Credit Risk Introduction

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 21 ก.ย. 2024

ความคิดเห็น • 52

  • @MJtheFellowActuary
    @MJtheFellowActuary  4 ปีที่แล้ว +7

    I've released New Course on Credit Risk, Market Risk, Capital, Copulas and other ERM topics: Click the Link
    www.udemy.com/course/theory-of-credit-risk-models/?referralCode=67C9ADA77C3EE60F0BE3

  • @katlegozabala123
    @katlegozabala123 3 ปีที่แล้ว +12

    your ability to make the content relatable is invaluable man, thank you

    • @jeremiahdeborah1395
      @jeremiahdeborah1395 3 ปีที่แล้ว

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  • @YeahBuddy
    @YeahBuddy 3 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    This is a very well done video. I would say late payments are a variable that would be used to calculate the probability of default. This is why late payments often lower a person’s credit score. Looking forward to watching more!

  • @TheCutestEvil
    @TheCutestEvil 4 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    great explanation !! thank you! As a beginner in this field, it has really helped me understand basics.

    • @jeremiahdeborah1395
      @jeremiahdeborah1395 3 ปีที่แล้ว

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  • @Adam-vp4oe
    @Adam-vp4oe 7 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    Hi MJ, I wanted to make a complimentary comment to your conundrum mentioned at 5:30 forward. Categorizing for probability of default (or PD) is illegal in most countries in most fashions. In the US it can be considered redlining or against UDAAP. Most of PD is based on many factors but mostly the Debt Service Coverage Ratio which is different for corporates than individuals but can be googled for formula. This basically looks at excess cash from income after sole expenses to service the cumulative debt payments. The loss if defaulted is usually based on the loan to value of collateral taken. The quality of these ratios are then typically ranked into grades and each grade can reflect a percentage of loss likelihood or loss percentage after collateral sold. I hope that give some insight on the micro scale of credit modeling. I really enjoy your video going over the macro view. It's very insightful.

    • @MJtheFellowActuary
      @MJtheFellowActuary  7 ปีที่แล้ว

      +Adam Cogan thank you so much for this comment. These videos are essentially me studying out loud and trying to wrestle with the concepts and idea. I really appreciate your response

    • @Adam-vp4oe
      @Adam-vp4oe 7 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      It is very enlightening is something I hope to work my way up into, I'd like to be a "quantitative/qualitative credit risk modeler". Are you studying mathematics or does your college have an actuary program?

    • @MJtheFellowActuary
      @MJtheFellowActuary  7 ปีที่แล้ว

      I studied at Wits and fortunately we had a dedicated Actuarial Program :-)

    • @rowansiddig9043
      @rowansiddig9043 6 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Hi MG and Adam ..
      I have to develop a credit risk assessment system. I do not know anything about this topic. I need you to guide me with all books, videos, scientific papers and articles.
      Thanks for this video

  • @nomuntu
    @nomuntu 6 ปีที่แล้ว +7

    great ability to explain!!!!

  • @1996JRC
    @1996JRC 4 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Cheers for the videos - very well explained. Would you consider doing one on calculating the matching adjustment for a given portfolio of assets?

  • @martalena6053
    @martalena6053 6 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    You are awesome! Please continue this great job!!!

  • @nyaka4272
    @nyaka4272 4 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Thanks so much...great explanation

  • @tlhogid663
    @tlhogid663 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Awesome video

  • @jcn268
    @jcn268 ปีที่แล้ว

    interesting , never knew there was this much philosophy in actuarial science

  • @rasrahmani3087
    @rasrahmani3087 6 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    Great explanations. Thanks mate!

  • @vaquezartup365
    @vaquezartup365 ปีที่แล้ว

    Our lecturer wrote
    Risk index ={[E(ROA)+CAP] \ ROA }
    Wat is it about
    Do you have a tutorial on it

  • @lebogangmoichela7879
    @lebogangmoichela7879 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    You, Sir, are brilliant.

  • @Griffatron3000
    @Griffatron3000 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Very well explained, thanks

  • @chitalusooka4978
    @chitalusooka4978 ปีที่แล้ว

    thank you

  • @Obi1Kenobiii
    @Obi1Kenobiii ปีที่แล้ว

    Hi MJ, can I ask you what program are you using to draw this presentation?

  • @reachDeepNeuron
    @reachDeepNeuron 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    my question is when we have credit score of each customer , is that not sufficient to sanction his loan .. Why do build a predictive model ?

    • @jeremiahdeborah1395
      @jeremiahdeborah1395 3 ปีที่แล้ว

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  • @stefanosa5050
    @stefanosa5050 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Can probability of default be zero?

    • @jeremiahdeborah1395
      @jeremiahdeborah1395 3 ปีที่แล้ว

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    • @MJtheFellowActuary
      @MJtheFellowActuary  3 ปีที่แล้ว

      Theoretically yes, practically no. The future is uncertain and so there is always a chance (no matter how small) that the loan isn’t repaid no matter how creditworthy the borrower is.

  • @Kaplanel
    @Kaplanel 7 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    hello, thank you. Could you please suggest me a book related to credit risk assessment? thanks

    • @MJtheFellowActuary
      @MJtheFellowActuary  7 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      Enterprise Risk Management by James Lam

    • @Kaplanel
      @Kaplanel 7 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      MJ the Student Actuary hello, thank you but I am looking for something that focus on credit risk management. could you suggest me smt ? thanks..

    • @DeepakSharma-ho4eq
      @DeepakSharma-ho4eq 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@Kaplanel advanced credit risk analysis and management Ciby Joseph
      Publisher Wiley Finance

  • @rishabhs4956
    @rishabhs4956 6 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Awesome!! 💚💚💚

  • @apextamang2009
    @apextamang2009 ปีที่แล้ว

    the paradox is u can tell the bank are shit . but they are the people who are expert in credit lending .so they are taking also a fee. and we need them

  • @llamabridge2962
    @llamabridge2962 6 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    This was awesome

  • @TheMcallist1
    @TheMcallist1 7 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Hi MJ, great video. Thanks. I was just wondering what app you use to make the videos? Thanks

    • @MJtheFellowActuary
      @MJtheFellowActuary  7 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      I'm just using SNote on the Samsung Tablet along with a Screen Recorder :-)

    • @TheMcallist1
      @TheMcallist1 7 ปีที่แล้ว

      Thanks MJ

  • @yuxichen8661
    @yuxichen8661 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Is systemic and systematic risk the same thing?

    • @MJtheFellowActuary
      @MJtheFellowActuary  3 ปีที่แล้ว

      No! Despite their similar spelling, it’s easy to confuse them

    • @yuxichen8661
      @yuxichen8661 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@MJtheFellowActuary oh thanks for your answer, may I ask what’s the difference between them exactly?

  • @phantomdevil8096
    @phantomdevil8096 5 ปีที่แล้ว

    What's your great nation bro

  • @TheWayofWyrd
    @TheWayofWyrd 5 ปีที่แล้ว

    Rubbish

  • @sathishbandolero
    @sathishbandolero ปีที่แล้ว

    Thank you