"Match the Dice" Always Ends with VICTORY!
ฝัง
- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 28 ก.พ. 2017
- A game of chance, but is there something more to it?
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This episode of Scam School was made by:
Brian Brushwood
Brandt Hughes
Bryce Castillo
Roberto Villegas
Jeff Schuessler
Shot on location at Handlebar in Austin, TX - บันเทิง
I feel like anyone who has done high school maths could have figured out how this is stacked to the spectator, it's fairly basic probability...
Neel Parmar ikr but these people are so dumb. she asked if he was counting card but with dice like wtf
Sean Peters yes, thats called a joke you numb brain
Enanoide expect she wasn't joking
If you couldnt tell she was joking you must be completely earless
LOL, she wasn't joking.
the "trick" was super obvious, but I had to stay tuned for the domain.com ad. which was awesome, not disappointed at all.
Who the hell has already disliked this. It has been 4 minutes, and the video is 8 minutes long.
you'd have to be subscribed to dislike that early.
WHY?! why do I need to see a new scamschool video notification at 3:16 in the night when I was just going to go to sleep xD I will never sleep this way xD
You'll simply sleep 8 min late, no big deal
DarkSerris watch it rack up to 30
Amazing ad! Great work Brandt and Bryce!
It makes perfect sense that it is in your favor as the more dice they give you the more choices you have, but the less dice they give you the more dice that could hit the number(s) you selected.
this is like middle school probability math lol....now we all know these girls were texting during math class
xD I actually knew how this game was done, good job Scam School
I knew it... from the get go... simple logic/math... now give me a cookie :D
I love your vids dude
Scam school you are awesome
best domain dot com ad yet, lmao
So basically, the percentage of the player winning each turn are ((x/6)^(x-1) * 100) percent, where x = the number of die faces the scammer didn't pick, which will always be 1 more than the number of dice the player rolls.
Scammer gets 1 die, player gets 4: x=5, player's odds = (5/6)^4 * 100 = 48.2253086%
Scammer gets 5 dice, player gets 1: x=2, player's odds = (2/6)^1 * 100 = 33.3333333%
Basically, the more dice they let you have, the better your chance of winning each round, but even at a barely-in-your-favor split, the odds that you'll get to 5 before them are better.
that girl to the right was super cute and seemed down to earth. I would love to marry a women like that.
This is one you can figure out pretty easily if you're on your toes. But then again, it's a bar game. The mark is liable to be a little tipsy.
So the moral is "never trust a guy who comes to the bar with a pocket full of dice."
3:26 666
fun fact, i went to a bar with no money and got shit faced.how? you might ask, because scam school
ayy noti squadddd
Brian. Bruh. Shwood.
Those two “guesses” as to what was going on were pretty awful. Brian you do a great job at making people feel comfortable
Never been this early
This doesn't always lead to victory, you're just more likely to win. Especially when you get 1 die and the odds are 52% vs. 48%, that's close enough where there's a good chance you may lose.
MaskedCT did you not listen? It's just like this 10 games that means 1000% is the whole, that means 580% to 480% that's a 100 % increase which in 100 % means 10 percent increase rather than a 4 percent increase . There are more to it but this is just simple terms
Or you have times the probability so like 4/6 chance of winning = 40/60 when x10
First off I hope you realize 4/6 and 40/60 is the same odds of winning. I know exactly how probability works. The more you perform the experiment, the closer the results are to the expected. Playing the game 1000 times instead of 1 time doesn't change your odds of winning, it just makes the results more aligned with what's expected. Second, did you even understand the point I was making? The title advertises that this method ALWAYS ends in victory. Always means you will win 100% of the time. I just said this is something that's in your favour but not a guaranteed victory every time.
So consider that they repeat the game until anyone got 5 points. The slight difference in the probability leads to a much higher chance of winning after several rounds.
Btw, you're right. "Always" is a bit overused for things that people are just "quite confident " about.
The way I thought about it when I saw the problem was this:
If they tell you to keep three dice, you have a 50% chance to guess any one die. It is fair odds if they only rolled one die, however because they were rolling two, they give you two chances, skewing the odds in your favor.
If they tell you to keep one die, you have a 1/6 chance to guess any one die. With 3 dice it's close to 50%, but because there are times when there are duplicates (two or three of your guess in one round), it's slightly less than 50%. Adding one more die makes the odds SLIGHTLY in the scammer's favor.
Therefore, always choose the single die :D
3 dice out of 5 gives you a 50% chance per die, 75% chance overall
That's what I said
Hey Brian, how easy does a trick need to be to be submitted for a Scam School idea? Also, if I send one to you, can I still post it on stuff like the TXI Market Place?
First ever good domain.com ad
To let you all learn from my mistakes: IF you try one of those scams with a friend, who is working for his master in mathematics, make sure they are properly shitfaced, otherwise they WILL work it out rather quickly.
what camera do you use in shoot😊😊😊😊😊😊
Extremely dirty, but I caught on to this one!
Sorry I'm late.. did I miss anything?
#BRINGBACKTHESPIKES : )
#BRINGBACKTHESPIKES
#BRINGBACKTHESPIKES
I wish ads like that one were played as normal TH-cam ads. Also, how long did it take to come up with and then record it with that many b-words?
Probably just 15-30 minutes to write and record, but actually figuring out what the ad was going to be took a while longer.
0:19 Me Well too bad! This is scam school!
5:00 solution
How can you guys dislike the video, you haven't had the time to even watch half of it yet
I don't dislike videos but I know one bit of motivation for disliking right away would be the fact that probability/math tricks are dead easy to figure out that they are a scam if you have a decent sense of math, and if I was someone who disliked videos I'd probably dislike this one right away because it's an obvious probability trick just based on the title.
Name of the song at 5:31
???
It was pretty easy to figure out it's a Game of probability, just cool to know that someone did the math for 5 dices and made a Game out of it.
Kiran Graef 5 dice*
Dice is already the plural form of die
You wouldn't say 5 mices, you'd say 5 mice.
It also was in he middle of the night, English still isnt my first language and I dont give a fuck
Give him 1 die and he has 52% chance to get it correct. Give him 2 dice and he has 70% chance to get it correct, give him 3 dice and he has 75% chance to get it correct, give him 4, and he has 67% chance to get it correct. Give him either 0 or 5 dice and he has 0%.
2:24 xD lmao
i love rolling the dice, my friends dont thu, i so often hit what i need when i say it out loud, so many times in a row that people start to wonder wtf im doing, and then when i say "2" to an opponent and they fail to hit me, they get so angry.
yy i know, you remember the unlikly positive things more than all the times your rolled low, but still im starting to scare myself sometimes.
Just dont pull out a game with cards and no dice, then im fucked.
Anyone else here with great dice luck but shitty card draws ?
starting a petition to bring back the spiky hair! #bringbackthespikes
So there is a very small chance you loose.
MrNobodyX3 *lose
seems fairly basic, but as long as the other party has had a few beers i'm sure it'll work :P
Basic probability... what's the big mystery?
Brian, may I ask for your blessing to have Modern Rogue's hand in marriage?
#BRINGBACKTHESPIKES
5 dice or 5 die?
TheEmperorSRB 5 dice is the correct plural form. Much like 5 mice and not 5 mouse
Scam school what is your favorite scam
Fish are friends not food they have a video on that
I'm pretty sure if the scammer gets 4 dice, the scammer's odds of winning are about 67% (2/3), not 76%.
Assuming the scammer sets the 4 dice to 4 different values, the spectator's/s' die can land on 6 values, 2 of which lead to the spectator(s) winning and 4 to the scammer winning. 4/6 = 2/3.
It's actually a lot more complicated than that. I couldn't tell you the exact formula, but I know that each one is counted as a separate entity, not that they are all combined together.
Can you say more about what these complications involve? I calculated the odds for all 4 cases, and my numbers match his for the other 3. It's just this one i'm not getting.
My calculations below, for reference.
General case:
- spectator has n dice, scammer has p dice. Assume p P(spectator wins) = (1 - 1/6)^4 = (5/6)^4 = 625/1296 ~ 48.23% (compare to 5:16 - 5:33)
3 v. 2: (1 - 2/6)^3 = 8/27 ~ 29.63% (6:04 - 6:18)
2 v. 3: (1 - 3/6)^2 = 1/4 = 25% -> scammer has 75% chance of winning (6:21 - 6:26)
1 v. 4: (1 - 4/6)^1 = 1/3 ~ 33.33% -> scammer has 67% chance of winning (6:26 - 6:30)
I can't remember exactly, but I know I've done something similar in school years back. Pretty sure it goes along the lines of 4/6, 3/5, 2/4, 1/3. Basically you have to calculate each one individually. I just can't remember exactly what you do with each one.
Why should the scammer's dice be treated separately, though? They're not rolled, but chosen based on previous choices, so there are dependencies. Could you be confusing the 1v4 and 4v1 cases?
Currently, the only way i can think of to get a fraction like 3/5 is to remove one of the 6 numbers from an event space. For example, if a bag contains the numbers 1 through 6 and you pick 4 at random, the probability of getting 4 specific numbers (say, 1 through 4) is (4/6)(3/5)(2/4)(1/3) = 1/15 ~ 6.7%.
(Edit: didn't realize TH-cam turned my asterisks into formatting.)
That's basically the principle of it though. If it's not the result of the first die and they are all different, there's only 5 other possibilities, 3 of which are favourable. If not either of the first 2, it becomes 4 results with 2 favourable, then 3 results with 1 favourable.
3:26 a six, a six, and a six. Huh. 666. Weird.
it was obvious from the beginning, he has 1 dice, he has 4 chances of getting it right because they roll 4 other dice...if he has 4 and they have 1 well he just makes 4 different guesses and will probably get the number on their 1 dice...its just obvious
Hi pplzzzzzz
I really liked this one.
22
👍😉
He dudz I grat
I got how this worked when he set the premise. Literally, if you can count, you can do this...
"A dice game... where he odds sre stacked in your favor!" Of coarse they're stacked in your favor! This is Scam School!! =) How else are we going to get our free beers?
OK, so the title of this video is an outright lie since you don't "ALWAYS" win, you just have a high probability of winning. There's no trick, there's nothing interesting here...it's just a casino game; hell, Brian even says in the video that it's just casino logic.
And the description, "A game of chance, but is there something more to it?"
...No. No, there's no more to it. It's a game of chance, period.
so if we only give him one thats fair hey thats not feminism.
Wow i'm early!
you can use this as a prediction trick. you can let the spectator try to predict one of the numbers that will come up, and statistically theyll be bound to get it right most of the time. you can then follow it up with the domino prediction, where you'll let them make a real prediction, that will always come true
Legend has it, if you say brushwood 3 times Brian will respond.
Brushwood
Brushwood
Brushwood
MMohamed MMustafa Brushwood
Brushwood
Brushwood
400th!!!
Did he lose subscribers??? I could swear he had 2 million subs...
nope. We're at our all-time high and still climbing.
Scam School hollyyyyy shit u replied... I meant no offense, i probably just mistook it... Love you Brushwood!!!
**hugs**
haha I figured it out. he had 4 to 1 chances of success in the first round. he basically gets 4 chances for getting his guess right. I am 13
early peeps
I want to like the video, but it's at 911 likes and I don't want to change that.
why? because 911 is the cops? and his channel is SCAM school so you think its funny that its the cops number since hes a scammer :O
first
Nope
All I want to know is..... Did... You... SMASH or Pass.cuz those chicks were hot AF
Love scam school
This magic show is not like criss angel or david blaine or other magicians
This is relax cool nice tricks and funny
This is the best love u Brian
#BRINGBACKTHESPIKES