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Deep Dive 16/04/2024 - A change on the way - Met Office Weather Forecast
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 16 ส.ค. 2024
- This is an in-depth Met Office UK Weather forecast for the next week and beyond. 16/04/2024.
Did we see tornadoes in the UK on Monday? How wet has April been and are we in for a change in our weather at the weekend.
Bringing you this deep dive is Met Office meteorologist Alex Deakin.
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#weather #deepdive #tornado
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"The UK's under there somewhere" 😂 Sums up our spring nicely.
Alex still the goat of the met office
🙏
Thought it was Timmy Mallet for a second ;)
That’s rude
I’m going for John Kettly , he’s a weatherman
There's nothing wrong with the preamble. It's a fascinating view of how windsheer works and how a tornado can be developed. Can you look at the pollen forecast and the UV levels expected? How will the weather over America impact us in the coming weeks?
Don’t ever dumb this down very informative
Do you mean dumb ?
@@Carrera-gp9od yes
Can you dive more into sunshine hours. I think thats more important to most people than temperature or rain (we dont mind it raining and being a bit chilly if we can see the sun). Over the last year it must be pretty dire.
Good point - thanks
For some reason sunshine hours seems to have become unfashionable. We know about the wet; we know about the rain; we know about the wind; we know about the temperatures. But I think the grass is not growing like it should is because we are down on sunshine hours and many places are still like bogs. I don't think I have had so little grass in my garden for mid-April.?
Alex I love your preamble and all your weather chat - with respect to everyone, you are my favourite meteorologist. Thank you!
"Look Deep into the April face, a change is clearly taking place....Looking for the Summer" April has always been changeable. Im covering my Agapanthus! Weve had snow in April before. Thanks Alex!
We've had snow in June in the 1970's
@@Blat14 Yes! I remember it!
Hi Alex,
Never mind those saying you talk "Off Topic " too much. You're my favourite weather man. Love Your deep dives too, much better than some of the other forecasters.
Kind regards,
Ray,
Sittingbourne, Kent.
Let us know your questions / suggestions
Was there a few thundery shower in the uk on Monday?
Heavy rain in dubai
I really like your preamble it sets up the rest of the programme...can you continue giving us deeper look videos...one could tell us the history of the Met Office... could the acronyms that are used like ENSO etc be printed along with their meaning please...Regards from Perth...and thank you for putting Stornoway on the map😁🌠
We love your deep dives Alex! Always such easily digestible information and much appreciated. Welcome Greg!!
Great deep dive as always! Well done Met Office team, they are a highlight of the week.
Thank you! I often don't understand what causes these meteorological events. You explanations were so illuminating. Good stuff. Have just subscribed.
Had snow in May before now as well 🙂
Here in the Midlands the Oak trees are starting to leaf. That's about a month earlier than normal which I think shows what a mild winter and spring we've had.
That's the first time anyone has explained how tornadoes are formed. Thanks Alex!! -Also- over the very wet autumn and winter, at the age og 65, I have scratch built a Radio Control aeroplane complete with no idea what I was doing- so hopefully this Saturday I may (or may not) see it make its maiden flight ( If it flies fine- if not it was fun building it) I will film it whatever happensand will post it anyway!
Good luck, very impressive
I think you can get an autopilot device (I think it offers various levels of assistance), it might help you keep it in the air while you learn how to fly, it would be a shame if you crashed it on its first flight.
Please do show the stats relating to sunshine hours. Great presentations and enjoy them every Tuesday.
Hello Alex! I think you’re my favourite weather presenter of the lot, even as far back as when you were doing the weather for the BBC. I agree your pre ramble speech does go on a bit too long but other than that you present the weather brilliantly! Keep it up mate!
Matthew
Thank you, I'll get into it quicker from now on! 😀
Why has the jet stream been so much south shifted of late? We expect lows, rain and wind throughout winter but it seems we have had a lot more lows etc due to the pesky jet stream this winter/spring and past autumn.
would you be able to consider going up on a video quality from 1080p to 1440p ?
Thanks for your hard work guys and getting us a glimpse of hope for this drier spell, 🎉please
Thank you, Alex. A really engaging and educational presentation.
Thank you
Better be dryer weather on the cards as i am putting in an official complaint about the wet, windy and cold weather we have had since july last year jk lol
We hear you 😄
I would love to get some recompense for not having a spring again this year 😢
Just don't be one of them plonkers moaning "It's too hot" when we get 3 days of 20+ degrees!!!
@@jagz6794 ill be very grateful for it tbh
Christmas was very warm though
Thank god there's some drier weather av just finished the west highland way and at the highest point (600m) it was gales and heavy snow.
Currently on great Glen way so praying for dry for the next week or so 🙏 😂
Great presentation as usual, by one of the best presenters there is on TV
BRING ON THE HIGH PRESSURE! 🎉
🙌🙌🙌🙌
How rude people say about your preamble! I love your preamble please dont change. I love the vidoes, they are very informative. Just one request please you always talk about the clouds, could you add a visual please, that would be so helpful, as i can never remember what they look like. Thank you. 😊
Thank you, Alex, Well done Greg
Thanks for looking at the Night time temperatures in more detail - more in future episodes if possible. Useful info for those of us who work night shifts.
I heard from a traveller yesterday that he saw snow lying on the Southern Uplands on the way into Scotland.
It snowed where I am yesterday, South West Scotland. Very surprised to see it.
Yesterday rain in the morning also had hail and snow . Only for around 5 mins. Even at lower elevations. On that line you were describing. This was at Chesterfield. Still learning lots.
Thanks Alex, always very informative. I would love to see more of your "what's coming" segments that featured last year. A look at what weather might be heading our way across the Atlantic over a longer time period. Storms that will affect the jet streams pattern etc
Most informative explanation of wind sheer and the intense and vicious line of rain/wind we experienced even down here in Suffolk! I have learnt a lot in just 20 mins. Your enthusiasm for the subject is infectious, thankyou Alex, 10 out of 10!
Let's hope we get a area of high pressure.
First one since mid January!
Hi Alex both you and Aiden are my two favourite out of all of the met office and loving the deep dives keep it up mate!
As a fisherman, i love this deep dives they give me a good heads up for future sessions, roll on summer & an Indian one at that 🤞🤞🙏🙏
Thank the Lord for an upcoming dry weekend, just in time for our first mini vacation. Thanks Aidan 😊
I am surprised to hear it has been so mild! As a keen golfer, i can't remember the last time i was able to play without having at least 2 layers of clothing on!
It has been so wet, so windy and so cold this spring. I know your statistics will be accurate, but here in North Yorkshire (i live near Northallerton), we're looking forward to something warmer, calmer and drier.
We've had SOOOOO much rain since October
You're a great teacher, Alex. I especially enjoyed the section about tornadoes. Thanks.
Thank you so much for another superb programme, the temperature difference bit was of particular relevance as we have got Tomatoes and Chillies in the greenhouse - heater going on for the next three nights (Pembrokeshire coast). We now really look forward to these programmes.
Love your deep dives Alex , really informative and interesting. Any chance you could look at doing a vlog on Uk tornadoes? We get more than people realise !
Alex, I love your deep dives. Don't change anything! Love listening at bedtime 😊
Thanks for this and well done Greg 😊
Next week is looking a bit unsettled from midweek.
Heard the Cuckoo today between the hailshowers .
Ooh nice - yea the high doesn't look as strong as it did a couple of days ago - more in the 10 day trend tomorrow
Great reporting, but I get scared by bad inclement weather. What is happening, I am perplexed. Cold is biting.
Well done to you and the team as always. Fascinating, glad there is a small light and the end of the tunnel. Keep them coming. ❤
We were close to the Nottingham area ‘possible tornado’ it was intense, extremely wet and windy I was very happy to be inside. Therefore I was really interested in the explanation. Love the deep dives, great to watch your. enthusiasm and knowledge about something that affects me every day.
Great deep dive. Loving them. So much help as a private pilot trying to plan a flight, particularly on the north coast. One thing that would be great to see is detail on cloud heights. Maybe a Skew-T chart now and then? Appreciate most probably wouldn't be interested. Can rarely rely on clear skies so have to settle for high enough clouds.
Love the pre amble. Please don’t change
VERY MANY THANKS for a brilliant Deep Dive Alex!!! I thoroughly enjoyed every second of a truly amazing and really interesting DD, even your preambles are never ever boring and are always weather related, so preamble as much as you like! Very interesting about the Wind Sheer, though I’m sure you, or someone else described it a few weeks ago, still always really interesting though and helps it ‘stick’.
Many thanks to Greg (are you the Greg who’s often here on weekends?)
A question to you Alex: I’ve already signed up to TikTok and already seeing you on the BSL, I can’t find how to get to the weather that goes on there! 😮Please can you what’s best to put to enable me to get there PLEASE?? An excellent DD which I’m sure we all thoroughly enjoyed! 😊
The chart may appear to show milder temperatures over spring. Here in Helensburgh,it has been tempered severely by the high winds. Not mentioned disappointingly. We have had only a handful of none rain days since November.
THANK YOU SO MUCH ALEX SOME INTERESTING INFORMATION ABOUT THE WEATHER UPDATES & THE WEATHER INTO THE WEEKEND & I'M SO HAPPY THAT THE HIGH PRESSURE IS ON IT'S WAY 😁😁😁.
Hope to hear more about the damage analysis. (Paul in Texas)
Now there is a region that is well aware of damaging storms
Thanks from Ireland.
Great show Alex. I think your preamble could be a bit longer though.
Always fascinating and well explained Alex.
The software looks handy too.
I’ve wondered why we see clusters of clouds on the Birds Eye image, but they dissipate, and then re group later after passing over some distance.
Keep up the "long preambles". It all adds to the suspense. 😁😁
Interested in the wind map for April (so far). So here's my simple question....which I fear will elicit a complex answer! Why does the wind blow in gusts, often more than doubling the wind-speed, rather than just moving at a constant speed? (I've long wondered this...). Meanwhile, well done Greg and Alex: another excellent presentation!
Geography?
Great as always Alex.... what about the Solar storms effecting our weather ?? 😊
Fantastic deep dive Alex and Greg
Alex please do more of these videos
You want more than 1 a week?
I cant take in more thsn one a week, ty
I think that bow business explains why my cat just came in covered in water, and complaining about heavy rain.
Great video Alex, top man and favourite meteorologist. Your explanations suddenly make sense of how the complex atmosphere works. Especially liked your detailed simplification on Tornado forming conditions. Very much appreciate you funnelling in some high, dry weather!
Alex doing them 👏
🙏
What controls the track of the jet stream: what makes it more northerly or more southerly? is it cyclic and/or forced by ENSO/NAO?
Jet stream is more driven by temperature contrasts but global drivers like you mention eg ENSO and NAO play a part, it's all one system at the end of the day.
@@metoffice When I did meteorology for "A" Level Geography back in 1980/81, our teacher used to tell us that we'd get the weather the US got about 6 weeks later - is this because it takes that much time for the same temperature contrasts that drive the jet stream to migrate to our part of the Atlantic basin?
So. Winter: Cold, rain and wind. Spring: Cold, rain and wind. Summer: Cold, rain and wind. Autumn: Cold, rain and wind. Does that about sum up the weather for the next 365 days in the UK?
I enjoy these Deep Dives. I would love to see more. But it would be good to see seasonal records & also yearly records of rainfall totals & temperature trends. It has seemed as though whenever I see these deep dives you always mention how it is unseasonably warmer than average it is. I would like to see stats back further back in time to see when the last time we had trends of temperatures less than seasonal average. I would also like to see other details eg snowfall totals / sunshine totals etc.
Well done Alex and the MET Office team, keep the waffle going, it’s all part of the learning process.
Very Interesting, and effectively explained, thank you Alex.
Certainly being a predominantly wet picture here in Somerset since last July. Also as a result very gloomy. Are there any statistics on sunshine or lack of it available? If so have any records for gloominess being set? 🙂
These deep dives are fantastic, I love a good metric. EDIT: Good job Greg!
Quick Question - I always thought High pressure meant no winds, but there was a period a while ago where a 1028 High was directly over our area but we had very breezy conditions. Why might this be the case?
As a suggestion for further videos out and about I'd like to see you guys do a video about the Stevenson screen thermometers you use for recording maximum temperatures!
One of the most interesting videos which I've seen on the subject. Full marks and thank you, I'll definitely be back for more.👍
What about the storm or storm's that will be here next week? 🌪️⛈️
22:42 pretty colour's 🌞
Love your enthusiasm.
Can you explain why some countries experience more tornadoes than others and why the UK might be experiencing an increase in them (if this is the case)?
Well done Greg 😊
Love the deep dives!
Well done Greg
I know clouds are going to be still around on the weekend. How high are the clouds expected to be. Hopefully I’ll be having magnificent views of the Lake District for my tandem skydive
To make the Deep Dives better rather like our weather just mix them up would be my suggestion. Another one looking into past tornadic events in the UK would be great and please do follow up on that latest potential tornado. Maybe it was merely a straight-line wind event which also suggests we have more videos about wind then? Best wishes, Tony.
Another great insight into the weather. It would be interesting to also see a chart like the temperature and rainfall for level of zonal (from the south west/west) weather. This clearly has a big impact on temperatures and rainfall and I'd imagine this year has to be right up there with the most zonal of years. If the zonal weather was to continue into the summer I'd assume the average yearly temperatures would come down, though rainfall likely to continue to rise. Really hoping it doesn't continue though.
wet indeed Alex, Glenquey the nearest SEPA station to me (~5km south), has recorded 171mm of rain this month to 14th April, 599mm for the year to date. Feb and March were at or below average rainfall levels too!
how rude, that people berate you,for having a little chat before your cast, please ignore their ignorance.As always,thank you for your enthusiastic broadcast, kind regards, dave.
Fantastic deep dive as always Alex and the team.
Proper love the deep dives. Like a Uni lecture. Thankyou Sir! Much appreciated.
Thanks, Alex. The doyen of the deep dive. Growing up back home in Bridport I use to often see water spouts out to sea. Were they mini tornadoes?
It's going to be a very cool mixed summer. Thankfully.
Why is the Met office app so off in its wind speeds. It has been over 20 miles per hour out and gives a wrong impression of what to expect.
My wife was travelling into Lincoln, and she was convinced she drove through a tornado. She is obsessed with them, but her evidence was, hail super high wind's and horizontal rain..and she said she spotted a hook in the clouds.
Alex on your next deep dive , can you please focus more on the thunderstorms we've had, thankyou :-)
What would be good is more explaination about cloud types/formation/inversions in mountainous areas to help hikers predict the weather - send Aidan out on a hike!
Dry is good, but last weekend we actually had a BBQ here in Cornwall,so I want some more warmth please Alex 🤣
25:20 showing love! Thanks 😊 25:38
It's hard to imagine how this brilliant programme can be improved. I was wondering if there is a pattern to this years weather as in it being an El Niño year. Do we get more rainfall in those years? As in do the above average rainfalls coincide with El Niño years? Thanks Alex and welcome Greg 😊
Well done met office YT team. 🍻
What are the chances we could end up having a summer like last year? What was it, like 9 weeks of low pressure dominating summer wasnt it?
1666 A high end F4/low end F5 past through Welbourn, Wellingore, Navenby and Boothby Graffoe in Lincolnshire. Killing 3 people. Rated T8/9 by TORRO which is equivalent to F4 on the Fujita scale. Slight possibility of being an F5. we did have big one in 1091 london taking out 600 homes some reports say f4. Portsmouth on 14 December 1810, with a T8 (F4) rating. modern times we got lucky not had big one for a while now we prob due a big one at some point
Heavy swirling hail and sleet on Monday after Saturday was a bit hard to take
Hi Alex, I know we have always had tornadoes in the UK, but the frequency of damaging ones does seem to be increasing. Will the UK look to invest in tools to allow us to better predict a likely tornado?
Yea we get 30 to 40 each year. They do seem to have become more frequent but there's not much evidence in the stats. It's quite a small number to see trends over years with such a large variance. I agree we have had an unusual number of impactful ones in the past 3 or 4 years. I'm sure there'll be ongoing research around this.
Thanks for the detailed forecast Alex
I love these, grown up weather.
Hey folks. Thanks for the great info as always. While I love the trend reports showing how wet or warm things have been. The graph showing us that we are having a warm April and even trending towards the top end of that. Its based on the overall average, any chance we can get some regionality? (spelling?) I live down Southampton way, we are thin blooded and April doesn't feel like it has been warmer. Would be nice to see those line graphs for some of the areas so we can see how our (local) weather is fairing?
Alex, were the Met Office surprised by the intensity of the wind. Could it have been a named storm?
In Stafford felt it. It rattled the windows at front of house pretty scary