WATCH NEXT: Why Russian History Repeats itself (Putin & his hero Alexander III) th-cam.com/video/bWJjrXVkFBA/w-d-xo.html Why Losing Crimea May Destroy Putin https:/th-cam.com/video/N6CGbYQIVJs/w-d-xo.html How Putin Fooled the Western Left th-cam.com/video/017WGzJ5fHA/w-d-xo.html --- You can now support Vlad's work on Patreon! www.patreon.com/vladvexler Support Vlad via PayPal www.paypal.com/paypalme/vladvexler?country.x=GB&locale.x=en_GB --- WATCH MORE: The Postmodern Hell Of Russian Propaganda th-cam.com/video/_j6Vg7yLx54/w-d-xo.html Why I left the USSR....and why post-Soviet Russia failed th-cam.com/video/8BbXqeW7mz8/w-d-xo.html The Riddle of Why Russians Don't Protest th-cam.com/video/K4O3D7CfThA/w-d-xo.html THIS explains why Russia starts insane wars th-cam.com/video/V6UiEXrVrvg/w-d-xo.html
It seems as if Russian leadership has forgotten the United States remains the only nation on Earth we know does not bluff about using nuclear weapons? The United States can, will and HAS used nuclear devices against another country.
"It just ain't true that starting a nuclear war against NATO, is a way to reduce the odds of a nuclear war against NATO" That really does sum up the perverse absurdity of their reasoning
Russia is not interested in avoiding nuclear war at all. If there is a cost, they know everyone will pay it, and the Russians will still come out ahead.
So how much of a murder/suicide pact would be tolerable? This is what passes for sanity in Kremlin circles. Who will have a statue marked "started the last glorious war accidentally while trying to sharpen a pencil." Old joke: At the end of a nuclear war, humanity is wiped out or nearly so, no city still stands, and in the sky, two pilots (one from each side) decide to collide and die rather than survive. Seeing the explosion from the ground, one ape turns her head to face another ape, saying with resignation, "Well, here we go again!"
While it sounds self-contradictory, there is a certain logic to it. It assumes that Western war planners will think about their actions instead of blindly following the suicidal maxim: "if one flies they all fly."
Putin knows exactly what happens when he uses WMDs. After being warned by Trump about using chemical weapons in Syria, the US hit Russian aircraft bases and Wagners. Putin immediately backed off. He will know the same will happen x 100 if he uses nukes of any sort. Every Russian military base would be a smoking crater and not a nuke in sight.
When Russia makes these despicable threats, don't fret and give them what they want, increase aid to Ukraine instead. If you give them what they want, you encourage them to make *more* nuclear threats. And conversely, if you give them what they *don't* want, you discourage them from making nuclear threats.
I believe Biden made clear to Putin in a private call what would happen if he pushed the button. He won't do it, it's not worth taking any of his goons seriously.
It's all psychological warfare. A day wouldn't be the same without a Russian nuclear threat. Putin and Medvedev want to be around to spend their billions. So relax.
BRICS countries are the biggest hypocrites... Brazil, India, South Africa are all supposedly anti-imperial but only supposedly Western imperialism. If it's Russia waging imperialist war, with China marking time in the background while positioning itself for imperial projection via its Belt and Road project, no problem!
I think they factored in the bluffing to their calculus. The idea that Russia could win any kind of war now, particularly one which requires precision weapons capable of avoiding air defences is less likely by the day.
"We start a nuclear war to prevent a nuclear war." I really hope there are secret service teams/agents in Russia, or Russians themselves to stop such people once they give this kind of orders. Whoever gives such an order losses in my opinion the right to exist, or at least the right to have any kind of power and decisionmaking.
The biggest fallacy is the idea that if Washington chickens out no nuclear war ensues. Like...France has nuclear missles, UK has nuclear missles...evn Turkey and the Neatherlands have some nuclear capacity, the chances that a strike won't be responded to are minimal. The life-ending posibilities are huge!
Yeah, while NATO does have a nuclear umbrella strategy, I don’t think it means a nation within it couldn’t retaliate with their own nuclear weapons. France especially. For better or worse, they’ve always valued being independent of most things.
@@nathanclark2424 This. De Gaulle got on the bad side of both the British and the Americans just to ensure that France would have its own sovereign nuclear arsenal that it didn't need Washington's permission to use.
"Russia has chosen war as a means of resolving conflicts. From Chile, we condemn the invasion of Ukraine, the violation of its sovereignty, and the illegitimate use of force. We stand in solidarity with the victims and will strive for peace through our humble efforts." - Gabriel Boric 🇨🇱
You know you screwed up when nations at the other corner of the world with nearly zero stake in the game still call you out over your bulshit. Now those words would have had more meaning if Boric didn't proceed to buy Russian oil after saying them...
@@jorgeluiscapiello414 Yeah it's so surrreal to see other ex-colonies side with the colonizer against another ex-colony. And why? Because they hate the USA. Shame on you, Lula (and others too).
What about all those Russians being killed by Ukrainians for years before "the illegitimate use of force"? Just let it be? Or maybe they didn't tell you about this little thing?
So his argument is basically: I will launch a nuclear strike, to prevent myself in the future from launching even stronger and more numerous nuclear strikes and destroying the world, saving humanity... from myself. Priceless...
Emotionally, I'm sliding rapidly toward saying fkit and wishing we'd launch a counter-force surprise preemptive attack, betting they can't actually retaliate before our missiles land, and hoping first that we know where most of their subs and mobile launchers are snd second that most of any warheads they manage to launch are duds. Realistically I know that's irresponsible but it seems logical.
@@j.f.fisher5318 A nuclear war cannot be won and must never be fought. And we must be very clear about that... because sentences like that, like the one you just said, is exactly the reasons why they might also think a preemptive nuclear strike is a good idea. This is an extremely tricky situation and there is really no easy way out of it. But the best answer right now seems to be just continuing to support ukraine... probably in better more drastic manners. So that Russia is expelled from ukraine and we can live in peace back to the status quo.
I was born, raised, and currently live in "Conditional Boston," and even I am wandering around trying to convince anyone who will listen that trading nuclear risk now for nuclear risk later is not a winning strategy. The idea that the rf wouldn't be melted down to beaded glass if they launched a nuke is so absurd that it's left me wondering how these "men" got elevated to the point that they are considered to be intellectuals. Even in the rf. Great stuff, Vlad. Thank you!
To a significant degree, the fake intellectuals are encouraged by Putin. Having loyal loud crazies places him as the most "reasonable man" around, and one who can be trusted to keep the crazies in line.
It's just empty fear rhetoric. Russia knows how leaky their military is so an actual pre-emptive strike plan wouldn't work. Rather, NATO would be highly motivated to preempt any actual preemptive strike plan because it plays 100% to NATO's strengths with stealth and total air dominance. It's not even a secret all Russian subs are tailed on the rare occasions that they are out at sea.
I had a year long nervous breakdown following the nuclear rhetoric. I had the worst time, spent thousands on survival equipment, anti radiation tablets food and water and tools. I have a 4 yr old and I was contemplating suicide. It was a living hell. I shall never forgive Russia for it.
If anyone is caught in that spiral (probably happens much more often than many of us think): Cut internet access to a minimum, don't listen to any news, go on with your daily business. Try again after a few weeks.
i've snapped twice just spectating the war for 580 something days. I've had to exit the internet on these occasions. Too close to the fire emotionally. This war is a simple good v's evil thing that poses an existential threat to us all. Evil is still in the game. 'Good' has not crushed it. 'Good' seems to be watching it ravage Ukraine and threatening the Free World. 'It is no measure of health to be well adjusted to a profoundly sick society.'(J.Krishnamurti)
So sorry to hear this. I did something similar. I was in China for the worst of COVID-19, though, so my reaction seemed a lot more sensible given the kinds of things happening, people being welded into their houses without any food etc. There was an elderly couple that jumped out of their window together and committed suicide...So sad. I don't blame Russia, though. None of this happened in isolation. I expect Russia to behave like a scumbag, I don't expect that from our own politicians. That was the scariest part for me, the whole whole world was turning into one big dictatorship. At least you still have your baby, God bless you both. I lost everything. A wife to suicide and my three boys to the aftermath. I don't even know why I'm still alive. I've been searching for a reason, still can't find one. Give your kiddo a big hug. Love them. It can all be over in the blink of an eye. It's only now that I'm sitting here alone that I realize all those terrible times during Covid? ****Those**** were the GOOD times. At least I was together with my family and the way forward seemed clear at the time. Now, I hardly know what day it is, or where I'm supposed to go. I truly wish all the best for you and your baby. Sadly, my wishes don't seem to count for much - but God bless you both anyway.
you may be a woman, but still you can't be that weak to go on spending with that purpose, NO MATTER THE SITUATION your 4 yr old son will have the same future, rather no future as you, as all of us. if you survive ( suppose you survive) and suppose you surviving with no harm to your body at all, YOU THEN , living in that abyss would suicide 500%, trust me, and by the way suiciding before it happens at any time is a BAD idea, PLUS, to die almost instantly burned / disintegrating looks like a blessing to me, always choose the best option in any situation and navigate life
Those who yearn for authoritarianism and "strong leaders", and see Russia as a good example, should look at what happened to Kurshin, Surovikin, and Prigozhin and realise that *nobody* is safe in such a country, regardless of political alignment.
in the first world war. discussion between german leaders was almost indentical. it went something like this: "if we don't start the war, france or britain will soon be the ones starting it. but if we start the war, we would be at least the first to be prepared for it." And we know, what happened to germany after that.
I think it would be useful to have some kind of database of these nuclear threats by Russian government officials so every time western apologists try to paint Russia as a "normal" country line any other they could be referred to such index and refresh their memory.
There is a Wikipedia page that lists the threats. I think it is a partial list but it is a start. The page is called: "Nuclear threats during the Russian invasion of Ukraine".
none of the threats were by the goverment, he literally had to dig up some random commentators and economocs professors lol. In fact in the the US the pulled out of the open skies treaty and started saying the can use tactical nukes, thats partially why we actually go into this mess.
The world has no answer for this dilemma: you have a bar where people sometimes fight. All of a sudden one of the guys says "I have put 1 ton of TNT under the bar. Anyone hits me I blow up the bar.". And then he drinks. This was cold war. Now the big difference is the same guy started punching the guy drinking next to him. Should we let him beat up everyone?
Yes but not the democracies from 2006 who chastised Poland from vetoing Russia-EU trade talks and deals ... democracy itself is no defense when we only had Poland under a conservative government in 2006 keeping the Russians at bay while the Brits, Germans, Dutch etc were all over the Russians and wanted their money.
I don’t understand how US intelligence (or the various administrations?) can be so clueless about Russia sending Hillary Clinton under Obama to do a “reset” w/Russia, when they should have been sending her with threats. Putin is right about democracies being weak, at least the one here in the US. Never having lived under a dictatorship (trump doesn’t count), I don’t really know, but doesn’t seem like people can improve their lives much even with extremely hard work, especially if you are an ethnic minority. Honestly, it looks to me it’s becoming more true of the US everyday as well.
Democracies poised to launch. Russia knows that we have submarines that can strike days, weeks, and months later. But do we have the will? The Russians knew that Reagan had the will.
It's strange to see a philosopher who is careful with words to talk like that. However, it's well deserved. We are talking about apocalypse FFS. This is something that even Genghis Khan would disapprove.
The way bullies can paint themselves as victims never ceases to amaze me, along with the alarming amount of sympathy they garner from people who should know better.
Putin just said that he was "forced" to abandon the grain deal (and bomb grain ports in Ukraine). The guy is like a spoiled child movie star in America. He's has two decades in power with his brain rattling around that he's special.
I laugh whenever I hear the things Russia accuses Ukraine of being. A clear case of the pot calling the kettle black! I might have been voting for Trump again when/if he gets clear of his legal matters. But now? No! Not when he says he will stop sending help to Ukraine. Look at a map of Russia, how huge it is! Look how much Ukraine is dwarfed by Russia's size! Trump said Ukraine was too corrupt to waste on helping them. What? Does he not know how corrupt Russia is? It seems Putin has lied to & fooled Trump as well. Tsk. Tsk. Tsk. One thing. Russia thinks it is such a big shot??? I guess the underdog is biting the gonads of the bully. 😉💙💛💙💛💙💛 Slava Ukraine!
The term for it is DARVO: Deny, Attack, Reverse Victim / Offender. Notice how often Russia accuses Ukraine of doing exactly what it's doing? They know the importance of getting the first accusation out, especially when Western media still complies with bothsides reporting.
Worth the wait. Much love to you Vlad. P.S. It is really bizarre to hear that members of the Russian security community have proposed a preemptive nuclear attack as a way to *avoid* a world war.
Indeed, and it is truly delusional. If Russia actually launched an attack, the West would turn every city and military target in Russia into a radioactive slagheap.
btw, preemptive nuclear attack was USA strategy throughout all Cold War up to early 80s, when USSR deployed next gen early warning systems, which ensured most missiles were able to launch while US missiles were still in flight. That idea made preemptive strike pointless: nukes would hit empty silos.
@@bloggalot4718Just goes to show you that the average cost of living in Russia has risen too much. However, the price of Vodka is very cheap! And it's safer to drink than the tap water in Russia. Downside of cheap vodka is that the drinker loses all sense of reason!
Sure... also most of its population is located in a handful of cities in western Russia while most of Russia is empty oo very very low density. I wouldn't want to be a russkiy mir fanatic playing nuclear roulette in these circumstances....... lol. To be fair however... NATO and Western armies could completely paralyze Russia even with non nuclear air / sea strikes.
@@VladVexler I fully agree with dantino and bc-guy - this was an awesome analysis and all sane individuals will be agreeing with it, so thank you very much, Vlad Vexler! Lots of love and listen to you soon! 🇺🇦 Слава Україні! 🇺🇦
A strategic nuclear first strike is basically a kid flipping a game board over because the game isn't going their way. It is the most childish thing one can do but it takes out billions along the way just because of nationalistic ego.
Perhaps more about the ego of just one madman - than the whole nation. If putin has done anything well, it's getting the russian masses to tune out, go zombie - and just follow like sheep. This is all to do with putin's ego and stark-raving madness for power.
'Elevating the risk of Nuclear war makes you an enemy of the human race' So true. Said another time in a bards song You've thrown the worst fear That can ever be hurled Fear to bring children Into the world For threatening my baby Unborn and unnamed You ain't worth the blood That runs in your veins Master of War - by Mr Dylan. Think he said it clear as well, for the guys you mentioned here.
NATO is the ultimate red line. As much as NATO members might talk about aiding Ukraine, Taiwan, whoever, they are ultimately still outsiders that could be sacrificed if the damage incurred otherwise would be too big. NATO WILL send aid, if only to increase the attrition suffered by their enemies, but may also just sit on the sidelines. But if you attack a NATO country - and not just accidentally like happened with the rockets hitting Poland when they were fired on Ukraine but an actual serious first strike, especially a nuclear one - it´s game over. You´re at war with all of NATO now and nukes may already be on the way as well as every western weapon system. Thats why Ukraine wants to become a NATO member so goddamn badly, because they know that its the best safeguard they can possibly get.
Well said. I haven't the words to express my hatred for these Russian Heathens. Barbaric, vile , Lying , Evil ..etc These words aren't strong enough. USA , Germany etc... Drop the Cowardly attitude to the empty Threats. Give Ukraine what it needs to defeat them. I'm 59 and have never felt so strongly.
I feel the same and at the same time I am overwhelmed and kind of ashamed to feel this way. I am a pacifist and find weapons abhorrent. Nevertheless, I donate what I can to Ukraine's fight for the freedom of us all (including to the drones programme). How ridiculous is that? I fully agree to give Ukraine all that we have. If Ukraine cannot stop The Pure Evil, we will no longer need those weapons, demining equipment, fire and emergency trucks etc. anyhow... Ukrainians (soldiers and civilians) are incredible and I bow down in awe! 🇺🇦 Слава Україні! 🇺🇦
You want to know why the Russian’s and other immoral countries exist? We are fighting “dominion’s and higher power’s”. That there are “soulless beings” and after reading this comment, you will be able to see in which area’s of the world they reside. That things were different before the flood of Noah. In Genesis 6 and those old clay jar’s they found in the Qumran Desert, the book of Enoch. That the angel’s sent down to “watch” over mankind, saw “human women were fair” and those angel’s ”fell from their lofty places”. Not only did 1/3 of the angel’s fall from the war in Heaven, that 200-300 fell at this time. That means they had sex. They produced children. Giants and half human, half creature beings. They were the rulers at that time, they were the kings and queens. They are likely in the same positions now. They “are” advanced. Have spaceships and flew around the world and space. That the US Astronaut’s saw building’s and spaceship’s on the moon. NASA just cut the feed to the live event, brushed it off as technical problems. The fallen angel’s took on an “Reptilian image”, the serpent. They were worshipped world wide. That’s why some places have to be seen from the air, like the Nazca Lines and hieroglyphs. They were land markings. Look at the ancient pagan temples, they are chiseled on them. Look at the ancient archaeological findings from the Egyptians, the Hindus, the Mayans, and many more. Read other religion’s ancient writings, they are written there. The aliens and men, with their spaceship’s are carved in stone. In America, we have a “Serpent Mound”. There is a mountain top in Peru that is fashioned into a “Serpent Image”. That the fallen angel’s were messing with human’s DNA. Noah and his family were the only “pure” humans left on earth. The fallen angel’s were trying to destroy the family bloodline of Jesus. That they “mingled with humans’. That they were doing genetic already. That’s why Noah and his family were allowed to escape the deluge and repopulate earth. That they hid the flood story or replaced the character’s of the Bible. Like Nimrod, Noah’s grandson was changed to Gilgamesh. To confuse the people. “Nothing that has been done, that’s not been done before”. They produced “soulless humans”. That in the Bible, when Moses sent in his scout’s into the Promised Land. They told Moses of the Nephilim, the giants. The Hebrew’s were told to “kill everyone”. The old, the women and the children. I couldn’t understand why my loving G-d would say that. They were the “fallen angel’s family members”. Any tribe with “ites” were usually these soulless beings. Like the Sodomites, the Canaanite’s and so on. G-d was trying to save us, again. They still walk with us today. They had enslaved humans to dig for gold. Those pesky fallen angel’s were used to walking on streets of gold. It was not a good time to be human. The giant’s ran out of food. They began to eat humans. Read the book “Man Corn”. That this was not G-d’s plan. Between the fallen angels, man’s sins, the giant’s and them eating us. G-d sent the flood of Noah. The fallen angel’s were chained in the abyss. If you understand, the Bible says “it would happen again”. That those fallen angel’s will be released to reap destruction on mankind in the end times of Revelations. That this story has been around for thousands of years. It’s Satan’s greatest lie, just like the one “he doesn’t exist”. The master’s painted the spaceship’s and alien’s into their paintings. It’s been written in the Bible and other religion’s origins stories. That the aliens come from here, on the interior of this planet, not outer space. That this city/world has been called many names Shamballa, Shangri La, Hades, Xibalba, Sheol, Argartha and many more. That there are entrances around the world. They make a grid around the world, they are called lay lines. They are in the oceans, lakes, rivers and tunnels. They use the water and others, like lava tubes, volcanoes. This is where the aliens come from. US Navy Admiral Byrd found two of them. One in the North Pole. One in the South Pole. He even had a hushed battle with the aliens after WWII in the South Pole. He saw green where there should be ice. He saw prehistoric animals. If you look at the first satellite image of the North Pole, it has a big giant hole there. This is why they don’t let people go to those continents. That Edmond Hailey, of Hailey’s Comet fame, the scientist. He discovered it along with other wise men. Columbus on his way to discover America, had an underwater UFO encounter. Columbus also sailed to an island of “Dogmen” on the way to America too. US Navy recently released video’s of UFO’s/UAP’s, that they were flying into the water. There are many others. I believe that this is where they “hid out” from the deluge, the flood, on the earth. I have read origin’s stories that say “they led us into the interior through caves”. Other’s say “they crawled out of the ocean”. Or they were brought to an island by a “mother ship” and placed there. That these beings will return. That the fallen angels, the demons (drowned dead giant spirits), half human, half creature beings (Bigfoot, Yeti, Dogmen, Mermaids, Fairies, Reptileman, etc.), giants, and the others belong to this family. The Cherokee Indians had a big, red headed giant for their leader. Many other Indian’s have stories of them killing giants. The Paiutes burned several in Loveland Cave. If you study islands, they have many giant bones discovered. The giant’s went to the islands. They were being hunted. It was their last resort. Recently I have been listening to stories of missing people in the US forest and parks. They tell many stories of missing people and the beings they have discovered from the park rangers. Many missing people in just America. Alaska is the worse place to go missing and a lot do. It has the Devil’s Triangle there. Another one of those “places on the lay lines”. When the pit of hell is opened in the apocalypse, these beings are coming out. The Bible says “men’s hearts will fail them”. This is why. They will use “trick’s and wonder’s” to deceive the people into taking the Mark of the Beast, the 666 system. I believe that Satan will come pretending he is the Messiah, Jesus Christ. Bring peace. Understand Jesus is not coming in “peace”. He is coming back as the “Warrior King to conquer Satan”. I recently saw three video’s on TH-cam. One was videoed in the Peru. One was videoed in Mexico. One was in the US. The guy that videoed it was found dead afterwards. They were all of mountain tops. Bare. Except for the giants on them. Those giants were working out, doing push-ups. They are back just like G-d said they would. We are looking at the description of the end times, what is called the “Times of Noah”. G-d bless and protect you, each and everyone of G-d’s children. If you’re not one, better make that choice fast. Before it’s too late. Jesus loves you.
Sadly back in 2006 Poland was vetoing EU-Russia talks to make Russia stronger because we know Russia and you Western Europeans who are the cultured people and not us barbarian Slavs, you wanted us to stop the veto. When the Polish gov changed in 2007 to a pro-German one, the veto was dropped.
Can we live in a world where nuclear threats allow nations to behave horribly? No, is the consensus, but actions tell another story. This hesitancy is so dangerous and sends mixed messages in an issue where clarity and unity are crucial. It's so maddening seeing how often fear of this blackmail is absconded too.
Hesitancy is a feature not a flaw of democracy. Anyone who thinks that it makes them weak needs to compile a list of nations from strongest to weakest and mark which ones are democracies, see whether they lie in the top or bottom of that list.
In the early '90ties mr Karaganov used tp lecture at my University. Then id was all about interdependance and peacefull coexsistance between te former USSR and the west. I wonder how its possible that someone has become so totally radicalized?
My question is: Is the american political class REALLY aware of what is being tossed around in the kremlin?? At the moment they come across as weak and hesitant. Allowing themselves and USA to be bullied by a band of mobsters.
@@petermeijer495 How is it possible to think like that? By living according to "I will think & say anything to increase my short-term power/ wealth". Not only Karaganov thinks like that --> (too) many in Russia (and around the World ^^) think like that. Love to you ❤
Their tactic is to destroy western unity. This can be seen in their spreading of fake news and their support of both far right and far left parties all over the west.
I agree. These threats do make them enemies of humanity. I also believe that the increase in the number of threats show us just how weak the Russian military currently is. I doubt that these types of threats would be made by a state that is winning. We can't allow ourselves to be cowed by this type of extortion.
Listening to you is like reading a well written book, thank you for your discussion of the moral boundaries that are being destroyed right now in Moscow.
@@VladVexler Two i"Russian Issues" that you could cover: The percentage of Russian Tanks that were lost due to loading fifty year old shells into a hot barrel. [As many as a quarter of Russia's tank losses don't have a clear entry point from enemy ordnance. Russia has shifted to the T-55 because the Islamic Republic of Iran currently makes new ammo for the 100 mm canon on the T-55.] The percentage of Russian Strategic Nuclear Weapons that are in working order. [It costs about a million dollars a year per warhead to maintain the thermonuclear warheads & their delivery system.. Given the graft, are even 10% of Russia's Strategic Nuclear Weapons in working order]
It’s an open admission of defeat - if things were going well, no nuclear threats would be necessary. Nuclear weapons are weapons of desperate last resort. Even threatening to use them, is a dead giveaway that Russia is losing.
Right? I'm like wtf is this guy talking about with his "nuclear threat isn't working"? It's the only thing keeping the USAF from making Eastern Ukraine look like Hwy 80, Iraq.
Excellent analysis of the dangerous and increasingly-voiced Russian threat of using tactical nuclear weapons against NATO to deter the West from supporting NATO and generally intimidating Moscow. Also hints that the Russians aren't doing nearly as well at subjugating and controlling Ukraine as they had planned.
But doesn't France and UK have nuclear weapons too? I'm willing to believe that the USA might fail to defend Europe against a unilateral Russian nuclear strike, but France and the UK would know they were under direct threat from an attack even if (say) Russia attacked Poland. Complete idiocy.
#Vlad, I think this is far and away the best commentary on Russia which you have produced in recent months. Succinct without leaving any of the important bits out. Righteous outrage coupled with analytical rigor. In a word, superb.
Never back down when such threats are made. Instead, double down. I wasnt convinced at the very beginning that the west should intervene, but as time passed it became clearer every day that russia needs to be SOUNDLY defeated in the battlefield. We need to give more weapons, more aid of all kind to ukraine, because defeat in ukraine will mean the whole russian regime go down.
What the pro-Ukraine World should do, in response to this & any further such nuclear threats --> DOUBLE the military aid & increase sanctions. 🏆 Double the scope, the scale & the military capabilities we send to Ukrainian armed forces. Enforce secondary sanctions to a much bigger degree. ^^ Demonstrate that the more they threaten us & try to normalize the nuclear option, the more we will be making sure that they loose this war even more decisively. Send ATACMS, many Reaper-style drones (from many allies), a hell of a lot of (also the newer) F-16's + a flood of targeting pods & advanced munitions for them. Add Grippens to the updated Ukrainian airforce. Go at least 50% more on the collective artillery shells pledge deliveries. Flood the Ukrainian army with our tanks & APC's + send them more modern versions of such vehicles. Double our training efforts towards the Ukrainian army - in both scope & scale. The time for appeasement is long gone - "Austria is already annexed ^^, Poland has been invaded. What will we do?" ^^ 🏆
2:44 / 5:40 Has he forgotten about UK and France? The French nuclear doctrine is basically a solution to any preemptive Russian nuclear strike: “France does not have a no-first-use policy and reserves the right to conduct a “final warning” limited nuclear strike to signal to an adversary that they have crossed the line - or to signal the French resolve to conduct further strikes if necessary - in an attempt to reestablish deterrence” Not to mention Belgium, Germany, Italy, Netherlands and Turkey (although they are shared through NATO)
Great point. Putins assumption is that Trump will win and all bets are off. He’s dumb enough to believe his own propaganda that NATO members are lapdogs of the US. This has never been the case. Not to mention that Britain is soon to take a more (centre) leftward turn; so Britain and France being ruled by moderate centrists will not put up with such a threat in Europe. And both have very modern weapons platforms.
The short-asred little psychopath and his twisted friends in the kremlin might want to consider that it is estimated that the British Empire was responsible for the deaths of half a billion people throughout its history. if that pizdec and his friends decide to fire their nukes, the Royal Navy could add another 140 million to that score in about 20 minutes.
I find it hard to take the Russian nuclear threats seriously. Maybe because the threat was there all through my childhood. At some point, you learn to live with the fact that we could be stupid enough to destroy ourselves. Doesn't matter who starts it, can guarantee it wont end well for anyone.
In our childhood it was the soviet union, which at least was idealogically run with a measure of shared decision making to the supreme soviet. Not this band of degenerate gangsters. They have no ideology. Nothing. Thus far more dangerous to humanity then the SU ever was.
@@EugeneYunak Afaik, both the US and the USSR kinda silently understood the threat, so didn't go around threatening eachother willy nilly. Both pretty much understood that they could delete eachother in the blink of an eye, which is why there wasn't much dick measuring going on or chest thumping about "Heed our warnings, or you'll get nuked" as Putin keeps doing here. That being said, there were instances where those silent threats became almost a reality, such as the Cuban missile crisis
Especially the "Madman" response. We all learned it... every story, every movie, it just pervaded everything. If you appease a Madman because he's threatening nuclear war, he or another will just threaten again, and again, and again, until one day what they demand will be worse than nuclear war... so, we might as well get it on now. When an madman threatens nuclear war, there is only one possible response: force. Might end up killing everyone but not responding with force will most assuredly end up killing everyone. No point putting it off. We all learned this. What the hell did they learn? What do they think is going to happen? Some relatively small war in Ukraine and we're already talking about famines. One tiny nuclear attack and people all over the world will start hording food. There will be famines. The world is so connected now that people's collective reaction to events could kill millions, if not billions. One tiny "nuclear demonstration" and millions could die. There is only one reasonable response to a nation that set that bomb off: justifiable cultural genocide.
@@EugeneYunak Well they didn't bleat about it as Putin does but they doubled, tripled, quadrupled their arsenal of nuclear weapons (as did the US). I'm amazed I'm still here...I didn't think I'd survive the 70s as the arms race by that time was going ballistic (sorry)
Thanks always for the excellent quality content. Much love from 🇨🇦. Misinformation presents a substantial challenge to democracies. In democratic societies, having well-informed citizens is crucial for making thoughtful decisions during elections and for ensuring leaders are held accountable. When misinformation proliferates unchecked, it can be as destructive as an unchecked disease, posing a threat to the democratic process.
thats up to the educational system. It needs to be rebuilt for modern day. Its not hard to teach a generation how to critically think. If its been taught one can see through all propaganda.
The democracy is dead... To have a working democracy you must have a free independent press that give objective diverse complete information without lies to the people. We have now a press that do nothing but lie and feed people propaganda and misinformation and at best half truths ...
@@VladVexler It was only up for an hour, so I hope, it will get more people's attention! Thank you so much for this sharp analysis. Lots of love and listen to you soon. 🇺🇦 Слава Україні! 🇺🇦
What I’d love to see is Russia embrace this preemptive strike protocol, launch nukes, have 50% of them fail to ignite the engines, have 40% of them fall back down to blow up on their launch pads, and the final 10% either missing their targets or being shot down by NATO Anti-ICBM systems. Then the entirety of Russia just turns to look at the guy who wrote that article about “nuclear weapons saving humanity” and all he can do in response is shrug.
and THIS is why I am losing my respect for ordinary russian citizens. They are all so scared of their government it's SAD and WRONG.. And that they don't stand up against their country threatening the use of NUKES is insane to me.. Insane.
Well said, Vlad!! I was actively against the wars in Afghanistan, Iraq and Syria but this time I'm not for backing down. I'm sick of them threatening my family so if they want a fight they can have one. If they want a nuclear war, well that's on them but they won't survive it.
The same here. All of Russia is run on corruption and the promotion of the politically loyal but incompetent to positions of high office. Which means that many Russian nuclear systems simply won't work and some will malfunction in a way that takes out Russian not western targets. Our strategic forces are not crippled this way. Any nuclear war Russia started would end far worse for Russia than it does for the west.
@@buddyrojek9417I feel you anger and sorrow. These criminals shall not come out of this unscathed else we can kiss our humanity good bye! Dictatorships must be punished, unjust aggression and war crimes can’t be forgotten! We want justice for Ukraine’s dead and scared people. We want justice to be served, long and hard! We will NEVER turn our back to our friends in Ukraine!
Same, though I do think the Afghan war was at least morally justified, though still wrong in practice. To me, Ukraine's defense is obviously justified just as clearly as WW2. But this nuclear fear rhetoric is only that. The reason it's empty is because if Russia was planning an actual preemptive strike, it would be extremely contentious in Russia's military ranks (some of them are normal humans) and would leak like a sieve to the CIA and every other intelligence agency. In that case NATO would be highly motivated to preempt that strike plan. NATO's capability, particularly air and sea power heavily favor a pre-emptive strike and they have LOTS of practice from said wars. Just as an example, one command and all of Russia's subs could be destroyed by their US tails. War is always messy but NATO's stealth and overwhelming airpower heavily favors a pre-emptive strike as a 'response' to Russia planning an a pre-emptive strike and they certainly know that.
@@nimmha6708Relatively. Not enough unfortunately but not too much less than other countries honestly, more than most. Like every country it depends on age and education.
I have come to the conclusion after a year of gathering global information that human beings are not capable of managing ourselves on a large scale. Also, good people are only concerned with peace & contentment and will not bother themselves with drama, fights & greed. So as people find inner peace, instead of becoming pillars in the community, they resign to the shadows as having power is problematic, lonely and a headache. This is why we are always left with the only ones who do want power, the ones who are selfish, and inhumane. May God bless those on the ground trying to make a difference! Thank-you 🙏♥️.
In conversation (heated sometimes) about Ukraine with 'some' isolationist leftists I'd never thought about using this approach. Instead of using a 'head on' "we've got to arm Ukraine" I am beginning to try to explain the logical outcome of giving into nuclear blackmail over and over and I'm not hearing any screaming yet...yet. 🌻 A lot of silence though (hopefully it's thoughtful) Next, I'm hoping they start coming to some conclusions about 'how'. (and I hope they are thinking about how this impacts our democracy)
Listening to russian (not a spelling mistake) clowns talking about nuclear strikes always makes me wonder if they know that NATO also has nuclear weapons and they would hit Russia within minutes.
Have you watched the video yet? Their theory is: bomb a Nato country that doesn't have nuclear weapons. The countries that do will not hit Russia with one of their nuclear weapons because they do not want to be the next target hit by nuclear weapons. Russia has credible secondary strike capabilities. It is a truly evil logic and I hope they will never act upon it.
I think the NATO counter-attack would strike russian targets BEFORE the russian nukes got to their destinations. LOTS of nukes in Europe and they're already all targeting all the russian key points. russian may be stupid enough to start a nuclear attack (or have them blow up in their unmaintained silo's) but they would certainly NOT survive the counterattacks.
12 minutes for US subs to hit Russian targets. However they may claim that the US would not retaliate immediately and instead may choose to try to de-escalate. The Russians have a strategy called escalation to de-escalation. They threaten a nuclear strike in less important NATO countries and in response would threaten even more, but think the West would blink and decide that killing some Slavs is OK but not Germanics or Brits.
.....you are absolutely right....this rhetoric is simply disgusting.....I have never before in my life felt as coldly angry as I feel at the moment.....
This was...extremely chilling...and extremely important. To the point i wish these two men a swift and hasty departure from this world. They have already gone too far, and as you rightfully say, thus became enemies of all life on earth.
@@charlethemagne5466 I didn't see laugh in this video. I was laughing that this guy is afraid that destruction of Ukraine will bring the world to its end.
They have become enemies of humanity long ago but the West thought they might get away with it even after polonium in London, Novichok in Salisbury and the "far right" rising on the wings of Prigozhin troll farms and meddling with US elections. Now they are bluffing, what else can they do? There is no person who would follow that order, there is still a chain of personnel in which it is executed and it will break.They all want to live, enjoy their yachts and palaces.
"I would not want to live in a world without Russia", must be the most frightening words ever uttered by a dictator, as he is a dictator with the means to literally destroy the world. We are entering very sensitive times, when the prospects for able American and European leadership are potentially suspect. Another powerful video Vlad.
Yea...so crazy for a leader to say that he does not want to live without his country. Rolls eyes. Have you ever tired not being hostile towards Russia? No?
@nowheredotc0m except that is not what he meant, he meant the world should go rather than himself. This comment is not aimed at Ruussia, by the way, but it's present leadership. Indeed if Putin wants to jump out of a window, let him have at it. To many he would be doing the world a favor. But we KNOW that is not going to happen.
It's Putin's arrogance to think that he is Russia. He's simply the current pied piper. He means to say he didn't want to think about a world where he isn't Tsar. Very Pinky and the Brain.
@@zlauriault Putin is R*ssia. The only thing that forcibly holds together 300+ ethnic groups captive in Moscow’s imperial prison of nations is slavish devotion to the iron-fisted autocratic Tsar in the Moscow Kremlin.
It's been a long time coming my friend. i just want to let you know it's OK to feel angry and snap over this. You trawl through the worst examples of humanity on a daily basis and you do it with dignity and clarity. Everyone has a breaking point that needs a pressure release valve. I thank you for your work. The beer is chilling in the fridge waiting for you here in nz 😊
@@wespenwald1297 i agree of course. I was being flippant and its a common nz invite to friends rather than an excuse to lose yourself in alcohol to forget your problems. I was inferring use as a social lubricant rather than an excess abuse of alcohol. But well done for being vigilant. Thank you 😀
Thanks! I wish to add that your ability to get to the center of the issue is invaluable to those of us who are overwhelmed by the complexities of this historical and political quagmire. You are a gift to me and so many others as evidenced in the comment section.
I@@bc-guy852 It is only recently that I have become able to repay for his content and that of others that I depend on for such commentary, analysis and news. Hopefully this counts as paying it forward, and if I may consider it something I am doing on your behalf as well, I consider myself blessed. Thanks for seeing Vlad as the light in the darkness that he is.
@@personzorz there are way more weaknesses than just Musk, look at the international organizations like UN, other NGOs and even Pope. Ruzzian influence agents are everywhere. Also Elon needs China for his Tesla batteries, so there is a clear connection as china is an ally of russia to some extent.
@personzorz Starlink was provided to Ukraine for free, under the terms of service in not be used for combat operations, only communication. They attempted to violate that agreement, and were not allowed to do so.
This is cartoonish supervillainy in real life. Their words literally read like a justice league antagonist's. Also... love that you showed the Utah Capitol building in this video to demonstrate democracy. You have no way of knowing this living in the UK, but Utah is among the US' least democratic states. This stems from the Mormons once having had a total theocracy here and not necessarily being happy about giving that up to join the United States. I know because I'm from Utah born and raised...
Finally Vlad! A REAL rant from you 😉 . I can only imagine how hard it was for you and how often you edited. Lets put some conspiracy theories on why the editing of the video didnt work for 30 hrs lol. Lots of wellbeing for you. Thanks for the work and effort.
Vlad, an honest question. If the nuclear threats are all bluff and blackmail, does it not then follow logically that NATO should intervene directly and kick Russia out of Ukraine, since they wouldn't dare actually fire off a nuke?
The economy of discourse shift that you described made my hair stand on end. That happens. We've seen it happen in our own politics recently. It is totally imaginable that such a closed group in the Kremlin could get into domains of thinking that to any external person looking in would be correctly classified as utter lunacy. That's very worrying. Such an important message Vlad. As ever, good work my friend.
Dear Neil thank you. Yes I suspect these beeps are talking about it a portion of the time, even if none of them is genuinely committed to it as an option.
Thank you for the update! Fantastic news amidst the challenging situation! The Ukrainian Armed Forces are making significant advances towards Donetsk, taking control of key areas like Opytne and moving closer to Spartak and the 2014 border. It's a pleasant surprise to see them making progress where the occupiers least expected it. Despite the enemy's attempts to counter, Ukrainian forces are holding their ground and even pushing further. Let's discuss this remarkable development! 🇺🇦💪
Sobering but valuable words. I fear that many in the west (looking at you Musk) will use this to undermine Ukraine's and the West's defence of civilisation For me, it makes it even more important to support Ukraine and western democracy against Mordor.
Russian strategists analysis is based an asumption that the US would finally be scared to retaliate with their nuclear weapons if European countries only are striked ... They wrongly think the NATO nuclear capability is stricly limited to the US umbrella... UK indeedis said not being able to use its own nuclear weapons without US agreement because they got the technology from them but FRance is fully independant and has its own nuclear submarine launchers : 100 ICBM and 600 nuclear warheads can be fired by its submarines in return even after France has been wiped out by an hypersonic preventive strike for instance. Considering the current statuts of Russian air defense due to Ukraine War that's more than enough to eradicate the whole Russia whose 75% of population is concentrated to dozens of major cities. rest of population in countryside already lives at stone age. End of story for Russia anyway in case of strike on Europe without answer from the US.
I never cease to be amazed at what comes out of various Russian mouths. It's gone past shaking my head, even past smacking my head on the desk. I'm running out of escalating facepalm reactions.
Great video Vlad,worth the wait.. saddens me greatly Ukraine tried to lead the world with nuclear disarmament and now paying such a terrible price and now the doomsday clock is even closer to midnight..
Ukraine had little choice but to disarm. It wasn't leading the way. It had no capability of affording or maintaining those warheads and was part of it's agreement for independence. Ukraine has been a thoroughly corrupt country until very recently and we in the West should recognise and accept this, as it's the objective truth, something we need to stay in touch with.
@@vivo-audio Even as recently in April of this year Bill Clinton said he regrets "persuading" Ukraine to give up nuclear weapons.. and where are USA and UK and Russias!! security agreements if they did so?!?..
Is word 'preemptive' even makes any sense today? You are not preempt anything with today technologies. In reality it just means 'first'. You start first and die close second.
Reminds me of the commie motto of my youth "fight for peace". Never made much sense back then even to my propaganda-affected 10year old brain. This doublethink which allows to turn logic on its head to pursue whatever personal agenda one might have also precludes any constructive discussion you may want to have with them.
The Russians got ICBMs first and there was a "missile gap" that JFK closed. Of course, America has submarines now. MAD can be enforced months after a first launch.
The difference was that overt nuclear threats were VERY rare in the Cold War. The USSR understood what it was dealing with and that nuclear bullying would not get them any sort of long-term gains. The gangsters who rule modern Russia are closer to a monkey with a grenade.
Oh, the early 80s! Rumor had it that our campus would be a target because of one prominent building visible from space. Along with the various hallway instructions for emergencies in our dormitory the following was added: “In case of nuclear firestorm, please vaporize in .003 seconds.”
There are people/countries who still sympathize with Russia's self-appointed stand against America and the West. They follow the rational that the enemy of my enemy is my friend Putin relies heavily on this argument: Because Russia desperately needs the moral support of others to justify the atrocities committed now and in the future. However, the people who buy into Putin's argument, and refuse to vote against Russia or enforce sanctions (India, China, Iran, Brazil and the plethora of African Nations that have historically received Russian support), need to see that an autocratic leader who threatens to use nuclear weapons is the enemy to our planet's survival. We all need to revisit history and remind ourselves how "Autocratic Leaders" have been responsible for the most horrendous mass killings that have taken place on our planet. Pol Pot (1.7M deaths), Hideki Tojo (5M deaths), Leopold II of Belgium (2-15M deaths), Adolf Hitler (17M deaths), Jozef Stalin (23M deaths) and Mao Zedong (49-78M deaths). Left unchecked, Putin and his supporter's are in a prime position to grab the number one spot on this list. Everyone who refuses to shame Putin is responsible. Why? Failing to express opposition to Putin (an autocratic leader) helps him justify his insane logic of saving the world by starting a nuclear war to destroy the west. Russia's supporters need to look in the mirror and ask themselves ..... Do we have 2-10 years of food and water needed to survive a nuclear winter that makes food production impossible. Do we have the medical ability to deal with the illnesses that will arise from global radiation? Will we regret not doing more to shame Russia, and making it clear that we do not want Russia to save us by starting a nuclear war. A war that could lead to millions and even billions of deaths. As members of your audience, I believe we have an obligation to share this moral outrage with the world. People think they have no power. However, the expression of moral outrage by every individual may be the best way to shame Putin --- making him see that the entire world rejects his dystopian plan to save the world by starting a nuclear war.
Right to the point. Problem is that the basics of this war do not reach the people in the supporting countries as the information war in this category is dominated by Russia.
@@ikda12 I think autocracies (and certain politicians) do a better job of distilling their simple vision (i.e., beat the other side) and then repeating the same message over and over. To those who can reason, the repetition of the lie sounds insane. But, strangely, the message resonates with the masses of people who willingly participate in the deception because they want to believe the lie. The problem is that the consumer of the lie actively rejects the logical reasoning embraced and shared by "critical thinkers." Another approach is required. The alluring, and oft repeated, lie .... is best defended by a universal truth --- that no one can deny. Here, the simple universal truth is that "The entire world should stand against anyone who endangers humanity's existence by threatening nuclear war to simply further their own colonial and nationalistic ambitions."
The whole "we had to kill them all to save all their immortal souls line". Tell us you are a member of a genocidal cult more please, without telling us you are a member of a genocidal cult.
Very interesting thoughts! I value your insights and expertise in this matter very highly. Best wishes from Germany! As for my own experience, something very telling I noticed recently when I was talking with a neighbour about Putin and Ukraine: At one point my neighbour insisted that supplying weapons to Ukraine would only provoke Russia and we should seek negotiations instead, because Putin would, in his mind, enter these negotiations in good faith (already quite naive). When whe came to the nuclear threats, however, he told me that the west risks causing a nuclear war by sending weapons to ukraine and that we should take Putins threats seriuosly because he is unpredictable and somewhat mad. What he couldn't explain to me is why we should assume that Putin is crazy enough to cause an apocalyptic nuclear war AND sensible enough to enter negotiations honestly after we stopped supplying Ukraine, both at the same time.
These are not easy conversations to have, and above all, they must be torturous to ponder and mull over all the time. I really appreciate that you are putting in the hard work to get the conversation started in an intellectually honest way. You do an amazing job at giving your perspective as you penetrate the Russian veil. I really hope you take care of yourself and stay strong friend. What you are doing is a big deal.
Russian nuclear talk never mentions France's aggressive nuclear response plan. Its always about the U.S. which makes me believe its more for a domestic audience
France has it written in its plan (and just recently reiterated it) that they will use their nuclear weapons only in defence of their own country, not in defence of other Nato allies. Russia's calculation is that also GB and the US will do the same (even though they have more ambiguity on how they would respond in such a case).
@@sointu123 "France does not have a no-first-use policy and reserves the right to conduct a “final warning” limited nuclear strike to signal to an adversary that they have crossed a line-or to signal the French resolve to conduct further nuclear strikes if necessary-in an attempt to “reestablish deterrence” (Élysée 2020; Tertrais 2020)" I think France's national security would be compromised by an adversary if that adversary considers nuking its allies. If any European city is nuked I think France would fully cooperate with NATO's response but as a sovereign military.
And that's why any outcome that ends with Russia retaining nukes is an unsatisfactory one. They'll just keep doing it over and over and over and over again. If the nuclear threat wasn't at play the war would have ended as soon as the closest US Carrier could arrive on the scene.
@@personzorz Yeah, you can't just tell ruZZia to go away. The ruZZians must first be defeated. Then disarmed. Then the ruZZian empire (federation) must be dismantled. Defeated. disarmed, dismembered.
This nuclear intimidation rhetoric isn't supposed to make rational sense, which is why it doesn't. It's supposed to strike fear in the public; which unfortunately it does. But there is nothing beyond this. Bowing to these empty threats also incentives them to make more. We all know how bully psychology works. On a strategic level, Russia's dilemma is IF NATO credibly believed Russia was planning a preemptive strike (and it is almost certain the CIA would know), the most rational response would be NATO's own conventional pre-preemptive strike. Russia knows their military intelligence leaks and it is also not a secret the US tails all Russian subs on the fairly rare occasions they go out to sea and the reason is precisely to be able to destroy them if need be. US doctrine also allows for a pre-emptive nuclear strike though it is unlikely that would be done. But in this extreme case, the US and NATO have a far more powerful pre-emptive strike capability with stealth bombers (B2 and F-35) able to deliver nuclear bombs on Russian ICBM complexes at essentially no risk of interception. Considering the state of Russia's air defenses, even 4th gen aircraft and normal cruse missiles could do this. TLDR; in the case of Russia actually planning a pre-emptive strike, NATO would be highly motivated and much more capable to strike first with nuclear on the table too in order to destroy Russian launch installations.
It goes against Starlink's terms of service for it to be used for combat operations; it's only to be used for communications. If Ukraine can't accept that, while being provided this service for free, they can, respectfully, get bent.
I think its worth looking at the life of Bruce Kent and the CND movement. There was a time when nuclear disarmament seemed feasible and a realistic vision of the future. There were strong calls for the UK to unilaterally disarm to set a good example and the implication was that unilaterally disarming would not place the UK population at risk. Ukraine unilaterally disarmed, Bruce Kent died (he was 92) in 2022 and now we have in Russia (along with N Korea, Iran) serious thinkers and people with power and nuclear weapons threatening to use them. Its hard to overstate how far Russia is dragging down the human race.
The world: " " Russia: "We should consider a pre-emptive nuclear strike." Gee, I wonder what part in here is the unnecessary, dangerous thing to humanity that we could do without.
WATCH NEXT:
Why Russian History Repeats itself (Putin & his hero Alexander III)
th-cam.com/video/bWJjrXVkFBA/w-d-xo.html
Why Losing Crimea May Destroy Putin
https:/th-cam.com/video/N6CGbYQIVJs/w-d-xo.html
How Putin Fooled the Western Left
th-cam.com/video/017WGzJ5fHA/w-d-xo.html
---
You can now support Vlad's work on Patreon!
www.patreon.com/vladvexler
Support Vlad via PayPal
www.paypal.com/paypalme/vladvexler?country.x=GB&locale.x=en_GB
---
WATCH MORE:
The Postmodern Hell Of Russian Propaganda
th-cam.com/video/_j6Vg7yLx54/w-d-xo.html
Why I left the USSR....and why post-Soviet Russia failed
th-cam.com/video/8BbXqeW7mz8/w-d-xo.html
The Riddle of Why Russians Don't Protest
th-cam.com/video/K4O3D7CfThA/w-d-xo.html
THIS explains why Russia starts insane wars
th-cam.com/video/V6UiEXrVrvg/w-d-xo.html
It seems as if Russian leadership has forgotten the United States remains the only nation on Earth we know does not bluff about using nuclear weapons? The United States can, will and HAS used nuclear devices against another country.
6:22
#fckafd
#fckgop
#fckfpö
#fckpis
#fckfidesz
#fckfascism
We need mass protests at Russian and Chinese embassies all over the world. NO to nuclear blackmail.
History repeats because some people are SLOW LEARNERS.
Video finally uploaded!! Great job Vlad! We appreciate your work!!
"It just ain't true that starting a nuclear war against NATO, is a way to reduce the odds of a nuclear war against NATO"
That really does sum up the perverse absurdity of their reasoning
Russia is not interested in avoiding nuclear war at all. If there is a cost, they know everyone will pay it, and the Russians will still come out ahead.
They want you to believe they are unhinged because in their mindset this brings fear. Russia runs on fear.
So how much of a murder/suicide pact would be tolerable? This is what passes for sanity in Kremlin circles. Who will have a statue marked "started the last glorious war accidentally while trying to sharpen a pencil." Old joke: At the end of a nuclear war, humanity is wiped out or nearly so, no city still stands, and in the sky, two pilots (one from each side) decide to collide and die rather than survive. Seeing the explosion from the ground, one ape turns her head to face another ape, saying with resignation, "Well, here we go again!"
While it sounds self-contradictory, there is a certain logic to it. It assumes that Western war planners will think about their actions instead of blindly following the suicidal maxim: "if one flies they all fly."
Putin knows exactly what happens when he uses WMDs. After being warned by Trump about using chemical weapons in Syria, the US hit Russian aircraft bases and Wagners. Putin immediately backed off. He will know the same will happen x 100 if he uses nukes of any sort. Every Russian military base would be a smoking crater and not a nuke in sight.
When Russia makes these despicable threats, don't fret and give them what they want, increase aid to Ukraine instead. If you give them what they want, you encourage them to make *more* nuclear threats. And conversely, if you give them what they *don't* want, you discourage them from making nuclear threats.
I believe Biden made clear to Putin in a private call what would happen if he pushed the button.
He won't do it, it's not worth taking any of his goons seriously.
Exactly.
beep beep boop@@erenerdemir7923
Just have all nuclear weapons dialed to Moscow and Saint Petersburg. Then the Russian citizens will stop voting for Putin
It's all psychological warfare. A day wouldn't be the same without a Russian nuclear threat. Putin and Medvedev want to be around to spend their billions. So relax.
Imagine the reaction of China and India, if the US talked like this.
Nobody takes Russia seriously.
Solovyov threatens to nuke everyone and their dog as an opener for his topic of the day.
💚
BRICS countries are the biggest hypocrites... Brazil, India, South Africa are all supposedly anti-imperial but only supposedly Western imperialism. If it's Russia waging imperialist war, with China marking time in the background while positioning itself for imperial projection via its Belt and Road project, no problem!
Imagine what they are thinking of when Russia does it
I think they factored in the bluffing to their calculus. The idea that Russia could win any kind of war now, particularly one which requires precision weapons capable of avoiding air defences is less likely by the day.
"We start a nuclear war to prevent a nuclear war." I really hope there are secret service teams/agents in Russia, or Russians themselves to stop such people once they give this kind of orders. Whoever gives such an order losses in my opinion the right to exist, or at least the right to have any kind of power and decisionmaking.
Vlad "Long Table" Putin has anticipated all the angles. He fired his carrier of the nuclear football months ago. I pay attention.
@@AstroGremlinAmerican i suppose you don't have links to your sources?
8oioo
The biggest fallacy is the idea that if Washington chickens out no nuclear war ensues. Like...France has nuclear missles, UK has nuclear missles...evn Turkey and the Neatherlands have some nuclear capacity, the chances that a strike won't be responded to are minimal. The life-ending posibilities are huge!
Yeah, while NATO does have a nuclear umbrella strategy, I don’t think it means a nation within it couldn’t retaliate with their own nuclear weapons. France especially. For better or worse, they’ve always valued being independent of most things.
@@nathanclark2424 This. De Gaulle got on the bad side of both the British and the Americans just to ensure that France would have its own sovereign nuclear arsenal that it didn't need Washington's permission to use.
"Russia has chosen war as a means of resolving conflicts. From Chile, we condemn the invasion of Ukraine, the violation of its sovereignty, and the illegitimate use of force. We stand in solidarity with the victims and will strive for peace through our humble efforts." - Gabriel Boric 🇨🇱
You know you screwed up when nations at the other corner of the world with nearly zero stake in the game still call you out over your bulshit.
Now those words would have had more meaning if Boric didn't proceed to buy Russian oil after saying them...
Finally! One decent leader in LatAm
@@jorgeluiscapiello414 Yeah it's so surrreal to see other ex-colonies side with the colonizer against another ex-colony. And why? Because they hate the USA. Shame on you, Lula (and others too).
@@jorgeluiscapiello414Guatemala has been very unambiguously on the right side of the issue from the very start! But I'm glad they have company.
What about all those Russians being killed by Ukrainians for years before "the illegitimate use of force"? Just let it be? Or maybe they didn't tell you about this little thing?
So his argument is basically: I will launch a nuclear strike, to prevent myself in the future from launching even stronger and more numerous nuclear strikes and destroying the world, saving humanity... from myself.
Priceless...
Emotionally, I'm sliding rapidly toward saying fkit and wishing we'd launch a counter-force surprise preemptive attack, betting they can't actually retaliate before our missiles land, and hoping first that we know where most of their subs and mobile launchers are snd second that most of any warheads they manage to launch are duds. Realistically I know that's irresponsible but it seems logical.
@@j.f.fisher5318 A nuclear war cannot be won and must never be fought. And we must be very clear about that... because sentences like that, like the one you just said, is exactly the reasons why they might also think a preemptive nuclear strike is a good idea.
This is an extremely tricky situation and there is really no easy way out of it.
But the best answer right now seems to be just continuing to support ukraine... probably in better more drastic manners. So that Russia is expelled from ukraine and we can live in peace back to the status quo.
"Thank you" is what they expect when they don't shoot you in the face while having you looking down the barrel
@@diegog1853well said
Yes well it doesn't actually quite work like that in the real world, now does it?
I was born, raised, and currently live in "Conditional Boston," and even I am wandering around trying to convince anyone who will listen that trading nuclear risk now for nuclear risk later is not a winning strategy.
The idea that the rf wouldn't be melted down to beaded glass if they launched a nuke is so absurd that it's left me wondering how these "men" got elevated to the point that they are considered to be intellectuals. Even in the rf.
Great stuff, Vlad. Thank you!
The problem is not that they are not intellectual enough. The problem is that they are miscreants.
To a significant degree, the fake intellectuals are encouraged by Putin. Having loyal loud crazies places him as the most "reasonable man" around, and one who can be trusted to keep the crazies in line.
Well formulated. More like that in the comments please.
Ruzzia empire thinking where everyone gets around a fire and drinks themselves to a frenzy before an axe battle on horseback.
It's just empty fear rhetoric. Russia knows how leaky their military is so an actual pre-emptive strike plan wouldn't work. Rather, NATO would be highly motivated to preempt any actual preemptive strike plan because it plays 100% to NATO's strengths with stealth and total air dominance. It's not even a secret all Russian subs are tailed on the rare occasions that they are out at sea.
I had a year long nervous breakdown following the nuclear rhetoric. I had the worst time, spent thousands on survival equipment, anti radiation tablets food and water and tools. I have a 4 yr old and I was contemplating suicide. It was a living hell. I shall never forgive Russia for it.
If anyone is caught in that spiral (probably happens much more often than many of us think): Cut internet access to a minimum, don't listen to any news, go on with your daily business. Try again after a few weeks.
i've snapped twice just spectating the war for 580 something days. I've had to exit the internet on these occasions. Too close to the fire emotionally. This war is a simple good v's evil thing that poses an existential threat to us all. Evil is still in the game. 'Good' has not crushed it. 'Good' seems to be watching it ravage Ukraine and threatening the Free World. 'It is no measure of health to be well adjusted to a profoundly sick society.'(J.Krishnamurti)
So sorry to hear this. I did something similar. I was in China for the worst of COVID-19, though, so my reaction seemed a lot more sensible given the kinds of things happening, people being welded into their houses without any food etc. There was an elderly couple that jumped out of their window together and committed suicide...So sad. I don't blame Russia, though. None of this happened in isolation. I expect Russia to behave like a scumbag, I don't expect that from our own politicians. That was the scariest part for me, the whole whole world was turning into one big dictatorship. At least you still have your baby, God bless you both. I lost everything. A wife to suicide and my three boys to the aftermath. I don't even know why I'm still alive. I've been searching for a reason, still can't find one. Give your kiddo a big hug. Love them. It can all be over in the blink of an eye. It's only now that I'm sitting here alone that I realize all those terrible times during Covid? ****Those**** were the GOOD times. At least I was together with my family and the way forward seemed clear at the time. Now, I hardly know what day it is, or where I'm supposed to go. I truly wish all the best for you and your baby. Sadly, my wishes don't seem to count for much - but God bless you both anyway.
you may be a woman, but still you can't be that weak to go on spending with that purpose, NO MATTER THE SITUATION your 4 yr old son will have the same future, rather no future as you, as all of us. if you survive ( suppose you survive) and suppose you surviving with no harm to your body at all, YOU THEN , living in that abyss would suicide 500%, trust me, and by the way suiciding before it happens at any time is a BAD idea, PLUS, to die almost instantly burned / disintegrating looks like a blessing to me, always choose the best option in any situation and navigate life
You are just crazy, plain simple.
"Enemies of the human race" sums this topic up very well.
Thank you Vlad. More than ever, we need to defend democracy at all cost.
Those who yearn for authoritarianism and "strong leaders", and see Russia as a good example, should look at what happened to Kurshin, Surovikin, and Prigozhin and realise that *nobody* is safe in such a country, regardless of political alignment.
As Winston Churchill said:
"democracy is the worst form of government... except for all the others that've been tried from time to time"
@@jzsbff4801 blah blah f------g blah soft lad
Whose democracy?
@@jzsbff4801 How exactly is democracy threatened by Russia? What a nonsense is all this fake propaganda..
"We have to start a nuclear war to prevent a nuclear war!" That old chestnut.
Submarines change everything.
@@AstroGremlinAmerican We had submarines during the cold war. Your point being?
in the first world war. discussion between german leaders was almost indentical. it went something like this: "if we don't start the war, france or britain will soon be the ones starting it. but if we start the war, we would be at least the first to be prepared for it." And we know, what happened to germany after that.
What a pretty chunk of 💩💩💩💩!!!I,m sure you did your best!Don,t forget to flush!🤣
@@AstroGremlinAmerican russian nuclear subs are tracked at all times by the US though
I think it would be useful to have some kind of database of these nuclear threats by Russian government officials so every time western apologists try to paint Russia as a "normal" country line any other they could be referred to such index and refresh their memory.
Good idea, really good idea Paul!
I don't know who could do such a project - any thoughts?
There is a Wikipedia page that lists the threats. I think it is a partial list but it is a start. The page is called: "Nuclear threats during the Russian invasion of Ukraine".
none of the threats were by the goverment, he literally had to dig up some random commentators and economocs professors lol. In fact in the the US the pulled out of the open skies treaty and started saying the can use tactical nukes, thats partially why we actually go into this mess.
@@VladVexler was it russia that pulled out of the open skies treaty? what was obamas stance on tactical nukes?
"Violence is the last refuge of the incompetent."
- from Isaac Asimov's book.
The world has no answer for this dilemma: you have a bar where people sometimes fight. All of a sudden one of the guys says "I have put 1 ton of TNT under the bar. Anyone hits me I blow up the bar.". And then he drinks. This was cold war. Now the big difference is the same guy started punching the guy drinking next to him. Should we let him beat up everyone?
brilliant analogy. brilliant. we should all beat shit out of the guy, all at once, now.
"To beat Putin, keep your democracies". Simple, eloquent, powerful. Thanks Vlad.
Yes but not the democracies from 2006 who chastised Poland from vetoing Russia-EU trade talks and deals ... democracy itself is no defense when we only had Poland under a conservative government in 2006 keeping the Russians at bay while the Brits, Germans, Dutch etc were all over the Russians and wanted their money.
Democraties are lost for the sake of safety 🛟
I don’t understand how US intelligence (or the various administrations?) can be so clueless about Russia sending Hillary Clinton under Obama to do a “reset” w/Russia, when they should have been sending her with threats. Putin is right about democracies being weak, at least the one here in the US. Never having lived under a dictatorship (trump doesn’t count), I don’t really know, but doesn’t seem like people can improve their lives much even with extremely hard work, especially if you are an ethnic minority. Honestly, it looks to me it’s becoming more true of the US everyday as well.
Democracies poised to launch. Russia knows that we have submarines that can strike days, weeks, and months later. But do we have the will? The Russians knew that Reagan had the will.
@@prsimoibn2710 Putinwishful thinking.
I love your forthright clarity today, Vlad. Sometimes filth just needs to be called out as filth - and with righteous anger.
It's strange to see a philosopher who is careful with words to talk like that. However, it's well deserved. We are talking about apocalypse FFS. This is something that even Genghis Khan would disapprove.
@@mats8375 Then we need to stop funding this war effort. Zelensky's an effective parasite. This was never our fight.
Karaganov, Trenin, Putin and all who believed in them are all filth.
Hostis Humani Generis, a proper identification for these scum.
The way bullies can paint themselves as victims never ceases to amaze me, along with the alarming amount of sympathy they garner from people who should know better.
Putin just said that he was "forced" to abandon the grain deal (and bomb grain ports in Ukraine). The guy is like a spoiled child movie star in America. He's has two decades in power with his brain rattling around that he's special.
I laugh whenever I hear the things Russia accuses Ukraine of being. A clear case of the pot calling the kettle black! I might have been voting for Trump again when/if he gets clear of his legal matters. But now? No! Not when he says he will stop sending help to Ukraine. Look at a map of Russia, how huge it is! Look how much Ukraine is dwarfed by Russia's size! Trump said Ukraine was too corrupt to waste on helping them. What? Does he not know how corrupt Russia is? It seems Putin has lied to & fooled Trump as well. Tsk. Tsk. Tsk. One thing. Russia thinks it is such a big shot??? I guess the underdog is biting the gonads of the bully. 😉💙💛💙💛💙💛 Slava Ukraine!
Ie the hut dwellers of the world
The term for it is DARVO: Deny, Attack, Reverse Victim / Offender. Notice how often Russia accuses Ukraine of doing exactly what it's doing? They know the importance of getting the first accusation out, especially when Western media still complies with bothsides reporting.
@gigig Exactly so! Very well put!
Worth the wait. Much love to you Vlad. P.S. It is really bizarre to hear that members of the Russian security community have proposed a preemptive nuclear attack as a way to *avoid* a world war.
Love back at you
Indeed, and it is truly delusional. If Russia actually launched an attack, the West would turn every city and military target in Russia into a radioactive slagheap.
btw, preemptive nuclear attack was USA strategy throughout all Cold War up to early 80s, when USSR deployed next gen early warning systems, which ensured most missiles were able to launch while US missiles were still in flight. That idea made preemptive strike pointless: nukes would hit empty silos.
It's totally bizarre if you don't know Russia. This is par for the course mate.
If they can't maintain a truck tyre to get to Kyiv, how do we expect the Russian army to have proper tritium levels in their nuclear warheads?
The unique and scary thing about Russia is the disproportion of a vast amount of power with a minuscule amount of responsibility.
Minuscule amount of grey cells.
@@bloggalot4718Just goes to show you that the average cost of living in Russia has risen too much.
However, the price of Vodka is very cheap!
And it's safer to drink than the tap water in Russia.
Downside of cheap vodka is that the drinker loses all sense of reason!
The responsibility will fall on the people! They will have to take full responsibility for their leaders actions!
Sure... also most of its population is located in a handful of cities in western Russia while most of Russia is empty oo very very low density. I wouldn't want to be a russkiy mir fanatic playing nuclear roulette in these circumstances....... lol. To be fair however... NATO and Western armies could completely paralyze Russia even with non nuclear air / sea strikes.
Miniscule amount of grey matter.
This was intense. What an insane time to be alive. Thx Vlad for your insight and generosity.
Thank you for being with me.
@@VladVexler How could any sane individual NOT be with you Vlad? Heroyam Slava!
@@VladVexler I fully agree with dantino and bc-guy - this was an awesome analysis and all sane individuals will be agreeing with it, so thank you very much, Vlad Vexler! Lots of love and listen to you soon!
🇺🇦 Слава Україні! 🇺🇦
A strategic nuclear first strike is basically a kid flipping a game board over because the game isn't going their way. It is the most childish thing one can do but it takes out billions along the way just because of nationalistic ego.
The only way we can stop Russian ego is to threaten all Russians with death , not just Putin
Russia is a death cult. Killing billions is a feature of the approach.
Jupp. Classic: 'If I can't have it, you can't have it, either'.
Classic narcissist move.
Perhaps more about the ego of just one madman - than the whole nation. If putin has done anything well, it's getting the russian masses to tune out, go zombie - and just follow like sheep. This is all to do with putin's ego and stark-raving madness for power.
Except it´s not your kid. it´s a little goblin and you have a loaded magnum, no patience and you really want to make it dead.
'Elevating the risk of Nuclear war makes you an enemy of the human race' So true.
Said another time in a bards song
You've thrown the worst fear
That can ever be hurled
Fear to bring children
Into the world
For threatening my baby
Unborn and unnamed
You ain't worth the blood
That runs in your veins
Master of War - by Mr Dylan. Think he said it clear as well, for the guys you mentioned here.
Stupid song.
NATO is the ultimate red line. As much as NATO members might talk about aiding Ukraine, Taiwan, whoever, they are ultimately still outsiders that could be sacrificed if the damage incurred otherwise would be too big. NATO WILL send aid, if only to increase the attrition suffered by their enemies, but may also just sit on the sidelines.
But if you attack a NATO country - and not just accidentally like happened with the rockets hitting Poland when they were fired on Ukraine but an actual serious first strike, especially a nuclear one - it´s game over. You´re at war with all of NATO now and nukes may already be on the way as well as every western weapon system.
Thats why Ukraine wants to become a NATO member so goddamn badly, because they know that its the best safeguard they can possibly get.
Well said. I haven't the words to express my hatred for these Russian Heathens. Barbaric, vile , Lying , Evil ..etc These words aren't strong enough. USA , Germany etc... Drop the Cowardly attitude to the empty Threats. Give Ukraine what it needs to defeat them. I'm 59 and have never felt so strongly.
I feel the same and at the same time I am overwhelmed and kind of ashamed to feel this way. I am a pacifist and find weapons abhorrent. Nevertheless, I donate what I can to Ukraine's fight for the freedom of us all (including to the drones programme). How ridiculous is that? I fully agree to give Ukraine all that we have. If Ukraine cannot stop The Pure Evil, we will no longer need those weapons, demining equipment, fire and emergency trucks etc. anyhow... Ukrainians (soldiers and civilians) are incredible and I bow down in awe!
🇺🇦 Слава Україні! 🇺🇦
You want to know why the Russian’s and other immoral countries exist? We are fighting “dominion’s and higher power’s”. That there are “soulless beings” and after reading this comment, you will be able to see in which area’s of the world they reside. That things were different before the flood of Noah. In Genesis 6 and those old clay jar’s they found in the Qumran Desert, the book of Enoch. That the angel’s sent down to “watch” over mankind, saw “human women were fair” and those angel’s ”fell from their lofty places”. Not only did 1/3 of the angel’s fall from the war in Heaven, that 200-300 fell at this time. That means they had sex. They produced children. Giants and half human, half creature beings. They were the rulers at that time, they were the kings and queens. They are likely in the same positions now. They “are” advanced. Have spaceships and flew around the world and space. That the US Astronaut’s saw building’s and spaceship’s on the moon. NASA just cut the feed to the live event, brushed it off as technical problems. The fallen angel’s took on an “Reptilian image”, the serpent. They were worshipped world wide. That’s why some places have to be seen from the air, like the Nazca Lines and hieroglyphs. They were land markings. Look at the ancient pagan temples, they are chiseled on them. Look at the ancient archaeological findings from the Egyptians, the Hindus, the Mayans, and many more. Read other religion’s ancient writings, they are written there. The aliens and men, with their spaceship’s are carved in stone. In America, we have a “Serpent Mound”. There is a mountain top in Peru that is fashioned into a “Serpent Image”. That the fallen angel’s were messing with human’s DNA. Noah and his family were the only “pure” humans left on earth. The fallen angel’s were trying to destroy the family bloodline of Jesus. That they “mingled with humans’. That they were doing genetic already. That’s why Noah and his family were allowed to escape the deluge and repopulate earth. That they hid the flood story or replaced the character’s of the Bible. Like Nimrod, Noah’s grandson was changed to Gilgamesh. To confuse the people. “Nothing that has been done, that’s not been done before”. They produced “soulless humans”. That in the Bible, when Moses sent in his scout’s into the Promised Land. They told Moses of the Nephilim, the giants. The Hebrew’s were told to “kill everyone”. The old, the women and the children. I couldn’t understand why my loving G-d would say that. They were the “fallen angel’s family members”. Any tribe with “ites” were usually these soulless beings. Like the Sodomites, the Canaanite’s and so on. G-d was trying to save us, again. They still walk with us today. They had enslaved humans to dig for gold. Those pesky fallen angel’s were used to walking on streets of gold. It was not a good time to be human. The giant’s ran out of food. They began to eat humans. Read the book “Man Corn”. That this was not G-d’s plan. Between the fallen angels, man’s sins, the giant’s and them eating us. G-d sent the flood of Noah. The fallen angel’s were chained in the abyss. If you understand, the Bible says “it would happen again”. That those fallen angel’s will be released to reap destruction on mankind in the end times of Revelations. That this story has been around for thousands of years. It’s Satan’s greatest lie, just like the one “he doesn’t exist”. The master’s painted the spaceship’s and alien’s into their paintings. It’s been written in the Bible and other religion’s origins stories. That the aliens come from here, on the interior of this planet, not outer space. That this city/world has been called many names Shamballa, Shangri La, Hades, Xibalba, Sheol, Argartha and many more. That there are entrances around the world. They make a grid around the world, they are called lay lines. They are in the oceans, lakes, rivers and tunnels. They use the water and others, like lava tubes, volcanoes. This is where the aliens come from. US Navy Admiral Byrd found two of them. One in the North Pole. One in the South Pole. He even had a hushed battle with the aliens after WWII in the South Pole. He saw green where there should be ice. He saw prehistoric animals. If you look at the first satellite image of the North Pole, it has a big giant hole there. This is why they don’t let people go to those continents. That Edmond Hailey, of Hailey’s Comet fame, the scientist. He discovered it along with other wise men. Columbus on his way to discover America, had an underwater UFO encounter. Columbus also sailed to an island of “Dogmen” on the way to America too. US Navy recently released video’s of UFO’s/UAP’s, that they were flying into the water. There are many others. I believe that this is where they “hid out” from the deluge, the flood, on the earth. I have read origin’s stories that say “they led us into the interior through caves”. Other’s say “they crawled out of the ocean”. Or they were brought to an island by a “mother ship” and placed there. That these beings will return. That the fallen angels, the demons (drowned dead giant spirits), half human, half creature beings (Bigfoot, Yeti, Dogmen, Mermaids, Fairies, Reptileman, etc.), giants, and the others belong to this family. The Cherokee Indians had a big, red headed giant for their leader. Many other Indian’s have stories of them killing giants. The Paiutes burned several in Loveland Cave. If you study islands, they have many giant bones discovered. The giant’s went to the islands. They were being hunted. It was their last resort. Recently I have been listening to stories of missing people in the US forest and parks. They tell many stories of missing people and the beings they have discovered from the park rangers. Many missing people in just America. Alaska is the worse place to go missing and a lot do. It has the Devil’s Triangle there. Another one of those “places on the lay lines”. When the pit of hell is opened in the apocalypse, these beings are coming out. The Bible says “men’s hearts will fail them”. This is why. They will use “trick’s and wonder’s” to deceive the people into taking the Mark of the Beast, the 666 system. I believe that Satan will come pretending he is the Messiah, Jesus Christ. Bring peace. Understand Jesus is not coming in “peace”. He is coming back as the “Warrior King to conquer Satan”. I recently saw three video’s on TH-cam. One was videoed in the Peru. One was videoed in Mexico. One was in the US. The guy that videoed it was found dead afterwards. They were all of mountain tops. Bare. Except for the giants on them. Those giants were working out, doing push-ups. They are back just like G-d said they would. We are looking at the description of the end times, what is called the “Times of Noah”. G-d bless and protect you, each and everyone of G-d’s children. If you’re not one, better make that choice fast. Before it’s too late. Jesus loves you.
Sadly back in 2006 Poland was vetoing EU-Russia talks to make Russia stronger because we know Russia and you Western Europeans who are the cultured people and not us barbarian Slavs, you wanted us to stop the veto. When the Polish gov changed in 2007 to a pro-German one, the veto was dropped.
me too from the very start of Putler's senselessly destructive and genocidal war
I keep hearing western politicians are getting tired of the war. If they’d just go all in, it could be over next week.
Can we live in a world where nuclear threats allow nations to behave horribly? No, is the consensus, but actions tell another story. This hesitancy is so dangerous and sends mixed messages in an issue where clarity and unity are crucial. It's so maddening seeing how often fear of this blackmail is absconded too.
Hesitancy is a feature not a flaw of democracy. Anyone who thinks that it makes them weak needs to compile a list of nations from strongest to weakest and mark which ones are democracies, see whether they lie in the top or bottom of that list.
In the early '90ties mr Karaganov used tp lecture at my University. Then id was all about interdependance and peacefull coexsistance between te former USSR and the west. I wonder how its possible that someone has become so totally radicalized?
My question is: Is the american political class REALLY aware of what is being tossed around in the kremlin?? At the moment they come across as weak and hesitant. Allowing themselves and USA to be bullied by a band of mobsters.
@@petermeijer495 How is it possible to think like that?
By living according to "I will think & say anything to increase my short-term power/ wealth".
Not only Karaganov thinks like that --> (too) many in Russia (and around the World ^^) think like that.
Love to you ❤
@@petermeijer495Now you have proof of who's regime is the Nazis! When Putin shouts Novorussia! All he needs is the Nazi salute!
"We have to launch a pre-emptive nuclear strike to prevent nuclear war"
Uh. Okay. Seems legit.
when you got nothing good,
you bluff
Their tactic is to destroy western unity. This can be seen in their spreading of fake news and their support of both far right and far left parties all over the west.
"Putin has never played chess in his whole life. Dictators don't play chess. They only play poker and bluff."
- Garry Kasparov
When it comes to "are we playing chess, or not playing chess" I would trust Kasparov to know
It more gives me vibes of "we kill people to show people that killing people is wrong".
I agree. These threats do make them enemies of humanity. I also believe that the increase in the number of threats show us just how weak the Russian military currently is. I doubt that these types of threats would be made by a state that is winning.
We can't allow ourselves to be cowed by this type of extortion.
"God's weapon" tells you all you need to know about religion.
Listening to you is like reading a well written book, thank you for your discussion of the moral boundaries that are being destroyed right now in Moscow.
My pleasure and thank YOU!
@@VladVexler Two i"Russian Issues" that you could cover:
The percentage of Russian Tanks that were lost due to loading fifty year old shells into a hot barrel. [As many as a quarter of Russia's tank losses don't have a clear entry point from enemy ordnance. Russia has shifted to the T-55 because the Islamic Republic of Iran currently makes new ammo for the 100 mm canon on the T-55.]
The percentage of Russian Strategic Nuclear Weapons that are in working order.
[It costs about a million dollars a year per warhead to maintain the thermonuclear warheads & their delivery system.. Given the graft, are even 10% of Russia's Strategic Nuclear Weapons in working order]
Consider this: the nuclear threat proves that Russia's conventional military is powerless.
It’s an open admission of defeat - if things were going well, no nuclear threats would be necessary.
Nuclear weapons are weapons of desperate last resort. Even threatening to use them, is a dead giveaway that Russia is losing.
Right? I'm like wtf is this guy talking about with his "nuclear threat isn't working"? It's the only thing keeping the USAF from making Eastern Ukraine look like Hwy 80, Iraq.
Excellent analysis of the dangerous and increasingly-voiced Russian threat of using tactical nuclear weapons against NATO to deter the West from supporting NATO and generally intimidating Moscow. Also hints that the Russians aren't doing nearly as well at subjugating and controlling Ukraine as they had planned.
But doesn't France and UK have nuclear weapons too? I'm willing to believe that the USA might fail to defend Europe against a unilateral Russian nuclear strike, but France and the UK would know they were under direct threat from an attack even if (say) Russia attacked Poland. Complete idiocy.
#Vlad, I think this is far and away the best commentary on Russia which you have produced in recent months. Succinct without leaving any of the important bits out. Righteous outrage coupled with analytical rigor. In a word, superb.
Thank you so much!
Never back down when such threats are made. Instead, double down. I wasnt convinced at the very beginning that the west should intervene, but as time passed it became clearer every day that russia needs to be SOUNDLY defeated in the battlefield. We need to give more weapons, more aid of all kind to ukraine, because defeat in ukraine will mean the whole russian regime go down.
What the pro-Ukraine World should do, in response to this & any further such nuclear threats --> DOUBLE the military aid & increase sanctions. 🏆
Double the scope, the scale & the military capabilities we send to Ukrainian armed forces. Enforce secondary sanctions to a much bigger degree. ^^
Demonstrate that the more they threaten us & try to normalize the nuclear option, the more we will be making sure that they loose this war even more decisively.
Send ATACMS, many Reaper-style drones (from many allies), a hell of a lot of (also the newer) F-16's + a flood of targeting pods & advanced munitions for them. Add Grippens to the updated Ukrainian airforce. Go at least 50% more on the collective artillery shells pledge deliveries. Flood the Ukrainian army with our tanks & APC's + send them more modern versions of such vehicles.
Double our training efforts towards the Ukrainian army - in both scope & scale.
The time for appeasement is long gone - "Austria is already annexed ^^, Poland has been invaded. What will we do?" ^^ 🏆
2:44 / 5:40 Has he forgotten about UK and France? The French nuclear doctrine is basically a solution to any preemptive Russian nuclear strike: “France does not have a no-first-use policy and reserves the right to conduct a “final warning” limited nuclear strike to signal to an adversary that they have crossed the line - or to signal the French resolve to conduct further strikes if necessary - in an attempt to reestablish deterrence”
Not to mention Belgium, Germany, Italy, Netherlands and Turkey (although they are shared through NATO)
Great point. Putins assumption is that Trump will win and all bets are off. He’s dumb enough to believe his own propaganda that NATO members are lapdogs of the US. This has never been the case. Not to mention that Britain is soon to take a more (centre) leftward turn; so Britain and France being ruled by moderate centrists will not put up with such a threat in Europe. And both have very modern weapons platforms.
I think they consider the rest of nato to be puppets of the US
The party lines that they are colonized by the United States
The short-asred little psychopath and his twisted friends in the kremlin might want to consider that it is estimated that the British Empire was responsible for the deaths of half a billion people throughout its history. if that pizdec and his friends decide to fire their nukes, the Royal Navy could add another 140 million to that score in about 20 minutes.
France also has 12 missiles per subnmarine with 14 war heads on each that is a 169 nuclear explosions in Russia per sub.
I find it hard to take the Russian nuclear threats seriously. Maybe because the threat was there all through my childhood. At some point, you learn to live with the fact that we could be stupid enough to destroy ourselves. Doesn't matter who starts it, can guarantee it wont end well for anyone.
In our childhood it was the soviet union, which at least was idealogically run with a measure of shared decision making to the supreme soviet. Not this band of degenerate gangsters. They have no ideology. Nothing. Thus far more dangerous to humanity then the SU ever was.
soviets never threatened nuclear escalation so recklessly, afaik. but i’m just a youngster so perhaps i just don’t know?
@@EugeneYunak Afaik, both the US and the USSR kinda silently understood the threat, so didn't go around threatening eachother willy nilly. Both pretty much understood that they could delete eachother in the blink of an eye, which is why there wasn't much dick measuring going on or chest thumping about "Heed our warnings, or you'll get nuked" as Putin keeps doing here. That being said, there were instances where those silent threats became almost a reality, such as the Cuban missile crisis
Especially the "Madman" response. We all learned it... every story, every movie, it just pervaded everything. If you appease a Madman because he's threatening nuclear war, he or another will just threaten again, and again, and again, until one day what they demand will be worse than nuclear war... so, we might as well get it on now.
When an madman threatens nuclear war, there is only one possible response: force. Might end up killing everyone but not responding with force will most assuredly end up killing everyone. No point putting it off.
We all learned this. What the hell did they learn?
What do they think is going to happen?
Some relatively small war in Ukraine and we're already talking about famines. One tiny nuclear attack and people all over the world will start hording food. There will be famines. The world is so connected now that people's collective reaction to events could kill millions, if not billions. One tiny "nuclear demonstration" and millions could die. There is only one reasonable response to a nation that set that bomb off: justifiable cultural genocide.
@@EugeneYunak Well they didn't bleat about it as Putin does but they doubled, tripled, quadrupled their arsenal of nuclear weapons (as did the US). I'm amazed I'm still here...I didn't think I'd survive the 70s as the arms race by that time was going ballistic (sorry)
Thanks. You gave me pause for thought, exposing the hypocritical niaivitty of many on Europe's left, and ironically America's right.
Also Europe's Right.
I am persuaded. Putin will no longer be getting a Christmas card from me.
😂😂😂
Thanks always for the excellent quality content. Much love from 🇨🇦.
Misinformation presents a substantial challenge to democracies. In democratic societies, having well-informed citizens is crucial for making thoughtful decisions during elections and for ensuring leaders are held accountable. When misinformation proliferates unchecked, it can be as destructive as an unchecked disease, posing a threat to the democratic process.
thats up to the educational system. It needs to be rebuilt for modern day. Its not hard to teach a generation how to critically think. If its been taught one can see through all propaganda.
The democracy is dead... To have a working democracy you must have a free independent press that give objective diverse complete information without lies to the people. We have now a press that do nothing but lie and feed people propaganda and misinformation and at best half truths ...
critical thinking, mental health and diversity of curriculums would go a long way to make people less susceptible to outright lies.
@@AcidBombYTabsolutely. So important when propaganda is sophisticated.
I would dearly like to see this video go viral. Great work, Vlad.
Very kind of you, it's a little under performing for now...
@@VladVexler It was only up for an hour, so I hope, it will get more people's attention! Thank you so much for this sharp analysis. Lots of love and listen to you soon.
🇺🇦 Слава Україні! 🇺🇦
You spoke, we heard and won't forget their words. Thank you.
Our democracies may be under threat, but don't test the West resolve to fight for it
What I’d love to see is Russia embrace this preemptive strike protocol, launch nukes, have 50% of them fail to ignite the engines, have 40% of them fall back down to blow up on their launch pads, and the final 10% either missing their targets or being shot down by NATO Anti-ICBM systems. Then the entirety of Russia just turns to look at the guy who wrote that article about “nuclear weapons saving humanity” and all he can do in response is shrug.
and THIS is why I am losing my respect for ordinary russian citizens. They are all so scared of their government it's SAD and WRONG..
And that they don't stand up against their country threatening the use of NUKES is insane to me.. Insane.
*CONGRATULATIONS ON GETTING IT UPLOADED...!!!*
Well said, Vlad!! I was actively against the wars in Afghanistan, Iraq and Syria but this time I'm not for backing down. I'm sick of them threatening my family so if they want a fight they can have one. If they want a nuclear war, well that's on them but they won't survive it.
Greetings from Ukraine, lots of men have died. Let’s stop thugs for good, thanks for the support .
The same here.
All of Russia is run on corruption and the promotion of the politically loyal but incompetent to positions of high office.
Which means that many Russian nuclear systems simply won't work and some will malfunction in a way that takes out Russian not western targets.
Our strategic forces are not crippled this way.
Any nuclear war Russia started would end far worse for Russia than it does for the west.
Yes please.
@@buddyrojek9417I feel you anger and sorrow. These criminals shall not come out of this unscathed else we can kiss our humanity good bye! Dictatorships must be punished, unjust aggression and war crimes can’t be forgotten! We want justice for Ukraine’s dead and scared people. We want justice to be served, long and hard! We will NEVER turn our back to our friends in Ukraine!
Same, though I do think the Afghan war was at least morally justified, though still wrong in practice. To me, Ukraine's defense is obviously justified just as clearly as WW2. But this nuclear fear rhetoric is only that. The reason it's empty is because if Russia was planning an actual preemptive strike, it would be extremely contentious in Russia's military ranks (some of them are normal humans) and would leak like a sieve to the CIA and every other intelligence agency. In that case NATO would be highly motivated to preempt that strike plan.
NATO's capability, particularly air and sea power heavily favor a pre-emptive strike and they have LOTS of practice from said wars. Just as an example, one command and all of Russia's subs could be destroyed by their US tails. War is always messy but NATO's stealth and overwhelming airpower heavily favors a pre-emptive strike as a 'response' to Russia planning an a pre-emptive strike and they certainly know that.
You have adopted the UK's zero humor stance toward nuclear threats. I applaud that ❤️
UK's means common sensed people?
@@nimmha6708Relatively. Not enough unfortunately but not too much less than other countries honestly, more than most. Like every country it depends on age and education.
Well, thanks. Especially since you have taken time off from your duties. For the emperor! @@imperialinquisition6006
I have come to the conclusion after a year of gathering global information that human beings are not capable of managing ourselves on a large scale. Also, good people are only concerned with peace & contentment and will not bother themselves with drama, fights & greed. So as people find inner peace, instead of becoming pillars in the community, they resign to the shadows as having power is problematic, lonely and a headache. This is why we are always left with the only ones who do want power, the ones who are selfish, and inhumane. May God bless those on the ground trying to make a difference! Thank-you 🙏♥️.
In conversation (heated sometimes) about Ukraine with 'some' isolationist leftists I'd never thought about using this approach. Instead of using a 'head on' "we've got to arm Ukraine" I am beginning to try to explain the logical outcome of giving into nuclear blackmail over and over and I'm not hearing any screaming yet...yet. 🌻 A lot of silence though (hopefully it's thoughtful) Next, I'm hoping they start coming to some conclusions about 'how'. (and I hope they are thinking about how this impacts our democracy)
How many hours did it eventually take to upload?
30!
@@VladVexler Great Googly-Moogly!
Well, the video was quite good. Thank you kindly for your perseverance.
Listening to russian (not a spelling mistake) clowns talking about nuclear strikes always makes me wonder if they know that NATO also has nuclear weapons and they would hit Russia within minutes.
Minute.
Have you watched the video yet? Their theory is: bomb a Nato country that doesn't have nuclear weapons. The countries that do will not hit Russia with one of their nuclear weapons because they do not want to be the next target hit by nuclear weapons. Russia has credible secondary strike capabilities. It is a truly evil logic and I hope they will never act upon it.
I think the NATO counter-attack would strike russian targets BEFORE the russian nukes got to their destinations. LOTS of nukes in Europe and they're already all targeting all the russian key points. russian may be stupid enough to start a nuclear attack (or have them blow up in their unmaintained silo's) but they would certainly NOT survive the counterattacks.
12 minutes for US subs to hit Russian targets. However they may claim that the US would not retaliate immediately and instead may choose to try to de-escalate. The Russians have a strategy called escalation to de-escalation. They threaten a nuclear strike in less important NATO countries and in response would threaten even more, but think the West would blink and decide that killing some Slavs is OK but not Germanics or Brits.
Great job! Worth the wait, thank you!
.....you are absolutely right....this rhetoric is simply disgusting.....I have never before in my life felt as coldly angry as I feel at the moment.....
What irresponsible and disgusting rhetoric! Nuclear strike is totally inhumane. Insane! Shame on those who dare to threaten!
Like a lot of Russian things, it looks like it should work, but it just doesn't work
This was...extremely chilling...and extremely important. To the point i wish these two men a swift and hasty departure from this world. They have already gone too far, and as you rightfully say, thus became enemies of all life on earth.
LOL
2.9 v6 bi-turbo QV engine is also an enemy of all life on earth and you're promoting it. thus I wish you a swift and hasty departure from this world.
@@aleksandar8082 yeah we really should laugh at Russia for being so pathetic to threaten the world with nukes like a petulant child.
@@charlethemagne5466 I didn't see laugh in this video. I was laughing that this guy is afraid that destruction of Ukraine will bring the world to its end.
They have become enemies of humanity long ago but the West thought they might get away with it even after polonium in London, Novichok in Salisbury and the "far right" rising on the wings of Prigozhin troll farms and meddling with US elections.
Now they are bluffing, what else can they do?
There is no person who would follow that order, there is still a chain of personnel in which it is executed and it will break.They all want to live, enjoy their yachts and palaces.
"I would not want to live in a world without Russia", must be the most frightening words ever uttered by a dictator, as he is a dictator with the means to literally destroy the world. We are entering very sensitive times, when the prospects for able American and European leadership are potentially suspect. Another powerful video Vlad.
Yea...so crazy for a leader to say that he does not want to live without his country. Rolls eyes. Have you ever tired not being hostile towards Russia? No?
@@CloneDAnonFor far too long the West has played nice with the garbage dump fake country that is so-called «R*ssia». That’s how we got to this place.
@nowheredotc0m except that is not what he meant, he meant the world should go rather than himself. This comment is not aimed at Ruussia, by the way, but it's present leadership. Indeed if Putin wants to jump out of a window, let him have at it. To many he would be doing the world a favor. But we KNOW that is not going to happen.
It's Putin's arrogance to think that he is Russia. He's simply the current pied piper. He means to say he didn't want to think about a world where he isn't Tsar. Very Pinky and the Brain.
@@zlauriault Putin is R*ssia. The only thing that forcibly holds together 300+ ethnic groups captive in Moscow’s imperial prison of nations is slavish devotion to the iron-fisted autocratic Tsar in the Moscow Kremlin.
This is amazing Vlad, we need more content like this on the main channel. A bit more of a substantial meal to consume and digest. Love it!
Thank you!
As always, amazing, thought-provoking commentary Mr. Vexler. It's good to see you back online.
I am always online on the Chat channel where I upload virtuallty daily!! My second channel.
Someone should tell him that the countries he wants to nuke, can also nuke back. Might change his mind.
It's been a long time coming my friend. i just want to let you know it's OK to feel angry and snap over this. You trawl through the worst examples of humanity on a daily basis and you do it with dignity and clarity. Everyone has a breaking point that needs a pressure release valve. I thank you for your work. The beer is chilling in the fridge waiting for you here in nz 😊
Getting drunk is probably not the answer ;P
@@wespenwald1297 i agree of course. I was being flippant and its a common nz invite to friends rather than an excuse to lose yourself in alcohol to forget your problems. I was inferring use as a social lubricant rather than an excess abuse of alcohol. But well done for being vigilant. Thank you 😀
@@wespenwald1297 On the contrary, beer is a good temporary solution. (h/t Homer Simpson)
Thanks! I wish to add that your ability to get to the center of the issue is invaluable to those of us who are overwhelmed by the complexities of this historical and political quagmire. You are a gift to me and so many others as evidenced in the comment section.
Thank you so much - your words mean a lot!
That's a really nice sentiment, gesture and comment!
I wish I was able to do the same - but I'm not. Certainly glad that you can though!!
Thank you!
@@bc-guy852 being here and feeling touched by any of the conversations means a lot - thank
you!
I@@bc-guy852 It is only recently that I have become able to repay for his content and that of others that I depend on for such commentary, analysis and news. Hopefully this counts as paying it forward, and if I may consider it something I am doing on your behalf as well, I consider myself blessed. Thanks for seeing Vlad as the light in the darkness that he is.
Just ruzzia testing the water.
Looking for weakness.
And you better believe that average ruzzian loves this ''display of power''.
They found their weakness in Elon musk...
@@personzorz there are way more weaknesses than just Musk, look at the international organizations like UN, other NGOs and even Pope. Ruzzian influence agents are everywhere.
Also Elon needs China for his Tesla batteries, so there is a clear connection as china is an ally of russia to some extent.
@personzorz Starlink was provided to Ukraine for free, under the terms of service in not be used for combat operations, only communication. They attempted to violate that agreement, and were not allowed to do so.
This is the type of talk we need from world leaders. Hats off to you Vlad.
Cool when the west does it we are the good guys but when Russia does it they are the evil guy. This guy is a joke
this idiot would drag us into world war iii. If he feels so strogly about this subject, he should go and fight in an Ukrainian frontline.
Russia has lost its mind!
Even the Soviets were not this mad.
This is cartoonish supervillainy in real life. Their words literally read like a justice league antagonist's. Also... love that you showed the Utah Capitol building in this video to demonstrate democracy. You have no way of knowing this living in the UK, but Utah is among the US' least democratic states. This stems from the Mormons once having had a total theocracy here and not necessarily being happy about giving that up to join the United States. I know because I'm from Utah born and raised...
I've only watched one minute and I'm already loving this video. Vlad you're on fire!
💛
Finally Vlad! A REAL rant from you 😉 . I can only imagine how hard it was for you and how often you edited. Lets put some conspiracy theories on why the editing of the video didnt work for 30 hrs lol. Lots of wellbeing for you. Thanks for the work and effort.
Warmes wishes your way - ha ha yes the 30 hours are a mystery.
His phone died..
We need to give Ukraine all it asks for slava Ukraine 🏴🇬🇧🇺🇦
Vlad, an honest question. If the nuclear threats are all bluff and blackmail, does it not then follow logically that NATO should intervene directly and kick Russia out of Ukraine, since they wouldn't dare actually fire off a nuke?
If Ukraine was a NATO Member then Obviosly yes that would indeed of already happened.
However they are not.
The economy of discourse shift that you described made my hair stand on end. That happens. We've seen it happen in our own politics recently. It is totally imaginable that such a closed group in the Kremlin could get into domains of thinking that to any external person looking in would be correctly classified as utter lunacy. That's very worrying. Such an important message Vlad. As ever, good work my friend.
Overton Window shifts....
Dear Neil thank you. Yes I suspect these beeps are talking about it a portion of the time, even if none of them is genuinely committed to it as an option.
Thank you for the update!
Fantastic news amidst the challenging situation! The Ukrainian Armed Forces are making significant advances towards Donetsk, taking control of key areas like Opytne and moving closer to Spartak and the 2014 border. It's a pleasant surprise to see them making progress where the occupiers least expected it. Despite the enemy's attempts to counter, Ukrainian forces are holding their ground and even pushing further. Let's discuss this remarkable development! 🇺🇦💪
The loudness of ruzzian squealing is a result of bravery of Ukrainian Heroes!
Sobering but valuable words. I fear that many in the west (looking at you Musk) will use this to undermine Ukraine's and the West's defence of civilisation For me, it makes it even more important to support Ukraine and western democracy against Mordor.
It's all Musk's fault that Ukraine can't expel the Russians.
It's about time to consider nationalizing Musk's Starlink as it remaining in private hands is a national security threat.
So, Musk must side as you decide? Can't decide to support neither, to cheer for no one?
@@seed_drill7135Karl would be very happy with you as his friend.
2.1 k comments ! DANG ! Vlad 👍👍👍👍👍
Russian strategists analysis is based an asumption that the US would finally be scared to retaliate with their nuclear weapons if European countries only are striked ... They wrongly think the NATO nuclear capability is stricly limited to the US umbrella... UK indeedis said not being able to use its own nuclear weapons without US agreement because they got the technology from them but FRance is fully independant and has its own nuclear submarine launchers : 100 ICBM and 600 nuclear warheads can be fired by its submarines in return even after France has been wiped out by an hypersonic preventive strike for instance. Considering the current statuts of Russian air defense due to Ukraine War that's more than enough to eradicate the whole Russia whose 75% of population is concentrated to dozens of major cities. rest of population in countryside already lives at stone age. End of story for Russia anyway in case of strike on Europe without answer from the US.
Oh yes, the "We must start a nuclear war to prevent a nuclear war" tactic, that's what's called a pro gamer move
I never cease to be amazed at what comes out of various Russian mouths. It's gone past shaking my head, even past smacking my head on the desk. I'm running out of escalating facepalm reactions.
Great video Vlad,worth the wait.. saddens me greatly Ukraine tried to lead the world with nuclear disarmament and now paying such a terrible price and now the doomsday clock is even closer to midnight..
Ukraine had little choice but to disarm. It wasn't leading the way. It had no capability of affording or maintaining those warheads and was part of it's agreement for independence. Ukraine has been a thoroughly corrupt country until very recently and we in the West should recognise and accept this, as it's the objective truth, something we need to stay in touch with.
@@vivo-audio So the Budapest Memorandum should not be honoured ?
@@vivo-audio Even as recently in April of this year Bill Clinton said he regrets "persuading" Ukraine to give up nuclear weapons.. and where are USA and UK and Russias!! security agreements if they did so?!?..
Thank you!!
@@VladVexler 🧡✨️🌻
Is word 'preemptive' even makes any sense today? You are not preempt anything with today technologies. In reality it just means 'first'. You start first and die close second.
Reminds me of the commie motto of my youth "fight for peace". Never made much sense back then even to my propaganda-affected 10year old brain.
This doublethink which allows to turn logic on its head to pursue whatever personal agenda one might have also precludes any constructive discussion you may want to have with them.
Welcome to my childhood, where we believed in all honesty that this was exactly what the Soviets were thinking.
The Russians got ICBMs first and there was a "missile gap" that JFK closed. Of course, America has submarines now. MAD can be enforced months after a first launch.
The difference was that overt nuclear threats were VERY rare in the Cold War. The USSR understood what it was dealing with and that nuclear bullying would not get them any sort of long-term gains. The gangsters who rule modern Russia are closer to a monkey with a grenade.
Soviet Union was a much lower nuclear risk to us than the Putin regime I'm afraid, with a few exceptions, such as 1983.
To be honest modern russia is ruled by 70 years old Soviet boomers, so its the Soviet thinking on practice.
Oh, the early 80s! Rumor had it that our campus would be a target because of one prominent building visible from space. Along with the various hallway instructions for emergencies in our dormitory the following was added: “In case of nuclear firestorm, please vaporize in .003 seconds.”
There are people/countries who still sympathize with Russia's self-appointed stand against America and the West. They follow the rational that the enemy of my enemy is my friend
Putin relies heavily on this argument: Because Russia desperately needs the moral support of others to justify the atrocities committed now and in the future.
However, the people who buy into Putin's argument, and refuse to vote against Russia or enforce sanctions (India, China, Iran, Brazil and the plethora of African Nations that have historically received Russian support), need to see that an autocratic leader who threatens to use nuclear weapons is the enemy to our planet's survival. We all need to revisit history and remind ourselves how "Autocratic Leaders" have been responsible for the most horrendous mass killings that have taken place on our planet. Pol Pot (1.7M deaths), Hideki Tojo (5M deaths), Leopold II of Belgium (2-15M deaths), Adolf Hitler (17M deaths), Jozef Stalin (23M deaths) and Mao Zedong (49-78M deaths). Left unchecked, Putin and his supporter's are in a prime position to grab the number one spot on this list.
Everyone who refuses to shame Putin is responsible. Why? Failing to express opposition to Putin (an autocratic leader) helps him justify his insane logic of saving the world by starting a nuclear war to destroy the west. Russia's supporters need to look in the mirror and ask themselves ..... Do we have 2-10 years of food and water needed to survive a nuclear winter that makes food production impossible. Do we have the medical ability to deal with the illnesses that will arise from global radiation? Will we regret not doing more to shame Russia, and making it clear that we do not want Russia to save us by starting a nuclear war. A war that could lead to millions and even billions of deaths.
As members of your audience, I believe we have an obligation to share this moral outrage with the world. People think they have no power. However, the expression of moral outrage by every individual may be the best way to shame Putin --- making him see that the entire world rejects his dystopian plan to save the world by starting a nuclear war.
Right to the point. Problem is that the basics of this war do not reach the people in the supporting countries as the information war in this category is dominated by Russia.
@@ikda12 I think autocracies (and certain politicians) do a better job of distilling their simple vision (i.e., beat the other side) and then repeating the same message over and over. To those who can reason, the repetition of the lie sounds insane. But, strangely, the message resonates with the masses of people who willingly participate in the deception because they want to believe the lie.
The problem is that the consumer of the lie actively rejects the logical reasoning embraced and shared by "critical thinkers."
Another approach is required.
The alluring, and oft repeated, lie .... is best defended by a universal truth --- that no one can deny.
Here, the simple universal truth is that "The entire world should stand against anyone who endangers humanity's existence by threatening nuclear war to simply further their own colonial and nationalistic ambitions."
When Putin appears as the voice of reason you know you've gone off the deep end.
Unbelievable, right?!
The whole "we had to kill them all to save all their immortal souls line". Tell us you are a member of a genocidal cult more please, without telling us you are a member of a genocidal cult.
Thank you Vlad. We NEED you to "snap" and let it all go like this - - MORE often please!
Thank you!
If be happy to boil rigatoni with Vlad anytime. The good thing was it was efficient cooking, not simply creating steam.
One of your best videos, Vladislav. Congratulations.
The power and emotion behind your delivery is obvious and very moving.
Thank you so much!
hey the video rendered :D
Very interesting thoughts! I value your insights and expertise in this matter very highly. Best wishes from Germany!
As for my own experience, something very telling I noticed recently when I was talking with a neighbour about Putin and Ukraine: At one point my neighbour insisted that supplying weapons to Ukraine would only provoke Russia and we should seek negotiations instead, because Putin would, in his mind, enter these negotiations in good faith (already quite naive). When whe came to the nuclear threats, however, he told me that the west risks causing a nuclear war by sending weapons to ukraine and that we should take Putins threats seriuosly because he is unpredictable and somewhat mad.
What he couldn't explain to me is why we should assume that Putin is crazy enough to cause an apocalyptic nuclear war AND sensible enough to enter negotiations honestly after we stopped supplying Ukraine, both at the same time.
From Moscow comes the message, "WAR IS PEACE"
These are not easy conversations to have, and above all, they must be torturous to ponder and mull over all the time. I really appreciate that you are putting in the hard work to get the conversation started in an intellectually honest way. You do an amazing job at giving your perspective as you penetrate the Russian veil. I really hope you take care of yourself and stay strong friend. What you are doing is a big deal.
agreed, and history will remember you Mr. Vexler. i wouldn't be surprised if you are quoted decades from now, maybe millennia. Good man, Good work.
Russian nuclear talk never mentions France's aggressive nuclear response plan. Its always about the U.S. which makes me believe its more for a domestic audience
The whole premise is stupid, they think nato would go "oh well it is what it is, probably better not do anything about it"?
France has it written in its plan (and just recently reiterated it) that they will use their nuclear weapons only in defence of their own country, not in defence of other Nato allies. Russia's calculation is that also GB and the US will do the same (even though they have more ambiguity on how they would respond in such a case).
@@sointu123 "France does not have a no-first-use policy and reserves the right to conduct a “final warning” limited nuclear strike to signal to an adversary that they have crossed a line-or to signal the French resolve to conduct further nuclear strikes if necessary-in an attempt to “reestablish deterrence” (Élysée 2020; Tertrais 2020)"
I think France's national security would be compromised by an adversary if that adversary considers nuking its allies.
If any European city is nuked I think France would fully cooperate with NATO's response but as a sovereign military.
And that's why any outcome that ends with Russia retaining nukes is an unsatisfactory one. They'll just keep doing it over and over and over and over again. If the nuclear threat wasn't at play the war would have ended as soon as the closest US Carrier could arrive on the scene.
Sorry, but you don't get to just tell the nuclear power to no longer have nuclear weapons.
@@personzorzoh no ? How did Ukraine lose its nuclear arsenal then? I bet they regret the Budapest memorandum now every day!
@@personzorz Yeah, you can't just tell ruZZia to go away. The ruZZians must first be defeated. Then disarmed. Then the ruZZian empire (federation) must be dismantled. Defeated. disarmed, dismembered.
But you can starve them into giving it up. You can't eat nukes. @@personzorz
@@personzorzI'd be disappointed if we didn't have a development program right now to roll back Russia's stockpile.
"The best way to prevent a nuclear war is to start a nuclear." What is this guy high on?
Exceptional analysis Vlad. Thank you so much for bringing this to the world's attention. ❤👍👍
Thank YOU!
This nuclear intimidation rhetoric isn't supposed to make rational sense, which is why it doesn't. It's supposed to strike fear in the public; which unfortunately it does. But there is nothing beyond this. Bowing to these empty threats also incentives them to make more. We all know how bully psychology works.
On a strategic level, Russia's dilemma is IF NATO credibly believed Russia was planning a preemptive strike (and it is almost certain the CIA would know), the most rational response would be NATO's own conventional pre-preemptive strike. Russia knows their military intelligence leaks and it is also not a secret the US tails all Russian subs on the fairly rare occasions they go out to sea and the reason is precisely to be able to destroy them if need be.
US doctrine also allows for a pre-emptive nuclear strike though it is unlikely that would be done. But in this extreme case, the US and NATO have a far more powerful pre-emptive strike capability with stealth bombers (B2 and F-35) able to deliver nuclear bombs on Russian ICBM complexes at essentially no risk of interception. Considering the state of Russia's air defenses, even 4th gen aircraft and normal cruse missiles could do this.
TLDR; in the case of Russia actually planning a pre-emptive strike, NATO would be highly motivated and much more capable to strike first with nuclear on the table too in order to destroy Russian launch installations.
It's a well known tactic of "escalation to de-escalation".
Musk Melon 🍈 is an enabler of this rot.
It goes against Starlink's terms of service for it to be used for combat operations; it's only to be used for communications. If Ukraine can't accept that, while being provided this service for free, they can, respectfully, get bent.
I think its worth looking at the life of Bruce Kent and the CND movement. There was a time when nuclear disarmament seemed feasible and a realistic vision of the future. There were strong calls for the UK to unilaterally disarm to set a good example and the implication was that unilaterally disarming would not place the UK population at risk. Ukraine unilaterally disarmed, Bruce Kent died (he was 92) in 2022 and now we have in Russia (along with N Korea, Iran) serious thinkers and people with power and nuclear weapons threatening to use them. Its hard to overstate how far Russia is dragging down the human race.
When Biden said, "Not an inch of NATO territory," Putin heard, "You can take everything else".
The world: " "
Russia: "We should consider a pre-emptive nuclear strike."
Gee, I wonder what part in here is the unnecessary, dangerous thing to humanity that we could do without.