Berkshire Fundamentals Closing In On Stock Price
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 9 พ.ค. 2024
- Berkshire's earnings are going up and up, thus the fundamentals are closing in on the stock price and that is what makes Berkshire a compounding machine you can't go wrong with.
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Sven, use sun screen when you go to the beach 😅
:-))))
Haaa
The best thing about berkshire is that if the stock goes lower (or the whole market does) not only you have the chance of buying more, but they will help you increass the ownership by doing buybacks.
The same cannot be said for many companies, espescially the ciclical ones
* cyclical
@@johnristheanswer y, I ask, y????
Good man Sven. It's nice to hear a sensible guy on TH-cam. I've got some risky investments and I'm increasing my sensible stuff now.
Good stuff!
Thx! Very enlightening update!
great to hear
Great video!!
When Warren was saying the reasons for the sale of Apple, he mentioned the possibility of tax increases, I know there is a tax exemption in place in the US until 2025. There is a possibility that if it was not extended, corporations would pay 28% tax instead of 21% and capital gains tax would also increase. This could be an interesting topic for a video, to discuss the possibility of tax increases. The US deficit is huge and Warren may be on to something. It doesn't look like the deficit is going to go down...
taxes are taxes, pay those and that is it! Buffett sold because it is overvalued
@@Value-Investingamen, I agree. The taxes comment was an intelligent smokescreen. After all - Tim Cook is also a Berkshire shareholder
@@Value-Investing there are probably more reasons than one to this equation of selling. the topic of possibly higher tax rates is very interesting and makes perfect sense from business stand-point... Lollapalooza effect of gains harvesting or in other words - keeping the fastest lane for BRK's wealth compounding.
Sven, a video with the key points covered during the conference by WB would be helpful
no time this year :-( tomorrow on apple
u can read the summary
One more example of bisnis that is catching the fundamentals is Amazon. Free cash flow 15 months ago at a 100 $ price is the same as it is now at 190$ ;-)
thanks for sharing
Isn't Warren's age a factor in the risk management analysis of BRK? Thanks for the video Sven.
Warren dying will not effect earnings. There will surely be a drop in stock price in the short term but the fundamentals won't change, at least for years.
as said, BRK will keep compounding
I would love to add since I started a position in 2020 and it started to go up. I think it has to be one of the most safe businesses/stocks in the market, managed by Buffett himself and his mates, and it's still growing even. I think safety will be very important in these times... So, I hope the price falls enough to buy more! Thanks.
good point!
Hey Sven, Buffet is not getting 1.5% div yield from Apple, he bought it when it was ~60$ therefore his div yield (on cost) is much much higher. But i agree with your conclusion, brk is great company sitting on huge pile of cash
thanks for sharing
YAARE'RIGHT
:-)
Hi Sven, following a detailed analysis on BRK would you consider an update on Allianz? Allianz is trading a P/E near 10. Thanks!
not a specialist on insurance: th-cam.com/video/EMhoCEYSa6o/w-d-xo.html
Sven you forgott the hidden earnings of the Investment portfolio (Stock earnings reinvested into company) - it is much More than 44 bil. Earnings for BRK
I guess the 44 bill. are correct. The operating earnings 2023 were about 37.4 bill.
.
we did the calculation already a few times, yes approximately 8 billion extra, good point!
@@jonnes__4657 you didnt Look into q1? 11 bil earnings x4 = 44bil + about 8 bil hidden earnings = ~52 bil "real" earnings. But still a bit too expansive at this level
insurance profit and interest on 200billion might be temporary. However, I like how you correct your mistakes sven, honestly is crucial. I agree at this point it is an ok long term buy, but not exciting. Short term might be more volatile as interest cuts will hurt berkshire profits directly, if insurance competition rises then it might be a story or dead cash and declining business, with apple/buffett old age, low probability of collapse and quickly turn into house of cards.
exactly, insurance is not about profits but about float, those will revert
Hi Sven
hi
Could you please analyze his acquisition of liberty media stocks?
tomorrow
Its an arbitrage game. There are some Videos online. Not that exiting
Thanks for the video. Not sure why you got off the bandwagon and now back on it again.
Yes Berkshire is a compounding machine. Just think brk starts buying back it’s stock at $40 billion a year.
Or if it keeps compounding it’s profits. How long will it take for it to get to $80 billion and the $100 billion a year.
Once it gets to $100 billion a year, Berkshire could easily by one or two companies in the S&P500 a year
:-)
does a good entry matter as much with BRK? I wanna buy in but not sure if its expensive
it is good now if you are a very long-term investor, but it can and has been better - when? Impossible to know.
Buffett once said he considers Berkshire to be undervalued below 1.4x BV. does it still hokd true now?
It was 1.2, but not as relevant anymore as most businesses are cash flow!
There has been a massive opportunity cost over the last 15 years with Buffett carrying excessive amounts of cash. It seems mathematically impossible to outperform the S&P 500 over the next 3-5 years with that much cash.
but investing is about risk first, not outperforming :-)) That is the difference between Buffett and the rest!!!
@@Value-Investing I have held Berkshire shares since 2000, and I’m about dead even with the S&P 500. So yes, Berkshire is very low risk, with lower returns. Similar to a Target Retirement mutual fund.
berkshire is my etf/index fund lol
1 year ago you said, it’s very unlikely that you will invest in Berkshire. 8 Month ago: Not a Buy! … since then the stock price increased 30% .. and now it’s a buy? 🤷🏼♂️ I think you need to explain your previous opinion. And by the way Berkshire is only for long-term investor, who do not constantly sell and then buy again.😉
BRK and chill? Key Man risk of Mr. Jain who is irreplaceable ???
:-)
If you go 90% brk 10% btc monthly no investor will beat it next 20 years risk reward wise
thanks for sharing!
This is why you don't sell great businesses when you got in at a good price. Even if they get overprised underway, time will be on your side.
yep!
Did Buffett say in the meeting that the buy-backs are the reason he sold a part of his Apple position?
don't know, did he?
@@Value-Investing Hahaha, I understood you said this in your video…..