Tropical Storm Ian models go from west to east in Sunday update | Tracking the Tropics
ฝัง
- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 2 ต.ค. 2024
- WFLA's Chief Meteorologist and WFLA Now's JB Biunno go over the latest model data and answer your questions live on Tracking the Tropics: Powered by Handyman Roofing.
STORM INFO: bit.ly/3DT83sY
In the name of Jesus I seek your face to God the died of storm out too many people have got hurt because of the killings and things are going on in this nation I Seek You Lord we have not because we ask not these people don't know how to pray and do what your word says but I ask you Lord let this thing die down and no one be hurt in the name of Jesus Amen
Amen
Amen
Can you imagine if everyone had to have electric cars and then the power goes out and there’s no way to get out oh my gosh
I've thought about that also!!! I live just west of Savannah Georgia and know an electric car would be dead right in the middle of the interstate with a person asking who did it and WHY
Better yet, how about the 2/3's of the country that can or definitely has freezing winters. Anyone with half a brain knows EV's won't be worth jack in deep freezes or even sub 20's.
I rebuke your storm that it would die down in the name of Jesus
Amen
Amen 🙏
@@StaccatoXC TROLL!!!! I HOPE YOU FEEL BETTER SOON.
Wtf. Jezus sent the storm.
God create storm , he just tell to be ready for it
My brother and I are in our 70s and live in Carrollwood. We shopped for things to eat and will begin to cook and freeze tonight. I'm expecting a loss of electricity. We live at Linebaugh between Gunn Hwy and Anderson Rd. in the housing development called Plantation. There's a big chance of power outages, I hear you saying. Hopefully what I cook will last us. We can eat cold, I suppose. Dave and Denny
🙏🏾
Jeff Berardelli sounds like Steve Carrell. He could totally sit in on a voice over for him! Even favors him a little. If this career doesn't pan out he can be the stand in and voice standby. :)
*4 of 4* The homeless can simply move the tents they are using now into the homeless-village and the RVs are assigned a parking space. *Or the **_Shelter 100,_** provided by FEMA,* is a $9,500 shelter that is climate controlled, built in one hour, is 100 sq. ft., and uses a folding bunk system to house up to four beds. *_Pallet Shelter's_* private sleeping cabins offer *security* and durability. Which addresses the concerns of the homeless who reject the restrictions of “bed-only” homeless-shelters; for only one night.
*Paragraph 5 of 6.* _We have 12 years to limit climate change catastrophe, warns UN_ At 1.5C the proportion of the global population exposed to water stress could be 50% lower than at 2C, it notes. Food scarcity would be less of a problem and hundreds of millions fewer people, particularly in poor countries, would be at risk of climate-related poverty. At 2C extremely hot days, such as those experienced in the northern hemisphere this summer, would become more severe and common, increasing heat-related deaths and causing more forest fires. But the greatest difference would be to nature. Insects, which are vital for pollination of crops, and plants are almost twice as likely to lose half their habitat at 2C compared with 1.5C. Corals would be 99% lost at the higher of the two temperatures, but more than 10% have a chance of surviving if the lower target is reached.
It is lining up too the same track as the 1921 storm that hit Tampa
@Kyra - everything runs in cycles & patterns if you think about it?
What is the strongest hurricane to hit Tampa?
The 1848 Tampa Bay hurricane, also known as the Great Gale of 1848, was the most severe hurricane to affect Tampa Bay in the U.S. state of Florida and one of only two major hurricanes to make landfall in the area, the other having occurred in 1921.
Of course, conditions that steer the storm are not the same as they were 101 years ago. Trying to forecast a storm's track by comparing them to past storms' tracks is not valid.
But, maybe that's not even what you're talking about, Tony. I don't know.
I’m dreading this one 😵💫 I hope if it hits us here in Saint Petersburg- it ends up being like Irma. For us as a CAT 3 she should of tore us up worse. Each storm is different and the unknown is awful. Praying for all of us in Ian’s path 🙏🏻
@@jenniferl5863 yes but they built their structures out of sticks lol not concrete or bricks
Very well presented explanation of the variations in the models and the uncertainty in the final track. Loved the "windshield wiper" shift analogy in the left and right adjustments.
U guys are doing well 😄 you always have to make sure that you always love to see that we are preparing to be a always have a good time t be a head of how to put out we
U guys are doing well 😄 it s good to see that u make sure that we are preparing for the best ur God sent
@@johnsteer1354 don’t drink and type
Please everyone if you have pets do not leave them behind. If you are unable to evacuate with them, then call your local rescue or shelter! God bless you all!!
First storm! my advice leave never come back thanks!!!!
*3 of 4* Those with income pay rent which is 10% of their net income to the *Homeless Shelter Village* [HSV] for their 2 person _Shelter 64;_ and 20% of their net income as rent for the 4 person _Shelter 100._ Their rent money goes to pay for: *childcare for working parents,* and one free meal per day; in the *Community-Room.*
Please Pray for Florida. And Pray for the rest of our Country! God Bless America!
Praying for Floridians from Texas !!🙏
@@michelledavis4341 Thank you!
@@cupcake5380 YW
AMEN TO THAT MY FRIEND
My home in Florida is right in it's forecasted path. 😬 Pasco County
I would button the house up and evacuate ASAP. Good luck
I live in FL and been through a few hurricanes. Just be prepared and don't panic.
Does you think this storm will effect Clearwater Florida bad
@@StaccatoXC You should sell your home and move.
I'm a Trump Man ..M.A.G.A .Hurricanes cant touch me
The National Hurricane Center should always be the ultimate authority. Anyone new to these storms should listen to State and Local announcements and preparation information. I have been through numerous Hurricanes, Typhoons and Tropical Storms. I responded to Katrina with the National Guard and was in Bay St. Louis, MS after it hit. The people who always suffer the most are the ones who didn't prepare or heed the warnings. Better to prepare and be spared than not to and regret it.
I'll pass on listening to "Govt Officials" because they are always stooges reading crap handed to them. Look what the Govt dopes did to to the poor folks in Katrina..... I'll listen to to REAL "Weather Professionals".
I’ve been a Florida resident for 30 years. I lived California too (1970s and early ‘80s). I’ll take hurricanes over earthquakes every time.
I'm getting my golf cart ready !
@@Stalicone You are out of your mind (typical Cali) LOL. Earthquakes are RARELY an issue for more than a few thousand people and damage is limited to minor to major structural issues that usually don't affect many people in a significant way and VERY rarely kill anyone. LAst "serious" earthquake was when???? SF Bay area during World Series over 30 YEARS Ago ?Hurricanes nearly always kill many and leave entire communities in shamble for long periods of time (Houston 5 years ago and New Orlenas KAtrina are just two of at least 10 in the past 20 years alone.
Good thing FLA has a stable genius as Governor. Chuckle
Oh grow up
@@nickrue107 Fighting fascism is always the work of grown ups
@@imandan1966 You don't even know what fascism means do you. Fascist means the state above the individual. Thats not Florida where it's the individuals right to choose. Don't use big words you do not understand.
@@deankittelson2798 Dean do us a favor and be quiet. The Republican Party stands for nothing anymore. No platform, just hate and fear. Trump is a clown, Desantis is next in line to wear the wig. Wake up buddy
*1 of 4* Cities can eliminate homeless tent encampments by replacing them with *Homeless Shelter Villages* [HSV] using _Pallet Shelter's_ existing *Homeless Shelter Village* [HSV] components. The _Community Room_ sells for $37,000 and serves as a shared laundry room, restaurant, *child daycare center,* and addiction services center. The _Bathroom_ cost $35,000 and the _Services Office_ costs $9,000. So for only $81,000 a city can establish a *Homeless Shelter Village* [HSV]. The 10'X10' *Camping Cube Sport Pop Up Tent* that costs only $120 provides protection from the elements; for two people and their belongings.
The fact you are pushing this with that name cannot be a coincidence. Oh, and BTW, do not use the blue and red heavy duty oak pallets. Those are rental property, and you can be sued for destroying them to make shitty housing.
@@edsloan8535 None of the *Homeless Shelter Village* [HSV] components are made with wood.
I have family and friends who could be at risk, praying 🙏 everyone is safe.
Good job guys
I believe the European model has a tendency to be right more often.... I could be wrong about that but I think that's the case. The two different models go about doing their modeling in a very different way. Everyone along the coast of Florida from just north of Naples all the way through the Panhandle should be prepared for really bad weather
European model is by design, default better. We are just too proud to admit the GFS is trash
I agree.
Correct.
The European mod. Has now proven to be more reliable in this storm track.
It's strengthening alot quicker than projected
Good!
This channel from Tampa 60 minutes ago: 'Shows it tracking east' , a channel not in Florida: 'Tracking northwest' ... SMH
How come nobody wants to seek God's face prayer does change things if you don't believe it you watch how about a hundred thousand of us seek God's face for a better tomorrow
Because prayer doesnt do shit.
*Part 4 of 33* _2017 is so far the second-hottest year on record thanks to global warming_ For a long time one of the favorite climate denier myths involved claiming that we hadn’t seen any global surface warming since 1998. That myth has fallen by the wayside since 2014, 2015, and 2016 each broke the global surface temperature records previously set in 2010 and 2005 (which were also both hotter than 1998). Yet the myth persisted for years because 1998 was anomalously hot due to the monster El Niño event that year, which meant that global temperatures weren’t much hotter than 1998 until 2014 to today. Now the first six months of 2017 have been 0.3°C hotter than 1998, despite the former having no El Niño warming influence and the latter being amplified by a monster El Niño. In 1998, there was also more solar energy reaching Earth than there has been in 2017.
With the cold front up north of state and the land mass friction coefficient the storm will hit between naples and ft meyers and depending on strength of cold front cross the state then roll north. always remember cold dry air is more dense than hot humid air and will typically win the fight.
well i suppose it happened that way
If Ian obliterates floriduh, that proves that God answers prayers.
Pace Program will be closed down until notice Friday. Nurses will however be on staff call as needed. Stay safe everyone.
My anxiety is high. We all know how bad it can get.
Praying for all of you from Texas !!🙏
Do not leave your animals. I repeat Do do not leave your animalz
ITS THE WATER SERGE THAT YOU NEED TO GET AWAY FROM
PLEASE BE SAFE !
You need to edit again. It’s surge. Not serge. Serge is a woolen fabric. I understand, you guys are a little tense down there. 😢😢😢☠️☠️☠️☠️
They said the exact same thing ( track ) when Gary was taking aim at New Port Richey, years back. BUT, when Gary reached the Ft. Myers parallel, it did a 90 degree turn and made landfall in Ft. Myers.
You just don't really know what a hurricane will do til it gets within a day of your city.
Weather man plus and Ryan Reed I think it is is good weather people
@@onetakeadventureswithjoeld4679 Clermont should be okay Tampa and the other towns along the cost will have to be prepared.
Wobble wobble
God knew that Jamaica could not manage another disaster just after the pandemic or during the pandemic so he shifted the direction of the storm. Nevertheless if we continue to grieve the heart of God it could be a disaster.
...
uhm that’s not how the weather works. read a book. thinking like yours was excusable 1,000 years ago when there wasn’t widely available education, but now? come on.
How is Miami going to hold up? I am by the water taking care of some dogs. It does not seem like I will need to evacuate (just yet) but I am only on the second floor and I am worried about my vehicle/water damage to the apartment complex. Does anyone have any info on how Miami dade county is impacted?
Hello jb I watch your news all the time I followed gabby story all the way way I hope he's parents get put in jail for what they have done thank you for sharing the news you do awesome job
The cold front isnt going to drop down like they thought it would......That will stop the northern pull to Tallahassee and the storm will turn and run up the 1-4 corridor in my opinion. That's why the cone of certainty has that huge circular blob in the panhandle now; because the models are still counting on a cold front to pull it north......but i doubt that will happen. I predict a Tampa/St Pete landfall and the I-4 corridor path straight into Daytona to JAX.
As it approaches west of key West, as a Category 4, is Miami in danger of tornadoes, even though Miami is not inside the cone? I see a lot of the RED color over Miami. Isn't RED the worst?!
I'VE LIVED HERE 20 YRS & I STILL GET UPSET, LIVE ALONE FAMILY LIVES 45 MILES. I LIVE IN A BLOCK HOUSE
May God keep you safe!
If possible evacuate, if not be as prepared as possible. Prayers for your safety.
@@rohipsalm2370 THANK YOU
@@judithtaggart7146 THANK YOU I HAVE NO PLACE TO GO I HAVE A LITTLE DOG. MY FAMILY LIVES NEAR TAMPA I LIVE FURTHER, NEVER KNOW WHEN IT WILL TURN SO UNPREDICTABLE.
You're handling this beautifully, thank you both!
I have to say this I've been through many many hurricanes in my life. I don't care whether the school's closes or not I'm not sending my kid to school if I know there's going to be bad weather! Hello!?!?
Should discuss rise in sea level due to low barometric pressures.
They should say how the war in Ukraine is responsible or Trump.
Our God is able just to do anything i trust him with my life N you can do too see what he do he turns the storm awayfrom the island Glory. To his name
everyone on west coast please be ready cuz who knows were it lands and all we know some were on west coast they going get sacked and east coast and inbetween were going get crap loads of rain i just hope it weakens when lands dont want to see no one in Florida get sacked buy hurricane i was in Andrew living in Miami and we really got sacked and life sucked for a few weeks my prayers go out too everyone on west coast is ok
European model seems like its always to be pretty darn close I dont know why Also its interesting that dry air wind sheer etc can stop these Also Ahurricane which is low pressure system is steered by jet stream and Bermuda high When these things are even in there area 100-200 miles away they seem to make the atmosshere intollerable sucks air out and there humitiy is worse They are the perfect engine Really looks amazing even from space That is till you get hit by one And lose all your shit
It’s simple… it has a stronger supercomputer doing the math. And uses better data calculation methods. We r only using GFS still because why not.. and we r too proud to admit our system is garbage
The European is closing in for Tampa
Saying a prayer for us all.
Praying for all of you from Texas !!🙏
Hey guys. Appreciate the work. Former USCG. Ivan, Irma, now Ian. Keep a go bag be ready to move and stay alert. It’s not just the immediate impact we should take into consideration, it’s also the aftermath. Are you prepared to care for yourself and others when electricity and water is a zero factor?. If you have to survive due to factors that prevented your evacuation, think through what a minimum 4 day survival takes for rescue. Don’t touch the water as it rises and remain on highest elevation possible within view of air rescue. Please have fluorescent spray paint or smoke to make yourself noticeable.
Adley
AMEN 🙏
I'm So Excited! Bring These Temperatures DOWN!
Please people don't forget about your pets.
I ran from Irma and I would have been just fine. I'm staying this time. Say some good loving words to the storm and let it hit me.
28:39 "Arrival Time Of Tropical Storm (Force) Winds"
Stay Safe Everyone From This Erupting Tropical Storm Ian
Windy at this moment because of sandy soil vegetion are not in solid ground so shall stay at home to watch our plants
Hail in from the cayman island 45 min of Jamaica coast one love.
No man know Jah plan bless.🤣🥰
The spaghetti models are so son strange. Everyone's crunching the same date but they get different results.
*Paragraph 3 of 6.* _The UN is supporting a design for a new floating city that can house the homeless._ Unlike instances in the past when these futuristic designs have been met with skepticism, the executive director of the _United Nations Human Settlement Programme_ (UN-Habitat), Maimunah Mohd Sharif, said the UN would support and shepherd this project to fruition. "Everybody on the team actually wants to get this built," said Marc Collins, the CEO of _Oceanix,_ a company that builds floating structures. "We're not just theorizing." P
This Hurricane is going to spend off tornadoes and heavy rain into GEORGIA. PRAYING for the PEOPLE in FLORIDA and GEORGIA coast LINE.
*Paragraph 2 of 6.* _The UN is supporting a design for a new floating city that can house the homeless._ *Build and anchor these floating cities for the homeless ON LAND.* At a roundtable on Wednesday, the UN said *floating cities could help protect people from sea-level rise while addressing the lack of affordable housing in major cities.* What once seemed like the moonshot vision of tech billionaires and idealistic architects could soon become a concrete solution to several of the world's most pressing challenges. At a United Nations roundtable on Wednesday, a group of builders, engineers, and architects debuted a concept for an affordable floating city.
We play this game everytime there is a storm in the gulf. The where it will turn game just to keep me interested. Every storm always has Tampa at some point in the cone of death.
We have family in Puerto Rico and they are still without of power for 2 weeks now. Some have generators up high near mountains. But they NEED water and POWER.
It's headed for Texas !
What’s the word for Orlando?
Great job -- thanks for the update
It cannot *ban homelessness* nor can it hold back the tides. It ends homelessness by building affordable housing *Homeless Shelter Villages* [HSV]. Where rent is 20% of net income for a four bed shelter.
my family and i live in georgia! hope yall floridans are safe! and condolences to you guys and your recent loss, to you puerto ricans and domincans.
Yeah, you need to stay livin' in Ga.
So you're part of the problem, inbreds.
Stay out of Colorado.
Who? Who loss?
And to think PR wants complete independence except when national disasters hit.
Hi! Should Davenport be worry? We just moved here also first Huracán 🌀
You made a bad decision, idjit.
# Where does the storm head after it hits Florida. Does it go up the east coast. Like Nova Scotia
This guy OBVIOUSLY watches Ryan Hall Y'all. 🤔🤦♀
How about the world's most famous Beach Daytona what are we expecting up at this way in Volusia County
Who cares?
Go, IAN! 🌀
Years ago my mom trained for hurricane preparedness, she was told the absolute worse storm for our county (Manatee) was not a direct hit, but if the hurricane went into Tampa Bay. I no longer live in Florida, praying for all who are in the path of Ian.
why would that be worst for manatee than a direct hit?
People in Florida must listen and obey the forecasters.
Is it a threat to Cuba?
What about Melbourne Florida flooding????
If you were in a motor home in the Lake county, Disney area and wanted to head to a safer area, in which direction would you drive and to what destination?
Stay there for now...you'll know by tomorrow evening if it'll be north or south of you
I would personally go towards WPB or Ft. Lauderdale. People will naturally head north so traffic will be somewhat better going south. The south east coast will still get some bands but it shouldn't be too bad and doable in an RV. Otherwise, I would head towards AL if you don't want any affects whatsoever. Those are your best two options in my opinion.
@@CaptBirdBrain Agree 100%, I live in Tampa un an RV and I'm leaving tomorrow (most likely) for Melbourne area.
The east side of storm , ( bad side) may effect Orlando area; wind, trees down, lights out, rain. Hard to say where to go - we zig zagged state a few years ago. Irma?
@@CaptBirdBrain what about Zephyrhills and Wesley Chapel area? I have an RV
How about the Lake City area?
_Sharpie the hurricane,_ *just by thinking about it,* to Martha's Vineyard!
*Paragraph 6 of 6.* _We have 12 years to limit climate change catastrophe, warns UN_ Sea-level rise would affect 10 million more people by 2100 if the half-degree extra warming brought a forecast 10cm additional pressure on coastlines. The number affected would increase substantially in the following centuries due to locked-in ice melt. Oceans are already suffering from elevated acidity and lower levels of oxygen as a result of climate change. One model shows marine fisheries would lose 3m tonnes at 2C, twice the decline at 1.5C. Sea ice-free summers in the Arctic, which is warming two to three times faster than the world average, would come once every 100 years at 1.5C, but every 10 years with half a degree more of global warming.
I'm also going to try and help get you out of Scientology.
I have a job interview here in Miami Tuesday.. I want this Job !! Pray for meeeee.
*Part 3 of 33* _2017 is so far the second-hottest year on record thanks to global warming_ July 13, 2017 This news article is from _The Guardian._ With the first six months of 2017 in the books, average global surface temperatures so far this year are 0.94°C above the 1950-1980 average, according to NASA. That makes 2017 the second-hottest first six calendar months on record, behind only 2016. That’s remarkable because 2017 hasn’t had the warming influence of an El Niño event. El Niños bring warm ocean water to the surface, temporarily causing average global surface temperatures to rise. 2016 - including the first six months of the year - was influenced by one of the strongest El Niño events on record. Reality has debunked the ‘warming stopped’ myth.
So we are safe here in ocean springs mississippi to this storm? Yesterday it shift a little to the west that make me nervous ..
While no one can say definitively, you're very likely in the clear in MS. I wouldn't worry unless there is a massive change in the next day.
This storm wants a fight with Florida
It gating biger
these predictions proved be completely inaccurate
Hey JB what about Putnam county Florida
*Paragraph 3 of 6.* _We have 12 years to limit climate change catastrophe, warns UN_ “It’s a line in the sand and what it says to our species is that this is the moment and we must act now,” said Debra Roberts, a co-chair of the working group on impacts. “This is the largest clarion bell from the science community and I hope it mobilises people and dents the mood of complacency.” Policymakers commissioned the report at the Paris climate talks in 2016, but since then the gap between science and politics has widened. Donald Trump has promised to withdraw the US - the world’s biggest source of historical emissions - from the accord. The first round of Brazil’s presidential election on Sunday put Jair Bolsonaro into a strong position to carry out his threat to do the same and also open the Amazon rainforest to agribusiness.
We should also spent a few days talking about Ted Kazinsky
Moving east Tampa going to get it
What about the villages?
The variability in tracking an event a week away, yet certainty on climate over hundreds of years .
Thank you for this information. Excellent coverage!! 🤔👍
Stay safe Floridians! God Bless.
THIS IS A CAT4 ALMOST A CAT 5. TODAY IS WEDNESDAY.
This guy is good
Y’all heard him go or a cat 5 lol 😂 Shitttttt
Whew that's why the wind is so humid these east winds
ruined by google un-targeted shit ads
Huge errors made. Euro was most accurate.
Thanks for the "guessing game"
*Paragraph 2 of 6.* _We have 12 years to limit climate change catastrophe, warns UN_ The authors of the landmark report by the _UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change_ (IPCC) released on Monday say urgent and unprecedented changes are needed to reach the target, which they say is affordable and feasible although it lies at the most ambitious end of the Paris agreement pledge to keep temperatures between 1.5C and 2C. The half-degree difference could also prevent corals from being completely eradicated and ease pressure on the Arctic, according to the 1.5C study, which was launched after approval at a final plenary of all 195 countries in Incheon in South Korea that saw delegates hugging one another, with some in tears.
We should also get you on a healthier diet and a good exercise regiment.
Thank you for this gentleman
Just move the storm with a Sharpie marker.
Heyjb how will it Naples and Marco island
God be with all in this path
Sensational!
Excellent coverage and explanation! Can’t tell you how useful it is to find reports that are up to date, clear, and get right to the point.
Thank you for the awesome in depth update forecast’s