Democrats Did the Right Thing: Lichtman on Harris
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 18 ต.ค. 2024
- Allan Lichtman, American University History Professor, states that the Democrats did absolutely the right thing by uniting behind Vice President Harris, and shares his insights on whether or not the person she chooses as her running mate will be important to persuade voters. Litchman speaks with Kailey Leinz and Joe Mathieu on Bloomberg's "Balance of Power."
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Curtis, 57, retired Navy ad life long Reagan republican.. voting HARRIS.
I am a never Trumper, and can't get behind a depraved pathological liar.
If the GOP reverts to values and people like McCain or Romney.. I'll give it another look.
We need more people like you, great respect for you sir.
Bravo!
My husband is the same. He’s also voting for Harris 🇺🇸
Immense respect for you for standing up against the misogynistic, xenophobic party. I’m a hardcore Democrat but would vote for Liz Cheney, the only honest Republican. People need to put country first before their parties. Republican Party has been hijacked by morally repugnant 🤢 people like their leader. Still trying to understand how a rapist/convicted felon can run for president? No body wants to hire a convict for any job then why would you trust him to run the country?
I can't believe I’m saying this. But we need more of Republican like you. Country first before a king wana be. Policies can be changed, but once democracy is weakened, it is very dangerous to our republic! I wish more would follow the leads of Liz Cheney and Adam Kinzinger. The US needs more than one healthy political party!
I'm going to vote for the candidate that's NOT a rapist.
And not a criminal 😂
who is that?
yes, it,s better to vote for someone who make a way to the top by sleeping with everybody.
@@chrischoir3594 😂😂😂
Cricket and mental health Asylum 😂
I hope he is right. America needs to look forward and not backward.
The GOP needs to sort itself out.
Republicans need to throw Trump out along with his loyalists and get back to the fundamentals. The modern Republican Party is now the Trump Party. The True Republicans WILL vote for Harris because they know that the nation's soul is at stake. The Trump Party will undeniably pledge fealty to Trump. They are deeply enchanted by him.
What rock do you live under?
@@flipw3605 right 👍🥳
@@bps7209 can you clarify your cryptic claim to clear-eyed view?
How does the GOP 'sort itself out'? It doesn't exist . It's Trump's own party now.
I am a law and order guy myself, so if my choice is between a prosecutor and a convicted felon, I'm voting for the prosecutor.
She upholds law & order, and he breaks it.
@@vanadyan1674 🤡
The way he was charged was not legal and it will be overturned. Nothing but politics involved in that case. Those in glass houses shouldn't throw stones. This administration has done so many dishonest things and they will come to light just like covering up Biden's competency issues and now they want to talk about monitoring the ethics of everyone else. They need to take a look at themselves. It's all one big distraction. Intelligent people can see through their smoke and mirrors.
@@vanadyan1674 agreed 👍
Your logic is retarded.
I was so honored to be part of the answer the call white women. Zoom kept crashing, but it was exciting and the speakers were exciting and I am in my family is excited about the turn of events. Please don’t get me wrong. We love President Biden, and we honor and respect that he stepped aside and put the nation first it could not have been easy to do but I’m so grateful he did and it was the right thing to do.
Biden did not step aside - he was forced out.
He would not have done it if they gave him a pass but his problems were too obvious. I am more angered that he was hidden in a basement in the last election so we didn't know his issues back then.
I’m so very proud of the Democrat party. I’m proud to be a supporter. I voted for Reagan in 1980, and I’m still regretting that vote. I’ve not regretted any since.
It's the Democratic Party. Members, supporters are Democrats. Please get it right. Calling it the Democrat Party is a Republican slur, insult. Don't play their game they are MAG-Its.
I was proud to be a Democrat for 40 years until the last 4 years of unnecessary shut downs, censorship, mandates, undeclared wars, border incompetence, an unparralled inflation of 30% and 138%mortgage and insurance rate increase. Healthcare is unaffordable and no one is addressing the forever chemicals in water and soils causing a chronic diseases rate of 60%.
Time to go Independent because Kamala is Trump on steroids and I don't want more of the same. Robert F Kennedy/Nicole Shanahan 2024. and get back our democracy and save our kids from carrying the huge debts of the last 3 administrations.
@@AdrianMunch You just became one of my favorite people.
The stupidest vote I ever cast was for Ron Paul in the primary in 2012. Regret giving a conspiracy monger a vote.
Okay. I forgive you.
“The first party to retire it’s eighty year old candidate. Is going to be the party that wins the election.” Nikki Haley
"I don't need your vote." -Donald Trump speaking to Haley supporters.
"Screw Nikki Haley. We don't need her endorsement." -Steve Bannon, Trump advisor
Republicans MUST take out Trump from the race and put a new candidate or they will loose... 100%
I think Nikki Haley is going to be see as
Haley and her supporters are losers 😂
Nikki is already backpedaling . . . as usual.
I'm a convicted felon, i was wrong i leaned,i wouldn't vote for myself i lost that right that's the consequences so I wouldn't vote for a felon, BIG NO.
In a rigged trial. A Dem jugde and donor, Dem jury, a proven multiple liar and thief and ethically corrupted main witness who's sworn to bring D.T. into jail.
@@elrenoadairyou must of been a con artist. You’re not fooling anyone.
you mean trumped up charges from a misdemeanor legal expense for the sole purpose of election interference
But when you die, you will vote for democrats twice!
Aka it upset you @@BruceLee-rh2is
I'll donate $100 a month to Kamala and started last month.
We all do🎉😊
Thank you! I am not able to do that much but I am grateful to you for doing it!!! We are the grassroots supporters. Gotta get people to realize their vote is gold!!!
That’s awesome! I wish I could
@@redbarchetta8782 If I was the wealthiest man in the world I would give her campaign 46 million a month. I'm actually jealous and sure wish I could afford to donate $100
No worries…your vote for Kamala Harris PRICELESS! Thank you so much💙💙💙
Centrist here. NEVER VOTING FOR TRUMP.
Thank you, and now you have contributed to voting for someone else in future elections. We are in this together, but the primary goal? Not dem, not independent, not republican. Our country, and its ideals. those are what we vote for, so thank you.
I hope you reap what you sow and can’t afford food or anything:)
Save America. TRUMP2024
Ty 🎉
Trump 2024
I don't trust polls, but I do trust data. I especially trust Dr. Lichtman's methodology and respect his tremendous knowledge and skills.
Polls are data.
Agreed. I love that they made up some terms - "Double-Haters" and "Persuade-ables". And now because they made up these terms, they act like they're real things. I'm sure there is some truth there, but giving something a name does not mean you understand or control, or can accurately measure it.
Alan Lichtman was one of the most vocal Biden dead enders!!! lol. i was laughing this whole interview watching him eat humble pie.
@@DonaldPrizwan The guy was worried about a nomination fight after Biden dropped out. That clearly did not happen. The Democrats are unified around Harris.
@@DonaldPrizwan Yep. I'd guess He should be an independent, but he clearly fell into democrats basket this time.
Kamala 2024 💙💙🇺🇸
Tramp 2024
You won't say that if terrorists get hold of you.
@jolantalipka837
You really want a criminal in the white house when you van get a lawyer instead?
Trump is toast. And it’s going to be so fun to watch.
Bingo!
You're in for a huge shock mate.
I can't wait either for the shellacing that's coming to the right ! This is gonna be a very bitter pill for dumpster and maga . 🎉
I hope so, but we can't underestimate him, and the Democrats have to stay focused and continue to remain united behind Harris. We can't afford to make the same mistakes that we made back in 2016!! Trump is a threat, and it's a threat we need to take seriously!!
@afranks8566 Harris is another threat to our livelihoods. Food,vehicles and houses 3 to 4 times more due to democrats policy's. War everywhere. They failed, you want more of that? For real?
Let's gooooo!!! Vote blue all the way and spread the word. Register to vote and again.. vote blue!!
Spread the word? Yeah, like how Harris spread her legs for Mayor Willie Brown. Disgusting. She slept her way into politics. A horrible role model for women. Trump is garbage, and that’s the only thing she has going for her. The Dems too afraid to actually have a primary. So undemocratic. Horrible. Whatever happened to … you know… VOTING? Like, letting the VOTERS decide who gets to be the Democratic Party candidate?
Brainwashed 🤦🏼♀️
@@isaacmarroquin2586 no. why would I?
bot.
yup, nope. America would crumble with kamala. close the border, BTW
I was very worried about Biden backing out because of Lichtman. I am very relieved that he thinks Dems still can win.
Lichtman is a con artist.
Dude... you gotta stop worshipping him.
@@chesscomsupport8689 Especially when he was telling everyone who would listen that they should keep Joe and that they would lose if not. Now they "did the right thing?"
Why? He always said that if Biden is replaced with Harris, then little changes for the chances of democrats, but if Biden was to be replaced by anyone else, then they would lose.
@@tam653m Exactly.
I am voting for 💕♎️Kamala Harris, 2024 for 🙏🕊️🇺🇸President United States, and all blue💙
Thank you, Professor Lichtman. Tonight, for the first time in months, I can get a good night's sleep.
Sorry to give you a bad night of sleep but Lichtman has been wrong many times. Check out 2000 when he was predicting 3 wins in a row for Democrats. Check out 2016 when he said Trump would win the popular vote.
Then when you wake up you’ll be in Venezuela or in WW3.
@@malirk That was due to the SCOTUS. And predicted the trump win. Thats an anomaly because losing the popular vote 2nd time wasn't precented. It shows the EC is not working as intended and we need to move to the Pop vote system.
You need to look at the aggregate of the polls. Trump is way ahead of Harris is truly terrible. Lichtman keys are being ignored even by himself.
seems like this interviewer lacks basic listening comprehension abilities if he genuinely believes Harris was calling "half the country" weird. That's obviously not what she said. I don't even know how you get that from what she said? what kind of a question was that?
Walz called Trump and Vance weird. That's what started it. It could also be a clue who the VP pick is going to be.
Yeah, that was weird…
I think it's intentional. He knows that is not what Harris said, but he wants that to be the narrative.
Oh he can listen. He's just Republican. Like ALL media.
Forgive the reporter...he's a weirdo.
Yeah, a lot is going wrong. For trump, i mean
Well yea, now. 9 days ago not so much, I just hope things continue on this trajectory. Everyone who can, volunteer to make calls or if you're up to it go knock on doors for the Harris campaign. If you can't do that then please donate so that others are empowered to do that in your place, if you have the finances to do so.
@dccprime1 Trump's only been scaring people b/c he has his brain-dead neo-nazi wannabes everywhere. Which begs the question: what if Kamala had a huge support base of her own?
For a delicious apple pie, start by preheating your oven to 425°F (220°C). In a large bowl, mix 6 to 8 peeled, cored, and sliced apples (Granny Smith and Honeycrisp are great choices) with 3/4 cup sugar, 1 teaspoon cinnamon, 1/4 teaspoon nutmeg, 2 tablespoons lemon juice, and 2 tablespoons flour. Roll out one pie crust and place it in a 9-inch pie dish, then fill it with the apple mixture. Dot with butter, then cover with a second crt, seal and cut slits for steam. Bake for 15 minutes, then reduce the temperature to 350°F (175°C) and bake for 35-45 minutes until golden brown and bubbly. Let it cool before serving for the best flavor! Trump 2024!
I'm an Independent Christian voter and I am definitely voting for Harris in November 2024!
Me too.
As a Christian, you would support a candidate that is "all in" on killing babies?
PRESIDENT HARRIS ! SOUNDS GOOD TO AMERICA !!!
Ada Aqua?😂😂😂
Hahag
Rubbish unpatriotic dulls for turn off coldwar
Takebeer
Ha?😂😂
Udah pagi, anjeeeng
Harris will probably play it fairly safe in choosing a VP. Doesn't want to take the negative attention away from Vance.
@@ronaldgarrison8478 And the Dem VP bench is deep, she has a lot to choose from.
Yeah, and that bench has a lot of good options
Tim Walz is the best imo
She has to choose gov shapiro coz the people in his state love him.and 65percent promised to vote for harris even republican.
@@idontuploadanym0resay shapiro that is my thought.but give me a reason why you say so.may be you know more
we love Lichtman. truth is powerful. thank you Allan
Lichtman has been wrong multiple times. In 2000 he was predicting 3 wins in a row by the Democrats. In 2016 he said Trump would win the popular vote. He doesn't mention these and articles were even edited to remove the mention of Trump winning the popular vote.
hes a nut case
I always follow this man regarding U.S. election over everything.
Three weeks ago he predicted it would be "folly" to replace Biden.
The interviewer tried to throw shade on Kamala, but Lichtman wasn't having. The interviewer was being a bit deplorable.
Well that was mean....calling that WEIRDO deplorable :) 💙💙Harris 2024
Litchman is the biggest con artist on the air right now. Just 2 weeks ago, he said getting rid of Biden was the wrong choice and would lead to Trumps victory. Now he's saying this was smart?
Exactly. No on is polling Gen Z, and they are energized!
@@cherylgrundy3562exactly they don’t have landlines and don’t answer unknown calls.
The host is guilty of being partisan. Kamala didn’t call these voters weird. Bloomberg needs to offer a retraction on such unprofessionalism.
Kamala 💙💙💙🇺🇸💙💙💙🇺🇸
Great enthusiasm for Kamala Harris. It has just started. Very excited for a good future. Keep the momentum going and growing. Cheers!
Kamala 2024!!
I think Kamala has suck the oxygen out of the room for RFK Jr.
@@KTPurdy hopefully
For Democrats, probably. However, I know of at least one Republican who no longer likes Trump that now wants to vote for RFK Jr.
Yes I agree
Trump also removes all the oxygen in the room, he replaces it with methane.
Nowhere close. She will win in hyena competition😊
He knows his stuff and Kamala is headed for the White House.
Janey, no he doesn't. Go through his previous interviews about replacing Joe Biden. He said it would be a massive mistake and democrats have no spine. And it would cost them dearly.. Now you have this interview. Which Alan is here?
For a delicious apple pie, start by preheating your oven to 425°F (220°C). In a large bowl, mix 6 to 8 peeled, cored, and sliced apples (Granny Smith and Honeycrisp are great choices) with 3/4 cup sugar, 1 teaspoon cinnamon, 1/4 teaspoon nutmeg, 2 tablespoons lemon juice, and 2 tablespoons flour. Roll out one pie crust and place it in a 9-inch pie dish, then fill it with the apple mixture. Dot with butter, then cover with a second crt, seal and cut slits for steam. Bake for 15 minutes, then reduce the temperature to 350°F (175°C) and bake for 35-45 minutes until golden brown and bubbly. Let it cool before serving for the best flavor! Trump 2024!
You are absolutely awesome professor Lichtman!
I’m EXCITED to VOTE for KAMALA! 💙💙💙💙
For those of us around 16 years ago, this looks a LOT like 2008.
This has been my take exactly. It has that same electric vibe...loving it!
I’ve been saying this. It feels so hopeful and exciting
@@vanessajazp6341 for sure !!
Interesting that Barack Obama doesn't think she can win
@@timothykozlowski2945 Which is why he endorsed her, right?
smh....
GODSPEED, KAMALA! 🇺🇸💙
Vote Harris-Trump is too old and angry
Americans are sick of old leaders ❤
@@JamesCalabrese930 😅
Hoe’s for Harris 🏳️🌈😈
Shes to dumb.
Harris is ignorant.
Wow, these reporters are idiots. They have no clue what Lichtman is about. They ask generic questions that they ask to all pundits.
@@guitarslim56 agreed
Licthman is about not telling you his prediction errors.
2000: Predicts 3 wins in a row by Democrats
2016: Predicts Trump will win the popular vote
Lichtman has been wrong multiple times.
@@malirk could be, but even then it's better than polls and any system you may have
@@malirkSorry, you are incorrect.
@@onpointconsulting5104 I am factually correct.
*Historian Predicts Donald J Trump to win 2016 Election:* He says Trump will win the popular vote. The article was edited to say he predicts Trump will win.
Please keep reporting the truth! 💙💙💙🇺🇸💙🇺🇸💙💙
I’m absolutely terrified of a Trump victory. I’m voting Harris because WE ARE NOT GOING BACKWARDS!!!! 🇺🇸💙💙💙🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸💙
I am too, and I don't even live in the US. I want the best for you guys, and I know Trump sure as hell ain't that
Love this
Donate if you can, and encourage everyone you know to register and vote.
Trump will be in your nightmares.
Where do you think you are going now with 3.6 years of Harris as VP?Cost of living at home,unfettered immigration through the border,on the verge of WW3. Are you happy with that?
I’m glad the media is paying attention to Litchman’s keys.
Harris 2024 ❤🇺🇸
It's out of desperation
Hoe’s for Harris 🏳️🌈😈
@@timothykozlowski2945 Desperation?...a state of despair, typically results in extreme or rash behavior. Republicans were hammering on Old Joe about stammering and stumbling, now WE made the right decision now the Right is discombobulated, the Left raised 300 MILLION in 8 days, who's running scared now? you could have gotten rid of that old dementia ridden fool , now you will lose.
I prefer historians to pundits. Big Picture and more data. Everyone forgets the wrong pundits. Facts matter.
JD Vance watched Handmaid's Tale, and was like, yeah, that's the America I want. Freak.
"The Handmaid's Tale" is laid out in the conservative handbook Project 2025, and if JDP could read, he would endorse it.
And you looked at Venezuela and said that’s the America I want. 🤡
Kaligula watched monkeypox and bounced on every dick
@@socalmotionYT The dictator of Venezuela is similar to Trump and is very concerning.
@@James-rc7ho Yup. Trump wants to enrich himself and his friends while saying he's helping the common man--just like Venezuela.
The stronger the insulting language to K. Harris the more desperate the insulting party and the weaker the impact of the insult.
Trump is toast.
Grandpa Don is done!
Time to pay fines and jail time Donnie.
Put the champagne 🍾 on ice ! 🎉
@@c4real69 Get your party hats and hang up the streamers!
For a delicious apple pie, start by preheating your oven to 425°F (220°C). In a large bowl, mix 6 to 8 peeled, cored, and sliced apples (Granny Smith and Honeycrisp are great choices) with 3/4 cup sugar, 1 teaspoon cinnamon, 1/4 teaspoon nutmeg, 2 tablespoons lemon juice, and 2 tablespoons flour. Roll out one pie crust and place it in a 9-inch pie dish, then fill it with the apple mixture. Dot with butter, then cover with a second crt, seal and cut slits for steam. Bake for 15 minutes, then reduce the temperature to 350°F (175°C) and bake for 35-45 minutes until golden brown and bubbly. Let it cool before serving for the best flavor! Trump 2024!
I would love to see her and Pete as VP.
America not ready for a gay VP
@@kevien At least he isn't WEIRD
@@kevienThat sounds like a talking everyone's been using since the VP stacks came up.
Me too but let's be honest, this nation isn't ready for that yet. But I think we are slowly heading there . As long as it's not a Russian I think we're good 😂
Love Allan Lichtman- great historian, authority professor
They did the right thing by uniting behind Kamala and not having an open contest. Not by replacing Biden
They want run with Kamala.I'll give her 3 more weeks.She is not up to it.
Say on.....facts! 💙
Seriously? They broke the old guy - old guy hopelessness.
@@ralph8858 That they did. politically. But he was and is a great president. Shocked the H_ell outta me. I didn't expect him to be as capable, as innovative, as he was/is. I just wanted to save democracy, as clearly trump wasn't going to do that. Now we know trump is actively trying to destroy it.
@@blauewaffel1469
Let's start by being entirely factually honest.
Biden was on a chessboard, while Pelosi was playing checkers.
Public support for Biden was crucial.
Pelosi clearly *did not want Harris*
President Biden, navigating the long knives, placed the *democratic party establishment* and *donor class* in a position where they would need to follow his leadership in endorsing Kamala Harris.
a 2024 ticket without Harris indeed would be catastrophic.
Register 5 family & friends - Vote 💙 up and down ballot
The "Double Haters" are actually breaking her way.
Not me. I’m voting RFK. And nearly all of the double haters I know are doing the same.
I have voted in every election since I could vote, I'm 68. I was going to sit this one out because I could not vote for either white guy. Now that we have a different choice, a woman of deep experience and good smarts, a person of color and great sense of humor, finally, I feel hope, I feel joy, I feel I want to vote. And I will. For Harris.
You like illegals murdering innocent Americans? You like losing your constitutional rights? Odd.
All your comment really says is that your voting based on gender and race.
@Itseasierthanwemakeit no I vote for America. I vote to uphold our constitutional rights. Our freedoms and safe borders. Dems want to take all of this away from you. I also vote for anything other than socialism. Harris is a socialist. The country is going to sh!t quick after the biden harris admin. I dont vote based on gender or race. I'm not racist. It's policies I vote for. Nice try though.
@Itseasierthanwemakeit "I can't vote for white guys. But now that there is a black woman running, I'm going to vote for her."
That's not how you vote for the U.S. President. It's not based on race or gender. It's based on who would be best to be commander in chief. This is the dumbest bs I've ever heard. No wonder our country is so messed up. Dumb voters.
@Itseasierthanwemakeit what a dum bass way to vote for the U.S. President.
as a young person, Biden did lose my vote (was probably going to vote for Jill Stein or Cornell West). but i’m all in for Kamala. i’d much rather vote for someone like Michelle Obama, but there was little to no chance of her running anyway.
I would've voted for Hillary AGAIN. She deserves a do-over. She won the popular vote & tRump cheated!
Those would be wasted votes, and Trump would definitely get back in. Biden is a great President. He did a lot of good things for the people. Research before you just throw your hands up and just gamble. There's a lot at stack here.
Allan Lichtman has a great system and has so many interesting insights.
We have 200 million now, but “white dudes for Harris” zoom call is happening right now, so you’ll probably be able to almost double that..
Nah.. It'll have a few million more though.
Oh, great!
The white dudes did OK. The white women did quite a bit better. We are on the same team so great. And it has only been a little over a week,.
Big online event for Harris at 7:15 on Tuesday July 30.
Hilarious title
Yea let’s vote for her because she’s a woman and shes Indian . Not because she has good policies
She is going to win❤❤❤❤
If that's not a rug, he needs a new stylist. Oh, and..VOTE BLUE!!!
This was the guy who was telling us the democrats should not replace biden, and now he's out here saying this. no credibility with this lichtman character
Ignore the polls.. this is the man to listen to.
This is the same guy that last week was saying the Democrats should stick with Biden according to his method of predicting.
Didn't this guy say that Dems definitely shouldn't drop Biden?
Yep. PR for book sales or as many 15 minutes as he can get
This guy is still being invited to talk about this after shouting on every roof top that removing Biden would be disastrous?! What a joke!
@@AtebaE.Lionel it would have been disastrous…if the Dems had not united around another candidate, like they did with Kamala Harris. So, sorry BOT. You’re fired!
@@namehereandthere He's talking about Lichtman. Why are we still seeing him continue with book sales PR?
I listen to Mr. Lichtman on a previous interview When Biden was under pressure to step down and he talked about his 13 steps and what a mistake it would be to have him step down. But I don’t think it’s been a mistake for sure and so I’m glad he’s on board.
Lichtman said that the Dems would lose the incumbency key if Biden stepped down which was important but not necessarily a fatal blow.
A week ago dems were falling apart, and now scraped up Kamala just in hopes to defeat Trump. Trump win is a no brainer his wig should even see 😅
RFK's whole point was Old Biden. Now Old Biden's gone, there is no point. Weigel has reported that RFK was angling for Trump's VP - whoops.
Harris does better with RFK in the race.
@classiclife7204 Yeah I noticed the third-party key went from leans true to likely true on the tracker after Biden dropped out. You're right
“We are NOT going back “!!!!!!
VOTE 🗽🇺🇸🗳️💙🗽
I'm voting for Kamala. I live in Texas and even though Texas will likely go red I'm hoping my suburban bellwether county flips blue in November.
Spot on! Alan
DEMOCRACY matters 💯 GoKamala 🇺🇸 GoWalz 🤙😄👍🇺🇸💕 NO GOING BACK 🇺🇸
okay, thats totally a toupee, right?
Glad to hear that. 🇨🇦
I see the Professor finally came to his senses.
Democrates make not the same mistake like 1968!!
😂 what an absolute clown this guy is. Refused to admit Biden needed to drop out and now all of a sudden it was right decision. Comical
Thank you Allan!!
I'm voting for this guys wig over DJT.
When WW3 breaks out you might wish you hadn't.
@@lloydsingline340 Stop watching Fox. You'll sleep better.
Yes! It's Smart, Steady, and Sustainable!
wasn't he originally saying Biden shouldn't step down/be removed? i'm not trumpist, but I'm curious why he changed from saying Biden should stay vs he was right to step down.
Yes, I just said the same thing. The guy is a freaking hypocrite and everyone is still hanging on his every word? Outta here, professor....
Lovin the vibe in this video!!! Didn't know it would get this hype no matter the party im excited for Americans voting. Done with the Talkin let's get to voting
0:20 This is a joke right? Just a few weeks ago his almighty 13 keys said it would be a mistake to replace Biden and that Biden stood a chance of beating Trump.
@@williejohnson5172 I think he said the incumbency key would be lost… if Biden stepped down
Dr. Litchman is great, I read his book and he’s been right since 1980s.
Trump is too old and senile.
I would probably have voted Republican if the candidate wasn’t Trump, but I can’t stand to vote for his bad track record and criminal history.
This guy was saying it wouldn’t make a difference whether Biden stayed in or got out. Now, it’s the opposite.
I personally don't think it would've mattered . I think w Biden in the race it would've been alot closer tho even tho I think Biden would've won . With Harris I think she is gonna use donnys hair piece and mop the floor w him 🎉😂
I'm somewhat confused because I thought lLichtman was against dropping Biden and going with Harris.
Last month, he said it would be a wrong move. This man is a joke. 😀
You mean, before all the Dems united behind Harris, like no one could have predicted? Sounds like the joke’s on you! 😂😂😂
@@namehereandthere No, She's going to lose. Remember 2016. She's not Obama.
@@jorgarb Trump has added ZERO support since 2016. Elections are about addition, and all he does is subtract support. He’s TOAST!
I trust this guy implicitly😊
Now he's on board...before it he called the Dems "feckless". I'm losing respect for this guy.
losing? His keys are as fake as his hairline
@@Max_Maximus_69 He still says they are feckless lol. What he said before was that Dems risked losing two keys (party unity and incumbency) by dumping Biden and that they should show more backbone and stick it out. Once Biden was out, he said that they should unite around Kamila to preserve the party unity key even if incumbency has been lost; and in this interview he’s saying that they did the right thing by uniting around her so quickly.
@@Max_Maximus_69 Doesn't he base his claims on who he thinks is going to win?
@Max_Maximus_69, Why are you losing respect for this guy? When he called the Dems feckless he was right at that time. He gave a critique where the critique was due. The Democrats have made a move in the right direction with Biden and Harris which seems to have been a very good move and Lichtman is giving credit where credit is due.
Because some of them were..
This time it's the Democratic V.P. Pick that will not loose votes for Kamala Harris but The Candidate which compliments her Best will help Kamala Harris with Fringe Demographic voters.
LICHTMAN HAS DONE A 180!
How so?
@@suehowie152 By saying that replacing Biden will be catostrophic.
Lichtman said as long as the incumbents held together, democrats would retain the White House. Biden passing the torch to Kamala retained the incumbency. Lichtman will be proven correct, again. Kamala Harris for president !
I trust his keys over
any Poll or “experts.” 😊
Somewhere a young man is missing his hair.
only 2 weeks ago this same genius was insisting Biden stay on.
Now he's saying Harris decision was the right one????
He said that it was a smart move for the party to unite around Harris.
(I don't agree with this guy's politics but he didn't say pushing biden out in favour of Harris was the right decision here. He said it was smart and the correct decision for the Dems to unite behind her (now that they've kicked biden out))
@@John-kj7tv - I think you just made my point. He is clearly speaking from a political platform,,, not as a political scholar. (He has an ax to grind).
He said not to replace Biden a few weeks ago
Exactly. This guy is a joke.
Yes he did...because they would lose 2 keys...but since everyone united with Harris then they only lost 1 key...learn how to comprehend things
@@scorpio2330 So why didn't he take that into account before he predicted a disaster if Biden withdrew?
@@sophocles1198 because he thought democrats wouldn't back Harris...and that they would have lost 2 keys and lose the presidency...that is why he didn't want biden to drop out
at the time, it was likely correct. Because the polling that they're using to predict outcomes is a LAGGING indicator, the information is aged at the time of their predictions. Things have moved so fast in the past 3 weeks, that NO poll will give you a good idea of the predictors until two weeks from now, if then.
I've experienced polling that is used to sway opinion, and Republicans seem to utilize those pollsters and polling organizations that seek to CORNER people into an opinion in their favor - so I don't rely on polls that put Trump ahead or even tied, at all.
Well said.
Isn’t this the guy who was all over TV a couple weeks ago insisting that the Democrats would be doomed if Biden stepped down because of his “keys”?
@@xentakis yes. I've been a g-d mess because of it, too. But, the other keys are holding at least.
He said if the democrats don't unite behind Harris, then yes, it could spell disaster, but as of right now, it seems that they are uniting behind her.
In an interview he stated that the vetting process for a Joe replacement would take too long. I bet he did not count the passing of the torch to be so quickly and smoothly...
You are wrong. He did not say Dem would lose if Biden dropped out. He said Biden was the best candidate; and if Biden drop out, he should endorse Kamala and let Kamala run.
What a creep
Didn't this same guy say it would be a disaster like...2 weeks ago?
uh huh ;)
Yup. Partisan hack. Fudging his theory depending on the weather
That's not what he said, no.
Yep....when Biden was in. Uh he's out now kiddo. 💙💙
@@2kt2000 don’t get me wrong, I’m happy for the prediction, but…not what he said.
I haven't voted for a single Republican since they nominated Trump in 2016.
Allan ... man that's a bad wig
bad ideas need a bad wig. he's a loon
Lichtman has been saying this whole time the Democrats were doing the wrong thing, now he's flipped his script and singing a different tune - turned out he's embellished a bit on his predictive record on account of the times he was wrong he tries to fudge why he got it wrong
Half the country isn't supporting Trump... Republicans only account for 35% of the population. To the other 65% of the country: register, vote, protect the women in your life from the evil reach of Project 2025... and please, I implore you, keep JD Vance away from your couches!
What Republicans…This is the MAGA party- not anywhere close to the Republican Party that I used to support…my vote and my donations are going 150% to Kamala and BLUE. EVERYONE- Let’s get to work and stop this MAGA/Chump Madness once and FOR ALL!!!
Same dude who said replacing Biden would be a huge mistake
Incumbency is one of Dr Lichtman’s 13 keys. Dems still have incumbency with Harris, even with Biden dropping out.
Google “The 13 Keys to the White House”
#12 - Incumbent charisma: The incumbent party candidate is charismatic or a national hero.
Kamala has plenty of charisma. 😉
Nice try taking facts out of context.