As someone who does not agree with most of the political positions taken by MSNBC's commentators I have always respected Kornacki. He seems like a pure statistician and researcher, and his information is fact-based rather than colored by his own political positions. We need more like him in the news business these days!
As a democrat, i think Trump was not hurt by Roe cause he successfully detached himself from that debate. Crazy as it sounds, Trump was the most moderate on the issue, positionally. I think the most Kamala hammered that abortion fearmongering the more she seemed alienated from the voters priorities, that were, consistenly, the economy and immigration.
It's worse than that: the Mississippi law which was at the center of the matter was ROE-COMPLIANT. Problem is that Roe had been outdated already by Casey, which no one talks about, but which declared that "patient privacy" made any and all "unreasonable" impediments to abortion unlawful without defining "unreasonable". Because Roe was also predicated on the notion of patient privacy, the Supreme Court was forced by the adoption of Casey to directly assess whether such a right existed Constitutionally - that being the holding in Roe AND Casey. The Court found it was not; that privacy is in fact regulated by Congressional laws which routinely allow violations of privacy any time there is a "prevailing interest". That's why the whole thing was sent back to the States to decide on abortion rights - pro-abortion activists kept pushing until the issue fell off the proverbial cliff.
If you were pro-life, 95% of those people supported trump. Among pro-choice it was split 60/40 for Harris. Trump definitely positioned as a moderate on this issue even if he was responsible for Dobbs
Trump was a Manhattan Democrat. It's no wonder you can't attack Trump from the right. The only attack that could work is from the populist side, but the Democrats are the very definition of the establishment elites and turning more anti-working class.
It is so unusual and unexpected to see someone who sounds so reasonable and telling the truth coming from this network. If they are smart, they will show him more, and not let him get away.
As a young Hispanic man who supported Biden, Hillary in the past 2 elections. Trump won me over with his day at McDonald’s making and passing French fries. That was so funny!! Made my year, and my friends all the same
Being a conservative, its great listening to Steve. He is not bias and just talk about numbers. Example- while talking about trump, he said emotionally delivering message instead if others who say violent rhetoric.
“In the first 6 weeks of the campaign she did not sit for intense interviews.” True. She also did not sit for softball interviews until about 6 weeks in.
I've a lot of respect for Kornacki. Intelligent and professional, not to mention he really seems like such a decent person. I'm a former Democrat who left the party in 2016.
Steve Kornacki is probably the only person in MSNBC that has no apparent bias against any party. He is a national treasure when it comes to election analysis.
Okay, here are the real reasons: 1. Kamala was a DIE (Diversity Inclusion Equity) candidate. Through Ocean Gate and Boeing, and Chicago's "super-mayor", we have learned just how dangerous underqualified candidates can be. Kamala might try to paint herself as a meritorious candidate, but if you look back at the Democrat primaries, she was not even a consideration. In any case, her past support of DIE policies is difficult to backtrack from. 2. She badly squandered the funds that were available to her. If there was any question that she was completely ill-qualified to run the country (c.f. point 1), just look at how she ran her own election campaign, and ended $20M in debt. She refused to do the actual work that was necessary, such as participate in unscripted interviews, and meet the reasonable requests of Joe Rogan. 3. Kamala refuses to back down from her idiotic "wealth tax" that many, many accountants have repeatedly explained is completely impractical. 4. Her other economic policies were either ill-defined, or simply bad. For example, a core component of her "opportunity economy" was student loan forgiveness - an idiotic idea that completely overlooks the graduates who have already paid back their debts (because they studied worthwhile degrees). It was merely a cynical mechanism to transfer wealth from tax-paying blue-collar workers, to people who are privileged enough for the luxury of studying a liberal arts degree. 5. She failed to understand young men, and the concerns that they face. Her "what makes a real man" campaign advertisements were so terrible, they almost straddled the line between reality and satire.
She also had an impossible needle to thread, in that she and Joe Biden utterly blew it in many, many ways that was highly visible to the voters, and then they're asking for more. They drove this nation like it was stolen (hmm), or at least, their handlers did. There simply was not enough smoke and mirrors to cover all that up. The media-democrat complex is ludicrously trying to find all of these peripheral reasons why it turned out this way, as if campaigns are like Rube Goldberg machines, and forgot all about the impact of good old-fashioned governance.
This one I believe is not as much Kamala’s fault, it’s the fact that her party refuses to distance itself from crazy leftists who vote for democrats. They/she refused to say these people are wrong, we do not agree with them, they do not represent me. Had she done that, she may have won, maybe
@dodobirdfisher4697 she didn't have to. Besides the Trump ads, there were just a ton of vids from 2019 where Harris took some wild positions on woke issues. People have memories. They remember what you said.
@@stevenkim5688 No body except those with internet brain cared about woke, that's why DeSantis got crushed, he was Mr. Anti-Woke. People cared about the economy, and people didn't really believe Harris had solutions for the economy Trump doesn't have solutions either, but he's better at sounding like a populist
Thinking that a guy's crude joke about Puerto Rico would cause droves of Puerto Ricans to change their vote, I think shows contempt for the intelligence and sense of these people. I would also posit that Biden apparently calling Trump supporters garbage cancelled the effect of the garbage comment.
The fact that the blue states took away so much freedom during the pandemic caused an exodus to Texas and Florida. As California loses electoral votes, they gain them. Red states are just better to live in. And if you notice, the blue states they leave don't seem to be getting bluer as a result. Having Florida and Ohio out of play makes for a brutal electoral map for democrats at the national level, and they don't have any easy answers.
With 1-2 percent further swing, there would no longer be competitive electoral college races. This has happened 3 times in US history, and normally leads to a 3rd party taking over as people quit voting for "the always a bridesmaid" party. Both the DNC and RNC were one of those in their own times. In the much wider electoral world we face now, it is actually more likely we will wind up in a multi-party world as a percent will stay with the DNC, others will join the greens, and others will spread to smaller parties like the libertairians.
Increased oil and gas drilling in Texas, Pennsylvania, North Dakota, and Ohio will further move these states to the right as more citizens'' livelihoods depend on it. The median age for Pennsylvania and Michigan are in the top 15 of the U.S. and not likely to make a liberal turn without an exceptional candidate. BTW, how is that Democrat bench?
And in the 2030s, for a Republican to win the presidency, there is a good chance that the Republican does not need to win at least one Great Lake state (Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania) to win. Because in 2024 in 2028, if the Republican won North Carolina, Georgia, and Arizona, they would just need to win one of the three Great Lakes states, either Wisconsin, Michigan, or Pennsylvania to win the election
Yeah and look at how many deaths in all of those Red States during Covid . I mean no point arguing with Trump voters you guys can enjoy him for the next 4 years or so but don’t you ever come to the blue states you’re not welcome here. This is why Red States are pretty much gonna be absolutely miserable and destroyed if there’s anything bad happens red states only have one working industry while blue states got plenty. Just look at California it has showbiz, tech jobs, renewable energy and maybe even agriculture now compare that to Florida. Florida is practically powered only by Disney, if Disney close its theme parks then that’s it for Florida. Well maybe they can turn Mar a Lago to be an attraction considering it is a literal circus over there 😂😂😂😂
Democrat scolds are a big turnoff. I was talking quietly with a friend in a New Jersey state park, when a woman came up to us and said we can't have that conversation there. She told US to leave, because SHE was eavesdropping and didn't agree with us! I laughed at her and said that if she was going to eavesdrop on private conversations she should expect to hear things she didn't like. Neither of us were shouting, or wearing Trump gear, but she felt she had the right to tell us off! I have been on the reverse side of that at least 100 times, and never said a word to the speakers. But then, I respect other people and that Democrat clearly didn't!
Not that I think that woman (or anybody who acts like that, for that matter) was justified, but if that's the reason people don't vote Dem (because some rando in the park pissed them off), then they were never on the Dem side.
@@AlexKawa20it is enough reason when such behaviour is prevalent and actually celebrated among them. Remember the D congress woman who told people to get in the faces of Trump supporters anywhere they find them, in the restaurant, in public places and make them unwelcome. A party like that should not be given power because this attitude reflects exactly how they are going to govern.
I can't speak with certainly, but maybe in this particular situation, people may say that as a way to show that they did not vote the way one would assume they voted if looking solely at their race ,ethnicity, gender,ect
It's refreshing that Kornacki doesn't feel compelled to spew the MSNBC propaganda lines and just deliver the facts. Hopefully he doesn't get in trouble for this video ... lol
You're thinking women's selection preference in men. Yes, the tall guy wins every time. Elections? There are some exceptions. There is actually a wikipedia article about it.
The Dems caring more about illegals really shocked me. As a legal Mexican-American, I had to support Trump's America First agenda. But on the topic of polls, I think all of them are a disgrace except Polymarket which really reflected the voter sentiment and the true degree by which Trump was ahead of Kamala. Never again will biased pollsters have my ear, even for 1 minute.
One thing that may have had a bigger difference for women voters between 2020 and 2024. In 2024 they probably were only counting the women who voted democrat who were still alive, and voted just once.
Very good points raised by Steve here, specifically on abortion at the beginning of the video and the divide in how people vote based on their gender. Trump won at the national level because he can have checks and balances placed on him by the Senate and the House - abortion, even in 2022, post-Dobbs, only cost Trump-aligned candidates their races, the Governor's races where Republicans comfortably won had popular views on abortion that aligned with their states.
I think the issue is that MAGA voters only like Trump himself, and aren't willing to vote for anybody who they perceive as copycats. In my opinion, that's why Trump-aligned candidates did poorly in 2022, and why Trump outperformed almost all of his aligned candidates in 2024. Because why take the copy when you can have the original?
The GOP is not willing to follow Trumps politics. This is why down ballot losses occurred. I became a Republican in 1996. For the 1st time I did not🗳️FOR THE GOP HOUSE CANDIDATE. I left Blank Issa in Ca 48. I told him & leadership they would lose me over NOT BACKING TRUMP. Next time with Mike Johnson’s leadership again I could🗳️ AGAINST ISSA & vote Democrat if Johnson Runs the house via Democrat votes in protest.
his abortion read for 2024 seems right - I was thinking the same thing regarding abortion and its impact....I'm no professional, but it just didn't feel like the movement being pushed by the democratic party was really going to make that big of an impact....abortion is still legal but varies from state to state - so it's just not what they were saying or pushing.
They got entrapped in their own deceit. They kept peddling the propaganda that the Supreme Court has outlawed abortion rather than say they pushed the decisions to the states. They claim Trump was going to institute a federal abortion ban whereas his position is as middle as most Americans are on abortion.
I voted for Trump because both major parties continue to deserve him. The Democrats in particular have gone off the rails and begun openly embracing Fascism in the last few years in particular - star-chamber politics, corruption of the legal system to achieve political ends, even Democrat leaders going on record as saying the First Amendment makes "governing by consensus" difficult because it impedes government's ability to declare what is and is not true.
Speaking of fascism, I'm curious how you feel about Trump proposing that parts of the Constitution be terminated. And how about former Trump administration officials, including 4-star generals who worked intimately with him, calling him "fascist"? The cult of personality he has projected ("Only I can fix it")? Fascism scholars (e.g., Jason Stanley) warning about the danger Trump presents? Does this raise any concern for you?
@@paulgreblo3129I laugh when I heard Kamala Harris and democrats playing up some of the generals who served in Trump's government as authorities on Trump. They said he's fascists so they should be believed 100% because it aligns with their own opinion. It is so clear to many that some of Trump's staff were never Trumpers who only worked in his administration as they claim to "resist" or "check" him. Does anyone remember the NYT's opinion article from a resistance in the White House?
The problem of the Obama coalition is that it depends on winning a massive portion of a small group. Small swings against the DNC have a larger effect. A 2 point swing against Trump amongst white voters had a smaller effect of a 2 point swing of black voters against the DNC.
I think it’s interesting that Trump does the best, trump aligned republicans do less good, but non-trump republicans do slightly better. So many mixed signals. What it tells me that for republicans to win, they need the stars to align and have maga voters and non-maga republicans voting at the same time, like in 2024. And even in that case, the down ballot candidates still performed worse than Trump. We have no idea how all these dynamics will play out when Trump is no longer running for president. Low propensity trump voters may no longer have a hero, and democrats may no longer have a punching bag. Turnout will be unpredictable and interesting.
I do get it that people are generally split ticket voters however I still don’t understand is that especially in the red states where many of these very progressive ballot measures come to pass of why they’re still voting for these Republican governors or Republican senators and representatives that may try to block these ballot measures from being implemented ? I mean if this is not an oxymoron I don’t know what is.
As somebody who has done a lot of research on ballot measures and direct democracy (I even wrote a book on it), it has a lot to do with what they prioritize. For instance, just because somebody supports abortion rights doesn't mean it's their top concern when they pull the lever for a candidate.
2024 : TOO BIG TO RIG .. No chance of lock downs / mail-in ballots / Ballot stuffing / Keeping out counting observers ! We knew your game from 2020 and didn't allow you to play the game ! ... RESULTS SPOKE FOR THEMSELVES. 😜🤣
This guy at least comes across as reasonable and somewhat objective, fair-minded. So how does he manage to work with the absolute woke clown show that is the rest of the starring cast over at PMSNBC?!
I don't understand how people 0ike yeu can be proud about being low information voter. Why is willful ignorance something to be proud of in your mind? I don't understand.
And that is obviously because if he lost, there wouldn't be videos from MSNBC staff analyzing why he won (therfore NOBODY would watch this, obviously). Do you yourself even know what you were trying to say?
As someone who does not agree with most of the political positions taken by MSNBC's commentators I have always respected Kornacki. He seems like a pure statistician and researcher, and his information is fact-based rather than colored by his own political positions. We need more like him in the news business these days!
Kornacki is the best. How he can stand being with those nut bags on MSNBC is beyond me.
@@TheTerryE Maybe he agrees with their views overall, but his beliefs are irrelevant, what matters is that he can deliver the data in a fact based way
Yeah I agree he is pretty neutral. And the guy obviously has a lot of insight and knowledge, i’ve always liked his election coverage.
Agree
ditto
As a democrat, i think Trump was not hurt by Roe cause he successfully detached himself from that debate. Crazy as it sounds, Trump was the most moderate on the issue, positionally. I think the most Kamala hammered that abortion fearmongering the more she seemed alienated from the voters priorities, that were, consistenly, the economy and immigration.
💯
Correct Trump repeatedly specifically said he would NOT sign or support a National abortion ban....Boom
It's worse than that: the Mississippi law which was at the center of the matter was ROE-COMPLIANT. Problem is that Roe had been outdated already by Casey, which no one talks about, but which declared that "patient privacy" made any and all "unreasonable" impediments to abortion unlawful without defining "unreasonable". Because Roe was also predicated on the notion of patient privacy, the Supreme Court was forced by the adoption of Casey to directly assess whether such a right existed Constitutionally - that being the holding in Roe AND Casey. The Court found it was not; that privacy is in fact regulated by Congressional laws which routinely allow violations of privacy any time there is a "prevailing interest".
That's why the whole thing was sent back to the States to decide on abortion rights - pro-abortion activists kept pushing until the issue fell off the proverbial cliff.
If you were pro-life, 95% of those people supported trump. Among pro-choice it was split 60/40 for Harris. Trump definitely positioned as a moderate on this issue even if he was responsible for Dobbs
Trump was a Manhattan Democrat. It's no wonder you can't attack Trump from the right. The only attack that could work is from the populist side, but the Democrats are the very definition of the establishment elites and turning more anti-working class.
Steve Kornacki is too good for MSNBC
Steve is good. Why he is on the pos network msnbc is beyond me.
He’s certainly a Democrat just depends on how much of the unhinged shit thats said on MSNBC he agrees with
I'm not a fan of MSNBC but I could listen to this guy talk for hours.
It is so unusual and unexpected to see someone who sounds so reasonable and telling the truth coming from this network. If they are smart, they will show him more, and not let him get away.
As a young Hispanic man who supported Biden, Hillary in the past 2 elections. Trump won me over with his day at McDonald’s making and passing French fries. That was so funny!! Made my year, and my friends all the same
/s?
Being a conservative, its great listening to Steve. He is not bias and just talk about numbers. Example- while talking about trump, he said emotionally delivering message instead if others who say violent rhetoric.
“In the first 6 weeks of the campaign she did not sit for intense interviews.”
True. She also did not sit for softball interviews until about 6 weeks in.
Very good analysis, super objective and data based. Love it.
yes, it is very refreshing.
I like Steve. I'm not a fan of MSNBC but I think he's one of the good ones. 😊
I've a lot of respect for Kornacki. Intelligent and professional, not to mention he really seems like such a decent person. I'm a former Democrat who left the party in 2016.
Steve Kornacki is probably the only person in MSNBC that has no apparent bias against any party. He is a national treasure when it comes to election analysis.
Kornacki is really the only reason to watch MSNBC
Okay, here are the real reasons:
1. Kamala was a DIE (Diversity Inclusion Equity) candidate. Through Ocean Gate and Boeing, and Chicago's "super-mayor", we have learned just how dangerous underqualified candidates can be. Kamala might try to paint herself as a meritorious candidate, but if you look back at the Democrat primaries, she was not even a consideration. In any case, her past support of DIE policies is difficult to backtrack from.
2. She badly squandered the funds that were available to her. If there was any question that she was completely ill-qualified to run the country (c.f. point 1), just look at how she ran her own election campaign, and ended $20M in debt. She refused to do the actual work that was necessary, such as participate in unscripted interviews, and meet the reasonable requests of Joe Rogan.
3. Kamala refuses to back down from her idiotic "wealth tax" that many, many accountants have repeatedly explained is completely impractical.
4. Her other economic policies were either ill-defined, or simply bad. For example, a core component of her "opportunity economy" was student loan forgiveness - an idiotic idea that completely overlooks the graduates who have already paid back their debts (because they studied worthwhile degrees). It was merely a cynical mechanism to transfer wealth from tax-paying blue-collar workers, to people who are privileged enough for the luxury of studying a liberal arts degree.
5. She failed to understand young men, and the concerns that they face. Her "what makes a real man" campaign advertisements were so terrible, they almost straddled the line between reality and satire.
She also had an impossible needle to thread, in that she and Joe Biden utterly blew it in many, many ways that was highly visible to the voters, and then they're asking for more. They drove this nation like it was stolen (hmm), or at least, their handlers did. There simply was not enough smoke and mirrors to cover all that up. The media-democrat complex is ludicrously trying to find all of these peripheral reasons why it turned out this way, as if campaigns are like Rube Goldberg machines, and forgot all about the impact of good old-fashioned governance.
And illegal immigration. A huge issue.
I’ve always appreciated Kornacki’s analysis on polling. He’s pretty sharp.
Always loved his rolled up sleeves. Like he was going to check the oil in the car
Why did Kamala care more about pronouns than she did about the economy?
This one I believe is not as much Kamala’s fault, it’s the fact that her party refuses to distance itself from crazy leftists who vote for democrats. They/she refused to say these people are wrong, we do not agree with them, they do not represent me.
Had she done that, she may have won, maybe
She literally never mentioned pronouns the entire campaign.
@dodobirdfisher4697 she didn't have to. Besides the Trump ads, there were just a ton of vids from 2019 where Harris took some wild positions on woke issues. People have memories. They remember what you said.
she has no positions... she'll spew whatever it takes to get elected. Thank the lord we dodged a bullet and she's gone.
@@stevenkim5688 No body except those with internet brain cared about woke, that's why DeSantis got crushed, he was Mr. Anti-Woke.
People cared about the economy, and people didn't really believe Harris had solutions for the economy
Trump doesn't have solutions either, but he's better at sounding like a populist
Thinking that a guy's crude joke about Puerto Rico would cause droves of Puerto Ricans to change their vote, I think shows contempt for the intelligence and sense of these people. I would also posit that Biden apparently calling Trump supporters garbage cancelled the effect of the garbage comment.
The moderate Democrats and Independent moved to Trump.
The fact that the blue states took away so much freedom during the pandemic caused an exodus to Texas and Florida. As California loses electoral votes, they gain them. Red states are just better to live in. And if you notice, the blue states they leave don't seem to be getting bluer as a result. Having Florida and Ohio out of play makes for a brutal electoral map for democrats at the national level, and they don't have any easy answers.
With 1-2 percent further swing, there would no longer be competitive electoral college races. This has happened 3 times in US history, and normally leads to a 3rd party taking over as people quit voting for "the always a bridesmaid" party. Both the DNC and RNC were one of those in their own times. In the much wider electoral world we face now, it is actually more likely we will wind up in a multi-party world as a percent will stay with the DNC, others will join the greens, and others will spread to smaller parties like the libertairians.
Well said. And have a look at the projected 2030 census map. Not good for the Democrats.
Increased oil and gas drilling in Texas, Pennsylvania, North Dakota, and Ohio will further move these states to the right as more citizens'' livelihoods depend on it. The median age for Pennsylvania and Michigan are in the top 15 of the U.S. and not likely to make a liberal turn without an exceptional candidate. BTW, how is that Democrat bench?
And in the 2030s, for a Republican to win the presidency, there is a good chance that the Republican does not need to win at least one Great Lake state (Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania) to win. Because in 2024 in 2028, if the Republican won North Carolina, Georgia, and Arizona, they would just need to win one of the three Great Lakes states, either Wisconsin, Michigan, or Pennsylvania to win the election
Yeah and look at how many deaths in all of those Red States during Covid . I mean no point arguing with Trump voters you guys can enjoy him for the next 4 years or so but don’t you ever come to the blue states you’re not welcome here. This is why Red States are pretty much gonna be absolutely miserable and destroyed if there’s anything bad happens red states only have one working industry while blue states got plenty. Just look at California it has showbiz, tech jobs, renewable energy and maybe even agriculture now compare that to Florida. Florida is practically powered only by Disney, if Disney close its theme parks then that’s it for Florida. Well maybe they can turn Mar a Lago to be an attraction considering it is a literal circus over there 😂😂😂😂
Democrat scolds are a big turnoff. I was talking quietly with a friend in a New Jersey state park, when a woman came up to us and said we can't have that conversation there. She told US to leave, because SHE was eavesdropping and didn't agree with us! I laughed at her and said that if she was going to eavesdrop on private conversations she should expect to hear things she didn't like. Neither of us were shouting, or wearing Trump gear, but she felt she had the right to tell us off! I have been on the reverse side of that at least 100 times, and never said a word to the speakers. But then, I respect other people and that Democrat clearly didn't!
Not that I think that woman (or anybody who acts like that, for that matter) was justified, but if that's the reason people don't vote Dem (because some rando in the park pissed them off), then they were never on the Dem side.
@@AlexKawa20 True, but it pisses me off when they try to claim the moral high ground when they act like that.
@@AlexKawa20it is enough reason when such behaviour is prevalent and actually celebrated among them.
Remember the D congress woman who told people to get in the faces of Trump supporters anywhere they find them, in the restaurant, in public places and make them unwelcome.
A party like that should not be given power because this attitude reflects exactly how they are going to govern.
Which party is the party of democracy, again?
The winning message: "Everything woke turns to shit." - President Trump
I am a Bernie supporter who voted for Trump this time
Thank you! You’re a smart person.
Same.
A question: Does Bernie have similar motives like Trump?
@MuhammadIbrahimWaqarboth Bernie and Trump are populists, so it is no surprise that some Bernie supporters voted for Trump.
What made you do so? Bernie and Trump are diametrically opposed on almost all the issues.
Excellent analysis
Steve is the best.
Why must people always start by saying, "As a hispanic, as a person of colour". Why never as an american?
Cause an American only means that you are a a US citizen
There is no single US culture
To persuade those on the left or to counter the narrative that their position is only held by white people.
I can't speak with certainly, but maybe in this particular situation, people may say that as a way to show that they did not vote the way one would assume they voted if looking solely at their race ,ethnicity, gender,ect
It's refreshing that Kornacki doesn't feel compelled to spew the MSNBC propaganda lines and just deliver the facts. Hopefully he doesn't get in trouble for this video ... lol
Doesn't the taller candidate usually win? Trump is a lot, and I mean a lot, taller than Kamala.
You're thinking women's selection preference in men. Yes, the tall guy wins every time. Elections? There are some exceptions. There is actually a wikipedia article about it.
Looking at what the RNC did in a few months, tells me that the RNC was poorly run in 2022.
The Dems caring more about illegals really shocked me. As a legal Mexican-American, I had to support Trump's America First agenda. But on the topic of polls, I think all of them are a disgrace except Polymarket which really reflected the voter sentiment and the true degree by which Trump was ahead of Kamala. Never again will biased pollsters have my ear, even for 1 minute.
This is sad to say but I think Trump is a bigger phenomenon than people give him credit for.
One thing that may have had a bigger difference for women voters between 2020 and 2024. In 2024 they probably were only counting the women who voted democrat who were still alive, and voted just once.
Great analysis 👍
Very good points raised by Steve here, specifically on abortion at the beginning of the video and the divide in how people vote based on their gender. Trump won at the national level because he can have checks and balances placed on him by the Senate and the House - abortion, even in 2022, post-Dobbs, only cost Trump-aligned candidates their races, the Governor's races where Republicans comfortably won had popular views on abortion that aligned with their states.
I think the issue is that MAGA voters only like Trump himself, and aren't willing to vote for anybody who they perceive as copycats. In my opinion, that's why Trump-aligned candidates did poorly in 2022, and why Trump outperformed almost all of his aligned candidates in 2024. Because why take the copy when you can have the original?
The GOP is not willing to follow Trumps politics. This is why down ballot losses occurred.
I became a Republican in 1996.
For the 1st time I did not🗳️FOR THE GOP HOUSE CANDIDATE. I left Blank Issa in Ca 48. I told him & leadership they would lose me over NOT BACKING TRUMP. Next time with Mike Johnson’s leadership again I could🗳️ AGAINST ISSA & vote Democrat if Johnson Runs the house via Democrat votes in protest.
This is a remarkably informative presentation with great, simple, and, therefore, memorable charts.
All hail Kornac the Magnificent!
Great analysis
his abortion read for 2024 seems right - I was thinking the same thing regarding abortion and its impact....I'm no professional, but it just didn't feel like the movement being pushed by the democratic party was really going to make that big of an impact....abortion is still legal but varies from state to state - so it's just not what they were saying or pushing.
They got entrapped in their own deceit. They kept peddling the propaganda that the Supreme Court has outlawed abortion rather than say they pushed the decisions to the states. They claim Trump was going to institute a federal abortion ban whereas his position is as middle as most Americans are on abortion.
"How it happened"? If Kamala had won whould he have used that wording? Would he be trying to analyze how she won? I think not.
Don't like CNN. But, I like Steve.
I have never been a Democrat in 68 years. I am working class and I never liked Carter or any democrat.
Steve you are the goat. the goat
Acknowledging the 2016 and 2024 elections happened is the first step away from cognitive dissonance.
I voted for Trump because both major parties continue to deserve him. The Democrats in particular have gone off the rails and begun openly embracing Fascism in the last few years in particular - star-chamber politics, corruption of the legal system to achieve political ends, even Democrat leaders going on record as saying the First Amendment makes "governing by consensus" difficult because it impedes government's ability to declare what is and is not true.
Speaking of fascism, I'm curious how you feel about Trump proposing that parts of the Constitution be terminated. And how about former Trump administration officials, including 4-star generals who worked intimately with him, calling him "fascist"? The cult of personality he has projected ("Only I can fix it")? Fascism scholars (e.g., Jason Stanley) warning about the danger Trump presents? Does this raise any concern for you?
@@paulgreblo3129okay both sides are fascist. Its time to cancel politics.
@@paulgreblo3129I laugh when I heard Kamala Harris and democrats playing up some of the generals who served in Trump's government as authorities on Trump. They said he's fascists so they should be believed 100% because it aligns with their own opinion.
It is so clear to many that some of Trump's staff were never Trumpers who only worked in his administration as they claim to "resist" or "check" him. Does anyone remember the NYT's opinion article from a resistance in the White House?
And in other words...when people got reminded about Kamala and once again saw her...they disliked her.
The problem of the Obama coalition is that it depends on winning a massive portion of a small group. Small swings against the DNC have a larger effect. A 2 point swing against Trump amongst white voters had a smaller effect of a 2 point swing of black voters against the DNC.
I think it’s interesting that Trump does the best, trump aligned republicans do less good, but non-trump republicans do slightly better. So many mixed signals. What it tells me that for republicans to win, they need the stars to align and have maga voters and non-maga republicans voting at the same time, like in 2024. And even in that case, the down ballot candidates still performed worse than Trump. We have no idea how all these dynamics will play out when Trump is no longer running for president. Low propensity trump voters may no longer have a hero, and democrats may no longer have a punching bag. Turnout will be unpredictable and interesting.
Wow men actually are allowed to vote and have a voice. Also...Kornacki is a great analyst.
Hey look, it's "Kansas Kansas" Kornacki
steve is a stand up dude
He could probably make a good chunk of change as a political consultant.
So did we actually figure out how to pronounce her name?
At this point what difference does it make??? LOL
I ended up just using her last name.
@@johnahearn7964 rofl
Logical?? Wrong!!
11/5/24 Historic
I do get it that people are generally split ticket voters however I still don’t understand is that especially in the red states where many of these very progressive ballot measures come to pass of why they’re still voting for these Republican governors or Republican senators and representatives that may try to block these ballot measures from being implemented ? I mean if this is not an oxymoron I don’t know what is.
As somebody who has done a lot of research on ballot measures and direct democracy (I even wrote a book on it), it has a lot to do with what they prioritize. For instance, just because somebody supports abortion rights doesn't mean it's their top concern when they pull the lever for a candidate.
Propagandist said what?
2024 : TOO BIG TO RIG .. No chance of lock downs / mail-in ballots / Ballot stuffing / Keeping out counting observers ! We knew your game from 2020 and didn't allow you to play the game ! ... RESULTS SPOKE FOR THEMSELVES. 😜🤣
The analysis here is skewed by the disappearing 16M voters in 2024 but disappeared in 2024.
The dead voted in 2020, but not this time😂.
This guy at least comes across as reasonable and somewhat objective, fair-minded. So how does he manage to work with the absolute woke clown show that is the rest of the starring cast over at PMSNBC?!
Sorry but I don't trust any of these polls😂
Missed
Women were coming out in great numbers.... Yes they came and voted for Trump 😂
9:38 Like the running back Herschel Walker?
Yes.
Yep
😂😂😂😂😂
This guy is so boring.
I don't understand how people 0ike yeu can be proud about being low information voter. Why is willful ignorance something to be proud of in your mind? I don't understand.
@@awesomeferret I'm just saying he's not an engaging speaker.
Who cares? He is there to give important information and insights, not to entertain.
@ being able to hold people’s attention when conveying important information is extremely necessary. Like Jordan Peterson.
Listening to a Democrat give his take on the election..is kinda..mmm
Everything he's saying, Richard Baris or Trafalgar or RCP would say too.
If Trump lost, all the positive comments would be insults or non existent because those people would not watch this.
And that is obviously because if he lost, there wouldn't be videos from MSNBC staff analyzing why he won (therfore NOBODY would watch this, obviously). Do you yourself even know what you were trying to say?
Boring!