I don't know if it is easy, but my Swedish "Premie Pension", made up of a small portion of my regular, state-controlled pension savings, is up ~11 % since I moved to Sweden 23 years ago. So far this year, it is up ~6 %. I have 5 different funds in that account.
🗽If the inflation stays high (war in europe, leftist-green ideology, etc.), then the real returns for US-standard stocks in the next years could be very small. .
Hey Sven love your videos. Could you do a video on Tencent ? I believe it is a big value play even after Chinas pop. Nobody ever talks about it, they have a huge moat. Also another question - What do you do when your value plays becomes less value ( lets say they went up in price, like meta) If you invest monthly and all of you portfolio became less of a value play, Where do you put your money then ? if you still didn't find a new company to invest in
Nice video tutorial as usual Sven but I wonder if it is wise for people, part of the EU (this house of cards) to hold large cash positions (20%-50%) in Euros, waiting for bargains with 10% and above return? Isn't it wiser to hold them in another western currency that is not tied unconditionally to the euro such as the Danish krone, the Swiss franc or the US dollar?
Hi Sven, the more I think about dividends, the more I see them as protection against inflation. Assuming that the company is stable, (perhaps a commodity producer where their product would increase in price with inflation) the dividend would be paid in "today's dollars". Am I missing something? (I wouldn't be surprised if I am!)
yes, you are missing that commodity prices first go up and down, and only then follow inflation after a decade.... th-cam.com/video/gUCXSmB0FlQ/w-d-xo.html
@@Value-Investing I knew there was a fly in the ointment, but, (if you'll forgive me mixing metaphors) I couldn't see the forest for the trees. Thanks Sven.
you cannot predict the market thus hard to play on valuation - you need to see how what fits you at a certain moment in time - life changes, all changes. plus, over the long-term it is better to stay invested than other...
Sven, the problem with this thinking is that your money isnt as valuable, even if you get a lot of it, in 40 years. The same way the have a discount factor when you do DCF you should do the same with your personal wealth accumulation. What happens if you die on year 35 of the 40 you are planning to save? Then you get nothing (your family might still if you have one). I see this as a flaw in this whole idea. If i use the 10% per year, then theres no accumulation to talk about either. What do you guys think?
I think this is the wrong focus, you either build wealth or not! If you do, you might do 20% per year, I don't know... I did... so, it is more about a decision, not a linear progression...
Even if you didn't get to spend your money, you still benefited from it. Not having to worry about whether bills can be paid. Knowing you'll be OK if you lose your job. Eliminating that major source of stress can help you live a longer and healthier life.
Hey Sven, what happened to the video where viewers could send in recommendations for stocks for you to look at? Did you abandon making it, or did I miss it?
Beware of hindsight bias with the CAPE ratio. It's not shown to be a good timing signal. Also DCA underperforms most of the time since it can miss out on bull markets. I think it's best to follow a systematic value strategy, but also diversify across other factors and strategies to benefit from multiple market environments without needing to time them. Timing is often too difficult and the signals are poor.
Assuming you are retail, the hardest point of entry is building up a reasonable cash position. Afterwards, it is really about risk profile, patience and time. Most retail lack most or all 3.
Couldn't agree more because it takes forever to build a portfolio where the 4% withdrawal is actually meaningful to your life. Like how you need 2.5mil to reliably make 100k a year
@Sven how about from private business? If you expect 10% return from investing in public stocks. Can you expect 20-30% return from successful business?
Hi Sven, I am a young investor still quite inexperienced. I have started to buy Glencore shares though as I has a large dividend low P/E and great exposure to cobalt which has forecast supply issues for the increasing number of EV's. Would you be able to review this stock or do you have any thoughts?? Thanks for the content again great stuff.
Very insightful content as always. Thank you. Opportunities are not available very often , makes sense. But then how should one be observant all the time and to screen the market ? ( to buy a particular stock at a right time) . Maybe it deserve to be discussed how a watch list is compiled and how screening should be initiated?
Thought on longevity: It is really hard in Europe to be poor by the time you retire. If you've had a relatively adequate lifetstyle, nothing fancy, saved consistently, you will be already owning 2 apartments by the time you retire, have a lot in passive investments, etc. It is the oldest that are the richest, on average. So by the time you're 65, you will be very well off. Which begs the question, if we start living until 120 years of age in the future, in good health through slowing down our aging process, will we still be rich at 65? I doubt it, because then people would be 60 years retired (65 to 120). They will devalue our money so much that by the age of 65 you are not so well off as you are today, so you kleep working until you are 100.
I think it is better to focus on the first part of your post - just get rich enough so that you don't have to worry about the second part. In the world we live in, a world of abundance, with the right focus, it is easily possible...
@@Value-Investing I’m trying to get on that level but also don’t want to lose everything. Once you understand how to find value does it take a lot of time to monitor?
Hi Sven, isn't it a little bit unfair to say that stocks account for 2,8% of overall returns only? If we separate both factors inflation wouldn't do 68000x on its own. This is the power of combined compounding or Charlie's lollapalooza efect ;)
05:47 Sven is a hidden standup comedian of finance😂
:-)))
Madoff funds were making 12% per year without volatility. The absolute dream.
:-)))))
Look how that turned out 🤣
Thanks for this value lesson again 👍 I like all the reports and sources you are implementing in your videos
thanks!
You can’t buy and sell at the right time
not over a few months, but surely over a few years or a decade.
I don't know if it is easy, but my Swedish "Premie Pension", made up of a small portion of my regular, state-controlled pension savings, is up ~11 % since I moved to Sweden 23 years ago.
So far this year, it is up ~6 %. I have 5 different funds in that account.
Why is XOM nuts pricy? In the same category as TSLA?
XOM is a cyclical...
Hey Sven can you make a video on the company "Gevo" it might make a good video.
Great video as always!
🗽If the inflation stays high (war in europe, leftist-green ideology, etc.), then the real returns for US-standard stocks in the next years could be very small.
.
✓✓ꜱᴇɴᴅ ᴍᴇ ᴀ ᴅɪʀᴇᴄᴛ ᴍᴇꜱꜱᴀɢᴇ ᴏɴ ᴡʜᴀᴛꜱᴀᴘᴘ ᴡɪᴛʜ ᴛʜᴇ ɴᴜᴍʙᴇʀ ᴀʙᴏᴠᴇ»»
time will tell!
They'll likely be very small either way simply through virtue of valuation.
very good. thx Sven.
Glad you liked it!
Great educational content! Thank you!
Glad you enjoyed it!
Are you still in the Netherlands? Pozdrav
Hey Sven love your videos.
Could you do a video on Tencent ? I believe it is a big value play even after Chinas pop.
Nobody ever talks about it, they have a huge moat.
Also another question -
What do you do when your value plays becomes less value ( lets say they went up in price, like meta)
If you invest monthly and all of you portfolio became less of a value play, Where do you put your money then ? if you still didn't find a new company to invest in
1) tencent is tricky
2) depends on the business
Great as always.
Thank you! Cheers!
Nice video tutorial as usual Sven but I wonder if it is wise for people, part of the EU (this house of cards) to hold large cash positions (20%-50%) in Euros, waiting for bargains with 10% and above return? Isn't it wiser to hold them in another western currency that is not tied unconditionally to the euro such as the Danish krone, the Swiss franc or the US dollar?
you can't play on currencies... focus on finding the good investments, not the best currency trade.
The danish krone is tied to the euro.
Do you think I should make a video about it?
Hi Sven, the more I think about dividends, the more I see them as protection against inflation. Assuming that the company is stable, (perhaps a commodity producer where their product would increase in price with inflation) the dividend would be paid in "today's dollars".
Am I missing something? (I wouldn't be surprised if I am!)
yes, you are missing that commodity prices first go up and down, and only then follow inflation after a decade....
th-cam.com/video/gUCXSmB0FlQ/w-d-xo.html
@@Value-Investing I knew there was a fly in the ointment, but, (if you'll forgive me mixing metaphors) I couldn't see the forest for the trees. Thanks Sven.
If you are holding your cash for the right investment maybe years away, how do you protect it against inflation?
Toughts on Ally Financial? PB = 0.74 growth idk. I have to look at it closer. I saw that Berkshire owns it
great video!
Thanks!
Sven what about having a cash position. What about adjusting that cash position based on market valuation / individual opportunities
you cannot predict the market thus hard to play on valuation - you need to see how what fits you at a certain moment in time - life changes, all changes. plus, over the long-term it is better to stay invested than other...
What do you think of CHGG
Sven, the problem with this thinking is that your money isnt as valuable, even if you get a lot of it, in 40 years. The same way the have a discount factor when you do DCF you should do the same with your personal wealth accumulation. What happens if you die on year 35 of the 40 you are planning to save? Then you get nothing (your family might still if you have one). I see this as a flaw in this whole idea. If i use the 10% per year, then theres no accumulation to talk about either. What do you guys think?
I think this is the wrong focus, you either build wealth or not! If you do, you might do 20% per year, I don't know... I did... so, it is more about a decision, not a linear progression...
Even if you didn't get to spend your money, you still benefited from it. Not having to worry about whether bills can be paid. Knowing you'll be OK if you lose your job. Eliminating that major source of stress can help you live a longer and healthier life.
Please, analise the PETROBRAS. Thanks.
thanks for the reminder
Hey Sven, what happened to the video where viewers could send in recommendations for stocks for you to look at? Did you abandon making it, or did I miss it?
I still have to sit down and make it :-(( will do.. no worries, if there is a good reccomendation it will not be old....
Do you mean this one: th-cam.com/video/EGyc6HHc6bI/w-d-xo.html
Beware of hindsight bias with the CAPE ratio. It's not shown to be a good timing signal. Also DCA underperforms most of the time since it can miss out on bull markets. I think it's best to follow a systematic value strategy, but also diversify across other factors and strategies to benefit from multiple market environments without needing to time them. Timing is often too difficult and the signals are poor.
thanks for sharing!
Assuming you are retail, the hardest point of entry is building up a reasonable cash position. Afterwards, it is really about risk profile, patience and time. Most retail lack most or all 3.
Couldn't agree more because it takes forever to build a portfolio where the 4% withdrawal is actually meaningful to your life. Like how you need 2.5mil to reliably make 100k a year
good point... that is why you need to know why you are doing it and how...
I would say it is not easy it is simple. The discipline part is not easy lol.
why would it be:-))
Hi Sven, Your content is always much appreciated here. What do you think about the JEPI ETF?
@Sven how about from private business? If you expect 10% return from investing in public stocks. Can you expect 20-30% return from successful business?
if you know what you are doing!
Do you think I should make a video about it?
Hi Sven, I am a young investor still quite inexperienced. I have started to buy Glencore shares though as I has a large dividend low P/E and great exposure to cobalt which has forecast supply issues for the increasing number of EV's. Would you be able to review this stock or do you have any thoughts??
Thanks for the content again great stuff.
Sempre ben druze Sven, grazie per il servizio
:-)
Very insightful content as always. Thank you. Opportunities are not available very often , makes sense. But then how should one be observant all the time and to screen the market ? ( to buy a particular stock at a right time) . Maybe it deserve to be discussed how a watch list is compiled and how screening should be initiated?
Watched this video a 3rd time! I advise everyone else do the same. More valuable than many books on this subject. Wow. Thanks so much!
Good video
Thanks
Sven please do a video on the French stock market after Italy. Look at eurofins it's an interesting stock
here you go: th-cam.com/video/XAhpTS_FYjs/w-d-xo.html
i was also thinking about eurofins recently, valuation looks a little high
Thought on longevity:
It is really hard in Europe to be poor by the time you retire. If you've had a relatively adequate lifetstyle, nothing fancy, saved consistently, you will be already owning 2 apartments by the time you retire, have a lot in passive investments, etc.
It is the oldest that are the richest, on average. So by the time you're 65, you will be very well off.
Which begs the question, if we start living until 120 years of age in the future, in good health through slowing down our aging process, will we still be rich at 65? I doubt it, because then people would be 60 years retired (65 to 120). They will devalue our money so much that by the age of 65 you are not so well off as you are today, so you kleep working until you are 100.
I think it is better to focus on the first part of your post - just get rich enough so that you don't have to worry about the second part. In the world we live in, a world of abundance, with the right focus, it is easily possible...
Hello Sven, why not just invest in Small cap value etf's like AVUV or AVDV, that returns over 10% historically and guarantees good valuations too.
I don't know where you find that info, depends on the market, small caps are also very overvalued sometimes.. th-cam.com/video/-FNezYE560c/w-d-xo.html
another Sven video where i really learned nothing
that is great to hear, it means you already know a lot!!!
First yes
yes you are, thanks!
Sounds like a combination of dollar cost averaging in etf or index’s with picking some stocks at the right valuation might be a good option.
ya dont say?
😂ya just saying versus only doing one or another. Don’t have to focus on only one way
depends on how good you are on the stock picking - If I had done it over the last 20 years, I would be much poorer.
@@Value-Investing I’m trying to get on that level but also don’t want to lose everything. Once you understand how to find value does it take a lot of time to monitor?
tl; dr : it's not
well, it is not for everybody for sure:-))))
Hi Sven, isn't it a little bit unfair to say that stocks account for 2,8% of overall returns only? If we separate both factors inflation wouldn't do 68000x on its own. This is the power of combined compounding or Charlie's lollapalooza efect ;)
of course, but it is just to emphasize the inflation on top.... you can make it the opposite too...