What’s Next For the U.S. Economy: Robert Shiller

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 12 ก.ค. 2020
  • Noble Prize-winning economist Robert Shiller says urban home prices could decline as the coronavirus pandemic upends the workforce. He thinks the benefits of city living, such as restaurants, museums or theater shows, have been put into question during the coronavirus pandemic. Shiller is hopeful that inequality will get better in the short run and thinks the emerging "wartime spirit," like the one from the 1930s, could lead to positive changes for Americans. He also offers suggestions on how students and workers should prepare for jobs in an uncertain future.
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    What’s Next For the U.S. Economy: Robert Shiller

ความคิดเห็น • 461

  • @CNBC
    @CNBC  4 ปีที่แล้ว +39

    Do you agree with Robert Shiller? Is there someone else you’d like us to interview for What’s Next? Subscribe to CNBC and let us know what you think in the comments below.

    • @Lifeissorich.
      @Lifeissorich. 4 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      Jeremy Siegel, Burton Makiel, & Eugene Fama are some good choices.

    • @Lifeissorich.
      @Lifeissorich. 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Campbell Harvey from Duke University and Joe Davis of Vanguard is also some good guests.

    • @cascaderetriever7618
      @cascaderetriever7618 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Fred Hickey please

    • @abcdefgh-rq3gq
      @abcdefgh-rq3gq 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      Talk to Elon and ask him about future cities?

    • @Randafari
      @Randafari 4 ปีที่แล้ว +5

      Richard Wolff

  • @sontieu
    @sontieu 4 ปีที่แล้ว +223

    CNBC: There's lot of uncertainty right now so we brought on an expert economist to inform us
    Shiller: no idea never seen this before

    • @SR-hl5vz
      @SR-hl5vz 4 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      Haha so true

    • @mos5139
      @mos5139 4 ปีที่แล้ว +20

      At least he said the truth

    • @iironhide6209
      @iironhide6209 4 ปีที่แล้ว +15

      Took his Coursera class. Love him

    • @toms8483
      @toms8483 4 ปีที่แล้ว +18

      I like the way he put forth valid arguments without thinking he is smart enough to make conclusions.

    • @liolio4198
      @liolio4198 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      He is just guessing, Wall Street always win dow going to 40000 next years mark my word

  • @bshreejan
    @bshreejan 4 ปีที่แล้ว +143

    I guess the only answer right now is 'uncertainty'.

    • @ethanmuhammad1237
      @ethanmuhammad1237 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      I am a beginner trader in the forex and Crypto world and I really want to go deep into it, I lost a lot of money trading on my first attempted trade, Can anyone tell me what I possibly did wrong

    • @lesmedulistes4422
      @lesmedulistes4422 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      You should try to study forex and it's market.playing with a demo account is a good start

    • @anastasiayevgeniy2952
      @anastasiayevgeniy2952 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      Wow am surprised you know expert Bryan, he's obviously the best.I Invested $3,000 and he made me profit of 11,230 within 14days

    • @anastasiayevgeniy2952
      @anastasiayevgeniy2952 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      He is a trustworthy and reliable broker
      He has really changed my Financial status for the best, thanks to my aunty who introduced him to me

    • @nastehonourdjama1620
      @nastehonourdjama1620 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      Am not here to Converse for him but to testify just what I'm sure he is trust worthy and best option ever seen

  • @NikolaiAsdventure
    @NikolaiAsdventure 4 ปีที่แล้ว +60

    I'm certain that uncertainty is the only thing we're certain about.

    • @26herbs47
      @26herbs47 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      So, you're uncertain?

    • @farhanyousaf5616
      @farhanyousaf5616 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@26herbs47 Yes, but we know the knowns, but not the unknown knowns... Or something like that.

    • @robertpoen5383
      @robertpoen5383 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Socrates said pretty much the same thing, about 390 BCE.

    • @26herbs47
      @26herbs47 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      @MrBigEnchilada Then, How did Donald Rumsfield Know?

  • @Nick_song
    @Nick_song 4 ปีที่แล้ว +107

    Yoooooo this man taught me Financial Markets at Yale such a good prof

    • @yeahyeah9856
      @yeahyeah9856 4 ปีที่แล้ว +6

      Liked his course as well, but I think his politics is wack

    • @DewTime
      @DewTime 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      Yeah Yeah what’s his politics? Probably liberal I’m guessing

    • @yeahyeah9856
      @yeahyeah9856 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@DewTime Specifically Keynesian Liberal

    • @nariman302
      @nariman302 4 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      @@yeahyeah9856 Isn't this way of thinking the main thing that caused the market not to crash hard?

    • @yeahyeah9856
      @yeahyeah9856 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@nariman302 That is one interpretation of economic history, however, a rather weak one I'd argue. Cheap government credit is what caused boom and bust in the first place. When you disrupt the saving market of the economy and experience large scale adjustment, you cannot blame that on the market.

  • @ivansoshnikov2765
    @ivansoshnikov2765 4 ปีที่แล้ว +11

    Finally a good interview with him where the reporter actually lets him speak and doesn’t interrupt him

  • @ShaudaySmith
    @ShaudaySmith 4 ปีที่แล้ว +48

    Working from home is the shiniest silver lining this wretched pandemic has given me. I still hate that it took a pandemic for my boss to let us do it in the first place...

    • @strictnonconformist7369
      @strictnonconformist7369 4 ปีที่แล้ว +4

      trufiend138 When you work from home, you don’t need to worry about either taking a lunch (possibly microwave, or it’s eaten cold) or the work cafeteria (if you have one) and their limited choices, or dealing with restaurants and the lunch rush: if you can prepare it, you can have it, and it can be CHEAP for ingredients quite often. Or, you can choose better quality ingredients to your heart’s content, up to you!
      This was involve cooking and cleaning, of course, but depending on the nature of the work and the food, that can be done with no notable time used. Depending on your WFH schedule, if you do it right and have meetings, meetings are great times for eatings, just put yourself on mute!
      Ok, so you need to potentially spend more at the grocery store in time and money, and more cleaning is required. Such is life! Besides potentially saving time, you may be able to save quite a bit of money. I’d usually spend on average about $10/day at the cafeteria: I can eat a lot of good stuff for less by shopping and cooking.

    • @powerstuffup
      @powerstuffup 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      What type a job are you doing per say?

    • @ShaudaySmith
      @ShaudaySmith 4 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      @@strictnonconformist7369 "meetings are great times for eatings" this is the best line and it is my new mantra.

    • @edrader
      @edrader 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      yeah makes it easier to can you

    • @ShaudaySmith
      @ShaudaySmith 4 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      @Josh true, a lot of people need the workplace structure and distance away from home to focus. My coworker does not like working from home because his family is a constant distraction.

  • @jennydkwong
    @jennydkwong 4 ปีที่แล้ว +11

    I love working from home, it's like a vacation. You can work from home while doing this: being out in backyard patios, laying on deck get sunlight, sit near a small garden, swimming/ putting legs in the pool or I can sit in kitchen having my feet massage & drinking coffee/tea, sitting in family room or just sitting on bed. You can do all these while working as long as the house is quiet & no one bother you can do a job too. Saving commute time, having more time for family & cooking. It is one of the positive about pandemic ( I'm sorry to the people who have negative effects from this pandemic, I hope you're well, safe, happy & overcome all obstacles 🙏)

    • @dragonore2009
      @dragonore2009 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      I too am working from home as a software developer, it's definitely different then the office I'm use to going too. I'm a bit worried about the commercial real estate market of all these office spaces that aren't used due to folks like us working from home.

    • @jennydkwong
      @jennydkwong 4 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      @@dragonore2009 yeahh I think commercial real estates going to have a hard time renting out their spaces after this. Lots of restaurants running out of business & lots of folks like us don't need to go into office. Working from home is like one of the best thing in life. Love it💋💋💋 you have more time for everything including working out, cooking healthy food, enjoy for home, spending time with family. Kakakaka taking a short nap too🙈

    • @jennydkwong
      @jennydkwong 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@dragonore2009 do you prefer working from home or commute to office everyday?

    • @dragonore2009
      @dragonore2009 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@jennydkwong I kind of miss the office. I like when I can go to someone when I need help with something and they to me if they need help with something. Sure we can do virtual meetings, but it isn't the same as the actual human being being there.
      A part of me does like working from home as well, because I can go for walks whenever and also I can view some of my favorite music and podcast from my personal computer while working on the company laptop.
      I'm kind of hoping whenever things get back to normal, we will do a hybrid type of system, where part of the week we can opt to work from home or at the office.

    • @nancyrobles1005
      @nancyrobles1005 4 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      You are right ! I use to work outside in the world ! People are bad and selfish ! they pay you peanuts ! It was not a joy😑

  • @angellacanfora
    @angellacanfora 4 ปีที่แล้ว +11

    It absolutely feels like we're living through a war, battling an unseen enemy that quietly, randomly picks us off. Like a slow moving tragedy.

  • @AwesomeSauce7176
    @AwesomeSauce7176 4 ปีที่แล้ว +26

    I'm going to watch this video, but I'm going to watch it from the perspective of "this is what CNBC wants me to think about the economy."

  • @nancyrobles1005
    @nancyrobles1005 4 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    This man was perhaps the only person who gave America some comfort ! He didn't try frill' the people with half baked' nonsense ! 😑

  • @mk1st
    @mk1st 4 ปีที่แล้ว +7

    Inequality? Change the tax code to make it an increasing tax BENEFIT the more a company pays its workers. Pay more across the board, get a lower tax rate.

  • @ncprealty3844
    @ncprealty3844 4 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Nice interview, intelligent thoughtful gentlemen, not politically driven, sensible, realistic. Very rare among professors. Let’s hear more from this good man.

  • @tpfrk8977
    @tpfrk8977 4 ปีที่แล้ว +12

    I live in the city.. and for right now the allure of it has been tarnished.. Paying high prices for what?? Everything is shut down

    • @tpfrk8977
      @tpfrk8977 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      keecefly I was referring to housing costs for renters and people looking to purchase homes in these areas. Not so much for goods and services. In fact, I haven’t really seen increases in these areas. Lower housing costs will come.. there will be a foreclosure wave, but it’s going to take some time.

    • @jaycool9480
      @jaycool9480 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @keecefly things wont go back to normal. Especially in years to come. But man had a point. Why ppl paying high rent prices? Besides supply and demand, its extremely overvalued and all entertainment and bars are shut down. Broadway is shut down til next year, movie theaters, mall, etc shut down. At least NY lost its entertainment appeal and you gotta go to jersey to have some sort of appeal.

    • @user-cg9ry5id5v
      @user-cg9ry5id5v 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Same. It’s also making me home sick to go to the small city most of my family lives in. The value of living in the city doesn’t seem worth it right now.

  • @quiet4979
    @quiet4979 4 ปีที่แล้ว +9

    We need office spaces that are big and well ventilated - honestly life in USA is already very lonely and secluded - if the next life is at home before screens - it would only raise more mental health issues!!!

  • @infini.tesimo
    @infini.tesimo 4 ปีที่แล้ว +20

    He's right about 1 thing, the idea of constantly living at home working without ever coming into an "office" for the sake of training and important meetings. People do want flexibility to choose to work wherever they want meaning that the future will include offices reduced to co-working spaces for rent as needed time slots because they're expensive and because of the health concerns right now. It's a win win win situation for all. The rental space won't go under, just less volume, people can work when and how they want to because the #1 investment in a business is an employee, and it reduces cost of time/money/efforts on everyone's behalf by having a big office like they used to.

    • @absolutetruth568
      @absolutetruth568 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Hardcore Absolute Fact: Americans will NEED the US Economy when there are livable wages of $24/Hour and up for all Americans ! Until then: RIP Crony Capitalism ( Communist) Rigged Economy ( that only benefits the rich and destroys everyone else )!
      Hardcore Absolute Fact: 47 million Americans unemployed and soon 55 million Americans will be unemployed before elections! Nothing has slowed down except the rate of Americans getting onto unemployment benefits system! Capitalism ( communism in disguise ) is dying! It is no longer working for 80%+ of Americans!!!

    • @Aiyahhh
      @Aiyahhh 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@absolutetruth568 Capitalism is based on the strong getting stronger, free market systems favor the strong and survival of the fittest. You want communism if you want what will favor the 80%

    • @zsam8095
      @zsam8095 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      Only problem with working from home is that bosses love to micromanage employees

    • @infini.tesimo
      @infini.tesimo 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@zsam8095 they do but they don't have a choice but to see how it actually works in their favor because of the whole COVID thing. They'd be a fool to not recognize the improved efficiency, cost-saving, and morale-boosting effects from this environment.

    • @paulsz6194
      @paulsz6194 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      So the We Work concept just might “work” , but at away smaller scale. Also, such rental offices would need to be cleaned once the initial group of employees leave, in order to to provide a safe workplace for the next incoming group.

  • @benjaminduval6054
    @benjaminduval6054 4 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    Great interview. Refreshing to see news that doesn’t revolve around insults.

  • @ChristianKoehler77
    @ChristianKoehler77 4 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    In Berlin we had just 18 new infections yesterday (July, 13 th 20) and a single person died because of that virus. In a city of 3.8M. For comparison: About 100 people die in Berlin for reasons not related to that virus every day.
    You have to wear masks on public transport and in shops (but not when walking/ running outside). You have to distance from strangers. Other than that, life seems almost 'normal':
    Shops & malls are open, you can go to cinemas, gyms, bars, museums, restaurants and do many other activities. You can meet friends, almost everyone can work as usual.
    The virus is not the end of urban life.
    If Americans think so, it is because they have wanted that suburban and car dependent lifestyle and those single family houses with huge yards anyway and have just found another reason to justify that.
    I don't think cities like NYC will die. There will be people leaving, but others will take chance.

  • @lppoqql
    @lppoqql 4 ปีที่แล้ว +7

    Hey, we should look at the biggest real estate bubble in the WEST right now. Toronto, where the median income is 40k and the median house is over 1 million. Thumbs up this comment to have professor Schiller predict when this bubble will pop!

    • @absolutetruth568
      @absolutetruth568 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Hardcore Absolute Fact: Americans will NEED the US Economy when there are livable wages of $24/Hour and up for all Americans ! Until then: RIP Crony Capitalism ( Communist) Rigged Economy ( that only benefits the rich and destroys everyone else )!
      Hardcore Absolute Fact: 47 million Americans unemployed and soon 55 million Americans will be unemployed before elections! Nothing has slowed down except the rate of Americans getting onto unemployment benefits system! Capitalism ( communism in disguise ) is dying! It is no longer working for 80%+ of Americans!!!

  • @anush7386
    @anush7386 4 ปีที่แล้ว +7

    The only course i have completed in cousera

  • @christopherm.4950
    @christopherm.4950 4 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    without steady work, cities are just tax gulags, the only reason people in the city put up with the insane taxation is because of the availability of steady work, take away the work cities are basically tax camps designed to drain the life out of you and drive you to the poor house.... 30+% of people arent paying their mortgages on time right now or not paying them at all 90% of those defaults will be in city areas.... those home values will crash to all time low levels for the past 20 years... especially as cities dream up new ways to tax home owners into oblivion.
    And if people are going to be working from home, (those lucky enough to be able to) , why would you live near a city when you can move to some rural area and have a house 4 times the size with a yard and such for your family to enjoy? who is going to pay thousands of dollars in rent, or mortgage and 10s of thousands in property taxes to work from home in an abandoned city full of crime and political extremists?

  • @IReapZz95
    @IReapZz95 4 ปีที่แล้ว +17

    all this social distancing will be temporary until there is a vaccine. There will be changes nonetheless, but humans thrive in social interaction so that will eventually come back

    • @redharp4749
      @redharp4749 4 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      Sorrry homie, but we can’t even wear masks, ppl ain’t gonna get this mythical unicorn vaccine, plus we live in a capitalist society. And if you did want the vaccine and you were one of the millions laid off you dont have the insurance to get the dose. It’s just a nice way for financial newspapaers to recycle headlines and retroactively act like they know why the coin was heads or tails, errr whether things were bullish or bearish. It’s simply the fed

    • @absolutetruth568
      @absolutetruth568 4 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      Hardcore Absolute Fact: Americans will NEED the US Economy when there are livable wages of $24/Hour and up for all Americans ! Until then: RIP Crony Capitalism ( Communist) Rigged Economy ( that only benefits the rich and destroys everyone else )!
      Hardcore Absolute Fact: 47 million Americans unemployed and soon 55 million Americans will be unemployed before elections! Nothing has slowed down except the rate of Americans getting onto unemployment benefits system! Capitalism ( communism in disguise ) is dying! It is no longer working for 80%+ of Americans!!!

    • @henri6595
      @henri6595 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      No cure is coming. Don't drink the punch bowl. Medicine takes years to make, not the few months people keep saying on TV.

    • @IReapZz95
      @IReapZz95 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@henri6595 Cure will take at least 5 years. But they will develop a treatment before that, probably in the next year or so

  • @joellombana6510
    @joellombana6510 4 ปีที่แล้ว +34

    Interview Dr. Michael Burry!!

    • @absolutetruth568
      @absolutetruth568 4 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      Hardcore Absolute Fact: Americans will NEED the US Economy when there are livable wages of $24/Hour and up for all Americans ! Until then: RIP Crony Capitalism ( Communist) Rigged Economy ( that only benefits the rich and destroys everyone else )!
      Hardcore Absolute Fact: 47 million Americans unemployed and soon 55 million Americans will be unemployed before elections! Nothing has slowed down except the rate of Americans getting onto unemployment benefits system! Capitalism ( communism in disguise ) is dying! It is no longer working for 80%+ of Americans!!!

    • @y.r.9401
      @y.r.9401 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      Yes!

    • @MisterSomm
      @MisterSomm 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      Yes PLEASE!

  • @economicsinaction
    @economicsinaction 4 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    So in short... it's uncertain and that's the only thing we are certain about

  • @Longtack55
    @Longtack55 4 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Professor Shiller, I love your geekiness and I trust your judgement. Regards from New Zealand.

  • @jlvandat69
    @jlvandat69 4 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Excellent interview, both the questions and responses. Thank you!

  • @djp1234
    @djp1234 4 ปีที่แล้ว +13

    Yes, we are a caring society that let people die because they don't have health insurance.

    • @cascaderetriever7618
      @cascaderetriever7618 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      My wife works in ER. Your statement is false. They treat everyone in the ER and they often times don’t pay.

    • @djp1234
      @djp1234 4 ปีที่แล้ว +6

      P Z it’s not about ER. It’s about treating chronic health problems that eventually land people in the ER. ER is just the final stage of the disease when it’s too late to fix it.

  • @Unbeatable0007
    @Unbeatable0007 4 ปีที่แล้ว +10

    "Outlook is Uncertain"
    Still stonks are going UP!

    • @Xaero324
      @Xaero324 4 ปีที่แล้ว +4

      Stocks are out of touch with the economy at this point... especially when the federal reserve is doing whatever they can to make the economy survive by starting to essentially invest in high risk companies.

    • @Unbeatable0007
      @Unbeatable0007 4 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      @@Xaero324 fed is pumping liquidity into stock markets in the name of QE
      I think this has to happen because of US election also...
      Trump want to keep market rising till Nov

    • @stvwds61
      @stvwds61 4 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      The question is why should the fed and treasury have to be injecting liquidity. Where is all the cash generated by record profits and tax cuts? It's not in capital expenditures for growth or in employee wage increases. The vast majority has gone into stock buybacks and fed bonds. Driving up stock prices, artificially improving the balance sheet with cash equivalents(bonds), providing executive bonuses and shareholder wealth.
      BTW: a substantial portion of those fed bonds issued to cover the debt they purchase, are bonds which would not have been issued had there not been a tax reduction. Meaning they are buying the debt they owed and we are paying them interest or price appreciation on top of having to pay the underlying debt!

  • @Vahe345
    @Vahe345 4 ปีที่แล้ว +18

    I hate this mind numbing background music. Is that the whole point of it? Just have a serious conversation!

  • @stanleywallace3759
    @stanleywallace3759 4 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Suggestions for future interviews: Kai-Fu Lee, Tim Wu, Douglas Rushkoff, Eric Brynjolfsson,
    and Enrico Moretti.

  • @srercrcr
    @srercrcr 4 ปีที่แล้ว +7

    I see exurbs becoming more in demand....people want a little space to be safe.

    • @connietimoney4447
      @connietimoney4447 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      And a place to grow food when the s&it hits the fan....

  • @heathturner1749
    @heathturner1749 4 ปีที่แล้ว +7

    Jesus! Why does an interview need background music? It doesn't! Joe Rogan has 3, 4, sometimes 5 hour podcast interviews with no music and we all still tune in. Take a tip from the listeners.

    • @FlashThe
      @FlashThe 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      it's easier to me to remember what he said because of those picture.

  • @yashk57
    @yashk57 4 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Your the best “Shiller”. Thanks CNBC

  • @sonnydacuse7622
    @sonnydacuse7622 4 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Suburbs market will go higher with more land spaces than the cities.

  • @RedAffogato
    @RedAffogato 4 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    Too many ads.

  • @JaronLindow
    @JaronLindow 4 ปีที่แล้ว +13

    What's with the annoying music loops in the background? It doesn't make the clip more interesting, and is distracting.

  • @samirjadhav578
    @samirjadhav578 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    We should hear Mr Shiller more often with the passage of times ,time to time ,to help him guide and navigate us timely in this hour of saving livelihoods, it shall be of help to understand the various markets

  • @DejeRobi
    @DejeRobi 4 ปีที่แล้ว +9

    This lady always bring such a cool and informative video👍🏽 thank you!

    • @cliftt
      @cliftt 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@stevenbedrosian7310 Mainly because she asks a question and shuts her mouth until the expert has answered. Go figure.

  • @boomsuga
    @boomsuga 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    This is good content CNBC. Keep it up 👍

  • @BlackrockCEO
    @BlackrockCEO 4 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    The consumer will begin to owe more on their mortgage than they can afford. It’ll be as if their house price is now too expensive for them🤔😂 the government will counter act this with negative rates to pay the consumer and adjust for the deficit. Don’t believe me? We’re already getting massive stimulus checks & bailouts. Problem being, this will hurt the lower class that do not have access to debit or credit cards. Who would be able to cash their checks if nobody has cash rn?🤷🏻‍♂️

  • @saynotop2w
    @saynotop2w 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    *Good!*
    It costs 50k usd materials and the land is worth maybe another 50k, and heck, throw in a dozen extra for permits and utilities but the building is sold for 2 mil in the city. *Nothing* else has that much profit margins. It's abnormal and should be corrected.

    • @JimmySaul888
      @JimmySaul888 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      The land for a building in the city that sells for 2 million is not sold for 50k. Probably over 1 million in your hypothetical. You also forgot labor costs. My house in LA for instance is worth about 600k. The land value is at least half of that. Supply and demand. I don't make the rules.

  • @tonydfixertonydfixer9113
    @tonydfixertonydfixer9113 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Many jobs require an industrial infrastructure. Difficult to perform at home.
    Colleges have been putting some small amount of classes on television at least since late 1980's

  • @wenl4901
    @wenl4901 4 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Truth teller! Love Professor Shiller :)

  • @catcar9157
    @catcar9157 4 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Unprecedented in 2008, even more unprecedented in 2020...

  • @InvestingwithKurt
    @InvestingwithKurt 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Love the series! Very inspiring to have Shiller on the show. I would vote to have Dr. Kenneth French and Eugene Fama

    • @rk-tn7zm
      @rk-tn7zm 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      Yes Fama and his stupid efficient market BS

    • @InvestingwithKurt
      @InvestingwithKurt 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@rk-tn7zm I would not agree it is stupid

  • @markyouneva7840
    @markyouneva7840 4 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    What else and how much more can the Fed prop up the markets? And won't they make the eventual collapse more spectacular?

  • @mvs9122
    @mvs9122 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Is it possible that we are experiencing good old "inflation" (secondary to repeated Quantitative Easing) only in certain areas such as real estate and equities but not in other areas such as food or large items (e.g. appliances)? Idk

  • @rbk9915
    @rbk9915 4 ปีที่แล้ว +19

    Been noticing this. Whenever Elizabeth Schulze comes in a video, it's almost always about some bad news on the economy.

    • @srercrcr
      @srercrcr 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      Maybe because there is little news. MAGA turned out to be a pipedream

    • @absolutetruth568
      @absolutetruth568 4 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      Hardcore Absolute Fact: Americans will NEED the US Economy when there are livable wages of $24/Hour and up for all Americans ! Until then: RIP Crony Capitalism ( Communist) Rigged Economy ( that only benefits the rich and destroys everyone else )!
      Hardcore Absolute Fact: 47 million Americans unemployed and soon 55 million Americans will be unemployed before elections! Nothing has slowed down except the rate of Americans getting onto unemployment benefits system! Capitalism ( communism in disguise ) is dying! It is no longer working for 80%+ of Americans!!!

    • @Kodakcompactdisc
      @Kodakcompactdisc 4 ปีที่แล้ว +4

      I could watch her all day 🤤

    • @RandomUser20130101
      @RandomUser20130101 4 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      She specializes in world economics. I've watched many of her videos on GDP, UBI, Davos meetings, etc. It so happens that the world economy is currently in terrible shape, so her videos reflect that.

    • @patrick6110
      @patrick6110 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      She has a horribly nasal voice that carries bad news well

  • @simpletechdaily
    @simpletechdaily 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    Love this series even if I don't watch every episode. :)

  • @jackpalmer6253
    @jackpalmer6253 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    Wow, CNBC, this is top notch content

  • @dscottboris5132
    @dscottboris5132 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    I agree, technology always has always increased the general public’s productivity but you need the political systems to play their part.

  • @DipakBose-bq1vv
    @DipakBose-bq1vv 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    These American professors of Economics do not know any Economics. That was the reason they get Nobel prizes.

  • @lauraporter3434
    @lauraporter3434 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    Understatement

  • @dark12ain
    @dark12ain 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    Inequality will never go away because there is a group of society that benefits from the inequality of others

  • @vodnalaprashanth3317
    @vodnalaprashanth3317 4 ปีที่แล้ว +15

    Aren't city home values just too much for a common man to bear, and if it suffers isn't it great!!!

    • @h1tm4n26
      @h1tm4n26 4 ปีที่แล้ว +4

      amen brother

    • @Scott-by9ks
      @Scott-by9ks 4 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      Not for the person who bought yesterday or earlier this year.

    • @catcar9157
      @catcar9157 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      Yep

    • @BIGGOODBOY
      @BIGGOODBOY 4 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      You’ll just get more foreign investors jumping in and bringing the value higher

    • @h1tm4n26
      @h1tm4n26 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@BIGGOODBOY that will make the recover faster but there will still be a strong initial dip imo

  • @AnnCatsanndra
    @AnnCatsanndra 4 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    4:44 I'm the type of person who gets energized from time alone, so for the longest time sentiments like "People like to be together, they don't want to be lonely and separated" didn't make sense to me. Since the pandemic some of my closest friends and some newer friends both have been talking to me how much they miss being with their coworkers in person, or how they miss being able to safely visit their family members that I'm starting to understand that just like most other things about human psychological behavior, how people react to close company with others varies a *lot*. And so ultimately there absolutely is a portion of the population who will never be entirely happy with online education and online socializing, even if I'm finding that perfect for my health and social needs.

    • @Lifeissorich.
      @Lifeissorich. 4 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      I agree. I like being at home more.

    • @janthony4224
      @janthony4224 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      👍🏾 I'm naturally a soloist type guy. So, all this stay @ home & social distancing is all typical to me

    • @absolutetruth568
      @absolutetruth568 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Hardcore Absolute Fact: Americans will NEED the US Economy when there are livable wages of $24/Hour and up for all Americans ! Until then: RIP Crony Capitalism ( Communist) Rigged Economy ( that only benefits the rich and destroys everyone else )!
      Hardcore Absolute Fact: 47 million Americans unemployed and soon 55 million Americans will be unemployed before elections! Nothing has slowed down except the rate of Americans getting onto unemployment benefits system! Capitalism ( communism in disguise ) is dying! It is no longer working for 80%+ of Americans!!!

    • @ivanalcantar6841
      @ivanalcantar6841 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      Totally understand where you are coming from. I grew up that same way and never really found a need to go out of my way to be with others. As I got older I found value in socializing and meeting up with family and friends but for the most part I want to be alone. It's a strange balance where some lean towards one side more than others. I think being versed in both aspects of life help you become adaptable to situations like this.

  • @archon1410
    @archon1410 4 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    Good. Homes should have never been treated as investments. They were and it led to big cities becoming completely unaffordable.

    • @skyak4493
      @skyak4493 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      Buying what you need is a good investment. Buying what you don't need and expecting it to go up is gambling. Cities are made unaffordable by slumlords and government policies that favor jobs and impede residential construction -not by homeowners. Big cities "success" over the past few decades is in large part due to attracting richer residents by pushing poorer ones out.

    • @foreigncontaminant2015
      @foreigncontaminant2015 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      Exactly my point. I wouldn't care less about the price of my home -I only care about the comfort as a living space.

  • @kyounghohan5211
    @kyounghohan5211 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    My outlook is uncertain, too. Because of Covid-19 I don't know what happens.

  • @peterspellman2746
    @peterspellman2746 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Such a great thinker!!! 👍👍👍👍👍 Best Coursera prof.

  • @commonground5214
    @commonground5214 4 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Despite what many of the environmentally "enlightened" seem to believe, I do NOT think it is best for mankind to cluster together in densely populated urban areas. If you do you must rely on huge central systems to provide your food, water, power, housing, transportation and security. This forces you to compromise the quality of your life and makes you much less capable of being self reliant. Ideally I would choose to live in a compact residence in a small rural town that provides for all my basic needs and is accessible to a major city via bus or train, an environment where I wouldn't need to own a car. I have lived like this in the past and it was incredibly cathartic. I often would sit on my front porch, watch the clouds roll by, see the stars at night, listen to the birds and crickets, watch the occasional deer or four pass by, and yet be near enough to my two closest neighbors (and friends) to say hi without shouting to them. Twas a SWEET time!

    • @michaelcap9550
      @michaelcap9550 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      The Dems prefer dense large cities.

    • @commonground5214
      @commonground5214 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@michaelcap9550 Mostly, but not always true. As is said "All generalizations are false, including this one."

  • @r.b.l.5841
    @r.b.l.5841 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    i was able to work from home office for first time ever due to Covid , and the management found a that staff working from home our-worked hour for hour those same staff when in the main office. this fact has removed a huge obstacle to work from home. It took some discipline to work from home with my wife in the next room, but we came to a schedule and ended up having lunch together and going for a walk each day, plus a break together for tea at 10 and juice at 3. it has been great to save an hour a day not communiting = happier for sure.
    only works for types of jobs that can be remote but that is a large segment of the work force these days.

  • @larrydaugherty9007
    @larrydaugherty9007 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    Would like an impartial expert to address US debt crisis both economic and political solutions.

  • @pengwill6023
    @pengwill6023 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    interesting points

  • @wolf-man-bear-pig-torque
    @wolf-man-bear-pig-torque 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    TBH, a lot of office workers don't do a lot of critical work. The work is either nice to have or is supplemental to a bigger project.
    The big projects are usually caused by or leads to unnecessary overspending.
    Eventually, many of these jobs gonna get cut. Then companies will have more reason to cut down on office space. Possibly permanent.

  • @izzy1563
    @izzy1563 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Bernie Sanders has been talking about our inequality for decades - yet we have 2 candidates that haven’t discussed this in any depth. We also have an environmental disaster all over the US and he didn’t discuss the economic advantages of green policies and hardening of our infrastructure.

  • @RecordsLotus_
    @RecordsLotus_ 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    Mr Shiller is a knowledge boss.

  • @Gameboyreaper
    @Gameboyreaper 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    Nice video. Keep it up

  • @SavageStephen
    @SavageStephen 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    Robert Shiller sure is one of the most brilliant economists out there but my point of view is that printing money is not going to get us out of this recession and closing in economy won’t help either because we need to live and we need to presume our normal day to day activities I personally think that retail is still going to exist in some form or another and people want to have social activities. I also think that we are going to get worse in recession because the reason it is going to get worse is because the markets and stocks are overpriced and quite expensive and I think that there may be a general market correction where prices may become cheaper than they are right now I am currently invested in gold and silver because I think that they are sound investments

  • @ocvegasproperty
    @ocvegasproperty 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    Outlook is uncertain. Really? Thanks for the insightful Nobel laureate info...

  • @21silvermoon
    @21silvermoon 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Boy, the high priced apartments landlords are seeing mass exodus. Bye to 2000 month rent for 1 bedroom.

  • @robkemp7291
    @robkemp7291 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    How bout interviewing experts not residing or working for US for non-bias opinion from outside? Might be enlightening and less entitled or less of a comfort zone.

  • @antipro6537
    @antipro6537 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    What a damn privilege to be able to talk to a Nobel Prize Winner. I can't imagine much that would be more interesting. Of course, any expert that is a leader in their field would be equally interesting.

  • @izzy1563
    @izzy1563 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    In NYC I already see close to a 25% drop in recent rents. There is nothing to do here right now. The city offers things that you really can’t find on this scale anywhere else in the US. I see homes just outside the city like the Hamptons, Vermont in the mountains are in a bit of a rental and buying/building boom. Even very high end properties are finding renters rather than new buyers right now. I think the first big hit will be at the top of the market - the 50million dollar apartments are finding renters. At the lower end In Manhattan rents will start to drop significantly if a vaccine isn’t found. I think we are entering a strong buyer’s market. Right now you don’t see money on the sidelines picking up significant real estate but many may just cut their losses and loss their down payments goodbye if they need to stop financial damage. The city was under strain before the pandemic started. Workers were cash poor paying to live here. Rents and apt prices have been going up all over the US and people simply don’t have much left over at the end of the day. The whole situation is absurd.

  • @midlander8186
    @midlander8186 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    I wish the interviewer would have asked Professor Schiller his opinion of the value of online university learning.
    The term "inequality" was used a number of times. The professor should have defined this and cited statistics, even informally without oral annotation, of the phenomenon and the increase in it he alleges. The interviewer should have asked him about this.

  • @Jason-sf8vx
    @Jason-sf8vx 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    Housing market is essential to be kept or control at affordable price , because moderate price will not increase inflation and contribute to quality life

  • @thattannerguy856
    @thattannerguy856 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    I don't agree that housing prices close to city center will decline.

  • @lunes-1
    @lunes-1 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    People should be flying on holiday exporting🦇 coronavirus again to countries that were recovering,was this imprudent?

  • @SnoopyDoofie
    @SnoopyDoofie 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    He made a lot of "I don't know" statements.

  • @Roogs
    @Roogs 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    I think it's foolish to think "positive". Any assumption that the "best of people" will come out during this crisis is foolhardy. Watching democratic institutions break down, the federal government failing to come through and the anxiety in general from people across all walks of life does not point to some sort of positive change coming from this. Change comes from pain. We are going to have to go through some pain.

  • @harryfire411
    @harryfire411 4 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    I am not uncertain August September October is going to be the final stock market crash continued unemployment more rioting.... it is a lose-lose scenario

  • @carloslievano2303
    @carloslievano2303 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    At least he is an Honest Man.. He said he DOES NOT know or have the answers for certain..

  • @thechungleeyuofamily8476
    @thechungleeyuofamily8476 4 ปีที่แล้ว +28

    Investing on the online market is profitable in this economical condition especially when you have a professional guiding you on your investments.

    • @alpha.cmor-pha761
      @alpha.cmor-pha761 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      Trends in the market are once again picking up, allowing this mechanical system to lock in more gains for the week.

    • @s.s.karena9886
      @s.s.karena9886 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      Decided to close my trading account in long position for a small gain after strong resistance held off the bulls and as the risk environment remained strongly positive. What's your strategy or do you copy trades manually?

    • @thechungleeyuofamily8476
      @thechungleeyuofamily8476 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@s.s.karena9886 I've my my funds diversified across various securities not just on stocks and I don't make this picks myself. I use trade signals from a US regulated broker and investment advisor Paul Helfer.

    • @s.s.karena9886
      @s.s.karena9886 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      Ok what does Paul Helfer charge for his services?

    • @thechungleeyuofamily8476
      @thechungleeyuofamily8476 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@s.s.karena9886 I pay a 20% of monthly Profits and you don't copy manually but you have control over your funds in auto trading and can opt out anytime. It's a subset of algo trading.

  • @chemidedashevetsi
    @chemidedashevetsi 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    Please interview one of them Rothchilds!!!

  • @S.Sheezy
    @S.Sheezy 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    So right now may not be the right time to get a house...?

  • @archvd-tech4635
    @archvd-tech4635 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    pretty much WELCOME TO: GHOST IN THE SHELL WORLD FROM NOW ON

  • @JuniorRodigan
    @JuniorRodigan 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    He said "we don't know" more than anything else.

    • @Cathy-xi8cb
      @Cathy-xi8cb 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      But he knows that the biggest storm is on the way. He is trying not to incite panic in the markets and on the streets. The economic tsunami that is coming is going to be a slow wave that falls over us. Seek high ground, and good luck to everyone.

  • @janicenichols4591
    @janicenichols4591 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    If private sector is laying off individuals then the public sector should follow. Also there should be a move away from the public pension system. They already have the opportunity to save through a 457b plan.

  • @colorsfly
    @colorsfly 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    remenber : Economist are like the Weatherforecaster : normally, they descirbe the past, and they don´t have a clue (i learn´d it once). Bismarck in Germany stopped wetherforecard 150years ago because they were not helpfull, so the Guys in Potsdam had to be more relaiable, that all about them, it never stops...

  • @stocktawk
    @stocktawk 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    Without the panic CNBC started on their network- it’s possible, none of this would have happened.

  • @kikolatulipe
    @kikolatulipe 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    Working from home will change the face of many cities !

  • @paramjeetsinghkhera
    @paramjeetsinghkhera 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    Deep down we r humans but
    U.S.A what a lovely 💓 people..

  • @97sambit
    @97sambit 4 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    I just completed his Coursera course...much respect.

    • @absolutetruth568
      @absolutetruth568 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Hardcore Absolute Fact: Americans will NEED the US Economy when there are livable wages of $24/Hour and up for all Americans ! Until then: RIP Crony Capitalism ( Communist) Rigged Economy ( that only benefits the rich and destroys everyone else )!
      Hardcore Absolute Fact: 47 million Americans unemployed and soon 55 million Americans will be unemployed before elections! Nothing has slowed down except the rate of Americans getting onto unemployment benefits system! Capitalism ( communism in disguise ) is dying! It is no longer working for 80%+ of Americans!!!

  • @silverdime6278
    @silverdime6278 4 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Pretty boring stuff if i do so myself

  • @Leo-zj2qp
    @Leo-zj2qp 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    Depends on what congress and the president does, if they do a good job then the market will continue to pump until spending start to decrease again. If they do it poorly well then a second bottom in the market.

  • @NikkiTrudelle
    @NikkiTrudelle 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    Interview Nayef Al-Rodhan

  • @winterphoenix7807
    @winterphoenix7807 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    We can now move forward to a completely stay home economy

  • @linusverclyte4988
    @linusverclyte4988 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    A Noble Prize winner in economics admits he simply doesn't know what's going to happen. While I commend him for his honesty this goes to show economics isn't a real science: they simply cannot predict the economic future based on the current data. It's all smoke and mirrors without any real substance or usefulness.
    "We've never seen this before". So basically economics is just specialized history: this historic event somewhat resembles what happens now therefore X. If no historical precedent can be found: blank.
    "I wouldn't blame the Federal Reserve because it's a worldwide phenomenon". What do you think they're doing all across the globe professor Shiller? From the Bank of Japan to the ECB: creating liquidity at a staggering rate. That is what is driving asset prices up: there is no alternative (TINA).

  • @johnminichielli8957
    @johnminichielli8957 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    He is brilliant at stating the obvious.

  • @paolofracalanza6540
    @paolofracalanza6540 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    Can’t build more homes without sewage capacity etc.

  • @michaelzhang154
    @michaelzhang154 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    This is the most attractive host on US TV for me.

    • @thanos2703
      @thanos2703 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      Harvey Weinstein over here