SF1 Qualifier Predictions - My Final 10 | Eurovision 2023

แชร์
ฝัง
  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 21 ส.ค. 2024
  • My Final predictions for SF1. This one is so difficult to call!
    I'm an Irish🇮🇪 Eurovision analyst, reactor and superfan from Dublin, Ireland.
    🐦 My Eurovision Twitter: @EurovisionTom 🐦
    ☕️🥰 I am currently trying to be a full-time content creator, so your support directly helps me keep doing what I'm doing. If you want to support my work, you can buy me a coffee or support me on Paypal, thank you! 🥰☕️
    www.buymeacoff...
    ❤️💃🏻 You can also support me at my Paypal 🕺🏻❤️
    www.paypal.com...
    Timestamps:
    0:00 Intro
    #ESC2023 #Eurovision #EurovisionReaction #eurovision2023 #EurovisionAnalysis

ความคิดเห็น • 283

  • @ESCTom
    @ESCTom  ปีที่แล้ว +47

    Sorry this video is so late! I had planned to release it at 2pm but we couldn’t use airdrop in the press centre because it was broken. So I lost 3 hours trying to find a workaround 😭

    • @DarkFlareGC
      @DarkFlareGC ปีที่แล้ว +2

      If it makes you feel better, it came out at 1pm in Canada 😜So in a way you were ahead of schedule.

    • @sparkz2337
      @sparkz2337 ปีที่แล้ว +4

      My Qualifiers (In order)
      1. Finland (no comment)
      2.Israel (obvious qualifier)
      3. Norway (running order wont effect it much)
      4. Sweden (its not as much of a televote song as jury but will still do well)
      5. Serbia (for me they are a sure qualifier, dont worry too much about Luke)
      6. Moldova (Moldova are televote merchants, never fails them)
      7. Portugal (My country, we could be an NQ tho tbh)
      8. Croatia (it could finish anywhere imo so i just put it in the middle)
      9. Switzerland (the rehearsals seem promising, but if he flops its an NQ)
      10. Czechia (Most likely to be a shock NQ here icl, but i think it will go through)
      11. Malta (very upbeat party song, could easily qualify over any of the borderline Qs)
      12. Ireland (Same as Malta but just a bit weaker)
      13. Latvia (my nuber one but i just cant see it getting the votes)
      14. Azerbaijan (amazing song, tragic staging)
      15. Netherlands (their Rehersals have been tragic almost certain NQ, they use to be a Q for me)
      Top 5 are guaranteed for me, anyone else can Q or NQ

    • @sparkz2337
      @sparkz2337 ปีที่แล้ว +4

      No way i got all of them right, first time predicting too

    • @stefanstorm4864
      @stefanstorm4864 ปีที่แล้ว

      Wow, that was impressive!

    • @meagans-hx3hv
      @meagans-hx3hv ปีที่แล้ว

      ​@Sparkz you were so on point! Amazing job. So sad about Latvia.

  • @cathalsheehan9596
    @cathalsheehan9596 ปีที่แล้ว +28

    Q : Norway, Serbia, Portugal, Croatia, Israel, Switzerland, Moldova, Sweden, Czech Republic, Finland
    NQ : Malta, Latvia, Ireland, Azerbaijan, Netherlands

    • @valtsv
      @valtsv ปีที่แล้ว +1

      so nice to see that bookmakers don't impact you

    • @cathalsheehan9596
      @cathalsheehan9596 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@valtsv They usually don't but on this occasion I think they are spot on.

    • @carolinecharman5119
      @carolinecharman5119 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Spot on, wow, well done

    • @cultfiction3865
      @cultfiction3865 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@carolinecharman5119 I also got all my predictions right. I hope that Tom remembers to give me a shoutout 📣

  • @tuija21
    @tuija21 ปีที่แล้ว +37

    I’ll be voting for Latvia tonight, so couple of votes coming from Finland. 😅 But could we please let them all through, I’m not ready to give up on any of them. ❤

    • @selvermbell7443
      @selvermbell7443 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Such a shame for Latvia, I had them fifth overall tonight :(

    • @tuija21
      @tuija21 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@selvermbell7443 They were so good 😢

  • @emeraldgreen1973
    @emeraldgreen1973 ปีที่แล้ว +36

    Last time I was this nervous about a semi-final was for Hatari in 2019. Fingers (and toes!) crossed for Serbia tonight. Ireland is a definite NQ and I'm not even bothered about that.😂

    • @marietg8025
      @marietg8025 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      I'd be mortified if we got through over the other songs in it

    • @emeraldgreen1973
      @emeraldgreen1973 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@marietg8025 I'd demand a recount 🤣

    • @marietg8025
      @marietg8025 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@emeraldgreen1973 🤣

    • @logi-a
      @logi-a ปีที่แล้ว +3

      :D it’s so nice to see people still remember Hatari since it’s probably one of those songs that we are super proud of sending and I don’t think we will ever forget them since seeing a song fully in Icelandic get into the top 10s is just spectacular

    • @tuija21
      @tuija21 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      @@logi-a Ah, Hatari, my all time favorite Eurovision song ❤️

  • @MoltenAshes
    @MoltenAshes ปีที่แล้ว +14

    Q: Finland, Israel, Sweden, Norway, Serbia, Moldova, Malta, Portugal, Croatia, Switzerland
    NQ: Czechia, Ireland, Latvia, Netherlands, Azerbaijan
    Czechia's certainly my hot take here, I don't think the general public will respect this as much as the Eurovision fandom.

  • @zwelfbungt
    @zwelfbungt ปีที่แล้ว +14

    He took this sweet little whiteboard + magnets in the press center just for us 😍

    • @DarkFlareGC
      @DarkFlareGC ปีที่แล้ว +3

      Gotta love him for that ❤

    • @anghara2001
      @anghara2001 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      he's the best, hahahaha, those magnets now are legendary

  • @umactuallee
    @umactuallee ปีที่แล้ว +25

    I think the qualifiers are gonna be
    -Finland
    -Sweden
    -Israel
    -Norway
    -Serbia
    -Czechia
    -Moldova
    -Croatia
    -Malta
    -Switzerland
    Really sad that Latvia will probably miss out on the final, I love them so much

  • @AmazingChi
    @AmazingChi ปีที่แล้ว +25

    My algorithm/spreadsheet gives for SF1:
    Finland
    Sweden
    Norway
    Czech Rep
    Israel
    Moldova
    Croatia
    Switzerland
    Serbia
    Portugal
    Got 9/10 last year in each SF. Netherlands are so so close to making into that, so I can understand the difficultly picking that borderline batch.

    • @carolinecharman5119
      @carolinecharman5119 ปีที่แล้ว +4

      Omg your sheet was spot on

    • @flappetyflippers
      @flappetyflippers ปีที่แล้ว +4

      I need to know the spreadsheet details after this 10/10 prediction!

    • @AmazingChi
      @AmazingChi ปีที่แล้ว +2

      @@flappetyflippers Whole bunch of factors haha. Some data, some based on trends (draw bias etc) and some a little subjective (but not too subjective - still recognise a good song even if it's not my cup of tea).

    • @NEvita198
      @NEvita198 ปีที่แล้ว

      You got 10/10 right, what are your predictions for SF2? Would Love to know, Thank you.

    • @AmazingChi
      @AmazingChi ปีที่แล้ว

      @@NEvita198 9/10, Had Georgia over Poland but bet against them in case I hadn't accounted for the negative momentum for Georgia enough (and I hadn't, evidently).

  • @vee_the_tree
    @vee_the_tree ปีที่แล้ว +5

    My predictions:
    Finland, Sweden, Israel, Norway, Moldova, Croatia, Czechia, Serbia, Portugal, Switzerland

  • @doublejumps5167
    @doublejumps5167 ปีที่แล้ว +12

    Sweden
    Malta
    Finland
    Moldova
    Czech Republic
    Portugal
    Israel
    Switzerland
    Norway
    Serbia
    In no particular order haha

  • @Shannis75
    @Shannis75 ปีที่แล้ว +7

    "I'm not a robot, I'm a person, I have a heart"
    Yes, you do, and that's why you are one of my favourite Eurovision vloggers. You are genuinely so nice and root for EVERYONE. Yes, you offer criticism, but it's not mean, it's meant to help them to improve, and you do it because you want the audience fall in love with the performer and the song, too.
    And when the performance is good, you are SO EXCITED for them, it's a joy to behold. :)

  • @gocilydakov7747
    @gocilydakov7747 ปีที่แล้ว +7

    🇷🇸 💓

  • @oslohund
    @oslohund ปีที่แล้ว +24

    My prediction: Sweden, Finland, Israel, Czechia, Moldova, Serbia, Portugal, Malta, Latvia, Netherlands.

  • @lordgianni3440
    @lordgianni3440 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    TL;DR: Sweden, Finland, Israel, Norway, Czechia, Moldova, Serbia, Latvia, Croatia and Malta
    You have more data and have watched more rehearsal clips while I only heard you talking about it, because I try to stay away from visuals until at least tonight or maybe even Saturday, however from what I've heard you say and based on how good the songs are, I'd make a one tweak to your prediction.
    it sounds to me like Portugal falls a bit flat. While it might be a fun song, without some visuals to support her - and if it's just that couch from FdC - I'm not sure, I'd let her go through and if Latvia is the opposite to that, having a similarly interesting song but with way better staging, I'd flip those two.
    Now I'm only unsure about Croatia. On the one hand, I also have a feeling, this could go through because of the craziness, but as you said, maybe all the crazy, all the party will have already been snacked by Käärijä and, if they go through, Malta. Also I still remember you telling us, normally only a maximum of 4 entries advance from the 1st half, so if 1-4 advance, 5-7 might not. If Croatia doesn't go through, I'm sure Switzerland has more of the edge to go through than the Netherlands, not only because of the potential staging but also since you did not mention difficulties with the vocals for Remo unlike for the Netherlands ^^
    All in all, I think Croatia's crazy might be different enough though and we might be able to see 5 qualifiers from the first half for the first time, not only because we have a 100% televote semi-final, but also because personally I think the second half is filled with very, very strong songs, which are held away from each other by on average weaker songs. Therefore my final prediction would be: Sweden, Finland, Israel, Norway, Czechia, Moldova, Serbia, Latvia, Croatia and Malta.

  • @AjMz96
    @AjMz96 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    Predicted 10 in Order:
    🇫🇮
    🇸🇪
    🇳🇴
    🇲🇩
    🇮🇱
    🇭🇷
    🇷🇸
    🇵🇹
    🇨🇿
    🇨🇭

  • @Ziemniak23
    @Ziemniak23 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    My qualifiers prediction (in random order):
    - Norway
    - Sweden
    - Finland
    - Israel
    - Serbia
    - Croatia
    - Moldova
    - Portugal
    - Czechia
    - Netherlands
    (I was thinking about Switzerland but I think this song is not so entertaining for public. But maybe i'm wrong)

  • @kennyvancullen9949
    @kennyvancullen9949 ปีที่แล้ว +12

    Qualifiers: Norway, Serbia, Latvia, Portugal, Croatia, Israel, Moldova, Sweden, Czechia, Finland
    Non-Qualifiers: Malta, Ireland, Switzerland, Azerbaijan and Netherlands

  • @jmch2186
    @jmch2186 ปีที่แล้ว +11

    Yep Tom, Muse fan watcing here from Howth, Dublin and yes I am voting for @suddenlightsLV, stunning in every way for me. Just need more to give it that push, fingers crossed.

    • @jmch2186
      @jmch2186 ปีที่แล้ว

      Actually, Malta is one of the 5 songs I muted on the Eurovision 2023 Spotify play list. Does absolutely nothing for me, in fact that sax drives my tinnitis crazy!

  • @siddhaaarrtth
    @siddhaaarrtth ปีที่แล้ว +8

    My 8 sure qualifiers: Sweden, Finland, Israel, Norway, Czechia, Serbia, Portugal, and Moldova.
    The last spot is between Croatia, Latvia, and Switzerland. I think with Croatia & Swiz have the last remaining spots here.
    4 Sure NQ: Ireland, Azerbaijan, Malta, Netherlands.

  • @daida..
    @daida.. ปีที่แล้ว +9

    As long as 🇫🇮🇷🇸🇭🇷🇸🇯🇲🇩 will qualify I'm happy, but I'd like to see 🇲🇹🇵🇹🇨🇿🇨🇭 in the final too.
    Among the possible borderline qualifiers Serbia has Croatia and the diaspora in Switzerland, Croatia has Serbia, and Portugal has the diaspora in France, but Latvia, Malta and the Netherlands don't have anyone bc Estonia, Lithuania and Belgium are in the other semifinal and Malta's neighbour Italy just never cares about neighbour and friendly voting at all, so that could affect the result a little bit as well.

  • @darkchocolate5494
    @darkchocolate5494 ปีที่แล้ว +19

    absolutely love Latvia and Malta, I'll be devastated if they don't qualify 😭

    • @PatGeo95
      @PatGeo95 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      How are you holding up?

    • @darkchocolate5494
      @darkchocolate5494 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@PatGeo95 😭😭😭

    • @vanadium163
      @vanadium163 ปีที่แล้ว

      Big hugs, I thought both Latvia and Malta looked and sounded absolutely perfect - there's just no justice in Eurovision... 😭

  • @zsokapados5197
    @zsokapados5197 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    I'm 100% with you in this prediction! Exactly my qualifiers. Let's hope for the best!

  • @buddy605
    @buddy605 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    My predicted qualifiers
    1 Sweden
    2 Finland
    3 Israel
    4 Czechia
    5 Moldova
    6 Norway
    7 Switzerland
    8 Serbia
    9 Portugal
    10 Malta

  • @Doodforsoreeyespnd
    @Doodforsoreeyespnd ปีที่แล้ว +9

    Passing:
    Sweden
    Finland
    Serbia
    Norway
    Croatia
    Israel
    Portugal
    Czechia
    Switzerland 😴
    Moldova

    • @Doodforsoreeyespnd
      @Doodforsoreeyespnd ปีที่แล้ว

      What do I get a Tom shoutout?

    • @cultfiction3865
      @cultfiction3865 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@Doodforsoreeyespnd Hopefully he will search through the comments and pick out all the people that got 10/10. See you there!

  • @ABCXYZ-je3db
    @ABCXYZ-je3db ปีที่แล้ว +4

    Wow! Your prediction skills are amazing!! So glad for Switzerland that they made into the final! I am so happy with the results, nonetheless I am very sorry for Latvia - love these guys.

  • @tanktheplayer4275
    @tanktheplayer4275 ปีที่แล้ว +36

    My prediction: Finland, Sweden, Israel, Moldova, Malta, Norway, Serbia, Croatia Czechia and Portugal. For your shoutout

    • @tanktheplayer4275
      @tanktheplayer4275 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      No, order

    • @logi-a
      @logi-a ปีที่แล้ว

      This is my exact same prediction

  • @boniipekoglu506
    @boniipekoglu506 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    My predictions:
    - Finland
    - Sweden
    - Israel
    - Czechia
    - Moldova
    - Norway
    - Croatia
    - Serbia
    - Portugal
    - Switzerland
    I have the same prediction. I can't decide which one to put for 10th place. I'm really in between Switzerland, Latvia and Malta. Everytime I put someone else. In this comment I went for Switzerland. Btw I see Norway shock non-qualifier

  • @loujohnson3735
    @loujohnson3735 ปีที่แล้ว +13

    My predictions: Norway 🇳🇴, Sweden 🇸🇪, Czechia 🇨🇿, Finland 🇫🇮, Malta 🇲🇹, Serbia 🇷🇸, Israel 🇮🇱, Moldova 🇲🇩, Latvia 🇱🇻, Portugal 🇵🇹.

  • @kubaz6201
    @kubaz6201 ปีที่แล้ว +10

    My prediction:
    Sweden
    Finland
    Norway
    Moldova
    Israel
    Chechia
    Switzerland
    Croatia
    Latvia
    Serbia

  • @PatiMoon
    @PatiMoon ปีที่แล้ว +8

    My prediction:
    Finland
    Sweden
    Czechia
    Moldova
    Israel
    Serbia
    Malta
    Latvia
    Switzerland
    Azerbaijan

    • @4gamezz155
      @4gamezz155 ปีที่แล้ว

      Azerbaijan, Latvia and Malta sure nq

  • @nathanhubball
    @nathanhubball ปีที่แล้ว +11

    I'm getting alot of last minute nervousness for Moldova but that's inevitable at this point lol

  • @MrTwarner
    @MrTwarner ปีที่แล้ว +6

    My Q: Finland, Sweden, Israel, Norway, Czechia, Portugal, Moldova, Serbia, Switzerland, Latvia
    NQ: Croatia, Netherlands, Malta, Azerbaijan, Ireland

  • @anyrija.
    @anyrija. ปีที่แล้ว +9

    i want latvia to qualify so bad

  • @kirisaki5584
    @kirisaki5584 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Qualifiers prediction: SE, FI, ISR, NOR, CZC, MOL, SWL, SER, CRO, NED. Sad for my own Portugal, but the song is not good enough to cover no real staging or elevation. We were one good prop away from being solid qualifiers.

  • @roguesniper4148
    @roguesniper4148 ปีที่แล้ว +9

    Just finished watching dress rehearsal review, and now more Tom to watch? What a treat!

  • @lovelypolishperson5566
    @lovelypolishperson5566 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    Excellent analysis of those songs, I agree 100%.

  • @silverwheel3281
    @silverwheel3281 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    My prediction:
    Sweden
    Finland
    Norway
    Israel
    Czechia
    Malta
    Switzerland
    Moldova
    Serbia
    Croatia
    I wish Latvia would go through though... 🙏

  • @haydenbland3780
    @haydenbland3780 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    My prediction: Sweden, Finland, Israel, Norway, Czechia, Moldova, Serbia, Portugal, Croatia and Switzerland, but personally I would rather have Netherlands over Croatia

  • @lillecathrine
    @lillecathrine ปีที่แล้ว +5

    I'm just making a guess here to be a part of the fun...
    Qualifying: Finland, Sweden, Norway, Israel, Malta, Serbia, Portugal, Switzerland, Czechia, Moldova
    Not Qualifying: Latvia, Ireland, Azerbaijan, Netherlands, Croatia
    Probably gonna get this totally wrong... I am not really confident about Norway with the vocals & there is so much 'but what if...' I can see pretty much everyone somehow going through with the right crowd watching/voting. Send help!!! Haha

  • @andreas74764
    @andreas74764 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    My 100% correct prediction:
    1. Finland
    2. Sweden
    3. Croatia
    4. Norway
    5. Czechia
    6. Serbia
    7. Malta
    8. Portugal
    9. Latvia
    10. Israel
    11. Azerbaijan
    12. Moldova
    13. Switzerland
    14. Ireland
    15. Netherlands

  • @marietg8025
    @marietg8025 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Through
    Sweden
    Finland
    Israel
    Norway
    Serbia
    Portugal
    Switzerland
    Moldova
    Czechia
    Croatia

  • @Cal_Night
    @Cal_Night ปีที่แล้ว +4

    i predict:
    In: finland, sweden, norway, israel, czechia
    borderline yes: malta, croatia, serbia, switzerland, moldova

    • @Cal_Night
      @Cal_Night ปีที่แล้ว

      One wrong 👀 poor malta 😢

  • @joegarton
    @joegarton ปีที่แล้ว +19

    My prediction:
    1. Finland
    2. Sweden
    3. Norway
    4. Israel
    5. Moldova
    6. Serbia
    7. Croatia
    8. Czechia
    9. Netherlands
    10. Malta

    • @4gamezz155
      @4gamezz155 ปีที่แล้ว

      Portugal instead of Malta

  • @biofabio8478
    @biofabio8478 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    Seeing this again after the semi-final shows how good you know Eurovision, I just found you a few weeks ago, but I love u though, very killing prediction
    Edit: I am also really crying to say goodbye to Latvia, they've done wrong with this semi

  • @dianajianu4271
    @dianajianu4271 ปีที่แล้ว +20

    Trying to guess the qualifiers is insanely hard, but going on pure instinct I would say:
    1. Sweden
    2. Finland
    3. Norway
    4. Israel
    5. Moldova
    6. Serbia
    7. Portugal
    8. Switzerland
    9. Malta
    10. Czechia
    Tonight I'll probably find out I got at least 2 of these wrong, but it doesn't hurt to try.

    • @sparkz2337
      @sparkz2337 ปีที่แล้ว

      u will get atleast 5 right so its a win 😅

    • @Lucian86
      @Lucian86 ปีที่แล้ว

      Wasn't that hard. You just had to look at the odds..100% spot on

    • @dianajianu4271
      @dianajianu4271 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@Lucian86 No I wasn't spot on. I had Malta in and Croatia out, so one was wrong

    • @Lucian86
      @Lucian86 ปีที่แล้ว

      Not you, the odds

  • @callumhoward5747
    @callumhoward5747 ปีที่แล้ว +8

    My 10 predicted (in order):
    Finland
    Sweden
    Israel
    Norway
    Serbia
    Croatia
    Czechia
    Moldova
    Switzerland
    Latvia (I 🙏)

    • @4gamezz155
      @4gamezz155 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      Swipe Portugal with Latvia

    • @renesebel4794
      @renesebel4794 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      ​@@4gamezz155 latvia very terrible song
      I don't hope they qualify !!
      🙏🙏🙏🙏🙏

  • @jornwend3959
    @jornwend3959 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Wow, you came so close to a perfect prediction! Congratulations!

    • @ESCTom
      @ESCTom  ปีที่แล้ว

      Thank you 🥰

  • @ninatuomi8731
    @ninatuomi8731 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    I hope the best songs qualify tonight, good luck everyone ❤

  • @DarkFlareGC
    @DarkFlareGC ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Thanks for the analysis! Love hearing your thoughts on this insane Semi-Final. 😄I think i landed on mostly the same as you. I think I ended up swapping Latvia and Croatia.
    Maybe it's just wishful thinking, but Latvia seems to have very big diehard fans (that converted me lol) They are worried about not getting through and actively trying to drum up support. I think the staging really helps, i find this song a LOT more engaging with the beautiful visuals than the music video which was how i first saw it. I think the seizers took me out of the song lol
    Croatia on the other hand might just be too divisive to get through. Thinking back on my first viewing I was wowed but extremely confused lol That confusion could turn off people, also I agree about the first minute, might have helped to chop that down....
    Final lock in choices.
    Qualifiers: Finland, Sweden, Norway, Israel, Moldova, Czechia, Portugal, Serbia, Latvia and Malta
    Non-Qualifiers: Azerbaijan, Ireland, Netherlands, Croatia and Switzerland
    But ya....this one is too crazy to call. You know what would be the craziest shock non-qualifier? If anyone is so worried about their borderline favourites that they forget to vote for Loreen. 🤣

  • @arcaniacq
    @arcaniacq ปีที่แล้ว +4

    Honestly it's really hard to say the top 10. Like my sure qualifiers are Sweden, Finland, Norway and Israel My likely qualifiers after that is Serbia, Czech republic and Moldova. Borderline however both on the yes and no scale might aswell be Portugal, Switzerland, Latvia, Malta and the netherlands. again this year is tough. Also my likely no are Azerbaijan, Croatia and Ireland.

  • @if3530
    @if3530 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    I need Serbia to qualify so i will vote as much as I can, we need to value this level of artistry

  • @Andre_stats_0111
    @Andre_stats_0111 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    I've said it again, and I'll say it once more: I really love your magnets, wish I could buy them somewhere.
    My predictions:
    Definite yes: 🇫🇮🇸🇯🇸🇪🇵🇹🇮🇱🇷🇸🇨🇿
    Borderline yes: 🇲🇹🇲🇩🇳🇱
    Bordeline no: 🇱🇻🇨🇭
    Definite no: 🇦🇿🇨🇮🇭🇷
    From the borderliners I had to pick 3 out of 5. Went for the fun one, the ethnic one and the chauvinistic one.

  • @lunamagnoona1788
    @lunamagnoona1788 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    Ok.... this is hard but I think Switzerland, Sweden, Norway, Israel, Finland, Czechia, Croatia, Portugal, Serbia, and Moldova will qualify, although I hope it's not true for Latvia...

  • @maddyartman2627
    @maddyartman2627 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Finland, Sweden, Israel, Moldova, Serbia, Latvia, Switzerland, Portugal, Czechia, and Norway

  • @flappetyflippers
    @flappetyflippers ปีที่แล้ว +1

    The fact that the only one you got wrong was Malta (which was basically just a wildcard pick anyway) is very impressive!
    (Still upset about Latvia and Netherlands not qualifying though...)

  • @tony0930
    @tony0930 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    Prediction
    1. Finland 🇫🇮
    2. Israel 🇮🇱
    3. Sweden 🇸🇪
    4. Norway 🇧🇻
    5. Serbia 🇷🇸
    6. Croatia 🇭🇷
    7. Moldova 🇲🇩
    8. Czechia 🇨🇿
    9. Portugal 🇵🇹
    10. Netherlands 🇳🇱
    ------------------------
    11. Malta 🇲🇹
    12. Switzerland 🇨🇭
    13. Latvia 🇱🇻
    14. Ireland 🇮🇪
    15. Azerbaijan 🇦🇿

  • @cinektokoks
    @cinektokoks ปีที่แล้ว +4

    My prediction:
    Q:
    Sweden
    Switzerland
    Latvia
    Norway
    Israel
    Finland
    Malta
    Czechia
    Croatia
    Moldova
    Who I personally want:
    Serbia
    Sweden
    Latvia
    Malta
    Switzerland
    Portugal
    Moldova
    Finland
    Azerbaijan
    Norway

  • @enthughesed
    @enthughesed ปีที่แล้ว +2

    I think the same, but Latvia and Switzerland over Malta and Portugal, because I think they are two of the more ballady songs, which should help them. I also think Serbia will be announced last again

  • @RickyPro888
    @RickyPro888 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    I picked all 10 qualifiers over a month ago! I feel so proud lol

    • @ESCTom
      @ESCTom  ปีที่แล้ว

      haha awesome, congrats

  • @tappytoeclaws2233
    @tappytoeclaws2233 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    "Oh fuck it, Malta" LETS GO TOM, LETS FUCKING GOOOOO MALTA.

    • @ESCTom
      @ESCTom  ปีที่แล้ว

      😂

  • @johanjory3825
    @johanjory3825 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    I have the same prediction as you, Malta just seems like so much fun on stage that I can't dismiss them for either Netherlands or Switzerland !

  • @nikolastojkovic9781
    @nikolastojkovic9781 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Totally same prediction!

  • @nightslipkno
    @nightslipkno ปีที่แล้ว +3

    my ten qualifiers:finland,sweden,croatia,norway,portugal,serbia,czechia,israel,moldova,malta

  • @Roxannah79
    @Roxannah79 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Regarding Latvia. Being mostly an indie/alternative rock listener, I can confirm people who typically listen to these types of genres do not care for or watch Eurovision (I'm a huge Eurovision fan but I'm in the minority). Latvia's song lies on the more introspective part of the alternative spectrum (Radiohead, Placebo). For me, it's incredibly beautiful (and in my top 3) but sadly most Eurovision fans aren't used to this type of sound and people who would appreciate it don't watch the contest. I'm not surprised it didn't qualify, a song like this is easy to get lost, even though I was hopeful after watching their flawless performance and staging. If anything, Latvia going through would likely encourage other indie/alternative artists to compete in the future, something I would absolutely adore to see happening. I'm sad for them as band, you can tell how much heart and professionalism they and their delegation put into this, I'm sad for such a mesmerising song and performance not being rewarded, I'm sad for the lost opportunity to act as an open door for future bands in this genre.

  • @nolol1040
    @nolol1040 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    This is exactly the same as my prediction :)

  • @TheMarcosutra
    @TheMarcosutra ปีที่แล้ว +3

    same for me but serbia would move up to likely and norway up to def

  • @jet687
    @jet687 ปีที่แล้ว

    I am so excited! After the sure yes, I can't make up my mind. Hoping for Latvia too as well as Malta (another saxophone song in the 2nd slot like last year's Salad).

  • @who_the_hell_is_hugo
    @who_the_hell_is_hugo ปีที่แล้ว +4

    Pred: Sweden, Finland, Norway, Israel, Czechia, Serbia, Portugal, Moldova, Croatia and Latvia

  • @alexhodder4129
    @alexhodder4129 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    Wish I could support you tom but I can't vote tonight praying for Serbia

    • @ESCTom
      @ESCTom  ปีที่แล้ว +3

      Thanks Alex

  • @Lucian86
    @Lucian86 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    My NQ predictions: Azerbaijan, Ireland, Latvia, Malta and Serbia (the shock of the night)

  • @rikkeenora
    @rikkeenora ปีที่แล้ว +1

    I got 10/10 for this semi final and I won't shut up about it to my friends and family. I'm sad though that Latvia didn't get through, i had hoped they would be a 'shock' qualifier.

  • @VascoTeixeira354
    @VascoTeixeira354 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    9 out 10, not bad, Tom!

  • @jonnywoo5962
    @jonnywoo5962 ปีที่แล้ว

    I gave you a shout out and played Subwoolfer! I hope you heard it! was great semi yayyyyyy

    • @ESCTom
      @ESCTom  ปีที่แล้ว

      omg Jonny, so i was walking in the outside part trying to get a drink and I hear GTWAB and so i RAN in, and then later when I posted a pic of my seat on Twitter, loads of people were saying that you'd mentioned me and i was devastated that I missed it. BUT at the same time, you playing that literally drew me into the arena 😂
      You were amazing by the way!!!! 🤩

  • @toky2590
    @toky2590 ปีที่แล้ว +7

    Wish list ✨
    - LATVIA 🇱🇻
    - Sweden 🇸🇪
    - Finland 🇫🇮
    - Croatia 🇭🇷
    - Portugal 🇵🇹
    - Israel 🇮🇱
    - Malta 🇲🇹
    - Moldova 🇲🇩
    - Serbia 🇷🇸
    - Norway 🇳🇴
    NQs:
    - Czechia 🇨🇿
    - Netherlands 🇳🇱
    - Switzerland 🇨🇭
    - Azerbaijan 🇦🇿
    - Ireland 🇮🇪

    • @toky2590
      @toky2590 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Here is prediction tho
      Qualifers :
      - Finland 🇫🇮
      - Sweden 🇸🇪
      - Israel 🇮🇱
      - Norway 🇳🇴
      - Serbia 🇷🇸
      - Croatia 🇭🇷
      - Portugal 🇵🇹
      - Switzerland 🇨🇭
      - Czechia 🇨🇿 (bruh pls no 🤞)
      NQs :
      - Latvia 🇱🇻 (BRUH , I'm better be wrong)
      - Netherlands 🇳🇱
      - Malta 🇲🇹
      - Azerbaijan 🇦🇿
      - Ireland 🇮🇪

    • @toky2590
      @toky2590 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Fine I got everything correct , but still ... LATVIA 😭

  • @Sarah-og3mp
    @Sarah-og3mp ปีที่แล้ว

    Been waiting for this! Cant say i agree with you on every country, but it's really interesting what you have to say about it, especially considering how much knowledge and expertise you have in this

  • @stevieboy666
    @stevieboy666 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    The message of this prediction is: Let go of all emotion 😅

    • @ESCTom
      @ESCTom  ปีที่แล้ว +2

      😭

  • @Captain_Alberta100
    @Captain_Alberta100 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    My predictions
    1 Finland
    2 Sweden
    3 Israel
    4 Norway
    5 Moldova
    6 Croatia
    7 Serbia
    8 Czechia
    9 Portugal
    10 Switzerland

  • @dickwintered
    @dickwintered ปีที่แล้ว +1

    You got 9/10 Tom! Nice work :)
    I think we all wished Malta make it instead of Switzerland lol

  • @jameswatson7254
    @jameswatson7254 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    My prediction is Sweden, Finland, Israel, Norway, Czechia, Moldova, Serbia, Portugal, Malta and Switzerland (my personal favourite atm)

  • @valentinosgilbert3489
    @valentinosgilbert3489 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Great analysis! Well said!

  • @robertlmao_
    @robertlmao_ ปีที่แล้ว +4

    My prediction:
    Sure Q: 🇸🇪Sweden, 🇫🇮Finland, 🇮🇱Israel, 🇨🇿Czech Republic, 🇳🇴Norway, 🇲🇩Moldova, 🇷🇸Serbia
    Borderline Q: 🇭🇷Croatia, 🇨🇭Switzerland, 🇵🇹Portugal
    Borderline NQ: 🇱🇻Latvia, 🇳🇱Netherlands, 🇲🇹Malta
    Sure NQ: 🇮🇪Ireland, 🇦🇿Azerbaijan

  • @garryd7748
    @garryd7748 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    I don’t understand why everyone says this is the tougher semifinal. The top 4 or 5 songs are fantastic, but I think the quality of the borderlines is better in Semifinal 2.

    • @lysanderlonshadow8653
      @lysanderlonshadow8653 ปีที่แล้ว

      Agreed, this semi has great stand outs, but everything else is mid, average or straight up bad, semi 2 is stronger and more tough in my opinion.

  • @Ace_Keira
    @Ace_Keira ปีที่แล้ว

    Oh Tom! You had the clean sweep in your hands!

    • @ESCTom
      @ESCTom  ปีที่แล้ว

      I know 😭 I literally held the magnet of truth in my hand!

  • @stevieboy666
    @stevieboy666 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    This is really interesting to me. As soon as we eliminate the juries, you’ve probably put through (not intentionally) the 10 boppiest songs and eliminated the 5 slower songs. Love it!

  • @justinkhchen
    @justinkhchen ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Hope you're enjoying Liverpool! Honestly all the borderline yes/no entries are SO hard to determine!

  • @cshields05
    @cshields05 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Love the thumbnail

  • @mikemckinney1564
    @mikemckinney1564 ปีที่แล้ว

    Came here looking for your live reaction!

    • @ESCTom
      @ESCTom  ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Ive saved it on my phone, ill put it up tomorrow. im only back from the press conference now

  • @andrelini
    @andrelini ปีที่แล้ว

    you were almost spot on tom!

  • @popsr8270
    @popsr8270 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    id want press access for liverpool purely to see the legendary magnets in real life

  • @algrave
    @algrave ปีที่แล้ว

    I have to agree completely with your ten. But I kind of wish we could get more of these songs through. So much great music this year! I think everyone on your Borderline NO would qualify out of Semi 2.
    (For the record: Norway, Malta, Serbia, Croatia, Portugal, Israel, Moldova, Sweden, Czechia, Finland.)

  • @hedgiecc
    @hedgiecc ปีที่แล้ว

    Exciting! Enjoy the show 😊

  • @blackwomenvalues
    @blackwomenvalues ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Huge Eurovision fan here who follows all pre parties, national selections etc but with friends who don't follow anything-all of us from all ranges of knowledge and music taste agreed (to my shock) that Moldova was our stand out favourite. Now that they are through I think its time to actually see this as a threat. Until yesterday I blew them off completley but ended up voting for them last night. The consensus from the casual fan freinds was sweden was underwhelming and Finland got mixed reactions but people who voted for Israel and Switzerland ALSO voted for Moldova so the appeal in my freind group was WIDE. We also were voting from Germany, Ireland, and Rest of World options, and are based in Belgium so once they can vote in the final Moldova will probably get a few votes from Belgium as well. With that I see Moldova as a much bigger threat or top 5 than ever before.

    • @ESCTom
      @ESCTom  ปีที่แล้ว

      ah ok interesting. its always cool to see what does well with epople outside of the Eurovision bubble

  • @lighthouse620
    @lighthouse620 ปีที่แล้ว

    Don’t know how early you were at getting in to the arena tonight but the pre show dj played Give That Wolf a Banana and shouted you out!!!

  • @ESC_USA
    @ESC_USA ปีที่แล้ว +11

    ♥ 12 POINTS to 🇵🇹 & Mimicat!! Vote #5! ♥️

    • @patrickuotinen
      @patrickuotinen ปีที่แล้ว +5

      I promise to vote Mimicat from Finland. And I really hope she gets enough votes to get in to the final.

    • @ESC_USA
      @ESC_USA ปีที่แล้ว

      @@patrickuotinen yesss thank you!! and I sure hope so too 🤞🤞🤞

    • @amel_bility
      @amel_bility ปีที่แล้ว

      Will do! Fingers crossed she makes it 🤞

  • @karleduard7725
    @karleduard7725 ปีที่แล้ว

    Dude, literally when I'm over to watch your video, at the end it literally will start the broadcast signal 😂

  • @jonathanv9526
    @jonathanv9526 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Pure based on a feeling:
    - Finland
    - Israel
    - Sweden
    - Norway
    - Chezchia
    - Moldova
    - Switzerland
    - Latvia
    - Portugal
    - Croatia

  • @vveles
    @vveles ปีที่แล้ว +2

    My prediction:
    Finland
    Sweden
    Norway
    Israel
    Czechia
    Moldova
    Croatia
    Switzerland
    Portugal
    Latvia
    My preference:
    Finland
    Serbia
    Malta
    Moldova
    Portugal
    Latvia
    Azerbaijan
    Czechia
    Croatia
    Netherlands

  • @johnny11415
    @johnny11415 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    I agree the last 4 countries you had could go either way. I think the staging is important with crazy songs like Croatia, not so much for others. Portugal is simple but she still has dancers with her so there are still things going on. Its just a tough semi final. Hope you will do a reaction video of the results 🎉 I think from your choice Switzerland will go through instead of Malta, but if Malta goes through I would be equally happy. I still think at least one ballad or slower song will qualify not everyone likes upbeat songs. If Switzerland and Netherlands both dont qualify I see that helping Marco there wouldn't be many ballads left would there? I am counting the minutes... 😂😂😂

  • @beepgaming7598
    @beepgaming7598 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    My predictions:
    Qualifiers - Sweden, Czechia, Israel, Moldova, Switzerland, Portugal, Finland, Norway, Croatia, Serbia
    Non Qualifiers - Latvia, Malta, The Netherlands, Ireland, Azerbaijan

    • @swiftlymurmurs
      @swiftlymurmurs ปีที่แล้ว

      🔔🔔🔔🔔🔔
      Douze points!

  • @NOWHEREGOD
    @NOWHEREGOD ปีที่แล้ว

    Yesterday I was watching 1 semi-final and was making my assumptions based on the performances, and it definitely worked because I guessed all correctly.😅 However, deep down, I was finger-crossing for Latvia to qualify instead of Switzerland, but it didn't work 😒🤣(I couldn't even vote to support *braliukai *(brothers), I am from Lithuania)