Colin, good video, but I think you should mention all the reasons why a positive count is advantageous (you discussed in detail only the first 2): 1) More blackjacks for everyone. Player gets paid 1.5X (or even 1.2X), but if dealer has BJ, you only lose your original bet; you don't "owe" the dealer 1.5 times your bet. 2) Dealer will bust on stiff hands more often because he must hit, whereas the player has a choice. 3) You can double down more aggressively on 11, 10, 9 (and maybe on 8 or soft 18/19), and with a higher chance of getting a 10 or Ace, you will make a good hand. The dealer, on the other hand, cannot double down. 4) You can split higher cards more successfully (8's, 9's, Aces, and sometimes even 10's), and by drawing a 10 or Ace to these, you will make a good hand. The dealer cannot split. 5) Insurance becomes profitable with a positive count. 6) If surrender is allowed, it becomes wise to surrender stiff hands, especially higher ones (15's & 16's), against medium and high dealer up-cards (7 thru A). ***Can anyone think of any other ways in which a high count is profitable to the player?
How do you figure that? Based on how many decks, and what penetration? With single deck, the highest running count you could have is +20 (4 suits x5 cards of 2,3,4,5,6) With a 6 deck shoe, you could therefore have a running count of +120 I'm not sure how you're calculating a true count of +52
dwiedemann if all 20 small cards came out of a single deck, the running count is +20, but the true count is higher, because you have less than a deck left. I.e. 32/52 of a deck. The true count is +32.5 (20 × 52 ÷ 32 = 32.5). Furthermore, if you remove all the medium cards, 12 total, your running count will still be +20, but the deck will be even smaller, with only 10 thru Ace remaining (20 cards total, or 20/52 of a deck). Thus, your true count is now 20 × 52 ÷ 20, or simply + 52. The math is actually a lot simpler than it first seems.
After practicing for a week I felt I was ready. I had a few beers before arriving and I lost my account immediately, so leason learned. No drinking and practice a lot more
So if the True Count is positive your likely to get high cards and should be betting but if the true count is negative you should be betting less or not at all ?
Colin More big card in shoe box Card counting value is +10 That mean Player easy to get JJ ( 20 Point ) But dealer also easy to get JJ ( 20 point ) When dealer get good card first card is J ( 10 point ) Player get bad card J2 ( hard 12) Player can surrender ( lose 50% ) But dealer get bad card First card is 6 ( 6 point ) Player get good card JJ ( 20 Point ) Dealer can not surrender ( lose 50 % ) So player play 2 round surrender 1 round ( play 2 time surrrnder 1 time ) , when dealer get good card J , player get bad card J3 ( hard 13) What do you think
Colin, could you publish a video concerning SD, DD and how P.E. becomes more important, please? I get the whole thing on 6D the B.E. is more important, but, the smaller the number of decks the more P.E. becomes important. Also, on a shoe game, if there is a deep pen 5D or so + with a 6D shoe , P.E., I believe, would be become more important.
really love everything ive learned. but im concerned that 1k isnt enough to start playing small tables. also i live in Maryland as active duty military. i dont know what casinos have a table that would end up being profitable in my area. so far ive only been to LIVE! but quickly realized all there low minimum tables use a CSM. so I have only gone there to practice perfect basic strategy. Please, i would love your honest advice.
stay out of casinos period, you can practice basic strategy, card counting and deviations at home for free. while you are doing this, which should take you 200 hours, save up a bankroll. get your game to perfect without stepping foot in a casino, get tested out by a pro, then hit the tables for real but find a good game (no CSMs).
How is it possible to count on tables with continuous shufflers; they are count proof? On tables w/o continuous shuffles, how do you outsmart the eye in the sky?
Continuous shuffle machines are either unbeatable or are beatable but you would make way below minimum wage even with a six figure bankroll. You should be focusing more on playing and betting perfectly than on outsmarting the eyes in the sky because not being caught means nothing if you are playing a losing game. Best advice I could give here is to not make sudden changes in your bets and do not change your bets after draws. If you know playing deviations, you can choose to never split 10s if you like to but note that you are decreasing your own expected value from doing this.
If you know when the dealer has a bigger chance of busting, is making a large side bet (dealer bust) a good idea? Especially since they pay 3 to 1 vs a regular 1 to 1 win in blackjack
my question is when you are down in count when do you stop playing when you are even down -1 or is there. certain amount down in the count where I should make an excuse to wait for the next shuffle
Obviously if it is negative at all, but all you are going to do is attract attention, which you do not want. I play at a place where I play 2 deck, and there is no midshoe entry. Obviously if I am the only player, I cannot quit, because when I return they will not have shuffled. Again, constantly jumping in and out of a shoe is just another tell that you are counting, and at most places when they realize that, it is just a matter of time before you are out the door.
As I’m devoting some time each day to practicing counting, I’ve started to ask myself: is the count being low really that unfavorable to the point where you lose money? I know you won’t get as many black jacks, but if the true count is say -6 then I’ll have a much better chance of not busting when I hit a 16 or I’ll know that doubling down on a 9 would be a poor decision. I’m still new to this and haven’t done anything outside of practicing at home, so maybe this point of view is just one of ignorance. Thoughts?
That is kind of a funny question. Obviously if the count is neutral , or even a bit positive you are loosing money, so ........?? Yes, knowing the negative count will help you make better modified strategy decisions, but the more negative it gets, the more you loose.
Joseph Lance Low counts mean less bj/good doubles, splits! With the double bust advantage of the casino, the player will lose more money in less time. If you don't think you bust much on low counts, then you are in for a surprise.
I have a question for anyone, I live near deadwood so I play there every now and then and have basic strategy down and can keep the count. I like to play a double or single deck game better than a 6 deck shoe. I have a hard time finding ways to not play in negative counts, but a double or single deck game they shuffle often enough where I feel like you don’t have to play in negative counts for a bunch of hands and have a better idea for what’s left in the deck(s). But the casino doesn’t allow you to double on any 2 card total. I know that the game you’re playing is almost as important as counting. So my question is am I giving up too much of an advantage to make a profit by those rules?
Well, first thing I am going to note is that it is most important if blackjack pays 3 to 2. Now, for single deck, you should be playing at least three hands before the shuffle. For double deck, you should be playing at least a little less than one deck. If the games shuffle more often than that, then you should go play somewhere else. Also, you shouldn’t play games in which you are limited in when you can double down, since double downs are important in lowering the house edge and are one of the reasons high cards favor the player.
Thank you, according to the wizard of odds house edge calculator, a double deck where you can double only on 9-11 (and I clicked all the other rules) the house edge is .52%. And a 6 deck with double on any 2 is .57% now this is without counting. So does that make a difference what the house edge is without counting? I’m still new to this so sorry for my ignorance. Blackjack pays 3:2 thats the first thing I always check for haha
colton B97 Also, the difference in house edge without counting should affect the house edge with counting. If the house edge without counting is more than 1%, it is much harder to get over it.
Also unless you don't have basic strats AND index plays completely memorized don't even bother putting any money down on any blackjack table. Practice first. I personally use the video blackjack tables that cost like $1 per hand if I can find them. Again, it's good cover. Shows the house that you don't just back count and play blackjack. When you get to a level to where you know exactly what you are doing as an AP, cover becomes a major concern.
Actually, in practice, there is little possibility for "cover". For card counting to work, you need to make major gyrations in bet amount. That is a MAJOR tell, and if you are not very quickly caught, someone is seriously sleeping on the job.
ronald dump Most casinos know what you are doing in minutes, so the plan is not to fool them, it's to find a casino that allows you to play. Ronald is right, you are not fooling anyone, maybe just yourself.
Great video! Does card counting only work in a western country? The blackjack here in Macau seemed to have an automatic shuffle machine. I tried to count but is weird that it can hit the same card, for example, Diamond 3 can appear at the desk 2 times. it looks random and I am confused.
Is it a continuous shuffle machine where the dealer deals out of the shuffling machine and replaces them often, or is it a auto shuffler used when the decks are all finished?
K NICK The edge in Macau is very low vs the player, in the csm games. Here's what to do, you need to play basic, get the casino to give you some kind of rebate that overcomes your disadvantage. House edge-Macau is about .09, that's how to beat the game.
@@ionalien For CSM learn TARGET & TARGET plus by Jerry Patterson. Also read his book "Break The Dealer" by Jerry Patterson available on Amazon. "New Blackjack", "World Class Blackjack" & "Zero Proximity Betting" by professor Ellis Clifton Davies will help you for CSM games. Professor Ellis Clifton Davies work is well summarized by Ron DiBennedito in his book "Precision Blackjack". UCP (Ultimate Confirmation Process) by John Taoromino will also assist to enter and to decide to leave the table. My blackjack website is www.blackjacksa.com
congratz for you 30,000 subs my friend, u deserve it more than anyone else. Why not make a casino video ? And if not in a real one, why not one day organize a fake casino home between all card counters and record the plays so we get more action.
Thanks man! I might try to get more casino action at some point, but I do videos around my schedule and lifestyle... it is a lifestyle business for me. 😉 It's easier to just record them at my place than the complication of undercover cameras, etc. But I might try sometime to do the casino thing for y'all!
Can you make a video about the most important and most profitable playing diviations? You have a video about the best 2, but what are the others from most profitable to less profitable? :)
What would your reaction be if a pit boss whispered in a dealers ear and from that point on the dealer cut the shoe in the middle so you could only play half a shoe or less?
With a good enough game and proper bankroll management, it's definitely feasible with a few grand. Perfect skills are essential, though as far as a bankroll, the more the better.
Does not matter how perfect your skill is, you will often drop way more than $2000 over a downward trend. Have historically done it many, many times, and I don't consider myself a big player. ($10 -$15 base bets and rarely $300 at highest counts). I would put my money in the bank and find other, more worthy hobbies while my bank account increases to a realistic level. Last spring in 3 consecutive sessions I lost 6000, wiping out a large percentage of my winnings for the previous 8 mo.. It is somewhat unlikely, but you can do that right off the get-go. Unfortunately there is nothing odd about dropping $2000, even at the low levels I play. The fact is, typically you will be very quickly barred anyway, so the question is somewhat moot. In 2004 began to count cards and was barred at all the casinos near me within 2 years.. Started playing poker because of that. 16 months ago began to play 2 deck BJ at a indian casino where I live now, expecting that tap on the shoulder. It has not come, I am mystified as to why. To date have profited $19,000 + for 143 ave 6hr visits. Admittedly that is only 140/visit -- possibly to be considered pennyante........... At other casinos, have known people to get barred on the first visit, in 2 hours, and the latest one could not have been on any cardcounter security website......... But to recap: would have never considered this if i just had $2000
If you really never get barred there, you should be taking advantage. Do they have 2 deck? Do you even count cards? No, obviously I cannot name this casino
roger luo Track aces or seq aces? They are two different things. Aces seq is the most powerful, tracking aces is good, but not great. If you can seq aces, then you are way (WAY)better off doing that, and forget about the counting.
As an AP since mid 2017, I can say that APs look for two things when the count is high: Blackjacks and hands that double (9 against 2-6, 10 against anything except an ace, 11 against everything, assuming the count is 3 or better). If the count is a true 3 of better (in a six deck shoe), the chances of you getting one of those hands is pretty high, about 50-60% from what I've experienced. Probably even more in double deck. THAT is where the money is made. NOT from good streaks which is what everyone else thinks. This is why any AP who has losing streaks should "act" salty and "agonize" about hitting stiff hands. It's good cover. It'll fool most pit bosses. Although if your discipline is good enough and your money management is ridiculous, you can kind of get away with just playing basic strategy, but you'll wind up losing in the long run anyways. I tried that too, just walk onto a table with $300 (20 units at $15 per unit), leave if I lose twice in a row, But that isn't as reliable as being an AP. APs focus on the long game. If you back count and only play when the count is +3 or better for a year straight, what do you think's gonna happen?
Francky Then you would bet big, in the simple plus/minus count, you would not know there was a shortage of aces, just your count would be positive. You can still take advantage of situations such as insurance, pair splits and doubles, the insurance would happen less, since we have less aces as in your comments.
+Franky: You are neglecting to realize that player BJs are not the only reason card counting works. You could have EVERY ace gone out of the deck and still have sufficient count to make raising your bet attractive. It would just be somewhat less likely.
I'm kind of expecting it, especially at $10 and $15 minimum tables. $25 and up though, and nothing will change. They ARE probably going to get rid of double deck and the chances of them getting rid of 3:2 games is pretty good tho. I'm legit expecting that going into the 2020s.
Hey Colin, appreciate the videos and knowledge! I was wondering, at what true count does a card counter have the mathematically best odds to play 2 hands instead of just 1 hand? My rule of thumb is to play two hands when the true count is at a +4 or better either at a 6D or 2D. And I’ll play two hands at a +3 true count for Single Deck. What are your thoughts on this?
Not Colin, but if I had a massive bankroll and the count was true 3 or better, I'd open two more hands. But that's only if I'm playing heads up, which is virtually impossible if back counting. Anyone who is even thinking of playing heads up should have a bankroll of at least $10000.
+boon: The only mathematical reason to play two hands is if you desire to bet more than the table limit. Otherwise, there is no mathematical advantage to playing two hands. The hocus pocus crowd believes otherwise, I realize, and there are more that a few card counters who are somewhat hocus.
Like every other video about this subject, it literally does not explain anything. I have yet to find anyone that can prove card counting is a real thing. All people who talk about this do, is come up with arbitrary numbers and never provide any instructions in how to apply anything about this, to the game.
this is more or less card counting "in action." it's challenging to film inside casinos if that's what you are wanting to see. My best recommendation would be to watch Holy Rollers, a documentary about the blackjack team that Colin ran. This is card counting in action.
Yeah, it's expensive, but you can read our survey results... it's well worth it if you're serious about blackjack: www.blackjackapprenticeship.com/blackjack-bootcamp-feedback/
Colin you are going to make people lose their shirt. Lots of people have lost counting cards and not everyone is blessed to have large bankroll to risk losing
Colin started with $2,000. You don't need a large bankroll to start. But you are correct, you need a perfect game and perfect understanding of risk. Fortunately these are things Colin preaches all the time.
I was laughing at the video because I was saying to myself: I WISH that I traded blackjacks at high counts with the dealer like that!! But of course it doesn't actually happen like that so I think it would help for people to look at it by percent advantages. If you are at a 1% advantage (+3 True) then for every 100 hands you play at that advantage you expect to win 1 hand more than the dealer. That's 1%. Now of course that theoretical 1 hand could be a BJ or a split double down, so you may make a lot more off that hand. At 2% you expect to win 2 more hands than the dealer for every 100 hands played. Of course variance means you'll have situations where you absolutely demolish the house with win streaks at high counts. It also means you'll be demolished by the house as well, but the long math works out. 20 hands out of 1000, 200 hands out of 10k hands, etc. Experience tells us that these "high edges" don't come around often and so it is very important to bet properly because these wins are offsetting the loses experienced at non-advantaged scenarios which dominate the time spent at the table (and why you should exit these negative expectation scenarios ASAP)
Colin, good video, but I think you should mention all the reasons why a positive count is advantageous (you discussed in detail only the first 2):
1) More blackjacks for everyone. Player gets paid 1.5X (or even 1.2X), but if dealer has BJ, you only lose your original bet; you don't "owe" the dealer 1.5 times your bet.
2) Dealer will bust on stiff hands more often because he must hit, whereas the player has a choice.
3) You can double down more aggressively on 11, 10, 9 (and maybe on 8 or soft 18/19), and with a higher chance of getting a 10 or Ace, you will make a good hand. The dealer, on the other hand, cannot double down.
4) You can split higher cards more successfully (8's, 9's, Aces, and sometimes even 10's), and by drawing a 10 or Ace to these, you will make a good hand. The dealer cannot split.
5) Insurance becomes profitable with a positive count.
6) If surrender is allowed, it becomes wise to surrender stiff hands, especially higher ones (15's & 16's), against medium and high dealer up-cards (7 thru A).
***Can anyone think of any other ways in which a high count is profitable to the player?
You guys should do an hour of playing a mock game counting cards at home
This channel is sick af
2:45 -- FYI, the theoretically highest possible true count (i.e. nothing but 10's and aces left in the deck) is +52.
How do you figure that? Based on how many decks, and what penetration?
With single deck, the highest running count you could have is +20 (4 suits x5 cards of 2,3,4,5,6)
With a 6 deck shoe, you could therefore have a running count of +120
I'm not sure how you're calculating a true count of +52
dwiedemann if all 20 small cards came out of a single deck, the running count is +20, but the true count is higher, because you have less than a deck left. I.e. 32/52 of a deck. The true count is +32.5 (20 × 52 ÷ 32 = 32.5). Furthermore, if you remove all the medium cards, 12 total, your running count will still be +20, but the deck will be even smaller, with only 10 thru Ace remaining (20 cards total, or 20/52 of a deck). Thus, your true count is now 20 × 52 ÷ 20, or simply + 52. The math is actually a lot simpler than it first seems.
@@igorgerlovin3185 Interesting. Thanks for your explanation!
After practicing for a week I felt I was ready. I had a few beers before arriving and I lost my account immediately, so leason learned. No drinking and practice a lot more
Haha
Colling, one thing I thought of was that the more low cards that come out the more chance of the dealer bust.
Thanks for the vid, was beginning to think i learned this stuff for nothing.
Lol really? How come?
It works John. Keep working on it!
This is the video ive been looking for
So if the True Count is positive your likely to get high cards and should be betting but if the true count is negative you should be betting less or not at all ?
Correct.
Does card counting still work with eight deck shoes everywhere and if so is it as effective
Yup, you can play any deck game, it just matters what the true count is plus deck penetration on the cut.
@@trevorfye9593 Yeah, but the good counts do not come out as often on 8-deck. It seems like you need a much higher bet spread.
Nice i was wondering why it works
Colin
More big card in shoe box
Card counting value is +10
That mean
Player easy to get JJ ( 20 Point )
But dealer also easy to get JJ ( 20 point )
When dealer get good card
first card is J ( 10 point )
Player get bad card J2 ( hard 12)
Player can surrender ( lose 50% )
But dealer get bad card
First card is 6 ( 6 point )
Player get good card JJ ( 20 Point )
Dealer can not surrender ( lose 50 % )
So player play 2 round surrender 1 round ( play 2 time surrrnder 1 time ) , when dealer get good card J , player get bad card J3 ( hard 13)
What do you think
No. Follow basic strategy, master card counting, learn proper bankroll management, and master the playing deviations.
Colin, could you publish a video concerning SD, DD and how P.E. becomes more important, please? I get the whole thing on 6D the B.E. is more important, but, the smaller the number of decks the more P.E. becomes important. Also, on a shoe game, if there is a deep pen 5D or so + with a 6D shoe , P.E., I believe, would be become more important.
Mondo LeStraka
Don't worry about the little stuff, such as PE. Better to find a good game, where they let you spread, or promos, or great rules.
really love everything ive learned. but im concerned that 1k isnt enough to start playing small tables. also i live in Maryland as active duty military. i dont know what casinos have a table that would end up being profitable in my area. so far ive only been to LIVE! but quickly realized all there low minimum tables use a CSM. so I have only gone there to practice perfect basic strategy. Please, i would love your honest advice.
stay out of casinos period, you can practice basic strategy, card counting and deviations at home for free. while you are doing this, which should take you 200 hours, save up a bankroll. get your game to perfect without stepping foot in a casino, get tested out by a pro, then hit the tables for real but find a good game (no CSMs).
How is it possible to count on tables with continuous shufflers; they are count proof? On tables w/o continuous shuffles, how do you outsmart the eye in the sky?
Continuous shuffle machines are either unbeatable or are beatable but you would make way below minimum wage even with a six figure bankroll. You should be focusing more on playing and betting perfectly than on outsmarting the eyes in the sky because not being caught means nothing if you are playing a losing game. Best advice I could give here is to not make sudden changes in your bets and do not change your bets after draws. If you know playing deviations, you can choose to never split 10s if you like to but note that you are decreasing your own expected value from doing this.
If you know when the dealer has a bigger chance of busting, is making a large side bet (dealer bust) a good idea? Especially since they pay 3 to 1 vs a regular 1 to 1 win in blackjack
Their is one deviation that validates taking insurance, but not for other side bets.
my question is when you are down in count when do you stop playing when you are even down -1 or is there. certain amount down in the count where I should make an excuse to wait for the next shuffle
Obviously if it is negative at all, but all you are going to do is attract attention, which you do not want. I play at a place where I play 2 deck, and there is no midshoe entry. Obviously if I am the only player, I cannot quit, because when I return they will not have shuffled. Again, constantly jumping in and out of a shoe is just another tell that you are counting, and at most places when they realize that, it is just a matter of time before you are out the door.
As I’m devoting some time each day to practicing counting, I’ve started to ask myself: is the count being low really that unfavorable to the point where you lose money? I know you won’t get as many black jacks, but if the true count is say -6 then I’ll have a much better chance of not busting when I hit a 16 or I’ll know that doubling down on a 9 would be a poor decision. I’m still new to this and haven’t done anything outside of practicing at home, so maybe this point of view is just one of ignorance. Thoughts?
I suppose in these scenarios, you'll have to refer back to basic strategy and your deviations when the counts reflect what you describe.
That is kind of a funny question. Obviously if the count is neutral , or even a bit positive you are loosing money, so ........??
Yes, knowing the negative count will help you make better modified strategy decisions, but the more negative it gets, the more you loose.
Joseph Lance
Low counts mean less bj/good doubles, splits! With the double bust advantage of the casino, the player will lose more money in less time. If you don't think you bust much on low counts, then you are in for a surprise.
I have a question for anyone, I live near deadwood so I play there every now and then and have basic strategy down and can keep the count. I like to play a double or single deck game better than a 6 deck shoe. I have a hard time finding ways to not play in negative counts, but a double or single deck game they shuffle often enough where I feel like you don’t have to play in negative counts for a bunch of hands and have a better idea for what’s left in the deck(s). But the casino doesn’t allow you to double on any 2 card total. I know that the game you’re playing is almost as important as counting. So my question is am I giving up too much of an advantage to make a profit by those rules?
Well, first thing I am going to note is that it is most important if blackjack pays 3 to 2. Now, for single deck, you should be playing at least three hands before the shuffle. For double deck, you should be playing at least a little less than one deck. If the games shuffle more often than that, then you should go play somewhere else. Also, you shouldn’t play games in which you are limited in when you can double down, since double downs are important in lowering the house edge and are one of the reasons high cards favor the player.
Thank you, according to the wizard of odds house edge calculator, a double deck where you can double only on 9-11 (and I clicked all the other rules) the house edge is .52%. And a 6 deck with double on any 2 is .57% now this is without counting. So does that make a difference what the house edge is without counting? I’m still new to this so sorry for my ignorance. Blackjack pays 3:2 thats the first thing I always check for haha
colton B97 0.57% is actually a very good edge you can count cards on, as long as the game offers large enough penetration (at least 75% for six deck).
colton B97 Also, the difference in house edge without counting should affect the house edge with counting. If the house edge without counting is more than 1%, it is much harder to get over it.
Gary Lu Productions
First thing, .-57 in not an advantage or edge.
Also unless you don't have basic strats AND index plays completely memorized don't even bother putting any money down on any blackjack table. Practice first. I personally use the video blackjack tables that cost like $1 per hand if I can find them. Again, it's good cover. Shows the house that you don't just back count and play blackjack.
When you get to a level to where you know exactly what you are doing as an AP, cover becomes a major concern.
Actually, in practice, there is little possibility for "cover". For card counting to work, you need to make major gyrations in bet amount. That is a MAJOR tell, and if you are not very quickly caught, someone is seriously sleeping on the job.
ronald dump
Most casinos know what you are doing in minutes, so the plan is not to fool them, it's to find a casino that allows you to play. Ronald is right, you are not fooling anyone, maybe just yourself.
Great video! Does card counting only work in a western country? The blackjack here in Macau seemed to have an automatic shuffle machine. I tried to count but is weird that it can hit the same card, for example, Diamond 3 can appear at the desk 2 times. it looks random and I am confused.
Is it a continuous shuffle machine where the dealer deals out of the shuffling machine and replaces them often, or is it a auto shuffler used when the decks are all finished?
It won't work in Macau with those CSM's. Sory.
@@Blackjackapprenticeship Good to know! Thank!
K NICK
The edge in Macau is very low vs the player, in the csm games. Here's what to do, you need to play basic, get the casino to give you some kind of rebate that overcomes your disadvantage. House edge-Macau is about .09, that's how to beat the game.
@@ionalien For CSM learn TARGET & TARGET plus by Jerry Patterson. Also read his book "Break The Dealer" by Jerry Patterson available on Amazon. "New Blackjack", "World Class Blackjack" & "Zero Proximity Betting" by professor Ellis Clifton Davies will help you for CSM games. Professor Ellis Clifton Davies work is well summarized by Ron DiBennedito in his book "Precision Blackjack". UCP (Ultimate Confirmation Process) by John Taoromino will also assist to enter and to decide to leave the table. My blackjack website is www.blackjacksa.com
congratz for you 30,000 subs my friend, u deserve it more than anyone else. Why not make a casino video ? And if not in a real one, why not one day organize a fake casino home between all card counters and record the plays so we get more action.
Thanks man! I might try to get more casino action at some point, but I do videos around my schedule and lifestyle... it is a lifestyle business for me. 😉 It's easier to just record them at my place than the complication of undercover cameras, etc. But I might try sometime to do the casino thing for y'all!
Blackjack Apprenticeship if Colin does an undercover video.. holy s*** that would be epic!!
He already did one. But maybe a current one with different angles would be awesome!
Can you make a video about the most important and most profitable playing diviations? You have a video about the best 2, but what are the others from most profitable to less profitable? :)
Well, I really recommend learning the top 20/21 that we teach. You can find them in our iOS app or in our Membership area.
What would your reaction be if a pit boss whispered in a dealers ear and from that point on the dealer cut the shoe in the middle so you could only play half a shoe or less?
Yep, that's called "half-shoing". It happens. Gotta move on, or come back on a different shift, avoiding that pit boss and dealer.
what is the lowest sum of money that i can start with? i don't have hundreds of ks, will a few thousand $ make do?
With a good enough game and proper bankroll management, it's definitely feasible with a few grand. Perfect skills are essential, though as far as a bankroll, the more the better.
Does not matter how perfect your skill is, you will often drop way more than $2000 over a downward trend. Have historically done it many, many times, and I don't consider myself a big player. ($10 -$15 base bets and rarely $300 at highest counts). I would put my money in the bank and find other, more worthy hobbies while my bank account increases to a realistic level.
Last spring in 3 consecutive sessions I lost 6000, wiping out a large percentage of my winnings for the previous 8 mo.. It is somewhat unlikely, but you can do that right off the get-go.
Unfortunately there is nothing odd about dropping $2000, even at the low levels I play.
The fact is, typically you will be very quickly barred anyway, so the question is somewhat moot. In 2004 began to count cards and was barred at all the casinos near me within 2 years.. Started playing poker because of that. 16 months ago began to play 2 deck BJ at a indian casino where I live now, expecting that tap on the shoulder. It has not come, I am mystified as to why. To date have profited $19,000 + for 143 ave 6hr visits. Admittedly that is only 140/visit -- possibly to be considered pennyante........... At other casinos, have known people to get barred on the first visit, in 2 hours, and the latest one could not have been on any cardcounter security website.........
But to recap: would have never considered this if i just had $2000
Interesting comments, thanks.
@@ronalddump4061 im curious where this casino is? It sounds like an Indian casino near me where no one ever gets backed off
If you really never get barred there, you should be taking advantage. Do they have 2 deck? Do you even count cards? No, obviously I cannot name this casino
hi colin i am a new card counter I am wonder that can track ace help me to increase player avdantage？and if could how can it incrase player advantage
Yes, if you can ace sequence, it's very valuable. But it takes many hours to master and will cost you a lot of money if you aren't very good at it.
roger luo
Track aces or seq aces? They are two different things. Aces seq is the most powerful, tracking aces is good, but not great. If you can seq aces, then you are way (WAY)better off doing that, and forget about the counting.
As an AP since mid 2017, I can say that APs look for two things when the count is high: Blackjacks and hands that double (9 against 2-6, 10 against anything except an ace, 11 against everything, assuming the count is 3 or better). If the count is a true 3 of better (in a six deck shoe), the chances of you getting one of those hands is pretty high, about 50-60% from what I've experienced. Probably even more in double deck. THAT is where the money is made. NOT from good streaks which is what everyone else thinks. This is why any AP who has losing streaks should "act" salty and "agonize" about hitting stiff hands. It's good cover. It'll fool most pit bosses.
Although if your discipline is good enough and your money management is ridiculous, you can kind of get away with just playing basic strategy, but you'll wind up losing in the long run anyways. I tried that too, just walk onto a table with $300 (20 units at $15 per unit), leave if I lose twice in a row, But that isn't as reliable as being an AP. APs focus on the long game. If you back count and only play when the count is +3 or better for a year straight, what do you think's gonna happen?
But what about if there's not left many Aces
Then the count would be negative and you should be betting less (if at all)!
@@Blackjackapprenticeship
But it can be positive and high too without Aces
Francky
Then you would bet big, in the simple plus/minus count, you would not know there was a shortage of aces, just your count would be positive. You can still take advantage of situations such as insurance, pair splits and doubles, the insurance would happen less, since we have less aces as in your comments.
+Franky: You are neglecting to realize that player BJs are not the only reason card counting works.
You could have EVERY ace gone out of the deck and still have sufficient count to make raising your bet attractive. It would just be somewhat less likely.
@@37rainman yes but also remember that not always is the same bet since the bets are swings
Hi Colin, great video, do think eventually most casinos will switch to CSM’s?
Brad Shores they will lose business on the higher end tables. Lower end tables they will though
Who knows. But it hasn't happened yet! Those things have been around for over 15 years, but they haven't taken over the US.
I'm kind of expecting it, especially at $10 and $15 minimum tables. $25 and up though, and nothing will change.
They ARE probably going to get rid of double deck and the chances of them getting rid of 3:2 games is pretty good tho. I'm legit expecting that going into the 2020s.
Great explanation
Thanks!
@@Blackjackapprenticeship Mr Jones,even if the count is high if the high cards goes to the dealer you still lose
the dealer will bust less the higher the count is on average
Colin, did you and Ben parted ways? Didn't see him in videos in a while :(
Yeah, he moved on a couple years ago.
I understand how you count cards, but i don't understand the advantage
Thanks
Hey Colin, appreciate the videos and knowledge! I was wondering, at what true count does a card counter have the mathematically best odds to play 2 hands instead of just 1 hand? My rule of thumb is to play two hands when the true count is at a +4 or better either at a 6D or 2D. And I’ll play two hands at a +3 true count for Single Deck. What are your thoughts on this?
Not Colin, but if I had a massive bankroll and the count was true 3 or better, I'd open two more hands. But that's only if I'm playing heads up, which is virtually impossible if back counting.
Anyone who is even thinking of playing heads up should have a bankroll of at least $10000.
What is 6D 2D
@@boonyewlee1065 6D = Blackjack is played with six decks, also known as a shoe. 2D = Blackjack being played with two decks of cards.
You said
Play 2 hand better than play 1 hand
Why
+boon: The only mathematical reason to play two hands is if you desire to bet more than the table limit. Otherwise, there is no mathematical advantage to playing two hands. The hocus pocus crowd believes otherwise, I realize, and there are more that a few card counters who are somewhat hocus.
Like every other video about this subject, it literally does not explain anything. I have yet to find anyone that can prove card counting is a real thing. All people who talk about this do, is come up with arbitrary numbers and never provide any instructions in how to apply anything about this, to the game.
I love how it made 0 sense to me until I found out about how the game actually works hahah
All fine and dandy, however can we see this in action? Post a video tutorial.
this is more or less card counting "in action." it's challenging to film inside casinos if that's what you are wanting to see. My best recommendation would be to watch Holy Rollers, a documentary about the blackjack team that Colin ran. This is card counting in action.
I looked up the boot camp, 2 grand, sheesh
Yeah, it's expensive, but you can read our survey results... it's well worth it if you're serious about blackjack: www.blackjackapprenticeship.com/blackjack-bootcamp-feedback/
Colin you are going to make people lose their shirt. Lots of people have lost counting cards and not everyone is blessed to have large bankroll to risk losing
Colin started with $2,000. You don't need a large bankroll to start. But you are correct, you need a perfect game and perfect understanding of risk. Fortunately these are things Colin preaches all the time.
I was laughing at the video because I was saying to myself:
I WISH that I traded blackjacks at high counts with the dealer like that!!
But of course it doesn't actually happen like that so I think it would help for people to look at it by percent advantages.
If you are at a 1% advantage (+3 True) then for every 100 hands you play at that advantage you expect to win 1 hand more than the dealer. That's 1%. Now of course that theoretical 1 hand could be a BJ or a split double down, so you may make a lot more off that hand.
At 2% you expect to win 2 more hands than the dealer for every 100 hands played.
Of course variance means you'll have situations where you absolutely demolish the house with win streaks at high counts. It also means you'll be demolished by the house as well, but the long math works out. 20 hands out of 1000, 200 hands out of 10k hands, etc.
Experience tells us that these "high edges" don't come around often and so it is very important to bet properly because these wins are offsetting the loses experienced at non-advantaged scenarios which dominate the time spent at the table (and why you should exit these negative expectation scenarios ASAP)
Is that guy Ben alive, or did you kill him, and take his bussines? I hope he is ok, damn, don't kill people for some stupid cards man,ok ? :)
Lol. He retired a few years ago.
@@Blackjackapprenticeship I know, and i know it's old movie, just a joke, is he ok?
Then they bust your face in the Ally out back...
Not true. th-cam.com/video/xjUX_r_fOgI/w-d-xo.html&lc=UgyEioWxxAZwocjL_IZ4AaABAg