Estimating Future Cash Flows for Your DCF Calculations

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 23 ม.ค. 2025

ความคิดเห็น • 25

  • @EarnMoreSpendLessInvesttheRest
    @EarnMoreSpendLessInvesttheRest 3 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Hi Richard! Great video. Super informative. Thanks so much for the shout out and we are glad you found the technique useful. :)

  • @SagangaKapaya
    @SagangaKapaya 8 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    This is what I have been looking for. Wow. Now it makes a lot of sense for my project. Thanks a lot

  • @meixo9083
    @meixo9083 3 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    i hope this channel grows. you provide VALUE!

    • @IntelligentStockInvesting
      @IntelligentStockInvesting  3 ปีที่แล้ว

      Really appreciate you saying this. sorry for the delayed response, I've been sick for the past week or so. Almost 100% again though :)

  • @Don-ec3vc
    @Don-ec3vc 10 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Any way to solve it when the starting number is negative? The formula doesn't work then.

    • @IntelligentStockInvesting
      @IntelligentStockInvesting  10 หลายเดือนก่อน

      I have another video on the channel about valuing companies with no earnings

    • @Don-ec3vc
      @Don-ec3vc 10 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@IntelligentStockInvesting Thank you for the reply. Great content!

  • @gn3997
    @gn3997 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Thanks Richards,really helpful

  • @johannes2072
    @johannes2072 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Thank you Richard :)

  • @vishaldahiya1222
    @vishaldahiya1222 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Sir who to calculate fcf growth of first 3 years please reply sir

  • @korayhalil2155
    @korayhalil2155 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Godly video.

  • @SneakyWoolCloth
    @SneakyWoolCloth 4 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Why am i struggeling with this? Finding the EPS trend. -0,49 / -0,78 / -0,04 / -0,08 / 0,21 so this formula should be (0,21/-0,49)^(1/4)-1 = Error...... power evaluates to an imaginary number. Tryed (0,21/-0,49)^(1/5)-1 = -184,41%....thats wrong. (0,21/ABS-0,49)^(1/4)-1 = -19,09% wrong again.... What do i do wrong here?

    • @janbartos4502
      @janbartos4502 4 หลายเดือนก่อน

      You cant do it with negative numbers

    • @SneakyWoolCloth
      @SneakyWoolCloth 4 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@janbartos4502 So there is no way to do this?

    • @janbartos4502
      @janbartos4502 4 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      @@SneakyWoolCloth I personaly dont know but you can check out Aswath Damodaran which is a very respected guy about valuation and I think he talks about your scenario in one of his videos

  • @AncalagonGames
    @AncalagonGames 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    the CAGR calculation is wrong the 10 year is not 1/10 it needs to be 1/9
    for 5 years it need to be 1/4

    • @IntelligentStockInvesting
      @IntelligentStockInvesting  3 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      An easy way to check your work is to do the calculation with the starting number using the growth rate you calculated. $0.17 growing by 74.24% per year for 5 years brings you to $2.73 (which is what the free cash flow was 5 years later). So the 5 year annualized growth rate is 74.24%. If you used 1/4 instead it would equate to an annual growth rate of 100.18% which would grow $0.17 into $5.47 after 5 years.
      Please let me know if you still think I'm missing something and exactly why. Thanks!!

    • @brandonfonseca9279
      @brandonfonseca9279 3 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      Richard is correct in this case. When doing a CAGR computation you need to treat the first number (present value) as "year 0" since no growth is applied. The index of t=1 indicates a year of growth (ie value at the start of year 2)