Year 2060: Education Predictions
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 7 ก.ย. 2024
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Sal is asked to make some predictions for the year 2060
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LOL... those "people who look like they're building some type of a robot", the one in the black shirt, that's.. me! :D that photo was taken in 2008, during the final competition for our robotics class.
prove it
lol- is he allowed to use your picture in this video?
Just for fun I followed his TH-cam profile to his Google+ where he has a link to his Facebook and Twitter account - it sure does look like him.
It's 2020 now and only thing that has happened from Sal's prediction is virtual classrooms. I hope all other things he predicted comes true. It will truly be a Utopia.
Futurists: What should we call the next generation of class room?
Sal: Let's call it a room!
Futurists: o_o
More videos like this please ^^ Sal you are a gift from Heaven! God bless you.
2018 and prediction not looking too good.
2020 now, classrooms still look the same
@@ChelseaShang Nah my classrooms are so much better than 5 years ago, flipped classrooms and achievement based learning are now very prevalent at my school.
thanks to covid, things are actually changing faster
No one can predict the future
We can only make asumptions and hope that one assumption gets it right
Oh, I really really wish that future.
We really need that future
I was homeschooled through elementary school, and I can tell you that your predictions here are basically public school catching up to what I had in elementary school: freedom to discover. I believe kids inherently want to learn. EVERYONE wants to learn. It's just that school is a terrible way to do that. Fortunately, when I came in to middle school and high school, I'd learned how to learn, so while I feel a little held back, I know that I am learning whether it's at school or not.
what a beautifully simple system, I'd loved to have had the sufficient amount of time it takes to learn certain skills in school!
Which is why classes should not be taught, but instead each student gets his or her own curriculum based on how he/she learns.
However I think his views of the future of the economy are correct, and we'll need more creative people in the future.
I think this is absolute genius and if it does happen it will make the world a much better place
My classroom still looks the same :(
Well 2020 taught us you won’t be in a “room” you’ll be at home staring into some sort of electronic (laptops right now, maybe a VR headset).
Oh Sal, I love so much your optimism, and I wish you were right, but I think this a much harder battle against the status quo of education... Maybe I'm pessimistic, but I don't see (at least my country) changing that much in a single decade.
Of course, that doesn't stop us from trying...
Classrooms are looking quite different due to COVID lol. The prediction was correct...
Covid just barely made it in time for the prediction to be true.
I like you're presentation style and I agree with some of what you've said, but I just don't see some of these things happening, or happening is such a grand way. I'd love to see lecture halls reduced in size, but I don't see them becoming near obsolete anytime soon. I can see the "creative" field increasing, but not out numbering the other two classes. I like the 3 teachers to a larger class idea, for higher lvl courses, but not in K-10 areas at all.
I grew up in extreme poverty and government welfare, now I'm a straight A college student. This man speaks the truth towards the end of the video.
Well done Sal! In my opinion you should be the leader of future educational system change. And I will gladly support you and follow right behind your footsteps into a bright and glorious future!
Great insights. I wish that was today.
What an amazing model, Sal! Can't wait to make this happen, :)
This could possibly work with college students as most are there to learn by their own decision, reasoning aside. But introductory classes will need instruction by lecture for the most part, as they introduce the students to simpler ideas and concepts. Intermediate and advanced classes could shift to project-driven, innovation-filled sessions that play on the introductory material to create more complex ideas for the students to explore. But only if the students would accept it.
I agree that we're headed in this direction. It's an emergent property because I perceived some of the same changes almost to the T, just based on the logical reasoning of where we're at socially and technologically. We just need to influence the damaging impacts of government and political impediments as well as issues with scarcity and we're there!
(2)
Let me give you an exemple. In our clase we have a free choise of program language. The teachers teach us PHP and AS3 and all the do's and the don'ts. We students teach them some HTML5, C#, C++, JS and more. Now they know what you can do in HTML5 and we know how to program.
(Its a simple exemple, but i'm sure you get the picture.)
I really hope that this becomes the normal by the time i have kids. I want my children to grow up in a world like that. That would be awesome!
After 11 years we still get stuck in the mud ...
I do think EXACTLY the same thing.
already today, the number of researchers grows dramatically.
I also predict i high rise in homeschooling and self education.
@Danny77uk youre completely missing the point. archaic concepts like "tuition fees" will no longer be necessary.
@joshuawine I remember this. My elementary in 1976 was newly built with what they called the "open concept" model. No walls.."rooms" were divided by bookcases. I just remember we couldn't talk too much because it would get too loud and we would disturb other "classes" around us.
That school now has actual rooms built. No more "open concept".
There are a lot of people in the comments saying "This can't be true, the system is too rigid". Or "You have too high hopes for mankind". I am in a private french IT school that already applies those principles. The education is project driven. We have no teachers. I can't imaging going back to the old system. So what Sal says is ALREADY taking place. If the governments doesn't change education by themselves, private schools will grow up like mine did. I is just a matter of time.
With a globalized education how will countries (who fund education) address the desire to socialize children and build historical narratives that explain the world from the nation's perspective- right now states choose which history we teach- what will happen when there is so much more variety? How will countries socialize and build "proud loyal citizens?"
The best part of this is that in 50 years, the newer generation will comment on this video and see how well his predictions lined up with their timeline. All while knowing that people talked about their futures 50 years ago!
We have gotten to the part where People's achievement is the Portfolio of Projects that they have done; Not so much of GPA these days.
It is difficult enough to get one student interested and active in learning. It’s even harder when you get a bunch of them in one class together. I'd love to see more money going into Education, but politicians don't see eye to eye with me. Schools make a bit more than 10k per student, but not much, and much of that money doesn't exactly go in to the student’s education.
Very interesting. In my field it is kind of this way already.. In Animation you get hired based on your demo reel. . whether it is a modelling, animation or rigging or Special FX reel. . you get hired based on that and not on your academic credentials. And you upgrade your skills by studying "Khan Academy" style online tutorials. . like Digital Tutors.
Good predictions I believe, though the presentation on the black screen was tiering to watch. Like looking at a picture filtered to be negative.
I couldn't agree more. You said just what I was thinking.
Dream on.
Interaction between real humans will allways be the best way to get knowledge and communication across.
@TheHdulcimerguy hopefully- costs will go down dramatically as technology increases- Khan Academy has already delivered nearly 100 million high-quality lessons remotely and for free. Naturally, there will be some things that you would need a teacher to be present for, but it will free up more time for personalized attention as opposed to lecturing the the teacher might not even understand 100%.
i like the prtfulio as your transript, as a web disigner i use things i have done in school in everyday life, and give it out as my resime
I know sal was focusing on education, but this is a wonderful optimistic view when you throw other quite expectable predictions like energy crisis, environmental disasters, epidemics/famine, capitalistic implosion, and political unrest into the mix. Realistically, we will be lucky to survive the century.
We can only hope technology, literacy, and creativity will truly find solutions for these problems before they drown us.
One thing: less people. To make this system work we need to have smaller population (About 1 billion, I think). Because there is just not enough resources for 7 billion. And not all countries will be developed, as the meaning will change. In the countries that is now developed you will have this system and very high standard of life, but in now developing or undeveloped countries you will have the system we have now in developed countries.
I love what Sal is doing and I think this might be what is needed to break up the public school/union monopoly. I suspect Sal has many, many enemies in the education establishment and will be dragged into the politics of education sooner rather than later. Good luck.
I do have one concern...I know Sal's focus is math and science, but I think Humanities is just as important and all students need to learn history, philosophy, econ, arts, etc. They are just as important.
Sal if you keep this up, it will be a crime if you don't win the Nobel prize
My great coach and mentor is Sal
@Films4You It was Labour who 'democratized' the HE system in order to hit their 50% in HE target. Enrolment for 'soft' degrees has gone up while science depts have closed down due to lack of intake. A lot of kids in the UK see uni as a chance to party for 3 years.
And while they're boozing away their student loans, who's left to train for the real jobs that keep UK society running? Where are the plumbers, the electricians, the builders?
Imported from Eastern Europe, that's where.
I think the demand for 'master teachers' and continued education is very real. Some select few have already been capitalizing on it by setting themselves up as experts and organizing seminars. If people can see the value in learning they will be willing to pay properly for that knowledge.
@phoenixsuns101 Kahn Academy is directly involved in several schools, k-12, working directly with teachers, to teach kids. They are seeing great results.
I love how many people are correcting him in the comments... He's not giving out some rigid set of predictions that are perfect and exclusively going to come true. He's giving out *ideas*. The very premise of his lecture: ideas.
The fact of the matter is that physical labor is becoming less common, the educational system is becoming outdated, and internet is spreading and growing. All of these things will coincide and they will force change. Perhaps not good change, but they will happen.
At the very end of the video it almost sounded like you were saying in the future everything we do will be monitored and evaluated by computer algorithms which will determine what educational resources we receive and what career we will pursue.
Such a beautiful future :)
@dwood2001 Well,he first said he expect education to be a lot more accessible,and he is talking about an academic meritocracy,not meritocracy on the level of basic services(that everyone should have access to). The changes he talks about are expected to come with the democratization of education and knowledge for the whole world,not only for the riches.
So the profession "teacher" will not disappear after all? Since you just transfer the job from one person to another. And people would still have to be educated in how to educate properly. Maybe not all people who can teach want to. Quite a few factors coming in.
I like everything you said until you got to 6:50. I don't see it fit that a child trains up to a job. It reminds me of the book "The Giver"
the transition to being judged on what you tangibly produce sounds so interesting. i'm from the UK and there is too much emphasis on grades and testing. this has now led to teaching being orientated around exams rather than actually learning the content and true meaning of a subject. youth unemployment is at a record high and most youths are leaving school without the most basic of education. the politicians in the UK lack innovation and are stuck in traditional, pen and paper based learning
On a brighter note, some of us are already creating classrooms like that. Also, in some countries like Finland education careers are already prestigious...So I agree with sal.great
Predictions which are already becoming realities.
If our world survives long enough and we
Can learn to be sustainable and friendly, then i see this becoming a norm. Big Ifs though...
This is insane. Actually insane, the fact that it makes understandable, logical sense... just blows my mind. Very inspiring.
We are experiencing this kind of "teaching" the second year now. I'm very enthusiastic about these predictions, 'cause it really works!!
By the way, I'm the second teacher in that chemistry class :).
I think you're exaggerating with how the paradigm will shift. It's a slow process, I think, and I think there will ALWAYS be a lot of labor that needs to be done. The difference is that more and more of the labor will have a creative aspect
I'm in a constructivist pedagogy course right now and that's basically what this is. It all makes so much more sense than traditional education.
@yannbane Computers are fast indeed. But smartphones using a single ARM chip or in case of the iPhone 4S 2 ARM chips. And if yo can make the code more dinamic you can save some seconds in loading time and rune time. That can make a big difference.
It's easy to see it in infinity blade 2. That game is made for a dubbel ARM. I can run it in my iPod. But it fails when there are things running in the background.
just hope that the world will be able to feed all that artistic/creative layer...
@volound "you honestly consider this to be a counter point?"
Yes. Just because a better technology exists, doesn't mean that we're going to start using it.
We have to make the Education field more accretive, so we get the most intelligent people educating the next generation, instead of flooding the market with business and engineering majors.
😭😭😭 Please make this happen... I am a second year engineering student I want to make real projects but covid has closed our college for past two years... Only online theory is happening here.
These videos are making me think... I don't want my kids(I plan on having them, let's say this will happen max 10 yrs in the future) to go to the schools I had to/chose to go to, because of different reasons which are irrelevant right now but won't be when I'll have to decide whether to put them into schools or not. So I'm thinking on teaching them at home, or better said, tutoring them while they learn through KhanAcademy and all these scientific videos...
The thing is, not everyone is creative, and many people, including myself, would actually prefer the way things are taught now. I mean, it's not totally teacher --> student. Classes, at least in my school, tend to be more relaxed with more conversing between the class, but still the basic teacher stands at the front and teaches stuff. In fact, the only way that I would improve most of my classes at the moment would be to throw a large portion of the class (the uninterested ones) out of it.
@jumb0mumb0 I am well aware of this, and I was talking about cancer as a category. You have done nothing to refute me. "Go back to sleep". "Next!" You aren't intimidating at all, your condescension is a disservice to you.
Master lvl educators do receive a good wage, as they should, but it’s becoming more and more difficult to get ppl to want to go into Education, because the starting salary isn’t very attractive. Those with strong backgrounds in math and science tend to go after better paying jobs. Those who do go into Education tend to “burnout” after about 5 years, for many reasons, one of which is the pay.
You will change the world khan.
TH-cam recommended me this after 8 years in 2020..... but in India here not so much changed......
@jumb0mumb0 I don't think it's a cliche. Just a very difficult and complicated problem yet to be conquered but that humanity is capable of. It kills astounding amounts of people, there's nothing cliche about seeing the value in curing cancer.
A very bright future you described Mr Khan, i hope it will be like this.
@23SuS23 That's the idea. You'd have a lot of small topics and the only "grades" would be "passed" or "haven't passed yet".
I hope we won't have to wait to 2060 though.
@Danny77uk I think you're kinda missing the point. What you talked about is how the world works now, which is precisely why what he talked about is deemed a prediction, It shows how he thinks things will evolve. He is saying that the world will start moving away from higher education being a business and a piece of paper from a brick building being a priority to education and actual accomplishments being the priority. It is optimistic but its not attempting to be reality as you made it out to be
I think we wish this happens in 10 years, but it will take 20 to 30 years. Politics, bureaucracy & government is the reason.
How will you make sure the students do learn on their own time? what happpns when you flip the classroom and the student refuses what lectures at home?
My technology teacher has a go at your own pace approach. The problem is that students simply don't do their work. This model works for me and many others, but perhaps a majority of students don't care enough for that system to function properly
wow i just realised something, this is sort of the thing the zeitgeist movement was talking about. reducing physical labour with the use of robots and machines.
I think the easiest way to see this transformation is in the gaming industry, given game development is a heavily creative process in the first place, even programmers are encouraged to be creative and open thinking when tasked with efficiency.
Past that its also worthless to have qualifications in the gaming industry if you don't have a sample of your work, you won't get hired unless you can show your true potential in your respective field.
I love how futurists often take ideas from the past. I would be immensely happy if apprenticeships and the guild system in general made a comeback.
10 years later and it's still happening much slower
@ploy3snoy I doubt the 1984 scenario extremely, we've already gone through that phase in a lot of countries, for example the old Soviet Union. A more likely world is what Huxley proposed in his book A brave new world.
Hope you're right !!
yes i would really like to see this, but i doubt it will happen unless some big event will shift peoples minds... they just hang on the old systems sooo much... but i hope i am wrong
Who needs school when u have KHANacademy
I don’t know if it's because it’s late and I’m tired, but this shit makes a lot of sense.
The role of teachers will will change, but it won't increase. Artificial intelligence systems will be able to plan, present and track student progress and development more accurately and efficiently. That and open source initiatives such as your videos here on TH-cam will further erode the formal classroom setting.
Also, the distinction between learning and working will continue to blur. To 'attend school' or to work for an advanced company will include both, learning, and working.
u r great sal ..kasm se
How can english, social studies, history and math be more creatuve and active. With science and tech or art u can make stuff? THESE FEEL MORE ABSTRACT?
We are already doing this in chemistry class, and I am one of the teachers! We're in our second year, and it is very - very - successful. Get in touch with me if you like.
You're idealistic about the lecture hall becoming obsolete; higher education is a business and education is a secondary priority. Universities will have a hard time justifying their tuition fees if their 'product' is available to anyone with an internet connection.
We've seen the negative impact of technology in schools where students can plagiarise wikipedia or rely on their gadgets to avoid thinking.
Also a project portfolio won't get you interviews, a degree from a brick building will.
I definitely agree. School is rigid so that it's stable and safe. On top of that, you must realize that most students don't want to be taught. Especially middle and high-school students. At this age, they are in the mindset that they are forced to learn and aren't necessarily sure why. I hear "I will never use this again" a lot from this crowd, when they most certainly will. Students won't accept it, schools won't pay for it, teachers aren't prepared for it. This is more idealistic than anything
I think teachers will resist your vision. The teaching that I see is still stuck in the 80s and stuck DEEP in bureaucracy.
David Adams As a newly hired teacher, I can flat out tell you that you are wrong. I, along with my colleagues, would LOVE to teach like this. The resistance will come from the sluggish, bureaucratic national and state education systems that focus on testing rote memorization, rather than creativity and problem solving.
It is the government in the UK that resists change... Teachers have been pushing to change since 1990s
Room? Oh you mean bedroom!
A wonderful future!
I am more excited about the future than ever now!
English, Art, and Music students have known this model for ages now. *glances at portfolio*
I'd like to believe that what you say is true, but I think the ruling classes in developed countries benefit from a lifestyle which depends on there being an underclass to carry out less desirable jobs etc. and will therefore never allow such a radical change in the education system. I'm not saying it won't happen, but I think it will be much slower than your saying it will.
... If our generation succedes in changing the way you are accepted to a schooling institute, people will be able to prove their knowledge even though they've never been to a school before - I'm thinking here of something like the A-levels(I chose them because I think most of you know them), in our country you have to do the basic schooling to get to write them but what if a person, 18yrs old, would pay to write it but never set foot into a school before? I'd like my children to learn like that.
Interesting ideas. However, the achievements system doesn't seem any less broken than grades and polished CVs in assessing how people really are. Look at achievements in video games where people are just running after what gives them some badge instead of exploring for themselves. Great, let people learn on their own but then really do let them alone and don't monitor and assess them all the f#@$ time. How free are you really to go back and revisit something if it immediately shows up somewhere?