bad state, schools are failing, police are a shambles. Add to that inflation and a recession with possible job losses and unemployment …

  • @olih27
    @olih27 ปีที่แล้ว +47

    This is an absolutely damning appraisal of our future

    • @2msvalkyrie529
      @2msvalkyrie529 ปีที่แล้ว

      More impotent fury from Remainers .! Why not actually DO something about it ? Like start a
      Rejoin Party . Farage did it !
      It's a pity the EU don't actually want Britain back . I'm sure you'll think of something !

  • @mozartsbumbumsrus7750
    @mozartsbumbumsrus7750 ปีที่แล้ว +15

    I grew up and spent half my life in California. I've lived in Londongrad since 1976. Britain has always been a basket case but delusion and denial has always ruled the British. Reality is denied. As a high art musician I've lived and worked on the continent and never has Britain been any good place to work. Nowhere is perfect but some places are better than others. Britain is thoroughly corrupt and wretched unless you're wealthy. Brexit killed productivity. There's no hope or chance for productivity with Brexit. Brexit is GREAT for tge rich Brexiteers who love slavery for the Brittunculi. Brexit is permanent and so is the gravy train for the Brexiteers. Job done.

    • @yingyang1008
      @yingyang1008 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      "Brexit killed productivity" - maybe it will, but Britain has always lagged behind in terms of productivity, this is nothing new

  • @pehash
    @pehash ปีที่แล้ว +42

    For a country that is in decline for 150 years, they sure as hell made a mistake by leaving EU.

    • @gedog77
      @gedog77 ปีที่แล้ว

      Yes they did. Stupid

    • @markanthony3275
      @markanthony3275 ปีที่แล้ว

      No, the idea was the right one, but their own policies of mass immigration and climate change crap is kneecapping them. Just imagine what Britain would be like right now if none of the immigrants who came there in the last twenty years, were there today.You wouldn't have an overloaded healthcare system, you wouldn't have insane housing shortages and high costs for housing, you wouldn't have a scarcity of employment...you wouldn't have the current level of crime.

    • @gedog77
      @gedog77 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@markanthony3275 yes you would. The housing shortage isn’t down to immigration. The course of most of our issues is failure to invest on the part of our government. Healthcare failures were predicted 25urs ago at least. I was there at the time. That’s about demographic change and more older and sicker people.

    • @gedog77
      @gedog77 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@markanthony3275 and climate change is a scientific fact. Gravity is real, the earth is round and we did cause climate change and it is now killing us.

    • @mitchyoung93
      @mitchyoung93 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      @@gedog77 Because immigrants live under toadstools, right?

  • @saddoncarrs6963
    @saddoncarrs6963 ปีที่แล้ว +23

    England, once the seat of a strong union and a mighty empire, has been on a long slow bumpy downward spiral since WW1. Brexit is all part of that decline. I'd say the country has a ways to go yet but, by all accounts, there is no reverse gear and the nation appears to be heading inextricably towards a rather rocky bottom - with the tories leading the way. There is no empire left, and soon no union.

    • @bigbensmith9504
      @bigbensmith9504 ปีที่แล้ว

      By design.....why don't people understand that......Kalergi plan etc......they work over decades and generations. China style society is the chosen way for all of us. They have to destruct the west to get us there.

  • @justsayen2024
    @justsayen2024 ปีที่แล้ว +33

    It doesn't matter what anybody does at this point it's a long road back.
    But one thing that I do know is this government has to go,, it seems to me they're only interested nouveau serfdom.

    • @ernestthesmallholder559
      @ernestthesmallholder559 ปีที่แล้ว

      It is not just for one term of office. The Conservatives need defeating and the party and ideology broken up and discredited as with all imperialist parties and groups.
      This is the problem as wealth and power is so centralised in Britain. Over centralisation of power is the main reason why the Soviet Union collapsed.
      There is nothing wrong with basic capitalism ( Even the USSR and China had capitalism ).
      But, monopolised capitalism caused stagnation. More concentraion of wealth stagnates the economy.
      The trickle down theory doesn't exist.
      There needs to be public ownership of the economy by wider share ownership among all sections of the population and the people taking investment decision on an individual basis.

    • @bmmaaate
      @bmmaaate ปีที่แล้ว

      All of them, including the opposition and the silly useless side parties. We need a system that works, not a bunch of drunken idiots having a banter party all day long my right honourable friend.

  • @TheFinav
    @TheFinav ปีที่แล้ว +17

    I too left the country. There were personal reasons for this, so it was not solely down to Brexit. Nevertheless Brexit made the decision very, very easy. It saddens me to think of my family and friends in the UK now, with worse economic prospects, with fewer rights than they had before, with an underfunded and consequently broken healthcare system. Though I confess I feel less sorry for those that (a) voted for Brexit, (b) continue to insist the UK is better off.

    • @judeirwin2222
      @judeirwin2222 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      “ none so blind as those that will not see.”

    • @alextabet9247
      @alextabet9247 ปีที่แล้ว

      Close the borders? LOL. A colonialist country has no right to closed border borders. And Brexit did not close the border anyway. There are more migrants entering the UK now than there were Pre-Brexit.

    • @andrewnielsen3178
      @andrewnielsen3178 ปีที่แล้ว

      They are like Trump voters - beyond understanding.

  • @brydenholley1904
    @brydenholley1904 ปีที่แล้ว +162

    I left the country and many others have done the same since Brexit. At an individual level, I'm not sure there's much the average person can do, other than 'vote with your feet'. The politicians are hopeless across both big parties. None of them have any real solution to offer. The UK has a long, hard road ahead. Great video though, thanks for sharing 👍

    • @jjbiggmann5576
      @jjbiggmann5576 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      WHERE DID YOU GO....IF YOU DONT MIND ME ASKING.

    • @derekmab7734
      @derekmab7734 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Xenophobia, nationalism and isolationism are more important for the Leave voters than economics. They can eat these ideologies when they go hungry and use them to pay their bills, they can also use them as radiators to keep them warm in the freezing winter. Now food banks are spreading all over the country. Idiots and arrogant!

    • @rredford01
      @rredford01 ปีที่แล้ว +5

      I am planning to leave too, thoroughly fed up

    • @sarahpengelly8439
      @sarahpengelly8439 ปีที่แล้ว +16

      I am British & living in NL.
      Unfortunately most of us with British passports are confined to the country we live in. Yes, we lost our entitlement to free movement too.

    • @R_ilse
      @R_ilse ปีที่แล้ว +2

      @@sarahpengelly8439 same! Would you consider a Dutch passport one day? Me and my partner are thinking about it but the prospect of giving up our British passport is daunting in case something happens to our families in the U.K.

  • @NickAskew
    @NickAskew ปีที่แล้ว +92

    We moved to the Netherlands nearly thirty years ago. Back then we saw it as a stepping stone for our careers and we would be back in the UK within a few years. However we quickly found that life here suited us and that in many ways we were better off here than back in the UK.
    Now some of that was just due to location as we are now able to far more easily reach facilities such as shops, bars, restaurants as we are living in a much more built up part of the Netherlands than where we were in the UK. But other tangible things are also better, commuting is far easier as we have cycle lanes and great public transport. Attitudes towards employees is also better here and employees tend to get more respect from management rather than being seen as a tool for the business to use. I'd also mention that it is wonderful to be working in a culturally diverse country where other cultures are generally welcomed.
    However I would not say cost of living is better. Our house is far smaller than most of our family and friends in the UK and the cost is high. Similarly the weekly shopping is not cheap, health care is paid via insurance, utility bills are high, petrol prices are high, and taxes are high. However this last point means that society can afford to take care of the poor in society so generally the gap between rich and poor is not so big and that to me is a good thing.
    I absolutely would not want to trade living here with the UK although we still miss friends and family.

    • @eddielasowsky7777
      @eddielasowsky7777 ปีที่แล้ว

      You are not welcome back to the UK and that drivel you wrote is the reason why.

    • @roelkomduur8073
      @roelkomduur8073 ปีที่แล้ว +4

      Bare in mind that the Netherlands is 40% reclaimed land, is still keeping a whole lot of people dry ( unlike the annual floods in the UK ) you can say that our taxes are a bargain...

    • @NickAskew
      @NickAskew ปีที่แล้ว +2

      @@roelkomduur8073 Ah, yes, our potential here for a serious flood has not escaped me and we are doing really well to keep ourselves dry. As I said, I do not object to higher taxes and your point is perfectly valid that we do have extra costs.

    • @roelkomduur8073
      @roelkomduur8073 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      @@NickAskew We in the Netherlands don't often realise our good fortune....We can be a bit moody over our "karnemelk"...

    • @NickAskew
      @NickAskew ปีที่แล้ว +4

      @@roelkomduur8073 🤣Ah yes, karnemelk. I have spent nearly 30 years trying to avoid that experience along with salmiak ballen. I remember once picking up a glass of what I though was halfvolle melk only to find it was karnemelk. It reminded me of the milk we used to get in school which sometimes was left out in the sun for too long. Not, in my opinion, a positive aspect of Dutch life but certainly not a reason to go back to the island. 😂

  • @marianhunt8899
    @marianhunt8899 ปีที่แล้ว +8

    Austerity is like expecting a sick cow to recover by feeding her less and expecting her to produce more milk.

  • @mybrotherscomputer
    @mybrotherscomputer ปีที่แล้ว +27

    Even back in the late 2000s, coming to Britain from the Netherlands it was shocking to me how poor certain parts of the UK were. I left 10 years later, after Brexit out of petty annoyance, but honestly its been the best decision. Love London, but the UK is not a good place to live

    • @Soraviel
      @Soraviel ปีที่แล้ว +3

      London is a good place to live (depending on what you do)....but the rest UK (I'd not recommend the rest of the UK).

    • @LonnieHalouska
      @LonnieHalouska ปีที่แล้ว +3

      The U.K. has been downgraded to an "emerging market economy.". That's a euphemism. The U.K. economy is old, decrepit and ossified. It's power was always dependent on exploitation of its imperial possessions.

    • @yingyang1008
      @yingyang1008 ปีที่แล้ว

      It was always this way - things are better now than 30-40 years ago

    • @nudgenudgewinkwink3212
      @nudgenudgewinkwink3212 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@Soraviel The rest of the U.K would disagree and have the opposite view.

    • @hieroglyph321
      @hieroglyph321 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Good move. I'm stuck here due to family. Depressing.

  • @steffanwillis681
    @steffanwillis681 ปีที่แล้ว +43

    Its already happening, I moved to Asia 3 years ago for what I thought would be a couple of years. The growth, dynamism and opportunity is incredible. Quality of life is so much higher. Other than family ties, moving back unfortunately makes no economic sense

    • @EpitomeLocke
      @EpitomeLocke ปีที่แล้ว +2

      Where in Asia did you go if you don't mind me asking?

    • @midlifecarsis6420
      @midlifecarsis6420 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      It doesn't make any sense if you care about your health, overall quality of life, good weather and your children either.

    • @johnl.7754
      @johnl.7754 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@midlifecarsis6420 there’s many countries in Asia many of which is better for the things you listed.

    • @midlifecarsis6420
      @midlifecarsis6420 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@johnl.7754 yes that's what I said...

    • @sheehyjessica1991
      @sheehyjessica1991 ปีที่แล้ว

      As Chinese people in uk who doing business , just felt so depressed compared to what happened in my own country. Do you think I have to leave uk and back to my own country ?

  • @extramild1
    @extramild1 ปีที่แล้ว +8

    Speaking as Irishman I don't know whether to laugh or cry watching the UK turn into Argentina upon Thames.

    • @revol148
      @revol148 ปีที่แล้ว

      @John Spencer come on John we in the UK are turning into the Israel of Europe - please hate us as you wish and similar to the Israelis we really don't care what people think ! Btw how is the Celtic tiger doing?

  • @Nemo59646
    @Nemo59646 ปีที่แล้ว +25

    12 years of the Conservative Party throw in Brexit.

    • @Nemo59646
      @Nemo59646 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @sarmatiancat-a-phract8705 Agree New Labor. Started the war against disabled people and the unemployed with Welfare to Work import from the USA.

    • @bmmaaate
      @bmmaaate ปีที่แล้ว

      @Sarmatian Cat-a-phract New labour didn't push for Brexit. That was Johnson and Cameron.

  • @grahamargent8057
    @grahamargent8057 ปีที่แล้ว +72

    In the near future one of the main drag against UK GDP improving is that the bulk of the population deemed to be the mass market consumers as a group in aggregate are becoming inexorably poorer

    • @baronvonlimbourgh1716
      @baronvonlimbourgh1716 ปีที่แล้ว +9

      That's all part of the cycle. It snowbals and accelerates. Poorer people means less economic activity, which means even poorer people, which means even less economic activity. It is very hard to break the cycle.
      This is what happened in the 70 and the cycle was broken by joining the eec.
      Now the uk left again and the cycle returns because very little has fundamentally changed since the 70s.

    • @LonnieHalouska
      @LonnieHalouska ปีที่แล้ว +2

      Resulting in crushing debt. Ordinary citizens are having to get groceries on credit.

    • @frida507
      @frida507 ปีที่แล้ว +5

      The "trickle down" effect clearly doesn't work as promised... Why make your country a tax haven for rich foreigners who drive up the cost of housing but don't have to contribute with proper taxes?

    • @yellowgreen5229
      @yellowgreen5229 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      @@frida507 because they own our politicians

    • @baronvonlimbourgh1716
      @baronvonlimbourgh1716 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      @@frida507 having rich friends and giving them favors makes you rich as well.

  • @fransdigitalmediaservices3912
    @fransdigitalmediaservices3912 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    When I studied economics as a module in the early 90's in London, we had a book called "the decline of Britian" which it claimed the decline started just after world war 1. If it was not for the empire the country would have been bankrupt. It has been claimed that the wealthy class in Britian are more focussed on internation investment and incomes derived from legacy international investments and therefore seem to be happy with an unequal society at home.

  • @ben_9134
    @ben_9134 ปีที่แล้ว +62

    About 40% of my monthly income is spent on rent. The housing crisis is the biggest drag on investment, personal development, economic productivity and growth this country has seen since WW2.

    • @andrewwalsh2755
      @andrewwalsh2755 ปีที่แล้ว

      Who knew that increasing population, combined with money laundering of dirty money from Russia and Israel etc into UK property market... would lead to house price inflation and misery for many?
      (Well done Tony Blair!... Kier Starmer is just waiting to follow in your footsteps... 😱)

    • @Brit_Toolmaker
      @Brit_Toolmaker ปีที่แล้ว

      Yes well that's all well and good, but rental income with the double bubble of serf-paid equity, is for the middle classes (vis a vis today's political class of both colours) a state of financial nirvana, they're not letting go of that in a hurry. See how Cherie Blair behaved when the tax rules were adjusted for proof.

    • @suckmyartauds
      @suckmyartauds ปีที่แล้ว +6

      I'm curious to see the statistics about the rent burden in UK vs EU vs USA (where I'm from). It seems to be a problem in every rich country but I don't know if its technically worse in UK

    • @giansideros
      @giansideros ปีที่แล้ว +2

      Don't forget that ultimately employers have to pay this rent in the form of wages, with which speculators and landlords have been profiting from.
      So as long as rent remains high and Brexit is creating barriers, then manufacturers will struggle to justify investing capital in the UK when the cost of labour is ever rising due to ever rising mortgages and rents.

    • @stevenfarrall3942
      @stevenfarrall3942 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      Yup. And that has zero to do with Brexit. That's government policy failure from forever but accelerating from 1997. At the back of it is very bad money and a policy of subsidising land owners.

  • @rossmurray6849
    @rossmurray6849 ปีที่แล้ว +55

    "Austerity" was a disastrous policy. It's debateable whether the Government Debt to GDP Ratio was ever a major concern, but even if you accept that, there are two ways to tackle it: austerity (cut spending and raise taxes) or growing the economy. Interest rates were at historic lows at that time which means there had never been a better time to preference growing the economy over austerity.

    • @heem6619
      @heem6619 ปีที่แล้ว +14

      And that window of opportunity has probably been missed forever. The history books will not be kind to the post 2010 Tory govts.

    • @rossmurray6849
      @rossmurray6849 ปีที่แล้ว +4

      @@Paul-zu2he In most economic cycles I would agreed with that. But I think 2009 to 2020 was the exception. That was a period when govts should have been borrowing to invest in infrastructure.

    • @mynameisjoejeans
      @mynameisjoejeans ปีที่แล้ว +4

      @@Paul-zu2hegovernment borrowing costs were functionally zero when inflation was accounted for. It rly was the perfect time to spend.

    • @chuck1804
      @chuck1804 ปีที่แล้ว +10

      Most policies on the Tories' watch have been disasterous, it seems. How they kept getting voted in I will never understand.

    • @markanthony3275
      @markanthony3275 ปีที่แล้ว

      You will never grow your economy if you embrace the climate change religion. All those "green jobs" or "jobs in the new economy" don't actually exist. Do you really trust your gov't to create them ?...because nobody else will.

  • @martinhunter1187
    @martinhunter1187 ปีที่แล้ว +9

    I’m so glad the interviewer pointed out that we can hardly be a nation of lawyers & film directors 😂

  • @paulmackilligin1754
    @paulmackilligin1754 ปีที่แล้ว +28

    The financial crisis of 2007/8 and Brexit are not unrelated. Wages in the UK have stagnated from 2007 onwards, and yet THE major cost people face, which is housing, has risen very sharply since then. Average UK house prices have virtually doubled over that fifteen-year period, even though the headline inflation rate has been quite low.
    If people in the UK had been feeling that things were getting better, not worse - that they were getting richer, not poorer - then they would not have voted to change the status-quo by voting to Leave the EU in such numbers.
    Rapidly-rising house prices can be a sign of a failing economy. Capital has to go somewhere. It doesn't sit on a shelf. If you have money in a bank account, the bank will be investing that capital somewhere. If the productive economy is not providing a good return on investment then the alternative is to invest in property, in land, in commercial property, and in the UK housing market. UK housing has for some time provided better returns overall than investing in industry, so all that capital inevitably chases property, which further pushes up prices, further improving returns.
    And then there is that clever stealth tax known as QI or Quantitative Easing. Since 2008 roughly £1 Trillion has been 'printed' by the Bank of England and lent to Government. That represents a very efficient transfer of value from citizens to government of approximately £40,000 per UK household over that period. Of course when you 'print' money and spend it, that devalues the currency. A house in 2022 is worth exactly the same as a house in 2008 (i.e. it is worth exactly one house) but the £150k that could have bought that house in 2008 is now only worth half a house.
    Those who own property have been somewhat insulated from that QI stealth tax due to rising house prices, but those who do not own property have been absolutely hammered.

    • @paulmackilligin1754
      @paulmackilligin1754 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      @Gethin Hooper Cheap imported consumer goods, yes, that's right. Since they are "not making land any more" it would make sense to take house prices as a benchmark of value. (I like the US term, 'real estate', as land-based property is real and stable.) Changes in production and distribution methods do not affect the real value of houses very much, because a high proportion of house value is the value of the land itself.
      So, taking average house prices as a rough benchmark, we can say that the real cost of consumer goods has fallen fast since 2007, together with the value of the currency. Real wages have fallen over that period at roughly the same rate as the cost of consumer goods. This has been a more-or-less sustainable situation for those who own property and have a reasonable wage, because mortgage interest rates have been extremely low over that period.
      What we are seeing now with headline inflation rates rising fast, food prices rising even faster, and a labour shortage driving wages up, is perhaps a correction. Prices and wages are still much lower in real terms than they were in 2007, and have a ways to go to get back to those levels.
      For me, the real tragedy in all this is that the UK economy (the actual productive economy that actually makes things and generates actual prosperity) has been eviscerated, and largely replaced by a speculative economy based on buying and selling property. It's like the old joke about the mining village where the pit had been closed down and there was no work. "Oh, we all make a few pounds by taking in each other's washing."
      We have now the phenomenon of people choosing to leave the labour market, becoming 'economically inactive'. The sad fact is that for many many people, their house earned more last year than they themselves earned by working full time. It has become clear to many that work is often an unhelpful distraction from the real business of building up personal wealth and security through the accumulation of property.

    • @roasthunter
      @roasthunter ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Very well put

    • @LonnieHalouska
      @LonnieHalouska ปีที่แล้ว

      Excellent points. The financial shenanigans leading to 2008 were a stake through the heart of the British system.

    • @yingyang1008
      @yingyang1008 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      So let's bring in millions more immigrants

    • @roasthunter
      @roasthunter ปีที่แล้ว

      @@yingyang1008 educated skilled people with money come over to the UK.

  • @rickmaurer8726
    @rickmaurer8726 ปีที่แล้ว +17

    Just shocking that workers who are underpaid, starving, freezing, or sick are not as productive as individuals in other countries who are not. But good luck convincing the top 2% that matters....

    • @aliasgharkhoyee9501
      @aliasgharkhoyee9501 ปีที่แล้ว

      That makes sense, but is this about individuals? Overall output (sales numbers) aren't mainly dependant on workers I think it's determined more by how advanced the production machinery/technology is, how much spare income domestic consumers have, exchange rates and trade deals for export customers, etc

    • @marianhunt8899
      @marianhunt8899 ปีที่แล้ว

      100% correct

  • @shakilkamal8194
    @shakilkamal8194 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    18th and 19th century money was looted from colonies, India and Africa in particular, since the loss of the lootable colonies, decline started in 40's and 50;s, Brexit is a nail in the coffin, Professionals should work abroad now.

  • @randyduerr503
    @randyduerr503 ปีที่แล้ว +28

    Make the overall volume of your program louder

    • @machidaman
      @machidaman ปีที่แล้ว +1

      I'm hard of hearing and can hear them perfectly well.

    • @mrstephenpariah
      @mrstephenpariah ปีที่แล้ว +2

      @@machidaman Depends on the device. It is relatively low volume.

    • @Jonpoo1
      @Jonpoo1 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      Yep. The relative levels are fine. They just need to be higher overall.

    • @nortoncommando2516
      @nortoncommando2516 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      Hear hear!

    • @chriselliott726
      @chriselliott726 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@machidaman Well that's alright. As long as you are OK!

  • @MsNimpnimp
    @MsNimpnimp ปีที่แล้ว +99

    Well done, Will Dunn and Weldon.

    • @o_o8203
      @o_o8203 ปีที่แล้ว +7

      This is why English is such a hard language to learn 🤣

    • @ericr4b
      @ericr4b ปีที่แล้ว +1

      ❤ touche

    • @wongbenyb2679
      @wongbenyb2679 ปีที่แล้ว +10

      That sound like a Londonor, a Geordie and a Scot went for a steak

    • @judeirwin2222
      @judeirwin2222 ปีที่แล้ว

      For the average Brit, it’s Ben Dover and Roger Mee.

    • @adilaa545
      @adilaa545 ปีที่แล้ว

      The mother h've got sense humor

  • @sdt4907
    @sdt4907 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    We would love to welcome you back. ❤️ from Germany to our European friends in UK

    • @coc_is_me
      @coc_is_me ปีที่แล้ว +2

      Would we though? From another EU country I think we can live without the UK’s negative disruption in the community

    • @a.r.stellmacher8709
      @a.r.stellmacher8709 ปีที่แล้ว

      No thanks! The EU is doing much better without England in it.

  • @jimbod9116
    @jimbod9116 ปีที่แล้ว +21

    Remarkable how this downturn coincides almost perfectly with the conservative government, not.

    • @SirAntoniousBlock
      @SirAntoniousBlock ปีที่แล้ว +2

      In 2008 in Australia instead of austerity the Labor government gave every recipient of a government payment $900 with the instruction to go out and spend! Which they did and so the GFC was shrugged off.

    • @roasthunter
      @roasthunter ปีที่แล้ว

      @@SirAntoniousBlock the UK did it with COVID, then people wonder why inflation went through the roof, money dilution, more money in the economy combined with energy price surge.

    • @SirAntoniousBlock
      @SirAntoniousBlock ปีที่แล้ว

      @@roasthunter True, same in Australia, people who were unemployed or weren't allowed to work were paid the average wage for a 3 day week which in some cases meant a pay increase, that and difficulty of supply caused inflation but nothing like in the UK.

    • @roasthunter
      @roasthunter ปีที่แล้ว

      @@SirAntoniousBlock One of the main drivers of inflation here, other than dilution of money through covid and money printing, has been energy prices but that's coming back down, petrol was touching £2/litre but that's down below £1.50/litre. Gas wholesale was up massively but that's dropped back and it will feed through in the next few months. Inflation in the UK isn't very different from US or mainland Europe.

    • @SirAntoniousBlock
      @SirAntoniousBlock ปีที่แล้ว

      @@roasthunter Well no, the US and Aus are around 6-7% and the UK and EU rate is around 10%, wages growth is another big factor.
      Petrol is about twice the price in the UK as it is in Aus.

  • @mandenakis
    @mandenakis ปีที่แล้ว +11

    I left the UK in 2017 and was working remotely for UK-based companies until 2019. I am a European citizen and I always considered the UK to be my home, even more than my country of origin. It is really heartbreaking to not have the same rights as I used to. The majority of my friends still live there and I am astonished about the change in prices across the board. I'm still in talks with various businesses for UK job opportunities but honestly it's not worth it. The salaries haven't increased significantly and when considering PPP they have actually decreased. I hope the situation improves.

    • @dkir3829
      @dkir3829 ปีที่แล้ว

      If you are comparing salaries with Norway/Denmark etc...obviously salaries not great, but in Engineering/construction, salaries have increased. 2018 - grad salary for engineer was 20K GBP, now grads can demand 30K GBP

    • @roasthunter
      @roasthunter ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@dkir3829 we pay grads well over 30k a year, this is in reality for people with no experience but potential.

    • @dkir3829
      @dkir3829 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      @@roasthunter this is almost an Australian grad salary which is very good for a British grad

    • @roasthunter
      @roasthunter ปีที่แล้ว +3

      @@dkir3829 £30k is pretty good for a 21 year old who has no experience. Having said that the issue is that they won't get much property now with that kind of salary as property values are so high.

    • @2msvalkyrie529
      @2msvalkyrie529 ปีที่แล้ว

      You would have had Automatic
      Right to Remain ! Why didn't you
      get that ?

  • @mdaniels6311
    @mdaniels6311 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    I live in Thailand so come to the UK about once or twice a year. Evrtytikd I come back I see the decline, just little things like more homeless people, the streets not being upgraded, I can't see the doctor, my sisters can't afford gas or childcare, just general social decline.
    If I lived in London with my job, I'd have to live in cramped flat share.
    Here in Thailand I have a lovely two bed apartment and can save 1000 a month. I can just get in a taxi on a Friday afternoon and travel 80km down to the beach get a hotel, eat out, etc. (which I'm likley doing this weekend).
    I could NEVER live like that in the UK

  • @momo8200
    @momo8200 ปีที่แล้ว +16

    The good start to the UK is 1) education, a revamp closer to German education focusing on emerging skills of the future. 2) Infrastructure, increase investment in everything from faster, accessible internet to better rail. 3) Seek closer relations with the EU single market, perhaps a better trade deal that includes financial services etc..

    • @baronvonlimbourgh1716
      @baronvonlimbourgh1716 ปีที่แล้ว +11

      Financial services is the reason the uk left the eu. They did not want to comply to new eu regulations.
      An agreement that sees the return of fnancial services to the uk again is just not going to happen. It is moving into the eurozone now and the eu is never allowing that trend to reverse again. Especially not to a non-eu country.

    • @markanthony3275
      @markanthony3275 ปีที่แล้ว

      "If you get woke...you go broke". And Britain is "woke".

    • @Soraviel
      @Soraviel ปีที่แล้ว +4

      @@baronvonlimbourgh1716 Spot on. It is way too late for the Uk to make amends when the tories screwed that up like hell already.

    • @baronvonlimbourgh1716
      @baronvonlimbourgh1716 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      @@Soraviel it is just common sense.
      If you make rules to combat something problematic to society and then the country that specificly specialises in and invented what you want to combat decides to pack up and leave to not have to abide by those rules, would you let them have it again? Especially when they are still outside of the jurisdiction of your rules?
      For the rest no bridges have been burned yet i think. The EU members have all been very patient with the uk and have just let the tories be. Even after all the threats, foul play and attempts to sabotage the eu/uk relationship the eu has kept it's calm and simply responded professionally to all the stupidity comming from the uk.
      This was almost certainly done to not poison the relation with the UK. Governments are temporary, aliances exist across generations. Eventually the tories will be gone and some presumably more capable set of leadership will replace them when the public comes to it's senses.
      At that point things can be picked up again without hard feelings either side and we can work together again to a better future for all of us.
      Allowing the tories to burn all bridges and turn eu/uk relations toxic they will have won and have gotten their way. The EU has time on it's side and can afford to wait for them to simply disapear.

    • @johns5558
      @johns5558 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      I would say:
      4) Watch out for excessive corporatism. this is the tangible bad-side from the US alliance (aside from various not-so-legitimate wars). Many EU countries are simply more employee friendly, and that matters alot.
      5) Consider whether the monarchy is correlated or causal in this equation. The UK Monarchy seems to hold such a special place, but Im not convinced of its utility, spirit or role. Also true of the power of the UK and American press. Better if Brits find a better footing of self-determination rather than a notion of sovereignty based on the monarchy. Sovereignty based on true self determination - as the acts in WWII truly were.

  • @Yggrdrasil
    @Yggrdrasil ปีที่แล้ว +38

    Every time I travel to Europe I notice the stark contrast in the standard of living and wellbeing of the citizens. I am actively making moves to leave and am grateful for the EU passport I currently hold.

    • @bushwhackeddos.2703
      @bushwhackeddos.2703 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      Why are the people in the dinghies fleeing the EU?

    • @zuzanazuscinova5209
      @zuzanazuscinova5209 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      @@bushwhackeddos.2703 Albania is not in the EU

    • @wanderschlosser1857
      @wanderschlosser1857 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@bushwhackeddos.2703 Ever seen an EU citizen fleeing to UK in a dinghy?
      These are migrants/refugees who chose the UK especially for language and family already living there. By far most refugees stay in the EU. The numbers of refugees trying to get to UK are just laughable in comparison to what the EU absorbs!

    • @yingyang1008
      @yingyang1008 ปีที่แล้ว

      It's always been like that though - think of the 70s and 80s, was even worse then

    • @VagabondShoes
      @VagabondShoes ปีที่แล้ว +8

      @@bushwhackeddos.2703 Do you have any idea how many migrants other European countries absorb (without too much complaint). Germany took in close to a million in 2015 and more last year.

  • @quippy8402
    @quippy8402 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    The problem is, the worse is yet to come (e.g. sharp currency devaluation and hyper inflation) if the country continues in this current direction. I wonder what the UK gov is thinking and why it is not doing anything to fix the obvious mistake.

  • @lasitabesa3951
    @lasitabesa3951 ปีที่แล้ว +9

    What makes me sad that the EU is reduced to its economical benefit . I have never felt this way since the dabate over the brexit. I also think this will mislead us the Eu in a wrong direction.

    • @nudgenudgewinkwink3212
      @nudgenudgewinkwink3212 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      People only think of the E.U in terms of econimics, But it is a political union and there are many future implications to that.

  • @miroslawturski
    @miroslawturski ปีที่แล้ว +12

    I came back to Poland in 2019 after 12 years living in the UK. For middle-class family like mine, the standard of living had have already been higher back then.
    In Poland I earn at lest the same money, but they take me much further in terms of what I can afford. The country is much more modern and it really shows.

  • @mixodorians12
    @mixodorians12 ปีที่แล้ว +9

    In my Borough, in the Welsh valleys only 19% of the iron steel and coal jobs (and jobs that supplied these industries)have been replaced since the era of Thatcher.
    We are looking at a 81% decline, that is mirrored all over the country.
    But because we look at Britain as a whole, and expect people to travel 3 hours a day to work, you can ignore it.

    • @roasthunter
      @roasthunter ปีที่แล้ว +2

      No need to travel 3 hours a day if you move, that's what people living in Poland did in their millions when they came to the UK.

    • @bmmaaate
      @bmmaaate ปีที่แล้ว +2

      @@roasthunter I know of a guy that drove back to Poland every weekend just to kiss his girlfriend.

    • @mitchyoung93
      @mitchyoung93 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@bmmaaate I hope he got more than a kiss.

    • @mitchyoung93
      @mitchyoung93 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@roasthunter I kinda think that a government priority should be to spread development, recovery and prosperity across the whole of a country...that would help with rents in the few 'primate' cities.

    • @roasthunter
      @roasthunter ปีที่แล้ว

      @@mitchyoung93 how does a government do that?

  • @rwksasc
    @rwksasc ปีที่แล้ว +7

    I love Liz Truss. She brought the greatest change to the UK economy in the shortest amount of time. She’s our inspiration that idiots can also become leaders. We need more like her in the UK.

    • @R1ckmister
      @R1ckmister ปีที่แล้ว

      By making everyone homeless? Yeah …. thanks for the discounted energy but I can’t now afford my mortgage? 😂 (I don’t have a mortgage)

  • @jonnorris7564
    @jonnorris7564 ปีที่แล้ว +8

    I moved to NZ in 2007 and without a doubt the difference between my little country with its very minor GDP and the UK is amazing.
    If you want to understand how this shows itself then look at your playgrounds in the UK then get in Google earth and have a cruise round any town in NZ and see the difference.
    I’m always blown away at how lovely the places are kids have to play are.
    If you have a skill and a young family then look very seriously at moving, your kids will thank you on the end, ours certainly did.

    • @Freddie-Moses
      @Freddie-Moses ปีที่แล้ว

      I get a recruiter from NZ contact me once a month to try to tempt me. How does the money compare? Is the lifestyle better? Job opportunities?

    • @everTriumph
      @everTriumph ปีที่แล้ว

      And defence budget? Or are others picking up the tab.

    • @DivinesLegacy
      @DivinesLegacy ปีที่แล้ว

      Gdp ≠ better playgrounds.

    • @tonyf9984
      @tonyf9984 ปีที่แล้ว +4

      @@DivinesLegacy National GDP (6th largest economy in the world!) says nothing at all about living standards. It's per-capita GDP that matters - the size of the slice of pie that each individual gets. The UK is about 30th down the world scale, and falling. That, of course, only if the pie is divided into equal slices ... and it's well-known the the UK has one of the least 'equal' societies in Europe. Hence the fact that the UK poor - of whom there are many - are much, much further down the wealth scale.

    • @revol148
      @revol148 ปีที่แล้ว

      @Jon Norris so no social or economic problems in NZ then eh Jon? hmm the last I heard it was one of the most unequal developed countries alongside Israel and South Korea....with endemic house prices to match

  • @ev.c6
    @ev.c6 ปีที่แล้ว +8

    Maybe being in the EU wasn't a a perfect solution for Britain, but leaving it was for certain the worst thing they could have done. They may be able to recover and come to pre Brexit levels, but that will take decades. If I were a milenial in Britain I would be very pissed with future prognostics.

    • @SirAntoniousBlock
      @SirAntoniousBlock ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Why wasn't it?
      What else could you do once your empire was gone but you could to trade with one of the wealthiest markets in the world right on your doorstep?

    • @baronvonlimbourgh1716
      @baronvonlimbourgh1716 ปีที่แล้ว +4

      It wasn't a perfect solution for britain because it kept fighting it at every turn possible because of silly nonsensical fears and pettyness.
      The eu could have worked for the uk just as it does for the rest of europe if it stoped believing it is special and better then everyone else.

    • @baronvonlimbourgh1716
      @baronvonlimbourgh1716 ปีที่แล้ว

      @Gethin Hooper that's random. Yet has totally nothing to do with what he was saying lol.

  • @jacobfield4848
    @jacobfield4848 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    The UK government has focused on London and only London for decades. The result is an unbalanced economy.

  • @robertalexander3839
    @robertalexander3839 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    I think the last part of the discussion is critical. The UK has gotten itself into a situation where all of its comparative advantages are in sectors that are inaccessible to working class people. When it comes time to vote on progressive, outward-looking policies, they're left wondering what's in it for them. How is having a world class film industry helping them - How is a globally renowned accounting sector benefitting their children. So we get a politics built around villianizing "spoilt, lazy, middle class liberals" and "identity politics", and telling working class communities "Don't worry, we're going back to basics", while in reality there's no feasible way of resurrecting those industries in 21st century Britain.

    • @Jay_Johnson
      @Jay_Johnson ปีที่แล้ว

      This is a good point. I feel like the only way to solve it is to expand the proportion of the population actually in those roles and that them to fund a functioning welfare state that can improve the quality of life of not just the absolutely desperate but the majority of the working class.

  • @frantad945
    @frantad945 ปีที่แล้ว +31

    I think UK needs the ability they have in Germany. What I like about Germany is that they are able to agree among themselves on the general direction their country should go and set a long-term plan. And no matter who is in the government, the direction is more or less the same, only its implementation changes according to the ideology of the ruling parties.
    Of course, this is not possible with the political system that rules in the UK. Any general agreement is not possible there. So, according to me, one of the possibilities for the UK to prosper again is political reform in the UK. The first step would be to change the electoral system so that new political parties can come to power, because the two biggest ones in the UK are no longer usable

    • @baronvonlimbourgh1716
      @baronvonlimbourgh1716 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      That is because germany has a modern political system that encourages compromise and cooperation.
      The uk still has an archaic fptp system that takes away the value of the vote of millions of people and encourages division, conflict and puts the country in a pendulum motion where it changes direction every couple of elections.
      It indeed can only start to catch up once it changes to a modern proportional parliamentary system.

    • @frantad945
      @frantad945 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@baronvonlimbourgh1716 It's funny how the political system in the UK and USA allows people with extreme views to come to power. In most of Europe, Trump's followers and many politicians who govern in the UK would not even get into parliament. They would be in some political party that would get 5% to 10% of the voters at the most.

    • @bmmaaate
      @bmmaaate ปีที่แล้ว

      Are you suggesting we have a new political party that has Britain's best interests at heart and works together to make things better and not dismantle anything that works and sell it off? Are you mad? How could such an insane policy ever succeed?

    • @baronvonlimbourgh1716
      @baronvonlimbourgh1716 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@bmmaaate not the brittish way.

    • @markanthony3275
      @markanthony3275 ปีที่แล้ว

      Notice how that is the exact same story in America...and in Canada? This is no accident. This is the work of globalists , whose goal right now is to bankrupt everything ..and implement the "global system". In the global system, as Klaus Schwab , chairman of the WEF has said, "you will own nothing, and you will be happy". Those in the E.U. particularly Norway, Sweden, Finland, the Netherlands , France, and Germany , are about one generation away from societal collapse...but they are brainwashed into thinking their glorious socialist paradises will continue to exist.

  • @elektrofrere
    @elektrofrere ปีที่แล้ว +9

    I feel so sorry for intelligent Brits like these two. And my East London friends. I moved my life and my business from the UK to the Benelux countries in 2019, but not everyone is able to do this so easily.

  • @nickkacures2304
    @nickkacures2304 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    The wealth disparity is as insane in Great Britain 🇬🇧 as it is in the states and Brexit didn’t help when politicians and their supporters in the media rewrite the tax codes to favor the few you get dysfunctional dystopian outcomes

  • @tobiwan001
    @tobiwan001 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    Productivity in France, Germany and the US is already 25% higher than in the UK. And living standards are also already higher.

    • @yingyang1008
      @yingyang1008 ปีที่แล้ว +4

      This has always been the case - even in the 1960s, not long after WWII, Germany was miles ahead of Britain

  • @cormackeenan8175
    @cormackeenan8175 ปีที่แล้ว +10

    Weldon says, when the British economy is a car etc.
    I say when the British economy is a car it’s a Reliant Robin quixotic and prone to topple over at the first sign of a bumpy Road.

    • @SirAntoniousBlock
      @SirAntoniousBlock ปีที่แล้ว

      Britain is the yappy little dog that has caught up to the EU car.

    • @ravenseft
      @ravenseft ปีที่แล้ว

      A ponzi scheme in other words. Reliant Robins ironically first came out when Britain was a more equal society with a stronger manufacturing base.

  • @bluebear6570
    @bluebear6570 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    The decline of the British economy began, when Margaret Thatcher started the journey into de-industrialize the nation. Britain lost key indutries, fully relying on imports from continental Europe, while at the same time focussing on services, mainly financial services. This has led to a shift in wealth, filling the pockets of those already quite well-off, and impoverished those, who earned their keep in factories. The Brexit now adds to that.

    • @yingyang1008
      @yingyang1008 ปีที่แล้ว

      The UK was a disaster for decades before Thatcher - a laughing stock regularly called the "Sick man of Europe"

  • @ericr4b
    @ericr4b ปีที่แล้ว +6

    No need to produce anything if house prices continue to pay all the bills

  • @ohyeah2816
    @ohyeah2816 ปีที่แล้ว +7

    A young relative of mine decided to live and work in Singapore. No intention of coming back if he can help it.

  • @elliotlambert3817
    @elliotlambert3817 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    The decline is not unique it's has been going on since Thatcher, in her wisdom under valued the productive class, she and her government had a view that the working class had to be kept down. Publicly owned land and businesses were sold to private companies and some people became rich as Britain became poor.

    • @yingyang1008
      @yingyang1008 ปีที่แล้ว

      Britain was in crisis for decades before Thatcher

  • @rodneycooperLMSCoach
    @rodneycooperLMSCoach ปีที่แล้ว +4

    Perpetrated and executed by a small group of politicians for their own personal gain who knew what damage it would do to their nation but believed they were immune to any hardships it would result in. This kind of behaviour is unusual in history but has become more common in the 21st century. Quite where humanity will end up with deeds like this is difficult to imagine.

    • @lauriemayne7436
      @lauriemayne7436 ปีที่แล้ว

      I have no trouble imagining it. Garbage in, garbage out. It's the sort of hangover that loss of empire brings on. Since Britain had the mother of empires, the crash will be of the same variety. I agree with your assessment of the politicians who engineered the collapse. But they're just people we vote for. What made us vote for that sort of person? I have no trouble imagining that either. We reap what we sow - especially at the collective level. It's harvest time.

    • @rodneycooperLMSCoach
      @rodneycooperLMSCoach ปีที่แล้ว

      @@lauriemayne7436 The British people will have to realise that voting in a GE is not a game and must be taken seriously provided of course we have a choice. I just hope when the time comes we do.

  • @paulslater9061
    @paulslater9061 ปีที่แล้ว +18

    You mean was sold off to other countries and there's nothing left to sell except the health service

    • @uweinhamburg
      @uweinhamburg ปีที่แล้ว +2

      There still are some schools and public roads...

    • @jjbiggmann5576
      @jjbiggmann5576 ปีที่แล้ว +5

      NO. STOP BLAMING , "OTHER COUNTRIES"..

    • @SirAntoniousBlock
      @SirAntoniousBlock ปีที่แล้ว

      @@uweinhamburg And I believe the blood of their babies is quite tasty.....

    • @marianhunt8899
      @marianhunt8899 ปีที่แล้ว

      That's gone to the rapacious health insurance industries already. Expect to be bankrupted my medical bills, even with insurance. Ask Americans if you don't believe me.

  • @Horsa-sr8oz
    @Horsa-sr8oz ปีที่แล้ว +11

    The US was also badly impacted by 2008. The difference was that the US government/FED pumped money into the country while in the UK the electorate supported the Conservative policy of austerity and continued to do so for over a decade. Brexit also met with a positive response from the electorate which just amplified the problem.
    The UK electorate for good or I'll, opted for the current situation, knowingly or otherwise.

    • @mdaniels6311
      @mdaniels6311 ปีที่แล้ว

      They have been fed lies by the right wing propoganda machine.

  • @Andy713uk
    @Andy713uk ปีที่แล้ว +17

    Great analysis of where the UK is right now. Wish the general public understood how bad things really are.

    • @dglenday8705
      @dglenday8705 ปีที่แล้ว

      To be fair, the general public are constantly misled by Tufton Street into blaming *everyone* except those who are actually responsible!

  • @jasc4364
    @jasc4364 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    So the British exceptionalism means actually that the country is in decline, contrary to most EU countries. All the fuss about leaving the nefarious EU is so embarrassing today and still most Britons don’t realize this and hate the EU.

    • @Scruffed
      @Scruffed ปีที่แล้ว +1

      What I can tell from the recent polls on this issue is that over 60% of the UK population now think Brexit was a bad idea, but (with the current electoral system) there's no party they can vote for that is offering anything that could meaningfully change the UK's relationship with the EU for the better, let alone rejoining.

  • @simonromijn3655
    @simonromijn3655 ปีที่แล้ว +8

    Could it be that continental countries have been catching up with the UK in respect to specialist services mentioned by Duncan Weldon? I was staggered by the extent to which London dominated these sectors in the 1990s and early 2000s. The catch up in these services may have started 10 years ago and is accelerating with Brexit. Another issue not raised by Weldon is the manner in which the UK has struggled with economic disparities. Continental counties seem better at equipping young people from less advantaged backgrounds with skills to make a good living. Weldon touched on this when here referred to Germany's vocational training.

    • @Jay_Johnson
      @Jay_Johnson ปีที่แล้ว

      They may be catching up on productivity within those industries (I don't know per-industry productivity figures) but overall productivity is already worse.

  • @davidcarr2216
    @davidcarr2216 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    "Why are we falling behind peer countries ?" "This will come to the fore in the national political debate." Yeah right. Belarus on Tyne/Thames here we come. I wonder why, despite poor economic performance, house prices have continued to rise. Well actually I don't. What do you think has been the best game in town for, I don't know, about 40 years? LT and KK, noble intentions ? - my arse. There's nothing accidental or unforseen about any of this. Most investment in the UK has been chanelled into unproductive assets. Governments are bought and paid for in the UK. Your suggestions are a waste of time. Britain is already a country of lawyers and film directors , who put their money into, guess what ?

  • @pleiadesneptunes
    @pleiadesneptunes ปีที่แล้ว +9

    I live in the Southwest of London, not in a poor part of town. A number of my friends are unemployed now (used tomwork in the City) and a couple have lost their smallish but nicely profitable businesses, and had to dismiss all of their staff (one for ex selling upmarket children‘s clothes online, sourced from Italy and France). It got very expensive doing business, and sales dropped by over 20% since people have less money) Brexit = The Destroyer. And for WHAT???

    • @bigbensmith9504
      @bigbensmith9504 ปีที่แล้ว

      Who implements trading regulations? The political scum for an obvious objective. It is a choice not an automatic result of regaining sovereignty. They are destroying the economy on purpose through any means possible including the bug scam which involves depopulation too. Destruction of small and medium business is an aim not a result of incompetant govt. Until people get feisty over what is happening it will continue to go somewhere very dark.

    • @creepybastard3165
      @creepybastard3165 ปีที่แล้ว +4

      I'll tell you why. Because the majority of the people here are working class who were all suffering. The reason they were suffering was because of the unlimited constant supply of cheap East European labour. And working class people asked them selves this question before voting. How is it in a working class persons interests to Compete with cheap East European labour.

    • @tonivaripati5951
      @tonivaripati5951 ปีที่แล้ว

      Now your friends know how people in deprived areas up north feel!

    • @lauriemayne7436
      @lauriemayne7436 ปีที่แล้ว

      Well, it could be payback for what we did to Assange. You can't have your cake and eat it. Lack of principle has its cost.

  • @hovefactually7505
    @hovefactually7505 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    How Starmer can say 'there is no case for rejoining the EU' is beyond me. Isn't increasing prosperity/alleviating poverty a case in itself?

    • @anonnymous4684
      @anonnymous4684 ปีที่แล้ว

      He means politically, rather than financially. If he starts talking about rejoining the EU, the right wing press will have a field day in painting him as a remainer who wants to 'betray' the 'will of the people'.

  • @gedog77
    @gedog77 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    Could we support Duncan in taking up a formal government role? I think we really need his thinking.

  • @peteranderson6935
    @peteranderson6935 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    He's going through the old trope of modelling GB as a country of "service sector" Graduates of the Airport Bookstore School of Management driving around in BMWs and selling insurance and advice to each other over their mobile phones. Neither the car nor the phone are made here. I quit the UK on graduation in 1982 and have been plying my trade since as a "smokestack" Engineer in South Africa, France, China, KSA, Brazil, Myanmar, Algeria, and currently back in France on a chemical plant project. Back in UK airports and through Eurotunnel, using trains recently, I'm reminded of Zimbabwe in the mid 1980's. The UK is now quite literally 3rd world, but it's not a developing economy, it's a disintegrating economy. I've been tracking the relative decline anecdotally against my personal basket of worldwide economies for 40 years. What France, China, Germany, and even Italy have in common is that their Cement, Steel, Mining, Machine tool, basic industrial building brick sectors are still extremely competitive internationally. The british economy has been built on a house of cards since the late 1970's, and every time the wind blows, down it comes. And there is no solution in this generation - to rebuild an effective critical mass of industrial competence takes long-term commitment and strategic engagement to see it through. Our politics are not fit for that particular purpose. But it's OK, it's a big old fun world out there, and if you can put up with the rain the Yorkshire Dales are a nice place to come back to for a bit of a holiday. Sure, I'm alright Jack, but survival is about reading the runes and adapting.

  • @DB-su5qp
    @DB-su5qp ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Europe is more bankrupt than the UK. It's just a question of time and the order of bankruptcy. The US war on Russia is dragging UK down quicker than Brexit.

  • @davidrobertcoleman5668
    @davidrobertcoleman5668 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    Excellent interview
    More voters should watch this!

  • @glike2
    @glike2 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    UK seems like a great role model of what not to do

  • @The_BeeBopper
    @The_BeeBopper ปีที่แล้ว +10

    We lost over 50% of our business overnight due to Brexit. It became almost impossible to service individual eCommerce consumers based in the EU when before it was almost seamless. Most people don't realise that by being outside the EU, any UK-based small business has to deal with the individual EU countries' product standards, customs tariffs and VAT rules - and they are all different!
    In addition, if you do more than 10K Euros worth of business in any one country, then you have to register for VAT in that country and complete an ongoing monthly/quarterly return in their native language.
    Almost any small start-up or eCommerce seller based in the UK faces a stark choice. Cap any growth ambitions and stay exclusively trading in the UK or try and handle the enormous red tape and accounting burden of dealing with each country in the EU you sell to, or give up and create a separate business in say the Netherlands as a distribution hub to the rest of the EU and the world using their better trade deals!

  • @davidmccabe4041
    @davidmccabe4041 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    At long last an English economist recognising the decline of GB in recent years which those of us outside the UK can see quite clearly. Even here in Ireland we can see our progress compared with GB. You would think that would help solve the problem of northern Ireland but hard line unionists are blind to possibilities. David McCabe aged 8# Dublin ireland

  • @tolrem
    @tolrem ปีที่แล้ว +7

    Correct me if I'm wrong but the timeline appeared to be Labour presiding over all the growth years and the Conservatives presiding over all the slump years.

    • @andrewwalsh2755
      @andrewwalsh2755 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      National debt rose over the past 40 years under Conservative and Labour... and Kier Starmer is "pledging" (ha-ha) to reduce (debt/gdp) which is not Actual Debt... so expect even higher debt...

    • @sllabres1
      @sllabres1 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@andrewwalsh2755 I often feel the idea of national debt and money needs entirely reframing. As I understand the economy of a country is not the same as that of a household. So when as individuals we talk about national debt and balancing the books what actually seems to be going on is we're punishing the workers and public services. It's odd that the same conversations don't happen when it comes to subsidising major corporations. People seem to think there's a finite supply of money, which is entirely false or that our government pays for things with taxes, which also isn't true.
      I feel a lot of this is tied to our poor understanding of money (and inflation) in the modern economy. As I see it money is more like a social contract then a finite commodity. I'm not suggesting we can just fire up "printing presses" because there are wider implications but I feel there could be a much more sensible discussion rather than "magic money tree" and other such twaddle.

    • @andrewwalsh2755
      @andrewwalsh2755 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@sllabres1... Inevitably, things are more complicated than they appear. References to the magic money tree is just shorthand for the fact that money is not wealth... wealth is food, water, housing, health, safety etc... if you have it you're happy... if you can't exchange your money for this, you're probably not happy.
      As a country, we have a resource to access and create wealth... the more people you add, the more that wealth is diluted... until there isn't enough "wealth" to go around... and people are unhappy. Money (bits of printed plastic) represents wealth... create more wealth, and you can create more money to represent that wealth... The reverse is illusory: creating more money (the magic money tree) doesn't create more wealth, it just dilutes the existing wealth....
      Does chasing Growth create wealth?... (more people, more consumption, more imports, more productivity... more pollution, more climate change, more de-foresting, more global dependency...)... Or does chasing Sustainability create wealth?... ( balancing people well within local resources...).

    • @sllabres1
      @sllabres1 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@andrewwalsh2755 I think you make some interesting points. The dilution of money by increasing the supply is exactly why I feel money needs reframing as a social contract. I don't feel money is entirely wealth although it forms the basis of it?
      Regardless, why I feel it's a social contract is because if the supply was finite then inevitably a small minority would have it all. If used in conjunction with things like wage increases one wonders if "wealth" can be redistributed in different directions. The situation we have now, lowered real wages and increased money supply, is essentially a tax on the poor.
      What happened in the 70s was increased wages and inflation together and I read references in this link which seem to suggest reasons why there was such an attack on the unions. You have to question why inflation is used so aggressively as a boogeyman and why everyone is taught to be afraid of it. After all when in check with wages it's all relative. I've also read Ha Joon Chang arguing a similar point that higher wage inflation should not always be feared.
      I found this part very interesting..
      "The Oil Crises of 1973 and 1976 (Iran-Iraq etc. reduced oil production to punish NATO for supporting Israel's Yom Kippur War) meant that too much demand was chasing too little supply, and the correct Keynesian solution of artificially inducing a recession (reducing wages, forcing people to save, or both to reduce demand to a level which matched supply) was not applied. This created above-8% annual inflation, which reduced the upper class' incomes from economic rent (e.g. literal rental property rent and bank loans with interest rates below 8%) to little or nothing. This induced them to increase their investments in influencing politics, to protect and advance their interests before it was too late"
      tvtropes.org/pmwiki/pmwiki.php/UsefulNotes/MargaretThatcher

    • @andrewwalsh2755
      @andrewwalsh2755 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@sllabres1... If you have wealth (land, property, food, water etc) then inflation doesn't really matter to you... you still have land, property, food, water etc.... If you have money (bits of printed plastic) then inflation really does matter to you... your money buys less!... so you're less inclined to hold money (you exchange it quickly for goods)... so money is being diluted in the wealth it represents... so money is losing its function... so inflation is bad?

  • @christianfaust5141
    @christianfaust5141 ปีที่แล้ว +11

    I absolutely agree that you should focus on your strength. And I want to add you have one big advantage that no other European and most of the countries in the world have, and that's your language. Why can I as a German listen to your very decent and elaborated thoughts about Britain as if it were my own mother tongue. Why the most spoken and written language in EU Parliament is English and not French or German? But some things I can only recommend to change in your view respectively to accept: The Great Empire has gone and with that also the time of "Splendid Isolation". Independence and freedom are great values but in an interconnected world which needs actually more collaboration than ever independence has its price. But anyhow, you are not alone with your problems, e.g. that the wealth of our societies is not good spread among the different groups of society, that's really a very global problem. Corruption is not only a Russian problem, it's probably the worst infection of humans at all. I see also very comparable situation between Germany and Britain regarding the education sector. You have very renowned Universities for sure, but you face the same problems in education in the primary schools. These problems are partially related because there are not enough teachers anymore but moreover I see the problem with education is caused by the missing or even not existing chances of growing from lower classes to higher "levels". The best way to reach higher "levels" is to marry "accordingly". So we are back to "glory" time of middle age. But maybe the best time is ahead of us. Let's focus e.g. on green Energy, you have really very high ecological potential with your island and here also software will be a big part of the success story (key word smart grids). Best regards from Germany.

    • @johns5558
      @johns5558 ปีที่แล้ว

      nice response.

  • @albertomigliavacca8320
    @albertomigliavacca8320 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    I am Italian and I have to say there are a lot of similarities between Italy and the UK in the forms of their declines. I am writing my thesis on the North South divide in Italy and the UK has a similar problem. Does anyone know why there is a North South divide in the UK ?

  • @tsilochr
    @tsilochr ปีที่แล้ว +15

    Expat living & working in London, always feeling I'm running behind the London pace, often listening to France's work life balance, and many jokes told here about french worker strikes, I'm surprised to hear the average French worker productivity is ~20% higher than UK. I understand average includes data points from all around the country, but from my London-only experience, I'm almost shocked

    • @anotheracademicwithhornrim3247
      @anotheracademicwithhornrim3247 ปีที่แล้ว +5

      GVA per job in London is about £78k compared with £50k in urban areas excl London and £40k in rural areas. London may aswell be a different country tbh

    • @Soraviel
      @Soraviel ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@anotheracademicwithhornrim3247 Exactly, it is literally a country within a country that's in a union (UK), I have always felt that london can literally deal with the global economy without england and the rest of the UK. London should be a city-state.

    • @luzboroughlane7948
      @luzboroughlane7948 ปีที่แล้ว

      I read an article about productivity - there are two main reasons for the reported difference between UK and France: Half of the difference is because of the way the French measure productivity; they ignore eg tea breaks, but the British include their's.
      Secondly, it's so difficult to sack French workers that businesses have a strong incentive to use less of them. Now that the UK has less chance to import cheap labout from E Europe, you will expect to see UK productivity grow strongly.

  • @3506Dodge
    @3506Dodge ปีที่แล้ว +1

    My British friends who visit me in the Washington DC area every every few years comment on how they feel Britain's stagnation more and more every time they return from our visits.

  • @sanatandharma4435
    @sanatandharma4435 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    I left the UK in 2019 for a job in N.Spain. I love the UK and its countryside, I miss the cycling and my siblings, but I am allowing my 13 year old daughter to take advantage of the European continent and to learn and live another language. It has not been easy but I think it was the right choice. A major decision to move was based on the attitude of our political elite who do not have a clue about anything. I saw grossly ego driven puffed up twits who saw British sovereignty as meaning a small minded, tiny island that matched their imperialistic constrained ideology..

  • @muratdagdelen8163
    @muratdagdelen8163 ปีที่แล้ว +16

    At least, the French cannot catch our fish!

    • @Enzoblueblood
      @Enzoblueblood ปีที่แล้ว +3

      😂😂👍

    • @harrybarrow6222
      @harrybarrow6222 ปีที่แล้ว +7

      British people don’t really like British fish species, and we lost access to the market where we sold them.

    • @adventtrooper
      @adventtrooper ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Fish still have freedom of movement, survival would suggest away from our toxic waters.

    • @therealjetlag
      @therealjetlag ปีที่แล้ว +1

      They can if they own fishing rights.

    • @SirAntoniousBlock
      @SirAntoniousBlock ปีที่แล้ว +2

      @@adventtrooper The fish have more rights than Britons.