Capping the Card - Saratoga Saturday: Travers Day with David Aragona
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 11 ก.ย. 2024
- Capping the Card - Saratoga Saturday: Travers Day with David Aragona
Make sure to play on NYRA Bets at racing.nyrabet...
NYRA Bets handicapper Matthew DeSantis is joined by David Aragona, who is the morning line maker for NYRA and also works for Daily Racing Form, as the two discuss Saturday's Saratoga card highlighted by the Grade 1 Travers Stakes pitting top 3-year-old filly Thorpedo Anna against the best three-year-old colts in the country.
Listen to Matthew and David go race-by-race through Saturday's entire card that features a total of FIVE Grade 1 races while giving you their best plays and longshot options in each race in order to connect you to winners and great prices.
#horseracing #horseracingtips #betting
Who is your best bet on the 14-race Travers Day card? Is there a favorite you're eager to fade? Let us know in the comments.
Great insight
2nd Main Beach 8-1,
3rd Debate 8-1,
7th Shot in the dark
13th Thorpedo
She can be placed anywhere in the race, Thoropedo will get first run..
Just sharing my value plays. Race 2: 6&8. Race 6: 3&8. Race 7: 4-5-10. Race 10: 7. Race 12: 1-3-6. Race 14: 1-4
Mornin'. 🌞 Did everyone note that the only filly ( "Caitlinhergrtness") entered in the "King's Plate" at Woodbine upset the apple cart yesterday?
I'm with Paul Lo Duca. Thorpedo Anna is the most versatile, most consistent runner in this race. Me: time-and-time again, these horses prove that there's much more to this sport than speed. I think the lass is smarter than all the lads, besides the fact that we've never seen her top speed, or the bottom of her fuel tank.
Fierceness 'might' win... if the gate crew gives him a peppermint just before the gate opens.😏
Interesting trivia: Watching an equine vet/dentist working on sedated horses ... the vet's assistant laughed, and noted that the difference between the males and females is that the females still have some responsiveness under sedation (seen in the eyes), but for males, she said, "there's just nothing there." 😂
Best bet is Thorpedo Anna i think she is special, i believe they are going to send her from the rail and she will take them all the way
Y'all did a great job on the card!! Good content
Luis Saez is the name of the day
I think the last races took a lot out of him .
david you make the morning line and set 7/2 but in the podcast you say well you prob get 5/2 can you explain yourself on that?
Want to speak for David, but I will say for cards like Saturday he is often asked to produce the morning lines very quickly, and I think he does fantastic job, but there are occasionally races where his opinion changes a little bit from the time he sets the morning line to the race based upon More information that gets added throughout the week. There is also the issue of the horse being cross entered.
Why do you handicappers pick mostly favorites? A Note: If 100 races with favorites run their % of winning is around 33% but non-favorites is around 67%! A little "lopsided" wouldn't you say!
It's a great point! Matthew's Track Stats analyze this as well. For Saratoga favorites have only won 31% of races. But over 67% of winners have been 4/1 or lower, so while picking favorites across the board is a bad idea, generally finding a second or third choice is a viable alternative. There is a constant tug-of-war between trying to pick the highest percentage of winners vs. the best ROI by finding big longshots.
So sad to the public knowing you two getting paid for this.
Apologies for my top picks returning $2.12 ROI for the day and for the $23.60 value play winner.