Elon Musk predicts AI will be smarter than humans by next year | BBC News
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 1 พ.ค. 2024
- Tesla’s CEO Elon Musk said artificial intelligence (AI) development will advance to be smarter than the smartest human by 2026.
During an interview on X Spaces, Musk told Norwegian hedge fund manager Nicolai Tangen that the next version of Grok, the AI chatbot from his AI startup, will be trained by May.
On the latest Artificial Intelligence: Decoded, BBC News explores Musk’s bold predictions.
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I think we can safely say it's smarter then Musk now
It's definitely smarter than you that's for sure
that's not a big achievement really
Not to be that guy but... *than? You're clearly not. 😂
@@Madkroniik Please, have some compassion. As the race of Squeaky Barbarians go, I am in awe that we are able to see/to observe their concerns, futurisms, and other ideas. 🌱 They are a complex species.
Elon is just jealous yes he is.
Elon Musk is often wrong about his predictions, especially when he's projecting to his potential investors.
*always wrong
And how many medical diagnoses are right? How many treatment protocols are correct? Few, in my opinion.
@@solapowsj25 well since your not a doctor your opinion means nothing...
😂
😂Gordon Johnson - is that you?
A I will change the name back to Twitter
LMFAO
🤣
🤣🤣🤣🤣
😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣
or "pi in the sky"
And Elon Musks predictions usually...never come true. Why do media keep giving this narcisst so much attention? He's a liar and attention seeker. Much like Donald Trump.
Hater
@@Player2blood Fanboy, sheep
Musk is an establishment stooge, wheeled out to get everyone off the roads. Hence, we have him shoved down our throats, constantly.
Making a prediction that doesn't come true doesn't make you a liar
@@qp9vp people like you love stagnation. So enjoy your delusion.
Elon predicted in 2017 that humans would be on mars by 2024… 7.5 months left Elon.
Al gore predicted New York would be under water now…..
@@barneymagee3285
There again he might be out by only a few years.
You might have noted that flooding is occurring more often across the planet.
You might have noticed too that land under cities is sinking because of water extraction. So there's a sort of double whammy effect.
And you might have covered artesian and sub artesian wells.
In UK this was on the school geography syllabus over fifty years ago.
Sadly for us the boffins have been telling us about climate change as well as ... but what have we done ... quite right, sfa.
Al Gore was and is correct, apart from the date and location.
Suggest those who can migrate away from low lying coastal regions or buy a boat and develop an appetite for sea food.
It won't be long before people start looking for homes built above the 200ft contour ref current sea level.
Places like Florida will be completely inundated and homes like Mar A Lago will be worth quite a bit less than Trump claims.
I would suggest that Mar A Lago will have a second life as a reef or a sand bar.
I'm still waiting for it
I can't believe I really was hyped for it
Honestly, no one wishes he had been right more than me, but alas, he was wrong as hell.
@@t1n4444 it is not occurring more often. It is right on time. The earth is in a heating period as it as been in before the industrial revolution. The cycle continues.
the businessman wanted to get his name in the news
Why report on something some who doesn't know the subject said?
lol ikr? they invited a lady who's too focused on feminism which has nothing to do with AI and she's just nit picking every tiny little thing that doesn't pertain to the topic at hand.
"They hallucinate, they make things up, they're not very good at logic and reasoning."
Are you describing humans or AI?
Governments Actually
Magic beans, get your magic beans here.
In the children’s story you are referencing, the beans were actually magic and worked even better than advertised. The boy who acquired them became rich beyond his wildest dreams.
Was that the image you were trying to conjure?
@@Ben_D. It's very appropriate for AI. People don't understand exponential growth.
@@a-walpatches6460fr. Most of the people in these comments, as always, think they know anything about AI
Elon is selling Tesla Beans??
Where??
I will take 1000!!
TBH, its already smarter than A LOT of humans. 😂
Exactly
TYPO = "MOST" :)
This anything like his other predictions and plans? Like working boring machines, vacuum tunnels, rusty trucks, late deliveries, his plans for the moon or Mars. Yes tell me more of Musk's great predictions that never seem to come true. Conmen will con.
and yet people are still willing to take him seriously.
money really is power i guess
Theres obviously boring machines. How you think britain amd france link?
That's why it's called a prediction
@@WeeWeeJumbo Look at what he has achieved despite his predictions, of course some people are going to take him seriously.
Yer man says a lot of things.
Judging from the expanding conflict in the Middle East, seems to me that bunnies are smarter then Human Beings.
Spot on
By next year, Elon's AI-powered Tesla will still cannot self-drive around town
You underestimate the amount of intelligence that it takes to spontaneously catch on fire!
Well avtually teslas can do that 99% of the time. That being said, 99% of the time is not good enough when millions are driving around. Its not that it doesnt work, its that any mistake causes a catastrophe
I will bet, you have not test drive the latest version of FSD.... !
Please : go Short TSLA! 😂
"Good luck" bet against Elon 😎👍
Sounds like you haven't been following the latest updates about their self driving vehicles. I don't care about Elon or Tesla, but their self driving tests have made a TON of progress in the last couple years. By next year, it'll almost certainly safely drive around any town, in nearly any weather. I think people need to quit underestimating the tech, it's ready and would save a lot of lives compared to human drivers.
Yeah he also predicted that his cars would drive themselves next year, for each of the last 7 years. And they still suck at it.
when it becomes smarter than humans it will turn itself off.
That woman started off so wrong. She said "AGI ... also called the singularity..." Sheesh
Wait, the guy who said we'd have completely autonomous driving in 2018, and then 2019, and 2020, and every year since? That guy? We're still listening to him?
How's the hyperloop coming along
If Elon says it then we still have around a decade
i diagnosed my aunts blood disorder in 7 minutes using Bing, the Drs had been working on her for over a year. wtf is wrong here
not hard to imagine it being more inelligent than musk
His IQ is165. Einstein's was 160. What's yours?
🤖👍😅😆😂
Well it's for sure more 'inelligent' than you
No. It will not. It's a dumb pattern recognition algorithm. It will help us sift through mountains of data faster but that's it for a while.
Oh yeah? can you sift through mountains of data within 5 seconds ? If you can’t then it’s smarter than you.
@@Kenny-tl7ir This whole comparison is asinine. We've had calculators that outperform humans for over 40 years. Intelligence is actually an extremely hard thing to define.
@@stephenpaul7499 calculators do not have a neural network which can learn and be trained on tasks. Calculators cannot sift through mountains of data and compress them into a concise, concentrated, useful format through linguistic questioning as an input. Your example of using a calculator as a comparison to AI is asinine.
@@Kenny-tl7ir Machines have surpassed many human cognitive abilities for decades. Does that make them smarter than us? It all depends on what you mean by 'smart'. If you think about it, intelligence is not an easy thing to define. This is a philosophical problem.
@@stephenpaul7499 machines have surpassed human abilities in sensing data from environmental stimuli for decades, not cognitive abilities. Cognitive abilities involves compressing and integrating data into useful information which can be used to extrapolate trends into the future. That has not been possible until the introduction of neural networks and billions of dollars of training material through high throughput broadband and the advent of the internet. Machines were dumb until Ai
lol that woman thought she would take the piss out of the AI designer with the sexist remarks, but he shut that shit down quickly haha
yeah she's super annoying. I don't know why they invited her. She's clearly a feminist lady which has nothing to do with AI. Nit picking every tiny little things to satisfy her massive ego. That was satisfying to see him shut her down. It's funny that she thinks she's a feminist and think that it's ok to make that kind of comments. It sound like she only cares about what she thinks.
Wish I had a fec**ng million dollars to just bet away frivolously😂
Wish I had a fec**ng dollar every time Elon’s predictions fail miserably.
Elon Musk has also said he'd send humans to Mars by 2024, how is that going?
I think he's going to buy a big box of Mars bars and share them out 🍫
chat gpt is definitely smarter than us within it's scope
AI is already a lot smarter than me lol
Why use suno instead of udio? Guess we'll never find out.
How to make video news paper
And afterwards, making the AI wise will be the next focus point.
AI: Elon will become smart next year!
Not necessarily smarter than Humans; just smarter than Elon Musk.
Sure AI could beat me in writing essays but who’s gunna win in a water gun fight?
The same AI that claimed Clay Thompson was throwing bricks through people's windows in Sacramento 😂😂😂 I don't think so 🤦
Who would have thought that matrix multiplication we had in the 10th grade will become sentient 😂😂😂
Could AI learn how to instinctively panic? So, could it instinctively panic?
Not very good at logic and reasoning?! But they are better than us at Go and Chess. If the bureaucrats and regulators had pushed the auto manufacturers to speed up their development of driverless vehicles and relaxed the restrictions slightly we would have had driverless cars a few years back. Tesla's technology has shown it is already safer than human drivers by quite a significant margin. That demo was really bad - it was slow and quite unresponsive and couldn't even handle voice. GPT, Copilot and Grok would have done a far better job.
2029 is a more realistic prediction
Memory is really important in anything
If it was on the chase it would knoe every answer cause somone allready told it the answer
Chess is the same
Id say ai would be good at 9 ball pool
Suppose static between the balls might change but it would know exactly were to hit and exactly what speed and be able to replicate it
But itnwould prob be able tompot the 9 ball every time
16:37 Why did she come at him with so much aggression. Why didn't she say does it have other options for other people.
Yep it was ultra embarrassing to see that happen after he quickly shut her down lmao. This lady is a clown.
Please, everyone watching this needs to consider the implications of where AI is heading, because we cannot stop it, and we need to start preparing for what it means, now!
Ignore the instinct to think it'll never do certain things, for I can assure you it will, and far sooner than you may expect. Don't believe those who say we don't need to prepare, as they're probably the ones who'll profit the most if we delay. It's not going to create anywhere near enough "new jobs" to reemploy all those it will displace! What new jobs could it create for everyone, that it couldn't also do itself? AI exists thanks to years of data and content, collected from all of us, that goes into training it to then out compete us. Demand your AI Dividend!
Lets hope so...
Elon Musk promised FSD in his tesla cars 10 years ago. Should we trust that person? He throws so many things around, and sometimes he is right, but most of the time he is wrong.
Elon coded a website in the mid-90's.
@@microbe_rz31Who didn't? The web in the 90s was not like it is now.
Elon also predicted that X will become the next everything app and that you will not need any other form of social media/banking/shopping/lift hailing app ever again. And look how that’s turned out
We are in an exponential curve. There is no plateau
GPT4 IQ has been measured at 114. That is smarter than the average humans score already.
Elon is never going to Mars.
Going mars for what? To destroy another planet.
he is from mars
Me too 😂
@@user-et9jd8te6n👽👍
Going to Mars is another stupid idea.
Yeah this guy also predicted self driving cars every year for the last 10 years
and hungry people will still stay hungry.
If the mother of eLawn's sister-nieces married the father of eLawn's sister-nieces, he would have two sister-nieces and a mother-sister. Fact.
I don't know why people is getting upset when something is smarter than us I believe it is good things
Because it might reshape our world to better
Elon Musk also allowed the Tesla truck release with a faulty acceleration pedal so.....why are we making his pov news?
Press F to pay respect to the exosuit
Why are you asking people on the street? They aren't AI engineers or any experts that would have any clue as to the timeline? Also basic AI 101 - The AI used for driverless cars is completely different than the one used, say for ChatGPT. They are more or less containers of preset AI designed for those tasks. We only need someone to combine all of them into a system large enough to hold it all.
That's a small leap! That's the best you got?
Maybe he should rename it Skynet now...
HYPE! clickbait headline! Human perception, motivation, intention, meaning, value, personal experience, disappointment, prior intention, abstraction, foresight, intuition, creativity, local context, goals, emotional specificity, regret, biology, chemistry, psychological temperament, loyalty, and the specific weights and resonance of "inputs" are factors that can only be simulated as a more and more descriptive computational model or robot. At best,this is hope for a frankenstein that falls far short. It may be a worthy project, but what purpose does this prediction of human irrelevance or incompetence serve?
Machine cannot be better than human. Machine still needs human input and operating.
This is for sure that AI will certainly replace a lot of news readers in all TV and radio channels, especially those, to start with, who read the news from the TV screen. Only those who are smart, intelligent to carry out debates, will survive.
We all want a voice #Hint we can all find a flaw in anything but the lack of understanding in certain parts of his statement allows me to see past his calculations on the fact that he just wants to be right
pretty sure ai wouldn't vote for presidents
Full self drive by the end of next year 😂
Well.. im ok with that
It's actually a lot smarter than us since 5 years ago 😅
Yes and no. Yes, it’s can analyse lots of useful information but the internet also fed the AI lots of faults information and random sh it people made up. 😂😂😂
They keep saying 1m bet and right underneath them it says 10m bet. Is someone hallucinating? Or is it just me? Long live the machines! Meow out.
As we speak these apps are out of date.
Predicting the future, one year at a time.
He said we’d be driving Tesla self driving cars years ago but it has t happened. Intelligence is now defined by those with money. 🤷🏽♂️🙄
Yeah, name one of his predictions that has come true
I predict before 2026...
We haven't regulated the internet or social media that are doing a lot of harm so what hope is there that we'll regulate AI?
AI can never smarter than human, as we human have conscious,our neural network is so complicated that AI can't understand completely
😮 you are a complete fool and do not know what you're talking about😮 look up human brain organoid computer we can already make computers out of human brain cells😮 buy reprogramming skin cells in fact in the last 4 months using AI we've gone even better at it😮 creating organoids that are much larger and have actual circulatory systems😮 we've even made some brain organoids with eyes😮 your argument of AI can never because humans😮 AI is human or it will be made partly of human flesh😮fool😮 like you just forgot biotechnology existed😮 seriously God help you people
So 20 yrs from now
That means next decade
AI is domain intelligent but are they as good as us? You can’t discount how AI fails at some of the things that humans are good at without discounting humans because we are not as good at some things as AI.
I wouldn't hold ur breath
According to Mush, humans should have been residing on Mars for several years already. Nothing he says can be regarded seriously - not trustworthy. He is unable even to launch his rockets into geostationary orbit.
It's not a prediction if it already is, which it is. Humans are very silly atm.
One of his predictions was for 2029, 5 years from now. Something I've noticed in 30 years of following certain medical research is that anytime anyone says 'within 5 years' they're pulling that projection straight out of their backside. It's enough time for something to develop, but not so long it seems out of reach. It's a totally arbitrary figure, and once you become aware of it, you start noticing this old chestnut cropping up everywhere in science and technology.
Most humans armed that smart to begin with.
And what mathematically brought you to that conclusion? the Fact that we would rely on it in the first and already do? I wish I could be your employee, I wish I could of Invested in iBM when i was a wasn't a nutter
Funny that the people in the comments are literally as predictable as possible.
I'm an AI engineer and we can already build systems smarter than most humans. Elon knows people aren't ready for what's about to happen.
this is the same guy who cannot get my car to drive better than a 6 year old? yeah... thanks Elon, keep dreaming
2030 is possible
Sure and maybe by then they'll be able to color hair too? Every single answer I received through AI was completely incorrect
A machine cannot surpass a person. Machines still require human input and maintenance.
😮 you are a fool and have no idea what you're talking about😮 have you heard of the human organoid brain computer we can make computers at a human brain cells 😮 by reprogramming skin cells😮 so you're human brain doesn't require input to do things does it😮 neither will this also AI agents don't require input already so you are so wrong it's not even funny😮 there is nothing a machine can never not do😮 the question you must ask is what a machine can't do which is basically nothing
2:23 can they use the end of the tablecloth to cover up the fluffingly distracting adhd banner along the bottom of the screen? Don't know and don't care, this old-school luddite will!😅
First of all. Instead of asking are they smarter than us in every way. No. Are we smarter than them in every way? No. Anyway This has to be an old video. He is talking about what humans can do that machines cant. All of his examples turned out to be wrong. This didnt age well.
How do you know
that you are not a robot
To see how robots humans
treat cyborg's to see if they are
Stagnant due to education of
Schools infurstruture to enhance the mind
I'm still writing for that Mars Colonization, Elon...
moon has to come 1st. closer. easier to perform emergency type operations with people close by.
Thank God. Now that Elongo makes this claim of 1 year, its at least 10 years away.
I hate caps and I rarely use it, but it right now seems merited: WHY DO YOU LISTEN TO SPACE KAREN?! WHY IS THIS NEWS?!
I fear it will be sooner than Elon's estimate.
One more FUD AI video. It was a year ago that Elon was trying to play catchup and he was the FUD-about-AI guy. Now this guy is probably playing catchup and wants to slow down the others by claiming that AI is used only to do harmful things.
Thunderf00t, over to you!
I do not believe AI will surpass humans in a year; definitely missing subtle cultural and socioeconomic congruity. Likely surpass some humans..
Anything is smarter than elon
Smarter than anyone still on Twitter, anyway.