Peter Zeihan's Warning: The Terrifying Geopolitical Risks Ahead
ฝัง
- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 17 พ.ค. 2024
- Peter Zeihan, geopolitical strategist and author at Zeihan on Geopolitics, joins Maggie Lake to discuss the emerging risks around the world, from recent attacks in the Middle East to ongoing conflicts like the Ukraine-Russia War and escalating tensions in Asia.
In this Daily Briefing, Peter Zeihan delves into geopolitical risks in 2024, including the US election, Middle East conflicts, and the rise of China. Tune in for expert analysis on key players like Russia, Israel, Hamas, Iran, and the impact on global issues like Bitcoin and the future of Donald Trump.
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00:00 - Intro
02:00 - China & Its Demographic Issue
09:30 - The U.S. Election & A Trade War
16:15 - The Fed vs Wallstreet
22:40 - China Demographics Military Implications.
26:10 - The Oil Market
30:30 - The Russia & Ukraine War
37:45 - Japan's
39:40 - Where Do You See Opportunity
43:10 - Outlook On India
44:45 - Gold & Bitcoin
46:15 - What To Keep Your Eye On
Disclaimer: media.realvision.com/wp/20231...
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02:00 - China & Its Demographic Issue
09:30 - The U.S. Election & A Trade War
16:15 - The Fed vs Wallstreet
22:40 - China Demographics Military Implications.
26:10 - The Oil Market
30:30 - The Russia & Ukraine War
37:45 - Japan’s
39:40 - Where Do You See Opportunity
43:10 - Outlook On India
44:45 - Gold & Bitcoin
46:15 - What To Keep Your Eye On
Is peter still using that photo on his online dating profile too? 😂
The 20 year old thumbnail got me 😂
No matter who Maggie interviews, she got great questions. RV’s top asset!
ash is way better
really? She sounds like the farthest she's ever gone is from St Louis to Indianapolis. Like an evangelical that only half believes what's she's thrown at her. Very weird
Peter Zeihan is saying something very extreme, with more shock horror stuff vaguely in the future, some of which might happen to an extent.
Zeihan is the most entertaining geopolitical speaker on the scene today. It's only when you have expertise in any area he talks about, to realize he's an egotistically blinded, biased, superficial thinker, who proposes overly simplistic solutions to problems he's intellectually & emotionally incapable of understanding. Nevertheless, his over confident monologue is a starting point where mature, capable people can take over & find real solutions.
Brilliant comment! Thin soup😋
Indeed. But he is very entertaining.
A very shallow generalist, but knows that his craft is not the actual analytics.
The idea that the Chinese can't build chips seems unlikely to me. Seems more likely the us will struggle to find enough skilled scientists for the new fabs, given how poor education has become in most of the west. Us will most likely have to import people from Asia
Very well put!!!
Very well said!
The 50 cent army seems to turn out more and more whenever Peter speaks.
畅想中国光明论😂
The wu mao must have an entire battalion dedicated to tracking him. They always trot out the same old talking points and cheap ad hominem attacks wherever he goes.
The 50 cent army is worth $2.75.
has it occurred to you that maybe more and more people disagree with him now that the "land of the free" is collapsing under the governance of the 90 year old corporate puppets that couldn't operate a car? his arguments don't hold water when we see China advancing in chips and electric cars while the Peter's country is in freefall despite all his demographic arguments?
You got it! They even hacked one of Peter’s talk about 🇨🇳 demographic decline.
How can someone be so confidently wrong for so many years yet still gets air time?
Deep State
Peter’s analysis of current events is interesting and entertaining. His forecasts are, well…..
Excellent storytelling funded by CIA.
What's wrong? I'm more surprised at how many things he got right.... 😂 👎
The country with the most experience in perma frost resource extraction is Canada. Bar none. Many if not most extraction expertise in northern Russia were Canadian.
Peter Zeihan is the Bill Nye the Science Guy of geopolitics
You guys should hear his take on jabs lol
Please do not bring up politics with Zeihan. Idc for trump but Zeihan has clear derangement. Not objective
The yearly update!!
Great vid
Zeihan's bias agaisnt Trump shows a glimpse of how dated his prism of world perception is. The world's changing, and not all things come down to demography and Bretton Woods anymore.
Our ‘fixed pensions’ are so small that government is warning that changes must come for more personal ‘commitment’ to our pensions
@45:45 watch Zeihan DESTROY his entire credibility among the viewer base in a single statement..
Kudos to Maggie - able to get the best output from Peter, Thanks so much.😀
Absolutely!
Mr Jack of all trades, master of none..
What is this catfish photo of Peter? 😂
* silverfox :P
Make it in America
USA citizens
Peter Zeihan is my favorite comedian...
The all mighty cherry picking Prophet
It's fun to listen to PZ but it's also fun to watch Maggie laugh, in so many subtle ways, at his jokes
Interesting interview, nice change from the usual stories
I still do not understand why Peter supports Biden even though the polls say otherwise.
Because the incumbent advantage, the fact he lost before, the hatred of Trump from Democrats, all the controversies around Trump and the fact independents are against him
Has this guy ever been right about anything?
Peter Zeihan is the greatest in his own mind 😂
He predicted the Ukraine war happening down to the month
@@firefly9838 Yea, in addition he predicted that Russian oil and gas exports would decrease substantially - and they sure have.
They haven't actually @@ivancho5854
He also predicted the deglobalisation trend, the US becoming more inwardly focused, the decline of the Chinese economy, the shale oil boom leading to less US interest in and demand for Middle Eastern oil, and plenty more. He's written five books, so his predictions date back a fair way. Ian Bremer also agrees with about 90% of Peter's positions and geopolitical strategists don't get much more famous than Bremer.
On Trump's electorial prospects
"RFK Junior, Donald Trump thought he had cornered the b*tshit crazy vote but now it's split"
Peter is an Agency PR service man!
This fella really wants to paint it as if Trump and Biden are in the same mental state. 😂
He is 100% wrong about the Ukr war and the capability, training, motivation of the Russian army.
When was this originally aired?
By sound and look, 2010.
It says 2024 based off the description but who knows. It doesn't give an exact date just the year.
It was streamed live on Apr 29, 2024 at 4 pm ET
Great interview.
When was the interview conducted? Not professional to not state the date.
It was streamed live on Apr 29, 2024 at 4pm ET
@@RealVisionFinance Thank you very much.
Remember him declaring pompously that oil would never fall below $100 ever again....
Reference please.
They’ve pushed through now
Peter's prediction that Bitcoin was worthless and headed to zero was practically the the turning point that started the BTC bull market where it hit a new all time high :)
Breaking: BlackRock and Fidelity have just filed for a Spot Beanie Baby ETF.
4:50 Andrew?
Maggie needs a lapel mic for better audio.
Dude has been predicting Chinas death longer than Bitcoins.
Long live Xi Jing Ping.
Xi wears clown shoes and plays Pat Boone records backwards looking for the hidden meaning.
When did he start predicting China's death and in what year? Also, when did he start predicting Bitcoin's death and in what year?
@@user-xp5id1kh4r when did you start to learn Mandarin and use Renmingbi ?
@@nmslnesses ?
great
PZ,
Great session. So many truths shared… As you said, the financial sector has not faced reality, and many bets on the future are wrong. Simply stated, the world is NOT going back to “free money” and EVERYTHING in excess. Love your graph (other video) where you show all who have eyes to see… “The end of globalization”. Actually the beginning, middle, and the end.
Ms Lake earnestly tried to hold the line (global markets, raging Wall Street, pre pandemic, climate risk denial, and fearless greed greasing the wheels of “growth”.
She may not be sleeping well these days…
Why does this guy speak so confidently on how he thinks things will happen. Strange...
he's a professional clown
What are you suggesting?
His method is based on geography, demographics, and sourcing specialists in a dizzying variety of fields. Specialists often can't see the forest for the trees. Zeihan is a Generalist so he ties specialist's analysis together and build a model of the wider world.
😮The audience isnt shy.
But most people dont understand...or recall...exactly how vicious and far reaching a trade war can be.
Or historically how easily it can lead to a shooting war.
China for example can easily counter by seizing or attempting to seize Taiwan not only for nationalistic reasons and strategic reasons but for its semi cinductor equipment and manufacturing capability and trained personnel.
This of course would REALLY impact the US.
Smartest thing to do would be pack the whole thing up and move it to Texas along with granting citizenship to the Taiwanese semi conductof workers who face it would make better immigrants than the human debris flooding across the border.
Or accelerate duplicating the facilities in the US training technical workers etc.. .And when the Chinese grab fo Taiwan a plan for the facilities making semiconductors to disappear in a massive fireball.
And while you re at it move the Dutch chip tech to the Uzs also...unless you plan to stop Russia in Ukraine. Which the West appears incapable of doing.
As for other raw materials and manufactured product you ve got various scenarios of begger thy neighbor. If the West for example wanted to really hinder Russia and Chinas progress they d give Ukraine the intel and weaponry to hit the Russian refining and crude capacity .
Of course the zuS needs to begin manufacturing everything that it has relied on China for especially primsry metals ship building etc.
Now you begin to reach the point when you have to protect your fledgling industries with tariffs. And counter tariffs. Which means that you no longer have any reason NOT to go to war for one reason or another.
Northern XL pipeline into Canada should be finished! Sometimes the competence of the Canadian and US governments are suspect.
China is automating a lot of factories, even defense productions. They use 14 minutes to assemble an electric vehicle. They have recently introduced defense production by robots, like with the EV industry. So China is mitigating the demographic challenge by using robots and tech to substitute human workers.
Think you have the bull by the horns on the 14min EV build… Having a production line that spits out a car every 14mins does not mean the car took just 14minutes of human time… Yours is common case of not understanding assembly line production. It is literally impossible to achieve that number…
In Mexico? Manufacturing?
It's funny how Zei Zei Zeihan can both be Captain Obvious and Captain Fiction at the same time.
Peter is constantly wrong...and getting tired of hearing the same thing all the time
New science, heritages are no more than 1 or 2 centuries
Min 46:00
What shoe to drop? ("Russia")
Was excited to listen to tge podcaat but you can hear the bias oozing outta this guy.......😂
Such as?
Bias towards what? We already know he makes most of his money from oil companies.
@@danmoreman954such as everything he says...none of his "predictions" ever come true,though he speaks so confidently
He says Trump CANT WIN.
HAHAHAHA
dude is clueless
"Trump would be nominated, even if He were DEAD !" - 14:00...One could only hope for that moment of CLARITY to confront the party of the WHITE ELEPHANT
in the room.
zeihan is the last person to trust!!!!!
Are you Russian or Chinese?
Why is that? He seems decent enough
Better than not trusting him? Listen to what he says and then do the exact opposite.
Older than dust!!!😂
Eff chinese produced anything dangerous in big machines and computers
Pretty sure Peter is an agent for a 3 letter agency.
💯
State actor
He wishes
习近平？
F.U.N???
If you haven't watched 2,000 mules you have no idea what's going to happen this November.
Stop with te cryoto currency bs
Best interview in a long time. Super interesting.
Take Zelhans info. With a grain of salt. He's very inaccurate with his predictions.
Not surprised raoul vision keeps having this grifter on. But honestly, what has Peter been right on in the last few years? Or ever??
Russia's DEFEAT in the Ukrainian 2023 SPRING OFFENSIVE?
On the demographic crisis, on the trade between the U.S. and Mexico ramping up and on the divestment from China.
Shhhh. Let the grown ups talk
@@henrytep8884and wrong on famines, Russian oil, or US pullback...
@@mysterioanonymous3206 the op is about what he is right about…not what he is wrong about 🤦♂️. Of course he’s going to get things wrong, but his description of reality is not that far off. You do need those fertilizers from Russia and Ukraine to feed the world, but countries also have a stock of food. Fertilizers have been decreasing but it isn’t fully destroyed.
Peter Zion
the crypto bots are mad lol
Here’s the thing about Bitcoin in the long term: if Bitcoin fulfills its promise of being a spendable stable currency, investing in it would be no different than investing in say, the euro or the yen.
Completely wrong. Why would you spend Bitcoin when you can’t make any more of it and it could be worth twice as much next year.
@@Mrfoo2002 Line go up!!!
It would be different as it is unregulated and not backed up a nation state.
This guy is wayyy tp arrogant...his call btc was going to drop to 9 when it was 16000 was a bottom signal hahaha!
Btc dropped 4.77% today
Clearly English is not your first language, lol
@@danmoreman954 “subject verb object” is a simple sentence, literally one of the first things you learn in grammar classes. Go back to first grade
He's been anti crypto for a decade... don't take a specific date of a quote he said to bolster your own beliefs in crypto and its value/levels.
The world is arrogant
Love Peter great infotainment on geo politics.
Come on, Peter. There are reasons why American industry was "outsourced" and there are MAJOR difficulties with "onshoring". Let's at least admit it.
History done deal, over
Not this neocon again. It’s guys like this advising people at White House that got us in trouble.
He has been absolutely right about a lot. Russia, China, and many others. Nice try though
@@Vikingpoints He only missed the turn to a multipolar world and the fact that we are bankrupt. Other than that he is spot on. Also awkward laughter when asked about the students protests.
@@Vikingpointswell, he has a very undifferenciated view on crypto for starters😂😂😂
@Mitsbuchanan we've never missed a debt obligation and we aren't close to anytime soon. Hence, not bankrupt.
@@Erikpdxprinter go brrrr
glad Peter can admit where he was wrong. how long before Peter discovers he is wrong about bitcoin?
This dude is wrong on so much. He's just a talking head for the us government. Does anyone take him seriously?
Lol oh man... Peter on a crypto bull channel. This should be interesting. This guy doesn't have any understanding of blockchain technology and the disruptive power it holds.
Peter's DEEP STATE 3 Letter Gov dept Neo-Con War Monger Elites HATE CRYPTO ... because they Can't Steal It from the American Working Tax Payers like they stole Social Security & Medicare Solvency!
Bruh... this isn't 2015 anymore, half the country knows about blockchain technology and the "disruptive power" it holds. And he's been a crypto hater for a decade at this point. Don't act like he's just some country bumpkin who's never heard of it, he has specific reasons why he doesn't look very positively on it
What Power does it hold? So far not much to show but mystery valuations on the exchanges. It's speculative. Like the tulip bubble. Worked fine for some time until it didn't.
Hahaha this guy knows nothing about and he’s so full of himself. Bad choice.
And you made how much last year? 🤣
Who'd wanna listen to that muppet
We will politely listen to you so don’t worry.
Why is he a muppet?
Peter Shifff 2.0
Peter Schiff has been preaching doom since 2009. It's 2024 now and we had one of the strongest bull runs in history 😂
For some1 who talks about the greatest wealth transfer between generations and not considering crypto is pretty crazy...
2+
Dude clearly carries bias these days. Hack job, tough to watch.
Peter Zeihan? Hahaha 🤣.... Let's see who will have the last laugh!
Peter exudes so much confidence when he speaks; it’s hard to believe he is ever wrong about anything. He is! Two suggestions for Peter. 1) Compare the behaviors of America today with the behaviors of Rome prior to the invasion of the Visigoths. 2) Become familiar with Bible prophecy and Biblical history. There is more going on in the world today then people know and see.
The bible? Seriously?
@@CrazyYurie It is funny how people discount things they don’t understand. What if your wrong?? Oops. To late.
Z😊
Slava Ukrani
Dude needs a psych eval
Nah but you're getting one now
Projecting much?
What specifically did he say that was so crazy?
Speaks with such authority, but he’s never been right about anything
Not true at all
You haven’t read his books.
He predicted Russia's invasion of Ukraine down to the year
@@user-xp5id1kh4r That's because CIA made it inevitable. And he is their mouthpiece.
This guy drinks his own koolaide smells his own farts is in his own echo chamber… lol or maybe stares at himself in the mirror too much
All trump had to do was start his own party.
Zeihan Mr sky is falling. Full of bs knowledge. Makes random predictions
Trump is at least there mentally
Wow, did you ever get that one wrong.
*snorts*
Oh wait, you're serious
*guffaws*
Trump is still able to function, particularly if you look at his reaction to how the courts have treated him so shabbily.
@@GoodmanMIke59 yep
BS
Zeihan is still living in his bubble when it comes to domestic politics.
Why? What did he say?
What did he say? He questioned Trump's fitness for office when Trump has been standing up like a champ.
Imagine waking up aside Maggi Lake.
Love his interviews. Just understand he falls for the normal mistake of humans: he assumes humans will keep doing the same thing… we don’t.
Someone with literally half a brain would think twice before comparing Bitcoin to the Beanie Babies craze in terms of relevance and longevity. Bitcoin was introduced in 2009, and it has been a prominent part of the financial and technological landscape for over a decade. It has established itself not just as a speculative asset but also as a foundational technology for various financial services and innovations in the form of blockchain technology. This contrasts with Beanie Babies, whose popularity as a speculative investment largely faded within a few years. Being so shockingly wrong on a certain topic makes me question the validity of any of his claims let alone that he is a Realist which is funny if you ask any credible political scientist, intellectual or historian except for Mersheimer of course. But it was an entertaining interview, he made a few valid points especially on the Russian/Ukraine war.
RV should not get this GEOPOLITICAL SCAMMER on air!!! Quite unfortunate.
Lame
disappointed about your endorsement of this fear merchant
How is the weather in Moscow comrade?
Latest Doomberg sets out the exact opposite to Clueless Petes thesis on chinese chip manufacturing expertise
You guys don't get it
Can’t stand this man and I’m not partisan!!!
shill