Year-In-Advance Oscar Predictions (2024 Edition)

If you don't hear from me next month, it's because the Gaga fandom has come after me.

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Mickey 17 also won't be competing for this year. I hope so. It will be very strong for 2026.

[@Flyover3215]

Best Actress 2025:
Saoirse Ronan
Lady Gaga
Angelina Jolie
Jessica Lange
Noèmie Merlant
Possible surprises:
Tessa Thompson
Michaele Coel
Zendaya
Nicole Kidman
Glenn Close
Marianne Jean-Baptiste

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Best Actor:
Colman Domingo
Joaquin Phoenix
John D. Washington
Richard Gere
Sebastian Stan
Possible surprises:
Paul Mescal
Ralph Fienneas
Ed Harris
Ethan Herrise
Kevin Costner

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Wicked won't get any acting nominations. At best the technical nominations you mentioned. That's it.
Maybe just maybe Ariana Grande might get Supporting as Ryan Gosling got last year for Ken.