The Surprising Truth About Dropping Interest Rates

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 30 พ.ย. 2024

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  • @jdrm03
    @jdrm03 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +40

    I am about to sign a purchase agreement for new construction. I've been saving for the last 3 years. Doing 10% down and will still have a very health savings. Just could not pass up builder incentive of 4.99 percent and it's only 15 minutes from my office. I am both terrified and excited lol.

    • @abelscaliber7969
      @abelscaliber7969 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      Worse case scenario. Rates go back up , keep ur rate
      Best case scenario. Rates go below 5% you can refi

    • @Bella_0303
      @Bella_0303 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      Where are you purchasing?

    • @TheYaredyigzaw
      @TheYaredyigzaw 11 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Hopefully the garage is not in an alley with an HOA

    • @PSCA1988
      @PSCA1988 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      You're supposed to have 20 percent down. You are not ready.

    • @InternetUser._
      @InternetUser._ 11 หลายเดือนก่อน

      10% down is Mid’

  • @andrew.alonzo
    @andrew.alonzo 10 หลายเดือนก่อน +108

    I don't see housing prices falling much until the supply is increased. In the USA we are short millions of housing units, and we aren't building nearly fast enough. People always need a place to live and we are constantly making new people. Any slight dip in prices unlocks a bunch of buyers who will gobble up that supply instantly. I want to buy inexpensive houses in 2024 and maybe invest in stocks. When's the best time to buy stocks? Some people say they make money, but others say it's risky. Any advice?

    • @james.atkins88
      @james.atkins88 10 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Consider investing in stocks especially during a recession . While recessions can be tough, they can also offer good chances to buy low and sell high in the markets if you're cautious. Remember, this is not financial advice, but it's a good time to think about buying stocks since having cash on hand isn't always the best option.

    • @hunter-bourke21
      @hunter-bourke21 10 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      You're right! With the help of an experienced coach, I made some changes in my investments. I started with $321k, and now I have more than $750k by investing in stocks, ETFs, and bonds. I think housing prices won't go down much until there are more houses available.

    • @rebecca_burns14
      @rebecca_burns14 10 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Can you kindly provide me with the information of your investment advisor as I am currently in desperate need of one?

    • @rebecca_burns14
      @rebecca_burns14 10 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      As a new investor it's always great to hear from a person who has gone through all the difficult times and come ahead of it. What are some strategies i can employ to be successful?

    • @hunter-bourke21
      @hunter-bourke21 10 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Finding financial advisors like Camille Alicia Garcia who can assist you shape your portfolio would be a very creative option. There will be difficult times ahead, and prudent personal money management will be essential to navigating them.

  • @libnizhr
    @libnizhr 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +9

    Thats how I feel about 2024, just focus on your savings, work on a plan, prepare as much as you can, solidify your finances and don’t worry much about the market, let things be for now and come back maybe in 2025 when things settle down a bit more.

  • @boningousa4390
    @boningousa4390 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +14

    I like your advice of buying when ready and not timing the market.

  • @matturner8
    @matturner8 10 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

    Even if bond yields are rising while stock prices are decreasing, the markets are still skeptical whether the Federal Reserve will stick to its goal to raise interest rates until inflation is under control. As I'm still debating whether to sell my $401k worth of equities, what is the best way to profit from the current down market?

    • @Johnlarry12
      @Johnlarry12 10 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

      Even though there will likely be more pain in the future, investors should look for stocks like Royal Philips NV and Alstom SA that have been sufficiently battered down to be a bargain or hire an exceptional portfolio manager.

    • @frankbarnes22
      @frankbarnes22 10 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      The best market strategy at the moment is working with a respected investing coach. I've been in touch with a coach for a time now, mostly because I lack the depth of understanding and mental toughness to deal with these ongoing market conditions. During this recession, I made about $700k, proving that the market is more complicated than most people think.

    • @emiliabucks33
      @emiliabucks33 10 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      You’re right! Working with a financial advisor will genuinely set you up for success in life. I’m glad I was able to hire a financial advisor “Carol Vivian Constable earlier this year since while others were complaining about the downturn, I was busy cashing out from my investment, eventually making over seven figures in the first quarter alone…

    • @MarkGrimm8
      @MarkGrimm8 10 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      Your advisor really seem to know this stuff. I found her web-page online when I google up her full names, read through her resume, educational background, qualifications and it was really impressive. I left her a note and booked a call session with her hoping she gets back to me soon

  • @zenfuri89
    @zenfuri89 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +7

    Keep in mind the Fed has a Summary of Economic Projection of a Long term Fund rate of 2.5 basis points. We aren’t going below 5% mortgage rates if they hold that rate after their cuts for the next 2 years. Unless something really breaks.. we will go to 0 on the Fund rate again but we will have more problems than trying to buy a house.

    • @rathelmmc3194
      @rathelmmc3194 11 หลายเดือนก่อน

      I'm not convinced I'll see ZIRP again in my lifetime. I think the only reason ZIRP was possible was due to 2008 to 2020 being a Silent Depression as stated by Emil Kalinowski. I also think the fact that Boomers were saving so much allowed interest rates to be so low because they weren't consuming enough and everyone younger than them was too broke.
      The boom of the last few years was caused, in my opinion, by Boomers retiring en masse and the Millennials finally starting to get all the good jobs. It's no surprise that the first thing they did was drive up the prices of everything.

  • @rathelmmc3194
    @rathelmmc3194 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +8

    I'm in the camp that thinks if interest rates go marginally down that it will just speed up house price declines. The low transaction volume is keeping prices high. If transactions start to pick up I think the FOMO buying is over and prices will decline as the buyers now know that houses are just expensive: expensive to own, expensive to maintain, expensive to insure, and taxes are too high.

  • @SoulfulMole
    @SoulfulMole 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +9

    Do you think this lowering of interest rates will yield much benefit outside of making mortgages slightly more affordable? I suspect sellers won't be able sell for more, just because interest rates went down by 1 point in a market that was already unaffordable for many, especially for 1st time home buyers.

  • @Bitachon
    @Bitachon 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

    *Who thinks the fed is NOT going to lower rates in Jan!?*

  • @cstgraphics8420
    @cstgraphics8420 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Javier..I really want you to be right..I really do. You give some good points in your analysis. Unfortunately there are still a lot of emotional buyers still out there and FOMO is the absolute winner when it comes to this current market. No I don't see cost of housing going up as much as you said. But I do still predict an increase early next year because the spring time is the best time..combine that with FOMO and you got yourself a fire market all over again.

  • @ThanosKratos
    @ThanosKratos 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +8

    I have been waiting since 2017 for market to crash. I am under contract for a house. Fuck it I’m buying

    • @eduardorubio3031
      @eduardorubio3031 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      I did the same and don’t regret it

    • @StretchySpaghetti
      @StretchySpaghetti 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

      2020 was the "crash"

    • @rickyrivas4893
      @rickyrivas4893 11 หลายเดือนก่อน

      2017 Jesus lol

    • @cmcmanu8
      @cmcmanu8 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      I closed on Monday with a 6.625% rate

    • @ThanosKratos
      @ThanosKratos 11 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@cmcmanu8 more power to you 👍🏽

  • @dnah02
    @dnah02 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +13

    Folks got desperate and over paid. Chill and become a well qualified buyer.

  • @charitychung7878
    @charitychung7878 10 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Gotta love cosmo canyon playing in the background at the start.

  • @MrRedhothitsng
    @MrRedhothitsng 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

    Great content.... was in a bidding war a year or two ago, over bid 100k+ for a house and still didn't get it....FOMO factor was def in placed..... looking back, kinda glad that we didn't get the house.... 6-7g a month is a lot of money and with inflation right now, we would've been stretch to the max..... and Yes... with interest rate down a bit now...house prices are still expensive... that 7-8% interest rate was kinda a wake up call... a cool down period for us because we really can't afford it at that rate..... and will not jump back in anytime soon unless the house price become more affordable.....

  • @Dantursi1
    @Dantursi1 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

    The rising interest rate can surely control inflation, but won't prevent erosion of the eroding purchasing power of the US dollar. I have learnt my lesson this time. The banks can't be making money off my money, while inflation eats into it. I have set aside 650k to invest in the stock market now, since that keeps up with inflation, but I don't know how to get started.

    • @Rachadrian
      @Rachadrian 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

      Yes, truly, investing in the market, even if it's just the S&P 500, can keep up with inflation, because the growth rate of stocks will always exceed the inflation rate. But if you don't have the courage, you could just invest with a financial advisor, which even has greater return on investments, while securing your investment against losses.

    • @michaelwiebeck3
      @michaelwiebeck3 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      Keeping money in the bank is like paying banks and the Govemment. Here's how it works: The bank gives out your money as loan, and charge interest obviously higher than inflation rate, and then give you, the depositor, interest lower than inflation rate. That means net loss for you. That is why I prefer to invest, and on average, my advisor makes returns that always beats inflation!

    • @CindyValenti
      @CindyValenti 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      Since I need some recommendations, may I ask who your advisor is, as I've had doubts about banks for a while?

    • @michaelwiebeck3
      @michaelwiebeck3 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      'Vivian Carol Gioia' is the licensed advisor I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment

    • @CindyValenti
      @CindyValenti 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      I just looked her up on the web and I would say she really has an impressive background in investing. I will write her an email shortly.

  • @CptnCobblestone
    @CptnCobblestone 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +9

    It’s scary to think I’ve bought a house back in November and I’m not sure what’s going to happen to the market. I bought with refinancing in mind, but if the economy tanks, I likely won’t have enough equity in the house. It’s tempting to sell and try to break even and buy again a year from now, but it’s all hard to say

    • @jeyfs7355
      @jeyfs7355 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

      If you can afford the mortgage, then just stay in the house until it’s time to refinance. I’m in the same boat, I got a 6.7% interest rate. I can afford it, but waiting for those rate drops.

    • @crombie92
      @crombie92 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Just make more money

    • @Brian-tu7yn
      @Brian-tu7yn 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      @Howtosurviveamerica I understand the fear. I hope it works out for you!

    • @candelariaw1668
      @candelariaw1668 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Lean not on your own understanding.

    • @candelariaw1668
      @candelariaw1668 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      I brought also and I plan on staying in my home for years to come. I don’t listen to naysayers, one size don’t fit all.

  • @gilmarperez8752
    @gilmarperez8752 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Javier
    Can you make a video for those who buy and are waiting to refinance

  • @GioDSLRProductions
    @GioDSLRProductions 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    Javier I'm looking at purchasing a home , are homes still selling for over asking or are they selling for asking,under asking price?
    Also whos paying closing cost sellers or buyers ? Would like to know so i can prepare myself and know what to expect thank you

    • @jeyfs7355
      @jeyfs7355 11 หลายเดือนก่อน

      It just depends in what area you’re looking at and how long the property has been on the market. If the house has been in the market for over a month, then maybe the seller would consider to give concessions.

  • @weewee9464
    @weewee9464 11 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Well soon as I saw the interest going down I’m ready to go back to the market and not just me my neighbors and friends

  • @palomaquerida
    @palomaquerida 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Spot on as always. Good consistent content. Keep ot up.

  • @MCC1591
    @MCC1591 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

    I bought this year I’m tired of waiting… now I just wait for a chance to refi I’m ok with my payments at the moment

    • @HectorTorres-gd2zb
      @HectorTorres-gd2zb 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

      Good luck on refinancing, might be under water by that time

    • @MCC1591
      @MCC1591 11 หลายเดือนก่อน

      😂😂 crash bros alert

    • @sportsfan1717
      @sportsfan1717 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      How much did you put down? Sounds like you got a bit of FOMO if you were just sick of waiting and are now waiting for a refi opportunity. Hope it works out for you.

    • @MCC1591
      @MCC1591 11 หลายเดือนก่อน

      I literally said I’m ok with my payment I’m in blazing hot market socal oc area our prices aren’t going anywhere all markets are location based … rates have gone down with the fed doing absolutely nothing worst case our prices will be flat

    • @crombie92
      @crombie92 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Maybe another 2 years

  • @Bitachon
    @Bitachon 11 หลายเดือนก่อน

    int rates going down usually means prices are going to go up but this time is diff I think... Even with int rates lowering I think prices will still go down!... Not enough demand and I think supply will go up.

  • @juanalcaraz7807
    @juanalcaraz7807 11 หลายเดือนก่อน

    There is no talk about supply and demand or talk about expected lower rates making more people qualify bringing them back to the market

  • @jakobrassi9816
    @jakobrassi9816 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Let housing prices come down, don't overpay 170% for a home that someone is trying to sell, if the affordability and comfortability live there isn't there it isn't worth paying 170% of what the last person paid for it.

  • @Nickveganyc
    @Nickveganyc 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    I come from the future 2030 I wish I bought in 2023 all homes over 600,000 I can’t afford it

  • @mhodge0890
    @mhodge0890 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Great video

  • @omarthegreat4179
    @omarthegreat4179 11 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Good advice

  • @mike7972
    @mike7972 11 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Sound advice.

  • @steveguillory7568
    @steveguillory7568 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    What makes you think a slight lowering of rates will greatly increase supply? Absent increases in supply, there is nothing to indicate prices will drop

  • @HEC892
    @HEC892 11 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Thanks for the video Javier , blessing to you and your family this holiday and a happy new year !

  • @christinab9133
    @christinab9133 10 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    ❤❤❤

  • @Nickveganyc
    @Nickveganyc 11 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Everyone has fomo

  • @DoubleAIV
    @DoubleAIV 11 หลายเดือนก่อน

    2023 was such a waste of a year.

  • @nabilauz
    @nabilauz 11 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Hi, I sold my house this year at March and I like to buy a house hopefully By end of 2024, can u make a video about housing market for Boise, Idaho please
    Thank you 😊

  • @drwayne_carter9115
    @drwayne_carter9115 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +6

    Anyone who can't put at least 20% down on a house shouldn't be buying a home. Especially in this market/ economy. So many of my idiot peers are buying houses as recently as last month with only 5-10%. Razor thin budget. If the economy so much as sneezes, they're toast and handing the keys back.

    • @karinawashere
      @karinawashere 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      did you put 20% down?

    • @jeyfs7355
      @jeyfs7355 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      It’s smarter to only put 3.5% down with an FHA loan to have extra money on the side and also most people don’t live in a home for over 10 years nowadays.

    • @rathelmmc3194
      @rathelmmc3194 11 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@jeyfs7355 Even Zillow said at current prices you'll lose money if you don't stay in a house for 13 years. I've always heard 7 years to buy anything less than that you should rent. Also I think people should be paying cash for their primary residence since its a non-cashflowing asset. I know that's impractical for most, but advocating 3.5% down is a bit foolhardy in my opinion. 3.5% down doesn't even cover realtor fees.

    • @Dohair879
      @Dohair879 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      Great idea if you have a home that’s less than $300k. Try that math out on $500k and above. Remember less than 20% you pay PMI and that’s a waste of money. 20% down is a pretty smart move in most cases.

    • @jeyfs7355
      @jeyfs7355 11 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@Dohair879 If it’s your forever home. Everyone’s situations are different. You can always refinance the FHA loan and make it into a conventional.

  • @pepperonipizza7633
    @pepperonipizza7633 11 หลายเดือนก่อน

    This video is all about HOPE 😂

  • @OPP534
    @OPP534 11 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Javier is such a Chad

  • @misscrystalann2081
    @misscrystalann2081 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    Thank you for always not pushing and making people feel like they have to buy NOW. Love how you say save and make sure we can afford before buying 🩵

  • @ep411
    @ep411 11 หลายเดือนก่อน

    I am a flipper 😤😤😤

  • @flauze
    @flauze 11 หลายเดือนก่อน

    "bonkers"

  • @Leondon73
    @Leondon73 11 หลายเดือนก่อน

    I got my mortgage on December 2022 @ 6.5%, do you guys think it will be at 5.5% by the end of the spring? All i want to do is refinance.

    • @NoNo-ng9sl
      @NoNo-ng9sl 11 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Have you entered your metrics in a mortgage calculator? Refi cost may not make it worth it for just one % point.

  • @getro-uz8zv
    @getro-uz8zv 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +9

    Thanks for continues updates! I am super excited about how my stock investments is going so far, making over $160k every week is an amazing gain🥰

    • @getro-uz8zv
      @getro-uz8zv 11 หลายเดือนก่อน

      I'm guided by Mrs Lillian Clifford

    • @suzan671
      @suzan671 11 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Her platform is really safe and secured, not quite long I actually joined her discord

    • @jennymelrose2509
      @jennymelrose2509 11 หลายเดือนก่อน

      You know her too?I'm also a proud beneficiary of her platform

    • @jennymelrose2509
      @jennymelrose2509 11 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Got 73k on weekly basis

    • @nicholasbarros7416
      @nicholasbarros7416 11 หลายเดือนก่อน

      when someone is straight forward and good at what she does best. People will always speak for them. For me I would say give Mrs Lillian a try and you be happy you did

  • @ontopent
    @ontopent 11 หลายเดือนก่อน

    First

  • @ollibaker1997
    @ollibaker1997 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Not that this may matter, but I think I need to unsubscribe and start to ask TH-cam to stop recommending me these videos. I understand wanting to provide a "different" perspective in relation to some of the articles out there, but this analysis is just underwhelming. It just calls a spike in prices as a "Frankenstein" monster and seeks to understand very little. This video was undereducational and I think it just made me frustrated and sad watching this. People, go get your facts elsewhere because this is not it.

    • @JavyVidana
      @JavyVidana  11 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Sorry my video didn’t provide you enough value. I’ll take your feedback and try better next time.

    • @redx566
      @redx566 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      I didn’t realize opinions were facts 🤔

    • @juanrestrepo1017
      @juanrestrepo1017 11 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@JavyVidana- Its just unrealistic. You expect both Rates & Prices to drop. That shouldn’t be an expectation , but rather wishful thinking. You have to take into account that there are 1st home buyers who have been waiting on the wings for well over a year now and asking them to continue to wait at times isn’t feasible- which is why people jump in when they see any drops in mortgage rates. Helping prop up prices. 2024 will be more of the same as 2023 expects for more sales and lower rates. But the prices are staying largely the same