You don't want to be a hero in this environment, says 'Big Short' investor Steve Eisman

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 28 พ.ค. 2024
  • Steve Eisman, Neuberger Berman sr. portfolio manager, "Big Short" investor, hedge fund manager on what the SVB collapse could mean for markets. With CNBC's Melissa Lee and the Fast Money traders, Tim Seymour, Karen Finerman, Steve Grasso and Guy Adami. For access to live and exclusive video from CNBC subscribe to CNBC PRO: cnb.cx/2NGeIvi
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ความคิดเห็น • 432

  • @darnellcapriccioso
    @darnellcapriccioso 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +1397

    A recession as bad it can be, provides good buying opportunities in the markets if you’re careful and it can also create volatility giving great short time buy and sell opportunities too. This is not financial advise but get buying, cash isn’t king at all in this time.

    • @richardhudson1243
      @richardhudson1243 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

      The key to big returns is not big moving stocks. It's managing risk in relationship to reward. Having the correct size on and turning your edge as many times as necessary to reach your goal. That holds true from long term investing to day trading.

    • @tatianastarcic
      @tatianastarcic 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

      I enjoy my day to day market decisions being guided by a portfolio-coach, seeing that their entire skillset is built around going long and short at the same time both employing risk for its asymmetrical upside and laying off risk as a hedge against the inevitable downward turns, coupled with the exclusive information/analysis they have, it's near impossible to not outperform, been using a portfolio-coach for over 2years+ and I've netted over $870k.

    • @maiadazz
      @maiadazz 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

      @@tatianastarcic interesting! I’m new to all this, heard it's a good time to buy and basically I've just got cash sitting duck in the bank and I’d really love to put it to good use seeing how inflation is at an all time-high, who is this coach that guides you, mind I look them up.

    • @tatianastarcic
      @tatianastarcic 11 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      @@maiadazz Sure, the investment-advisor that guides me is Laurel Dell Sroufe, she popular and has quite a following, so it shouldn't be a hassle to find her, just search her.

  • @kimyoung8414
    @kimyoung8414 ปีที่แล้ว +385

    Everyone's preaching doom, without any key data-trajectory on how to maneuver, it's obvious stocks are unstable but folks are still pulling off huge 6 figure profits from this same market y'all are warning us about, videos on such strategies to maneuver will really be helpful, thank you.

    • @alexyoung3126
      @alexyoung3126 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      Investors should be cautious about their exposure and be wary of new buys, especially during inflation. Such high yields in this recession is only possible under the supervision of a professional or trusted advisor

    • @joesphcu8975
      @joesphcu8975 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Couldn’t agree more! I've been in constant touch with a fiinancial-analyst since covid . These days, it's really easy to buy into trending stock's, but the task is determining when to buy or sell. My advisorr decides entry and exit commands on my portfoliio, I've accrued over $550k from an initially stagnant reserve of $150K

    • @stephaniestella213
      @stephaniestella213 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@joesphcu8975 that's impressive! keep it up, I could really use the expertise of these advisrs, my portfolio has been down bad....who's the person guiding you.

    • @joesphcu8975
      @joesphcu8975 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      Helene Claire Johnson is widely known. You can verify her and use her services if you want.

    • @stephaniestella213
      @stephaniestella213 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Thanks for the info , found her website and its really impressive

  • @cynthiamaryland
    @cynthiamaryland ปีที่แล้ว +1709

    It's a delicate season now, so you can do little or nothing on your own. Hence I will suggest you get yourself a professional that can provide you with entry and exit points on the securities you focus on.

    • @tonymcdonald7730
      @tonymcdonald7730 ปีที่แล้ว

      Very true! I've been able to scale from $350K to $650K this red season because my FA figured out Defensive strategies to protect my portfolio and profit from this roller coaster market.

    • @michealchris2389
      @michealchris2389 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@tonymcdonald7730 That's heavy! keep it up, I could really use the expertise of these advisrs, my port-folio has been down bad....whose the person guiding you?

    • @tonymcdonald7730
      @tonymcdonald7730 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@michealchris2389 Having a coach is key in a volatile mar-ket, My advisor is "WENDY DUNBAR VALERI" You can easily look her up, she has years of financial-market experience.

    • @clairebaker5454
      @clairebaker5454 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@tonymcdonald7730 I just looked up Wendy on the net and scheduled a call with her. From my research, she seems very proficient so I wrote her detailing my Fin-market goals.

  • @jessicamoore3093
    @jessicamoore3093 ปีที่แล้ว +721

    Protecting your capital is much more important than making money. Basically because if you lose your capital, making money is much harder. ''Missing the train'' vs. ''losing your money''. There are a lot of trains, but if your money is gone, it's over.

    • @alexyoung3126
      @alexyoung3126 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      Wall Street pitched so-called quality stocks with high profitability and low debt, as a kind of insurance against whatever the economy might throw at you. Quality stocks have underperformed the S&P500 this year, My $200k portfolio is down by approximately 20 %, any recommendations to scale up my returns on investment

    • @joesphcu8975
      @joesphcu8975 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Nobody knows anything You need to create your own process, manage risk and stick to the plan, through thick or thin While also continuously learning from mistakes and improving.

    • @lawerencemiller9720
      @lawerencemiller9720 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Exactly why i enjoy market decisions being guided by a pro , seeing that their entire skillset is built around going long and short at the same time both employing risk management and market experience , been using a portfolio-coach for over 2years+ and I've netted over $3million in that time frame.

    • @kimyoung8414
      @kimyoung8414 ปีที่แล้ว

      Do you mind sharing info on the adviser who assisted you? I'm 39 now and would love to grow my stock portfolio and plan my retirement

    • @lawerencemiller9720
      @lawerencemiller9720 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      The adviser I'm in touch with is 'Eileen Ruth Sparks, he works with Merrill, Pierce, Smith incorporated and interviewed on CNBC Television. You can use something else. for me his strategy works hence my result. he provides entry and exit point for the securities I focus on.

  • @richardzachary2776
    @richardzachary2776 ปีที่แล้ว +1282

    Well to me the greatest lesson of 2022 in the stock market: Nobody knows what is going to happen next, so practice some humility and follow a strategy with a long term edge.

    • @gloriagreen2260
      @gloriagreen2260 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      Nobody knows anything; You need to create your own process, manage risk, and stick to the plan, through thick or thin, While also continuously learning from mistakes and improving

    • @diedrichhoofman
      @diedrichhoofman ปีที่แล้ว +2

      Uncertainty... it took me 5 years to stop trying to predict what bout to happen in market based on charts studying, cause you never know. not having a mentor cost me 5 years of pain I learn to go we’re the market is wanting to go and keep it simple with discipline.

    • @gloriagreen2260
      @gloriagreen2260 ปีที่แล้ว

      ​@@diedrichhoofman The one effective technique I'm confident nobody admits to using, is staying in touch with an Investment-Adviser. Based on firsthand encounter, I can say for certain their skillsets are topnotch, I've raised over $700k since 2017. Just bought my 3rd property for rental. Credit to Emily Louisa bahr.. my Investment-Adviser.

    • @richardzachary2776
      @richardzachary2776 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@gloriagreen2260 Emily really seems to know her stuff. I found her online-page, read through her resume, educational background, qualifications and it was really impressive. She is a fiduciary who will act in my best interest. So, I booked a session with her.

    • @rabapatrick8906
      @rabapatrick8906 ปีที่แล้ว

      exactly. 100% agree with you, practice patience in these turbulent times.

  • @dorissteve912
    @dorissteve912 ปีที่แล้ว +1264

    There might be an economical turmoil but there is no doubt that this is still the best time to invest.

    • @jessicamamikina7648
      @jessicamamikina7648 ปีที่แล้ว

      Best time to invest? thats funny though because in the last four months I have lost more than $47,900 in stock market which is the biggest I have loss since I ventured into stock investment.

    • @dorissteve912
      @dorissteve912 ปีที่แล้ว

      you could be right or wrong . i once had similar problem but now its a different ball game for me because I was lucky to have met KATRINA VANRENSUM , a financial manager and stock expert, I have made more than $165,000 in 6 weeks under her supervisions

    • @dorissteve912
      @dorissteve912 ปีที่แล้ว

      Search her name on the web you will see all you need to know about her.

    • @jamesmaduabuchi6100
      @jamesmaduabuchi6100 ปีที่แล้ว

      Thanks for the info . Found her website and it really impressive

    • @georgepeters4536
      @georgepeters4536 ปีที่แล้ว

      The best time to invest is in six to twelve months

  • @deang8017
    @deang8017 ปีที่แล้ว +74

    Its so refreshing to hear someone on TV just say what they really think instead of twisting themselves into knots trying to not to say the wrong thing.

    • @darrenhere5856
      @darrenhere5856 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      yeah that was good interview. he didnt push his book like dan niles, and that was super refreshing.

    • @dinosaurdude5668
      @dinosaurdude5668 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      100% agree. Eisman is so mater-of-fact. He believes what he is saying, regardless of what others say. This is what confidence looks like.

  • @bobbymainz1160
    @bobbymainz1160 ปีที่แล้ว +300

    Several of the biggest market experts have been voicing their opinions on exactly how awful they think the next downturn would be, and how far equities may have to go, as recession draws closer and inflation continues well above the Fed's 2% objective. I'm trying to build a portfolio of at least $850k by the time I'm 60, therefore I need suggestions on what investments to make.

    • @oneiljerry9460
      @oneiljerry9460 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      There are many other interesting stocks in many industries that you might follow. You don't have to act on every forecast, so I'll suggest that you work with a financial advisor who can help you choose the best times to purchase and sell the shares or ETFs you want to acquire.

    • @kimyoung8414
      @kimyoung8414 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @Zahair O'Brian Mind if I ask you recommend this particular professional you use their service? i have quite a lot of marketing problems.

    • @ecosby100
      @ecosby100 ปีที่แล้ว

      Total market index and don’t stop for a long time

  • @_nik
    @_nik ปีที่แล้ว +25

    steve carell nailed this guy’s speech and mannerisms lmao

  • @viviangall1786
    @viviangall1786 ปีที่แล้ว +152

    In parallel with escalation in the recent years, the recession is now the 'most likely output for the economy' and i cannot imagine being a victim of circumstances, my portfolio got a big hit, holding it further wont be any good, ive heard of people acquring hundreds of thousand even on red seasons, how can I certify this?

    • @carter3294
      @carter3294 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      ïf you do make new buys, know your exit strategy before going in. Consider taking partial profits quickly to lock in some gains. I've been in constant touch with an FA since covid . You know these days it's really easy to buy into trending stock`s, but the task is determining when to buy or sell . My advisorr decides entry and exit commands on my portfoliio, I've accrued over $750 thousand usd in barely a year.

    • @bobbygunz9254
      @bobbygunz9254 ปีที่แล้ว +5

      indeed and right now the markts are going berserk right now. this is the best time to watch them, get to know them better, and strike when the opportunity presents itself. i learned that from my mentor, “Christine Blake Mckale” she's seen dozens of markt cycles over the past few decades, and she has a feel for how they move, why they move, and what comes next.

    • @claradidi7573
      @claradidi7573 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@bobbygunz9254 mind if i ask you to recommend how to reach this particular FA you using their service? Seems you've figured it all out unlike the rest of us.

    • @bobbygunz9254
      @bobbygunz9254 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      @@claradidi7573 primarily you can find her basic information online, you are welcome to do further study.

    • @floxydorathy6611
      @floxydorathy6611 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@bobbygunz9254 thank you for this Pointer. It was easy to find her handler Christine Blake Mckale, She seems very proficient and flexible. I booked a call session with her.

  • @AddilynTuffin
    @AddilynTuffin ปีที่แล้ว +564

    Understanding personal finances and investing will most likely lead to greater financial independence. By being knowledgeable about money and investing, individuals can make informed decisions about how to save, spend, and invest their money. A trader made over $350k in this recession influenced market

    • @kaylawood9053
      @kaylawood9053 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      @Roland Ray The best course of action if you lack market knowledge is to ask a consultant or investing coach for guidance or assistance. Speaking with a consultant helped me stay afloat in the market and grow my portfolio to about 65% since January, even though I know it sounds obvious or generic. I believe that is the most effective way to enter the business at the moment.

    • @kaylawood9053
      @kaylawood9053 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      In a volatile market, having a coach is essential. My advisor is "Sharon Louise Count," who can be easily found online. She has years of financial market experience and a very good SEC report.

    • @-Legacy
      @-Legacy ปีที่แล้ว

      Sounds like an ad

  • @martinlaursen7972
    @martinlaursen7972 ปีที่แล้ว +34

    Great interview. This guy knows what he is talking about.

    • @martintheguitarist
      @martintheguitarist ปีที่แล้ว +2

      He doesn't. He just said UBS doesn't want to take over and it's a Swiss problem. It was basically a bailout of French and German banks.

  • @CountDuckula1908
    @CountDuckula1908 ปีที่แล้ว +31

    When Eisman talks everyone shuts up because hes got a book and film about how right he is.

    • @rl4889
      @rl4889 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      He is a devil and no one should trust him in the slightest

    • @ANtr431
      @ANtr431 ปีที่แล้ว

      Hahaha, cool one!

    • @209badguy
      @209badguy ปีที่แล้ว

      100% agree

  • @agentorange20
    @agentorange20 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    He’s right, this isn’t like 2008 where the big banks are better capitalized, the other side of that “it’s not 2008” is that this time the debt burden that lead to the “everything bubble” is pretty bad. Corporate debt, , govt. debt, consumer debts, - kabooom.

  • @vicsingh3998
    @vicsingh3998 ปีที่แล้ว +50

    Mr Eisman is brilliant as always. Only a few individuals will give you the truth, as it really is and Mr Eisman is one of them. Too bad we don't have more people like him running out Country

    • @brunomanco7529
      @brunomanco7529 ปีที่แล้ว

      I dont know if you would like it. He would try to make us superavit again. And he would say that people need to fend for themselves, so no social security, medicaid and medicare. And slashing spending like crazy. No one would agree with this

    • @CrazyHermitVizard
      @CrazyHermitVizard ปีที่แล้ว

      @@brunomanco7529 is that his opinion or do you just assume.

    • @brunomanco7529
      @brunomanco7529 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@CrazyHermitVizard not his direct words. Im just assumin this is his mentality from everything i seen from him. Hes a liberal, not left not right. Every person is responsible for itself

    • @CrazyHermitVizard
      @CrazyHermitVizard ปีที่แล้ว

      @@brunomanco7529 I would highly doubt that he would cut social spending given what I saw of him

  • @dominikvonlavante6113
    @dominikvonlavante6113 ปีที่แล้ว +58

    This was a great interview and Steve is spot on with the rate hikes next week. If the FED pauses, it means they are panicking. When they are panicking, so should you.

    • @michaele.5107
      @michaele.5107 ปีที่แล้ว +5

      The critical mistake SVB made was not letting their friends know to short the heck out of them before they failed, in-turn they would have been squeezed to the moon like a meme stock and survived.

    • @ryen7512
      @ryen7512 ปีที่แล้ว +4

      It doesn't mean they are panicking, it means they are being flexible and doing what needs to be done to calm the markets.

    • @michaele.5107
      @michaele.5107 ปีที่แล้ว

      @Knots Capital Its not about preventing the carnage, its preventing it from happening before the election

    • @AnimEva_33
      @AnimEva_33 ปีที่แล้ว

      @clot shots doesnt that mean banks should do well with those higher interest rates expenses, that is if the companies can actually afford to pay them

    • @KrapTacu1ar
      @KrapTacu1ar ปีที่แล้ว

      @clot shots Yet we're seeing upwards of 200 Trillion in stock buybacks so...

  • @paullemiremusic3101
    @paullemiremusic3101 ปีที่แล้ว +23

    Great guest. Steve Carrell nailed the part!

    • @josephruffin6360
      @josephruffin6360 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      Steve Carrell is a good actor, in the movie he was a great actor.

    • @kempos81
      @kempos81 ปีที่แล้ว

      Steve Carrel played Mark Baum

    • @fridrik6211
      @fridrik6211 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      @@kempos81 Mark Baum is based on a real person who asked his name to be changed for the film, Steve Eisman

    • @chris0714ful
      @chris0714ful ปีที่แล้ว

      @@paullemiremusic3101 Steve Carrel, Mark Baum is a fictional character based on Steve Eisman

    • @kempos81
      @kempos81 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@fridrik6211 learn something new everyday, thanks 😊

  • @baileymclean8186
    @baileymclean8186 ปีที่แล้ว +558

    Nobody can become financially successful overnight. They put in background work but we tend to see the finished part. Fear is a dangerous component, hindering us from taking bold steps we need in other to reach our goals. you have to contend with inflation, recession, decisions from the Feds and all. I was able to increase my portfolio by $289k in months. You have to seek for help in the right places.

    • @glenbert1396
      @glenbert1396 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      I think it's not always about fear, Sometimes realistic factors discourage people from reaching their goals in life. For instance, I've tried investing in the stock market several times but always got discouraged by fluctuations of stock value

    • @roseroland1998
      @roseroland1998 ปีที่แล้ว +4

      @@glenbert1396 This is the problem! Most times people with little or no knowledge of the stock market try investing by themselves. It once happened to me, then I learned my lesson and contacted a US-based finance consultant by name LISA ELLEN SHAW and everything changed. In in the first quarter of this year i made $370k and counting

    • @lisaollie4594
      @lisaollie4594 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@roseroland1998 Mind if I ask you to recommend how to reach this particular coach you using their service? Seems you've figured it all out unlike the rest of us.

    • @roseroland1998
      @roseroland1998 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      @@lisaollie4594 Most likely, you can find her basic information online; you are welcome to do further study

    • @lisaollie4594
      @lisaollie4594 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@roseroland1998 This is useful information; I copied her whole name and pasted it into my browser; her website appeared immediately, and her qualifications are excellent; thank you for sharing.

  • @gravity_dog
    @gravity_dog ปีที่แล้ว +3

    The mark of a master in a field is their ability to explain very complex concepts in a very easy to understand way. Steve Eisman is clearly one of these people.

  • @Economivision
    @Economivision ปีที่แล้ว +34

    Everything he said here was absolutely accurate. Everything.

    • @BrandonCochran-ts2rj
      @BrandonCochran-ts2rj ปีที่แล้ว +3

      Except he started off trying to downplay the situation...

    • @TheToledoTrumpton
      @TheToledoTrumpton ปีที่แล้ว +2

      @@stevej4629 some serious censorship on comments here as well. Can't even tell what I wrote that was wrong. It was about interest rates and a direct quote. 10:52

    • @RightTailAngst
      @RightTailAngst ปีที่แล้ว

      Haha except how rates obviously go up

    • @RightTailAngst
      @RightTailAngst ปีที่แล้ว

      Now they are sensoring messages they are hiding the truth

    • @Economivision
      @Economivision ปีที่แล้ว

      @@RightTailAngst he says that in regards to interest rate risk. I don’t think you’re getting the full grasp of how all that he is saying is one cohesive point to the other. He’s right. He’s so right it’s causing people physical pain.

  • @tuoms
    @tuoms ปีที่แล้ว +13

    Now kids, this is the guy you should listen

  • @DBAnalyst1
    @DBAnalyst1 ปีที่แล้ว +97

    Legends to embrace if you want to get rich investing Dave and Gary Joe Wilde.

    • @tatianapetrov3163
      @tatianapetrov3163 ปีที่แล้ว

      Graham too. Don't know why Gary Joe Wilde chose not to own a video channel here like other pros. He is older and even more advanced. Also, quite a good number of people including some reputable pros here trade with him; that is how they make so much profit regularly from the seemingly unknown market.

    • @viktoriarebane1274
      @viktoriarebane1274 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@tatianapetrov3163 He is not permitted to own or operate an investing video channel.

    • @michaelchad5241
      @michaelchad5241 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@viktoriarebane1274 Because of the recent regulations I guess. Used to see Chris and Briana vids promoting him. It's been a while though.

    • @maryrobert6616
      @maryrobert6616 ปีที่แล้ว

      I prefer Gary's method too. Started trading with him last year and in all honesty, wish I had known about him earlier.

  • @huckfin1598
    @huckfin1598 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    Thank you: no regulation would have prevented SVB from 1) investing in long term bonds and 2) FED raising interest rates so quickly

  • @stt5v2002
    @stt5v2002 ปีที่แล้ว +11

    I dunno. I was a hero in 2008 and in 2020. When I see panic, I buy the stuff they are selling. When people were selling the S&P at 800 (now 3900), I was buying their shares. I think I'm going to be a hero again.

    • @mabashar9538
      @mabashar9538 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      my reasoning is, if people are selling it just because of fear, BUY it. but if the selling has a legitimate reason behind it (for a particular group), then you gotta pass. There are more than enough good stocks to choose from.

    • @DiamondManagement849
      @DiamondManagement849 ปีที่แล้ว

      Do you Need Accounts Dervices, Payment handle all over world, Transactiim handle and Receiver

  • @bikesailclassical1652
    @bikesailclassical1652 ปีที่แล้ว +13

    Hey Steve Grasso! Now you can agree with Elizabeth Warren on two things, they never should have raised the threshold from 50 billion to 250 billion.

    • @objectivethinker3225
      @objectivethinker3225 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      We wouldn't be in this situation if the party that Elizabeth Warren is in didn't spend an excess 6-7 trillion dollars over the last 3 years.

  • @rp011051
    @rp011051 ปีที่แล้ว +7

    how come the experts of Wall St, including Fink missed the problems brewing at regional banks with the mismatch between liabilities and assets?

    • @anroiduser1222
      @anroiduser1222 ปีที่แล้ว +4

      Why would they tell you? they are there to make money not to teach somebody.

    • @jacobnorman5420
      @jacobnorman5420 ปีที่แล้ว

      They manage way more money. The most in the world. They are almost “forced” to invest their capital. Eisman is not.

  • @tonyb7275
    @tonyb7275 ปีที่แล้ว +10

    I will not be a hero im tired of getting beat down for it

  • @fitnessfirstcpt391
    @fitnessfirstcpt391 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    A few takeaways for me - If you are not sure, u should not be playing. If Fed is scared, you should be scared too.

    • @ronmiller6270
      @ronmiller6270 ปีที่แล้ว

      I don't live paycheck to paycheck. I'm not scared

  • @lolWillieP
    @lolWillieP ปีที่แล้ว

    He said it best - we've never had this confluence before, which favors the side of being less risky.

  • @jorgegomez524
    @jorgegomez524 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    You don’t know what you don’t know. That’s where we are. That’s where we always are after a crazy bull market of years.

  • @falzixhd6874
    @falzixhd6874 10 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    "UBS does not want to take over Credit Suisse, that's for sure!" 2:50
    That didn't age well.

  • @ThomasShelby-xz2fk
    @ThomasShelby-xz2fk ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Now is the time to be a buyer. This is a once in a lifetime buying opportunity

  • @tqnahass
    @tqnahass ปีที่แล้ว +5

    Finally a conversation that makes a lot sense to me keep bringing this guy on

  • @lingeshhazare8216
    @lingeshhazare8216 ปีที่แล้ว +8

    I think it’s going to be snowballed eventually so keep some cash 💰

  • @d33763
    @d33763 ปีที่แล้ว +13

    "It wont bring down the system."
    How about Congress failing to raise the debt ceiling and defaulting?

    • @supadave422
      @supadave422 ปีที่แล้ว

      If sparking a revolution is what they want that'd be their next move

    • @spaceballs72
      @spaceballs72 ปีที่แล้ว +9

      Lol that will never happen.
      Congress always raises the debt limit.
      The question is. How long will the world continue to buy US debt.

    • @radar0412
      @radar0412 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      That's NOT going to happen. You have to think like a Reelection Political Consultant to find out what Congress will or will not do.

    • @radar0412
      @radar0412 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      ​@@spaceballs72 We've been asking that exact question for the last 30 years and things remain the same.

    • @frankham8038
      @frankham8038 ปีที่แล้ว

      Come to think of it, nah who would be crazy enough to give up all their privilage and wealth over a political rivalry? And then I remembered some people from the same party just tried to take over the white house not long ago. Gave me chills

  • @richardverdi5490
    @richardverdi5490 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    Steve is smart…..he was a client when I was with Ladenburg Thalmann…. his commentary nailed the points

  • @davidk.1089
    @davidk.1089 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    You should have people like Eisman on instead of the nutcase Jim Cramer. Excellent analysis!

  • @agcd2196
    @agcd2196 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Peter Schiff laughing in Dorado PR

  • @tofer2152
    @tofer2152 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    This man at 9:20 says we have never had the problems we do today. I've been saying this for 5 years now!!!! This caldron filled with impacts of the Pandemic, World Conflicts South East Asia and Eastern Europe, polarized political parties all across the globe, prohibition on drugs, and lower income American taxpayers baring the burden of risky investors sounds a lot like the 1920's. We are repeating the mistakes.

  • @ak102videos8
    @ak102videos8 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    I agree that mismanagement should be held accountable but I am not sure only privileged are saved here. If svb collapsed 100s of companies would have gone bust leaving 1000s of common workers unemployed and kicking off a worse situation

  • @d.s.8733
    @d.s.8733 ปีที่แล้ว

    I can identify with what he said at the end. We own real estate and our loans got renewed at the end of the low cycle but when they come due in 2 years, where will rates be at? I can't imagine if I had to redo rates now!

  • @tobiwan001
    @tobiwan001 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    US GDP was not that much of multiple of the US banking sector. He also apparently does not know that the SNB balance sheet is also bigger than Credit Suisse.

  • @o0SLAVIK0o1
    @o0SLAVIK0o1 ปีที่แล้ว +17

    He clearly bought the dip in banks

    • @Raison_d-etre
      @Raison_d-etre ปีที่แล้ว +3

      No, he bought credit default swaps.

    • @Westrait
      @Westrait ปีที่แล้ว

      @@Raison_d-etre ticker symbol?

  • @Chewychaca
    @Chewychaca ปีที่แล้ว

    5:00 disagree, It's a tide of interest rates, which are strongly correlated affect bond rates.

  • @jimbojimbo6873
    @jimbojimbo6873 ปีที่แล้ว +12

    I don’t know why people mention 2008, this is bank runs 2008 wasnt

    • @ApriliaRacer14
      @ApriliaRacer14 ปีที่แล้ว

      Think he was referring to ripples throughout the markets. Where in 2008 risky mortgages went nuclear causing global stressors.

  • @ORIGINALJRL
    @ORIGINALJRL ปีที่แล้ว

    What potential timeline could you guesstimate for that move to $18,600? End of month?

  • @JSeydl1788
    @JSeydl1788 ปีที่แล้ว

    Very good interview. He's sharp and truth seeking and not just talking his book like most of the clowns who come on cnbc

  • @MrMatisse22
    @MrMatisse22 ปีที่แล้ว

    Excellent insights from the guest.

  • @AZ-tt4fk
    @AZ-tt4fk ปีที่แล้ว

    What does that mean when he he says “credit default swaps blew out to 800 bps and you couldn’t fund yourself”…. What does he mean?

  • @michaelboguski4743
    @michaelboguski4743 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    If there's no Icing left on the Cake, it's a pretty Bland Cake,
    But the Cake is still there!

  • @LivingWithGout
    @LivingWithGout ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Cash is also an investment pool.

  • @miked.2978
    @miked.2978 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    This guy is brilliant

  • @3EBstudio
    @3EBstudio ปีที่แล้ว +3

    The legend

  • @spicemasterii6775
    @spicemasterii6775 ปีที่แล้ว +7

    Steve Carrell looks different now.

    • @fhowland
      @fhowland ปีที่แล้ว

      He doesn’t look anything like him dude

    • @fhowland
      @fhowland ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Lawrence Summers maybe

  • @jaym9846
    @jaym9846 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Fed needs to blow the bubble bigger.
    We want to give Big Bang a run for the money.

  • @anya8221
    @anya8221 ปีที่แล้ว

    Really good info, thank you

  • @sanesanyo
    @sanesanyo ปีที่แล้ว

    Long story short, part of the issue was the deregulation in 2018. The stress tests would have forced SVB to manage their risk better. Not having them created a moral hazard and the bank took more risks than they should have.

  • @dynamitedmoney
    @dynamitedmoney ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Impressive wisdom spoken here. An excellent interpretation of the current situation post SVB collapse. This paradigm banking shift makes sense. Another round of fire-sales coming unfortunately. If this news is just now made public imagine what they really know is coming down the pipe🔥we still need 50bps increase minimum as well. Something fishy is going on….

  • @GooglyBear
    @GooglyBear ปีที่แล้ว

    Corporate Debt is the biggest issue in the entire market. Interest rates going up is very bad for that. Everything going on is related to that.

  • @goat7844
    @goat7844 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    Damn Steve is starting to look much older.

    • @mikhelBrown
      @mikhelBrown ปีที่แล้ว +3

      The cigars taking their toll

    • @mdo5121
      @mdo5121 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      yes shocking ....everyone should never get old Damn time Damn it to hell !!!!!!

    • @radar0412
      @radar0412 ปีที่แล้ว +4

      Yeah, being around for 60 years will do that to you.

    • @kayt9576
      @kayt9576 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Look in your mirror, we all get older everyday.

  • @ricardoams
    @ricardoams ปีที่แล้ว

    Four days later I can assure you nailed again.

  • @fhowland
    @fhowland ปีที่แล้ว +6

    Lol one line about interest rate risk.. shows you how incompetent the government “regulation” is

    • @Raison_d-etre
      @Raison_d-etre ปีที่แล้ว

      Even if the stress tests didn't catch it, SVB would've been required to issue shares and debt to cover deposits in case of a liquidation--a living will. You're not that smart either.

  • @William14094
    @William14094 ปีที่แล้ว

    Interesting. I didn't know Mike Rapaport was in the banking business

  • @Chewychaca
    @Chewychaca ปีที่แล้ว

    2:40 keep in mind Credit Suisse is at $0.86 now >.

  • @johnwick860
    @johnwick860 ปีที่แล้ว

    we need a Steve Carell, Christian Bale, Jeremy Irons, Kevin Spacey & Paul Bettany reunion movie

  • @christophercarleton3541
    @christophercarleton3541 ปีที่แล้ว

    Love this guy, he says it how it is! No BS

  • @mrctzn4557
    @mrctzn4557 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Banks being capitalized is irrelevant. You connot risk with bad policy and expect a bailout. It's a bailout if the fed takes over. And taxpayers absorb the cost. If fees go up to pay the cost, taxpayers pay the cost. Bad policy should be allowed to take the bank down that heads that way and let them fail.

    • @Travlinmo
      @Travlinmo ปีที่แล้ว

      It’s definitely risky not to let banks fail, which may be what you are saying. I haven’t liked the reflection of our banking bailouts on the Japanese economy and the zombie businesses all over there.

  • @geraldantonio3160
    @geraldantonio3160 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    I'm really worried about the current bank crisis. If a bank as big as SVB could fail, I fear for a lot more. I know a friend who is running a high-growth startup, and was badly hit by the bank run. I have pulled out more than $340k from my bank. After all, the FDIC covers only up to$250,000, and the implosion could have bad effect. Looking to invest into the stock market now. Does anyone know how I could go about it?

    • @marcorocci-ct7kw
      @marcorocci-ct7kw ปีที่แล้ว +2

      We underestimate the fact that banks are corporate entities also governed by greed. Since 2020, the banks have been over-leveraging their assets, which was one of the reasons for SVB's implosion. I have never been okay with keeping much money in the bank. I simply invest through my financial advisor, collect my profits, which I then spend...

    • @KingDavid-jj7tk
      @KingDavid-jj7tk ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@marcorocci-ct7kw My wife and I were following this same trajectory. Last two years, I pulled out my money and invested with her wealth manager. Not catching up with her profits over the years, but at least I earn more. Haha.

    • @KingDavid-jj7tk
      @KingDavid-jj7tk ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @thelastunicorn1987 -
      -Believe it or not I’m as new to the market as it gets, all i have to do is to follow the footsteps of my advisor... STACIE KRISTAL WEBER is the coach that guides me, you probably might've come across her before, she's quite known in her field, search her....

    • @GetMoneyFuggBidges
      @GetMoneyFuggBidges ปีที่แล้ว

      be afraid, be very afraid... muhahahaha

    • @prichicardos
      @prichicardos ปีที่แล้ว

      Well, considering what the video said, medium term regular government bonds. Earn your interest and that's it, no problem choosing the wrong stock.

  • @richardwilson57
    @richardwilson57 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    Can’t believe he didn’t mention Gold…… we are in the exact same environment as the 1970s (low growth and high inflation ) ….. gold did a 6x during that period …..

    • @sourabhkarkala343
      @sourabhkarkala343 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      Great charts on gold.. Go for it

    • @richardwilson57
      @richardwilson57 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@sourabhkarkala343 been buying for over 1 yr

  • @danjo9520
    @danjo9520 ปีที่แล้ว

    Something has to give: inflation vs growth

  • @CO8848_2
    @CO8848_2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Interest rate risk certainly has been born by the entire country, all $24 trillion of the US treasury market. The difference is it is too hard to run on JPM and they are too big to fail. So forget about it.

  • @Elongated_Muskrat
    @Elongated_Muskrat ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Basically Superman

  • @danielmeyer3795
    @danielmeyer3795 ปีที่แล้ว

    Swiss doesn't need that much regulators, we work different than other countries.

  • @louislong1514
    @louislong1514 ปีที่แล้ว

    When Steve speaks, you listen.

  • @torpedodropkick59
    @torpedodropkick59 ปีที่แล้ว

    Mellisa could have been a stunt double for Mantis in the ‘Guardians of the Galaxy’!

  • @williamfoley5687
    @williamfoley5687 11 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Steve,stay healthy

  • @jakegrace108
    @jakegrace108 ปีที่แล้ว

    This hasn’t aged well…however Steve is the only person I’d listen to on here and pls have him more often

  • @chrischoir3594
    @chrischoir3594 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    I respect this guy bu t how does he know it's not like 08?

    • @jrizzo3579
      @jrizzo3579 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Because banks were levered up 35 to 1 ... with poor credit decisions ...it was unsustainable.

    • @chrischoir3594
      @chrischoir3594 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      @@jrizzo3579 yet in 2023 million dollar houses and only 100k average income is sustainable.

    • @jrizzo3579
      @jrizzo3579 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@chrischoir3594 I never said it was

  • @JuliusBrainz
    @JuliusBrainz ปีที่แล้ว

    Steve Carell makes some good points.

  • @Drone_Gambit
    @Drone_Gambit ปีที่แล้ว +1

    03:09 - "Believe me, UBS does not want to take it over, that's for sure."
    48 hours later - UBS offers to buy Credit Suisse.
    Nice job, Steve.

    • @TraceyQuarlesExperience
      @TraceyQuarlesExperience ปีที่แล้ว

      Lol great catch.

    • @bilie774
      @bilie774 ปีที่แล้ว

      They bought it for 20% the value. They just got it because it was absurdly cheap otherwise it would not have gone through

    • @spaceballs72
      @spaceballs72 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      And the Swiss regulators pretty much forced ubs into buying it

    • @cascade9844
      @cascade9844 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Lol you think that’s a “gotcha” moment? The Swiss national bank forced that merger, UBS would have much rather stayed away but had no choice

  • @cd7707a
    @cd7707a ปีที่แล้ว

    "you don't know and you don't invest", guess if this is true no one is investing in anything. What we really don't know is where this risk from rising rates will hit "contagion". But I don't think this will result in a banking crisis just because of loss from long duration bonds mark to market. If this is a crisis it must come from housing and real estate. What did not go up a lot would not fall alot as well as the scale as percentage of GDP. Bank sector stocks have not performed well for a long time and banks risk and leverage has been scaled back substantially. Real estate prices have yet to come down as transactions are few the past year. Whether the new silicon valley rich that bought a $5m home and just got laid off will start this house of falling cards. As we all know risk cannot be eliminated it can only be pass on....

  • @TronSAHeroXYZ
    @TronSAHeroXYZ ปีที่แล้ว

    Having more IOUs, than the actual total amount, is debt/inflation.

  • @theinside97
    @theinside97 ปีที่แล้ว

    ''Its only going to be painful for Switzerland''

  • @secularapple
    @secularapple ปีที่แล้ว +4

    Even if the stress tests didn't catch it, SVB would've been required to issue shares and debt to cover deposits in case of a liquidation--a living will. Shame on Mr. Eisman for leaving out the very important point.

    • @RRRRobbbb
      @RRRRobbbb ปีที่แล้ว +1

      I’m not being glib when I ask this:
      Aren’t new shares and debt of a failing bank worth exactly zero on the open market? How would that help them?

    • @secularapple
      @secularapple ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@RRRRobbbb Yes, they would be worth zero, but not when the bank issued it and added the cash cushion to its capital.

    • @valetudo1569
      @valetudo1569 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@secularapple They did try to issue new shares and it set the whole thing off

    • @secularapple
      @secularapple ปีที่แล้ว

      @@valetudo1569 Sigh, you don't get it. Systematically important banks are required to sell shares and bonds BEFORE they run into trouble, and these "bail-in" securities have their values cancelled in case of a liquidation. Look at what's happening with Credit Suisse. Their bail-in securities holders will get nothing now.

    • @valetudo1569
      @valetudo1569 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@secularapple I'm sayin if you look at the sequence of events - they did decide to sell shares... I think like 2.5 million shares. Thats when word got out about their troubles and the bank run started.

  • @DrBlood-cq2cm
    @DrBlood-cq2cm ปีที่แล้ว

    CNBC- Completely Nationalized Banking Channel.

  • @sevensages5279
    @sevensages5279 ปีที่แล้ว

    What is the upside for Goldman Sachs to buy SVB's portfolio?
    It has now been confirmed by SVB that Goldman Sachs was the buyer of the troublesome portfolio. A spokesperson told Reuters the transaction had been carried out “at negotiated prices” and netted SVB $21.45 billion in proceeds.

  • @azeemali7102
    @azeemali7102 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Thats the problem what system? It will be worse than 2008...larger population less stable jobs...

  • @Balzdeepinurmama
    @Balzdeepinurmama ปีที่แล้ว

    An example of “this time is different?”

  • @albertocano1185
    @albertocano1185 ปีที่แล้ว

    I think bank regulation will not make banks less profitable but less risky because the rest is credot and inflation which makes its market smaller and that take the ability of being able to invest without famaging its own markets.

  • @jboreal7982
    @jboreal7982 ปีที่แล้ว

    If Steve Eisman - Baum doesn’t know if the U.S. is in a recession, then who does? When is someone, other than Peter Schiff going to address the recession topic? Are we in one or not?

  • @ANTREU96
    @ANTREU96 ปีที่แล้ว

    I loved him in the office

  • @prajwas2004
    @prajwas2004 ปีที่แล้ว

    This is a traders market. If you are making money on the day. Sell it and come back next day. The average holding period is probably 1 day or lower right now!

  • @DerivCapital
    @DerivCapital ปีที่แล้ว +1

    he look like the dude in Oceans 11 they treated so bad but at the end Brad Pitt told him to play his slot machine then he won all that money

    • @Hddftkkk
      @Hddftkkk ปีที่แล้ว

      Amazing call lmao

  • @lammatt
    @lammatt ปีที่แล้ว

    When these assholes tell you to not worry,
    It is time to worry

  • @kevinjohnson2230
    @kevinjohnson2230 ปีที่แล้ว

    It’s actually the wealthy foreign investors pulling , Chinese from ours and saudis from suisse . Smart , and they won’t be holding the bag.

  • @kevgIOB
    @kevgIOB ปีที่แล้ว

    Wow Steve Carell played this guy well I must say 😅

  • @jicalzad
    @jicalzad ปีที่แล้ว

    Who's creating/administering these "stress tests?"

  • @makedredd299
    @makedredd299 ปีที่แล้ว

    I’m #HoldingOutForAHero! 🇺🇸 🏦🇨🇭

  • @MegaPapa8888
    @MegaPapa8888 ปีที่แล้ว

    very tasty. good stuff.

  • @BlauveltBurns
    @BlauveltBurns ปีที่แล้ว

    Every time he blinks…drink!