This is part of our inaugural special issue on Progress: how it happens, how we nurture it and how we stifle it, and what changes are required in how we approach our most serious problems to ensure greater progress for all. Videos: "Will Civilization Collapse?" with Kevin Kelly: th-cam.com/video/nJ0VmT0D8ew/w-d-xo.html "Can America make a comeback?" with Tyler Cowen : th-cam.com/video/3LI8O1ZJx3Q/w-d-xo.html "3 tools for predicting 2122" with Peter Schwartz: th-cam.com/video/EAPXM50wy_U/w-d-xo.html Playlist: th-cam.com/play/PL5uULy4b0kV4HAE84o_StVH66U1awDy9L.html Articles: "An End to Doomerism" by Hannah Ritchie: bigthink.com/progress/pessimism-is-a-barrier-to-progress/ "The Great, Progression, 2025-2050" by Peter Leyden: bigthink.com/progress/the-great-progression-peter-leyden/ "We Need a New Philosophy of Progress" by Jason Crawford bigthink.com/progress/a-new-philosophy-of-progress-jason-crawford/ "Expert Roundtable: What does progress look like?" bigthink.com/progress/progress-agenda/ And more available at bigthink.com/special-issues/the-progress-issue/
Amazing video, thank you. If only I knew being a futurist was an actual thing back when I was younger and going through school, I would have been a much happier person than I am today. My free time is consumed by studying and obsessing over future technology, medicine, education, farming, you name it. This stuff excites me more than anything. I hope I do become a ghost when I die so that I get to watch human progress. 😁
Same here, ruminating… ugh two things I did during the pandemic was meet my dark shadow which helped me learn to temper my Compassion with Logic, I’m battle ready!
Thank you! Helping Shell/businesses bring about THEIR future isn't exactly altruistic. The man himself might be inspirational but the ends could be terrible for humanity.
I've been optimistic about the future since i was a kid and 70 years later still feel that way. Recent discoveries about cells give me hope that within 10 years very, very long lives will be available for everyone. Watching large totalitarian regimes going through tough times leads me to think that in the near future we might be in a position to eliminate nuclear weapons (and a possible Great Filter). Watching the increasing economic success of renewable energy leads to the possibility that within 20 years climate change will be a past issue; species and environments will never go back to what they were when we grew up, but they've been in constant change since the Earth was created. We don't know the exact form the future will take, but based on thousands of years of human history, a greater and greater part of humanity will have more security, food and water, education, globe-spanning communication, health, wealth, and freedom than ever before. I'm trying to stay as healthy as i can so i can experience all this directly. Thanks for this video.
Interesting, but there are a lot of assumptions that capitalism will be the bedrock of the future, very company oriented. What about social change? Maybe the future will be more cooperative than capitalistic. Getting to a post-scarcity civilization would be ideal.
3 Tools for scenario planning: 1. CURIOSITY - But get your data right! Be a data junkie. 2. IMAGINATION - Know the trends, but also use imagination to know when there is a change in direction. 3. COLLABORATION - Learn from dialogues with other people.
This guy is WAYYY too optimistic. He mentioned "set backs" and the video showed a nuclear explosion. A nuclear war wouldn't be a "setback." It would result in either the complete extinction of our entire species forever, or in a best case scenario allow us to rebuild in a thousand or so years.
He's correct that there has been a vast improvement in the quality of life for many people. These gains were achieved through the extraction of fossil fuels and exploitation of natural resources. It would be interesting to know how creative thinkers imagine these gains will be sustained once natural resources have been exhausted.
He and humanity will die long before any of his “curiosity, imagination, and collaboration” come up with any kind of viable solution for this doomed planet we live on. People in general are too greedy and self serving to come up with a truly humanitarian solution.
Humanity will still exist, but it will be in a constant state of factional conflict, as it's always been. Primitive tribes, feudal city-states, religious cults, and so on. Our ability to wipe ourselves out is inadequate right now, and it will only get less effective as the social infrastructure falls apart.
I like the idea that we'll be able to make ourselves more empathetic, perhaps even deprogramming our tribal, scarcity wiring in an age of abundance. Of course, the wealthy will have access to such a technology first, so we'll have to wait and see how that plays out...
I was just talking to my fiancé about how we are in a pivotal time in human history. A sort of technological revolution. 1000 years from now this period will be looked at as a second renaissance. Kids will answer history questions like “When did humans become a multi-planetary species.” “When did humans harness (x) means of energy ?” Etc. We are living in a historic era of human existence!
He works at sales force, which has a massive shiny building downtown San Francisco. Last time i was there it felt like a death zone there in the street. Surely up in the tower it was different.
We love this. I am definitely a futurist. We want to make the world a better place. Risk avoidance is important but hoping and working towards a better future is even moreso. - Jamie (and others)
With respect to CRISPR and eliminating genetic diseases - this is PHENOMENALLY expensive and even if you conceive of a time when CRISPR will be relatively cheap, it'll *still* be expensive. With 10 billion on the planet, who's going to benefit from this tailored genetic service? (It won't be the family in Bangladesh who already has 10 children). Having a mobile phone is trivial. intercontinental tunnels, huge reservoirs, abundant food and good health care are meaningful but very, very expensive. We mustn't confuse the developments of junk and trinkets with the real things that advance society and humanity.
Any idea on when those flying cars are coming? Heck, I'd settle for an eta on a real Hoverboard. Been thinking a lot about the gestation tanks in Space: Above & Beyond & Huxley's Brave New World as well.
All those advancements of tools, tech, and solutions for certain area or aspects that are affecting our lives in future mean nothing if you can't solve the world's fundamental crisis on: - Hunger - poverty - War - Ecology Also, amidst the mentioned crisis including the pandemic, the world's population is growing rapidly while the resources for food, drinking water, balance of ecology are getting less. Why? well, apart from manmade destructions elsewhere, humanity's growing population will force to CONVERT the nature's rich ecosystem into real estate and farming.
I do believe biotechnology and bioengineering will grow exponentially in the next 50 years. He's right that people born today should expect less genetic diseases, and longer lifespan lived in good health.
I agree with Peter Schwartz 100%. I've been studying the same things for the past 20 years and he's right about it all. The shift is going to be dramatic, the question is how will people cope with the changes? There's a lot more than just what he mentioned, just the idea of living centuries is already becoming a reality.
I'm a product owner, science fiction enthusiast, and artist with 1000 hobbies. I also have become rich predicting markets and technological trends, but I'd like to contribute. How do I sign up? Nevermind, I've already figured out where to look in the near future.
as I understand it looking at biological evolution it's been more important to be aware of what could end life, rather than what allows it to really thrive
The older I get, the more life happens, living in a world of humans, the worst things DO happen, even when I am heading full-tilt in a positive direction, because of greed, selfishness, and power. Humans are the cause of pessimism. If I could have lived surrounded only by Nature, there wouldn't have been the negativity.
@@the.trustguy That's true. But that's why I find that this kind of thinking - which is the upside down version of previous one - is indicative of the technological advancement that has had a massive influence on human biology. I read once that we think of something as inevitable when we don't see it as a problem. The minute we see something as a problem, we look for solutions. Death that was inevitable is no longer that for many people bc it is just one more problem that needs a solution.
Eternal life? Our minds are at their peak around 25, wisdom extends their value till when -- 55, 56 (for most), then at some point the yuck factor bites with ambulatory problems, cell breakdown, sphincter collapse, etc. Our irrational fear of unavoidable death should be broken down into (a) the when, where and how of the act of dying, i.e. becoming dead and (b) that our life was able to make a contribution, to leave some legacy. Death does become desirable at some point for those with genuine compassion. But first we have to know what it is about the _sapiens_ genome that spits out drug addicts, criminals, burn-outs, underachievers because the presence of just one alpha life should tell us that to be courageous, resilient, seeking achievement and being sociable are in fact universal birthrights. That Life for humans is all about the quality of the replacement adults: above anything else. We can't make a future without the raw materials and so far we have been pathetic about unleashing our capacity for talent. A society of alphas is the only answer, where common sense is the greatest mind power and our natural bright-mindedness and curiosity can reach into the genius-sphere at least once. By now we should have telescopes larger than the moon peering even beyond the cell walls of our Universe at other big bang universes stretching out into infinity. But no... We still elect morons, worry about the filth in our streets, argue emotionally about Science (yes really), tolerate crap entertainment and think religion still might hold some truth. OTOH: The Universe may find us comic, when it becomes aware of us, which it can't (become aware).
His predictions on genetic engineering are actually worrying. We're too immature to live that long and without struggle. We already have too much we take for granted.
Wealth, intelligence and making good choices have buffered his reality. And, i think, age. He is on the way out. It's easy to not see/focus on the ravages you won't be faced with. It's difficult for my 90 year old mother to give any kind of an F about global warming. She wants to die at home and not in a care center.
He admitted to proudly being employed by Royal Dutch Shell Co. so environment may strike too close to his moral self image. He may also recognize the advancement of technology and using renewable hydrogen/electric gives us tools to overcome if we so choose.
He should talk to Johnny Harris about the California map. It's much more interesting than his stilted version of the tale. I like his vision of the future. Optimism is a driver.
So gorgeous like Moses and so innocent like child ! You correctly said, "Fear of future is the worst problem we face today." If we have child Like curiosity and enthusiasm like a youngster we can voyage The ocean of future. Thank you very much. Best wishes for your future expedition !
My big questions are: can we stop pollution, can we reverse the coming mass extinction. Can we stop cutting down the Amazon. Can we stop the melting of the glaciers and the Greenland ice sheet. I still think it's possible but not likely
Can we = sure. Eventually we will as the choice is removed from us and we are compelled to act. The real question then becomes = does it happen in time???
I think you´ve stoped been curious, sometime ago. “The day science begins to study non-physical phenomena, it will make more progress in one decade than in all the previous centuries of its existence.” Nikola Tesla
What’s the point to see what’s going to happen in a year not even my children will get to? Besides we can’t even reliably predict what is going to happen in the next three months. What a waste.
Anybody can predict the future.I use to think about cell phones before they were introduced. But I never got credit for it.Especially self driving cars
obviously not. theoretically you can travel to the future (thru gravity and/or speed effects), but not back to the past. so even when you can go to the future, you would still want to have an idea about what awaits you there.
Peter seems to be thinking in terms of business ("when i hire", groups of companies, his group being called global business network). Seems to me that perspective, of business = progress, which is basically the commodification of nature, and profits over foresight, is kind of why we are at the edge of extinction. I don't think it's fearfulness to point at the negative, and notice quality of life for all but the rich is currently crashing worldwide.
Here's the future: we're going to die painful meaningless deaths after living shallow unexamined lives and leave a dead ash covered planet for those who were unfortunate enough to survive.
How did you ever think the user interfaces in minority report would ever take off? The technology exists to make it a reality, but WTF wants to stand up wavingvtheir arms around everywhere at work all day? How is that better than a mouse, keyboard and desk?
Uhm, i don't think it is viable tho. A big percentage of invention has been happened as sort of a serendipity, side effect, and luck. Except you say you can predict serendipity, well most of time you cant predict future. Plus, well even if you can predict technology, you need to predict people acceptance. Flying car, Segway, project Ara, so many brilliant ideas don't spread as we cant understand mass acceptance. We need to understand psychology for this and well, human nowaday can predict universe with crazy precise calculation, much more precise than human behavior prediction.
H.G.Wells was also a futurist, just not a short term futurist. He, like Huxley, was not in the futurist game as an entrepreneur, butt......as a true futurist. What he saw coming, was not so much Roddenberry, as it was Orwellian. Short-term futurist prognostications seem to center on making buck$. Long-term futurists cannot so easily cast the future in rosey terms of profit and amazing tech. They must make room for Soylent Green in their scenarios. Sure, we've got cell phones, PCs, metaverse and moon shots. Butt......we also have kim jong un, vlad the putin, trump the donald, and Machiavellians just waiting for their turn to rule the world. No, we're not going to turn the Earth into The Planet Of The Apes, because we already are The Planet Of The Apes!! The future, the real, long-term future, isn't about the next, innovative IBM, Corp to come along, or even the next round of surprises coming from our present Tesla clone, but about how well humanity will cope with that next Chicxulub asteroid that already has us in its trajectory, or the next Carrington that will reduce our technology to scrap, or the nuclear paroxysm of some future putin the vlad. The neo-fascism that unfettered overpopulation will likely bring about is more likely than Disney's Tomorrowland. What we will do with the future left us by the microbe that finally is unstoppable, is what true futurists will occupy themselves with - not the imagined iterations of VR cellphones. We are so immersed in our technologies, that hardly anyone can perform so basic a task as light a fire without matches. Try it. Not on a summer day, in the back yard, but on a snowy, winter night in the outback of Montana!! Few of us would even care to face the future if our toys stopped working. Few of us would survive our neighbors alone, if the "real world" suddenly fell upon us. It's not that the future is bleak, it's that we dream of a future that is but an extension of our present, technological adjuncts. And we indulge that dream without regard to a reality that we have absolutely no connection to. The future is ours for the time being, though that can change in a New York minute. The future, like the universe, however, doesn't recognize that we exist, and wouldn't care about us if it did. We had better begin to turn our thoughts toward the reality of living on this dangerous planet with the lost awareness that our distant ancestors possessed, instead of occupying our every thought and acyion with artificial, man-made toys, like the Monopoly money we live and die to possess. In the "real" world, that paper money is only good for kindling that fire, on that snowy, winter night in the Montana outback. Forget the phony futurists, and deal with the future that is far more likely to ensue than the one the movies prophesy. The one Machiavelli understood. ---🐴
I am imaginative and curious but I am not collaborative. I am willing to work with other people on big projects but mostly I prefer to work alone. And I don't think it's a good idea to force evolution on humans using genetic engineering. People often forget that human brain has limited space and it was evolved to sustain for a couple of decades of information but with the help of modern medicine we've already pushed it to ~100 years or more in some cases. But trying to push beyond that would be unwise and dangerous. I personally am already tired and disillusioned with my life and I have been alive for just over 3 decades. If you truly want to artificially extend your life to a couple of centuries to forever (immortality), you must give up everything that makes you a human. You will be truly and utterly alone as entropy consumes everything around you. And I am pretty sure children of the future won't do something so archaic as marriage which has already lost it's meaning in the 2nd decade of the 21st century. There will be romantic and long term relationships but humans are sex maniac. So, as society evolves, marriage will be a thing from the past for them. Well, that's just my opinion from the world I have observed for over 3 decades.
This is part of our inaugural special issue on Progress: how it happens, how we nurture it and how we stifle it, and what changes are required in how we approach our most serious problems to ensure greater progress for all.
Videos:
"Will Civilization Collapse?" with Kevin Kelly: th-cam.com/video/nJ0VmT0D8ew/w-d-xo.html
"Can America make a comeback?" with Tyler Cowen : th-cam.com/video/3LI8O1ZJx3Q/w-d-xo.html
"3 tools for predicting 2122" with Peter Schwartz: th-cam.com/video/EAPXM50wy_U/w-d-xo.html
Playlist: th-cam.com/play/PL5uULy4b0kV4HAE84o_StVH66U1awDy9L.html
Articles:
"An End to Doomerism" by Hannah Ritchie: bigthink.com/progress/pessimism-is-a-barrier-to-progress/
"The Great, Progression, 2025-2050" by Peter Leyden: bigthink.com/progress/the-great-progression-peter-leyden/
"We Need a New Philosophy of Progress" by Jason Crawford bigthink.com/progress/a-new-philosophy-of-progress-jason-crawford/
"Expert Roundtable: What does progress look like?" bigthink.com/progress/progress-agenda/
And more available at bigthink.com/special-issues/the-progress-issue/
Amazing video, thank you. If only I knew being a futurist was an actual thing back when I was younger and going through school, I would have been a much happier person than I am today. My free time is consumed by studying and obsessing over future technology, medicine, education, farming, you name it. This stuff excites me more than anything. I hope I do become a ghost when I die so that I get to watch human progress. 😁
You just like me fr.
Same here absolutely
This man is so energetic and he's my model. From him I can see the secret to the success.
So very true, but he's many levels of awesome.
I love this man's energy
I am quite a cynical person but it's important to veer on the other side of the coin
People like this make that easier
I am learning that all qualities are necessary, in moderation 🙂
Same here, ruminating… ugh two things I did during the pandemic was meet my dark shadow which helped me learn to temper my Compassion with Logic, I’m battle ready!
Not a word about his tenure at Shell developing scenarios of how fossil fuel emissions would affect the climate.
Thank you! Helping Shell/businesses bring about THEIR future isn't exactly altruistic. The man himself might be inspirational but the ends could be terrible for humanity.
I've been optimistic about the future since i was a kid and 70 years later still feel that way. Recent discoveries about cells give me hope that within 10 years very, very long lives will be available for everyone. Watching large totalitarian regimes going through tough times leads me to think that in the near future we might be in a position to eliminate nuclear weapons (and a possible Great Filter). Watching the increasing economic success of renewable energy leads to the possibility that within 20 years climate change will be a past issue; species and environments will never go back to what they were when we grew up, but they've been in constant change since the Earth was created. We don't know the exact form the future will take, but based on thousands of years of human history, a greater and greater part of humanity will have more security, food and water, education, globe-spanning communication, health, wealth, and freedom than ever before. I'm trying to stay as healthy as i can so i can experience all this directly. Thanks for this video.
long life will be possible for all only in Creative Society
“I love my wife but I’m not sure about centuries” ….just wait until he gets home
Such an odd point for him to end on.
😂 he has a great sense of humor.
He’s either going to get it when she sees this… or she’s going to laugh. I assume it’s the later.
He gave us some medicine, laughter is free and beneficial, trust me.
Don’t worry, he doesn’t have centuries more like minutes
What a lift of the spirits to hear this man speak; his energy and intellect just shines!
Absolutely
He worked as a think-tanker for big oil… no wonder he never mentioned AGW
Interesting, but there are a lot of assumptions that capitalism will be the bedrock of the future, very company oriented. What about social change? Maybe the future will be more cooperative than capitalistic. Getting to a post-scarcity civilization would be ideal.
3 Tools for scenario planning:
1. CURIOSITY - But get your data right! Be a data junkie.
2. IMAGINATION - Know the trends, but also use imagination to know when there is a change in direction.
3. COLLABORATION - Learn from dialogues with other people.
Rumour has it, he said that last line because he foresaw she was leaving him.
This guy is WAYYY too optimistic. He mentioned "set backs" and the video showed a nuclear explosion. A nuclear war wouldn't be a "setback." It would result in either the complete extinction of our entire species forever, or in a best case scenario allow us to rebuild in a thousand or so years.
Love this. I’m obsessed with anything futuristic 👌
He's correct that there has been a vast improvement in the quality of life for many people. These gains were achieved through the extraction of fossil fuels and exploitation of natural resources. It would be interesting to know how creative thinkers imagine these gains will be sustained once natural resources have been exhausted.
He and humanity will die long before any of his “curiosity, imagination, and collaboration” come up with any kind of viable solution for this doomed planet we live on. People in general are too greedy and self serving to come up with a truly humanitarian solution.
Sadly, I agree.
With you on this.
Humanity will still exist, but it will be in a constant state of factional conflict, as it's always been. Primitive tribes, feudal city-states, religious cults, and so on. Our ability to wipe ourselves out is inadequate right now, and it will only get less effective as the social infrastructure falls apart.
I like the idea that we'll be able to make ourselves more empathetic, perhaps even deprogramming our tribal, scarcity wiring in an age of abundance. Of course, the wealthy will have access to such a technology first, so we'll have to wait and see how that plays out...
I was just talking to my fiancé about how we are in a pivotal time in human history. A sort of technological revolution. 1000 years from now this period will be looked at as a second renaissance. Kids will answer history questions like “When did humans become a multi-planetary species.” “When did humans harness (x) means of energy ?” Etc. We are living in a historic era of human existence!
They will study our memes.
@@DrEdge97 I don’t think they will have to study
When it comes to missing the mark, it's better to be ahead of your time than behind. That's typically channeled through optimism.
I love this guys ideas, energy, and enthusiasm.
Yep me too, I defiantly need more coffee before I make my next video.
So if everyone lives for century will there be enough room and resources for them to have a healthy meaningful experience or just more existing?
Once we become space faring, the space and resources within just our own solar system will be practically infinite.
Thats why they created covid, to control the population a bit. According to John Hopkins site, total is 6,630,000
Just watched the Minority report yesterday. The thumbnail reminded me of that.
Yep I saw that too. 👍
He works at sales force, which has a massive shiny building downtown San Francisco. Last time i was there it felt like a death zone there in the street. Surely up in the tower it was different.
1. curiosity
2. imagination
3. collaboration
We love this. I am definitely a futurist. We want to make the world a better place. Risk avoidance is important but hoping and working towards a better future is even moreso.
- Jamie (and others)
With respect to CRISPR and eliminating genetic diseases - this is PHENOMENALLY expensive and even if you conceive of a time when CRISPR will be relatively cheap, it'll *still* be expensive. With 10 billion on the planet, who's going to benefit from this tailored genetic service? (It won't be the family in Bangladesh who already has 10 children). Having a mobile phone is trivial. intercontinental tunnels, huge reservoirs, abundant food and good health care are meaningful but very, very expensive.
We mustn't confuse the developments of junk and trinkets with the real things that advance society and humanity.
Any idea on when those flying cars are coming? Heck, I'd settle for an eta on a real Hoverboard.
Been thinking a lot about the gestation tanks in Space: Above & Beyond & Huxley's Brave New World as well.
Let's hope to tackle climate change first as this seems to be spiraling out of control
damn I needed to hear those motivating words about the future
All those advancements of tools, tech, and solutions for certain area or aspects that are affecting our lives in future mean nothing if you can't solve the world's fundamental crisis on:
- Hunger
- poverty
- War
- Ecology
Also, amidst the mentioned crisis including the pandemic, the world's population is growing rapidly while the resources for food, drinking water, balance of ecology are getting less. Why? well, apart from manmade destructions elsewhere, humanity's growing population will force to CONVERT the nature's rich ecosystem into real estate and farming.
Another old man talking about the future without mentioning climate change. Kind of sweet but also disqualifying.
I do believe biotechnology and bioengineering will grow exponentially in the next 50 years. He's right that people born today should expect less genetic diseases, and longer lifespan lived in good health.
I agree with Peter Schwartz 100%. I've been studying the same things for the past 20 years and he's right about it all. The shift is going to be dramatic, the question is how will people cope with the changes? There's a lot more than just what he mentioned, just the idea of living centuries is already becoming a reality.
Yeah I heard if you're under like 35 right now you'll probably be around for centuries with how fast that stuff is advancing
I'm a product owner, science fiction enthusiast, and artist with 1000 hobbies. I also have become rich predicting markets and technological trends, but I'd like to contribute. How do I sign up? Nevermind, I've already figured out where to look in the near future.
I also wonder why it seems so easy to imagine worst things could happen instead of thinking what things can go to the right direction.
as I understand it looking at biological evolution it's been more important to be aware of what could end life, rather than what allows it to really thrive
Films
@@the.trustguy agreed
The older I get, the more life happens, living in a world of humans, the worst things DO happen, even when I am heading full-tilt in a positive direction, because of greed, selfishness, and power. Humans are the cause of pessimism. If I could have lived surrounded only by Nature, there wouldn't have been the negativity.
@@the.trustguy That's true. But that's why I find that this kind of thinking - which is the upside down version of previous one - is indicative of the technological advancement that has had a massive influence on human biology.
I read once that we think of something as inevitable when we don't see it as a problem. The minute we see something as a problem, we look for solutions. Death that was inevitable is no longer that for many people bc it is just one more problem that needs a solution.
The concert example was pretty good.
Eternal life? Our minds are at their peak around 25, wisdom extends their value till when -- 55, 56 (for most), then at some point the yuck factor bites with ambulatory problems, cell breakdown, sphincter collapse, etc. Our irrational fear of unavoidable death should be broken down into (a) the when, where and how of the act of dying, i.e. becoming dead and (b) that our life was able to make a contribution, to leave some legacy. Death does become desirable at some point for those with genuine compassion.
But first we have to know what it is about the _sapiens_ genome that spits out drug addicts, criminals, burn-outs, underachievers because the presence of just one alpha life should tell us that to be courageous, resilient, seeking achievement and being sociable are in fact universal birthrights. That Life for humans is all about the quality of the replacement adults: above anything else. We can't make a future without the raw materials and so far we have been pathetic about unleashing our capacity for talent. A society of alphas is the only answer, where common sense is the greatest mind power and our natural bright-mindedness and curiosity can reach into the genius-sphere at least once. By now we should have telescopes larger than the moon peering even beyond the cell walls of our Universe at other big bang universes stretching out into infinity. But no... We still elect morons, worry about the filth in our streets, argue emotionally about Science (yes really), tolerate crap entertainment and think religion still might hold some truth. OTOH: The Universe may find us comic, when it becomes aware of us, which it can't (become aware).
Well said. My feelings exactly. The guy in the video is so full of hopium, I think he’s about to OD.
His predictions on genetic engineering are actually worrying. We're too immature to live that long and without struggle. We already have too much we take for granted.
A civilization can only dream
great clip and I totally agree with you on progress and hope
Technology is 100 times better than 100 years ago, but are people 100 times happier? Unfettered technology is not the way to human happiness.
Can't wait for next year to get the predictions of 2123
He seems pretty unfazed by the possibility of any future environmental problems, which I find interesting, what does he know that I dont‽
Wealth, intelligence and making good choices have buffered his reality. And, i think, age. He is on the way out. It's easy to not see/focus on the ravages you won't be faced with. It's difficult for my 90 year old mother to give any kind of an F about global warming. She wants to die at home and not in a care center.
He admitted to proudly being employed by Royal Dutch Shell Co. so environment may strike too close to his moral self image. He may also recognize the advancement of technology and using renewable hydrogen/electric gives us tools to overcome if we so choose.
Yeah so annoying
Maybe he is , maybe he isnt . Maybe sharing a more optimistic look on the furture was what he wanted to put out there.
Futurists tend to ignore anything they don't have a sufficiently shiny idea about, and fall back on "Humanity Will Find a Way!" (cue trumpet fanfare)
I totally love being a data maniac 👍
So the guy sounds like he’s pitching his company
Big Think AND FreeThink??? AND Peter Schwartz?! Ayeee
bought the long view books thanks to this!
jeez this guy's like 3000 years old. Listen to him.
great one
He should talk to Johnny Harris about the California map. It's much more interesting than his stilted version of the tale. I like his vision of the future. Optimism is a driver.
So gorgeous like Moses and so innocent like child ! You correctly said, "Fear of future is the worst problem we face today." If we have child Like curiosity and enthusiasm like a youngster we can voyage The ocean of future. Thank you very much. Best wishes for your future expedition !
Living a couple 100 years . No thanks. Sounds like living hell to me
That sounds like the coolest job ever
The video makes me think about palantir so much
With the Advancement of AI were either headed towards Utopia or Terminator 2.
The latter.
My big questions are: can we stop pollution, can we reverse the coming mass extinction. Can we stop cutting down the Amazon. Can we stop the melting of the glaciers and the Greenland ice sheet. I still think it's possible but not likely
Can we = sure. Eventually we will as the choice is removed from us and we are compelled to act. The real question then becomes = does it happen in time???
Nice can't wait to be chillin' (in every sense of the word) at the heat death of the universe. Sign me up!
This is how my mind works. I didn’t know there was a way to make money from it.
This is absolutely amazing 😊
LOVE FOSSIL FUELS.
it's not a rocket science to imagine the future mister, but you certainly know how to sell your sci-fi
I think you´ve stoped been curious, sometime ago. “The day science begins to study non-physical phenomena, it will make more progress in one decade than in all the previous centuries of its existence.” Nikola Tesla
What’s the point to see what’s going to happen in a year not even my children will get to? Besides we can’t even reliably predict what is going to happen in the next three months. What a waste.
Anybody can predict the future.I use to think about cell phones before they were introduced. But I never got credit for it.Especially self driving cars
Ruthless curiosity
Imagination
Colaboration
When you have a time machine, this job is obsolete.
obviously not. theoretically you can travel to the future (thru gravity and/or speed effects), but not back to the past. so even when you can go to the future, you would still want to have an idea about what awaits you there.
How can we teach this in schools?
Have he saw Netflix doc serie 'Artificial Selection'? He must.
Yes, the future will be amazing IF you can afford it. 😉
That was fun :-)
Amazing job would be a dream job
I would love to know what he thinks of Azimov's foundation series
Peter seems to be thinking in terms of business ("when i hire", groups of companies, his group being called global business network). Seems to me that perspective, of business = progress, which is basically the commodification of nature, and profits over foresight, is kind of why we are at the edge of extinction. I don't think it's fearfulness to point at the negative, and notice quality of life for all but the rich is currently crashing worldwide.
dude could help me make better decisions fr
What will be and not be are Determined by the laws
And what we can brake or turn
Around.
What about climate change?
Sounds like a smart rich guy telling everyone that they can have it all too.
How could you say that on the end :D
Question: so you don't believe in the possible human extinction due irresponsible egos leading dangerous countries with nuclear power?
Agree
ideology is same as addictions
Genetic engineering in back alleys, it won't be cyberpunk
I think yellow will be the color of the future.
Well, we currently have an existential threat that has turned into a political battleground. It's kind of hard to be optimistic.
Here's the future: we're going to die painful meaningless deaths after living shallow unexamined lives and leave a dead ash covered planet for those who were unfortunate enough to survive.
That last joke he made at the end of the video was the most Boomer joke ever haha
How did you ever think the user interfaces in minority report would ever take off? The technology exists to make it a reality, but WTF wants to stand up wavingvtheir arms around everywhere at work all day? How is that better than a mouse, keyboard and desk?
There are many more ways to be disordered than ordered.
There are many more ways to be unethical than ethical. Ethics is sophisticated.
haha, I've been studying the future for the past 50 years.
10/10
"I love my wife, but I'm not sure about centuries..." YESSSSSSS!!!!!! And to be fair, I would say it's also true from her perspective. HA!
The matrix. What you know it's some how to think future through the present reality.
One Q: how many bitcoins does he own?
what about the lord
Uhm, i don't think it is viable tho. A big percentage of invention has been happened as sort of a serendipity, side effect, and luck. Except you say you can predict serendipity, well most of time you cant predict future.
Plus, well even if you can predict technology, you need to predict people acceptance. Flying car, Segway, project Ara, so many brilliant ideas don't spread as we cant understand mass acceptance. We need to understand psychology for this and well, human nowaday can predict universe with crazy precise calculation, much more precise than human behavior prediction.
H.G.Wells was also a futurist, just not a short term futurist. He, like Huxley, was not in the futurist game as an entrepreneur, butt......as a true futurist. What he saw coming, was not so much Roddenberry, as it was Orwellian. Short-term futurist prognostications seem to center on making buck$. Long-term futurists cannot so easily cast the future in rosey terms of profit and amazing tech. They must make room for Soylent Green in their scenarios.
Sure, we've got cell phones, PCs, metaverse and moon shots. Butt......we also have kim jong un, vlad the putin, trump the donald, and Machiavellians just waiting for their turn to rule the world. No, we're not going to turn the Earth into The Planet Of The Apes, because we already are The Planet Of The Apes!!
The future, the real, long-term future, isn't about the next, innovative IBM, Corp to come along, or even the next round of surprises coming from our present Tesla clone, but about how well humanity will cope with that next Chicxulub asteroid that already has us in its trajectory, or the next Carrington that will reduce our technology to scrap, or the nuclear paroxysm of some future putin the vlad. The neo-fascism that unfettered overpopulation will likely bring about is more likely than Disney's Tomorrowland. What we will do with the future left us by the microbe that finally is unstoppable, is what true futurists will occupy themselves with - not the imagined iterations of VR cellphones.
We are so immersed in our technologies, that hardly anyone can perform so basic a task as light a fire without matches. Try it. Not on a summer day, in the back yard, but on a snowy, winter night in the outback of Montana!! Few of us would even care to face the future if our toys stopped working. Few of us would survive our neighbors alone, if the "real world" suddenly fell upon us. It's not that the future is bleak, it's that we dream of a future that is but an extension of our present, technological adjuncts. And we indulge that dream without regard to a reality that we have absolutely no connection to.
The future is ours for the time being, though that can change in a New York minute. The future, like the universe, however, doesn't recognize that we exist, and wouldn't care about us if it did. We had better begin to turn our thoughts toward the reality of living on this dangerous planet with the lost awareness that our distant ancestors possessed, instead of occupying our every thought and acyion with artificial, man-made toys, like the Monopoly money we live and die to possess. In the "real" world, that paper money is only good for kindling that fire, on that snowy, winter night in the Montana outback.
Forget the phony futurists, and deal with the future that is far more likely to ensue than the one the movies prophesy. The one Machiavelli understood.
---🐴
I study what doesn't exist
ok
I am imaginative and curious but I am not collaborative. I am willing to work with other people on big projects but mostly I prefer to work alone. And I don't think it's a good idea to force evolution on humans using genetic engineering. People often forget that human brain has limited space and it was evolved to sustain for a couple of decades of information but with the help of modern medicine we've already pushed it to ~100 years or more in some cases. But trying to push beyond that would be unwise and dangerous. I personally am already tired and disillusioned with my life and I have been alive for just over 3 decades. If you truly want to artificially extend your life to a couple of centuries to forever (immortality), you must give up everything that makes you a human. You will be truly and utterly alone as entropy consumes everything around you. And I am pretty sure children of the future won't do something so archaic as marriage which has already lost it's meaning in the 2nd decade of the 21st century. There will be romantic and long term relationships but humans are sex maniac. So, as society evolves, marriage will be a thing from the past for them. Well, that's just my opinion from the world I have observed for over 3 decades.
Fear the person behind you
Not the person in front of You, so The past holds the key to your Future !thats Quantum.
Entertaining but not excited about it.✌️❤️
Believe me he's the best when it comes to Cryptocurrency trading, your profit is assured.
We'll all be dead 💩