THE MURLOC BRAN’SPLOSION! - Hearthstone Battlegrounds
ฝัง
- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 5 พ.ค. 2020
- Hearthstone Battlegrounds - Get Brann, get rating. It's that simple.
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#HearthstoneBattlegrounds #Kripp - เกม
in 11:20 kripp says that no way there is a possibility to lose the 10:10 match, he is wrong. but the program also technically wrong as its not 0.1% chance.
I calculated it, it's 1/13858 chance so 100*1/13858 is 0.007216...% chance. if I did a mistake and it's not this result let me know.
the calculation is based on the fact that Kripp minions don't have to hit always from left to right, but kill all the 8/8 first to remove the divines, 2 of the 8 8 kills the brann and the non-divine mourluc , then its a 1/3 chance to hit the legend, into a 1/15 chance to get the max, then its simple calculation of avoiding the chad and baron, also I added the fact that you dont have to miss both the chad and the baron, but only one of them. if we add up that we want both the chad and the baron to live then its a 1/17010 chance so 0.005878... chance.
I could have made a mistake in that I used the first 2 8s that we're able to attack as the ones who killed the brand and the 6/3, it doesn't have to be the first ones, it can be any of the ones who can attack, I dont think it changes the calculation but I am not an expert so let me know, also I took into consideration that Kripp had the first turn.
in summary it's 1 in 7*2*6*1.5*1*3*15*1*(6/5)*1*2*1 chance
edit: also, there is a chance for lethal by him. if both minions live its 5+3+5 dmg, so there is an actual chance for him to do lethal. 1/17010 chance actually, so yeah if only we saw that, best clip ever.
let me know again if there is a mistake
Krip not pinning or commenting on this is proof he doesn't read TH-cam comments.. that was alot of work that deserves to be noticed.
RIP your comment not getting noticed around the Kripperino spams.
the program has decimal places limits, so it simply puts the lowest possible value, 0.1%. Not an error, but a
limitation.
@Kostas Dimou damn dude didnt think of that
I suspect that the program calculated this correctly but then rounded that number to 1 decimal, because otherwise it'll be too long to display
@@christopherreis4852 yuo right but its beyond that, I talked with the creator on credit, the program runs simulations of the game alot of the times, so it isn't an actual statistical proof, but a statistics from a limited simulations pool, lets say 10k matches. I asked him if he gonna make a full tree of possibility, and he pointed out correctly that when you do it the number of combinations are on the million to even billion side, so he is searching now to do a monte Carlo tree algorithm to solve it, it's still in beta so let's see how it will turn out.
in the end it doesnt really matter the exact statistics for this game, but more of a general idea to how weak or strong are you relatively to the other people in the match.
T1: 1:08 "Great start"
T2: 1:30 "Like to see that hundo"
T3: 3:07 "Ok, should be fine"
T4: 4:51 "Alright"
T5: 6:10 "This is my only chance to level, so I have to take it"
T6: 10:52 "...I'm gonna go to 6 here"
you're a genius Kripperino
4:00 *gets triple*
Kripp: Don’t really want triples right now-
*gets another triple*
Kripp: ...
Krip never lucky
suffering from success
0:55 Skipperino the kripperino
1:07 Skipperino to recruiterino
Luv u man
♥️♥️♥️♥️♥️♥️♥️♥️♥️
Queef
@@SinTransphobicTrigger confusion
Low
Kripp did not recruit me and decided to take the path of evil by playing murlocs
@@_420_69 just one bran can double battlecries that buff all murlocs
@@antonykun9940 what a braindead comment. You totally missed the point.
Business as usual then.
@@SirMcAwesome LOL shh you will hurt his feelings
Murlocs: *exists*
Kripp: aight, imma about to win
Top damage: 56
Kripp was carried by RNG this game.
Yes Science !
Dude this Profil picture 😂😂😂❤️.
Awesome 😂
@@aimbreak1461 Fit perfectly lol
I have been binge watching Kripps battlegrounds since quarintine and all I can say is time well spent
It's a daily routine.
Same. Kripp is like my bible
Time well met
Indeed
Yup, I even started playing myself after like 2 months of watching clips and having a weird phobia of getting into BGs.
Honestly, don't think I really want to know what a Bran'splosion is
th-cam.com/video/Ku42Iszh9KM/w-d-xo.html
Murloc and Bran! Is this a new build Krip!?
At 11:21 you discussed how the predictor stating a 0.1% loss potential from the previous round at 10:12 was impossible, even if Sneed had spawned 5 Maexxnas.
It actually was correct. If your minions only attacked the left-most minion every time, whilst your opponent's minions hit right-to-left, AND Sneed spawned Maexxna, then you would've lost to the remaining Baron and Khadgar.
its lower chance then 1/1000 or 0.1%.
yeah, I now calculated it, it's 1/13858 so it's 0.007216...% chance. if I did a mistake and it's not this result let me know.
There are 18 legendaries?
I feel the need to post your calculation on r/hedidthemath. Good job!
@@Bloodalbik there is 16 as I counted, minus the sneeds its 15
@@MrDragonorp But Coiler works as well so odds are actually higher. Extreme highroll Imp mamas also are enough.
Today's fact: Three-fourths of the earth is covered with water. When astronauts first saw the planet from space, they could mostly see water, so they called it the 'Blue Planet'.
Ok Barry Allan
Haven't you already done this one Facterino?
U did this one already brudda
One day we will know the mysteries of his fact selection and repetition
Everyone already knows that shit.
When you are good to Mama
Mama's good to you. Famous Jake is weak af though.
The Devil Battlegrounds player maybe. As a personality though, he’s a godsend
Mama's good to you
MAMA GOOD TO U
Mama's good to *you*
I just had a Flurgl game where i survived till the end at 1 hp and had no Bran. it was tense lol. Definitely didnt enjoy manually poisoning every single one of my murlocs when i couldn't find a second Megasaur, but the first was Divine :)
I had a similar run with George, had to manually give poisn and divine shield to all of them, in the end it worked xD
I just had a millhouse game where I went dragons but didn't get kalygos, still managed 3rd place. Before that I was playing van cleef with menagerie but no hydra so didn't get cleave till later on. I also played demons with piramad and murlocs with Elise yesterday. Sometimes I have to take a shit in the middle of a game. I have an en suite bedroom so toilet is fairly close to my pc. I take the wireless mouse with me and try to guess what I'm buying while taking the shit, listening to the sounds from the monitor for guidance. Sometimes Bob says "That's a great minion" so I know I've got a good one. Tomorrow I'm planning to play beasts because i haven't played them in a while so I feel kinda bad when I pass up mamas. Might also call my granny and see how she's doing, she lives alone abroad and I feel bad for her sometimes because she has no family close. I'm getting a bit hungry, think I'll grab a snack, be right back.
that exact same thing happened to me yesterday
10:10 Kripp be like "it's over anikin, I have the high ground"
Hey Kripp watching you helps to take control my anxieties. Keep on great doin great staff and being never lucky :)
Spoilers for this video: In this video, Kripp gets...
first place. His most recent non-first video was 20 videos ago, in NO DEMONS ALLOWED?!, where got 3rd as Pyramad. His last non-win video was 49 videos ago, in DON’T MURLOC ON SLEEP DEPRIVATION, where he got 8th as Yogg.
7:04 this turn was a Flurgl thing of beauty. Wish I had more murloc run turns like that 😞
I love the percentages on the top. Thanks Kripp! 😊
Keep up the great work Kripp!!!!
For Kripp: Okay it's a random game with insane lucky...
For me: No way dude! Every single game, he has the most insane board monsters! 🤣🤣🤣
*I AM MURLOC XD*
XD
Great game, and great video.
I could watch murloc builds all day they are so satisfying
Bran-splosion sounds like a challenge to Will Ferrell's Colon Blow cereal sketch on SNL.
14:48 “I guess I’ll roll once”. Gets megasaur on the roll 👌
I had shudderwock and even though there were 4 murloc players in my lobby, I got so many early murlocs I just went with it and the double buffs really made it possible to win. Brann would have been better since hero power is only once per turn, but I destroyed the entire lobby anyway.
What software is he using that tells him the possible outcomes?
Kripp is like that article I once read - There was a young man in some latin american town cleaning shoes for money, but he was strong - everyone said that he is the best boxer in the town and someone asked why is he then cleaning shoes if he is the best boxer? - No one wants no fight him, so he has to clean shoes for a living.
09:58. One of the earliest proclamations of game over I’ve seen. And true.
New Murlocstone expansion: residentsleeper
At this point I'm pretty sure there is a direct correlation between all the Flurgle players that went 1st and them getting a Tidehunter on T1 and those that went 8th and didn't.
Every BG I've been into is like, Fire Whelps for everyone.
Thank you for showing us how to murlock with rng :):):)
6:03 7:36 Kripparian has witnessed the true endtimes
When you're here before the kripperinos
Kripp yesterday: I'm done playing trash heroes.
Kripp today having Edwin in pick: I'll play Flurgl this time.
Megasaur : Give DS + Poison
Me : Okay he just won the game.
The planets must have aligned for Kripp to get this lucky.
6:54. The coolaid man
Which app is the top of the screen?
I love the odd calculator
Can sneeds summon sneeds. Cause if so I think that infinitesimal chance of infinite sneeds was the .1% chance it showed
if its infinite then it doesnt work, a infinite series converges into 0, that's how it goes. also sneeds can't summon sneeds, I did the calculation its 0.01 chance approx that he loses, with 5 max summoned by sneeds, and the brand and the small merluc dying befor the other merluc do.
i did a little analysis and since sneed cant summon sneeds there is actually an instance that causes kripp to die, kripp to lose, or kripp to tie: so after looking back over it, i actually think there is exactly 1 instance where kripp not only loses, but dies. this would require the bagurg hitting the egg, egg hits warleader, primal hits dino, dino hits cold light, murk hits same dino, dino hits bran, felfin hits same dino, last dino kills itself on anything. then, now that there are 5 minions with no divine shield the warleader would have to hit the shredder which would have to roll maexna twice on the deathrattle in order to spawn 5 maexnas that would ALL have to either trade or be traded with in combats without any hits sniping the bran or khadgar. at this point if 5 maexnas spawn then the round could tie or be a win or even be a kill for the opponent with enough luck. of course this is an abysmal chance
@@forminlo yeah I know, I wrote a comment on it.
This could have been just a 10 minute video. When Krip kit the poisonous+divine shield it's just game over 😄
You are absolutely insane ...great game man ... I will never be number 1 as long as you live :)
Yeah I had same game recently with triple Brann and murlocs over 100hp divine shield poisonous
I really luv when kripp plays murlocs
Hi kripperinos, hi twitch chat. Don't you think it's quite strange that Kripp has kept winning the last 345 games uploaded on YT?
I think we all need BALANCE. Where are the 8th places?
@@rubensmuzell nah kripperinos are funny dude, it creates a sense of community. to make a kripperino comment doesn't take that much energy and its fun, I see no real harm in doing that.
@@rubensmuzell I don't know what are you talking about, Kripp got best comment section on TH-cam
I RARELY, if ever, even see Brann... usually when I get him it’s too late anyways
damn he's good
Out-of-Contexterino Quoterino:
Just hit him...
Kripp - 2020
Time Stamp for context: 7:00
Double today:
These murlocs are over...
Kripp - 2020
Time Stamp for context: 13:43
11:25 - that's possible if his 8/8 cleared out DS and then 5 Maexxnas would've dealth with the murlocs, his Chadgar then kill your Brann and then somebody would die along with Coldlight
I dub thee: The Moment when Flurgl went Nuclear! The Dream.
I just saw a Canadian turn in to a Canadian. 👍
What Software do you use to have stats on each game?
Kripparrian uploads a video, Tetris begins to drool...
What is that app that calculates your win percentage?
How do you sleep at night kripp?
11:30
Bugurgle > egg
Egg > brann
Primalfin > egg
Token 1 > brann
Murkeye > token 1
Token 2 > coldlight
Felfin > token 2
Token 3 > random
Warleader > sneeds
Maexxna vs. murloc
Repeat prev. x 4
Baron and khadgar remain
Sorri! :P
2 felfins, that rng
0:02
Kripp ive beaten much bigger poison shield murlocs. I had a starter ghoul and giant cleaves I won comfortably
"Bran'splosion"
Please, Bran, put your pants back on...
kripp does not go afk in this video
rafaam was like: i've had it with these motherfuckin' murlocs in this motherfuckin' game
.....
16 minutes... i feel cheated of the usual 21-25 minutes
Sometimes lucky. Sometimes mega lucky.
How does kripp get so lucky?? Must be Blizz watching him
Wow bell is freaking slow. Vegan bell!!
It's not giving up, people leave the game to animation cancel, if they lost and died that becomes an auto disconnect.
I think the 0.01% chance involved Sneeds pulling on more Sneeds or something.
That cannot occur in hearthstone im pretty sure
Jierark You’re right. I just checked. Sneeds and Coiler can’t summon themselves!
its 1/13858 so it's 0.007216...% chance you got close, but the program said 0.1% chance not 0.01% so it was also wrong by a factor of 10, if we round my calculation to 0.01. it counts sneeds summoning max, the divine shileds are down if they only hit the 8/8s the brand and the 6/3 is dead by the 8/8s and one of minions, khad or baron survive at the end, if the Kripp minions only hit the max
This is why I rank Flurgl as one of the best heroes.
Kripp sees a triple and does not want it.
Kripp sells a murloc and sees another triple.
How many triples are needed to convince Kripp to want it.
Kripp instantly forces another murloc run, the speed, the skrll, the innoburgle, the mrglmrglmrg HSMurlocs
as murloc hero, i never got murlocs on 1st turn rofl
Not gonna lie... Brann-splosion sounds to me like a digestive problem.
14:53 what the eGirl hears through her headphones while she asks me how the hell I got her number
7:04 Kripp just completely ignored the free triple... Possibly 2 triples if not for his boomer APM
How to play with murlocks 101 :
- pray that game doesn't shit on you and give you some coldlights, makrels, felfinns, Begurgels and brann to work with
- don't die in mid game
- tier up fast
- buy your power murlocks and boost your stats to insane levles. Works even better with brann
- fish for meagsaur and casually give all your 80/80 fishmen divine shield, windfury, taunt, deathrattle and poison.
-?????
- Enjoy playing biggest cancer that battlegrounds can have :P .
By my beard
Someone please tell me in what 0.1% scenario that guy wins
so after looking back over it, i actually think there is exactly 1 instance where kripp not only loses, but dies. this would require the bagurg hitting the egg, egg hits warleader, primal hits dino, dino hits cold light, murk hits same dino, dino hits bran, felfin hits same dino, last dino kills itself on anything. then, now that there are 5 minions with no divine shield the warleader would have to hit the shredder which would have to roll maexna twice on the deathrattle in order to spawn 5 maexnas that would ALL have to either trade or be traded with in combats without any hits sniping the bran or khadgar. at this point if 5 maexnas spawn then the round could tie or be a win or even be a kill for the opponent with enough luck. of course this is an abysmal chance, BUT IT'S A CHANCE. thanks for coming to my TedTalk.
I was there
Speeds
Kripp killed 4 players this game, one by their own hand.
Yeet
Guys don't delete Flappy Bird off your phone you can't re-download it
i love you
it's super irritating not being able to see the odds for the current match
You can see it, when you look at his board of poisonous murlocs with divine shield
Another reason to eliminate Murlocs from BG. They are broken as fuck
Alternative clickbait title "I won because of TOGWAGGLE!?"
$peed run
14:52 when you tell an insecure Girl that she is cute
No
What is the app that Kripp uses??
please enable show current combat stats.
its not spoiler as you said, because knowing for example its a 33% win still doesnt tell us if you will win or not. it makes it even more exciting because knowing its close makes you even more interested in how it will go. and the rare cases where it does spoil because its 100%, you usually know that outcome anyway as its easy to guess then.
also before displaying it on screen you often used to say "this is 70% win" at the start of the combat. and that didnt spoil anything either.
I lost with this setup because i have boomer apm, actually got lots of good stuff even 1 megasaur that i didn't get to play :(
He could have kept getting sneeds into kangors into sneeds into kangors btw - 0,1%
Upload POE pls Kripp