I am well aware of Amazon's high SBC as a % of op cash flow, but if you look at it on a quarterly basis, it has peaked in August of 2022 around 44% and its now at 22%, it's still high, but I think it will keep going lower from here.
I’m glad you came around for AMZN. One of my largest positions. And you’re right that people here just look at past performance and say “stock went up too much, can’t buy it” while ignoring valuation. For context, I am still averaging up on AMZN at today’s prices intermittently.
Mate I just want to say I love how you explain the fundamentals and I learn so, so much from you. You seemed a little down on all the naysayers out there so here's to let you know we positive people are out there too, we're just a little silent sometimes. You keep this up and I will watch all of your content for sure!
@@thepatientinvestor9580Keep going!! We all love your videos and take away so much information from them. It’s only a matter of time until many other people start realizing the value you and you channel provide to retail investors.
I actually hope this channel stays under the radar. I'm sick of all those spam bots advertising these fake financial advisors on more popular channels.
Yes sir. This juicy pullback from $200 is as big a sale mr market ever offers on a mega cap. The only one bigger in recent memory was aapl a few months ago. I told you all exactly what woukd happen with that one, and im here to basically say thr same on this one. And the amzn pullback is due to exactly the thing you mentioned my man. Routine insider selling having absolutely nothing to do with fundamentals and everything to do with Ms Bezos' extravagance. Been pounding the table on this one on this very channel since low 100s. That's when I went all in again after liquidating before it's 2022 tumble. Lots of juice to squeeze still. Will be north of $250 by year's end.
I'd put the rest of my money into amzn but also tempted to buy into the crowdstrike dip. I'll probably still buy amzn mostly tho. Your comments are amazing btw
@Dizzydizzydizzy7 oh man crowdstrike. Brutal few days! I started a half position around $140 a couple of years ago. Was planning to make it a full position but the stock went into orbit and essentially did the work for me. I'm very tempted to add here, but I won't. I think sentiment will punish crwd until at least the time they report next. One thing I will Not be doing is selling though, bc that move reminds me of by far the biggest investment mistake I ever made --- selling CMG after the virus concerns. I planned to get back into it when things calmed down but it bounced so hard and so fast I couldn't keep up and never got back in! So I think CRWD will bounce hard and fast, but I'd be very surprised if it happened before they report...and check out AMZN today! Must be the PI effect 😉
Congratulations for the analysis..... I totally agree !!! What do you think about MA instead of V ? It seems to have a more potential growth in the same business... thanks in advance !!!
I think amazon is fairly valued too. Ive just done my first entry, Im waiting for a little correction for it, but maybe it will not happen. Thanks for your video
Do you do deep dives or stock analysis videos? That would be more of an interest for me over 2 stocks to buy or macro videos like what you did on rotation (I know these videos is what gets more likes in youtube). I've owned AMZN for years and last time I bought it was on the 80s. I typically do not value businesses using P/E or P/FCF especially AMZN. I look at the multiples for sure but I appreciate what Aswath says about multiples - multiples speaks show market pricing (how cheap or expensive it is relative to what people are paying for the stock over a period of time) not the underlying business value. I valued AMZN at 150/share by sum of all parts. P/E or P/FCF does not reflect many elements in the business. I do understand you like simplicity but I prefer to value a stock based on what would help me understand the underlying value. Sometimes I would use DCF, sometimes sum of all parts, sometimes book value growth, it depends on the type of business. It also helps me make adjustments if there are changes in the fundamentals. E.g. if AWS slows down, I just tweak my estimates in my sum of all parts of model. Anyways, just sharing some thoughts. All the best!
Can you walk us through on your screening process? Personally I use TIKR global screener and look at metrics like FCF yield, ROIC, growth, gross margin and EV/EBITDA and rank the stocks based on those metrics, then start analyzing them more in depth starting from the highest ranked stocks
It makes complete sense to not buy after a 100% rally. Unless the company has doubled their earnings, it means the stock has gotten more expensive because of hype. As a result it always crashes unless the hype increases.
In as much as making money is a lot easier through investment, investors often tend to overlook the importance of getting a skilled entity which serves as guidance against risk and that is a major factor to be considered when investing
I am well aware of Amazon's high SBC as a % of op cash flow, but if you look at it on a quarterly basis, it has peaked in August of 2022 around 44% and its now at 22%, it's still high, but I think it will keep going lower from here.
Honestly, best stock channel on TH-cam, hands down.
I’m glad you came around for AMZN. One of my largest positions. And you’re right that people here just look at past performance and say “stock went up too much, can’t buy it” while ignoring valuation. For context, I am still averaging up on AMZN at today’s prices intermittently.
Mate I just want to say I love how you explain the fundamentals and I learn so, so much from you. You seemed a little down on all the naysayers out there so here's to let you know we positive people are out there too, we're just a little silent sometimes. You keep this up and I will watch all of your content for sure!
It makes me happy to see your channel grow
@@Genghis-yp1gt it's still nothing unfortunately
@@thepatientinvestor9580Keep going!! We all love your videos and take away so much information from them. It’s only a matter of time until many other people start realizing the value you and you channel provide to retail investors.
@@thepatientinvestor9580 your competence will make you a lot of loyal followers. Patience is the word!
I am confident that in due time the algorithm will bless you and your analytics will reach the numbers you deserve, only a matter of time!
I actually hope this channel stays under the radar. I'm sick of all those spam bots advertising these fake financial advisors on more popular channels.
2 of my top 3 portfolio positions
I really like this kind of stock evaluation😍
Yes sir. This juicy pullback from $200 is as big a sale mr market ever offers on a mega cap. The only one bigger in recent memory was aapl a few months ago. I told you all exactly what woukd happen with that one, and im here to basically say thr same on this one. And the amzn pullback is due to exactly the thing you mentioned my man. Routine insider selling having absolutely nothing to do with fundamentals and everything to do with Ms Bezos' extravagance. Been pounding the table on this one on this very channel since low 100s. That's when I went all in again after liquidating before it's 2022 tumble. Lots of juice to squeeze still. Will be north of $250 by year's end.
I'd put the rest of my money into amzn but also tempted to buy into the crowdstrike dip. I'll probably still buy amzn mostly tho. Your comments are amazing btw
@Dizzydizzydizzy7 oh man crowdstrike. Brutal few days! I started a half position around $140 a couple of years ago. Was planning to make it a full position but the stock went into orbit and essentially did the work for me. I'm very tempted to add here, but I won't. I think sentiment will punish crwd until at least the time they report next. One thing I will Not be doing is selling though, bc that move reminds me of by far the biggest investment mistake I ever made --- selling CMG after the virus concerns. I planned to get back into it when things calmed down but it bounced so hard and so fast I couldn't keep up and never got back in! So I think CRWD will bounce hard and fast, but I'd be very surprised if it happened before they report...and check out AMZN today! Must be the PI effect 😉
Congratulations for the analysis..... I totally agree !!! What do you think about MA instead of V ? It seems to have a more potential growth in the same business... thanks in advance !!!
@@MadRichy1970 v is better valued
What do you think of Interactive Brokers and MSCI?
thanks for sharing !! I do agree with your conclusions on this 2 stocks !!!
I think amazon is fairly valued too. Ive just done my first entry, Im waiting for a little correction for it, but maybe it will not happen.
Thanks for your video
Thank you for your analysis.
Have a look at Polaris (PII).. Looks like an easy double by 25
Do you do deep dives or stock analysis videos? That would be more of an interest for me over 2 stocks to buy or macro videos like what you did on rotation (I know these videos is what gets more likes in youtube). I've owned AMZN for years and last time I bought it was on the 80s. I typically do not value businesses using P/E or P/FCF especially AMZN. I look at the multiples for sure but I appreciate what Aswath says about multiples - multiples speaks show market pricing (how cheap or expensive it is relative to what people are paying for the stock over a period of time) not the underlying business value. I valued AMZN at 150/share by sum of all parts. P/E or P/FCF does not reflect many elements in the business. I do understand you like simplicity but I prefer to value a stock based on what would help me understand the underlying value. Sometimes I would use DCF, sometimes sum of all parts, sometimes book value growth, it depends on the type of business. It also helps me make adjustments if there are changes in the fundamentals. E.g. if AWS slows down, I just tweak my estimates in my sum of all parts of model. Anyways, just sharing some thoughts. All the best!
@@herokorai8346 I do that on stocks that I own, like LNG stock
bought V at $261 last month...looking to see if it goes lower for another buying opp
Price is what you pay, value is what you get.
Most people only focus on price, but atleast they're interested in investing 🙂
Thank you for the good video!
Should i buy amazon now or after goog earning ?
Does it matter? If you really want to you can use half your cash position first to buy now, then wait after the earnings to buy the rest then?
in 10 years it does not matter
Can you walk us through on your screening process? Personally I use TIKR global screener and look at metrics like FCF yield, ROIC, growth, gross margin and EV/EBITDA and rank the stocks based on those metrics, then start analyzing them more in depth starting from the highest ranked stocks
@@GoncaloMoiteiro-uw4bb I don't have a screening process, I randomly find stocks and buy them, I share more in my group the link is in the description
good man! Agree with both
It makes complete sense to not buy after a 100% rally. Unless the company has doubled their earnings, it means the stock has gotten more expensive because of hype. As a result it always crashes unless the hype increases.
Thank you!
Any concerns of capital one buying out discover as a competitor to visa/mastercard?
@@Auland0325 no
I'm optimistic about Amazon's growing ad revenues from Prime videos.
$EVO should be interesting to you aswell
Honestly I'm investing my time and money in crypto now because this new price is a clear sign for new investors to come in
In as much as making money is a lot easier through investment, investors often tend to overlook the importance of getting a skilled entity which serves as guidance against risk and that is a major factor to be considered when investing
Please how do y'all even make so much from crypto trading?
Can you recommend a guide for me?
I know someone who can help you Ms Pamela pearl.
🔥🔥🔥