Correct. They can also, very quickly discover EXACTLY how far down each end of the cable the signal gets lost with a relatively common and simple time-of-travel echo back test.
February 2014 - The Euromaidan Revolution: This was a series of protests and demonstrations in Ukraine against then-President Viktor Yanukovych after his decision to suspend an association agreement with the European Union in favor of closer ties with Russia. The protests, known as the Euromaidan, led to violent clashes and ultimately to Yanukovych fleeing the country in February 2014. This shift in power in Ukraine triggered political instability and angered Russia, which saw the new government as hostile. March 2014 - Russia's Annexation of Crimea: In the wake of Yanukovych's ousting, Russia moved quickly to annex the Crimean Peninsula in March 2014, a move widely condemned by Ukraine and the international community as a violation of Ukraine's sovereignty. The annexation set off a series of events that escalated tensions in the region. April 2014 - Armed Conflict in Donbas: Following Russia's actions in Crimea, pro-Russian separatists in eastern Ukraine (specifically in the Donetsk and Luhansk regions, collectively known as the Donbas) declared independence, leading to armed clashes between Ukrainian forces and these separatists. Russia's involvement in supporting these separatists-through supplies, training, and later, direct military intervention-intensified the conflict.
@@crizioclipsdon't forget America's involvement in kicking off euromaiden too! We sent ukraine 5 billion that same year right before everything kicked off
Huge ships don’t just stop and drop anchor. They go from port to port. Every hour of operation costs thousands of dollars. They may park outside a harbor if they can’t load or unload immediately but they don’t just stop in the middle of a deep water channel ,drop anchor and take a frickin nap. They don’t stop and seek shelter from a weather event in open water. They get underway and stay underway unless some catastrophic mechanical failure. Innocently Dragging anchor is a wildly implausible excuse in my worthless opinion.
@MS-wz9jm , Even A Geologist Can Go To School, Get Certified, A Degree, Etc! Doesn't Mean One, Or Even They All Know, Every Square Centimeter Of Soil, It's Exact Location, What It Contains, Etc! Although, A Low Ranking Space Force Military Officer Could, Via Their Database Access To Satellite Arcived Data Analysis Reports, Etc! Provided On How Well He's Trained! And It Still Doesn't Mean, The Officer Comprehends The Most Important Results Of Such Data, To Apply It, And Relay Such, As Needed To A Team Of Scientists, For New Free Energy Materials For Time Traveling, And, Or For New Methods Of Space Vehicles And Satellites Defence Shielding, Etc! GOD Bless, Pa-Pow, Amen! 😎 🙉🙈🙊 🇺🇸
Things may happen, but 100% its all scripted to a very high degree, and i dont trust ANYONE in any "official" position, least of all Trump or kamala or biden ,etc... Corporate CEOs and wannabe's playing god commander/world shaper, and the people who empower them with votes are the least of their concerns. Can we get back to being a republic before its too late?
Periscope Film has some old instructional videos from the Civil Defense Corp, and watching the old videos makes me feel oddly melancholic. It's like looking at an entirely different country, where the government at least seemed to care about the safety of the citizens. All the fallout shelters that were so maintained and imperative to be in every city back then aren't even mentioned anymore, or straight run down and in disrepair. It reminds us of just how little concern the government actually has anymore. If they did, they would at least try to inform people of safety measures to take instead of constantly insulting and antagonizing numerous nuclear powers across the nation from a standpoint of "Me and my friends will be ok, who cares what happens to everyone else".
If a nuke is used by either side all the grifting for both sides comes to a halt , and every body starts loosing money . This whole enterprise is about money, for both sides
Appreciate you brother. You're absolutely an asset to The People and we all value your time creating these outstanding reports. I hear other channels mention you giving you mad props all the time and send folks gere for these reports. You're making a difference.
@@thegooddoctor2009 it may he sad that my mind picked up no movie but instantly grabbed the logic of the oxymoronic statement. We live in a failed state in a fallen world. Prepare accordingly
I think the reason we in America would be worried about the government instituting civil defense protocols are because we all would subconsciously think "what are you about to fuck up so bad that would bring a war *to American soil*?" With almost all our wars being overseas there's something deeply unsettling about the government anticipating us being targeted.
_Wing Attack Plan R_ sounds like either a _Dr. Strangelove_ reference, a 90's arcade game shooter, or soon-to-be real FPS we'll all be playing in with no respawns...
I feel like another lesson not being discussed with the ICBM strike is this. They’ve set the precedent of using ICBMs to deliver conventional or hypersonic weapons not just nukes so you have to wait to launch a nuclear response until their warheads land and you find out in a time of war. That means you get less overall warning or response time. Maybe I’m wrong but that’s a reading I got from the interaction.
When I was in Germany 83-86, when/if we were in a high nuclear threat, families and civilians would be evacuated/flown out of the AO and ultimately to the USA. We knew on the ground it wasn't too serious if families weren't alerted. Have you seen anything like this or something similar at a lower level?
There would be no time for such an evacuation. Or doing so would signal “no confidence” to our allies and “go time” to our adversaries. If you are worried dont bring your family in the first place or send them away on your own dime. 29 yrs overseas here.
Did you say Wing Attack Plan R? I've been to 1 World Fair, a picnic, and a rodeo, and that's the stupidest thing I've ever heard over a set of headphones.
Pedantry: pretty much all MIRV'd platforms and many if not most single-warhead TBMs that loft their payload outside the atmosphere, re-enter at hypersonic speeds. This is why the Sprint ABM, with '70s technology, pulled 100 _g_ at launch and accelerated to Mach 10 in a few seconds. The "big deal" of modern hypersonic weapons is that they do _something_ to sustain that speed and remain maneuverable, instead of being locked into an exciting but brief ballistic descent.
This is not pedantry at all, it's an important downwards adjustment of the actual gravity of the situation. I.e. Putin launched modified 70s tech for millions of dollars that can only carry small payloads with a precision of hundreds of meters, so it necessitates a nuclear payload for any actual effect. And MAD has been existing for decades anyways, hypersonic (if they've actually meaningfully achieved it) is just sprinkles on the icing of the nuclear cake.
@@LVArturs there remains the excellent and, for now, unanswerable question of if their nuclear arsenal is actually operational. having some experience with the topic during my own time in the military, knowing that the technical capabilties and facilities required to keep nuclear weapons functional all require huge sustained efforts and funding, something which the russians have not been the best at over the last 30 years.
I would like to offer some clarification, as this is my line of work. 1. MIRV. Isn't so much a thing as it is a concept or configuration. You don't call the warhead a MIRV. But if the missile has more than one warhead on it, it is MIRV'd. A lot of people I follow and that talk about these insinuate that a moved missile is somehow more dangerous (technically it is) but putting more than one warhead on the missile greatly reduces range and accuracy etc. 2. The term "Hypersonic missile" is a very specific term/phrase that refers to a "guided/course correcting" missile that travels more than 5000 mph. The term ballistic missile is a missile that once fired is like a bullet from a gun. You have no control of it once fired. Yes. ICBM's are "guided" per say, I'm not going to get into specifics on that. But as a brief explanation it's the difference in driving. A driver is told "turn left at the stop sign go through 3 lights and your destination is on the right." And once they leave, you have no idea, you just hope they get there with that information. But guided is a guy with GPS doing the same thing. A hypersonic weapon is significantly different even though I'm not great at explaining it.
Not my specialty, but don't most ballistic missiles and MIRV reach hypersonic speeds? Also, have you looked at the video of impact? The six strikes, they look wrong - like each of them has broken up to varying degrees, different plasma width. There are pictures of how US tests look - they're all uniform lines. Putin said this test was successful - looks pretty shabby to me.
And this hypersonic business in general (and most of the other advancements in nuclear delivery) - it changes little, everyone knows USSR/RF and USA have been able to nuke each other into oblivion for decades, no air defence can intercept such a number of ballistic missiles.
All in all, Europe is clearly unprepared for war, RF is deeply and fully preoccupied in Ukraine, Western missiles given to Ukraine are low in numbers and limited in range (300km), so they can only slow down RF a bit, not cause any serious damage - hence the missile test looks like an equivalently low impact attempt at gaining some advantage by scaring West from supporting or preparing ground for negotiations or some such.
*I’m pretty sure it was Kaiju’s cutting the cables. They’re getting ready for their main attack! We must get ready and build large robots to protect us!*
That's exactly why NATO did the pipeline. And the bridge. And this. They're the hand of the can'tnamethems and would love nothing more than to make "g0yim" off each other again.
Big fan. I worked in "The Box" at Ft Campbell, 101st ABN (AASLT). around 1980, +/- a year or two as an analyst, 96B. We had a few near misses with the Fulda Gap scenario. Within weeks of reassigning our targeted region from Fulda to Middle East, Russia invaded Afghanistan. And then it got real; (consider the disastrous raid on Iran). As part of the Rapid Deployment Force, we were Frontline, and watched the folks take off From Ft Bragg en route to said raid. I had blueprints of the US Embassy with me in my Gamma Goat! But when the raid went south, that was it. I have never lost my addiction to sorting raw data, or the thrill when things you have been watching suddenly have axes that cross at a single point and boom! You know! Keep it up. Thank you!
Long-time newspaper statistic: If you publisn en error, and publish the correction notice in the exact same page and place the very next day, only 1 in 5 readers sees the correction. I don't expect newer media does any better. 80% never see the correction.
I remember when Donald Rumsfeld wanted to switch out the nuclear warheads on one of our ICBMs and use it against terrorist targets in Afghanistan. He was called crazy. Here we are, almost exactly 20 years later... 🤷
he was not called crazy, he was called stupid. It was stupid then, and Rumsfeld was a very stupid man. It is stupid now, and Putin is also a very stupid man.
I would think the method used would be pretty easy to determine. Explosives would leave a lot of fragmentation of the cable and surrounding area, the anchor would probably drag the cable a bit before it snapped, and manual cutting would probably be the cleanest. The only question after you've determined the cause would be the motive.
I heard a fun fact ( not really fun but interesting) the movie The Wizard of Oz came out 7 days prior to WWll. A remake of the movie was released on 11/22/24. Hopefully history doesn't repeat itself
I wouldn't call Wicked a remake, it was a Broadway play that came out in 2003 that was loosely based on a book written in 1995 Called Wicked: The life and times of the Wicked Witch of the West. It is more of a story of the friendship between the two witches rather then the story of Dorothy. It would be closer to what the Penguin was to the newest Batman.
A friendship that was callously ended by an unqualified House Pilots negligence. In the most horrific and illegal manner. Ending the Gold Standard ultimately leading to the 911 attack. Dorothy was FED brother in both black flag event. I've been tracking Dorothy for nearly a century. Dorothy heavy involved in mrna tech and AI.
I imagine myself sitting in a dusty room, concrete floor, bunk beds against the walls. There are about 30 metal folding chairs sitting in front of an out of date PC monitor, the florescent lights are humming, the joker in the platoon is making fart noises, and the show offs are taking notes... but no one has started speaking.
Ah... We'll meet again, I don't know where, and I don't know when, but I know we'll meet again some sunny day. Might be the 11:30pm sunrise... Just remember to duck and cover, and watch out for your precious bodily fluids.
The US government's legitmacy in the eyes of the populace is so sketchy at this point bringing back CD would flop just as hard as bringing back the Draft.
one thing to consider with submarine cables is that they are tough. These are not like the fiber cables in a data center or in your office. They are well insulated, well structured and often several inches thick. Also, the shore station knows the exact moment the fault happened. Also, when the ship that repairs these cables pulls the cable up for repair, they will know immediately whether this is a tension cut or a compression cut. To understand that, it the difference between pulling tape apart or cutting with scissors. As for cable locations, the EXACT locations are published in maritime notices to prevent "accidents". In fact almost NO submarine cable cuts are "accidents". Nearly every cut is negligence or malicious. The place this happens most is at the mouth of the Suez Canal. Poorly regulated marine operators and ships regularly cut the cables that transit the canal. Normally, dragging cuts happen near the coast, not "out at sea". But the Baltic is a small area, so who knows.
American living in Sweden here, it is just not the cold but the dense taiga forests which cover 90-95% of the country. Not a place for an invader to fight a guerilla war against the Swedes. The country has a doctrine of total defense where many of us, including myself, have a self-defense/war placement, assignment in case of an invasion.
Mor likely the 'anchor dragging' didnt happen at all, it was staged for deniability and a submarine cut the cable. dragging an anchor over a cable isn't actually all that likely to damage it, the cables are not THAT vulnerable.
If you’re interested in US undersea cable espionage in the cold war I highly recommend reading the book “Blind Man’s Bluff.” It is about cold war submarine warfare and espionage. There is a story in the book about a whole submarine we designed to tap into Russian cables in the Pacific. Incredible book.
A friend of mine took some school kids to the University of Hawaii, looking for John P. Craven (mention in BMB). His office said he was permanently home (with Parkinson's), but they would be sure to tell him someone remembered his work.
7:11 fun fact for those that don’t know, anchors don’t actually grab onto something to stop ships, it’s the weight of the chain plus anchor that embeds itself on the ocean floor to cause enough friction to stop the ship.
To paraphrase Major T. J. "King" Kong: Well, I've been to one world fair, a picnic, and a rodeo, and that's the funniest Update title I ever heard come over a set of earphones. You sure you got today's codes? Nicely done and thanks for the Finnish guide. edited because computer hates me.
Cutting the cables could also be a test, to see how long a response and repair takes. There are a very small number of cable repair ships and they cannot move very quickly.
AMEN S2 - your final statement about most people don't care about "big russian missle" resonates loudly with my circle of IRL friends. The same people who grew up with The Day After are just "meh" like lemmings. Scary stuff.
People in Norway are usually positive about that the government are pushing civil preparedness. The thing is that people are lazy and doesn't get around to actually prepare, but most are aware of the actual dangers like war and natural disasters. There is very high trust in the government here, so most people wouldn't really question the message (Which is a double edged sword in my eye)
I have my friends and family catching onto GMRS slowly and surely incase the grid goes down and just set up a base station today. I’ve been prepping for the last six months
You analysis of US capability against satellites is incorrect. In the 80's, a F-15 shot down one of our own spy satellites as a warning to Russia that we could take down theirs as well. While that satellite was a "sitting" target, missiles have gotten much more advanced at intercepting targets by computing speeds and trajectories. Satellites can not dodge, nor do they have countermeasures, and the US has far more missiles than there are satellites. Add to that there is no need for a direct impact, but a soft hit will suffice. Possibly taking out multiple targets with one engagement. This is using the F-15 as a base. Keep in mind that this aircraft was designed and built in the 60's, so is no longer cutting edge. Russia (and other countries) may, or may not, be as capable. However, if the USA wished to do so, they could eliminate every satellite in orbit within hours. Selective targeting would probably take days to ensure the ones that were marked to be kept would not be damaged. Mainly only needing to wait until orbits took the targets into clear zones.
@@jb76489 As of June 2023, there were 11,330 satellites orbiting Earth. F-15C Eagle: The USAF has 88 active F-15C Eagles and a total force of 211. F-15D Eagle: The USAF has 9 active F-15D Eagles and a total force of 23. F-15E Strike Eagle: The USAF has 218 active F-15E Strike Eagles and a total force of 218. F-15EX Eagle II: The USAF plans to have 104 F-15EX Eagle IIs in its fleet. The USAF ordered 20 aircraft in 2021, and plans to buy 24 more in 2024. That's 556 F-15's (I left out the planned 24 that should have been added in 2024). So a need for 21 missiles per for this topic. If you think there's only 21 missiles for each F-15, then you're deluding yourself. Again, this is JUST F-15's. The military has many more aircraft. I only went with just the F-15 because it has proven it can take down a satellite.
I'm in Vilnius, Lithuania and a couple weeks ago my apartment building got signs on it marking it as a bomb shelter, with a note that mentions artillery and drones
These are not hypersonic munitions, they’re simply MIRV’s which enter the atmosphere at re-entry speed. Secondly, MIRV’s have been around since the 1970’s.
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Oddly quiet in the US. Like when the kids are being too quiet in the other room...
Lol yup and just like children wherever they go they make a mess of everything and cry when you tell them to pick up.
Yeah.... I don't like it... somethings up.... I just don't know what yet
Yup
✨✨✨✨✨✨✨
Ja
I am WELL past the point where I just accept the "Official" reports about anything.
Seems the best ones are only viewed by a few. It's out there but you have to dig deep.
"In war, truth is the first casualty." - Aeschylus
Fitting considering today marked the assassination of JFK
@@dancancade7101 and we are at war. A 5th generation war. And the lines aren't exactly clear to most.
@@dancancade7101love that "bot-ism" reply
I can say with certainty that the fiber optic operator knows exactly down to the nanosecond when the fiber was severed .
Bingo!
I would say the computers on both ends know at least the when to high degree of accuracy.
Yes, fiber optic equipment saves timestamps of faults for the purposes of troubleshooting.
Correct. They can also, very quickly discover EXACTLY how far down each end of the cable the signal gets lost with a relatively common and simple time-of-travel echo back test.
@@TheUnojoe2 I used to use one all of the time. OTDR-Optical Time Domain Reflectometer.
Who voted for these wars? I didn't. Did you? F all these politicians.
February 2014 - The Euromaidan Revolution: This was a series of protests and demonstrations in Ukraine against then-President Viktor Yanukovych after his decision to suspend an association agreement with the European Union in favor of closer ties with Russia. The protests, known as the Euromaidan, led to violent clashes and ultimately to Yanukovych fleeing the country in February 2014. This shift in power in Ukraine triggered political instability and angered Russia, which saw the new government as hostile.
March 2014 - Russia's Annexation of Crimea: In the wake of Yanukovych's ousting, Russia moved quickly to annex the Crimean Peninsula in March 2014, a move widely condemned by Ukraine and the international community as a violation of Ukraine's sovereignty. The annexation set off a series of events that escalated tensions in the region.
April 2014 - Armed Conflict in Donbas: Following Russia's actions in Crimea, pro-Russian separatists in eastern Ukraine (specifically in the Donetsk and Luhansk regions, collectively known as the Donbas) declared independence, leading to armed clashes between Ukrainian forces and these separatists. Russia's involvement in supporting these separatists-through supplies, training, and later, direct military intervention-intensified the conflict.
You voted for the representatives, so you voted for the wars. You don't like the wars? Vote better
@@Thousand_yard_King “vote better” lol you have no idea who anyone voted for.
@@Thousand_yard_King you clearly don't know how America works. You're a cigarette.
@@crizioclipsdon't forget America's involvement in kicking off euromaiden too! We sent ukraine 5 billion that same year right before everything kicked off
Huge ships don’t just stop and drop anchor. They go from port to port. Every hour of operation costs thousands of dollars. They may park outside a harbor if they can’t load or unload immediately but they don’t just stop in the middle of a deep water channel ,drop anchor and take a frickin nap. They don’t stop and seek shelter from a weather event in open water. They get underway and stay underway unless some catastrophic mechanical failure. Innocently Dragging anchor is a wildly implausible excuse in my worthless opinion.
Very good analysis. 🤔👍💯
I'm a merchant mariner, and this is correct. That scenario literally never happens.
Former Navy deck ape here; total agreement.
@@lightreign8021 occasional canoe guy here, probably right.
That is an excellent point. Hmm
Thank you S2 Underground for your service to the nation.
Needs to check a map though. Oreshnik can hit most of the US from eastern Siberia.
@MS-wz9jm , Even A Geologist Can Go To School, Get Certified, A Degree, Etc! Doesn't Mean One, Or Even They All Know, Every Square Centimeter Of Soil, It's Exact Location, What It Contains, Etc! Although, A Low Ranking Space Force Military Officer Could, Via Their Database Access To Satellite Arcived Data Analysis Reports, Etc!
Provided On How Well He's Trained! And It Still Doesn't Mean, The Officer Comprehends The Most Important Results Of Such Data, To Apply It, And Relay Such, As Needed To A Team Of Scientists, For New Free Energy Materials For Time Traveling, And, Or For New Methods Of Space Vehicles And Satellites Defence Shielding, Etc!
GOD Bless,
Pa-Pow, Amen!
😎 🙉🙈🙊 🇺🇸
@@alfredsutton4412 Ongoing service 😉
Wing Attack Plan R gets my IMMEDIATE attention!
I thought the same thing! "Goldie did you say wing attack plan R"
R for Robert.
Where is Major Kong?
It sounds like a 90's Konami top-scrolling arcade shooter game... _joke's on us, it may become a FPS for all of us soon._
@@neonsigns6721 Goldie, I told you boys I don’t want no horsing around on the airplane,
No mushroom clouds yet , the next 60 days +- should not be dull.
They are very busy !!!
Its all fear porn
Nothing ever happens
Things may happen, but 100% its all scripted to a very high degree, and i dont trust ANYONE in any "official" position, least of all Trump or kamala or biden ,etc... Corporate CEOs and wannabe's playing god commander/world shaper, and the people who empower them with votes are the least of their concerns. Can we get back to being a republic before its too late?
@@cultleader3572yup 100%
Periscope Film has some old instructional videos from the Civil Defense Corp, and watching the old videos makes me feel oddly melancholic. It's like looking at an entirely different country, where the government at least seemed to care about the safety of the citizens. All the fallout shelters that were so maintained and imperative to be in every city back then aren't even mentioned anymore, or straight run down and in disrepair. It reminds us of just how little concern the government actually has anymore. If they did, they would at least try to inform people of safety measures to take instead of constantly insulting and antagonizing numerous nuclear powers across the nation from a standpoint of "Me and my friends will be ok, who cares what happens to everyone else".
If a nuke is used by either side all the grifting for both sides comes to a halt , and every body starts loosing money . This whole enterprise is about money, for both sides
Appreciate you brother. You're absolutely an asset to The People and we all value your time creating these outstanding reports. I hear other channels mention you giving you mad props all the time and send folks gere for these reports. You're making a difference.
Sal, with “What’s Going on with Shipping “, just did great breakdown on this and shows the AIS data on the Chinese ship. Interesting stuff
Didn't see your comment and wrote the same :) Hopefully some will go and watch it.
Love that guy
YOU CANT FIGHT HERE THIS IS THE WAR ROOM
😂
😂😂😂
👌
MEIN FUHRER..... I CAN WALK
Listen...Sug.....say yer prayers
Gentlemen, you can't fight in here. This is the War Room.
He will see the big board!
Yeeeeeehaaaaaaa!😬
Love that movie
Is it sad my mind went to SAO Abridged instead of Dr. Strangelove?
@@thegooddoctor2009 it may he sad that my mind picked up no movie but instantly grabbed the logic of the oxymoronic statement.
We live in a failed state in a fallen world. Prepare accordingly
What in the Wide Wide World of Sports....
It would be 😂😂😂 but...
Oh but the thrill of agony😂
Is a going on here
@shreid Best... movie.... EVER!!!! Love Mel Brooks films!
What in the name of John Wayne's ass is goin on in here???
I think the reason we in America would be worried about the government instituting civil defense protocols are because we all would subconsciously think "what are you about to fuck up so bad that would bring a war *to American soil*?" With almost all our wars being overseas there's something deeply unsettling about the government anticipating us being targeted.
It was criminal for Civil Defense to be allowed to lapse, then discontinued.
Thankyou for the intel, Praying for you and your team.
_Wing Attack Plan R_ sounds like either a _Dr. Strangelove_ reference, a 90's arcade game shooter, or soon-to-be real FPS we'll all be playing in with no respawns...
Sounds like a Gundam spinoff series to me. Gundam: Wing Attack Plan R…yeah I’d watch that
Zero Wing: All your base are belong to us.
@@WhiteCavendish "There is no chance to survive, make your time."
What’s our nearest Target of Opportunity? And will there be enough fuel to rendezvous with that Tango Delta Weather Ship?
dr strangelove or how i learned to stop worrying and love the bomb - stanley kubrick
I feel like another lesson not being discussed with the ICBM strike is this. They’ve set the precedent of using ICBMs to deliver conventional or hypersonic weapons not just nukes so you have to wait to launch a nuclear response until their warheads land and you find out in a time of war. That means you get less overall warning or response time. Maybe I’m wrong but that’s a reading I got from the interaction.
When I was in Germany 83-86, when/if we were in a high nuclear threat, families and civilians would be evacuated/flown out of the AO and ultimately to the USA. We knew on the ground it wasn't too serious if families weren't alerted.
Have you seen anything like this or something similar at a lower level?
Curious if you could find the documents for this
Under this administration I afraid they would be left for fodder.
There would be no time for such an evacuation. Or doing so would signal “no confidence” to our allies and “go time” to our adversaries. If you are worried dont bring your family in the first place or send them away on your own dime. 29 yrs overseas here.
@@jtns2845 you're not wrong
"Wing Attack Plan R"... from an OUTSTANDING film! Outstanding cast! Great writing!
President Muffy Merkin...lol
You can't fight in here, this is the War Room!
President Merkin Muffly!
Gen Buck *Turgid* son has entered the chat
@@ThomasJacobellis-l1b yep. my bad
Loss of essence
Did you say Wing Attack Plan R? I've been to 1 World Fair, a picnic, and a rodeo, and that's the stupidest thing I've ever heard over a set of headphones.
Pedantry: pretty much all MIRV'd platforms and many if not most single-warhead TBMs that loft their payload outside the atmosphere, re-enter at hypersonic speeds. This is why the Sprint ABM, with '70s technology, pulled 100 _g_ at launch and accelerated to Mach 10 in a few seconds. The "big deal" of modern hypersonic weapons is that they do _something_ to sustain that speed and remain maneuverable, instead of being locked into an exciting but brief ballistic descent.
This is not pedantry at all, it's an important downwards adjustment of the actual gravity of the situation. I.e. Putin launched modified 70s tech for millions of dollars that can only carry small payloads with a precision of hundreds of meters, so it necessitates a nuclear payload for any actual effect. And MAD has been existing for decades anyways, hypersonic (if they've actually meaningfully achieved it) is just sprinkles on the icing of the nuclear cake.
@@LVArturs there remains the excellent and, for now, unanswerable question of if their nuclear arsenal is actually operational. having some experience with the topic during my own time in the military, knowing that the technical capabilties and facilities required to keep nuclear weapons functional all require huge sustained efforts and funding, something which the russians have not been the best at over the last 30 years.
I would like to offer some clarification, as this is my line of work.
1. MIRV. Isn't so much a thing as it is a concept or configuration. You don't call the warhead a MIRV. But if the missile has more than one warhead on it, it is MIRV'd. A lot of people I follow and that talk about these insinuate that a moved missile is somehow more dangerous (technically it is) but putting more than one warhead on the missile greatly reduces range and accuracy etc.
2. The term "Hypersonic missile" is a very specific term/phrase that refers to a "guided/course correcting" missile that travels more than 5000 mph. The term ballistic missile is a missile that once fired is like a bullet from a gun. You have no control of it once fired. Yes. ICBM's are "guided" per say, I'm not going to get into specifics on that. But as a brief explanation it's the difference in driving. A driver is told "turn left at the stop sign go through 3 lights and your destination is on the right." And once they leave, you have no idea, you just hope they get there with that information. But guided is a guy with GPS doing the same thing. A hypersonic weapon is significantly different even though I'm not great at explaining it.
Not my specialty, but don't most ballistic missiles and MIRV reach hypersonic speeds?
Also, have you looked at the video of impact? The six strikes, they look wrong - like each of them has broken up to varying degrees, different plasma width. There are pictures of how US tests look - they're all uniform lines.
Putin said this test was successful - looks pretty shabby to me.
And this hypersonic business in general (and most of the other advancements in nuclear delivery) - it changes little, everyone knows USSR/RF and USA have been able to nuke each other into oblivion for decades, no air defence can intercept such a number of ballistic missiles.
All in all, Europe is clearly unprepared for war, RF is deeply and fully preoccupied in Ukraine, Western missiles given to Ukraine are low in numbers and limited in range (300km), so they can only slow down RF a bit, not cause any serious damage - hence the missile test looks like an equivalently low impact attempt at gaining some advantage by scaring West from supporting or preparing ground for negotiations or some such.
What is Going on with Shipping has an excellent video on the Chinese ship that was over both cables at the time of the failures.
*I’m pretty sure it was Kaiju’s cutting the cables. They’re getting ready for their main attack! We must get ready and build large robots to protect us!*
Thanks for the hard work for simpletons like myself!
Time to get the Civil Defense up and running.
That's exactly why NATO did the pipeline. And the bridge. And this. They're the hand of the can'tnamethems and would love nothing more than to make "g0yim" off each other again.
We track EAM’s 24/7 at KLW world news too. Glad to see others aware of it
Rumble mostly, YT is just breaking news
The 216 char eam came out about an hour before the ICBM was launched. Between that long one…and the launch was total radio silence
Dr Strangelove reference in the thumbnail? Ah shiiiiiiiii-
Here we go again...
Too bad Peter Sellers isn't around to play Zelensky 😅
What's going on in shipping with Sal has been an excellent resource for all major ocean/sea events. Hope this info finds everyone well. ✌️
Big fan. I worked in "The Box" at Ft Campbell, 101st ABN (AASLT). around 1980, +/- a year or two as an analyst, 96B. We had a few near misses with the Fulda Gap scenario. Within weeks of reassigning our targeted region from Fulda to Middle East, Russia invaded Afghanistan.
And then it got real; (consider the disastrous raid on Iran). As part of the Rapid Deployment Force, we were Frontline, and watched the folks take off From Ft Bragg en route to said raid. I had blueprints of the US Embassy with me in my Gamma Goat! But when the raid went south, that was it. I have never lost my addiction to sorting raw data, or the thrill when things you have been watching suddenly have axes that cross at a single point and boom! You know! Keep it up. Thank you!
Thank you for today's Intel Update and thank you for explaining things that would be over some of our heads otherwise.
Glad to have some good reliable news always, i do appreciate that.
"Goldie, did you say Wing Attack Plan R?.."
Long-time newspaper statistic:
If you publisn en error, and publish the correction notice in the exact same page and place the very next day, only 1 in 5 readers sees the correction.
I don't expect newer media does any better. 80% never see the correction.
I fully expect China to act in Concert with Russia if it’s gonna happen.
Not so sleepy, giant
They have been doing so very effectively for a while now.
The BIS project M-Bridge is just one recent example worth being aware of ;)
If you’re reading this, you’re literate
I’m so relieved to see that! 😊
Shew... ok
Hell of a way to find out I can't read
Am not. Take it back!
Wise guy, eh.
I remember when Donald Rumsfeld wanted to switch out the nuclear warheads on one of our ICBMs and use it against terrorist targets in Afghanistan. He was called crazy. Here we are, almost exactly 20 years later... 🤷
he was not called crazy, he was called stupid. It was stupid then, and Rumsfeld was a very stupid man. It is stupid now, and Putin is also a very stupid man.
@@charlesparr1611 you must be the expert on stupid. im always glad when a professional weighs in on the conversation.
@charlesparr1611 You have no idea what you're talking about.
@@mutavhello6654 more idea than this bunch of larping conspiracy nuts.
@@charlesparr1611 spotted the nafo twink
The video of the 6 missiles coming back down to earth is insane
One is a coincidence. Two is a pattern. Three is a program.
Thanks for sharing your thoughts with us and God bless us all.
Trust no one but listen with both ears
I would think the method used would be pretty easy to determine. Explosives would leave a lot of fragmentation of the cable and surrounding area, the anchor would probably drag the cable a bit before it snapped, and manual cutting would probably be the cleanest. The only question after you've determined the cause would be the motive.
I heard a fun fact ( not really fun but interesting) the movie The Wizard of Oz came out 7 days prior to WWll. A remake of the movie was released on 11/22/24. Hopefully history doesn't repeat itself
I wouldn't call Wicked a remake, it was a Broadway play that came out in 2003 that was loosely based on a book written in 1995 Called Wicked: The life and times of the Wicked Witch of the West. It is more of a story of the friendship between the two witches rather then the story of Dorothy. It would be closer to what the Penguin was to the newest Batman.
A friendship that was callously ended by an unqualified House Pilots negligence.
In the most horrific and illegal manner.
Ending the Gold Standard ultimately leading to the 911 attack.
Dorothy was FED brother in both black flag event.
I've been tracking Dorothy for nearly a century.
Dorothy heavy involved in mrna tech and AI.
Yes Dorothy had haarp way back....
That’s an interesting note ;)
@@benjaminjones5029can you elaborate a little?
These HAARPs aren’t played by angels.
Love the wing attack plan R, if you know you know.
... I Don't know
@@ShaneBraaten Its a movie reference.
@feralmale1517 Ah, thank You Good Sir... 👍
Northern Ontario checking in
God bless S2 Underground!
🐴🤠🇺🇲
Finland isn't really revamping that much, they've been like this for decades. The others are just catching up to the realities of the region.
You have an excellent channel! Always good to listen to someone that is sensible!
I concur S2. Thanks for “fleshing” it out.
Don't forget we have an unmanned shuttle up there...
What in the wide,wide world of sports is goin on here
Wing Attack Plan R? "...[I]s it possible that this is some kind of loyalty test?" (RIP 1LT James Earl Jones)
Thank you once again, sweetpea, we all get better info from you!!! Big hugs from Granny V!!!
Holding at DEFCON 2, thank you S-2!
ALL STATIONS THIS IS CRYSTAL PALACE INITIATING EMERGENCY CONFERENCE
I imagine myself sitting in a dusty room, concrete floor, bunk beds against the walls.
There are about 30 metal folding chairs sitting in front of an out of date PC monitor, the florescent lights are humming, the joker in the platoon is making fart noises, and the show offs are taking notes... but no one has started speaking.
Ah...
We'll meet again, I don't know where, and I don't know when, but I know we'll meet again some sunny day.
Might be the 11:30pm sunrise... Just remember to duck and cover, and watch out for your precious bodily fluids.
Thank you for your briefings. They are much appreciated. Everyone should get prepped if you're not already
The US government's legitmacy in the eyes of the populace is so sketchy at this point bringing back CD would flop just as hard as bringing back the Draft.
Thank you for your service to America. Thank you for "Appealing to Heaven".
Can't wait for next week's presentation on the ratio of mineshafts in the US vs the Russian Federation.
one thing to consider with submarine cables is that they are tough. These are not like the fiber cables in a data center or in your office. They are well insulated, well structured and often several inches thick. Also, the shore station knows the exact moment the fault happened.
Also, when the ship that repairs these cables pulls the cable up for repair, they will know immediately whether this is a tension cut or a compression cut. To understand that, it the difference between pulling tape apart or cutting with scissors.
As for cable locations, the EXACT locations are published in maritime notices to prevent "accidents". In fact almost NO submarine cable cuts are "accidents". Nearly every cut is negligence or malicious. The place this happens most is at the mouth of the Suez Canal. Poorly regulated marine operators and ships regularly cut the cables that transit the canal.
Normally, dragging cuts happen near the coast, not "out at sea". But the Baltic is a small area, so who knows.
American living in Sweden here, it is just not the cold but the dense taiga forests which cover 90-95% of the country. Not a place for an invader to fight a guerilla war against the Swedes. The country has a doctrine of total defense where many of us, including myself, have a self-defense/war placement, assignment in case of an invasion.
Can you have magazine fed semi-auto rifles?
an anchor could be dragged nefariously...
Mor likely the 'anchor dragging' didnt happen at all, it was staged for deniability and a submarine cut the cable. dragging an anchor over a cable isn't actually all that likely to damage it, the cables are not THAT vulnerable.
Nice bit of levity from the title while keeping the situation serious
Incredible content! Thank you.
Thank you again for the closed captioning. I was very interested in this program, and would have been SOL without the CC.
If you’re interested in US undersea cable espionage in the cold war I highly recommend reading the book “Blind Man’s Bluff.” It is about cold war submarine warfare and espionage. There is a story in the book about a whole submarine we designed to tap into Russian cables in the Pacific. Incredible book.
A friend of mine took some school kids to the University of Hawaii, looking for John P. Craven (mention in BMB). His office said he was permanently home (with Parkinson's), but they would be sure to tell him someone remembered his work.
Excellent, just lit an Olmec maduro. These are getting intense
THANK YOU SIR FOR STRAIGHT UP INTEL.
HAVE A GREAT HOLIDAY SEASONS AND RELAX .
I FORWARD THIS INTEL TO MY SPHERE OF INFLUNCE 🤠👍🤠
The Finns fought the Soviet Army to a stand still in WW2. They did ultimately capitulate, but on better terms.
Totally different circumstances.
perfect timing while I re work my head light. Thank you so much for what you do
I remember when people were thinking that when he stationed 200,000 troops at Ukraine's border he was bluffing
Well he straight up lied saying they weren’t planning an invasion, just military exercises, even lied to their own troops.
7:11 fun fact for those that don’t know, anchors don’t actually grab onto something to stop ships, it’s the weight of the chain plus anchor that embeds itself on the ocean floor to cause enough friction to stop the ship.
It's deer season. That's why it's quiet.
No !! It's Wabbit season 😅
To paraphrase Major T. J. "King" Kong:
Well, I've been to one world fair, a picnic, and a rodeo, and that's the funniest Update title I ever heard come over a set of earphones. You sure you got today's codes? Nicely done and thanks for the Finnish guide. edited because computer hates me.
Cutting the cables could also be a test, to see how long a response and repair takes. There are a very small number of cable repair ships and they cannot move very quickly.
AMEN S2 - your final statement about most people don't care about "big russian missle" resonates loudly with my circle of IRL friends. The same people who grew up with The Day After are just "meh" like lemmings. Scary stuff.
Colonel Jack Ripper has left the reservation...
Great info! Thank you
The depth of the water in question is 500'+
Peace is Our Profession
(War is Our Hobby) Strategic Air Command
Thank you for the update.
Uh oh no internet in Lithuania? I think the US knows a guy...
Thanks for the info
People in Norway are usually positive about that the government are pushing civil preparedness. The thing is that people are lazy and doesn't get around to actually prepare, but most are aware of the actual dangers like war and natural disasters.
There is very high trust in the government here, so most people wouldn't really question the message (Which is a double edged sword in my eye)
I have my friends and family catching onto GMRS slowly and surely incase the grid goes down and just set up a base station today. I’ve been prepping for the last six months
There are two kinds of people.
One can work with incomplete information. The other
Thank you for this week's summary! 👍👍
Thank you for the intel 👍
You analysis of US capability against satellites is incorrect. In the 80's, a F-15 shot down one of our own spy satellites as a warning to Russia that we could take down theirs as well. While that satellite was a "sitting" target, missiles have gotten much more advanced at intercepting targets by computing speeds and trajectories. Satellites can not dodge, nor do they have countermeasures, and the US has far more missiles than there are satellites. Add to that there is no need for a direct impact, but a soft hit will suffice. Possibly taking out multiple targets with one engagement. This is using the F-15 as a base. Keep in mind that this aircraft was designed and built in the 60's, so is no longer cutting edge.
Russia (and other countries) may, or may not, be as capable. However, if the USA wished to do so, they could eliminate every satellite in orbit within hours. Selective targeting would probably take days to ensure the ones that were marked to be kept would not be damaged. Mainly only needing to wait until orbits took the targets into clear zones.
"US has far more missiles than there are satellites." citation needed
@@jb76489 As of June 2023, there were 11,330 satellites orbiting Earth.
F-15C Eagle: The USAF has 88 active F-15C Eagles and a total force of 211.
F-15D Eagle: The USAF has 9 active F-15D Eagles and a total force of 23.
F-15E Strike Eagle: The USAF has 218 active F-15E Strike Eagles and a total force of 218.
F-15EX Eagle II: The USAF plans to have 104 F-15EX Eagle IIs in its fleet. The USAF ordered 20 aircraft in 2021, and plans to buy 24 more in 2024.
That's 556 F-15's (I left out the planned 24 that should have been added in 2024). So a need for 21 missiles per for this topic. If you think there's only 21 missiles for each F-15, then you're deluding yourself. Again, this is JUST F-15's. The military has many more aircraft. I only went with just the F-15 because it has proven it can take down a satellite.
@@jb76489 I tried. YT deleted it. Go research yourself, I guess.
I'm in Vilnius, Lithuania and a couple weeks ago my apartment building got signs on it marking it as a bomb shelter, with a note that mentions artillery and drones
Thank you S2 Underground!
Again, thank you for your work. I appreciate the links to the Swedish and Finnish manuals, although I've not had time to yet go through them.
As always well done George
I'm greatly fearful we wont make it to late January to get new leadership in the U.S..
Thanks for the wire. Al Gore’s Rhythm.
Omg gross.... I hate that band!
Ha
These are not hypersonic munitions, they’re simply MIRV’s which enter the atmosphere at re-entry speed. Secondly, MIRV’s have been around since the 1970’s.
They're weapons moving at above mach 5, do you not know what "hypersonic" means?
@ do ypu know what entering the atmosphere at re-entry speed is?
Really appreciate the in-depth analysis for this range of info. 👍🥃