[Monday] Milton Becomes a Cat 5 Hurricane; Major Impacts to Florida Expected Wednesday & Thursday
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 6 ต.ค. 2024
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Please note that these posts do NOT necessarily reflect the official forecasts of the National Hurricane Center (NHC), and should not be interpreted as such. While tropical storms exist in the Atlantic, official NHC information is available at www.hurricanes.gov. Please refer to the NHC when making decisions, and heed the advisories and evacuation statements of your local National Weather Service Office and emergency management officials.
Dr. Levi Cowan creates videos and blogs pertaining to tropical cyclones, primarily hurricanes in the Atlantic Ocean. Posts occasionally concern other, non-tropical weather events around the world. Dr. Cowan has a Ph.D. in meteorology from Florida State University.
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Only hurricane channel I subscribe to. Data, data, data and not clickbait tiles or sensational speculation
Exactly! The clickbait videos have intense music or the person is literally yelling at me.
Exactly right. I appreciate his detailed analysis
You mean you don't like seeing the words "CAT 5" against a red background?!?!
This channel and HurricaneTrack via Mark Sudduth are the only two I trust. +reeds analysis.
100%
Best tropical weather updater and educator on the internet. Always learn something.
Bless you Dr. Cowan. Praying for all in the path.
I learn new things every time I listen to you. A heartfelt thanks for all you do to keep us informed.
I hope people pay attention and just leave. Come back afterwards and deal with the damage but at least you are alive. This is going to be bad no matter where it makes landfall. Thanks as always for your expertise and time and showing that you care for others in that you do this as well as hold down a fulltime job. You are a special person Dr. Cowan! Thank you so much!
I'd love to. Can't afford to.
Anything Cat 3 or higher, and I'm bouncing. I've sat through Cat 5 before and will never do it again.
Scary part is this:
1) The shear is parallel to Miltons track, which may also help with outflow
2) Increased forward speed of the storm may be too short of a time to weaken it significantly
3) Surge will still be catastrophic if it weakens
4) If it keeps intensifying further, it will take a lot to weaken it to a "less impactful" storm
5) It still has to go over the loop current, where shear may not be enough to weaken it
Also, I'm glad you mentioned the possibility of a sting jet. They're fairly common in extratropical cyclones, which we get a lot of here over in Europe, and they're are always very destructive. I never figured them to be a hazard during tropical systems. Watch for it, and dont get caught off guard
Dudes need to get out of there, if interstates 75,4,and 95 are hit South Florida will have no food.
There will be looting and packs of wild dogs everywhere in Florida.
Eh 8ts about the energy hitting it in the right spit can make it collapse very fast but that's the problem the collapse will expand it our right before it hits meaning significant impacts in a broader area and it'll happen "fast"
@@fasddfadfgasdgs Yeah there really is no "good case" for this, unless it for some reason crashes into Mexico, which I dont see happening. Its now 175 mph with 911 mb pressure
diff models are predicting it will land from a Cat 2 all the way to a 5.
@@sp4604 Cat 2 is wishful dreaming. The storm surge will be strong Cat 4 level even if wind shear cuts down the rotation speed before landfall.
Levi. I have watched you for years. We appreciate you. My granddaughter lives in Ft Myers and won’t evacuate. I’m praying for her and all those who do not understand the dangers!
Levi is the Tropical Weather Goat. He created @tropicaltidbits , as an open source tool for Meteorologists and Public Weather Enthusiasts. Dr. Levi Cowan is a National Treasure.
Not a storm t o mess with. It could stall off West Coast causing sustained winds for3+ hrs. Leave Now on West Coast
Do you think this will be worse than Ian? Ian was a CAT 4 that was almost a direct hit on Ft Myers - did she ride out that one OK?
Wishing the best
@SaleenJ Ian was a CAT 5 when it came ashore. People impacted are still rebuilding, and there are still blue tarped roofs from Ian. 😥
The most accurate weather report you will find. It is detailed, technical and terrifying (sometimes).
Keep up the good work and thank you!!!
914.4 mb just after the video posted. I don't even have any words left to say how fast it deepened
They have the pedal to the metal on this one now. How low could it go? 895mb perhaps? We might know before the end of this day. This is truly unreal to watch unfold in real time.
@@markspannRemember what happened with Wilma 19 years ago? Same thing, except Wind Shear is Very weak and the Storm is moving very hastily for it to weaken significantly.
@@plawson8577 Yes, I remember Wilma. I flew into Miami just 3 weeks after hurricane Andrew (cat5 920mb) and back then I wasn't educated or informed about how these tropical storms operate. I am now. Anyways on approach for landing I saw 25 to 30 miles inland the sheer devastation of mangled trees and debris. It was true devastation.
Holy 💩! Yikes!
Good news is that its no where as strong as some of the other storms on other planets
The sting jet explanation was great! Hands down the best weather updates channel!!
This video is the first time I've ever heard of a sting jet. Interesting phenomenon.
Levi I think all the weather anchors follow your train of thought during catastrophic storms like this. You are the best.
Milton looks like it’s going to make a run at the lowest pressure ever in the Atlantic basin. These small storms are so efficient at strengthening
This is Patricia all over again, just a bit weaker.
The cloud tops were at -90C last night with the temperatures dropping. Like -130F... They were at -30c when it was a tropical storm. This has an amazing heat engine and the energy processed can be measured in nuclear detonations, megatons, per hour.
It’s now at 175 mph winds & 911 mb pressure
There he is! Thank you!
Levi THANK YOU for all you for those of us that live in the tropics zone.
Thanks Dr Levi! All the best to you and your family and all the best to those in the path of this monster.
Never clicked on a video so fast.
I've been refreshing all morning, caught it after it had been up only 3min, lolol
Me too!! Been waiting ❤
clicked faster than this storm intensified
@@salakastostop lying. Nothing is that fast.
same ha
Wow, that is impressive intensification from the storm. Can't think of another time a storm got this powerful this fast.
Patricia did TA to 200MPH Cat 5 in 24 hours. I think Milton is the #2 spot.
Thanks. Wish us all luck
Babe hurry, Levi just dropped
That is some incredible rapid intensification!
The cloud tops are in exceptionally cold air with no upper level winds to shear them off. This is gaining height and the tops are getting colder and colder. The tops of the clouds were at -30C when it was a tropical storm two nights ago. Last night the cloud top was tens of thousands of feet higher, and the temperature was -90C... It's -93C as I type.
@@rtqiiAre you a meteorologist?
Thank you Levi. Fantastic information available right here.
Since finding this channel during the last Hurricane I'm eagerly waiting for you to drop a video!
I've been following him from the 'not a met' days. He's awesome. All facts, no hype. If he says it'll be bad, run.
Glad that we found TT about 6 or 7 years ago
💯👏
Thanks for the hard work from a central Florida resident
Might be tough if 75/4/95 are shutdown, people south will have no food.
The rubble will be full of snakes and packs of wild dogs.
I am very sad and scared for the people and their homes and businesses, the animals and their homes, the plants and trees and the entire area where this is heading. 🖤
Thank you Dr. Cowan!
Thanks Dr Levi. Bugging out today. Appreciate you, Doc. 👍🏽
Smart, get out of there.
Stay safe!
Very wise..
You always hv a very good presentation and cadence. Thanks very much. Prayers for all concerned. 🙏🌷✌️
11:39 a STING JET?! On a tropical cyclone?! That can't happen too often; hope it doesn't 🤞Good luck, everybody.
Good Lord……😱😱😱
Really grateful for your videos. Calm level headed reporting. Thank you.
As always, I am in Tampa...and holy moly this is scary.
Get out of there!
Get out!!!!
Come inland dude....please. 🙏🏻
There is no reason in the world to stay in Tampa/St Pete for this one. Not one. Unless you enjoy 6 hours of struggling to survive.
@@SpecOpsCM Get out where? I live in Ruskin/Sun City. the I75 was already congested in Ruskin. So imaging close to Tampa and I4. Where to go? Orlando? No matter where we go, we will be hit hard. There is no escape.
Keep it up. Your forecasting is brilliant. You were spot on with Beryl.
You’re the only one we watch ! The BEST! Please bring them more regularly as we prepare here in srq!!!!!
Thanks Levi. Family in Tampa are evacuating!
Excellent information! Thank you for this update.
Crazy how fast this thing went through the stafford-simpson scale. As always, appreciate your no nonsense, non-sensational work.
Levi, you're a saint. The fact you've been providing this insightful analysis for so, so long now is incredible. I always hate when your videos come up (you know, Hurricane season) but I always instantly click them. Thanks for all you continue to do!
my prayers go out to everyone in the storms path, including myself. Pray that the storm weakens.
I'm a native of Pinellas county and I've never seen anything like this in my 54 years. Tampa Bay area will never be the same if this hits like this
That's the goal.
And it will take years to recover from it.
Glad to find your channel. Appreciate your insightful analysis.
Many thx from Melbourne!
No sooner than you post the video, and the max winds and central pressure were already wildly obsolete... This storm is a beast!
This is getting scary!
Every time I watch I learn something new
Thank you!!!
Way better than the Weather Channel.
Appreciate it.
You always do a superior job. Thank you!
Thanks Dr Cowen. ❤
As is always the case, excellent job Dr Cowan! The best place for tropical weather information.
I live in middle Georgia and today, I was just able to get internet service because of Helene. Power was out for just over 89 hours and our town is a mess. When the storm hit at 1:27am Friday, I was awaken by things hitting the house. I went out to the carport and for the first time in my life (63 yrs) I heard what people say when they claim the wind sounds like a train. It really is a scary sound. For the people in middle Florida, get ready (I MEAN GET READY!!!). Like I said, I live in the middle of Georgia and our local airport clocked winds at 116 mph. The rain amount for the storm was 3.6in, so flooding wasn't bad, but damn those winds. We have live oaks and it pushed these 200+ year old trees over like toothpicks. Hang in there Florida. I'll be thinking about you guys.
Thank you for this update! Much appreciated here in Ponte Vedra FL
Take care everyone 🙏
Thank you Levi. Greatly appreciated
Wow recon pass indicated a pressure of 912 MB's.
😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱😱
911 at the 2pm advisory 😳
Thank you as always, Levi, for your awesome and thorough (and thoughtful) posts!
My friends live in Naples. I pray for their safety, and everyone in the pathway.
Thanks for doing this, Doc!
Thanks from Clearwater. As usual, you're the best! And, yes, I learned something else with this one!
People of Florida, I am so so sorry. I cannot imagine. ❤❤❤
Your words mean nothing
Oh dang. The intensity!
This is fantastic context, thanks for all you do
Levi never disappoints, another excellent and stellar video. Thank you muchly.
Thanks Levi. This thing is crazy.
latest scan by the plane was 150 knots and about 915mb
Crazy how these storms are behaving.
Climate change isn't all about polar bears, politicians, and something to deal with later
Levi, thank you - we so appreciate your synthesis of the data available 🌀
Thanks for your calm, informative reporting. We appreciate it. This is a fine example of why we need NOAA
Thank you once again for some sanity with your explanations, please everyone be safe out there
I'm in tampa, and this one helped the most, thanks.
Milton gives the same aura as Maria did back in 2017. Once they spun up they both put the gas pedal through the floorboards. Praying for all those in and near its path. Stay safe everyone. 🙏
Levi always makes everything sound a okay
Doc Levi Cowan is a genuine National Treasure. The command of knowledge and communication skills this man has of all things tropical weather, is an awesome and beautiful thing to behold. If Doc were teaching even an introductory 101 meteorology course, one could have a PhD level of comprehension of tropical storm systems before end of semester. Wish I could sign up for that course !!
😮😮😮 Sand bags are good for about 15 inches of standing water, not so much with regards to a possible 35 foot storm surge.😮😮😮
I'm working at a high priority gas station just off i75 on the evacuation route. Glad to see people heeding the notices, but running the store has been a nightmare. Out of propane, out of premium, low on regular, lines to get in backing up multiple traffic lights off the arterial road.
And I had to refund someone for their matcha latte because they said it tasted bad.
Thanks Sir for the Update 👍👍🇺🇸
Thanks!
the BEST is levi!!!
Wowww its at 175mph now!!
I know it's bad for a lot of people, but that is a beautifully formed cat 5 right now.
HWRF 12z run showing 180kt wind at 15 hours
And about an hour later it’s at 175 mph!!
Thank you so much
He said it’s the STRONGEST STORM YOU WILL EVER SEE IN THIS GULF AREA but IF Global warming gets worse I would guess the storm STRENGTH COULD ALSO GET WORSE as water & Earth get even warmer…NO?
Ionospheric heaters.
Levi
Thank you so much
I trust you more than the weather stations
I am scared of this one
Praying for all of us
God bless you and your family Levi
Thanks for the info .
Thanks so.much Dr Cowan! Appreciate all your insight.
Great great stuff Levi you do this better than anyone in the world
Thanks Levi! Always look forward to these
favorite storm channel... thank you from cozumel. quite nervous. am a block from the ocean, the side it is coming in on. a very rare side.
Thank you
This is the big one !
This is nuts!
I know others have said it but I just need to make sure you know how much your channel is appreciated. Thank you so much for all you do, as I am writing this comment the pressure has dropped to 905mb and I don't recall a storm being this low, anyone know the last storm with such low pressure?
THE best. TYVM
Merci Levi. It might be interesting to have an historic about Gulf hurricanes.
We cant keep taking these storms. The state is in shambles already especially the coast.
Hurricane Arthur (as a post-tropical storm) in 2014 mowed down a section of middle New Brunswick from a sting jet. Went to bed expecting TS gusts, woke up with trees down everywhere.
175 mph now and 910-911mb crazy
I really appreciate your worka nd presentation. Thank you.
I love this channel. Thank you bro. From Brevard county
Thanks Levi!💜🌀👀
My ppl are getting their butts handed to them🙏