🚀 The Exponentialist - Become a charter member rvtv.io/3tQlabB 1 What Scenarios Should We Be Considering Around the Situation in Israel? 00:24 2 Is the Ability and the Will in the US to Be Powerbrokers Diminishing? 0:10:11 3 How Does This Affect Energy? 0:21:08 4 The Knock-On Effects on the Russia-Ukraine War 0:29:10 5 How Is Technology Changing the Face of Warfare? 0:36:36 6 The Financial Costs to the US and the 2024 Presidential Election 0:41:39 7 Immigration Policies and Demographics 0:48:30 8 Is China a Weakened State? 0:58:34 9 On the Possibility of Nuclear Conflict 01:03:58 10 What Are You Most Focused on Right Now? 01:10:21
It’s baffling to me that Peter still can’t understand the establishment can’t expect any American to support the defense of another country until ours is secure. This isn’t about being able to “find Canada on a map or understand math”. It’s about keeping our own borders on the map and understanding the math around our demographics and economy.
hes an authoritarian apologist state puppet, cheering on th epolitical prosecution from electio stealing psychopaths, on their political opponents because they cant win in a fair electio
Those who listened to Peter and invested in US a decade ago are laughing all the way to the bank. Those who drank all that China rising cool aid meanwhile...😂
One thing that he continues to underestimate is the speed at which AI and robotics are growing and merging to either become major determinants in the labor force or the armed forces. Musk has begun mass producing humanoid bots. In 5 years these technologies will be capable of replacing millions of workers and dramatically reducing costs, such that the pace of wealth creations could reduce international friction and conflict
@stopper90004 Robots may produce as much stuff as they like. But since ONLY US will be **consuming** such stuff, it is the US that gets to decide who lives and who dies.
everybody who believed in the chinese continoum rising never factored the lack ofany financial restraint by shi the chinese damms are moving dangerously towards fracturing and leading to ecologic disaster this puts a damper on their predicted growth they are having trouble with the belt and road contiuing also disasterous building companies
We can fix it and bring it into line with other countries. Folks don't want to. Socialize care with Medicare/Medicaid without the social control that a full NHS-style health care would bring. All you need to do it set limitations on pubically funded health care. Put limitations on dialysis, ventilation, and cancer treatments. But let's be fair, no one is going to do that. It won't buy votes. Best chance is some uber-lefty to understand we have a great system and it's just the last year or two of life where our spending goes. So they leave the current private system and get left with just fixing the pubically funded side.
@pa_2600agreed.. But our healthcare system is top three economic anchor on our necks. No idea why we don't have visible pricing in healthcare..... Would solve most problems right away.
Health care reform would not be much of an issue without the hemorrhaging of money to support destroying countries, and lining the pockets of the powerful elite.
@@kth6736ironically, if you apply the thinking patterns and cautionary behaviors Zeihan constantly touts to his own presentations? He becomes startlingly-accurate. Problem is, as soon as one becomes famous and dependent on publishing for their money, their ability to maintain impartiality begins to slide.
Around 12:10 Peter says the US military has had three years to rest and _recruit._ Have you seen DoD's current recruitment numbers and projections? WE ARE IN TROUBLE.
The recruitment numbers are down, but not to the level where it causes systematic problems. Across all three branches they project a shortfall of 26,000. Out of a US joint force of 1.4 million. Get a grip.
Agree 100%! It’s great to see these guys so clearly and publicly declaring who they are: a guy who smiles while saying this is as a facinating train wreck.
hes an authoritarian apologist state puppet, cheering on th epolitical prosecution from electio stealing psychopaths, on their political opponents because they cant win in a fair electio
Example: 14:47 zeihan apparently doesn't realize that Blinken is a simpleton who gets the cold shoulder in most non western nations. Especially China. Zeihans China take is ridiculous...
Actually just the opposite. The stuff that Zeihan talks about are RARELY mentioned, and if they are mentioned, are rarely portrayed correctly, by the mainstream news media. His predictions are not all going to be correct, but his insights as to what is going on, and what this could lead too, far out pace the usual talking heads on CNN, NBC, or Faux News. He is very impressed with himself, that's for sure.
The longer an interview has Zeihan on, the more likely I’ll watch it. He’s a fascinating speaker and as my first experience watching Lake, she’s a great interviewer
It's really just a lot of well spoken words to state the obvious - the Middle East has been a mess for thousands, not hundreds of years. Even during the multi-century period of Ottoman rule, this part of the map was in a constant fuedal, warring mess. Without Israel.
What amuses me is the people that reject Peter outright because he dumps on Trump. Peter is human, and makes mistakes too - but saying everything he talks about is wrong because he doesn't think much of your political candidate? What does that say about you...
regardless of what you think about the 2020 election (he lost, get over it), the fact that a red wave didn't materialize in the midterm is a very clear sign that the republicans are not in a strong position at the moment. best believe that trump will galvanize the democratic party in opposition as well.
The candidness and humble nature of her follow up questions drew a perfect level of exploration and explanation from Peter in my opinion. Great discussion, bravo 👏
Listening to Peter is like drinking from a fire hydrant. Much to parse, much to consider. Excellent job in managing the interview as well! Kudos to you both.
Zeihan would never. He’s all narrative and pro west propaganda.. talking to macgregor would actually require him to listen and analyze things in real time and he doesn’t do that.
MacGregor is a petulant Colonel, a fella that never made General because he was never correct in all those postings around the world, throughout his career
He sounds so confident like he has it all figured out. He’s a stooge for the deep state and you would have to water board him before he would say a bad word about big pharma.
hes an authoritarian apologist state puppet, cheering on th epolitical prosecution from electio stealing psychopaths, on their political opponents because they cant win in a fair electio
Why isn't Turkey getting more attention? The fact that Turkish naval forces are conducting military exercises near a US carrier strike group is quite telling. This situation prompts serious questions about Turkey's reliability as a NATO ally. It's evident that Turkey is determined to establish its dominance in the Eastern Mediterranean. However, its ambitions are in direct conflict with the interests of Cyprus and the Greek islands, which complicates its pursuit of the "Mavi Vatan" or "Blue Homeland" strategy aimed at expanding control over crucial sea routes connecting the Black Sea, the Aegean, and the Suez Canal. It's clear that Turkey would first need to eliminate the US presence in the region to achieve these ambitions. This scenario underscores the notion that Turkey might pose a more significant military threat to the West than Iran. It's imperative to maintain a close and continuous watch on Turkey, not just during the current conflict. It's alarming how Turkey's Neo-Ottoman aspirations are progressing with minimal attention from Western nations.
Turkey is a regional powerbroker whether you like it or not. They control access to the Black Sea and Agean (NOT Greece). Greece and Cyprus are pawns at best but essentially non-factors! Turkey "neo-Ottoman" goals have the full support of Israel, Saudie Arabia and the Caspian stans regarding energy pipelines and economic trade corridors. Deal with it!! Ha ha
Turkey's value to NATO is the control of access to the Black and Azov seas, which is nothing to sneeze at: Before February 24, 2022, Russia and Ukraine, the 2nd and 5th largest producers of wheat moved almost ALL of the grain through the straight straddled by Istanbul. Further, the control of access from the Black Sea gives or takes away Russia's wintertime connection to the rest of the world. They are also the largest, most well-equipped and combat-experienced NATO military force after the USA by far. NATO is not at all worried about Erdogan's little tantrums and if he ever becomes a real problem, he can be replaced almost at the push of a button and a telephone call. That's not a boast: He knows it, we know it, we know he knows it.
If you listen to Zeihan on other videos in 5-10 years the world is going to break into regional bocks and the US is going to go inward so likely Turkey will get its wish
People seem to forget there's a very large, yet silent majority that goes against the grain of the extremes in their States. They resent the political finger-wagging and ranting from many of their relatives, friends and colleagues. They resent the clickbait that is now the Media (whichever political or cultural aisle). These people "independents" don't like drama. Their voices are heard at the ballot box......
Peter Z is the smartest guy in the room. Where others talk the party line, he talks realities. It’s refreshing to hear his honest, unbiased options based on facts. We need more Leaders who think like him.
hes an authoritarian apologist state puppet, cheering on th epolitical prosecution from electio stealing psychopaths, on their political opponents because they cant win in a fair electio
The immigration conversation definitely *should* change. The question is whether all of the people who are involved in it and who are being motivated purely by emotion rather than any kind of sensible assessment of the future, can get their heads out of their... you know what long enough to think about our long term benefit. People are just too busy hating to think rationally.
He has an excellent model of international resources. But his domestic analysis is lower IQ than the Times. In fact he is sometimes quoting that tabloid.
He has been wildly off in the past. He used to be super high on 3D printing. His bread and butter are demographics and energy. The father from those two, the more speculation
"Talk about oil being priced in the yuan." Exactly - TALK. Empty words. There is no threat at all in the world to the dollar. Look, it's not like nothing bad could happen for the US. Some madman might sling a bunch of nukes at us, and that would be a really bad day. We might experience more terrorist events. But that wouldn't "change our way of life." Bottom line is that barring some kind of an idiotic nuclear move on someone's part, the US is more or less impervious. Be it military, financial, or anything else, we win.
Biden is part of the system. Itt doesnt matter what Biden knows or doesnt. He has the wheel turning behind him. Trump doesnt which makes it far more difficult for him and by himself its impossible. As we saw.
It's not that Biden doesn't know anything, it's whether he can competently recall WHAT he knows. He is clearly very ill and it's cruel what the DNC are doing to him - no matter how you feel about Biden. He should be living with his wife free from politics and spending time with his loved ones.
Peter just sounds like a 3 letter US agency propaganda to me . Overwhelming bias and trying to steer the audience. His track record for the past 2 years speaks for itself. Thanks for the interview. Interesting to hear his perspective once again, and as usual great questions from Maggie.
From the first 5 minutes you can tell he doesn’t know much about the Middle East. Egyptian people don’t hate Ghaza, in fact a lot of them are upset about the Israeli attacks and want their army to intervene against Israel. Jordan is not a satellite state of Israel, the Jordanians hate their western neighbor so much. Syria is in civil war, but Iranians troops and their proxies, are in very close proximity to the Golan heights and may attack any moment, the fact that Syria is in civil war creates the ideal situation for these actors to act without worry about the Syrian government
When you have a guest just let them speak. 54:40 Just a completely useless interjection. People really want to hear themselves talk but don't consider at all if it makes any sense.
He said Hezbollah doesn't have an army. Jane's military media organization puts the number of Hezbollah fighters at approximately 30,000. That's just their full time strength. Add in their reserves, and the number is roughly 50,000. They also have approximately 10,000 special elite forces. In addition, they are financed with about a billion dollars a year by Iran which trains them. They have an estimated 150,000 rocket artillery units They have precision guided missiles. They have silkworm cruise missiles. They don't have an army? Tell that to the large amount of mothers and fathers who lost sons (and daughters) to combat with them. They are an existential threat whose objective is to ethnically cleanse Israel of Jews and impose a governance structure based on an extreme form of religious law. By the way, Hamas has about 30,000 fighters which constitutes a massive force multiplier for the approximately 50,000 man Hezbollah terrorist military.
Funny thing - the IDF's total number of possible members is 10x that of the full number of Hezbollah. And they have better weapons AND a tactical advantage through the Golan Heights.
They have a guerrilla force. Haven't they fought a war with Israel before? What did they do? Launch a bunch of rockets and then engage in guerrilla warfare? Pretty much. They don't stand their ground and so Israel plays the same game and executes scorched earth tactics by collectively punishing their civilians. Hezbollah regretted their last war with Israel because Israel can play the same game of attacking civilians and the Jews guard their civilians better than the Arabs.
Woul be interesting to know what Zeihan thinks of the West trying to avoid the collapse of Russia. How many years should Ukraine fight with this ongoing strategy of not letting Russia win and Ukraine not losing the war?
russia wining the usa enignereed ukraine war russia has overtaken germany as the biggest economy in europe its the usa that might collaspe look at the usa and its tent cities for the homeless
but theyve already won the war... for a long time. theyre willfully letting the west throw away resources into straight corruption, with 50% getting stolen outright and the rest being used horrifically ineffecient by an incompetent clowncountry
Peter has INCREDIBLE analysis. Second to few. His projections are hit or miss. Slightly more hit than miss... but don't make any financial bets based on his projections lol. He doesn't understand that TRADERS drive markets, rarely fundamentals.
Yes, he's clear headed with a great grand framework. His weakness is he offers near term projected dates with confidence that usual don't play out as anticipated yet are often possible outcomes that at least play out at some point.
26:26 Peter” they’re fat and they’re lazy” Customs guard at Riyadh airport when Peter comes to visit next time” peter Zeihan? We’ve been waiting for you!”😂😂😂😂😂😂😂
It is a shame that Gaza didn’t spend the funding it got on developing the tourist industries and taking advantage of what the Israelis left behind when they moved out. Gaza genuinely had unique opportunities. Gaza ended up with such a terrible Government. It wasn’t that bad a place and hardly the open air prison it claimed to be. When you see pictures of it before it was bombed it did have possibilities and it’s very own special character . What a shame. Now it is worth nothing.
Had to laugh when the guest said Israel was the only country with a concept of human rights in the Middle East....what a joke. As if human rights is something the US actually cares about when it's not in its interests
Everything is on scale. Given its neighbors….Israel is unfortunately the only nation with a high grade on human rights. And that’s judging how they treat their own people. What does that say about its region?
🚀 The Exponentialist - Become a charter member rvtv.io/3tQlabB
1 What Scenarios Should We Be Considering Around the Situation in Israel? 00:24
2 Is the Ability and the Will in the US to Be Powerbrokers Diminishing? 0:10:11
3 How Does This Affect Energy? 0:21:08
4 The Knock-On Effects on the Russia-Ukraine War 0:29:10
5 How Is Technology Changing the Face of Warfare?
0:36:36
6 The Financial Costs to the US and the 2024 Presidential Election 0:41:39
7 Immigration Policies and Demographics 0:48:30
8 Is China a Weakened State? 0:58:34
9 On the Possibility of Nuclear Conflict 01:03:58
10 What Are You Most Focused on Right Now? 01:10:21
Forget crypto
I’m Ty y un n
Please state for the record is Palestine AI (Anti Israel) or not? Would Moloch, Baal, Ra, Amen, El, and Isis approve of your manner of speech Peter?
It’s baffling to me that Peter still can’t understand the establishment can’t expect any American to support the defense of another country until ours is secure. This isn’t about being able to “find Canada on a map or understand math”. It’s about keeping our own borders on the map and understanding the math around our demographics and economy.
hes an authoritarian apologist state puppet, cheering on th epolitical prosecution from electio stealing psychopaths, on their political opponents because they cant win in a fair electio
Her little laugh when he said Biden predates the splitting of the atom😂
Yeah, that's true... he is not quite as old as the pyramids though. 🙂
Thanks
Those who listened to Peter and invested in US a decade ago are laughing all the way to the bank. Those who drank all that China rising cool aid meanwhile...😂
One thing that he continues to underestimate is the speed at which AI and robotics are growing and merging to either become major determinants in the labor force or the armed forces. Musk has begun mass producing humanoid bots. In 5 years these technologies will be capable of replacing millions of workers and dramatically reducing costs, such that the pace of wealth creations could reduce international friction and conflict
It is obvious you have no understanding of the causes of war and conflict. Please do your research and study history before commenting.@@stopper90004
@@stopper90004ill save this comment and in 5 years when ChatGTP is still a bets ill keeo laughing
@stopper90004 Robots may produce as much stuff as they like. But since ONLY US will be **consuming** such stuff, it is the US that gets to decide who lives and who dies.
everybody who believed in the chinese continoum rising never factored the lack ofany financial restraint by shi the chinese damms are moving dangerously towards fracturing and leading to ecologic disaster this puts a damper on their predicted growth they are having trouble with the belt and road contiuing also disasterous building companies
Thank you for highlighting health care cost reform as THE major problem in the US. Twice as expensive and by my experience non functional as well.
We can fix it and bring it into line with other countries. Folks don't want to. Socialize care with Medicare/Medicaid without the social control that a full NHS-style health care would bring. All you need to do it set limitations on pubically funded health care. Put limitations on dialysis, ventilation, and cancer treatments.
But let's be fair, no one is going to do that. It won't buy votes. Best chance is some uber-lefty to understand we have a great system and it's just the last year or two of life where our spending goes. So they leave the current private system and get left with just fixing the pubically funded side.
Health system is under pharma occupation. No one has the power to overthrow them
You are paying for that out of your own pocket? Sounds like very deep pockets.@pa_2600
@pa_2600agreed.. But our healthcare system is top three economic anchor on our necks. No idea why we don't have visible pricing in healthcare..... Would solve most problems right away.
Health care reform would not be much of an issue without the hemorrhaging of money to support destroying countries, and lining the pockets of the powerful elite.
IF you did one of these every month and it was 2 hours long, i'd listen to every single one of them.
And you would also become also as deluded as peter. 😂
@@kth6736ironically, if you apply the thinking patterns and cautionary behaviors Zeihan constantly touts to his own presentations? He becomes startlingly-accurate. Problem is, as soon as one becomes famous and dependent on publishing for their money, their ability to maintain impartiality begins to slide.
@@kth6736great argument? Where’s your geopolitical podcast with millions of followers? I’ll give you a subscribe
@@mattdavid716 yes. Its called not to be an online bootlick of peter zeihan. Subscribe to it... totally changes the taste of your mouth.
😂
Around 12:10 Peter says the US military has had three years to rest and _recruit._ Have you seen DoD's current recruitment numbers and projections? WE ARE IN TROUBLE.
He’s always wrong
Zeihan gets a lot wrong but nobody calls him on it because he's funny. People like funny more than truth.
Then reinstate the draft
@@mactek6033
who does Zeihan work for?
The recruitment numbers are down, but not to the level where it causes systematic problems. Across all three branches they project a shortfall of 26,000. Out of a US joint force of 1.4 million. Get a grip.
The flow of this interview was enjoyable. A lot to process here! Thanks to the both of you.
Great interview. Lake asked exactly the right questions, this was perfect extraction of Zeihan’s PoV. Bravo.
Like the way she uses the last statement as a seguay to the next question is class.
Agree 100%! It’s great to see these guys so clearly and publicly declaring who they are: a guy who smiles while saying this is as a facinating train wreck.
Yeah! Super snappy interviewer. What fabulous skills. Bravo indeed!
hes an authoritarian apologist state puppet, cheering on th epolitical prosecution from electio stealing psychopaths, on their political opponents because they cant win in a fair electio
The casualness in the way Peter says the words “locust drones” is terrifying😂
Hilarious that there's a pinned ad for Crypto Academy with fire next to it when Peter HATES crypto and calls it a dumpster fire. 😆🤣😂
😂 I thought the same!
Life in the big city. 🏌️
BlowHag Zeihan is paid to hate cryptocurrency and say everything else he says
Fake biz
A man’s gotta eat 🫃🏻
Peter is always such a ray of sunshine
Hahahah
😂😂😂
Maggie may well be the best interviewer in the business. She asks great questions, and spot-on follow ups...
Maggie is amazing and this interview is a great example.
She is so naive it seems like Peter is talking to a high school student.
@@jatpack3the majority understand world politics on a high school level. This is TH-cam dude, not a DC think tank conference.
What a very important discussion! Kudos to Maggie for keeping her questions short and to the point. Thank you so much!
Thanks!
No problem! Thanks for watching!
Should make this a monthly thing. Things are changing so fast.
When a Democrat is in office, the entire world makes power plays, if people don't like that then vote in someone like Trump 😂
Too fast, it's a problem.
@warfarenotwarfair5655 Trump is heading for a well deserved prison term or three.
Masterful hosting by Maggie. Peter is an excellent guest too, could listen to him all day (from behind my sofa).
He fuels MSM, which is all about propaganda and gaslighting.😅
I’m Israeli and this man is the best non Israeli analyst of this conflict💪🇺🇸
He ain’t a fan of Israel fyi 🤣
World is going to end; Peter Zeihan just smiling the whole time...
He's paid to.. Take everything peter says with the grain of salt.
@@Denver_ThugI’d say a mountain
@@Denver_Thuginteresting observation
Example: 14:47 zeihan apparently doesn't realize that Blinken is a simpleton who gets the cold shoulder in most non western nations. Especially China. Zeihans China take is ridiculous...
His most recent book is " the end of the world is only the beginning"
Danke!
Bitte Heli. Thanks for watching.
Peter is very mainstream, seldom correct, and very impressed with himself
You so correct.
This guy is definitely wrong. The things he says does not indicate an ability to predict things. Unless he just gets lucky.
Actually just the opposite. The stuff that Zeihan talks about are RARELY mentioned, and if they are mentioned, are rarely portrayed correctly, by the mainstream news media.
His predictions are not all going to be correct, but his insights as to what is going on, and what this could lead too, far out pace the usual talking heads on CNN, NBC, or Faux News.
He is very impressed with himself, that's for sure.
You are right, he is a fake prophet
You mean he’s not a Trump fan.
this is the first Ive heard him
Maggie is a superb interviewer for Peter. You both interact with intelligence, respect and positive chemistry. May we have more of the dynamic duo.
Yes she keeps him on the pace,and on track really well
The longer an interview has Zeihan on, the more likely I’ll watch it. He’s a fascinating speaker and as my first experience watching Lake, she’s a great interviewer
Love seeing these long videos with Peter.
Love seeing these long videos with your mom.
@@hibaticaburn....... Lol lol
It's really just a lot of well spoken words to state the obvious - the Middle East has been a mess for thousands, not hundreds of years. Even during the multi-century period of Ottoman rule, this part of the map was in a constant fuedal, warring mess. Without Israel.
Greatly helped by islam
Exactly. It's an unsolvable mess. They seem to enjoy it.
Excellent questions and sensible push back.
Peter is so refreshing to listen to, hilarious and charismatic
Great episode. This episode was better than all news sources combined regarding geopolitics!! I’ll be coming back for all content.
What amuses me is the people that reject Peter outright because he dumps on Trump. Peter is human, and makes mistakes too - but saying everything he talks about is wrong because he doesn't think much of your political candidate? What does that say about you...
He pretty much dunks on all modern presidents which is refreshing.
It's not controversial to dump on Trump. He's the most dump-worthy guy on the scene.
Indeed. And among the people aren't outright Trump supporters, Zeihan stands out in giving Trump credit in some aspects.
@@peterfazio9306Okay War hawk. We all know you want more wars in the world and can't accept that Trump tried peace over what you want.
regardless of what you think about the 2020 election (he lost, get over it), the fact that a red wave didn't materialize in the midterm is a very clear sign that the republicans are not in a strong position at the moment. best believe that trump will galvanize the democratic party in opposition as well.
The candidness and humble nature of her follow up questions drew a perfect level of exploration and explanation from Peter in my opinion. Great discussion, bravo 👏
Fascinating conversation, thanks
"We don't look back historically often enough." Boy, you can say that again. It's kind of pathetic.
Excellent video! Thank you for dating the video. It makes it much more valuable.
Fantastic discussion, and great questions from the host - thanks.
Excellent discussion, thanks maggie and peter.
Listening to Peter is like drinking from a fire hydrant. Much to parse, much to consider. Excellent job in managing the interview as well! Kudos to you both.
Best interview I’ve seen with him.
Would love a debate between Zeihan and Col. MacGregor.
Zeihan would never. He’s all narrative and pro west propaganda.. talking to macgregor would actually require him to listen and analyze things in real time and he doesn’t do that.
MacGregor is a petulant Colonel, a fella that never made General because he was never correct in all those postings around the world, throughout his career
MacGregor would destroy his hubris
Zeihan can't debate. He's a snobby presenter at best.. We'll see how long his state dept cheerleader-ing lasts 😮
He sounds so confident like he has it all figured out. He’s a stooge for the deep state and you would have to water board him before he would say a bad word about big pharma.
It's worth mentioning that the topic of history, and the apparent lack of awareness of it, keeps coming up. Thank you Mr Zeihan.
this guy is bright. So charismatic and knowledgeable. No one is able to connect the dots like Peter can -
hes an authoritarian apologist state puppet, cheering on th epolitical prosecution from electio stealing psychopaths, on their political opponents because they cant win in a fair electio
Maggie is smarter than most of her peers and it shows.
No doubt. Keeping up with Zeihan is not easy and she did a great job
TH-cam algroithm needs to tighten up and recommend me Zeihan videos sooner.
Im in infrastructure construction management have been for 30 years he is 100% right this is happening.
Great interview. Excellent questions and fantastic answers. Theses two are great together. 👍👍👍👍👍 Thanks
I'm glad he explain and clarify that about China.
There is so much information in this video. It is as useful as months of "news".
But it is terrifying at the same time.
Fantastic job Maggie. This is the best interview of PZ maybe ever. You really got it ALL out. This will be on repeat for a while. Love Peter.
Maggie is on point asking the questions we all have. ❤
Why isn't Turkey getting more attention? The fact that Turkish naval forces are conducting military exercises near a US carrier strike group is quite telling. This situation prompts serious questions about Turkey's reliability as a NATO ally. It's evident that Turkey is determined to establish its dominance in the Eastern Mediterranean. However, its ambitions are in direct conflict with the interests of Cyprus and the Greek islands, which complicates its pursuit of the "Mavi Vatan" or "Blue Homeland" strategy aimed at expanding control over crucial sea routes connecting the Black Sea, the Aegean, and the Suez Canal. It's clear that Turkey would first need to eliminate the US presence in the region to achieve these ambitions.
This scenario underscores the notion that Turkey might pose a more significant military threat to the West than Iran. It's imperative to maintain a close and continuous watch on Turkey, not just during the current conflict. It's alarming how Turkey's Neo-Ottoman aspirations are progressing with minimal attention from Western nations.
Turkey is a regional powerbroker whether you like it or not. They control access to the Black Sea and Agean (NOT Greece). Greece and Cyprus are pawns at best but essentially non-factors! Turkey "neo-Ottoman" goals have the full support of Israel, Saudie Arabia and the Caspian stans regarding energy pipelines and economic trade corridors. Deal with it!! Ha ha
@@juniorjames7076 come and get it!
Turkey's value to NATO is the control of access to the Black and Azov seas, which is nothing to sneeze at: Before February 24, 2022, Russia and Ukraine, the 2nd and 5th largest producers of wheat moved almost ALL of the grain through the straight straddled by Istanbul. Further, the control of access from the Black Sea gives or takes away Russia's wintertime connection to the rest of the world. They are also the largest, most well-equipped and combat-experienced NATO military force after the USA by far. NATO is not at all worried about Erdogan's little tantrums and if he ever becomes a real problem, he can be replaced almost at the push of a button and a telephone call. That's not a boast: He knows it, we know it, we know he knows it.
If you listen to Zeihan on other videos in 5-10 years the world is going to break into regional bocks and the US is going to go inward so likely Turkey will get its wish
Zeihan predicts Turkey as one of the main powers in the next few decades. IIRC, it's turkey, france, and north america
@ 10:22 "from a trainwreck fascination point-of-view" LOL, gotta love Peter!
Fantastic to hear PZ to speak at this length on a variety of topics.
Man this guy is smart!!
This guy is brilliant
If Peter thinks Biden can take Texas and Florida, then I'm not worried about his prediction on this matter
People seem to forget there's a very large, yet silent majority that goes against the grain of the extremes in their States. They resent the political finger-wagging and ranting from many of their relatives, friends and colleagues. They resent the clickbait that is now the Media (whichever political or cultural aisle). These people "independents" don't like drama. Their voices are heard at the ballot box......
whatever happens, it won't be boring@@telluwide5553
@@telluwide5553you said nothing.
You've said even less....@@kaltwies
Look to Arizona, Goldwater country, McCain and Flake for twenty years until the Democrats took both seats, the AG, Sec of State and Governor’s office.
Outstanding program - thank you
Peter Z is the smartest guy in the room. Where others talk the party line, he talks realities. It’s refreshing to hear his honest, unbiased options based on facts. We need more Leaders who think like him.
Peter Zeihan's analytical abilities are rivalled only by those of Paris Hilton. They should team up.
hes an authoritarian apologist state puppet, cheering on th epolitical prosecution from electio stealing psychopaths, on their political opponents because they cant win in a fair electio
The immigration conversation definitely *should* change. The question is whether all of the people who are involved in it and who are being motivated purely by emotion rather than any kind of sensible assessment of the future, can get their heads out of their... you know what long enough to think about our long term benefit. People are just too busy hating to think rationally.
Peter losses a lot of credibility when he pretends that Biden is a sentient creature. Nobody takes this notion seriously.
Great as always.
"This is a Trump problem.. where nobody can speak truth to power".. did Peter just really say that..
Peter loves Biden's administration and the wars that he is getting us involved in.
Peter is definitely not a leftest, he criticize both side pretty equally.
@@pchungvtHe's is a cheerleader for the current regime and its state dept.. what world do you live in?
The guy named “fbi informant “ is accusing someone else of being a government cheerleader. That makes sense.
If you listen to a few interviews with people who have been in trumps crew think he’s probably pretty accurate with this statement
Peter is a smart guy on most things, but his election analysis is so bad it brings everything else into question.
He has an excellent model of international resources. But his domestic analysis is lower IQ than the Times. In fact he is sometimes quoting that tabloid.
He has been wildly off in the past. He used to be super high on 3D printing. His bread and butter are demographics and energy. The father from those two, the more speculation
"Talk about oil being priced in the yuan." Exactly - TALK. Empty words. There is no threat at all in the world to the dollar.
Look, it's not like nothing bad could happen for the US. Some madman might sling a bunch of nukes at us, and that would be a really bad day. We might experience more terrorist events. But that wouldn't "change our way of life." Bottom line is that barring some kind of an idiotic nuclear move on someone's part, the US is more or less impervious. Be it military, financial, or anything else, we win.
Excellent interview!!!
Great interview Maggie, loved that you pressured Peter.
Thanks for watching!
Ziehan is the only guy who thinks Joe Biden knows a thing.
Biden is part of the system. Itt doesnt matter what Biden knows or doesnt. He has the wheel turning behind him. Trump doesnt which makes it far more difficult for him and by himself its impossible. As we saw.
And he's right. Regardless of what you think of Joe, he has the most experience
He’s paid to push the agenda. He even repeats the CNN claim 0’bama genius when absolutely no proof of this . He often Mixes paid agenda gaslighting
Joe is too old for the job. But to say he knows nothing in fact shows how little you know.
It's not that Biden doesn't know anything, it's whether he can competently recall WHAT he knows. He is clearly very ill and it's cruel what the DNC are doing to him - no matter how you feel about Biden. He should be living with his wife free from politics and spending time with his loved ones.
His comment on the election is crazy
Peter just sounds like a 3 letter US agency propaganda to me . Overwhelming bias and trying to steer the audience. His track record for the past 2 years speaks for itself.
Thanks for the interview. Interesting to hear his perspective once again, and as usual great questions from Maggie.
That's because he is precisely that - a CIA mouthpiece.
Stratfor man.
From the first 5 minutes you can tell he doesn’t know much about the Middle East. Egyptian people don’t hate Ghaza, in fact a lot of them are upset about the Israeli attacks and want their army to intervene against Israel.
Jordan is not a satellite state of Israel, the Jordanians hate their western neighbor so much.
Syria is in civil war, but Iranians troops and their proxies, are in very close proximity to the Golan heights and may attack any moment, the fact that Syria is in civil war creates the ideal situation for these actors to act without worry about the Syrian government
On the other hand every US defence contractor is getting to test run their latest iterations of military hardware.
Thank you for mentioning healthcare reform in the context of national security discussions.
-The Frontlines
He just predicted Texas and Florida go for Biden in 2024. Lolololol
When you have a guest just let them speak.
54:40 Just a completely useless interjection. People really want to hear themselves talk but don't consider at all if it makes any sense.
What are the chances Israel had foreknowledge of the attack, and ignored it so they would have a reason / Casus Beli to exterminate Palestine?
1. What?
A. Illegal immigration was far lower with Trump.
B. Florida & Texas will sweep blue? What?
Yeah he likes to say what people want to hear, in this case liberal people
Nobody has mentioned Turkey. They have the potential to totally upset the entire geopolitical dynamic of the region.
Peter referenced Turkey as a viable regional power here, as be has multiple times recently.
Turkey just had a huge rally against Israel!!
Excellent interview
He said Hezbollah doesn't have an army.
Jane's military media organization puts the number of Hezbollah fighters at approximately 30,000. That's just their full time strength. Add in their reserves, and the number is roughly 50,000. They also have approximately 10,000 special elite forces. In addition, they are financed with about a billion dollars a year by Iran which trains them. They have an estimated 150,000 rocket artillery units They have precision guided missiles. They have silkworm cruise missiles.
They don't have an army? Tell that to the large amount of mothers and fathers who lost sons (and daughters) to combat with them. They are an existential threat whose objective is to ethnically cleanse Israel of Jews and impose a governance structure based on an extreme
form of religious law.
By the way, Hamas has about 30,000 fighters which constitutes a massive force multiplier for the approximately 50,000 man Hezbollah terrorist military.
Funny thing - the IDF's total number of possible members is 10x that of the full number of Hezbollah. And they have better weapons AND a tactical advantage through the Golan Heights.
They have a guerrilla force. Haven't they fought a war with Israel before? What did they do? Launch a bunch of rockets and then engage in guerrilla warfare? Pretty much. They don't stand their ground and so Israel plays the same game and executes scorched earth tactics by collectively punishing their civilians. Hezbollah regretted their last war with Israel because Israel can play the same game of attacking civilians and the Jews guard their civilians better than the Arabs.
What is the Hezbollah plan for the Palestinians after Palestine is ethnically cleansed of Jews? Wouldn't they regard them as Sunni apostates?
Landslide defeat, speaking with such confidence!
Woul be interesting to know what Zeihan thinks of the West trying to avoid the collapse of Russia. How many years should Ukraine fight with this ongoing strategy of not letting Russia win and Ukraine not losing the war?
Korea
russia wining the usa enignereed ukraine war russia has overtaken germany as the biggest economy in europe its the usa that might collaspe look at the usa and its tent cities for the homeless
The Ukraine war is to degrade the Russian military so it can no longer function.
but theyve already won the war... for a long time. theyre willfully letting the west throw away resources into straight corruption, with 50% getting stolen outright and the rest being used horrifically ineffecient by an incompetent clowncountry
Incredible interview, thx.
15:20 "Congress is a mess right now... Jim Jordan or Matt Gaetz rise to prominence as their party is no longer capable policing its own.." Spot on!
Ridiculous.
"From a trainrack faszination point of view" - love it 😂😂
Peter has INCREDIBLE analysis. Second to few. His projections are hit or miss. Slightly more hit than miss... but don't make any financial bets based on his projections lol. He doesn't understand that TRADERS drive markets, rarely fundamentals.
The traders over fundamentals might unfortunately be true
His demographic, geographic and productivity based analysis is far better than his political / geopolitical analysis.
Yes, he's clear headed with a great grand framework. His weakness is he offers near term projected dates with confidence that usual don't play out as anticipated yet are often possible outcomes that at least play out at some point.
The fundamentals allow trades to occur
@@raquetdude Traders misprice fundementals. It's the nature of the market. It's called reflexivity.
Ms Lake is ay the top of my list. Excellent MC.
Absorbing that ammo for us. : ) Haha and yes.
Great Conversation!!!
Corporations the world over will do anything to get skilled labor. Except pay it properly.
That Churchill quote never gets old :-)
Peter Zeihan is doing great work , amazing interview !!
Awesome podcast!!
No chance Russia moves on to the next country after Ukraine.
Thank you! Putin has never shown any interest in expanding borders. Where do people come up with these fabricated narratives? Oh, right. The NeoCons.
This was a very very very informative
19:40 you are a betting man. Anyone that goes into business for yourself is by definition a betting man. You just bet on yourself.
Great interview as always!
26:26
Peter” they’re fat and they’re lazy”
Customs guard at Riyadh airport when Peter comes to visit next time” peter Zeihan? We’ve been waiting for you!”😂😂😂😂😂😂😂
It is a shame that Gaza didn’t spend the funding it got on developing the tourist industries and taking advantage of what the Israelis left behind when they moved out. Gaza genuinely had unique opportunities. Gaza ended up with such a terrible Government. It wasn’t that bad a place and hardly the open air prison it claimed to be. When you see pictures of it before it was bombed it did have possibilities and it’s very own special character . What a shame. Now it is worth nothing.
"Most of them are wastes of skin" - im assuming this in reference to the orthodox jews of Israel. Interesting take, Peter 😮
Spot on. They made a religion out of racism.
@ivanschlotzky1378 how does Saudi Arabia feel about Palestinians?
It was pretty clear that's exactly what he meant.
lol.. come on. Watch it again and think for a bit.
Date stamp, most excellent. Many thanks!
Had to laugh when the guest said Israel was the only country with a concept of human rights in the Middle East....what a joke. As if human rights is something the US actually cares about when it's not in its interests
Everything is on scale. Given its neighbors….Israel is unfortunately the only nation with a high grade on human rights. And that’s judging how they treat their own people. What does that say about its region?
Great interview