Migration, (Im)Mobility and Habitability in the IPCC AR6: The Text and the Subtext

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 20 ต.ค. 2024
  • A research talk presented at the #ecmn23 conference by David Wrathall from Oregon State University
    More info: www.climatemob...
    Abstract
    The IPCC AR6 included a first-ever cross-report synthesis of findings related to human migration and mobility. The AR6’s treatment of migration represented an important advance for the IPCC, which at its inception was tasked with assessing the climatic conditions, events and variability that could upset habitability and drive forms of displacement and migration. While the statements on migration, (im)mobility and habitability largely represented an emerging consensus view, there were key debates, considerations and omissions that future IPCC authors may do well to consider. The AR6 concluded that the more agency migrants have (i.e. the degree of voluntarity and freedom of movement), the greater the potential benefits for sending and receiving areas. The AR6 tempered alarmist policy rhetoric about international migration, emphasizing that the vast majority of climate-related migration and displacement observed currently takes place within countries. Likewise the AR6 sought to temper national defense policy narratives that erroneously conflate climate migration with civil and international conflict by elucidating these as separate processes. Finally, the AR6 highlighted a growing policy concern about habitability risks that will likely emerge in coming decades under all emissions policy scenarios, namely future populations whose immobility will be constrained by policy decisions. This presentation will provide a candid view on the AR6, including the policy discussions and implications of this report, and elements that were not included.

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