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Good analysis.....historically corrections vary from 3 to 7% after breaching 200 DMA going by how many times NIFTY has breached 200 DMA in the past. Average correction was 4 to 5% & time frame for breaching 200 DMA was an avg of 2 months. If I remember going by the head & shoulders pattern NIFTy next support shld be 22800. The 19 to 20 PE also then makes sense.
You are the only reason I don't do any research of markets bcoz I know that Rahul Jain sir will surely research and it will be data driven. I think the PE ratio logic is what FII follows and that secret you decoded. Your knowledge about markets is top notch and sharing all these premium knowledge for free is all that you gets so much respect. Hats off
Thank you. This makes sense. Convincing analysis. 21720 level... The level at which nifty got support on result day, 4 June. What would be the price of stocks at that level... Really a concern for many of us.
I am very much thankful to you Rahul. I am a senior citizen, with health problems too, and I was a bit worried by the falling markets. I am not savvy with insta, twitter, etc. Moreover, I am alone. I don't understand, how I can be attached to you, in a simplistic manner, and learn from you. Please do help me in this regard. Your analysis today was very reassuring. Thank you very much. God bless..🙏🙏
Great analysis! Historically, corrections have ranged from 10% to 17%, based on how many times the NIFTY has breached the 200 DMA in the past. The average duration of the downtrend has been around 2 months.
Why falling is seen : 1. October hit 6.27 inflation rate 2. US President 3. China's attractive scheme for FIIs Moral : Don't buy currently Wait for RBI control over Inflation and to control it they might not cut the rate which gonna again hurt the market sentiments.
In those 2 corrections inflation was not so high, China didn't announce a stimulus , we were not having 2 wars at the same time and Trump was not in the picture
One more thing I would like to add to support this. The most important Fib retracement level of 1.618 for Nifty on Weekly chart is at 21670. So yeah, I believe Nifty is definitely going to strengthen its support at these levels.
Auto sales are falling, banks have defaults at credit card level, historically markets have remain sidelines (giving 2-3 years no return on index level after giving such exponential returns )
Thank you Mr. Rahul for providing excellent analysis. I observed on weekly charts that Nift;y 50 had touched 100 EMA in June, 2022 and came very close to it in March, 2023. Afterwards it stayed above 50 EMA during the previous corrections. If your analysis come true, then also I am expecting the reversal from 100 EMA on weekly chart and at 20 EMA on monthly chart.
There is no indication that ext qtr resits will be better than lacklustre September. High inflation, budget Trump FII exodus , reliance headwinds . In such scenario Indices tend to reach long term averages where PE may come down to 16 - 18 levels
I hope we viewers understand by now that these kinds of videos are not market predictions but market orchestrations. No unknown force moves the market, we as retail investors listening all together do that to a great extent because there are too many of us these days, apart from big investors and institutions. Pick your stocks carefully.
Appreciate your assured views. Thanks for coming up with this insightful video. Looking forward for more guidance and resourceful, novice friendly inputs. Job done well sir Pranam 🙏
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Good analysis.....historically corrections vary from 3 to 7% after breaching 200 DMA going by how many times NIFTY has breached 200 DMA in the past. Average correction was 4 to 5% & time frame for breaching 200 DMA was an avg of 2 months. If I remember going by the head & shoulders pattern NIFTy next support shld be 22800. The 19 to 20 PE also then makes sense.
Gift Nifty future is already below 200 DMA, it is at 23440. Monday there will be more fall and we have Maharashtra election also lined up.
21800*
1st stock : jio fin
2nd stock : rec ltd
Thanks Rocky...
Tq bro😊
Arre wah !!!
ITC
Thank you……
You have clarified somany doubts of mine! Your knowledge is at next level!! Thank you so much for providing crucial dates to consider!
Direct tax code is going to be introduced in first February.Market may crash after the budget if 35 percent tax is introduced for capital gains tax.
You are the only reason I don't do any research of markets bcoz I know that Rahul Jain sir will surely research and it will be data driven. I think the PE ratio logic is what FII follows and that secret you decoded. Your knowledge about markets is top notch and sharing all these premium knowledge for free is all that you gets so much respect. Hats off
Thank you. This makes sense. Convincing analysis.
21720 level... The level at which nifty got support on result day, 4 June.
What would be the price of stocks at that level... Really a concern for many of us.
Nothing is impossible in the market or for the market...when you think something is impossible for the market it will humble you
Really appreciate the valuation based analysis 💯
I am very much thankful to you Rahul. I am a senior citizen, with health problems too, and I was a bit worried by the falling markets. I am not savvy with insta, twitter, etc. Moreover, I am alone. I don't understand, how I can be attached to you, in a simplistic manner, and learn from you. Please do help me in this regard. Your analysis today was very reassuring. Thank you very much. God bless..🙏🙏
Scholarly analysis with past share market history ...leading a torchlight for investors to think and react appropriately.
Very nice analysis...
Thanks for the advice! Got XAI58N, feeling bullish! 🚀
Yes. Me too. Feeling awkward 😅
Bot
Thank You for the informative analysis Rahul. The 2nd stock discussed at d end is REC 😊
And the first one was jiofin
Bought XAI58N after watching your video, super excited! 💰
which share is this
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Great analysis! Historically, corrections have ranged from 10% to 17%, based on how many times the NIFTY has breached the 200 DMA in the past. The average duration of the downtrend has been around 2 months.
Beautifully done...excellent knowledge sharing...both fundamentally and technically 👏👏
Hi Sir, please remove that flash light shows up when you’re switching your screen! It’s very annoying and irritating to eyes!
Why falling is seen :
1. October hit 6.27 inflation rate
2. US President
3. China's attractive scheme for FIIs
Moral : Don't buy currently
Wait for RBI control over Inflation and to control it they might not cut the rate which gonna again hurt the market sentiments.
It takes guts saying 20% impossible.. I will admire you even if it fall 50%. Technical is not everything but it is actually everything.
Stock market has no option other than fall - action on budget has directed the market to fall.
Thank you Rahulji, yes your conviction is absolute, almost.
Thanks, Rahul, very nice analysis. Next support at 22k will really hit quite strongly. Let's RECover and Jio Zindegi.
Haha I see what you did there 😅
First one jio
Second is rec
Brilliant
Thank you Rahulji 😊
Thank you Rahul
Nice Analysis 🙏🙏
These are very great data insights and your explanation is superb sir..
In those 2 corrections inflation was not so high, China didn't announce a stimulus , we were not having 2 wars at the same time and Trump was not in the picture
My guess is nifty may go below upto 19000, then it may be upward.
@@PAPADMARAJA nifty won't fall beyond 22000. that's for sure
Thank you Sir once again!! Valuable Analysis
First stock is Hostel industry, Royal Orchid Hotels ltd.
Thank you Rahul!
Great job Rahul
Brilliant work Mr. Rahul. Really appreciate your incredible effort to analyse NIFTY
One more thing I would like to add to support this. The most important Fib retracement level of 1.618 for Nifty on Weekly chart is at 21670. So yeah, I believe Nifty is definitely going to strengthen its support at these levels.
Thank you Rahul for your lovely analysis
Best analysis till date. Lesson for other youtubers to create quality content instead of simply blabbering nonsense.
Auto sales are falling, banks have defaults at credit card level, historically markets have remain sidelines (giving 2-3 years no return on index level after giving such exponential returns )
Thank you. Happy evening Ji. !!!
Excellent Analysis.. With proper logic
Happy to see your video at weekend 🎉
Thank you Mr. Rahul for providing excellent analysis. I observed on weekly charts that Nift;y 50 had touched 100 EMA in June, 2022 and came very close to it in March, 2023. Afterwards it stayed above 50 EMA during the previous corrections. If your analysis come true, then also I am expecting the reversal from 100 EMA on weekly chart and at 20 EMA on monthly chart.
Good analysis, straight and simple..
Thank you so much sir . Very very informative video. 🔥🔥🔥💪
Thank you! Rahul. Your analysis is always valuable and unique
There is no indication that ext qtr resits will be better than lacklustre September. High inflation, budget Trump FII exodus , reliance headwinds . In such scenario Indices tend to reach long term averages where PE may come down to 16 - 18 levels
U r really v good analyst.....God bless you
Thank you sir
Excellent analysis
That chart is of jiofin and rec am i right😂
Nope first is royal orchid
Thank you sir. Wonderful analysis during this panic period
Thank you for analysis of market very fruitful right now
Good analysis. Eye opener for me as to how to proceed. All the very best for your wonderful efforts.
Truly sensible n fact based analysis , providing very useful inputs about the investment in stocks thanks 👍
Thank you Rahul Ji for the elaborate analysis 🙏
Great analysis!
Very informative video.
Do make a video on YES BANK long term view & why it's down after good results of the last 2 quarters. Thanks 😊
Thanks Rahul for such an insightful analysis. I view your videos on a regular basis and believe me, they are awesome. 👌
I hope we viewers understand by now that these kinds of videos are not market predictions but market orchestrations. No unknown force moves the market, we as retail investors listening all together do that to a great extent because there are too many of us these days, apart from big investors and institutions. Pick your stocks carefully.
Great analysis very detailed, this helps to understand when to enter.
Thank you and keep going
Thank you for your analysis.
Excellent analysis of the current situation of market
Satisfactory logic, thanks Alumnus!
Great work. Thank you Rahul ji
Appreciate your assured views. Thanks for coming up with this insightful video. Looking forward for more guidance and resourceful, novice friendly inputs. Job done well sir
Pranam 🙏
Well done Rahul 👏 … Excellent analysis
Thank you, very good and insightful
In 2022, 11% fall over 5 months, this time 7 days for 10% fall, sure shot this time it will go beyond 20% crash
Thank you. Informative
Thanks brother...for your valuable video
Thank You Rahul Sir!
Good one and informative video.. ❤
Thank you. Which is the second stock?
Nifty will close the gap of 20K to 20.3K...this is the only chance for closing the gap... Once it inches towards 30K... difficult to close this gap
Excellent Analysis Rahul
Excellent analysis Rahul ji
You are the reliable teacher I look forward. Your videos clarifies many of my queries. Thank you sir.
Very nice 👍 analysis.. thankyou sir.
Nice study and thanks for sharing 👏🏻👏🏻
Very informative study to throw the light.
Very nice analysis brother 🎉
Excellent analysis... Keep going👍
Thank you Rahul, as usual always keen to learn from your analysis
Thanks Rahul . Very good informative data analysis
Really appreciate for this information! Thanks
Thanks Rahul
Excellent analysis!! Thanks !!
I think the two stocks are Jio fin and Rec
Very good analysis and clear explanation
12:23 Jio finance
Yes exactly 👍
Yes, I too was assuming the JIO
Second chart ?
i checked and its correct thanks dude
@@goyal_ritesh rec
Very good analysis ..Kudos to you..
Thank you Sir, your analysis is highly appreciated 🙏🙏🙏🙏
Thanks Sir for your valuable analysis
ITC, VARUN BEVERAGES
Very informative Video. Thks Sir.
Appreciated your valuable efforts ❤
Awesome...loved ur Analysis 🎉
Thank you so much for exclusive research and analysis as a routine in your valuable time.
Much appreciate
But one thing bothar me
The average Nifty PE ratio since April 2006 is 22.4.
Thank you so much!
Thank you Rahul .I'll 🙏
Best analysis,Thanks a lot
Thanks for making understand nicely 👌
Very good analysis. Eye opener video...