Stephen Kotkin: China, Russia, And American Freedom | Hoover Virtual Policy Briefing
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 15 มิ.ย. 2024
- Recorded June 25, 2020, 11AM PST
Stephen Kotkin Discusses China, Russia, And American Freedom.
The Hoover Institution presents an online virtual briefing series on pressing policy issues, including health care, the economy, democratic governance, and national security. Briefings will include thoughtful and informed analysis from our top scholars.
ABOUT THE FELLOW
Stephen Kotkin is a Hoover senior fellow and a Professor of History and International Affairs at Princeton University. In addition to conducting research in the Hoover Library and Archives for three decades, he is also founder of Princeton’s Global History Initiative. Kotkin’s research and publications encompasses geopolitics and authoritarian regimes in history and in the present, and he has also participated in numerous National Intelligence Council events over the years.
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The efficiency of Stephen Kotkin’s teaching is staggering. I feel as though I’ve read several books by the end of each talk.
I'm a simple man, I see a Stephen Kotkin video and I watch it.
Same
exactly, 0 room for doubt
Me too.
Excellent interview, thank you. Dr Kotkin is a national treasure.
I just want to say that between Good Fellows, Uncommon Knowledge and a whole host of other discussions with the likes of Stephen Kotkin, I have learned a lot from the Hoover Institution. Thanks a lot!
Dr. Kotkin has the gift of subtle, agreeable humor and rational clarity to a rare degree. Very refreshing to young & old, happy or grumpy. Thanks, Tom.
Kotkin is a great listen. Total command and clarity. No fluff.
Speaking of diversity of opinions, I’ve become so jaded and so conservative as a result of recent events that, that it’s refreshing to have Stephen bring up new ways of looking at things that aren’t a stereotypical party line from either the left or right.
“John Bolton never met a war he didn’t like”... Gold ⭐️
Always good to listen to prof Kotkin. He has a unique talent of breaking intricate situations down to their primary components such that even I can follow.
Love intellectual Joe Pesci. He has such an amazing way of explaining things.
My identical thoughts ! . . . ( "Funny? you think I'm funny?")
Bruh 😂
To go has he
"I dont want to talk about inclusivity (or diversity). Let's talk about Excellence."
👏👏👏👏👏
Condoleezza Rice and Stephen Kotkin one day after another?? My god Hoover Institution, you’re spoiling us!
Dr. Kotkin, when oh when will you be releasing the third book of your Stalin trilogy?
Another interesting interview with Kotkin whom I listen to every chance I get. Have learnt much and I'm very grateful.
Stephen can verbalise the most difficult things
Always a pleasure to hear Mr.Kotkin. I loved his work on Stalin.
Stephen Kotkin on form here as always- balanced, sensible and inclusive, yet not weak, is a good way of approaching political, diplomatic and social issues. Would love to hear his thoughts on how Putin is looking to extend his power for the coming decades following the victory parade in Moscow a few days ago..
Thank you Professor Kotkin! You’re always so extremely insightful analyzing geopolitical issues. I always come away, after watching one of your videos, with a fresh and refined viewpoint on an issue!
Kotkin bases his opinions so strongly in historical and cultural context that it is very difficult to disagree with him. We conservatives need to follow his example, I'm tired of pundits who haven't done any homework.
Almost entirely on point.
The most important takeaway in relation to China: "we (US) are the only one that can defeat us".
However I disagree with the approach regarding China. Given the rapid impending financial collapse of China, a Reagan style policy will not have the time to work and a military confrontation of some kind initiated by China, most likely towards a US ally is inevitable in my opinion.
Very good,
Look at China v. India happening right now. Plus PRC v. Hong Kong. Plus PRC v. Taiwan and the actions of the PRCLA in the international waters local to them.
Aggression is ramping up.
Kotkin is a towering intellect with the rare ability to break down very complex issues into ways a layman like me can understand. Could listen to him all day.
Place this under: Things that should be Trending
Always enjoy listening to mr Kotkin! I wish more of his written work was recorded into audiobooks.
good interview. also need to interview.. Thomas Sowell and Walter Williams on current events
Excellent! Thank you for this thoughtful and provocative discussion. I hung on every word.
Maybe I’m too pessimistic but I think Mr. Kotkin is a little too optimistic about the situation in America right now.
Wonderful. These are such important reminders on strategies and towards the way moving forward for everyone.I haven't had much time lately to watch recent uploads unfortunately ,so this was most welcome Thankyou so much.Enjoy your day. 😊
Interesting interview w. Dr. Kotkin. Of particular note was his discussion of the potential approaches to Communist China now available to the US, as well as the necessity of the CCP retaining a monopoly on political power in order to avoid China having a "Gorbachev moment." One could only imagine what would happen if an Dubček
/Gorbachev type of reformer got into Xi's position. As Kotkin notes, the power of the CCP would likely collapse in a manner similar to the way Soviet power collapsed in the 1980s-1990s. Could one imagine the CCP agreeing to allow, let's say, the Kuomintang to run as a legal party in elections and then actually expect to survive, much less remain dominant politically? Hardly. Also good analysis on political motives for alternating waves of government oppression/liberalization cycles with respect to private enterprise in China.Looking forward to his 3rd volume of his biography of Stalin!
Supposedly, Georgi Arbatow said something like this in 1989 to the West: "We are going to do you a horrible deed: we are going to take away your enemy." Along that logic, Xi's regime might be a good thing, for the democratic West to re-collect itself together?
If there were an election in China, most likely CCP would still stay in power, for people there have been brainwashed for so long.
A goldmine of knowledge and insights. Thanks professor Kotkin! And kudos to the host who can frame those big questions in the right context.
Stephen has a way of calmly and clearly bringing his expertise forward. I am never disappointed by his perspective. It is always hopeful. It also includes all of the components of discussion into a plan of action. Thank you guys for this great discussion
Mr. Kotkin is one of my favorite guests. Great talk.
thank you Mr.Gilligan and Professor Kotkin, great interview👍
I’m very impressed with Shelby Steele. He managed to explain complex political issues so well that even a politically naive person such as I could comprehend. Many thanks
Love this guy. Can't wait for work to finish!
Lol, the John Bolton method
Mr. Kotkin is one of the clearest thinkers, one of the deepest thinkers, available to average peeps like me who are interested in saving the American Experiment. His counsel is informed by a profound understanding of critical world history. I watch dozens of TH-cam videos every week in my search for substance, and no person is more vital in this conversation - the conversation of conserving and protecting the American Experiment. His wisdom demands a bigger platform. I hope and pray this happens.
Amazing. Thank you so much!
Great discussion. Prof Kotkin's clarity of thought is impressive.
This was amazing.
Stephen Klotkin: a brilliant and critically important voice. Thank you Hoover for this and all of your presentations.
Corretion:"Kotkin".
Thanks for talking about this. Good information.
Find solutions? America is about to fall.
"Let's call that the John Bolton position"....lol
Professor Kotkin issues a call to better articulate our thinking and tolerate and have a discussion to determine policies. Thank you for your enlightenment.
Amazing as usual Kotkin.
Always the most cogent, interesting voice in his issue area. Envy the direct interactions his students get.
A great primer on where we stand right now! Excellent!
Professor Kotking says that he cannot predict the future. However, he knows what needs to be done to create a better future. In order to accomplish this, one needs to know history. The professor knows the relevant history, exhibited well here!
4:56 Excuse me Mr. Kotkin, what? No Sir, Hungary and Poland are not that at all.
People in both of these countries choosen those in power democratically to counter balance internal EU politics to better serve their interest. It's well known phenomena in EU and abroad to paint political opposition as authoritarian and this is no exception. You should know this.
Andrew Raphael Lukasik but the methods of Poland are authoritarian and not constitutional. The current administrations in Poland are doing much to suspend the rights, with little regard to constitutional oversight, of those who are LGBT or those who mistake “Nazi death camps in poland” for “polish death camps,” and others.
Stephen is a careful academic, even if you can disagree with him I don’t think it’s proper to describe his characterization as being intellectually lazy on the basis of furthering any particular view.
On your point, Kotkin and Applebaum must share a lot of cocktails together.
Just because Hungary and Poland both are standing up against invasion by certain others, a lot of intellectuals are labelling them this. It's a lie, but remember, at heart, there is still a lot of globalism mentality in all of academia, left and right.
Well said. To add, Professor Kotkin makes the insightful observation that both the US and China believed they could economically integrate another country to bring about political influence or control later, with that country being China for the US and Taiwan for China, respectively. However, he does not appear to see the same exact connection for Germany regarding Hungary, Poland and the rest of the V4. Such is the proper context with which to view the MSM's unrelentingly vitriolic statements about Fidesz, PiS, Poles, Hungarians, and patriots of all stripes in those countries.
On recorded books, the third volume of his Stalin biography is already listed as to be released in November. I don't see this information anywhere else. Would be great if someone could confirm it.
Rich authoritarian regime: Roman Empire
Not even comparable to Song Dynasty of China.
what's the books Kotkin's got on the shelves ? besides Kissinger's Diplomacy and I can make out "The Storm of War", can anybody tell the others ?
Whoa " Gilligan" ... Now every Hoover institute video I will think of "Gilligans island" song... ' the tiny ship was tossed... with the millionaire , Professor Kotin too...'
Far be it from me to disagree, but the emphasis of Prof Kotkin's presentation appears to be be predicated on "peaceful protest" whereas much of what has occurred in June 2020 in the USA does not look "peaceful" from our perspective.
What are you disagreeing with? He explicitly said he doesn't support violent protest, so by implication he condemns all the violent protests (as well as violent government repression of peaceful protests).
Great talk
if by “we” don’t mean the same thing then how can “we” live together in peace?
Very intelligent man. inspiring perspectives on issues
This is a pinnacle interview that few will ever know.
Great interview and unbiased and fair for most part
New Kotkin video!!!
Kotkin! Helllllls yeah.
This is a very smart interview.
THIS IS AN EXCELLENT EXPERT.
Stephen Kotkin is perhaps the most astute American geopolitical strategist working today. However, I have to disagree with two of his observations in this briefing:
1. His belief in the strength of American Institutions is something I have also shared, but unfortunately, there is evidence of significant cracks. There are calls for further changes in Congressional supermajority rules, in addition to the 2013 removal of the Senate rule requiring supermajority for certain cloture motions. The attempts to grant statehood to DC is part of the same momentum, as is the growing sentiment on the Left advocating for "stacking" the Supreme Court if they win the Oval Office, to bypass the separation of powers and achieve the rapid changes they cannot achieve otherwise.
2. Mr. Floyd's death in police custody was indeed sickening, as any death is. But until a proper investigation is concluded, nobody, including Mr. Kotkin, can know if it was a "horrible wrong." Just as likely it may have been a horrible accident. The body cam transcript shows that the officers believed that Mr. Floyd was in a state of "excited delirium" (potentially extremely dangerous to himself or others) and protocol in such cases is to restrain and hold until paramedics arrive. The official coroner's report also states that Mr. Floyd died of heart failure, which is not uncommon with fentanyl use. Plus, there is no evidence whatsoever that Mr. Floyd would have been treated differently had he been white. I understand the reasons why Mr. Kotkin may have felt obliged to say this "horrible wrong" bit, but it makes it all even more reminiscent of "1984."
Love all that Stephen has to say about domestic issues. As much as some may profit from saying it, we are not near revolution, we are not near destruction. We, in these certainly divisive times, remain strong in our structural integrity.
All we must do is adopt a more inclusive diversity of opinion in our conversation, and allow for others to speak their mind without assassinating their character, as we commonly do now. Then move hastily on to discussion about our foreign rivals.
I knew I liked Kotkin. Rightly throwing shade on Bolton - "he's never met a war he didn't like"
Whose finishing their chocolate shake at around the 3:30 mark?
Im new to kotkin but am enamored with him already. This is the first time I've actually heard him use the term conservative and so nuch of what I hear him speak sounds more centrist but maybe thats my own centrist filter perhaps . a lovely talk anyway about it
excellence in civility!
Stephen please................. we are quite scared for the United States now !!!!!
Joe Pesci is always so eloquent !
thanks very insightful
That was good
What is amazing is to listen to Stephen Kotkin on Foreign Affairs and then think that Susan Rice could be the next VP and a heartbeat from the Presidency. Even Obama knew better than that.
Oil prices have fallen to the lowest since 1991 level . With cost of “black gold” at 15-23 dollars per barrel, the USSR economy collapsed, and the sovok itself collapsed, and the "golden" horde ("russia") budget can only be fulfilled only with oil price at $ 42.4 and higher.
no country will be as militarily aggressive as america... every country has country & people to PROTECT...
At least, he give us something to say, “I don’t want war with China, but I’m not tolerating your underhanded tactics anymore.” And US need to reinvest in itself
👍👍👍
Legitimately curious, does anyone know how fluent and literate Kotkin is in at least, Russian? Has he ever lived or worked there?
Very fluent. He lived there when writing his first book in the late 1980s, and probably many other times writing his other books after that.
If adversity isn’t diverse ideas regardless of gender , race , age , religion etc.... diverse ideas is true diversity!! It’s the only true diversity
Some good some bad. Pitty you can't both 'like' and 'dislike!'
Its about damn time people saw China (and the CCP) for what it was.
The two gentlemen talk at length about China and the differences between China and the USA. Sadly, never once did one of them ask, "What can we learn from China." The only topic was how to resist/defeat China. The Chinese nation has lifted 700 million people out of dire poverty. It never occurred to either of them to ask how the USA could learn from that. Sad.
Make topic, sime about my countty Bosnia and Herzegovina, southeast Europe, the most geostrategic country in the world
What a brilliant common sense interview.
Mr Kotkin it’s unfair to compare Poland democracy with authoritarian government. Poland is free nation please make deeper research about current situation in Poland .
Same for Hungary.
You're talking checkers. Trump is playing 3D chess.
4D* which means he's playing in 5+D because he wouldn't tell us because that would compromise our security
Lol
PARLER does not feature videos? That's a show stopper, isn't it? Big step down from TH-cam unfortunately.
Please, please, please stop finding people guilty and sentencing them based on a video you saw or "the prevailing opinion". There is an extensive legal procedure to determine guilt - use that, it's better and fairer if done right.
There are differences in values between the US and Russia. Russia has restored its Orthodox Christian values, it values the family and the Church, whereas the US has embraced Postmodernism and rejected traditional values, and it doesn't help when Russia feels they are being targeted with cultural destruction, and a western propaganda industry which is greater than anything the Soviets ever created.
RE: Problem of the vote. Issue a new Social Security card with a photo, fingerprint and Smartchip, plus pay people $300.00 to vote. 95%+ turnout.
there were TRIBAL TRUCES after wars... kubhlai khan occupied china forcefully for 100 years... inner mongolia is the settlement after the ming dynasty got back china from yuan dynasty, mongolia... china nd mongolia amicably settled that way... mongolians know themselves about after war settlements... TIBET, the serfs/ enslaved tibetans who could be descendants of the ethnic hans, are very grateful in the coming of mao... there was a decisive battle with nehru... a truce settlement of tibet to china was then done...
An interview that began so well and ended up as mush.
What peaceful protests is he talking about. He must be living in Princeton calm beautiful town in central NJ. Just drive down few miles to Philadelphia and few miles to NYC and see that was everything but peaceful protests.
I have sent you the things that
that..............that.................that what?
thank you hoover institution... thank you sk... you are becoming true scholars in the definition in the asean lands... a true scholar points out all positive & negative of all sides... and see how & what compromises be done... a true scholar does not favor anything... it only favors to advocate peaceful co-existence of black & white(buddhism logo)... black is not to make white into black like itself... likewise to white is not to make black into white... if black wants white, black make itself white... if white wants black, it makes itself black... to make a black into white or white into black is not possible... this is reality... america can make itself democracy... show the positive things of democracy in america... if asean people see & like it, they will adapt it... look at south korea & philippines... bcoz democracy is spoon fed, up to this time, they are in the middle of their traditional values/practices and the spoon fed democracy... in truth, they dont know if they truly can see or touch democracy... are they truly enjoying democracy... are they truly enjoying all out freedom...?
16:50 min ...
34:16 min ...
Where the hell are these locations where blacks are prohibited from registering to vote?!?!
some scholars during the kubhlai khan CHAOS said, russia, is a special child of the vast universe... russia is a european people that habitate beside asean lands & amicably co-exist with the asean people... so to add, russia developed its own culture wisdom & principles... EURASIA is most appropriate to call russia...
Guy sounds like Shapiro, Shapiro, Shapiro on Stalag 17. :)