Club Lunch - Facing China: The Prospect for War and Peace

China’s economic development, international influence, military empowerment, and nationalism have fueled its global rivalry with the United States, increasing the risks of war between the two great powers.
Causes for a Chinese involvement in an armed conflict are numerous: they include Beijing’s ambition to take control of the whole South China Sea, to question Japan’s control of the Senkaku (Diaoyu), to delineate to its advantage its de facto border with India, and to speed up Taiwan’s unification.
Xi Jinping’s China has been inclined to privilege “gray zone tactics” and operations. The People’s Liberation Army (PLA) and other Chinese security agencies have improved its power projection capabilities and their combat preparedness. As the Russian invasion of Ukraine has illustrated, crossing the war threshold carries numerous predictable and unintended consequences. Moreover, the PLA’s lack of combat experience may convince it to first get engaged in less risky military operations abroad.
For these reasons, China and the US are moving towards a new Cold War rather than a hot war that could rapidly get nuclearized. Q&A moderated by FCC Professional Committee Member William Zheng.

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5:30 China PRC friend Henry Kissinger Quote: “To be an enemy of America can be dangerous, but to be a friend is fatal.”

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11:00 Thomas Shaw: (1) Be clear, the Philippines ram the rusted Sl Madre ship onto Thomas Shaw "Reef". (2) If all measure in other natural reefs, the Philippines would have been order to remove the "rust bucket" off the reef. Note, the Philippines by doing so, had "kill the once life reefs". (3) An agreement was made between Philippines & China PRC that the Filipino Marine can be resupply, BUT no building material for the Sl Madre ship is to be sent to the "Rust Bucket".

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12:00 Saku island: (1) After 1945 China ROC (KMT) claim those island & even today still do from island of Taiwan & it is noted, island is closer to Taiwan then of Japan. (2) Japan lost those right after WWII 1945 to China ROC. (3) Since China PRC now claim of all China, it is taking action of what was claim by KMT. (4) Also note South Korea also claim Saku island as well. The Saku island issue should have been settle after 1945, but China had not power then vs now

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20:00 In matter of Australia's Policy (aka AUKUS) - th-cam.com/video/sgspkxfkS4k/w-d-xo.html
Now Japan, South Korea & Philippines are order by USA to budget 2.5% - 3% to building up military.
I should be noted: China's non-interference directive of other Nation States & it does not have any Article Five

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15:00 Taiwan Strait: At issue of the Taiwan Strait is the US Navel Fleet. (1) How fast do you believe the USA would send military forces against Chinese Navel ship if it cross the Catalina Island Strait, claiming Freedom of Navigation. (2) If US Navel Fleets does not cross the Taiwan Strait since 2019, this issue of Chinese military crossing into Taiwan would not be an issue. Understand, it is NOT an issue for Private & Commercial Vessels from Worldwide crossing the Strait before

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12:30 If China land on Senkaku (Diaoyu) island, is Japan willing to go nuclear again for those island? Also "Article Five" is a NATO agreement with it's member. When did Japan join NATO. Is the U.S.A. willing to go Nuclear with China for those island(s)? Japan should look and remember what was once a place call Ukraine.

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17:00 island of Taiwan: How the World forget President Jimmy Carter - Speech on Relations with China & island of Taiwan
th-cam.com/video/37azeXBjYJc/w-d-xo.html Let it be noted: United Nations view China PRC is China.

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23:00 The Economic Consequences: Ask one self, what do you think China PRC concern more, The Economic Consequences or China’s Century of Humiliation 1839-1949 (the return of the island of Taiwan to mainland Nation State).
The last piece lost of China that China (KMT) Republic of China & China (CCP) People Republic of China have in common, the return of the island of Taiwan to the Chinese.

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22:00 Taiwan Security: Taiwanese should ask one self, if US care of Taiwan security then why does US delay delivery of the $8 Billions dollar order 4 years delay delivery and why US does not offer for SALES the State of the Art Weapon system. Is the US, like in Ukraine, spoon feed Taiwan the weapon(s) US think Taiwan need ???
“Let your plans be dark and impenetrable as night, and when you move, fall like a thunderbolt.” ― Sun Tzu, The Art of War