Bob Elliot: Is a Recession Priced In?

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 31 ต.ค. 2024

ความคิดเห็น • 5

  • @RealVisionFinance
    @RealVisionFinance  ปีที่แล้ว +1

    ​🔥 JOIN THE NEW REAL VISION for just $20.14 rvtv.io/463wkrF
    CHAPTERS
    1 A Look At The Fed & Global Central Bank Policy 01:38
    2 A Recession In 2024? 0:11:15
    3 Has Fixed Income Priced In A Recession? 0:13:20
    4 Thoughts On The Equity Markets 0:21:37
    5 What Do You Buy In This Macro Environment? 0:27:48
    6 US Markets Are Expensive Vs. The Rest Of The World 0:37:45
    7 Viewer Questions 0:44:33
    8 Takeaways And Final Thoughts 0:57:53

  • @Dolby202
    @Dolby202 ปีที่แล้ว +7

    00:03 The bond market is going to be important in the next few months
    02:13 Central banks prioritize growth over inflation and are comfortable with elevated inflationary dynamics.
    06:42 England hiked interest rates by 50 basis points in June
    08:57 Gold and bonds are common assets held by investors.
    13:15 The US economy is slowing down and there is a gap between expectations and likely outcomes.
    15:36 The yield curve suggests that the US economy is not as sensitive to interest rates as it was during the financial crisis.
    19:38 Real interest rates are rising due to inflationary pressures.
    21:25 Real rates of return on government securities in the two and a half range are offering attractive long-term returns.
    25:23 Improving price action in oil and industrial Commodities
    27:33 Supply squeeze on oil price creates a deficit, affecting commodities trading.
    31:43 Bond managers still have a lot of duration in their portfolios, which may be more of a value play than a recession play.
    33:41 Remaining agile is crucial in navigating the unpredictable stock market.
    37:41 Consider targeting long positions in the summer of next year
    39:45 Asset markets are pricing in a worse scenario for Europe and China than for the US
    43:53 The current economic scenario suggests a soft landing.
    45:37 Long-end rates may move up, impacting stock prices
    49:12 The US dollar is relatively strong despite claims of its death
    51:06 The US dollar remains relatively strong and advantageous.
    54:50 Mainly trades macro assets and asset classes, with positive convexity in oil.
    56:46 Trading gold vs. Bitcoin
    1:00:16 Real Vision provides in-depth analysis on the complex world of Finance and global economy
    Crafted by Merlin AI.

  • @timothynorton6137
    @timothynorton6137 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    When was this taped?

  • @milton4867
    @milton4867 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Gosh, you lost me when Andreas start talking. Unbearable.

  • @macblah-wn3hi
    @macblah-wn3hi ปีที่แล้ว

    Where is the crypto video with geoff